Global Commodity Market TrendsIntroduction
The global commodity market has always been at the heart of international trade, investment, and economic growth. Commodities—whether energy, metals, agriculture, or soft commodities—are the fundamental building blocks of economies. They provide raw materials for industries, food for people, and energy to run households and factories. Their prices are determined in highly interconnected markets influenced by supply-demand dynamics, geopolitics, currency movements, technological shifts, and increasingly, environmental and climate considerations.
In the 21st century, commodities have become more than just physical goods; they are financial assets traded in global exchanges. Investors, governments, corporations, and even consumers keep a close eye on commodity trends, since these markets influence inflation, global trade flows, stock market performance, and even geopolitical stability. For instance, oil shocks have historically triggered recessions, food price spikes have led to political unrest, and surges in metals demand have accelerated mining booms in resource-rich nations.
This essay provides a comprehensive view of global commodity market trends, covering major sectors (energy, metals, agriculture), key influences (macroeconomics, geopolitics, climate change, technology), and forward-looking themes (green transition, financialization, digitalization).
1. The Structure of the Global Commodity Market
The commodity market is broadly divided into:
Energy Commodities – Crude oil, natural gas, coal, electricity, renewable energy certificates.
Metals and Minerals – Precious metals (gold, silver, platinum), base metals (copper, aluminum, nickel), and critical minerals (lithium, cobalt, rare earths).
Agricultural Commodities – Food grains (wheat, rice, corn), oilseeds (soybean, palm oil), soft commodities (coffee, cocoa, sugar, cotton).
Other Commodities – Fertilizers, lumber, water (increasingly being financialized).
Commodity markets function through spot markets (immediate delivery), futures markets (contracts for future delivery), and OTC derivatives. Exchanges like the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), London Metal Exchange (LME), New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), and ICE (Intercontinental Exchange) dominate global commodity trading.
2. Historical Perspective and Cyclical Nature
Commodity markets are cyclical, influenced by global economic growth, investment cycles, and technological shifts.
1970s Oil Shocks – OPEC’s supply cuts caused crude prices to quadruple, reshaping global energy security policies.
2000s Commodity Supercycle – China’s industrialization drove demand for metals, energy, and agriculture, pushing prices to record highs.
2014–2016 Commodity Downturn – Oversupply in oil and metals led to a severe market correction.
2020 COVID-19 Shock – Oil prices briefly went negative, agricultural supply chains collapsed, and gold surged as a safe haven.
2021–2022 Post-Pandemic Boom – Stimulus-driven demand and supply bottlenecks sent energy and food prices skyrocketing.
2022–2023 Russia-Ukraine War – Disrupted oil, gas, wheat, and fertilizer markets, reshaping global trade flows.
Understanding these cycles is crucial because commodity investments often follow long waves of boom and bust.
3. Major Commodity Market Segments and Trends
A. Energy Commodities
Crude Oil
Oil remains the world’s most traded commodity.
Trend 1 – Demand Shifts: While OECD demand is plateauing, emerging markets (India, Southeast Asia, Africa) are driving growth.
Trend 2 – Energy Transition: Long-term demand faces pressure from electric vehicles, renewable energy, and climate policies.
Trend 3 – Geopolitics: OPEC+ production cuts, U.S. shale supply, and Middle East conflicts heavily influence prices.
Outlook: Oil may remain volatile, with a balance between decarbonization policies and near-term reliance on fossil fuels.
Natural Gas & LNG
Gas has become a “transition fuel” in the shift toward cleaner energy.
LNG trade is expanding, with Qatar, U.S., and Australia as major exporters.
Europe’s 2022 energy crisis (post-Ukraine war) accelerated LNG imports.
Long-term growth in Asia ensures gas remains vital.
Coal
Despite climate targets, coal demand remains high, particularly in India and China.
Energy security fears after 2022 temporarily revived coal usage in Europe.
Renewables & Carbon Markets
Solar, wind, and green hydrogen are disrupting the energy mix.
Carbon trading markets (EU ETS, China ETS) are emerging as influential factors for commodity producers.
B. Metals and Minerals
Precious Metals (Gold, Silver, Platinum)
Gold: Safe-haven asset during uncertainty, hedge against inflation, central bank buying trend.
Silver: Industrial demand (solar panels, electronics) alongside investment demand.
Platinum Group Metals (PGMs): Essential for catalytic converters, fuel cells, and hydrogen economy.
