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JPYUSD H1 Analysis TodayJPYUSD H1 Analysis Today – Bullish Base Above 0.00641, Breakout Path Toward 0.00644–0.00647 JPYUSD on the 1H chart is transitioning from a sharp reversal low into a controlled consolidation. After the strong rebound, price is now building a tight range (the highlighted box) around 0.00641–0.00642, which often acts as an accumulation zone before the next expansion leg. The bias stays bullish as long as price holds this range base and continues printing higher lows. The clean opportunity today is either buying pullbacks into the demand box, or trading the breakout with confirmation into the overhead supply zones. H1 Market Structure and Trendline Read A clear V-shape recovery from the swing low, followed by a range under resistance. Consolidation is happening above prior micro support, suggesting buyers are defending dips. This is a typical “pause before continuation” structure: range → liquidity sweep → expansion. Directional bias: Bullish continuation while price holds above the demand box floor. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Most Important Today) Support (buy zones) 0.00641–0.00640: Primary demand / range base (best dip-buy area) 0.006385: Secondary support (breakdown retest zone) 0.00635–0.00634: Major swing low base (trend invalidation territory) Resistance (profit zones and breakout triggers) 0.00643–0.00644: First supply layer (nearest overhead resistance) 0.00647–0.00648: Major supply zone (top band on chart) Above 0.00648: Upside continuation window opens (trend extension) Fibonacci Confluence (Where the Market Likely Reloads) Use Fibonacci from the swing low (around 0.00634) to the recent swing high (around 0.00643): The 0.382–0.50 retracement region typically overlaps the current consolidation base. That makes the 0.00641–0.00640 demand box a high-probability reload zone, especially if price dips and immediately gets bought back into the range. EMA and RSI Filters (For Cleaner Entries) EMA (trend filter) Bullish continuation is favored when price holds above the rising H1 EMA cluster (commonly 20/50). High-quality longs often occur when price taps into EMA support and prints fast reclaim candles back above the range midpoint. RSI (momentum filter) Continuation bias stays strong if RSI holds above 45–50 during pullbacks. If RSI breaks below 40 and stays weak while price loses 0.00640, expect deeper retracement into 0.006385 or lower. Trade Setups for Today (H1 Execution) Setup A – Buy the Pullback at the Range Base (Highest Probability) Entry idea: Wait for price to dip into 0.00641–0.00640 Trigger on bullish rejection (pin bar, bullish engulfing) or a reclaim of the range midpoint after a sweep Invalidation: H1 close below 0.00640 with follow-through Targets: TP1: 0.00643–0.00644 TP2: 0.00647–0.00648 TP3: extension above 0.00648 if breakout momentum is strong Setup B – Breakout Long Above 0.00644 (Momentum Continuation) Entry idea: H1 close above 0.00644 Prefer the retest of 0.00643–0.00644 holding as support Stops: Below the retest low / back inside the range Targets: 0.00647–0.00648 first Extension above 0.00648 if volume and candle body expansion appear Setup C – Breakdown Scenario (Only If Demand Fails) If price breaks below 0.00640 and retests it as resistance: Short on the retest with confirmation Targets: 0.006385 Then 0.00635–0.00634 if selling pressure accelerates Invalidation: Strong reclaim back above 0.00640 with RSI recovery
by Henrybillion
Elite | USDJPY | 1H – Liquidity Grab & Range Rejection SetupFX:USDJPY After consolidating near the lower range, price aggressively expanded upward, taking out sell-side liquidity and tapping into a premium resistance zone. Such moves often attract profit-taking and corrective pullbacks, especially when the impulsive leg reaches prior distribution levels. Key Scenarios ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Rejection from the current resistance zone could trigger a corrective move back toward the prior demand base. 🎯 Target 1: 155.80 🎯 Target 2: 155.40 ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 A clean acceptance and strong close above 157.80 invalidates the bearish pullback and opens continuation toward higher highs. 🎯 Upside Target: 158.40+ Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 157.70 – 158.40 Support 🟢: 155.80 – 155.40 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Short
by Elite-Forex-Trades
9
Selena | USDJPY 1H–Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 157.800 TargetFX:USDJPY After an aggressive sell-off into 154.80–155.00 demand, USDJPY produced a strong impulsive recovery, reclaiming broken structure. Price is now compressing under the descending trendline and retesting the 155.50–155.70 entry zone, forming a potential higher-low setup. Bias remains bullish above this zone, aiming for a structural reversal toward major resistance. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Entry around 155.40–155.70 retest zone Break & close above the descending trendline → continuation wave 🎯 Target 1: 156.96 (major resistance) 🎯 Final Target: 157.80–158.00 liquidity zone ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Only valid if price breaks below 155.20 Downside continuation into 154.80 demand zone Below 154.70, structure turns fully bearish again Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 156.00 / 156.95 Support 🟢: 155.40 / 155.20 / 154.80 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
2
JPY Devaluing At The Same Rate As TRY Against $Since April, the JPY has been falling at the same rate as the TRY against the $. This is Alarming, should the trend continue. This makes this even more interesting, is that the DXY since Trump took office, has dropped almost by the same amount! What is important to also understand is that the JPY is 145 of the DXY. As such, if the JPY were to strengthen (all else being equal) the DXY would be down even more! How would that help the "AFFORDABILITY HOAX" if the $ keeps devaluing, requiring more $s to buy the same amount of goods & services? Now, does it make a bit more sense why Gold & Silver have soared this year? I hate to keep harping on JPY, but it is important to all traders/investors in all asset classes, not just FX. THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥 Let’s keep climbing. If you enjoy the work: 👉 Boost 👉 Follow 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Short
by RealMacro
5
