Kiwidollar
Ladies and Gentlemen, get ready 2 fasten belts 4 take offPrevious forecasts have been achieved, prices have dropped below 0.5859. A price pivot zone near 0.5810, which appeared a year ago, has been reached. We believe it is possible to begin cautious purchases (high risk).
Our trading strategy indicates that an upward reversal will occur when levels around 0.5930 are reached on Monday-Tuesday of the upcoming week. Furthermore, we expect continued growth towards the area of 0.6000 and beyond.
We expect a potential revisit of last week's lows, but the depth of the breakdown will not be significant.
Continuing with the previous forecastThe movement has become more complex, but the overall market picture continues to align with our expectations. After a considerable upward momentum, there was a swift decline.
Our trading strategy signals and confirms of the downward impulse completion, suggesting a possible, albeit relatively deep (we do not exclude a rise even up to 0.6000), short-term correction, followed by a new downward impulse with a retest of the October 4th low at 0.58708. The ultimate target is the retest of the September 5th low at 0.5859.
Trading recommendations: Open sell positions during the upward correction of the currency pair. The range of 0.5960-0.5985 appears interesting for selling opportunities.
The stop-loss hunting will be continueSince the end of August until now, we have seen multiple breakouts of both highs and lows, but the market has yet to establish a clear direction. We believe that there is intentional stop-loss hunting and positioning for a subsequent upward move. The positioning is not yet complete.
Therefore, we expect a new downward wave.
According to our strategy, the first downward impulse will exceed the range from the September 1st high of 0.6015 to the September 5th low of 0.5859. In other words, the minimum target for the decline will be the level of 0.5891, and the actual target will be slightly below the September 13th low of 0.58799. After that, there will be a rebound limited to about 2%, and then the September 5th low of 0.5859 will be updated.
Recommended trade: Selling on a rebound in the upward course. A good range would be between 0.6015 and 0.6020. Place a stop-loss at 0.6050. Target at 0.5861.
NZDUSD Short Trade Setup A short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the kiwi-dollar trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the bearish engulfing candlestick 🕯️ pattern just on the 0.60210 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a false breakout (fakeout) of the same level, with potential price move in the downward 👇 ⬇️ direction.
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 0.59000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 0.58590 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
short it : NZDUSD Hello, traders. The support and resistance level of 0.620 may soon be reached by the New Zealand dollar, which is currently going through a correction phase. The trend is downward at the moment. Throughout this trading week and the one after it, we'll keep an eye on NZDUSD in case a selling opportunity appears at the 0.620 zone. We've launched a short position to meet with money and risk management standards, and we'll add more in the zone.
Daily chart
Weekly Chart
NZDUSD Update Hello Traders,
today i will trade again the FX:NZDUSD for three reasons:
-The first reason is that the FOMC will most likely not raise interest rates from September, considering that interest rates at 5.25%-5.5% on the dollar are at 22 year highs and inflation seems to be slowing down (at least in the markets).
-The second reason is that with a drop of 133 pips in 2 days, it should be retraced, having left several levels of liquidity as you can see on the chart by Volume Profile.
-The third reason is the good volatility of the pair.
It is an intraday operation and I will most likely not take anything overnight.
Levels to watch:
Resistance at 0.6152 - 0.6175 targeting 0.619 or the 0.5 Fibo's
Support at 0.6133- 0.611 Stop below 0.611
Point of Control 0.6210
The game changedThe forex world is shifting, Aussie and Kiwi are coming back, US Dollar still sucks and Canadian Dollar is being dumped like dirty water, good job North America :S. Look at chart, this massive wedge, is very early to tell if is going to break out but I'm taking the shot here. I just opened a moderate position, not too ambitious. I'm going to start building my trade, it could take several weeks or not. If it drops I will open another and so on while is accumulating. Warning this trade requires patience, is risky but the reward is massive.
NZD/USD to remain bid ahead of tomorrow's RBNZ meeting?There are a growing number of calls for the RBNZ to deliver a hawkish 25bp hike tomorrow, due to the government's 'inflationary' budget delivered last week.
This could also potentially result in the RBNZ upgrading their terminal rate in their quarterly forecasts.
NZDUSD is consolidating on the 4-hour chart, having found support above the 200-day EMA. RSI (14) is above 50 and confirming the initial stages of this assumed trend, and OBV (on balance volume) has broken to new cycle highs to suggest underlying bullish pressure.
We've identified around the monthly R1 pivot ~0.6340 for an initial upside target, and the near-term bias remains bullish above the 200-day EMA.
NZDUSD H4 | Potential reversal?NZDUSD is nearing a key overlap support. Price could hit our buy entry at 0.61338 and bounce to the up side to hit our take profit at 0.62245 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.60933 which is an overlap support.
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Joe Gun2Head Trade - Double top on the daily completeTrade Idea: Selling NZDUSD
Reasoning: Double top confirmed on the Daily. Bearish flag on the 60min.
