Gold | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Natural Gas Price ForecastGold | Oil | Dollar | Silver | Natural Gas Price Forecast
COMEX:GC1! COMEX:SI1! AMEX:UNG NYMEX:CL1!
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Natural Gas Surging into Key Moving AverageNatural gas has tagged near term resistance.
We have trimmed and locked in profits on many of the equity trades and the boil trade that we were long.
The entire commodity complex minus oil has been very strong.
Inventory report is tomorrow at 10:30am.
Let see if Nat gas can continue its bullish ascent.
Dont forget to trim profits along the way.
NATURAL GAS: Stunning breakout!Natural Gas has had a wonderful move off the lows.
Breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on inventories.
Inventory report supports higher price. 27B exp build vs 18B actual.
If you have been following our analysis you would have ought to have know to start accumulating into the key weekly gap fill zone.
We have been pounding the table on resource stocks showing relative strength compared to the underlying commodity.
Our members have received several alerts via: AMEX:BOIL , NYSE:EQT NYSE:AR NYSE:RRC and others. We have netted some wonderful profits and it looks like Nat Gas should climb higher after some near term consolidation.
I would like to see Nat gas retest the major volume shelf (POC). That level should be monitored closely.
Natural Gas Equities Showing Relative StrengthNatural Gas was briefly red today but saw a bit of a bullish recovery.
Price action came very close to filling the weekly downside gap but just missed it.
Inventories are set to be released tomorrow at 10:30am
Interestingly, Nat Gas stocks like NYSE:AR & NYSE:EQT showed great relative strength in the market today.
Is this signaling a pop in Nat Gas price tomorrow?
We are long NYSE:AR calls from yesterday.
Natural Gas Bullish Recovery?Nat gas has recovered key technical levels with a strong rally today.
Looking at the daily chart we got a close above the 7 MA staging a potential 3 bar surge setup.
Nat gas looks to be targeting 3.18 in the near term...
Inventory report tomorrow: 10B forecast for inventories.
A potential arbitrage opportunity setting up for EQT, upside calls for next week.
Natural Gas Bullish Reversal...Are the Lows in?U.S. natural gas inventories increased by 48 billion cubic feet last week to 3,123 Bcf, increasing the surplus over the five-year average.
Consensus / forecast was 37Billion Cubic feet.
Despite a much higher build than expected Nat gas saw positive price action.
This appears to simply be a dead cat bounce before we go lower.
A death cross on the daily chart has occurred. This signal often results in a small bounce before going lower.
Natural Gas - The Epic Reversal? Natural gas had an astonishing move to the upside. Closing up over 5% today.
This volatility can make all tarders head spin if youre not used to it.
Why did Nat gas pop today?
Partly from being oversold and into really good technical support, Natural gas inventories were released today at 10:30am.
The inventories showed a smaller build than the market expected which implies stronger demand. 56B consensus vs 53B actual.
This could potentially be the start to a new bullish trend.
Names like EQT & AR hit some major support today. Some call options on these names have been accumulated.
NATURAL GAS - Who can Predict this wild beast?Natural gas got demolished today, down over 8%.
The one headline we saw hitting the tape that is having some partial influence:
"Vessel Arrives at LNG Canada to Load First Cargo, Strengthening Global Supply Outlook – LNG Recap"
Today, we did hedge our core long UNG position with a short dated $56 put on EQT.
We are already green on that trade and looking for $56 level to come into play.
Natural gas volatility sure trades in a world of its own which is why it is key to size accordingly.
Natural Gas - Silver Lining!Natural gas is ending the day with a daily bottoming tail.
Potentially forming an inverse head and shoulder pattern that takes us above the key $3.83 level.
We took profits on our EQT put hedge! The put contract went up over 100%
Lets see if Nat gas can build some pressure.
Natural Gas plummets - Israel and Iran PeaceIran and Israel de escalation is causing nat gas to plummet.
Fear of the "Hormuz Strait" closing have slipped away!
Roughly 20% of global liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade flows through the Strait of Hormuz, primarily from Qatar (~9.3 Bcf/d) with smaller volumes from the UAE (~0.7 Bcf/d)
In 2024, approximately 83–84% of those LNG volumes were destined for Asian markets—China, India, South Korea
Navigating a Pullback in Natural GasNatural gas prices have been on a wild ride lately, with a recent pullback raising questions about the future of this energy source. This video provides insights into navigating this market volatility, offering actionable strategies for live trading in the midst of uncertainty.
Current weather forecasts for the U.S. show neither extreme heat nor cold—limiting heating or cooling demand. This typical spring-to-summer lull supports low prices .
Although rig counts in the U.S. are falling—the latest count shows an 8‑week decline—production remains ample. Storage levels remain healthy, and oversupply worries persist .
Natural gas rallied earlier today but faced resistance at the $4/mmBtu mark—a major psychological barrier. After hitting that ceiling, prices gave back gains, a typical sign of "rally exhaustion"
Natural Gas Explodes - Bullish Option ContractsTechnical Breakout Observed! Huge upside potential!
Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on daily chart.
Weekly Bullish Cross 7/20 MA.
- Increased Demand: After a sluggish 2024, demand for natural gas is rebounding—especially for electricity generation in North America and Asia. This is tightening the market and pushing prices up.