Selena | USDJPY | 2H – Institutional Demand Reaction ZoneFX:USDJPY After multiple rejections from the HTF supply zone, price declined in a controlled manner and reached institutional demand. The current consolidation near the demand zone suggests absorption of selling pressure rather than aggressive continuation. Structure is compressing, indicating a potential liquidity-driven expansion once price resolves from this range. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 If price holds above the institutional demand and reclaims channel midline: 🎯 Target 1: 155.20 🎯 Target 2: 156.00 🎯 Target 3: 156.60 (channel resistance) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 If price breaks and closes below structural support: 🎯 Downside Target 1: 153.80 🎯 Downside Target 2: 153.20 (HTF demand sweep) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 156.00 – 156.60 Support 🟢: 154.20 – 153.80 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
11
Bank of Japan Policy Decision: Global Market Impact AnalysisBank of Japan Interest Rate Decision (December 19) Introduction : Why Japan’s Interest Rate Policy Matters Japan’s monetary policy plays a critical role in the global financial system. For decades, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained ultra-loose conditions, turning the Japanese yen into the world’s primary funding currency. Global investors borrow cheaply in JPY and deploy capital into higher-yielding assets such as equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies. Because of this structure, even a small shift in BoJ policy can trigger large cross-market reactions. The BoJ’s interest rate decision on December 19 is therefore a high-impact macro event with potential consequences for forex, global equities, bonds, gold, and crypto markets. Scenario 1: If the Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rates A rate hike would represent a historic policy shift and signal the early stages of monetary normalization. Impact on Forex (USD/JPY & JPY Pairs) * The Japanese yen (JPY) is likely to strengthen due to improved yield appeal * USD/JPY may face strong bearish pressure * Carry trades funded in JPY could unwind rapidly, increasing volatility JPY crosses such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, and AUD/JPY may also decline as risk exposure is reduced. Impact on Global Equity Markets * Japanese equities: Mixed to bearish bias due to a stronger yen hurting exporters * Asian markets: Short-term weakness as financial conditions tighten * US & European equities: Increased volatility and pressure on growth stocks Overall, a rate hike may trigger a short-term global risk-off reaction driven by liquidity repricing rather than economic deterioration. Impact on Crypto Markets (Bitcoin & Altcoins) * Bitcoin: Short-term bearish pressure and higher volatility * Altcoins: Likely underperformance due to higher risk sensitivity * Macro-driven selling could create longer-term accumulation zones once volatility settles Impact on Bonds, Gold & Risk Sentiment * Bonds: Japanese and global yields may rise * Gold: Short-term pressure from higher yields, medium-term support if risk aversion increases * Risk sentiment: Shift toward defensive positioning and reduced leverage Scenario 2: If the Bank of Japan Does NOT Raise Interest Rates If rates remain unchanged, markets may view the decision as continued policy caution. Expected Market Reactions * JPY: Continued weakness * USD/JPY: Bullish continuation * Global equities & crypto: Supported by ongoing liquidity * Risk sentiment: Risk-on behaviour likely to persist Short-Term vs Medium-Term Outlook Short-Term * Rate hike: Sharp volatility, risk-off moves * No hike: Relief rally in risk assets Medium-Term * Gradual tightening allows controlled market adjustment * Continued loose policy supports assets but increases structural risks over time Markets typically shift from news reaction to trend confirmation within weeks. Educational Entry–Exit Examples (Not Financial Advice) USD/JPY (Rate Hike): * Bias: Bearish * Concept: Breakdown → pullback → continuation * Invalidation: Above recent swing high Bitcoin (No Hike): * Bias: Bullish * Concept: Pullback after impulse * Risk Note: Reduced size during news volatility US Indices: * Rate hike: Sell rallies near resistance * No hike: Buy dips in confirmed trend Conclusion: Key Takeaways for Traders The Bank of Japan’s December 19 interest rate decision is a major global liquidity event. A rate hike would favour the yen while pressuring risk assets, whereas a no-change policy would support equities, cryptocurrencies, and carry trades. Traders should prioritise volatility management, confirmation from price action, and cross-market correlations over predictions and forecasts. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Money_Dictators
1
USDJPY Weekly OutlookUSDJPY Weekly Outlook: Preparing for the Next Impulse Wave? Looking at the Weekly (1W) timeframe for USDJPY, the primary trend remains bullish. The market is currently undergoing a necessary correction phase after a strong impulse, which provides an opportunity to join the trend at a discounted price. Key Technical Factors: Market Structure: The pair continues to print clear Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). As long as the previous major structural lows hold, the long-term bias remains upward. Fibonacci Retracement: I am monitoring the "Golden Zone" for a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. 0.618 Level: ~148.56 0.705 Level: ~146.69 This zone often acts as a strong area of interest for trend-following traders. Dynamic Support: The price is approaching the long-term Moving Average (orange line), which aligns with our Fibonacci support zone. This confluence adds extra weight to the setup. Trade Plan: Watch Zone: 146.70 - 148.60 area. Strategy: Waiting for price to stabilize within this zone and form a bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (H4/D1) before considering long entries. Invalidation (Stop Loss Idea): A weekly close below the 144.80 level (below the 0.786 Fib) would invalidate this specific setup and suggest a deeper correction or trend change. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk. ICMARKETS:USDJPY IBKR:USDJPY CAPITALCOM:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FX:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY SAXO:USDJPY
by Xajiakbar_uz
2
