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Selena | USDJPY–Japenese Yen |Demand Hold After CHoCH |BUY SETUPFX:USDJPY After breaking the previous internal bearish structure (CHoCH), price continued higher and formed higher highs and higher lows inside an ascending channel. A liquidity sweep below the channel followed by strong rejection suggests smart money accumulation. Price is now reacting from demand, favoring continuation toward upside liquidity and previous highs. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 As long as price holds above the marked demand zone and channel support, continuation toward upper channel resistance and external liquidity remains the primary bias. 🎯 Target 1: Channel high 🎯 Target 2: Previous high / buy-side liquidity 🎯 Target 3: Trendline extension ❌ Bearish Case 📉 A clean breakdown and close below the demand zone and channel support would invalidate the bullish continuation and expose price to deeper retracement. Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 157.20 – 157.70 Support 🟢: Demand zone + channel base ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
6
JP225 Bullish Continuation Confirmed | Nikkei 225 Swing🇯🇵 JP225 / NIKKEI 225: The "Thief OG" Swing Blueprint Title: NIKKEI 225 Bullish Moon Mission 🚀 | The Thief Layering Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ 📊 Market Intel The Nikkei 225 has exploded on the first trading day of 2026, surging nearly 3% to close at 51,832. We are seeing a massive "Risk-On" rotation. The technical structure is a textbook breakout—institutions are loading up, and it's time for the Thief OGs to secure their spot before the next leg up! 📈🔥 🏹 The Execution Plan: Bullish Swing We don’t chase green candles. We use the Thief Strategy (layering) to "steal" entries during intraday volatility. Entry Strategy (The Thief Layering): Spread your buy limit orders across these levels to get the best average price. Layer 1: 51,000 (Immediate liquidity grab) Layer 2: 50,500 (Major support retest) Layer 3: 50,000 (The psychological "Thief" floor) Note: Feel free to adjust your layers based on your own capital! 💸 Stop Loss (The Thief SL): 49,500 🛑 OG Note: This is my line in the sand. I am not recommending you only use my SL. It's your account—if you like making money, protect it at your own risk. 🛡️ Final Target (The Great Escape): 55,000 🏁 Why? The "Police Force" (Institutional Resistance) is waiting at the 55k overbought zone. There is a massive liquidity trap there, so we plan to escape with our bags full before the reversal! 🚔🏃‍♂️ ⛓️ Global Correlations & Pairs to Watch To trade the Nikkei like a pro, you must watch these correlated assets: FX:USDJPY (The Engine): Trading in the 156.50 – 157.20 range. A stronger Dollar usually helps Japanese exporters, providing a tailwind for the JP225. 💴💹 CAPITALCOM:US30 / FOREXCOM:SPX500 : Wall Street's momentum is currently leading the global trend. If the US markets stay bullish, the Nikkei will follow. 🇺🇸🤝🇯🇵 TVC:JP10Y (Yields): The Japanese 10-year yield has hit a multi-decade high of 2.13%. Watch this closely; if yields spike too fast, the "Police" might step in with Bank of Japan intervention! 🏛️⚡ 🌍 Fundamental & Economic Catalysts The "Takaichi Trade": Prime Minister Takaichi has just approved a record ¥122.3 trillion budget. This massive fiscal stimulus is pumping the markets with optimism for 2026. 🏦💎 Bank of Japan (BoJ): Governor Ueda has held interest rates at 0.75%, the highest in 30 years. The market has priced this in, and investors are now focused on the "virtuous cycle" of rising wages and corporate growth. ✅ Semiconductor Surge: Major players like Tokyo Electron and Advantest are leading the rally today. As long as the global AI boom continues, the Nikkei remains the place to be! 🤖💻 ⚠️ FINAL NOTE Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I do not recommend copying stops or targets blindly. Trade with your own plan, manage your risk, protect your capital, and take profits like a professional. 📌 Discipline > Emotion | Risk First, Profit Follows 🔥 If this setup adds value, hit LIKE ❤️, SAVE 📌, and SHARE Let’s trade smart and stay consistent 📈
ICMARKETS:JP225
by The-Thief
JPYUSD 1H Trendline SetupJPYUSD 1H Trendline Setup: Sell the Retest or Wait for Breakout Confirmation | Fibonacci + EMA + RSI JPYUSD remains in a clear 1H downtrend under a descending trendline. Price has recently bounced, but the structure still favors sell-the-rally until the market can reclaim and hold above the trendline with strength. Today’s plan is built around one decision point: trendline retest rejection vs. trendline breakout and hold. 1H Market Structure Sequence is still lower highs and lower lows. The descending trendline has capped multiple recovery attempts. Current price is sitting near the mid-range, meaning both sides will be tested: first a pullback up, then a decision. Bias for today: Bearish while below the trendline and below the 0.00638–0.00639 resistance band Neutral-to-bullish only if a breakout holds above 0.00639 and retests successfully Key Resistance Levels (Sell Pressure Zones) 0.006379–0.006380: Trendline area + first rejection zone 0.006387–0.006390: Pivot supply and common reversal band 0.006395–0.006405: Fibonacci retracement cluster (deep pullback zone) 0.006410–0.006420: Major swing supply (trend changes only above this region) Key Support Levels (Buy Response Zones) 0.006360–0.006354: First support pocket (intraday reaction zone) 0.006348: Next demand step 0.006336: Extension support (high importance) 0.006314–0.006290: Only in case of strong