Falling towards pullback support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 4,096.19
1st Support: 3,440.61
1st Resistance: 5,162.78
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J-ETH
ETH’s Predator Move on the 30min time rame
This is ETH on the 30min timeframe over the past 3 weeks.
It started on Monday, July 28, when price was rejected at the $4K resistance after a Sunday night pump. What followed was nearly half a week of chop, then a drop that found support at the 0.5 Fib = $3391 (the midpoint between the 0.382 and 0.236 levels). From there, ETH rallied +43% to its ATH.
Last week, the same scenario repeated: price rejected from ATH (0 Fib), chopped half a week, then fell Sunday night, this time finding support at the 0.5 Fib = $4303 (the midpoint between the 0.236 and 0 levels).
Now the question is: will this 10% drop be enough to reload for another attempt at ATH, or will price need to retrace deeper to gather the liquidity needed?
One thing is certain: this is a leverage flush. If you’re riding high leverage, understand that you are the prey, and price is the predator. To survive, you need to shed some leverage weight before it catches you.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
ETH 30min: Double Bottom Setting Up Another ATH Test
ETH on the 30-Min
Yesterday, ETH printed a clean double bottom right on the 200MA.
RSI showed bullish divergence at the same time, a strong reversal signal.
Now, price is holding support at the BB center and 50MA.
If these two levels hold, we could see another push toward the ATH.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTC Weekly Recap & Game Plan 17.08.2025BTC Weekly Recap & Game Plan 17.08.2025
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price ran the daily swing liquidity but couldn’t close above it.
Additionally, price has tapped into the equilibrium level, which makes this a discount zone in my view.
📌 Game Plan
There are two possible scenarios to watch:
First scenario (red):
→ Price closes above 119,725$, then I’ll be looking for entries around 118,750$.
Second scenario (black):
→ Price may retrace further to 116,310$, marked by 12H swing liquidity.
→ This level also aligns with the 0.75 Fibonacci retracement, which is my max discount zone.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I’ll be watching for a 4H–1H break of structure (BOS) to initiate entries.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4H–1H swing low confirming the BOS
Targets:
TP1: 121,680$
TP2: 124,500$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
ETH — Right-Angled Broadening BreakoutEthereum (ETH) has completed a Right-Angled Descending Broadening Pattern that developed over a period of 515 days. Such long-term structures are rare and often mark significant turning points in the market.
🔎 Pattern Breakdown
A–E → swings inside the broadening formation.
F → breakout above the flat resistance.
G (anticipated) → Retest of the breakout zone near $4000, where former resistance may establish itself as support.
The flat top resistance between $4000–$4100 has already given way. A successful retest and hold above this zone would confirm breakout validity and strengthen the probability of continuation toward ATH and beyond.
Trade Setup View
Retest entry zone (G): ~$4000
Invalidation (Stop-Loss): To be determined based on price action during the retest
TP1: Retest of ATH $4867
TP2: $5390
Final target (measured move): $6800
Risk-to-Reward: 1:7+ potential
Why $6800?
The measured move of a broadening formation is its full height projected upward from the breakout point:
Broadening low: $1383.26
Broadening high: $4109
➡️ Height = $2725.74
Add that to the breakout zone (~$4100) → $6825. Rounded, that gives a final target of $6800.
💡 Educational Takeaway
Right-Angled Descending Broadening Formations show growing volatility with buyers holding a ceiling steady while sellers run out of steam. Once that flat resistance breaks, momentum usually shifts in favour of the bulls. Since this one lasted over 500 days, the breakout isn’t just noise. It’s a macro signal that could define ETH’s next major trend leg.
Level to Watch Closely:
$4000 → the expected retest (G). Holding here would be a strong confirmation that ETH is ready to aim for ATH and price discovery.
_________________________________
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ETH ANALYSIS (4H)Ethereum has broken a weekly blind trigger and has now reached a higher-timeframe supply zone, which corresponds to the weekly timeframe.
Given the strength of the supply zone and the strong bullish momentum, there are currently two possible scenarios:
**Scenario 1:** It may have a pullback from this supply to demand before making an attack toward the all-time high.
**Scenario 2:** It may consolidate on the supply and go straight toward the all-time high.
In both scenarios, it is expected that after hunting the all-time high or moving slightly above it, the price will drop sharply toward lower levels.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETH/USDT :Wave 5 Drop to 4300–Rebound Rally to 4600 Before Crashthereum has likely completed a 5-wave impulsive rally from 1380 → 4780, with the channel break confirming a larger correction in progress.