Base Metals (Copper, Aluminum, Nickel, Zinc)
Copper: Known as “Dr. Copper,” a key barometer of global growth. Demand is booming due to electrification, EVs, and renewable infrastructure.
Aluminum: Lightweight metal in transport, packaging, and green tech.
Nickel & Cobalt: Crucial for EV batteries; supply bottlenecks in Indonesia, DRC, and Russia.
Trend: The Green Transition is reshaping base metals demand, creating a new supercycle in critical minerals.
Critical Minerals
Lithium, cobalt, rare earths are essential for batteries, electronics, and defense industries.
Countries are racing to secure supply chains (U.S., EU, India building alliances beyond China’s dominance).
Recycling and urban mining are growing trends.
C. Agricultural Commodities
Food Grains (Wheat, Corn, Rice)
Global food security concerns are rising due to climate change, geopolitics, and supply chain disruptions.
Wheat & Corn: Ukraine war disrupted exports; prices spiked globally.
Rice: India’s export bans caused volatility in 2023–24.
Population growth and changing diets sustain long-term demand.
Oilseeds & Edible Oils (Soybean, Palm Oil, Sunflower Oil)
Major players: Brazil (soybeans), Indonesia & Malaysia (palm oil), Ukraine (sunflower).
Biofuel demand (biodiesel, ethanol) creates additional price drivers.
Soft Commodities (Coffee, Cocoa, Sugar, Cotton)
Coffee: Climate-sensitive, Brazil & Vietnam dominate production.
Cocoa: Ghana and Ivory Coast face sustainability challenges.
Sugar: Demand linked to biofuels as well as consumption trends.
Cotton: Textile demand, weather shocks, and trade tariffs affect pricing.
4. Key Influences on Commodity Markets
A. Macroeconomic Factors
Inflation: Commodities often act as inflation hedges.
Interest Rates: High rates increase carrying costs, affecting speculative demand.
Currency Movements: Since most commodities are dollar-denominated, a strong USD suppresses prices globally.
B. Geopolitics
Russia-Ukraine war reshaped energy and grain flows.
U.S.-China trade tensions affect soybeans, rare earths, and metals.
Middle East conflicts influence oil security.
C. Climate Change & ESG
Extreme weather (droughts, floods) increasingly affects agriculture.
ESG investing pressures companies to decarbonize.
Carbon pricing impacts production costs.
D. Technology
Digitalization of commodity trading (blockchain, AI risk management).
Electric vehicles and renewable energy shift metals demand.
Precision agriculture enhances crop yields.
5. Financialization of Commodities
Commodities are not just physical goods—they are now financial assets.
Hedge funds, ETFs, index funds, and retail investors actively trade commodity futures.
Algorithmic and high-frequency trading influence intraday price swings.
Commodity-linked derivatives allow hedging but also amplify speculative volatility.
This financialization links commodities more tightly to stock and bond markets.
6. Future Trends and Outlook
Green Commodity Supercycle:
The shift toward decarbonization and renewable energy is creating massive demand for copper, lithium, nickel, cobalt, and rare earths.
Energy Diversification:
Oil will remain relevant, but LNG, hydrogen, and renewables will reshape energy trade.
Food Security Challenges:
Climate shocks, rising population, and geopolitical instability will drive volatility in agriculture.
Geopolitical Resource Wars:
Nations are building strategic reserves, securing mines, and reshaping supply chains to reduce dependency on adversarial nations.
Digital & Transparent Markets:
Blockchain-enabled commodity trading, satellite-based crop monitoring, and AI-driven price forecasting will modernize markets.
Emerging Market Consumption:
Rising middle classes in Asia and Africa will push long-term demand for both industrial and agricultural commodities.
7. Risks in Commodity Markets
Volatility: Driven by geopolitics, weather, speculation.
Resource Nationalism: Countries may restrict exports of critical minerals (e.g., Indonesia’s nickel ban).
Supply Chain Fragility: Pandemics, wars, and shipping bottlenecks.
Sustainability Pressures: ESG requirements increase costs but also open new opportunities.
Conclusion
The global commodity market is in a transformative phase. Historically driven by industrialization and geopolitics, it is now being reshaped by climate change, technology, and financialization. Energy markets are balancing fossil fuels with renewables, metals are entering a green-driven supercycle, and agriculture faces mounting climate and food security challenges.
For investors, policymakers, and businesses, understanding these trends is crucial. Commodities are no longer just cyclical—they are becoming structurally strategic assets that determine the future of global trade, inflation, and economic security.
The coming decades will witness intense competition for critical resources, greater volatility due to climate and geopolitics, and new opportunities in sustainable and digital commodity trading.