continuation (lower extension path) Fibonacci Map (Swing High 0.006420 to Swing Low 0.006355) Retracements (where sells often trigger in a downtrend): 61.8%: 0.0063798 50%: 0.0063875 38.2%: 0.0063952 23.6%: 0.0064047 Downside extensions (targets if the downtrend continues): 1.272: 0.0063373 1.618: 0.0063148 2.0: 0.0062900 This creates a clean roadmap: sell pullbacks into 0.006379–0.006405, target 0.006360 → 0.006348 → 0.006336. EMA Filter (Trend Confirmation) Use EMA50 and EMA200 on 1H: Bearish continuation is favored when price stays below EMA50, and EMA50 is below EMA200. If price reclaims EMA50 and holds above it while breaking the trendline, expect a larger corrective push toward 0.006395–0.006405. RSI Rules (Momentum Confirmation) RSI(14) on 1H: In a downtrend, RSI typically struggles below 50. Best short setups occur when RSI approaches 50–55, then rolls over. Bullish shift requires RSI holding above 50 on pullbacks after a trendline breakout. Trading Strategies for Today Setup A: Trendline Retest Short (Primary Plan) Entry zone: 0.006379 to 0.006390 (trendline + fib 61.8%/50%) Trigger: bearish rejection candle or failed retest (wick + close back below level) Stop-loss: above 0.006395 (tight) or above 0.006405 (safer) Targets: 0.006360 → 0.006348 → 0.006336 Why it works: you align with the dominant trend and use a clear invalidation level. Setup B: Breakout Long (Only If Confirmed) Condition: 1H close above the trendline, then a retest holds above 0.006387–0.006390 Entry: on successful retest confirmation Stop-loss: back below 0.006379 Targets: 0.006395 → 0.006405 → 0.006410–0.006420 Rule: If price breaks out but immediately falls back under the trendline, treat it as a trap and return to Setup A. Setup C: Continuation Sell on Support Break Condition: breakdown and close below 0.006354 Entry: retest failure back under 0.006354–0.006360 Stop-loss: above the retest high Targets: 0.006348 → 0.006336 → 0.006314 Invalidation Levels Bears lose intraday control if price can break and hold above 0.006405, then build higher lows. A stronger trend shift only confirms above 0.006410–0.006420 (major supply reclaimed). Summary JPYUSD is still structurally bearish on 1H. The highest-probability approach is to sell the trendline retest into the Fibonacci cluster, targeting the extension support levels. If the market instead breaks and holds above the trendline, switch to a confirmed breakout plan only after a clean retest.
by Henrybillion
USDJPY H1 AnalysisUSDJPY H1 Analysis – Range High Distribution and Potential Bearish Rotation USDJPY is currently trading near the upper boundary of a well-defined H1 range, where price has repeatedly failed to achieve sustained bullish continuation. The current structure suggests distribution at range highs, with downside liquidity becoming increasingly attractive. Market Structure & Price Action On the H1 timeframe, USDJPY previously printed a strong bullish impulse, followed by range consolidation. Price is now compressing below a clear resistance zone, with multiple failed breakout attempts and overlapping candles. This behavior typically signals buyer absorption and weakening upside momentum, rather than healthy trend continuation. The lack of impulsive follow-through above resistance suggests smart money is likely positioning for a corrective move. Key Support & Resistance Levels Major Resistance: 0.006425 – 0.006440 Range high and supply zone where price has consistently been rejected. Intraday Resistance: 0.006415 – 0.006420 Short-term reaction zone inside the range. Immediate Support: 0.006395 – 0.006400 First downside liquidity pocket. Key Support / Target: 0.006375 – 0.006385 Range low and higher-probability draw on liquidity. Fibonacci & Technical Confluence The current price action sits within the premium zone (above 61.8%) of the previous bullish leg, a typical area for profit-taking and short positioning. EMA structure is flattening, indicating loss of trend strength, while RSI remains capped without bullish expansion, reinforcing the idea that upside momentum is limited. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Bearish Rotation from Range High (Preferred) Look for rejection or bearish confirmation near 0.006420 – 0.006440 Targets: 0.006400 0.006385 Extension toward range low if momentum increases Scenario 2 – Bullish Break and Hold A clean break and sustained hold above 0.006440 Would invalidate the bearish bias and open upside continuation Conclusion USDJPY is currently trading at a high-risk premium zone near range resistance, with price action favoring a mean-reversion move back into balance. Until a clear breakout occurs, the intraday bias remains cautiously bearish, with downside liquidity as the primary magnet. If this analysis aligns with your view, consider saving it for reference and following to stay updated with structured intraday market insights.
by Henrybillion
🇯🇵 The Japanese Yen: High-Conviction $JPYUSD 🇯🇵 The Japanese Yen: A High-Conviction Asymmetric Macro Opportunity FX_IDC:JPYUSD Executive Summary The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the most mispriced assets in global markets today. Trading near multi-decade lows, the Yen reflects decades of ultra-easy monetary policy that are now structurally changing. As global interest-rate differentials compress, short positioning unwinds, and Japan exits financial repression, the Yen offers asymmetric upside with defensive portfolio characteristics. Core Thesis: The Yen does not require aggressive tightening or economic perfection—only normalization—to generate meaningful appreciation.