JPYUSD - Re-Accumulation Under SupplyJPYUSD Re-Accumulation Under Supply, 0.006455 Is the Breakout Gate JPYUSD is rebuilding bullish momentum after a rounded base (cup-like recovery). Price is now pressing into a major supply/resistance band (the green zone) around 0.006455–0.006460. This area has already rejected price before, so today’s plan is simple: either buy the breakout and retest, or buy the pullback into support before the next push. Market Structure Read (H1) Two clear rounded recoveries suggest demand is stepping in progressively (accumulation behavior). Price has recently surged toward the same supply zone again, which typically triggers: a short consolidation under resistance, then breakout, or a pullback to grab liquidity, then continuation. The black projection on your chart aligns with this logic: minor chop → dip → strong push through the ceiling. Key Levels to Watch Resistance (Sell pressure / breakout trigger) 0.006455 – 0.006460: main supply zone (decision level) 0.006480: next upside objective if breakout holds (extension target) Support (Buy defense / pullback zones) 0.006435 – 0.006434: first support (near-term pullback shelf) 0.006428 – 0.006423: deeper support pocket (high-probability demand) 0.006405 – 0.006400: structural base (if price returns here, the move is resetting) Fibonacci Map (Practical Pullback Levels) If you anchor Fib from the recent swing low ~0.006405 to swing high ~0.006452: 38.2%: ~0.006434 50%: ~0.006428 61.8%: ~0.006423 This creates a clean “buy-the-dip” cluster at 0.006434 → 0.006423, which matches the pullback path drawn on your chart. EMA + RSI Filters (Confirmation) EMA Bullish continuation is favored when price holds above EMA20 and EMA20 stays above EMA50. If price repeatedly rejects EMA20 during pullbacks, the market is likely rotating deeper toward the 0.5–0.618 Fib zone. RSI Bullish bias strengthens when RSI holds above 50 during consolidation. If price retests 0.006455–0.006460 but RSI fails to make a new high, watch for bearish divergence (possible rejection setup). Trading Plans for Today Plan A: Breakout Buy (Momentum Setup) Trigger: H1 close above 0.006460, then a retest that holds above the zone. Entry idea: Buy the retest of 0.006455–0.006460 after confirmation. Invalidation (SL): Below 0.006448–0.006445 (or below the retest low). Targets (TP): TP1: 0.006480 TP2: trail toward higher extension if momentum remains strong Plan B: Pullback Buy (Higher Probability) Trigger: Price rejects the zone and pulls back into Fib support. Entry zones: 0.006434 0.006428 0.006423 Invalidation (SL): Below 0.006405–0.006400 if you are trading swing continuation. Targets (TP): TP1: 0.006455–0.006460 TP2: 0.006480 Plan C: Rejection Sell (Only if Supply Holds Strong) Trigger: Clear rejection at 0.006455–0.006460 (long upper wick / bearish engulfing), plus failure to reclaim the zone. Targets (TP): 0.006434, then 0.006428–0.006423 Invalidation (SL): H1 acceptance above 0.006460 Execution Notes Avoid entries in the middle of the range. Let price come to 0.006455–0.006460 (decision) or 0.006434–0.006423 (discount). The cleanest bullish confirmation is a breakout that closes and holds above the supply zone.
by Henrybillion
2
USDJPY is forming an M pattern with strong bearish momentum. After the impulsive move to the downside, price may retrace toward the 50% Fibonacci level, where there is a clear imbalance zone. From that area, a continuation to the downside is expected. However, since we have high-impact Forex news later today, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation. As long as the price does not break above 157, the bearish scenario remains valid. This setup offers a solid sell swing opportunity if the rejection is confirmed.
Short
by ZenPattern
Price Is Sitting on a High-Probability Demand Zone 📌 MARKET OUTLOOK USDJPY continues to move inside a well-defined descending channel, forming a clean sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Right now, price has tapped the Demand Zone at the bottom of the channel — a level that has consistently acted as a reaction point. After rejecting this zone, the market created a small pullback, forming a clearer Entry Zone for a potential bullish correction. The structure shows a classic pattern: ➡️ Bounce from Demand → Pullback → Higher Low → Long Setup This gives us a high-probability opportunity to follow the upcoming corrective leg of the channel. 🎯 TRADE SETUP (Entry – SL – TP) ✅ ENTRY ZONE 155.10 – 155.25 (Aligned with the pullback and the retest highlighted in the chart.) ❌ STOP LOSS (SL ZONE) 154.70 – 154.85 (Placed safely below the Demand Zone and channel support to avoid noise.) 🥇 TAKE PROFIT 1 (TP1) 155.90 – 156.10 (Targeting the upper boundary of the channel.) 🥈 TAKE PROFIT 2 (TP2 – Extended Move) 156.60 – 157.00 (If price breaks market structure and shifts momentum upward.)
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
JPY/USD – Bullish Momentum StrengthensJPY/USD – Bullish Momentum Strengthens as Price Breaks Short-Term Structure JPY/USD continues to build upward momentum on the H1 timeframe after reclaiming the short-term structure and breaking above minor resistance areas. The market has respected multiple demand zones below, forming a sequence of higher lows that signals a potential continuation toward higher levels. The bullish drive is also supported by the 9-period DEMA, which is turning upward and aligning closely with price, showing that buyers remain in control in the short term. 1. Technical Outlook – Buyers Regain Control Recent price action shows: A clean break above short-term consolidation. Higher lows forming above key demand levels. DEMA (9) sloping upward, confirming bullish pressure. Strong impulsive candles pushing through intraday liquidity. This structure strongly favors a continuation toward previous swing highs on the right side of your chart. 2. Key Support and Resistance Zones Demand Zones (Support) These levels have acted as strong reactions and remain valid for pullback entries: 0.006380 – 0.006386 0.006365 – 0.006372 0.006348 – 0.006355 As long as price stays above these zones, buyers maintain advantage. Immediate Resistance 0.006450 – 0.006460 This is the first target zone and potential reaction area. A breakout above this region opens the path toward the next bullish expansion. 3. Trading Strategy for Today Primary Scenario: Buy Continuation The current setup shows a clean bullish continuation model. Entry: On a minor pullback toward 0.006430 – 0.006435 Stop Loss: Below 0.006412 (structure invalidation) Take Profit: TP1: 0.006455 TP2: 0.006465 (extension target) This aligns with the long-position zone drawn on your chart. Alternative Scenario: Buy the Deeper Pullback If price retraces deeper: Entry: 0.006380 – 0.006386 SL: Below 0.006365 TP: 0.006450 – 0.006460 This setup uses demand zone confluence for a stronger risk-reward. 4. Summary JPY/USD is showing a well-defined bullish structure supported by upward DEMA alignment and strong demand. As long as price remains above the highlighted demand levels, the market condition favors buying the pullbacks and targeting 0.006455 and beyond.