- LNG Export Boom: New liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals, like the one coming online in British Columbia, are expanding shipping capacity. That’s opening up more international markets and driving up prices domestically.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Broader energy markets are reacting to instability in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and Israel. While this directly impacts oil, it also creates uncertainty across all energy commodities, including natural gas.
- Inventory and Supply Adjustments: After oversupply in 2024, producers are now recalibrating. But with inventories still low in some regions, prices are sensitive to even small disruptions
Natural Gas - Soaring Upside - Option Plays!Technical Breakout Observed! Huge upside potential
- Increased Demand: After a sluggish 2024, demand for natural gas is rebounding—especially for electricity generation in North America and Asia. This is tightening the market and pushing prices up.
- LNG Export Boom: New liquefied natural gas (LNG) export terminals, like the one coming online in British Columbia, are expanding shipping capacity. That’s opening up more international markets and driving up prices domestically.
- Geopolitical Tensions: Broader energy markets are reacting to instability in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and Israel. While this directly impacts oil, it also creates uncertainty across all energy commodities, including natural gas.
- Inventory and Supply Adjustments: After oversupply in 2024, producers are now recalibrating. But with inventories still low in some regions, prices are sensitive to even small disruptions
Do You Smell That...Natural Gas Burning!Recent Trends: The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported the seventh consecutive weekly gain in inventories since late April, indicating a steady buildup ahead of summer demand.
Regional Highlights:
East: 340 Bcf
Midwest: 396 Bcf
Mountain: 166 Bcf
Pacific: 199 Bcf
South Central: 658 Bcf
Next inventory report is June 12 2025
June 5 - 122B Build
May 29 - 101B build
May 22 - 120B Build
These last builds have come in higher than consensus andd price is still holding.
A weekly Bullish cross of the 7 / 20 MA is about to occur. This indicates high provability of higher prices on the next few months if this can hold above the key MA's.
Natural Gas Roaring & SoaringNat gas had an epi +8% rally today.
The question is do the bull have more gas left in the tank or do the bears start to take over and press price lower?
We had news across the energy sector that spiked most energy assets.
Typically news based pops of this nature don't last.
If we get back above 3.84/3.85 then there might be a convincing opportunity to press this long
As of now i still lean bearish but holding no Nat Gas position.
Natural Gas Rip or Dip?Natural Gas has had some choppy price action as of late. There has been no clear directional trend.
I remain bearish until we clear the $3.85 level.
If Natural gas rejects off this level we should test the $3.00
If natural gas gets above this $3.85 level bulls should try to retest the major high pivot.
Natural Gas - Are you buying the dip?Natural gas is going through some distribution and it looks like its going lower.
However there is a very strong base around $3 that can be a good risk to reward buy zone.
Remember this is one of the most volatile asset classes amd can overshoot key levels. Size accordingly and leave yourself maneuverabilty.
Natural Gas Goes Kaboom!Profits have been secured I the Natural gas trade. That being said I still think Nat gas equities can push higher.
On the UNG chart we just saw the 20 day MA & 50 Day MA bullishly crossover each other.
Last time this happened Nat gas had a 4-5 day parabolic move.
The bulls must be careful to not push this commodity up too quickly because it makes the pattern less likely to have a continued breakout.
We are still putting in Lower weekly highs, so the next test of the most recent pivot high is going to be crucial.
If the bulls can trigger the weekly inverse head and shoulder pattern there's going to be a great long continuation opportunity. Until we break the pivot high & create a higher high traders must use caution now that we've had a large move occur.
AR, EQT, CPK, LNG are all set to push higher if Nat gas holds these gains.
Natural Gas: Weak Day / Strong WeekNatural gas had a bit of profit taking today and you can't blame the bulls for trimming especially since we did the same.
The Daily chart now needs a couple days of consolidation before another sustainable push.
The weekly chart recaptured the 50 Weekly MA...very good near term sign.
This can now be used as a support level to trade against for very tight stoploss swing traders.
As long as we remain above the breakout neckline we should be likely heading to retest 2.75 & $2.90
Levels below can cause nat gas to fail and fall substantially. Alway remembers the Weekly trend still has Lower highs in place.
Natural Gas waking up? Nat gas showed some poise today.
Holding green in a red market where most commodities saw negative price action.
This is impressive to see because Nat gas has a long historical trend of diverging from many commodities.
The price action today also saw a red to green reversal further emphasizing the positive potential trend shift.
Nat gas stocks were discounted today despite the stronger price action in the commodity.
We remain bullish and long UNG, our call positions in the money.
Natural Gas: are bulls capitulating? The bulls have made 9 attempts at breaking out. All attempts have failed which has led us to this sharp decline.
Nat gas is holding the 20 day MA but it does look somewhat vulnerable to going lower.
The death cross is getting closer and closer as we approach the 50 MA & 200 MA downtrending intersection.
Our members stopped out of the second half of UNG in profits
I am now hoping and waiting for a sub $2 pierce retest. we shall see if we get it.
Natural gas is the downtrend resuming? Nat gas still fits all the criteria for a large downtrend.
Lower highs & Lower lows are still in place on the weekly timeframe.
This obviously swings probabilities in favour of lower price.
However historically were still at some oversold levels.
Just because this asset is oversold honest mean it can't go lower.
Im watching the daily 50MA & 200MA closely...do we get the death cross formation to occur again?
Usually this signal provides a near term bounce but medium term decline.