Long
by EndlessCode
JPYUSD H1 Analysis TodayJPYUSD H1 Analysis Today – Bullish Base Above 0.00641, Breakout Path Toward 0.00644–0.00647 JPYUSD on the 1H chart is transitioning from a sharp reversal low into a controlled consolidation. After the strong rebound, price is now building a tight range (the highlighted box) around 0.00641–0.00642, which often acts as an accumulation zone before the next expansion leg. The bias stays bullish as long as price holds this range base and continues printing higher lows. The clean opportunity today is either buying pullbacks into the demand box, or trading the breakout with confirmation into the overhead supply zones. H1 Market Structure and Trendline Read A clear V-shape recovery from the swing low, followed by a range under resistance. Consolidation is happening above prior micro support, suggesting buyers are defending dips. This is a typical “pause before continuation” structure: range → liquidity sweep → expansion. Directional bias: Bullish continuation while price holds above the demand box floor. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Most Important Today) Support (buy zones) 0.00641–0.00640: Primary demand / range base (best dip-buy area) 0.006385: Secondary support (breakdown retest zone) 0.00635–0.00634: Major swing low base (trend invalidation territory) Resistance (profit zones and breakout triggers) 0.00643–0.00644: First supply layer (nearest overhead resistance) 0.00647–0.00648: Major supply zone (top band on chart) Above 0.00648: Upside continuation window opens (trend extension) Fibonacci Confluence (Where the Market Likely Reloads) Use Fibonacci from the swing low (around 0.00634) to the recent swing high (around 0.00643): The 0.382–0.50 retracement region typically overlaps the current consolidation base. That makes the 0.00641–0.00640 demand box a high-probability reload zone, especially if price dips and immediately gets bought back into the range. EMA and RSI Filters (For Cleaner Entries) EMA (trend filter) Bullish continuation is favored when price holds above the rising H1 EMA cluster (commonly 20/50). High-quality longs often occur when price taps into EMA support and prints fast reclaim candles back above the range midpoint. RSI (momentum filter) Continuation bias stays strong if RSI holds above 45–50 during pullbacks. If RSI breaks below 40 and stays weak while price loses 0.00640, expect deeper retracement into 0.006385 or lower. Trade Setups for Today (H1 Execution) Setup A – Buy the Pullback at the Range Base (Highest Probability) Entry idea: Wait for price to dip into 0.00641–0.00640 Trigger on bullish rejection (pin bar, bullish engulfing) or a reclaim of the range midpoint after a sweep Invalidation: H1 close below 0.00640 with follow-through Targets: TP1: 0.00643–0.00644 TP2: 0.00647–0.00648 TP3: extension above 0.00648 if breakout momentum is strong Setup B – Breakout Long Above 0.00644 (Momentum Continuation) Entry idea: H1 close above 0.00644 Prefer the retest of 0.00643–0.00644 holding as support Stops: Below the retest low / back inside the range Targets: 0.00647–0.00648 first Extension above 0.00648 if volume and candle body expansion appear Setup C – Breakdown Scenario (Only If Demand Fails) If price breaks below 0.00640 and retests it as resistance: Short on the retest with confirmation Targets: 0.006385 Then 0.00635–0.00634 if selling pressure accelerates Invalidation: Strong reclaim back above 0.00640 with RSI recovery
by Henrybillion
Elite | USDJPY | 1H – Liquidity Grab & Range Rejection SetupFX:USDJPY After consolidating near the lower range, price aggressively expanded upward, taking out sell-side liquidity and tapping into a premium resistance zone. Such moves often attract profit-taking and corrective pullbacks, especially when the impulsive leg reaches prior distribution levels. Key Scenarios ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Rejection from the current resistance zone could trigger a corrective move back toward the prior demand base. 🎯 Target 1: 155.80 🎯 Target 2: 155.40 ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 A clean acceptance and strong close above 157.80 invalidates the bearish pullback and opens continuation toward higher highs. 🎯 Upside Target: 158.40+ Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 157.70 – 158.40 Support 🟢: 155.80 – 155.40 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
Short
by Elite-Forex-Trades
9
Selena | USDJPY 1H–Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 157.800 TargetFX:USDJPY After an aggressive sell-off into 154.80–155.00 demand, USDJPY produced a strong impulsive recovery, reclaiming broken structure. Price is now compressing under the descending trendline and retesting the 155.50–155.70 entry zone, forming a potential higher-low setup. Bias remains bullish above this zone, aiming for a structural reversal toward major resistance. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 Entry around 155.40–155.70 retest zone Break & close above the descending trendline → continuation wave 🎯 Target 1: 156.96 (major resistance) 🎯 Final Target: 157.80–158.00 liquidity zone ❌ Bearish Case 📉 Only valid if price breaks below 155.20 Downside continuation into 154.80 demand zone Below 154.70, structure turns fully bearish again Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 156.00 / 156.95 Support 🟢: 155.40 / 155.20 / 154.80 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
2