Currently, price is unfolding Wave A of an ABC NeoWave structure, subdividing into 5 smaller waves.
⸻
🔹 Wave Count Breakdown
• Wave 1: Sharp drop to ~4335
• Wave 2: 61.8% rebound to 4463
• Wave 3: Extended selloff (161.8% of W1) → 4335
• Wave 4: Shallow retrace (~38.2% W3) → 4463
• Wave 5 (in progress): Targeting 4300–4270 (1.618 Fib + channel floor)
👉 Monowave count (~45–55) sits perfectly inside NeoWave’s 34–89 range → confirming impulsive character of this Wave A.
⸻
🔹 Next Path Scenarios
1. Wave A completion → Short-term bottom around 4300 (confluence of Fib + channel).
2. Wave B rebound → Relief rally toward 4460–4600 (38.2–50% retrace of A). Likely a sharp ABC bounce that traps late shorts.
3. Wave C decline → Resumption of downtrend toward 3800–4000, with risk of an extended drop to 3500 if momentum accelerates.
⸻
🔹 Technical Clues
• Fib structure: Textbook alternation (W2 deep / W4 shallow).
• RSI divergence at lows → exhaustion signals.
• Dominance context: USDT.D rebounding + BTC.D >60% → capital rotation suggests ETH downside risk remains elevated.
⸻
🔹 Trade Setup (Bias: Short with rebound play)
• Entry (short): Below 4400 on BOS confirmation (break of 4335).
• Targets: TP1 = 4300 (end of A), TP2 = 3800 (post-B wave).
• Rebound long: Consider 4300 → 4600 scalp if Wave A completes.
• Stops: Above 4463 (W4 high) for shorts / below 4300 for longs.
• Risk mgmt: 1–2% position size; trail stops along channel midline.
⸻
⚠️ Volatility remains extreme. Manage risk strictly—crypto psychology flips fast.
THIS TIME IS DIFFERENT! KINDAI got a little experimental with the Bitcoin chart after seeing such a strong correlation on cycle one of Litecoin and this cycle. (I did an analysis on this exact this for Litecoin Ill past the chart below). Bitcoin and Litecoin cycles are playing out almost exactly the same as their previous cycles.
As you can see in the chart Bitcoin from the time it came out to when it topped in its first cycle on December Friday the 13th 2013. I took and compared the first wave of cycle one and compared it to the first wave of this current cycle 2 and sound that the time it took this cycle was 5.5 times greater than previous. Measuring that distance to the top of wave three brings bitcoin to July of this year for a wave three top on this much larger degree of trend before a correction. Wave 5 should complete in 2025 around December.
I know I know Bitgolder you're absolutely insane that could never happen. Well you're wrong and chances are it will happen. Do you know how much money in just derivatives there are? As of writing its almost 1 Quadrillion dollars, THATS JUST DERIVATIVES. Thats not including 75% of the rest of the assets in the world. So Bitcoin soaking up 25% of the world per say isn't that unreasonable considering the rich are now finding it as a safe haven for their wealth preservation. Theres always an out for the rich when everything is about to collapse and this time its Bitcoin and maybe gold silver and farmland. After 2025 and around there the world may look totally different. There will be some major financial issues around the world and the entire planet will be in a major global depression. Countries Governments may actually attempt to seize Bitcoin from the population because of how valuable it is. Dollar terms will be irrelevant. Things may even be priced in Bitcoin. Watch Europe. When their bond crisis begins then USA is maybe 6 months a year behind.
With bitcoin reaching the price I predict of around $40 million each in 2025 that would give bitcoin a market cap of 966 Trillon which would be a 1000x from where we are now. I think this scenario is likely if the world decides Bitcoin will be the store of value to weather out the coming depression and potential world war, cause what better time to have a world war than during a depression.
To come up with these price targets, I measured the percentage gain on each wave on Cycle 1 and measured it against the current Cycle two and its about 10x the move percentage wise.
Everyone keeps saying diminishing returns blah blah. No one can predict how Bitcoin will act. This is the first asset in our history that has had a fixed numerical supply. Supply and demand can change in a heartbeat and price can and will go straight up. Its also the most pain that can be inflicted because everyone and their brother is bearish right now calling for big drops, and so many still waiting on the sidelines for the 30k dip thats never going to happen cause they sold at 40 listening to idiotic you tubers that echo each other in their circle jerk.