by Henrybillion
USDJPY Intraday AnalysisUSDJPY Intraday Analysis: Price Forms Bullish Reversal Structure and Targets Upper Resistance Zone USDJPY is developing a constructive bullish pattern on the H1 timeframe as price continues to form higher lows above key demand zones. Market structure suggests a potential accumulation phase, with buyers gradually stepping in each time price retests intraday support. As long as price remains above the highlighted demand areas, the probability of a bullish continuation toward the upper resistance remains high. This analysis focuses on structural behavior, EMA9 momentum, and clear support–resistance interaction. Technical Outlook 1. Market Structure USDJPY has completed multiple swing-low rejections around the 0.006375 – 0.006385 zone, forming a clean inverse V-shaped recovery pattern. Price is now stabilizing, moving inside a tightening range that hints at consolidation before a potential upside breakout. The repeated higher lows indicate that buyers are defending the structure strongly. 2. EMA9 Behavior The EMA9 is currently flattening, which is typical during accumulation phases. Once price closes above EMA9 with strong candles, bullish momentum is expected to return quickly. A breakout above the mid-range would further confirm buyer dominance. 3. Support and Resistance Zones Support Levels 0.006375 – 0.006385 (intraday demand, key accumulation layer) 0.006355 – 0.006365 (major demand zone, deeper liquidity pocket) Resistance Levels 0.006415 – 0.006425 (primary bullish target) Break above this level opens the path for extended upside continuation. Intraday Trade Scenarios Scenario A: Bullish Continuation (High Probability) If price maintains above the intraday demand: Entry: 0.006385 – 0.006395 Targets: 0.006415, 0.006425 Stop-loss: Below 0.006370 This scenario aligns with the projected bullish pattern in the chart. Scenario B: Deeper Pullback Before Lift-Off If price dips into the lower demand zone: Entry: 0.006360 – 0.006370 Targets: 0.006395, 0.006420 Stop-loss: Below 0.006350 This setup offers a better risk-reward for patient traders. Bullish Invalidation If price closes below 0.006350, the bullish accumulation structure breaks, signaling a shift into a deeper correction. Conclusion USDJPY is forming a clear bullish accumulation pattern, supported by firm higher lows and repeated reactions from key demand zones. As long as price remains above 0.006375, the market favors a move toward 0.006420. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above EMA9 and mid-range structure to validate bullish momentum. If you want, I can rewrite this into a s
by Henrybillion
USDJPY – 30M | Break + Retest Setup Toward Liquidity TargetFX:USDJPY Price is currently respecting a descending structure while building higher-lows along the trendline support. A successful break and hold above the 156.600–156.800 supply zone will confirm bullish continuation and shift structure. If the breakout fails, price may retest the rising trendline (155.900–156.150) before pushing higher. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case (Primary Plan) Break and hold above 156.800 → 🎯 Target: 157.893 (Liquidity Sweep Zone) 📌 Alternative Entry: Buy from retest zone 156.150–155.900 if structure remains intact. ❌ Invalidation A full break below 155.500 invalidates bullish outlook. Current Levels to Watch Support Zones: 156.150 / 155.900 / 155.500 Resistance Zones: 156.800 / 157.300 / 157.893 Target ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
USD/JPY Price Attempts a Bullish Recovery After a Strong DowntrUSD/JPY – Price Attempts a Bullish Recovery After a Strong Downtrend (H1 Analysis) USD/JPY has shown a notable shift in momentum on the H1 chart after a prolonged bearish leg. The market formed a clear demand reaction at the lower liquidity zone, followed by a steady series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating early signs of a bullish recovery. Price is now testing the nearest supply zone, with buyers attempting to hold above the minor support structure. This area will determine whether the pair continues its recovery or rejects to retest lower levels. Key Technical Zones Immediate resistance: 0.006395 – 0.006405 (fresh supply zone) Upper resistance: 0.006445 – 0.006460 Support zone: 0.006368 – 0.006372 (short-term demand) Structural support: 0.006350 – 0.006360 Market Structure Insight The previous bearish impulse has been absorbed by a strong demand reaction. Price has since broken minor structure to the upside, signaling a potential shift from bearish to corrective bullish. EMA clusters are beginning to compress and tilt upward, further supporting the developing bullish structure. RSI holds above the midline, suggesting buyers remain in control as long as support is respected. Trading Strategy Ideas 1. Buy Setup (as shown on chart) Entry around: 0.006375 – 0.006382 Stop-loss: Below 0.006360 Target: Retest 0.006395 – 0.006405 and potentially the upper supply 0.006445 Reason: Price is retesting demand + forming bullish continuation candles 2. Sell Setup (If rejection occurs) Wait for strong bearish rejection at 0.006405 Entry on confirmation candle Target: 0.006372 → 0.006360 Stop-loss: Above 0.006415 3. Breakout Strategy Above 0.006405: Bullish continuation toward 0.006445 Below 0.006360: Bearish continuation toward 0.006330 The current bias remains moderately bullish as long as the demand zone holds. A clean rejection from the supply zone will provide a clearer short-term direction.