JPY Devaluing At The Same Rate As TRY Against $Since April, the JPY has been falling at the same rate as the TRY against the $. This is Alarming, should the trend continue. This makes this even more interesting, is that the DXY since Trump took office, has dropped almost by the same amount! What is important to also understand is that the JPY is 145 of the DXY. As such, if the JPY were to strengthen (all else being equal) the DXY would be down even more! How would that help the "AFFORDABILITY HOAX" if the $ keeps devaluing, requiring more $s to buy the same amount of goods & services? Now, does it make a bit more sense why Gold & Silver have soared this year? I hate to keep harping on JPY, but it is important to all traders/investors in all asset classes, not just FX. THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥 Let’s keep climbing. If you enjoy the work: 👉 Boost 👉 Follow 👉 Drop a solid comment Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Short
by RealMacro
5
Selena | USDJPY | 2H – Institutional Demand Reaction ZoneFX:USDJPY After multiple rejections from the HTF supply zone, price declined in a controlled manner and reached institutional demand. The current consolidation near the demand zone suggests absorption of selling pressure rather than aggressive continuation. Structure is compressing, indicating a potential liquidity-driven expansion once price resolves from this range. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case 🚀 If price holds above the institutional demand and reclaims channel midline: 🎯 Target 1: 155.20 🎯 Target 2: 156.00 🎯 Target 3: 156.60 (channel resistance) ❌ Bearish Case 📉 If price breaks and closes below structural support: 🎯 Downside Target 1: 153.80 🎯 Downside Target 2: 153.20 (HTF demand sweep) Current Levels to Watch Resistance 🔴: 156.00 – 156.60 Support 🟢: 154.20 – 153.80 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
11
Bank of Japan Policy Decision: Global Market Impact AnalysisBank of Japan Interest Rate Decision (December 19) Introduction : Why Japan’s Interest Rate Policy Matters Japan’s monetary policy plays a critical role in the global financial system. For decades, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained ultra-loose conditions, turning the Japanese yen into the world’s primary funding currency. Global investors borrow cheaply in JPY and deploy capital into higher-yielding assets such as equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies. Because of this structure, even a small shift in BoJ policy can trigger large cross-market reactions. The BoJ’s interest rate decision on December 19 is therefore a high-impact macro event with potential consequences for forex, global equities, bonds, gold, and crypto markets. Scenario 1: If the Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rates A rate hike would represent a historic policy shift and signal the early stages of monetary normalization. Impact on Forex (USD/JPY & JPY Pairs) * The Japanese yen (JPY) is likely to strengthen due to improved yield appeal * USD/JPY may face strong bearish pressure * Carry trades funded in JPY could unwind rapidly, increasing volatility JPY crosses such as EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, and AUD/JPY may also decline as risk exposure is reduced. Impact on Global Equity Markets * Japanese equities: Mixed to bearish bias due to a stronger yen hurting exporters * Asian markets: Short-term weakness as financial conditions tighten * US & European equities: Increased volatility and pressure on growth stocks Overall, a rate hike may trigger a short-term global risk-off reaction driven by liquidity repricing rather than economic deterioration. Impact on Crypto Markets (Bitcoin & Altcoins) * Bitcoin: Short-term bearish pressure and higher volatility * Altcoins: Likely underperformance due to higher risk sensitivity * Macro-driven selling could create longer-term accumulation zones once volatility settles Impact on Bonds, Gold & Risk Sentiment * Bonds: Japanese and global yields may rise * Gold: Short-term pressure from higher yields, medium-term support if risk aversion increases * Risk sentiment: Shift toward defensive positioning and reduced leverage Scenario 2: If the Bank of Japan Does NOT Raise Interest Rates If rates remain unchanged, markets may view the decision as continued policy caution. Expected Market Reactions * JPY: Continued weakness * USD/JPY: Bullish continuation * Global equities & crypto: Supported by ongoing liquidity * Risk sentiment: Risk-on behaviour likely to persist Short-Term vs Medium-Term Outlook Short-Term * Rate hike: Sharp volatility, risk-off moves * No hike: Relief rally in risk assets Medium-Term * Gradual tightening allows controlled market adjustment * Continued loose policy supports assets but increases structural risks over time Markets typically shift from news reaction to trend confirmation within weeks. Educational Entry–Exit Examples (Not Financial Advice) USD/JPY (Rate Hike): * Bias: Bearish * Concept: Breakdown → pullback → continuation * Invalidation: Above recent swing high Bitcoin (No Hike): * Bias: Bullish * Concept: Pullback after impulse * Risk Note: Reduced size during news volatility US Indices: * Rate hike: Sell rallies near resistance * No hike: Buy dips in confirmed trend Conclusion: Key Takeaways for Traders The Bank of Japan’s December 19 interest rate decision is a major global liquidity event. A rate hike would favour the yen while pressuring risk assets, whereas a no-change policy would support equities, cryptocurrencies, and carry trades. Traders should prioritise volatility management, confirmation from price action, and cross-market correlations over predictions and forecasts. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Money_Dictators
