GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal at Multi-Swing High ResistanceBased on H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which is a multi swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, and could reverse from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 1.3583, which is a multi swing high resistance that aligns with the 161.8% and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss is at 1.3673, which s a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.3420, which is a pullback support.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
J-USD
EURUSD H4 | Price approaching swing high resistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry, which acts as a swing high resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 1.1774, which is a swing high resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.1828, which is also a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1651, which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 148.06
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Take profit: 145.86
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards Fibonacci confluence?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback suport that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, 100% Fibonacci projection and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this levle to our take profit.
Entry: 0.7971
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, 100% Fibonacci projection and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.7923
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 0.8026
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish Reversal Setup Forming?USD/CAD is reacting off the support level, which is a swing low support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3730
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support.
Stop loss: 1.3674
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.3792
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish Rise on EUR/USD – Key Support Holding?EUR/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support, and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1653
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.1581
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 1.1774
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Pullback resistance holding – Bearish reversal in play?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is reacting off the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 65.81
1st Support: 62.17
1st Resistance: 68.85
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5889
1st Support: 0.5789
1st Resistance: 0.5987
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish Reversal Forming off Key Resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6543
1st Support: 0.6383
1st Resistance: 0.6644
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Market Pullback Towards 50% Fib Support Zone?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is reacting off the pivot, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3715
1st Support: 1.3568
1st Resistance: 1.3912
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish continuation in play?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8084
1st Support: 0.7894
1st Resistance: 0.8198
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Price rebounds from 78.6% Fib support – Bullish setup ahead?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 144.92
1st Support: 142.44
1st Resistance: 150.96
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal forming at resistance zone?The Cable (GBP/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the support, which as as an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.3616
1st Support: 1.3208
1st Resistance: 1.3791
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish Reversal?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 4,862.36
1st Support: 3,853.80
1st Resistance: 5,225.73
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Price drop from overlap resistanceBitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 111,064.05
1st Support: 104,329.52
1st Resistance: 117,395.83
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Forecast# GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Forecast - August 2025
Comprehensive Multi-Timeframe Analysis for Intraday and Swing Trading
Current Price: 1.35033 USD (as of August 30, 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4)
24H Change: -0.08%
Market Sentiment: Bullish Bias with Cautious Optimism
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Executive Summary
The GBPUSD pair is currently trading above the critical 1.3500 psychological level, showing resilience after the Bank of England's recent rate cut to 4% in August 2025. The GBP/USD pair gradually crawled back above the 1.3500 barrier on the renewed upside, indicating potential for continued upward momentum despite monetary policy headwinds.
Key Technical Levels:
Immediate Support: 1.3450 - 1.3485
Key Resistance: 1.3585 - 1.3620
Psychological Level: 1.3500 (currently above)
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Market Context & Fundamental Backdrop
Recent Central Bank Actions
At its meeting ending on 6 August 2025, the MPC voted by a majority of 5–4 to reduce Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 4%. This dovish move has created mixed signals for GBP, with the median profile in the August MaPS implied a cumulative 50 basis point reduction in Bank Rate by the end of this year.
Interest Rate Differential Impact
UK Base Rate: 4.00% (recently cut from 4.25%)
Fed Funds Rate: 4.25-4.50% (unchanged)
Rate Differential: Narrowing in favor of USD
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Multi-Methodology Technical Analysis
1. Candlestick Pattern Analysis
Current Formation: Doji reversal patterns observed on 4H timeframe
Pattern: Indecision candles near 1.3500 support
Implication: Potential for directional breakout
Confirmation Required: Volume increase on next significant move
2. Elliott Wave Theory Analysis
Wave Structure: Currently in Wave 4 corrective phase
Primary Trend: Bullish impulse from 1.2300 lows
Current Position: Corrective Wave 4 consolidation
Target Wave 5: Projected range 1.3650-1.3750
Invalidation Level: Break below 1.3380
3. Harmonic Pattern Recognition
Active Pattern: Bullish Gartley formation completing
D Point: Target zone 1.3480-1.3520
Fibonacci Levels: 0.786 retracement at 1.3485
Bullish Reversal Zone: 1.3450-1.3500
Target Extensions: 1.3585 (1.27), 1.3650 (1.618)
4. Wyckoff Market Cycle Analysis
Current Phase: Accumulation Phase C (Spring Test)
Background: Institutional accumulation near support
Volume Profile: Decreasing on declines, increasing on rallies
Smart Money: Likely accumulating between 1.3450-1.3520
Next Phase: Markup anticipated above 1.3585
5. W.D. Gann Analysis
Square of 9 Analysis:
Current Position: 1.35033 sits at 144° (important Gann angle)
Support Levels: 1.3472 (135°), 1.3434 (128°)
Resistance Levels: 1.3542 (152°), 1.3580 (160°)
Time Cycles: September 15-20 represents significant time window
Price Squaring: Next major target 1.3689 (169°)
Gann Angles from August Low:
- 1x1 Angle: 1.3520 (primary support)
- 2x1 Angle: 1.3485 (secondary support)
- 1x2 Angle: 1.3585 (resistance)
6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis
Cloud Status: Price above Kumo on daily chart
Tenkan-Sen (9): 1.3515 (bullish above)
Kijun-Sen (26): 1.3498 (consolidating)
Senkou Span A: 1.3505 (cloud support)
Senkou Span B: 1.3480 (strong support)
Chikou Span: Above price action (bullish confirmation)
Signal: Bullish bias maintained while above cloud
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Technical Indicators Analysis
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14-period):
- 4H: 52.3 (neutral, room to rise)
- Daily: 48.7 (approaching oversold relief)
- Weekly: 55.2 (bullish momentum intact)
MACD Analysis:
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GBPUSD turned positive on August 27, 2025, suggesting renewed bullish momentum with the stock continued to rise in of 116 cases over the following month based on historical patterns.