Not financial advice this is just my opinion.
BTCUSD Theres No Way We Can Hit 1 Million Dollar Bitcoin, Right?I think that Bitcoin is on its way to some serious numbers. Numbers that most think are impossible. So many think that this cycle has to be like previous cycles. Oh its 840 days in the last cycle from bottom to top, or 4 year cycles etc. Its all bogus, this time is different regardless of what you think. Bitcoin is being locked in the ETF now and soon to be reserves of states, countries, city states you name the whole world is going to hoard Bitcoin. There is no more sloshing of capital like you're used to to created an altcoin season. There is no more Bitcoin dominance dropping, like you're used. It is simply different and thats the facts jack. Everyone selling now is going to regret it.
I believe that Bitcoin from 2009 to the end of 2023 was one giant cycle. We are at the beginning of a new cycle for Bitcoin. If you think the last one was fun, just wait till you see this one. Ill paste a picture of what I mean below so you can understand what Im saying.
People calling Michael Saylor stupid, saying hes buying the top, like they are smarter than him, or Blackrock, any other hedge fund, or countries, or US states. Everyone who thinks that is they are smarter than these people are going to have a rude awakening.
1 Million is just the beginning. Over the next 10 years Bitcoin is going to go to numbers that no one can even fathom. Not even the dreamiest of Bulls. I bet Bitcoin could hit 30-50 million dollars over the next 10 years. Why do I say that?
The world, especially the United States is about to go into a massive productivity boom over the next 10 years, cheap energy, increased efficiency in all sectors, AI expansion, new inventions, and massive wealth transfers from the baby boom generation. Trump saying that America is entering a Golden Age is absolutely correct. We are going to witness the most epic bull run in history from now to about 2035. Sure there will be corrections and crashes along the way, but itll just be a higher low and then off to the races again.
The baby boom generation is sitting on 78 TRILLION DOLLARS of wealth currently. As baby boomers retire or pass away, their wealth will likely be passed on to their children and grandchildren. This transfer of wealth will help future generations buy homes, pay off student debt, make other purchases, and invest. This will benefit Bitcoin tremendously because now theres barely anyone under 50 investing in Gold or Silver anymore, that stuff is stone age currecny. We are entering a digital AI age, we're not moving backwards. The gold for the new digital golden age is Bitcoin. So much money and capital will flow into Bitcoin and other crypto assets, stock market etc. That is why the smart are loading up!
Its going to be beautiful, so just have a seat, buckle up its going to be wild. None of this is financial advice this is just my opinion.
Quick Short Term Idea On Litecoin LTC USDI though I would provide what Im looking at in the short term for Litecoin price action. Everything seems to be lining up for this type of move. Again a fractal, I love fractals.
Again this is short term but I see a sharp move up to $138 then a correction back down to support around $126
Not financial advice just my opinion. Thank you
ETH Path to 5k playing out nicely!Played out nicely since last update.
Ethereum has held near the level highlighted in the last update and, after a correction, pushed into the wave 3 most likely target. Price rejected from that area without yet breaking the all-time high.
If this wave 3 has completed, which isn’t confirmed yet, the Elliott Wave count suggests caution. A wave 4 at the higher degree could be next. To gain clarity, we’ll need to see a few key pivots broken.
The completion of a smaller 5-wave move lining up with the higher-degree wave 3 target is a clue this may be the spot to pause and evaluate. The way this retracement unfolds will help decide which degree it belongs to and set expectations for what comes next.
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ATH FOR Ethereum!!!Hello friends🙌
As you know, Ethereum has been on an upward trend these days and we can say that buyers have entered, but not completely...👀
🔊Now, considering the resistance that Ethereum is facing, namely the number 3900 to 4100, we need to see what reaction the price will see this time when the price reaches this resistance for the 4th time?
✔We will most likely make a small correction and this time this major resistance will be broken again and we will witness a higher ceiling.
✔Otherwise, I have an important and key support that we have identified for you and if the price drops, this support is a good area to buy again.
And finally, observe risk and capital management⚠
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*Trade safely with us*
Cardano (ADA) +100% soonWhy Might ADA (Cardano) “Explode” in Price soon?