1
USDJPY Weekly OutlookUSDJPY Weekly Outlook: Preparing for the Next Impulse Wave? Looking at the Weekly (1W) timeframe for USDJPY, the primary trend remains bullish. The market is currently undergoing a necessary correction phase after a strong impulse, which provides an opportunity to join the trend at a discounted price. Key Technical Factors: Market Structure: The pair continues to print clear Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). As long as the previous major structural lows hold, the long-term bias remains upward. Fibonacci Retracement: I am monitoring the "Golden Zone" for a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. 0.618 Level: ~148.56 0.705 Level: ~146.69 This zone often acts as a strong area of interest for trend-following traders. Dynamic Support: The price is approaching the long-term Moving Average (orange line), which aligns with our Fibonacci support zone. This confluence adds extra weight to the setup. Trade Plan: Watch Zone: 146.70 - 148.60 area. Strategy: Waiting for price to stabilize within this zone and form a bullish confirmation on lower timeframes (H4/D1) before considering long entries. Invalidation (Stop Loss Idea): A weekly close below the 144.80 level (below the 0.786 Fib) would invalidate this specific setup and suggest a deeper correction or trend change. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage your risk. ICMARKETS:USDJPY IBKR:USDJPY CAPITALCOM:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FX:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY SAXO:USDJPY
by Xajiakbar_uz
2
JPYUSD - Re-Accumulation Under SupplyJPYUSD Re-Accumulation Under Supply, 0.006455 Is the Breakout Gate JPYUSD is rebuilding bullish momentum after a rounded base (cup-like recovery). Price is now pressing into a major supply/resistance band (the green zone) around 0.006455–0.006460. This area has already rejected price before, so today’s plan is simple: either buy the breakout and retest, or buy the pullback into support before the next push. Market Structure Read (H1) Two clear rounded recoveries suggest demand is stepping in progressively (accumulation behavior). Price has recently surged toward the same supply zone again, which typically triggers: a short consolidation under resistance, then breakout, or a pullback to grab liquidity, then continuation. The black projection on your chart aligns with this logic: minor chop → dip → strong push through the ceiling. Key Levels to Watch Resistance (Sell pressure / breakout trigger) 0.006455 – 0.006460: main supply zone (decision level) 0.006480: next upside objective if breakout holds (extension target) Support (Buy defense / pullback zones) 0.006435 – 0.006434: first support (near-term pullback shelf) 0.006428 – 0.006423: deeper support pocket (high-probability demand) 0.006405 – 0.006400: structural base (if price returns here, the move is resetting) Fibonacci Map (Practical Pullback Levels) If you anchor Fib from the recent swing low ~0.006405 to swing high ~0.006452: 38.2%: ~0.006434 50%: ~0.006428 61.8%: ~0.006423 This creates a clean “buy-the-dip” cluster at 0.006434 → 0.006423, which matches the pullback path drawn on your chart. EMA + RSI Filters (Confirmation) EMA Bullish continuation is favored when price holds above EMA20 and EMA20 stays above EMA50. If price repeatedly rejects EMA20 during pullbacks, the market is likely rotating deeper toward the 0.5–0.618 Fib zone. RSI Bullish bias strengthens when RSI holds above 50 during consolidation. If price retests 0.006455–0.006460 but RSI fails to make a new high, watch for bearish divergence (possible rejection setup). Trading Plans for Today Plan A: Breakout Buy (Momentum Setup) Trigger: H1 close above 0.006460, then a retest that holds above the zone. Entry idea: Buy the retest of 0.006455–0.006460 after confirmation. Invalidation (SL): Below 0.006448–0.006445 (or below the retest low). Targets (TP): TP1: 0.006480 TP2: trail toward higher extension if momentum remains strong Plan B: Pullback Buy (Higher Probability) Trigger: Price rejects the zone and pulls back into Fib support. Entry zones: 0.006434 0.006428 0.006423 Invalidation (SL): Below 0.006405–0.006400 if you are trading swing continuation. Targets (TP): TP1: 0.006455–0.006460 TP2: 0.006480 Plan C: Rejection Sell (Only if Supply Holds Strong) Trigger: Clear rejection at 0.006455–0.006460 (long upper wick / bearish engulfing), plus failure to reclaim the zone. Targets (TP): 0.006434, then 0.006428–0.006423 Invalidation (SL): H1 acceptance above 0.006460 Execution Notes Avoid entries in the middle of the range. Let price come to 0.006455–0.006460 (decision) or 0.006434–0.006423 (discount). The cleanest bullish confirmation is a breakout that closes and holds above the supply zone.
by Henrybillion
2
USDJPY is forming an M pattern with strong bearish momentum. After the impulsive move to the downside, price may retrace toward the 50% Fibonacci level, where there is a clear imbalance zone. From that area, a continuation to the downside is expected. However, since we have high-impact Forex news later today, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation. As long as the price does not break above 157, the bearish scenario remains valid. This setup offers a solid sell swing opportunity if the rejection is confirmed.