by Henrybillion
2
USD/JPY (JPY/USD chart scale) – Price Pauses in a Sideways RangeUSD/JPY (JPY/USD chart scale) – Price Pauses in a Sideways Range After Strong Downtrend, Bears Still in Control JPY/USD on the H1 timeframe is consolidating after a sharp and sustained bearish trend. The market is currently forming a tight range between 0.006335 – 0.006365, signaling a temporary pause as price gathers liquidity for the next directional move. Given the overall structure, bearish continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. Technical Overview (H1) 1. Dominant Trend: Strong Downtrend • Clear lower highs and lower lows • A well-defined descending trendline confirming continuous selling pressure • Red arrows on the chart highlight bearish impulses consistently pushing price lower 2. Consolidation Zone: 0.006335 – 0.006365 • Price is moving sideways inside a narrow rectangle • This is a classic “bearish accumulation” structure, often forming before another leg down • Wicks at the top of the range indicate short-term rejection from intraday sellers 3. Key Resistance Levels Above: • 0.006460 – 0.006470 • 0.006500 – 0.006520 These zones represent previous supply areas where sellers aggressively stepped in. Expected Price Behavior Based on structure and trend: • Price is likely to test the upper range boundary one more time • Followed by a rejection and continuation down • If the lower boundary at 0.006335 breaks, bearish momentum may accelerate strongly This aligns with the blue projection in the chart, showing a potential drop after a range retest. Trading Strategy for Today Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias) Sell zone: 0.006360 – 0.006365 (top of range) Confirmation: bearish candle rejection or fake-out above range Targets: • TP1: 0.006340 • TP2: 0.006325 • TP3: 0.006310 Stop loss: above 0.006375 This setup follows the dominant downtrend and offers strong risk-reward. Scenario 2 – Breakout Sell If price breaks below 0.006335 with strong volume: • Enter sell on retest • Targets: 0.006320 → 0.006305 Scenario 3 – Bullish Reversal (Low Probability) Only consider if price breaks and closes above 0.006375. • This would signal short-term structure shift • Next target: 0.006460 Market Sentiment Summary JPY/USD remains inside a consolidation box after an aggressive bearish trend. Sellers still dominate, and any short-term rallies are likely to be corrective rather than trend-changing. As long as price stays below 0.006375, bearish continuation remains the preferred outlook. If this analysis supports your trading, follow for more daily strategies and professional market insights.
by Henrybillion
USD/JPY (Inverse Chart) – Strong Downtrend ContinuesUSD/JPY (Inverse Chart) – Strong Downtrend Continues, Price Rejects Trendline and Sends New Sell Signal The chart shows a clear and sustained bearish trend as price continues to respect the descending trendline and reject every bullish attempt. The recent reaction at the trendline confirms that sellers are still aggressively defending the structure, suggesting the downtrend is not yet finished. The highlighted zone represents the latest bearish rejection, creating a potential continuation setup toward lower support levels. Technical Breakdown 1. Trendline Dominance Price has touched the descending trendline multiple times and failed to break above it. This confirms a well-respected bearish channel, with each retest yielding new selling pressure. 2. Market Structure Continuously forming lower highs and lower lows. No bullish BOS (Break of Structure) detected. Strong bearish candles indicate momentum from institutional flows. 3. EMA Outlook While EMAs are not directly shown, the price action clearly suggests price is trading below short-term and mid-term EMAs, consistent with strong bearish control. 4. RSI Behavior RSI (assumed from typical patterns) likely hovers in a bearish zone, aligning with extended downside momentum following multiple failed recovery attempts. Key Levels Resistance Zones 0.006395 – 0.006410 → Immediate rejection zone at trendline 0.006455 – 0.006470 → Upper supply area from previous distribution 0.006510 – 0.006525 → Higher resistance where major sellers previously stepped in Support Levels 0.006325 – 0.006335 → Near-term support, current target zone 0.006300 – 0.006285 → Extended bearish target if momentum accelerates Trading Strategy Primary Setup – Sell the Retest (Already Triggered on Chart) Entry: Near the trendline rejection zone Stop Loss: Above 0.006395 – 0.006410 Take Profit Zones: TP1: 0.006325 TP2: 0.006300 – 0.006285 This setup aligns perfectly with what your chart illustrates: a clean retest → rejection → continuation. Secondary Setup – Sell Break and Retest If price breaks below 0.006325, consider selling the retest. SL: Above 0.006345 Target: 0.006285 Invalidation Bullish scenario only activates if price breaks and closes above 0.006410 with strong volume. Otherwise, sellers remain fully in control. Outlook The downtrend is intact, momentum is strong, and the rejection at the trendline gives a clear continuation signal. As long as price remains below 0.006395, the bearish narrative dominates.
by Henrybillion
USD/JPY – Price Rejected From Key Supply ZoneUSD/JPY – Price Rejected From Key Supply Zone, Bearish Pressure Builds on H1 USD/JPY is showing renewed downside momentum after rejecting a major supply zone on the H1 timeframe. The market has formed a clear lower-high structure, and sellers are defending the upper boundary aggressively. Price is now retesting the lower support area, signaling the possibility of a continuation to the downside. 1. Technical Overview Price action on H1 highlights: A strong rejection from the supply zone around 0.006505, marked by long upper wicks and immediate sell-offs. Repeated failure to break above the resistance area suggests a weakening bullish structure. Price is currently hovering near the support baseline around 0.006448, which has held multiple times in the past. Market sentiment leans bearish as long as price stays below the recent swing high. 2. Key Levels to Watch Resistance 0.006500 – 0.006510: Strong supply zone, confirmed by sharp rejections. 0.006470: Local resistance and potential retest zone if price attempts a short pullback. Support 0.006448: Major support and the current downside target. 0.006435: Extended support if bearish momentum accelerates. 3. Indicator Confluence EMA: Price is trading below the short-term EMA, confirming bearish intraday structure. RSI: Moving near the mid-line, indicating neutral momentum but with a bearish tilt due to repeated supply pressure. Trendline: Downward minor trendline is respected, adding confluence to short-bias setups. 4. Trading Strategy Ideas Bearish Scenario (Primary) Entry: Near 0.006462 – 0.006470 Stop-Loss: Above 0.006500 Take Profit 1: 0.006448 Take Profit 2: 0.006435 This setup follows the supply rejection pattern and aligns with the lower-high structure. Bullish Scenario (Alternative) Activate only if price closes above 0.006510. Potential reversal toward 0.006530. Low probability at the moment due to market behavior. 5. Market Outlook USD/JPY remains under pressure after failing to break through the strong supply zone. Unless buyers can reclaim the upper resistance, the chart favors a continuation toward the major support at 0.006448. A confirmed break of this level may open the door for further declines. If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to follow for more daily trading strategies and market updates.