The commodity market, once the “old economy,” is now at the center of the new global order.
Lerning
Using Previous Day’s High and Low to Decide Intraday TrendIntroduction and Disclaimer
This article explains how to use the daily chart to understand and plan for short-term or intraday market direction.
To fully understand this, you should already know what directional bias means. If you’re not familiar with it, I highly recommend reading my previous article on the topic before continuing here.
Disclaimer
I'm not a financial advisor.
This article does not offer financial, investment, legal, or any kind of regulated advice.
It's made for educational and entertainment purposes only.
Trading involves risk. You can lose all your money—or even more—if you’re not careful.
You're reading the thoughts of a 22-year-old.
The goal of this article is to show you how to use the previous day’s high and low on a daily chart to:
Get a clear intraday bias (bullish or bearish).
Find entry signals for your trades.
Set clear invalidation points, meaning when a trade idea becomes invalid.
This is part of what’s called multi-timeframe analysis—looking at higher time frames to understand what might happen on lower ones.
Even if you trade short-term (like on 5 or 15-minute charts), it's still helpful to know what the bigger picture (like the daily chart) looks like. Why? Because it shows the main trend, important levels, and key zones that may not appear on lower time frames.
In my opinion, smart trading involves breaking down the price chart from top to bottom—starting with the big picture—then making decisions based on your trading strategy.
The ideas in this article work well for:
Intraday traders who want to capture moves during the day, and
Swing traders who want to catch bigger moves by entering early.
This concept can also be applied to higher time frames, such as the previous week’s high and low.
#Total market cap breakout this Adam and Eve pattern!TOTAL MARKET CAP ANALYSIS
After a good breakout, the total market cap is currently retesting above the neckline of the Adam & Eve pattern. A bullish trend is being determined by the MA 200.
The continuance of the bullish surge would be verified by a successful retest above the neckline. If the retest is unsuccessful, the price will capture liquidity below the horizontal support and bounce after attempting to test the MA 200.
BASIC INFO
Adam and Eve is a bullish and bearish reversal chart pattern that appears in a downtrend or uptrend. The pattern was first mentioned in the book Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns by Thomas Bulkowski, and until these days, it is a relatively unfamiliar classical chart pattern to many traders worldwide.
Stay tuned I will keep updating
This chart is likely to help you make better trade decisions if it does consider upvoting it.
I would also love to know your charts and views in the comment section.
Thank you
HOW TO BALANCE LIFE AND TRADINGHi guys, This is @CRYPTOMOJO_TA One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities.
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I post short mid and long-term trade setups too.
The life of a trader can be stressful, with important developments taking place constantly. This makes it essential that individuals maintain a positive work-life balance
Prioritize What You Need in Your Life
When you learn how to prioritize your life, you can focus with intention on what matters and accomplish your most important goals.
Priorities are difficult to determine.
There are some things you want to prioritize at the start of each year, such as spending more time with family, discovering your life’s purpose, starting a business, traveling the world, or becoming a profitable forex trader.
But to be honest most of us struggle to focus on what we really want in our life when the year goes on.
For example, the majority of people will never turn down a high-paying job, even if it means spending less time with family or working on themselves to find the balance of their life.
Why is that?
Because of that dopamine hits you get when you are getting a paycheck from your high-paying job.
I’m not saying it’s bad and you should quit your job. I’m saying that I’ve seen lots of people who were able to organize their lives while working a 9-5 job and still living a well-balanced lifestyle.
Also, I’ve encountered people who used to work both a day job and on their goals and then quit their jobs after accomplishing their goals.
So how are they doing it? What is the secret?
The secret is finding your life purpose and finding out what you really want to achieve in your life.
Let’s say you really want to become a profitable forex trader, but it doesn’t mean you should sit in front of your computer all day and place trades. If you do so, You will miss out on a lot of life opportunities.
You won’t be able to focus on your nutrition or physical and mental health since you won’t get enough time to reflect on yourself. You’ll also be unable to consider how and when you can spend time with your loved ones when the stress of your daily life schedule gets too tight.
This is not trading, this is a bad way of treating yourself.
So what is the solution?
Simply makes a list of what you really need in your life then prioritize them while still giving time to focus on yourself.
For example, if you have a day job but still want to be a successful trader, you can day trade the market when you get home at night.
Alternatively, you can trade on a higher timeframe, such as daily or 4-hour, to spend less time on trading while still earning a good profit.