Short
by ZenPattern
Price Is Sitting on a High-Probability Demand Zone 📌 MARKET OUTLOOK USDJPY continues to move inside a well-defined descending channel, forming a clean sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Right now, price has tapped the Demand Zone at the bottom of the channel — a level that has consistently acted as a reaction point. After rejecting this zone, the market created a small pullback, forming a clearer Entry Zone for a potential bullish correction. The structure shows a classic pattern: ➡️ Bounce from Demand → Pullback → Higher Low → Long Setup This gives us a high-probability opportunity to follow the upcoming corrective leg of the channel. 🎯 TRADE SETUP (Entry – SL – TP) ✅ ENTRY ZONE 155.10 – 155.25 (Aligned with the pullback and the retest highlighted in the chart.) ❌ STOP LOSS (SL ZONE) 154.70 – 154.85 (Placed safely below the Demand Zone and channel support to avoid noise.) 🥇 TAKE PROFIT 1 (TP1) 155.90 – 156.10 (Targeting the upper boundary of the channel.) 🥈 TAKE PROFIT 2 (TP2 – Extended Move) 156.60 – 157.00 (If price breaks market structure and shifts momentum upward.)
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
JPY/USD – Bullish Momentum StrengthensJPY/USD – Bullish Momentum Strengthens as Price Breaks Short-Term Structure JPY/USD continues to build upward momentum on the H1 timeframe after reclaiming the short-term structure and breaking above minor resistance areas. The market has respected multiple demand zones below, forming a sequence of higher lows that signals a potential continuation toward higher levels. The bullish drive is also supported by the 9-period DEMA, which is turning upward and aligning closely with price, showing that buyers remain in control in the short term. 1. Technical Outlook – Buyers Regain Control Recent price action shows: A clean break above short-term consolidation. Higher lows forming above key demand levels. DEMA (9) sloping upward, confirming bullish pressure. Strong impulsive candles pushing through intraday liquidity. This structure strongly favors a continuation toward previous swing highs on the right side of your chart. 2. Key Support and Resistance Zones Demand Zones (Support) These levels have acted as strong reactions and remain valid for pullback entries: 0.006380 – 0.006386 0.006365 – 0.006372 0.006348 – 0.006355 As long as price stays above these zones, buyers maintain advantage. Immediate Resistance 0.006450 – 0.006460 This is the first target zone and potential reaction area. A breakout above this region opens the path toward the next bullish expansion. 3. Trading Strategy for Today Primary Scenario: Buy Continuation The current setup shows a clean bullish continuation model. Entry: On a minor pullback toward 0.006430 – 0.006435 Stop Loss: Below 0.006412 (structure invalidation) Take Profit: TP1: 0.006455 TP2: 0.006465 (extension target) This aligns with the long-position zone drawn on your chart. Alternative Scenario: Buy the Deeper Pullback If price retraces deeper: Entry: 0.006380 – 0.006386 SL: Below 0.006365 TP: 0.006450 – 0.006460 This setup uses demand zone confluence for a stronger risk-reward. 4. Summary JPY/USD is showing a well-defined bullish structure supported by upward DEMA alignment and strong demand. As long as price remains above the highlighted demand levels, the market condition favors buying the pullbacks and targeting 0.006455 and beyond.
by Henrybillion
USDJPY Intraday AnalysisUSDJPY Intraday Analysis: Price Forms Bullish Reversal Structure and Targets Upper Resistance Zone USDJPY is developing a constructive bullish pattern on the H1 timeframe as price continues to form higher lows above key demand zones. Market structure suggests a potential accumulation phase, with buyers gradually stepping in each time price retests intraday support. As long as price remains above the highlighted demand areas, the probability of a bullish continuation toward the upper resistance remains high. This analysis focuses on structural behavior, EMA9 momentum, and clear support–resistance interaction. Technical Outlook 1. Market Structure USDJPY has completed multiple swing-low rejections around the 0.006375 – 0.006385 zone, forming a clean inverse V-shaped recovery pattern. Price is now stabilizing, moving inside a tightening range that hints at consolidation before a potential upside breakout. The repeated higher lows indicate that buyers are defending the structure strongly. 2. EMA9 Behavior The EMA9 is currently flattening, which is typical during accumulation phases. Once price closes above EMA9 with strong candles, bullish momentum is expected to return quickly. A breakout above the mid-range would further confirm buyer dominance. 3. Support and Resistance Zones Support Levels 0.006375 – 0.006385 (intraday demand, key accumulation layer) 0.006355 – 0.006365 (major demand zone, deeper liquidity pocket) Resistance Levels 0.006415 – 0.006425 (primary bullish target) Break above this level opens the path for extended upside continuation. Intraday Trade Scenarios Scenario A: Bullish Continuation (High Probability) If price maintains above the intraday demand: Entry: 0.006385 – 0.006395 Targets: 0.006415, 0.006425 Stop-loss: Below 0.006370 This scenario aligns with the projected bullish pattern in the chart. Scenario B: Deeper Pullback Before Lift-Off If price dips into the lower demand zone: Entry: 0.006360 – 0.006370 Targets: 0.006395, 0.006420 Stop-loss: Below 0.006350 This setup offers a better risk-reward for patient traders. Bullish Invalidation If price closes below 0.006350, the bullish accumulation structure breaks, signaling a shift into a deeper correction. Conclusion USDJPY is forming a clear bullish accumulation pattern, supported by firm higher lows and repeated reactions from key demand zones. As long as price remains above 0.006375, the market favors a move toward 0.006420. Traders should watch for a confirmed breakout above EMA9 and mid-range structure to validate bullish momentum. If you want, I can rewrite this into a s