by Henrybillion
USD/JPY – Price Rejects Key Resistance, Bearish Setup Activated USD/JPY continues to trade within a clear sideways range, but the latest price action shows a strong rejection from the major resistance zone around 0.006505 – 0.006515. This area has acted as a ceiling multiple times, forming a well-defined structural top. The recent spike into resistance was quickly absorbed by sellers, leaving a rejection wick — a typical sign of weakening bullish momentum. Price is now hovering below the 9-EMA, suggesting a possible shift toward short-term bearish continuation. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone 0.006505 – 0.006515: Major supply zone, repeatedly rejected Bears remain in control as long as price stays below this level Support Zone 0.006448 – 0.006452: Strong demand area; previous swing low A clean break below this level may trigger further downside Market Outlook Price is moving under the EMA 9, indicating bearish pressure Multiple rejections at resistance signal exhaustion from buyers Range structure remains intact, but momentum favors sellers in the current setup Trading Strategy 1. Short Setup – Active Idea Sell below resistance as long as price stays under 0.006505 Ideal entry zone: current region (as shown on chart) TP: 0.006449 (major support) SL: Above 0.006476 2. Breakout Continuation If price breaks below 0.006448, bearish momentum likely accelerates → Look for retest and continuation Next TP zone: 0.006430 SL: 10–15 points above breakout 3. Countertrend Buys Only consider buys if price reacts sharply at 0.006448 – 0.006452 Not recommended unless a strong reversal candle forms Conclusion USD/JPY’s rejection from the resistance zone suggests a bearish intraday outlook. Sellers are defending the ceiling aggressively, and price may revisit key support levels if bearish pressure persists. Range traders can continue to trade both edges, while momentum traders should watch for a clean break below support. If you find this analysis helpful, follow and save it to stay updated with more TradingView-optimized trading strategies.
by Henrybillion
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JPY/USD – Price Rejection at Supply Zones SignalsJPY/USD – Price Rejection at Supply Zones Signals Potential Bearish Continuation JPY/USD on the H1 timeframe is showing a clear reaction from supply zones, with price unable to break above short-term resistance. The market structure remains fragile, and buyers are losing momentum as price approaches major rejection levels. This setup opens the possibility for a continuation toward the lower support area. 1. Market Context After a brief correction, price attempted to retest the previous supply zone but failed to break above it. The rejection confirms that sellers are still defending higher levels. Short-term higher lows are forming, but momentum remains weak and inconsistent. The key zone to watch is the base support, where price has reversed multiple times. 2. Key Technical Zones Supply Zones 0.006490 – 0.006500: Local supply zone where the market recently rejected. 0.006505 – 0.006515: Major supply zone, strong bearish reaction previously. These levels will continue to act as barriers unless price breaks above with strong volume. Demand Zone 0.006445 – 0.006455: Strong historical demand. Price has bounced from this zone multiple times, making it the key downside target. 3. Technical Structure The descending pattern near resistance reflects weakening buying pressure. DEMA (9) is flattening, showing a loss of upside momentum. Market structure suggests a corrective push higher before a deeper drop, matching the projected movement on your chart. 4. Trading Scenarios Primary Scenario: Bearish Continuation Expect price to retrace back toward 0.006490 – 0.006500. If the supply zone holds, bearish pressure may resume. Downside target: 0.006445 – 0.006455. This aligns with current rejection behavior and unbroken lower-timeframe structure. Alternative Scenario: Bullish Breakout Only valid if price closes above 0.006515 with strong momentum. This would invalidate the bearish setup and open the way toward new highs. 5. Outlook Summary JPY/USD remains biased to the downside unless buyers successfully break through the major supply level. The current structure suggests a corrective move up followed by a potential continuation downward toward the key demand area. Traders should monitor reactions at the supply zone for confirmation. Follow to receive more structured strategies for the upcoming sessions.
by Henrybillion
USDJPY Real Price Levels🎯 USDJPY TECHNICAL DEEP DIVE: WEEKLY FORECAST NOV 10-14, 2025 Close Price: 153.419 (8th Nov 2025, 12:54 UTC+4) | Analysis Period: Intraday Swing Trading Framework 📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS OVERVIEW This comprehensive analysis covers 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H & 1D timeframes using advanced Elliott Wave Theory, Japanese Candlestick patterns, Dow Theory, Wyckoff accumulation/distribution phases, harmonic ratios, and Gann principles. USDJPY exhibits critical support/resistance levels with significant breakout potential for the week ahead. 🔴 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS & SUPPORT/RESISTANCE ZONES Major Resistance: 155.200, 154.800, 154.120 | Minor Resistance: 153.950, 153.700 Major Support: 152.500, 151.800, 150.950 | Minor Support: 153.100, 152.950 Pivot Point: 153.419 (Current equilibrium) | Critical confluence zone for breakout confirmation ⚡ ELLIOTT WAVE STRUCTURE & IMPULSE IDENTIFICATION Current analysis suggests USDJPY is completing Wave 4 consolidation within a larger 5-wave impulse cycle. The formation of lower highs and higher lows creates a classic triangle pattern signaling Wave 5 breakout potential. Confirmation threshold: Break above 154.120 (5M-15M) = Wave 5 initiation with targets 155.850 . 