1. Major Upgrades & Governance Milestones
In August 2025, the Cardano community passed a landmark $70 million (≈96 million ADA) proposal to fund pivotal upgrades—including Ouroboros Leios, Hydra, Mithril, and Project Acropolis—designed to significantly boost scalability, interoperability, and developer tooling
These upgrades are expected to be rolled out over a 12-month roadmap—with milestone-based releases tightly monitored by stakeholders—making each major rollout a potential catalyst for ADA price jumps
2. Technical Breakouts & Chart Patterns
Analysts recently identified a bull-flag breakout on ADA’s chart, suggesting a potential 100–150% rally toward $1.60–$1.75 if momentum continues
Technical indicators (such as RSI and MACD) point to possible 46% gains if ADA breaks above key resistance levels or a push toward $0.90–$1.00 if the bullish trend extends
3. On-Chain & Institutional Activity
Cardano’s ecosystem is showing strong on-chain momentum with daily transactions near 2.6 million, low average fees and growing developer confidence
Institutional sentiment is increasing—Grayscale has allocated ~18.5% of its smart-contract fund to ADA, and ETF speculation is growing as regulatory clarity improves
Long-term holders remain resolute—over 15 billion ADA hasn’t moved for more than a year, indicating low selling pressure, while retail buzz increases
4. Whale Activity & Real-World Utility
A recent spike in "whale activity", including large ADA accumulation and a positive MVRV ratio (~22%), often precedes strong upward momentum
Improved real-world integration—like native ADA tools for Apple platforms and potential Apple Pay compatibility—can enhance mainstream adoption and act as price triggers
5. Broader Market & Macro Sentiment
ADA’s price tends to move with broader crypto sentiment. However, even amid market corrections, ADA has shown resilience and occasionally outperformed larger tokens—e.g., pumping while others crashed, driven largely by ETF buzz and technical setups
Headlines and media sentiment—even speculative projections (e.g., targeting $10)—can fuel dramatic moves, though these should be viewed with caution.
6. Forbes Advisor’s Top 10
Cryptocurrencies (August 14, 2025) Cardano (ADA)
BNB (BNB)
Bitcoin (BTC)
Polkadot (DOT)
Ethereum (ETH)
Litecoin (LTC)
Solana (SOL)
ETH's next volatility period: around August 28th
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period for ETH is expected to last until August 15th.
Therefore, caution is advised when trading.
The key question is whether the price can rise above the previous all-time high (ATH) of 4868.0.
Currently, the key support and resistance levels are 3900.73-4107.80.
Therefore, even if there is a further decline, if the price remains within the 3900.73-4107.80 range or higher, the upward trend is expected to continue.
Currently, the HA-High indicator is formed at 3708.87, so it's important to check whether a new HA-High indicator is formed if a further decline occurs.
The formation of the HA-High indicator indicates a decline from the high, so determining whether support is found near that level is crucial.
While ETH's volatility period is around August 28th, BTC's volatility period is around August 24th. Therefore, it's important to monitor how the price moves during this period.
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Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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ETH Daily Recap & Game Plan – 15.08.2025ETH Daily Recap & Game Plan – 15.08.2025
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
Ethereum is approaching all-time highs, fueled by a $1B single-day ETF inflow. Additionally, rumors of potential SEC approval for Ethereum staking policy could directly boost ETH’s utility — strengthening the long bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has started a retracement move after Bitcoin reached new all-time highs.
Currently, ETH is testing the daily demand zone (blue box) — a level where we may see a reaction. For confirmation, I want to see a 4H break of structure before initiating any trades.
Since it’s the weekend, I expect some choppy price action and possibly a deeper retracement. I’m watching two potential scenarios (Blue vs. Red).
📌 Game Plan
Scenario 1 (Blue)
→ Price sweeps 4H swing liquidity at 4255$, then rejects.
Scenario 2 (Red)
→ Price dips deeper, tapping the untested swing high at 4112$ and possibly into the equilibrium discount zone (0.5 Fibonacci), before rejecting.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Waiting for a 4H break of structure before entering any position.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 4H swing low confirming the BOS
Target: Run directly toward all-time highs at 4867$
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Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
ETH Long Idea - Daily Recap - 14.08.2025📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increasing global risk appetite are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
Ethereum is approaching all-time highs, fueled by a $1B single-day ETF inflow. Additionally, rumors of potential SEC approval for Ethereum staking policy could directly boost ETH’s utility — strengthening the long bias.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has pulled back to the daily fair value gap. HTF fair value gaps are historically strong zones for potential bounces.
📌 Game Plan
I expect possible expansion toward all-time highs here, as we have broken the LTF market structure.
📋 Trade Management
Entry: 4602$
SL: 4455$
TP: All-time highs at 4867$
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.