by Henrybillion
USDJPY – 30M | Break + Retest Setup Toward Liquidity TargetFX:USDJPY Price is currently respecting a descending structure while building higher-lows along the trendline support. A successful break and hold above the 156.600–156.800 supply zone will confirm bullish continuation and shift structure. If the breakout fails, price may retest the rising trendline (155.900–156.150) before pushing higher. Key Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case (Primary Plan) Break and hold above 156.800 → 🎯 Target: 157.893 (Liquidity Sweep Zone) 📌 Alternative Entry: Buy from retest zone 156.150–155.900 if structure remains intact. ❌ Invalidation A full break below 155.500 invalidates bullish outlook. Current Levels to Watch Support Zones: 156.150 / 155.900 / 155.500 Resistance Zones: 156.800 / 157.300 / 157.893 Target ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Long
by Gold-Thoughts-by-Selena
USD/JPY Price Attempts a Bullish Recovery After a Strong DowntrUSD/JPY – Price Attempts a Bullish Recovery After a Strong Downtrend (H1 Analysis) USD/JPY has shown a notable shift in momentum on the H1 chart after a prolonged bearish leg. The market formed a clear demand reaction at the lower liquidity zone, followed by a steady series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating early signs of a bullish recovery. Price is now testing the nearest supply zone, with buyers attempting to hold above the minor support structure. This area will determine whether the pair continues its recovery or rejects to retest lower levels. Key Technical Zones Immediate resistance: 0.006395 – 0.006405 (fresh supply zone) Upper resistance: 0.006445 – 0.006460 Support zone: 0.006368 – 0.006372 (short-term demand) Structural support: 0.006350 – 0.006360 Market Structure Insight The previous bearish impulse has been absorbed by a strong demand reaction. Price has since broken minor structure to the upside, signaling a potential shift from bearish to corrective bullish. EMA clusters are beginning to compress and tilt upward, further supporting the developing bullish structure. RSI holds above the midline, suggesting buyers remain in control as long as support is respected. Trading Strategy Ideas 1. Buy Setup (as shown on chart) Entry around: 0.006375 – 0.006382 Stop-loss: Below 0.006360 Target: Retest 0.006395 – 0.006405 and potentially the upper supply 0.006445 Reason: Price is retesting demand + forming bullish continuation candles 2. Sell Setup (If rejection occurs) Wait for strong bearish rejection at 0.006405 Entry on confirmation candle Target: 0.006372 → 0.006360 Stop-loss: Above 0.006415 3. Breakout Strategy Above 0.006405: Bullish continuation toward 0.006445 Below 0.006360: Bearish continuation toward 0.006330 The current bias remains moderately bullish as long as the demand zone holds. A clean rejection from the supply zone will provide a clearer short-term direction.
by Henrybillion
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USD/JPY (JPY/USD chart scale) – Price Pauses in a Sideways RangeUSD/JPY (JPY/USD chart scale) – Price Pauses in a Sideways Range After Strong Downtrend, Bears Still in Control JPY/USD on the H1 timeframe is consolidating after a sharp and sustained bearish trend. The market is currently forming a tight range between 0.006335 – 0.006365, signaling a temporary pause as price gathers liquidity for the next directional move. Given the overall structure, bearish continuation remains the higher-probability scenario. Technical Overview (H1) 1. Dominant Trend: Strong Downtrend • Clear lower highs and lower lows • A well-defined descending trendline confirming continuous selling pressure • Red arrows on the chart highlight bearish impulses consistently pushing price lower 2. Consolidation Zone: 0.006335 – 0.006365 • Price is moving sideways inside a narrow rectangle • This is a classic “bearish accumulation” structure, often forming before another leg down • Wicks at the top of the range indicate short-term rejection from intraday sellers 3. Key Resistance Levels Above: • 0.006460 – 0.006470 • 0.006500 – 0.006520 These zones represent previous supply areas where sellers aggressively stepped in. Expected Price Behavior Based on structure and trend: • Price is likely to test the upper range boundary one more time • Followed by a rejection and continuation down • If the lower boundary at 0.006335 breaks, bearish momentum may accelerate strongly This aligns with the blue projection in the chart, showing a potential drop after a range retest. Trading Strategy for Today Scenario 1 – Bearish Continuation (Primary Bias) Sell zone: 0.006360 – 0.006365 (top of range) Confirmation: bearish candle rejection or fake-out above range Targets: • TP1: 0.006340 • TP2: 0.006325 • TP3: 0.006310 Stop loss: above 0.006375 This setup follows the dominant downtrend and offers strong risk-reward. Scenario 2 – Breakout Sell If price breaks below 0.006335 with strong volume: • Enter sell on retest • Targets: 0.006320 → 0.006305 Scenario 3 – Bullish Reversal (Low Probability) Only consider if price breaks and closes above 0.006375. • This would signal short-term structure shift • Next target: 0.006460 Market Sentiment Summary JPY/USD remains inside a consolidation box after an aggressive bearish trend. Sellers still dominate, and any short-term rallies are likely to be corrective rather than trend-changing. As long as price stays below 0.006375, bearish continuation remains the preferred outlook. If this analysis supports your trading, follow for more daily strategies and professional market insights.