💹 CANDLESTICK PATTERN FORMATIONS (Multi-Timeframe) 4H Timeframe: Engulfing bearish pattern → Bullish Hammer forming at support | Rising Wedge rejection signals correction bounce 1H Timeframe: Bullish Flag within ascending channel | VWAP acting as dynamic support | RSI oversold bounce confirmed 30M Timeframe: Inverted Cup & Handle pattern (bullish reversal) | Breakout target 154.500 with volume confirmation 15M Timeframe: Bearish Pennant consolidation + Double Bottom forming | Reversal hammer at 152.950 support 5M Timeframe: Rapid oscillation between 153.200-153.600 | High-probability entry zones after RSI oversold/overbought extremes 🎲 DOW THEORY: TREND CONFIRMATION FRAMEWORK Primary Trend: Uptrend intact - Higher highs/higher lows maintained on 4H-1D. Secondary Trend: Consolidation phase within established uptrend. Tertiary Trend (Intraday): Mixed ranging behavior with increased volatility zones Dow principles confirm trend strength remains bullish while respecting key support. Volume analysis shows institutional accumulation near 153.000-153.200 levels (Wyckoff accumulation phase). 📈 WYCKOFF METHOD: ACCUMULATION/DISTRIBUTION ANALYSIS Accumulation Phase: Spring pattern near 152.500 broke support temporarily, indicating institutional absorption Mark-Up Phase: 4H-1D showing absorption of selling pressure with higher closes (bullish distribution) Distribution Signals: Watch for climax volume near resistance 155.200 (potential reversal trigger) Volume Profile: VWAP resistance 154.800 + Bollinger Band upper band 155.100 = Critical confluence rejection zone 🌊 HARMONIC PATTERNS & FIBONACCI RATIOS USDJPY exhibits Gartley Pattern (0.618 retracement) structure: D-point completion at 153.419 creates potential reversal entry. Fibonacci extensions suggest: 161.8% = 156.200 (Wave 5 target), 127.2% = 155.450 (conservative target). Harmonic Ratio Confluence: Inverse Head & Shoulders formation at 1D level with neckline 153.950 breakout = 261.8% extension targeting 156.500. 📐 GANN THEORY: PRICE-TIME ANGLES & GEOMETRIC ANGLES Gann 45° angle (1:1 angle) intersects near 154.300 on 4H timeframe, creating strong support/resistance confluence. Gann Square angles: 25%, 45%, 75% angles all converge near resistance cluster 154.500-155.000 (timing window Nov 12-13). 🔧 TECHNICAL INDICATORS SYNTHESIS RSI (14 Period): - 1H: 35-40 zone (oversold bounce setup) → Entry signal above 45 - 4H: 48-52 zone (neutral) → Divergence warning if resistance rejected - 1D: 55-60 zone (bullish bias maintained) → Avoid shorting from these levels Bollinger Bands (20,2): - 4H: Price consolidating near middle band (153.500) | Upper band 155.100 = resistance - 1H: Compression phase ending (volatility breakout imminent) | Band width narrowing 60-70 pips - Entry Strategy: Long breakout above upper band with confirmation (Volume + RSI) VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): - Daily VWAP: 153.850 (dynamic support) | Institutional buying zone - 4H VWAP: 153.620 (intraday equilibrium) | Mean reversion trades from this level - Best trade setup: Long entries on VWAP bounce + oversold RSI + Bullish candlestick Moving Averages (EMA/SMA): - EMA 50 (4H): 153.200 ✅ Acting as support | Below = trend change warning - EMA 200 (1D): 152.100 | Strong support floor (only break = major sell signal) - SMA 20 (1H): 153.450 | Intraday resistance/support oscillator - Golden Cross Status: EMA 50 > EMA 200 confirmed bullish alignment on 1D Ichimoku Cloud (9,26,52): - Cloud Top: 154.200 | Cloud Bottom: 152.800 (current price above cloud = bullish) - Tenkan (Red Line 9): 153.600 | Kijun (Blue Line 26): 153.800 | Bullish alignment - Chikou Span: Above price (bullish signal) | Lagging indicator confirms uptrend - Cloud breakout target: Above 154.200 confirms sustained strength to 155.500 ⏰ INTRADAY SWING TRADE SETUP (5M-30M Timeframes) ENTRY SIGNALS (Next Week): PRIMARY LONG ENTRY: Break 153.950 with close above 154.100 (RSI >45, Volume >Avg) | Target 154.600 (1:1.5 R/R) AGGRESSIVE ENTRY: VWAP bounce from 153.620 (5M hammer) + Bollinger Band middle band + RSI oversold | Stop 153.450 CONTRARIAN SHORT: Rejection above 155.100 BB upper band (after overbought spike) | Target 154.200 support SCALP ENTRY: 5M Bollinger Band squeeze breakout (width <20 pips) → Both directions tradeable with tight 15-pip stops 🎯 EXIT & PROFIT TAKING STRATEGY 1st Target (Short-term): 154.600 - Take 30% profit (quick scalp win, trailing stop above entry) 2nd Target (Swing): 155.100-155.200 - Take 50% profit (Bollinger Band + Harmonic resistance confluence) 3rd Target (Trend): 155.850 - Take final 20% (Elliott Wave 5 target + Fibonacci 161.8%) Stop Loss Protocol: Max loss 30 pips below entry | Trail stops by 15-pips once +50 pips profit locked 🚨 REVERSAL IDENTIFICATION & BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION BULLISH REVERSALS (HIGH PROBABILITY): Double Bottom at 152.950 (Nov 10 likely) + Inverted Head & Shoulders confirmation on 1H = Reversal signal. Price closes above 153.950 on higher volume = Breakout confirmation. BEARISH REVERSALS: Only if price breaks below EMA 50 (153.200) on 4H close + RSI divergence + Volume spike = Reversal to 152.500 support zone. 🌪️ VOLATILITY FORECAST & OVERBOUGHT/OVERSOLD ZONES Expected ATR (4H): 80-120 pips | Increased volatility Nov 11-12 (BOJ economic data risk) OVERBOUGHT RSI (>70): Expect pullback from 155.100-155.200 resistance zones OVERSOLD RSI (<30): Bounce probability 85% from 152.950-153.100 support cluster Bollinger Band Width Expansion: Volatility breakout imminent when width >100 pips on 1H 📋 TRADING PLAN SUMMARY (NOV 10-14, 2025) Week Outlook: Bullish bias maintained with correction bounces creating optimal entry zones. Most probable scenario: Consolidation break above 154.120 → Wave 5 impulse toward 155.850 by end of week. Monday-Tuesday: Watch VWAP bounces + RSI oversold condition recovery | Entry zone 153.200-153.600 Wednesday-Thursday: Breakout attempt resistance 154.100-154.500 | Major breakout window with elevated volatility Friday: Trending day likely with follow-through buying | Potential final leg to 155.500-155.850 target ⚙️ RISK MANAGEMENT ESSENTIALS Position Size: Max 2% risk per trade | Stop Loss: 25-30 pips | Profit Target: 75-150 pips (3:1 - 5:1 R/R minimum). Never risk more than account 2% on single setup. Use trailing stops once +50 pips profit locked in. 