Entry Level: 0.6153
Take Profit Level: 0.6022
Stop Loss: 0.6177
Risk/Reward: 5.56:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Potential bear flag on NZD/USDThe combination of hawkish Fed speak and firmer inflation has seen the US dollar strengthen overnight. But we're interested in shorting the Kiwi dollar against it, given yesterday's lower forecasts for 2 and 3-year inflation forecasts by RBNZ. It should be noted that RBNZ hold their monetary policy meeting on Wednesday February the 22nd, and there has been call for a 50 or 75bp hike.
But that doesn't mean it can't dip lower ahead of the meeting, even if they do go for another aggressive hike - especially if Fed members continue to read from the same hawkish script.
NZD/USD has spent nearly 7 days within a sideways channel / consolidation, after an aggressive bearish reversal from its YTD high. A double top has formed around 0.6400 to suggest demand resides in the area, so the bias is now for a bear-flag breakout in line with the momentum which took it into consolidation.
- Bears can either seek a break of the cycle low, or the channel around 0.6294 to assume bearish continuation.
- The lows around 0.6200 make a likely target for bears and risks a corrective bounce
- The eventual target projected form the bearish flag is around 0.6120
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Fading NZDUSD into resistanceTrade Idea: Buying GBPCAD
Reasoning: Fading NZDUSD into resistance
Entry Level: 0.6365
Take Profit Level: 0.6270
Stop Loss: 0.6393
Risk/Reward: 3.5:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Range trade on NZDUSDTrade Idea: Selling NZDUSD
Reasoning: Small range on the daily.
Entry Level: 0.6372
Take Profit Level: 0.6200
Stop Loss: 0.6430
Risk/Reward: 3.03:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
NZDUSD buying opportunity | 16 December 2022On the H4 timeframe, NZDUSD is ascending within a bullish channel. On 13 December, price spiked upon the release of softer than anticipated US CPI data, and came to test the 0.64550 where significant indecision can be seen between buyers and sellers from the ranging price action. Sellers eventually won out on the back of fundamental fuel on 15 December when a 50 bps Fed rate hike and hawkish FOMC statements caused NZDUSD to decline until the 0.63280 support level. This represents our entry point, where we forecast a bullish reversal back to the 0.64550 level which is also our take profit level. A break below to the next support level at 0.62650 represents our stop loss. Stochastics have dipped below the 20th percentile while price exceeded the lower bound of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that current prices are experiencing oversold conditions and supporting our bullish bias.
If price comes to test the 0.64550 resistance level again as we predict, investors should pay close attention to the Core PCE Price Index due to be released on 23 December, which may give price the bullish fuel to break above or keep it firmly under the resistance level.
$NZD - Trade idea!$NZD - Trade idea!
Another day, another great opportunity for us traders to take advantage of. Don't forget to have patience...
What a clean set up! Clear levels in a break to either direction - add alerts in, add orders in - whatever suits your own trade plan!
Enjoy,
Trade Journal
NZDUSD - Bullish ChannelNZDUSD - Intraday - We look to Buy at 0.6300 (stop at 0.6225)
Previous support located at 0.6300. Previous resistance located at 0.6400. There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6350 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 0.6450 and 0.6500
Resistance: 0.6400 / 0.6450 / 0.6500
Support: 0.6300 / 0.6250 / 0.6225
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NZDUSD Targeting A Test of 0.6300Technical & Trade View
NZDUSD
Trade View
Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below .6050
Technicals
Primary support is .6050
Primary upside objective .6300
Next pattern confirmation, acceptance above .6210
Failure below .6030 opens a test of .5950
20 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish
Institutional Insights
Analysts at Credit Agricole note ‘The RBNZ’s aggressive tightening cycle will see NZ lead the rest of the G10 into an economic slowdown, and falling dairy prices on the back of a weak China economy are seeing the NZD underperform. The re-opening of the international border will be a positive for the coming 3M. Soft economic landings locally and internationally will improve the NZD’s prospects over the coming 6-12M’
NZDUSD Targeting A Test of .5963Technical & Trade View
NZDUSD
Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below .5800
Option Expiry:
Technicals
Primary support is at .5825
Primary pattern objective is .5963
Acceptance above .5875 next pattern confirmation
Failure below .5790 opens a test of .5710
20 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish
NZD GAINING STEAM ON THE UPSIDE. IS THE RUN SUSTAINABLE???Following the downside drop of the TVC:DXY index that shows the strength of the Dollar, FX:NZDUSD has been trending to the upside.
similar to its correlated pair FX:GBPUSD . Will this hold for the long term?? let's wait and see.
my view is bulls will control the markets for the NZD/USD to the 0.6200 level.
ITS A GOOD TIME FOR A BUY ENTRY.
RISK REWARD RATION 5.4. ITS A SWING TRADE!!






















