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#Banknifty directions and levels for December 9th:If the gap down sustains, we can expect the minimum targets of this correction to reach the channel bottom. if the index consolidates or breaks this level, the correction may continue. > An important point is that this correction may occur gradually, the channel bottom will acting as a strong support. > Additional technical factors to watch the 20 EMA (on the 15-minute chart) and the 38% Fibonacci retracement level. A break above the 20 EMA or the 38% Fibonacci level can confirm a reversal from bearish to bullish. Until such confirmation, the market bias remains bearish.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by Manickamtraders
BITCOIN | LONG BIAS | POTENTIAL REVERSAL AND KEY LEVELS TO WATCHTraders, Bitcoin is now sitting inside a large falling wedge structure on the daily chart. Wedges of this type often form during trend exhaustion and can precede significant reversals when the lower boundary is reached. This pattern sets the stage for everything that follows in this analysis. Below is the full breakdown of why I believe Bitcoin is positioned for a potential reaction and where the most important levels are located. Recap of the Previous Bitcoin Analysis In the previous IG:BITCOIN analysis I mentioned two scenarios. Scenario one outlined the following sequence: • Price pushes into 107k to 108k • That move sweeps the weak high and taps the AVWAP anchor • If spot CVD slows or perps shift into net selling, a rejection becomes likely • That rejection sends price back toward the mid range and possibly into 101k to 102k • Continuation into the higher timeframe LVN at 98k becomes possible Every single step unfolded almost perfectly. Current State of Bitcoin Bitcoin is now sitting directly on the lower band of the AVWAP anchored from 7 April 2025. What this means AVWAP stands for Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price. It calculates the average position of market participants beginning from the chosen anchor point. The April low marked a major shift in trend structure. When price reaches the lower band of an AVWAP anchored to such a significant low, it often acts as dynamic support. This is because it reflects the average entry of early cycle buyers. If price holds and begins reclaiming from this area, it signals that the strongest hands are defending their positions. If it fails, the market risks a deeper flush into lower demand clusters. Value Zone Analysis with Fixed Range Volume Profile To determine whether Bitcoin is inside a significant value region, we use a Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP). The range is anchored from the April low to the October high. Zooming into the profile on the left, price has now re-entered the core value area of this entire swing. The red horizontal line marks the Point of Control, which is the level with the highest traded volume in the entire range. The current low sits almost exactly on this level. Pixel perfect confluence. Why this matters When price returns to the value area after a distribution phase, two possible outcomes appear: 1. Reversal Buyers defend value and price rotates back toward high volume nodes above. 2. Continuation breakdown Price accepts below value, meaning even previous buyers are unwilling to re accumulate here. This opens the door to the next low volume pocket and lower demand zones. Right now, the reaction at this level is critical because we have perfect alignment between the lower AVWAP band and the FRVP Point of Control. Mathematical Levels and Fibonacci Structure Now we collect the mathematical evidence. We are sitting at a core AVWAP level and a core FRVP level. Now we check if the market is stretched mathematically. Bitcoin at the 1.618 Extension On the four hour spot chart, I apply a Trend Based Fibonacci Extension from A to B and project it from C. The placement rule Ask yourself: What was the last meaningful swing high that ended the previous trend and started the current reversal? That swing becomes A to B. The first corrective lower high after that becomes C. Using this structure, Bitcoin has now extended perfectly into the 1.618 level. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension is historically associated with exhaustion. Sharp downlegs often pause, take liquidity, or reverse at this point. TOTAL at the 2.0 Extension To confirm that this move is not isolated to Bitcoin, we check the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL crypto market. TOTAL reflects the entire crypto market and shows equilibrium conditions. When Bitcoin and TOTAL stretch at the same time, reaction probability increases. Start with a retracement from A to B: Price nearly hit the fifty percent mark but not entirely. Then reverse the tool from B to A. Doing so reveals the extension levels below. Price is now sitting exactly at the 2.0 extension. Why the 50 percent connects to the 2.0 If a move retraces halfway, the remaining distance becomes the basis of the flipped extension. Doubling that distance gives the 2.0 level. Because TOTAL did not fully reach the fifty percent retracement, there is a small missing portion. To visualise this, I draw a box between the actual retracement and the fifty percent level. Then I duplicate the box under the 2.0 extension. The duplicated box lands perfectly on the current low, showing mathematical symmetry. Additional Mathematical Check I also check the structure that began after the 10 October crash. By extending from B to A, the downside projections appear. Price tagged the 1.618 level perfectly. Full symmetry Bitcoin at the 1.618 TOTAL at the 2.0 Internal structure at the 1.618 When all three align, the move has reached market wide symmetry. These zones commonly produce strong reactions or reversals. Summary so far We now have confluence in four categories: • AVWAP support • FRVP Point of Control support • Fibonacci extensions on BTC and TOTAL • Mathematical symmetry across multiple swings Next, we check the internal fuel of the move: order flow. Order Flow Analysis Spot CVD Divergence On both the one hour and thirty minute charts, Spot CVD continues making lower lows while price holds steady. This means aggressive sellers are pushing market sell but price refuses to break down. This can only occur when passive limit buyers absorb the flow. This is hidden absorption. Coin Margined Futures CVD Coin margined CVD shows the same pattern: lower lows while price stays flat. This indicates aggressive shorting with no continuation. Why coin margined matters Coin margined futures use BTC as collateral. When price declines, the collateral loses value. When price rises, shorts lose even more because both their collateral and their position move against them. Coin margined shorts get squeezed harder and faster. Open Interest • Stablecoin margined OI: holding steady. Traders continue to open or maintain positions during sell pressure. • Coin margined OI: compressed during the dump and is now flat. This means shorts are sitting in the market and can be forced out. Summary Price stable CVD falling OI steady This is absorption combined with short build-up. This often leads to a sharp reversal when price begins to lift. Volume Analysis Chart: Accumulation and Distribution (A D Indicator) The A D indicator shows whether volume flows into candles or out of them. On the one hour chart, the A/D is trending up while price stays flat. This means buyers are stepping in during down-wicks and absorbing sell pressure. Price is not showing this strength yet, which is typical for accumulation phases. On Balance Volume (OBV) OBV measures directional volume flow. On the last wick down, OBV actually moved up. This means buyers absorbed the move rather than sellers pushing price down. This is the classic bullish volume divergence after a liquidity sweep. Both Spot and Perps Confirm These divergences appear on both spot and perpetual futures. Spot confirmation is the strongest form of validation because it represents real buying without leverage distortion. The combination of A/D rising, OBV diverging, Spot CVD falling, and Futures CVD falling strongly supports that the sell pressure is being absorbed. What Happens Next Based on everything above, I expect Bitcoin to start by taking the weak local high at 99,862. Weak highs form when the wick structure is sloppy and no real sellers defended the level. On fine tick data, this high looks even weaker. Taking that high breaks the current local structure and potentially triggers a short squeeze. If Bitcoin begins closing four hour candles above 106,200, the next important level is 108,500. Main Thesis Bitcoin pushes into the first target zone and performs a Swing Failure Pattern around 115,700. With strong momentum, the move could extend into the 17,300 to 18,000 region. Invalidation and Downside If Bitcoin loses support and spends meaningful time below 93,000, the next major support is 84,617. This is the next Point of Control from the AVWAP auction and an extremely important level to watch. All relevant levels are marked on the charts. Trade safe and manage risk. From the depths of the sands, ThetaNomad ------------------- If you like my analysis, give it a like and leave a comment so more people can see real analysis without the noise.