by Henrybillion
USD/JPY (Inverse Chart) – Strong Downtrend ContinuesUSD/JPY (Inverse Chart) – Strong Downtrend Continues, Price Rejects Trendline and Sends New Sell Signal The chart shows a clear and sustained bearish trend as price continues to respect the descending trendline and reject every bullish attempt. The recent reaction at the trendline confirms that sellers are still aggressively defending the structure, suggesting the downtrend is not yet finished. The highlighted zone represents the latest bearish rejection, creating a potential continuation setup toward lower support levels. Technical Breakdown 1. Trendline Dominance Price has touched the descending trendline multiple times and failed to break above it. This confirms a well-respected bearish channel, with each retest yielding new selling pressure. 2. Market Structure Continuously forming lower highs and lower lows. No bullish BOS (Break of Structure) detected. Strong bearish candles indicate momentum from institutional flows. 3. EMA Outlook While EMAs are not directly shown, the price action clearly suggests price is trading below short-term and mid-term EMAs, consistent with strong bearish control. 4. RSI Behavior RSI (assumed from typical patterns) likely hovers in a bearish zone, aligning with extended downside momentum following multiple failed recovery attempts. Key Levels Resistance Zones 0.006395 – 0.006410 → Immediate rejection zone at trendline 0.006455 – 0.006470 → Upper supply area from previous distribution 0.006510 – 0.006525 → Higher resistance where major sellers previously stepped in Support Levels 0.006325 – 0.006335 → Near-term support, current target zone 0.006300 – 0.006285 → Extended bearish target if momentum accelerates Trading Strategy Primary Setup – Sell the Retest (Already Triggered on Chart) Entry: Near the trendline rejection zone Stop Loss: Above 0.006395 – 0.006410 Take Profit Zones: TP1: 0.006325 TP2: 0.006300 – 0.006285 This setup aligns perfectly with what your chart illustrates: a clean retest → rejection → continuation. Secondary Setup – Sell Break and Retest If price breaks below 0.006325, consider selling the retest. SL: Above 0.006345 Target: 0.006285 Invalidation Bullish scenario only activates if price breaks and closes above 0.006410 with strong volume. Otherwise, sellers remain fully in control. Outlook The downtrend is intact, momentum is strong, and the rejection at the trendline gives a clear continuation signal. As long as price remains below 0.006395, the bearish narrative dominates.
by Henrybillion
USD/JPY – Price Rejected From Key Supply ZoneUSD/JPY – Price Rejected From Key Supply Zone, Bearish Pressure Builds on H1 USD/JPY is showing renewed downside momentum after rejecting a major supply zone on the H1 timeframe. The market has formed a clear lower-high structure, and sellers are defending the upper boundary aggressively. Price is now retesting the lower support area, signaling the possibility of a continuation to the downside. 1. Technical Overview Price action on H1 highlights: A strong rejection from the supply zone around 0.006505, marked by long upper wicks and immediate sell-offs. Repeated failure to break above the resistance area suggests a weakening bullish structure. Price is currently hovering near the support baseline around 0.006448, which has held multiple times in the past. Market sentiment leans bearish as long as price stays below the recent swing high. 2. Key Levels to Watch Resistance 0.006500 – 0.006510: Strong supply zone, confirmed by sharp rejections. 0.006470: Local resistance and potential retest zone if price attempts a short pullback. Support 0.006448: Major support and the current downside target. 0.006435: Extended support if bearish momentum accelerates. 3. Indicator Confluence EMA: Price is trading below the short-term EMA, confirming bearish intraday structure. RSI: Moving near the mid-line, indicating neutral momentum but with a bearish tilt due to repeated supply pressure. Trendline: Downward minor trendline is respected, adding confluence to short-bias setups. 4. Trading Strategy Ideas Bearish Scenario (Primary) Entry: Near 0.006462 – 0.006470 Stop-Loss: Above 0.006500 Take Profit 1: 0.006448 Take Profit 2: 0.006435 This setup follows the supply rejection pattern and aligns with the lower-high structure. Bullish Scenario (Alternative) Activate only if price closes above 0.006510. Potential reversal toward 0.006530. Low probability at the moment due to market behavior. 5. Market Outlook USD/JPY remains under pressure after failing to break through the strong supply zone. Unless buyers can reclaim the upper resistance, the chart favors a continuation toward the major support at 0.006448. A confirmed break of this level may open the door for further declines. If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to follow for more daily trading strategies and market updates.
by Henrybillion