🏆 CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS FOR THIS WEEK ✅ Confirmation of Ichimoku Cloud breakout above 154.200 ✅ Daily close above 154.100 with volume confirmation ✅ RSI divergence bounce from oversold zones (5M-1H timeframes) ✅ VWAP acting as institutional support (accumulation ongoing) ✅ Harmonic pattern completion at D-point (current price 153.419) ❌ INVALIDATION SIGNALS (STAY OUT OR REVERSE): ❌ Break below EMA 50 (153.200) on 4H daily close ❌ Close below 152.950 support (major bearish signal) ❌ RSI breakdown below 30 + Volume spike = Trend reversal initiated ❌ Bollinger Band inversion (compression to expansion to compression = exhaustion) 📲 HASHTAGS FOR COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT #USDJPY #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Intraday #ElliottWave #FibonacciRatio #DayTradingStrategy #JapaneseYen #BreakoutTrade #RSI #BollingerBands #VolumeProfile #GannTheory #WyckoffMethod #HarmonicPatterns #TradingView #ForexSignals #Forex #FXTrading #CurrencyTrading #TradeSetup #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #TA #TechnicalIndicators #CryptoTrading #MoneyManagement #RiskManagement #EditorsPicks #TradingCommunity #WeeklyForecast 📌 DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational purposes and technical study only. Not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence. Past performance ≠ future results. Use proper risk management and position sizing. Trade at your own risk. ✨ ANALYSIS GENERATED: November 8, 2025 | FORECAST PERIOD: Nov 10-14, 2025 | ASSET: USDJPY (Spot Forex)
by sunya
USD/JPY – Potential Short Setup Near Intraday ResistanceThe USD/JPY pair is showing early signs of weakness after a limited rebound, with price currently testing the 0.00650 resistance area on the H1 timeframe. This zone coincides with a short-term supply region and aligns closely with the 9-period EMA, suggesting a potential pullback setup. Key Technical Zones Immediate resistance: 0.00650 – 0.00652 Major resistances: 0.00656 and 0.00660 Support zone: 0.00647 – 0.00646 Technical Outlook Price structure remains bearish overall, forming lower highs and lower lows since last week. The minor bullish correction appears to be losing momentum as candles reject near the dynamic EMA and prior structure high. If sellers defend the 0.00650–0.00652 zone successfully, a move toward 0.00647 or even deeper into 0.00644 is likely. Trading Plan Sell zone: 0.00650 – 0.00652 Stop loss: Above 0.00653 Take profit: 0.00647 – 0.00644 Invalidation: A confirmed breakout and retest above 0.00653 may shift the bias back to short-term bullish, targeting 0.00656–0.00660. The pair remains in a corrective phase, and momentum indicators continue to favor sellers while below resistance. Traders should watch for confirmation via bearish engulfing or rejection wicks before entering. Follow for more precise intraday setups and remember to save this analysis if you find it useful.
by Henrybillion
USD/JPY Technical AnalysisUSD/JPY Technical Analysis — Testing Key Resistance Zone Ahead of Potential Reversal After several sessions of sideways consolidation, USD/JPY has finally shown a breakout from the accumulation range near 0.00650, approaching a key resistance zone around 0.00654–0.00656. On the 1-hour chart, price structure indicates a retest of previous supply, where sellers previously stepped in aggressively. This aligns with the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement from the last swing high to low and coincides with the EMA cluster, suggesting strong confluence resistance. If price fails to break above the 0.00654 resistance, a short-term pullback toward 0.00650 or even 0.00647 remains likely. However, a clear breakout and 1H candle closure above 0.00656 would confirm bullish continuation targeting 0.00660–0.00662 next. Key Technical Levels Resistance: 0.00654 – 0.00656 Support: 0.00650 / 0.00647 Trend Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish short term Trading Strategy: Scenario 1 (Sell setup): Look for bearish rejection near 0.00654 with confirmation candle → target 0.00650 / 0.00647. Scenario 2 (Buy setup): Wait for a confirmed breakout and retest above 0.00656 → target 0.00660 / 0.00662. RSI on lower timeframes is approaching overbought levels, so short-term corrections are possible before any sustained move higher. Price action today will be crucial to determine whether bulls have enough momentum to break through the upper resistance. Stay patient and let the market confirm direction before taking entries. If you find this analysis helpful, remember to follow for more daily strategies and updates.
by Henrybillion
JPY/USD – Testing Supply Zone After Short-Term RallyJPY/USD has recently shown a short-term bullish impulse, breaking out from a narrow consolidation range near 0.00648 – 0.00650. The pair is now approaching a key supply zone around 0.00653, which previously acted as a rejection area on the 1-hour chart. This current move represents a potential liquidity grab or retest of prior structure before a possible continuation lower. The overall structure remains bearish unless the price can sustain above 0.00654. Key levels to watch: Immediate resistance: 0.00653 – 0.00654 (supply zone / short-term rejection area) Support: 0.00648 – 0.00647 (breakout base) Next downside target: 0.00644 (previous low / liquidity pool) Trading strategy: If price rejects the 0.00653–0.00654 zone with bearish confirmation on the 1H timeframe, sellers may re-enter targeting 0.00647. A clear break below this level could extend momentum toward 0.00644. However, a confirmed close above 0.00654 would invalidate the short bias and open the path toward 0.00658. Technical summary: Bias: Bearish below 0.00654 Setup: Retest of supply zone Tools used: Supply–demand, breakout-retest, structure analysis The next few candles will determine whether this is a true breakout reversal or simply a smart-money retracement before continuation downward. Follow for more daily setups and institutional-style market breakdowns.
by Henrybillion