By doing that you will have plenty of time to focus on your job and your well-being as a trader.
Remember that no matter what you’re attempting to do, whether it’s trading or running a business, you should make time to focus on your well-being.
That is what creates a balanced life, and balanced life will empower us to stay happy while also increasing our chances of success in any area. The same remains true for trading as well.
Self Improvement is Important
People who devote enough time to self-improvement have a better understanding of themselves and others, as well as a clear understanding of their goals and how to achieve them. Personal growth allows you to go forward, explore new horizons, and feel happier.
Regardless of what you are doing in your life (Doing a job, Running a business, or trading) you should prioritize improving yourself each and every day.
By improving your life as a trader, your life will become more dynamic, and you will be presented with new life opportunities, and because self-improvement leads to happiness, you will be able to enjoy life rather than worry and regret.
Now in trading, self-improvement is a direct factor that will determine a trader’s success.
Why?
Because trading success is heavily based on psychology and attitude.
Even Mark Douglas mentioned in his book Trading in the Zone that intelligent people are the majority failure in the trading industry and also he mentioned that it is the attitude and unique thinking that will make successful and sustainable traders.
Therefore rather than sitting in front of the charts, focus on the area you can improve when you are not having any trade setups.
Give your best to improve in areas like your focus, social skills, patience, mentality, attitude, positive habits, and high-demand skills.
Expect Unexpected
As traders, we are all aware that we should deal with uncertainty on a daily basis.
The majority of what you do in trading has no guaranteed outcome. Any trade can be a winner or a loser, and all we can do is respect the result and live with the uncertainty.
So how to stay positive in the face of a constant uncertain environment like the forex market?
Simply by controlling what we can control and not being too worried about things that we have no control over.
For example, we have no control over price movement, right? So what is the solution?
Simple just react to the price information according to your trading plan.
On the other hand, there are things we can control, such as risk management and being selective more about market conditions in which we should trade. Do your best to control those things.
Have a Well Define Trading Routine
A trader’s daily routine will clearly define the lifestyle he or she has.
I’ve seen traders trade all day while sitting in front of the computer browsing social media or watching YouTube, and these types of routines will lead to an unhealthy life. In reality, most of these traders struggle to maintain consistency in their trading process.
Then there are traders who have managed to find a balance between trading and other professions. The majority of these traders only trade for two to four hours every day. They will have more time to focus on other things that will lead to happiness and a well-balanced lifestyle as a result of this.
Focus on Quality Over Quantity
We all know that the volatility of the forex market is much higher and every day the market is provide us with endless trading opportunities to take advantage of.
Although we may not be able to take advantage of all of these trades, the market still makes 10 to 20 trade opportunities available to us, and if you trade on shorter timeframes, the number of trade opportunities will increase as well.
However, in reality, we cannot execute all of these trades, and attempting to do so as many trades as possible every day will result in overtrading. In terms of trading, this is bad for your account, and in terms of life, you won’t have enough time to focus on other things (like spending time with family, focusing on your nutrition and exercise, or meditation) because you’ll have to stay in front of the computer to execute all of those trade setups.
So what is the solution to stop overtrading?
There is actually a simple solution for this. Just be More Selective on Your Trade and Only Execute Higher Probability Trade Setups.
You will be able to cut down the trading opportunities you have to monitor on any given day by filtering out only the high probability trade setups, which will save you a lot of time.
You also don’t have to spend the entire day in front of the computer. As a result, you’ll have more time to focus on yourself and spend with your family.
Maintain Positive Mental Attitude
Maintaining a positive mental attitude in trading or any other activity will lead to balance in other areas of your life.
For example, if you can’t keep a positive mental attitude after a bad trading day, how can you expect to proceed through the rest of the day’s activities with confidence?
Most likely, you’ll have a harder time finishing the day productively because you let that bad trading day affect your mental state.
If this happens regularly whenever you have a bad trading period, you will never be able to find the right balance in your life as a trader.
Therefore, work on developing a strong mental attitude as a trader – an attitude that lets you remain confident in your trading abilities, trade decisions, chart analysis, and trading system in order to succeed as a forex trader and to keep a well-balanced life.
If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & follow for future educational ideas and trading setups.
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ICPUSDT
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SHIBU SELLING AND TRADING LEVEL.Shibusdt as been continuously resisting a test position.
Also, it is not necessary to exclude the news-manipulative fact that can organize a pump coin. If you like to play such a risky roulette, then the levels on the chart will help you navigate where you should exit the position.
Entering can be also considered now. while setting a exiting point.