Volatility & Price Action
Bollinger Bands (20, 2):
- Current Position: Middle band test (1.3515)
- Band Width: Contracting (low volatility environment)
- Squeeze Setup: Potential expansion coming
- Direction Bias: Bullish above middle band
VWAP Analysis:
- Daily VWAP: 1.3520 (key pivotal level)
- Weekly VWAP: 1.3485 (major support)
- Volume Profile: High volume node at 1.3500-1.3520
Moving Average Configuration
Short-term (Intraday):
- EMA 21: 1.3518 (immediate resistance)
- SMA 50: 1.3505 (support)
- WMA 13: 1.3525 (dynamic resistance)
Medium-term (Swing):
- EMA 50: 1.3490 (key support)
- SMA 100: 1.3465 (major support)
- EMA 200: 1.3420 (trend support)
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Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy
Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 4H)
# Bullish Scenario (Primary - 65% Probability)
Entry Strategy:
Long Entry 1: 1.3485-1.3500 (Harmonic D-point)
Long Entry 2: 1.3520-1.3530 (breakout above VWAP)
Stop Loss: 1.3465 (below Wyckoff support)
Take Profit 1: 1.3585 (Gann resistance)
Take Profit 2: 1.3620 (Harmonic target)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.8 (Excellent)
Timeframe Specific Targets:
5M/15M: Quick scalps 1.3500 → 1.3530
30M/1H: Swing to 1.3585
4H: Extended move to 1.3620
# Bearish Scenario (Secondary - 35% Probability)
Entry Strategy:
Short Entry: 1.3465 break (Ichimoku cloud breach)
Stop Loss: 1.3510 (above VWAP)
Take Profit 1: 1.3420 (EMA 200)
Take Profit 2: 1.3380 (Elliott Wave invalidation)
Swing Trading Strategy (4H - Monthly)
# Primary Bullish Wave Count
Long-term Setup (1-3 weeks):
Entry Zone: 1.3480-1.3520 (current accumulation)
Stop Loss: 1.3420 (trend support)
Target 1: 1.3650 (Elliott Wave 5 minimum)
Target 2: 1.3750 (Wave 5 extension)
Target 3: 1.3850 (major resistance confluence)
Monthly Outlook:
- September: Consolidation 1.3450-1.3650
- October: Breakout attempt above 1.3650
- November: Potential test of 1.3750-1.3850
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Risk Management & Trade Management
Position Sizing Guidelines
Intraday: Maximum 2% risk per trade
Swing: Maximum 3% risk per position
Portfolio Allocation: 5-8% maximum GBPUSD exposure
Dynamic Stop Loss Strategy
1. Initial Stop: Below key support levels
2. Breakeven: Move to entry after 50% target hit
3. Trailing Stop: Use ATR(14) x 2 for swing trades
4. Time Stop: Exit if no progress within 48 hours (intraday)
Bull Trap / Bear Trap Analysis
Potential Bull Trap Warning:
- Watch for fake breakout above 1.3585 with weak volume
- Confirmation needed: Volume > 20-day average
- Invalidation: Immediate reversal below 1.3550
Bear Trap Opportunity:
- Break below 1.3480 with quick recovery above 1.3500
- Entry on reclaim of 1.3500 with strong volume
- Target: 1.3585-1.3620
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Weekly Trading Calendar & Key Events
Upcoming Market Movers (September 2-6, 2025)
High Impact Events:
Tuesday: UK PMI Final, GDP Monthly
Wednesday: US ADP Employment
Thursday: BoE Officials Speeches
Friday: US Non-Farm Payrolls
Trading Approach:
- Reduce position size 2 hours before high-impact news
- Consider flat positions during NFP release
- Re-enter on confirmed direction post-news
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Alternative Scenarios & Contingency Plans
Scenario 1: Dovish BoE Surprise (20% Probability)
Trigger: Additional rate cut signals
Expected Move: 1.3500 → 1.3350
Strategy: Short on break of 1.3465, target 1.3380-1.3350
Scenario 2: USD Weakness Theme (25% Probability)
Trigger: Fed dovish pivot or data weakness
Expected Move: 1.3500 → 1.3750
Strategy: Aggressive long on any dip to 1.3480
Scenario 3: Risk-Off Environment (15% Probability)
Trigger: Geopolitical tensions or market crash
Expected Move: Sharp decline to 1.3200-1.3300
Strategy: Full hedging, await oversold bounce
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Technical Rating Summary
Overall Rating: BULLISH BIAS
1-Week Outlook: BUY (Confirmed by MACD turn positive)
1-Month Outlook: BUY (Elliott Wave structure intact)
Confidence Level: 7/10
Key Catalysts for Bullish Breakout:
1. Sustained break above 1.3585 with volume
2. US economic data disappointment
3. Risk-on sentiment return
4. Technical pattern completion
Bearish Invalidation Levels:
Short-term: 1.3465
Medium-term: 1.3420
Long-term: 1.3380
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Conclusion & Trading Recommendations
The GBPUSD pair presents a compelling bullish setup despite recent BoE dovishness. Our technical rating for GBPUSD stock is buy today with multiple technical methodologies aligning for potential upside. The convergence of Harmonic patterns, Elliott Wave projections, and Gann analysis suggests a high-probability move toward 1.3585-1.3650 over the coming weeks.
Priority Actions:
1. Immediate: Monitor for entry opportunities in 1.3485-1.3520 zone
2. Short-term: Prepare for breakout above 1.3585
3. Medium-term: Position for Elliott Wave 5 completion at 1.3650-1.3750
Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always implement proper risk management and consider your risk tolerance before trading.