Long
by ThetaNomad
7
ES (SPX, SPY) - Week-Ahead Analysis, Levels Oct 27th - 31stBig picture (D/4H/1H ) Price is pressing a thin ceiling at 6,875–6,895. With ES at ATHs, the next upside extension targets sit at 6,968 → 7,044 → 7,128 on 4H. HTF trend is up, but intraday is stretched and vulnerable to a sweep-and-revert before any fresh leg. Setups (Level-KZ Protocol 15/5/1) 1) Rejection Fade at R1 (Tier-1 A++): Look for a sweep above 6,888–6,895, then a 15m close back inside the band → 5m re-close under ~6,885 → take the first 1m pullback that stalls below. Entry: 6,886–6,892 on the retest from beneath SL: above the sweep wick (15m anchor) TP1: 6,845–6,835 (S2); TP2: 6,823–6,812 (S3); TP3: 6,798–6,784 (S4) Viability check: TP1 ≥ ~2R vs 15m-wick SL. At TP1 close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2. 2) Acceptance Continuation above R1 (Tier-1 A++): If 15m full-body closes ≥6,895, treat that as acceptance. 5m pullback holds 6,892–6,895 → buy the 1m HL. Entry: 6,893–6,898 hold SL: below 6,885 (15m wick anchor) TP1: 6,968–6,975 (R3); TP2: 7,040–7,052 (R4) Invalidation: 15m body back below 6,885. 3) Quick-Reclaim Bounce at S2 (Tier-2 A+): Fast flush into 6,845–6,835, tag/sweep, then immediate 1m reclaim with a 5m re-close back above ~6,840. Entry: on the reclaim/pullback that holds 6,838–6,842 SL: under 6,832 (15m wick) TP1: 6,888–6,895 (R1); TP2: 6,916–6,922 (R2) 4) Exhaustion Flush Bounce at S4 (Tier-3 A): If selling extends to 6,798–6,784 with momentum divergence/absorption, buy the first 1m reclaim that converts 6,792–6,796 into a floor. SL: under 6,780 (15m wick) TP1: 6,823–6,812 (S3); TP2: 6,845–6,835 (S2); optional TP3 6,888–6,895 (R1) Week-ahead catalysts to watch (plan risk around these) • Tue: Conference Board Consumer Confidence 10:00 ET. • Wed (AMC): MSFT earnings. • Thu 08:30 ET: US Q3 GDP (Advance); Thu (AMC): AAPL and AMZN earnings. • Fri 08:30 ET: Personal Income & Outlays (incl. PCE); Fri 09:45 ET: Chicago PMI. Expect headline-driven jolts around 08:30 ET Thu/Fri and at the big tech calls after the bell.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MyAlgoIndex
2
EUR/GBP - Outlook🔥 EUR/GBP – Outlook (Weekly / Daily / 8H) 🔥 Alright, traders — this one’s simmering inside a tight squeeze before the next big move! Let’s break it down 🧩 🧠 Weekly View Price is sitting inside a weekly demand zone after rejecting the upper supply area near 0.8750 – 0.8780 (BSL zone). The structure’s still lower-high based, suggesting bearish intent if the range floor gives way. Major resistance: 0.8750 – 0.8780 Major support: 0.8600 – 0.8630 A clear weekly close below that support = door open toward 0.8500 → 0.8350 (next weekly demand). 📅 Daily View The daily chart shows price consolidation within weekly demand — a contracting triangle pattern right under major resistance. That’s a classic “coiled spring” setup. Bulls need a clean breakout above 0.8700 to flip bias short-term. Bears are eyeing a break and retest of 0.8650 → 0.8600 to confirm downside momentum. Momentum indicators (EMA compression) hint the bears might grab control soon. ⏱ 8H View The 8H triangle’s getting tight — every test of the descending trendline keeps rejecting. Liquidity likely builds above the highs before a potential sweep + dump toward the weekly zone. If we sweep 0.8700 and fail to hold, look for short entries toward 0.8550 (Target 1) If momentum accelerates, extension to 0.8350 (Target 2) could follow — that’s the deeper liquidity pocket. ⚖️ Bias & Plan HTF supports bearish price action, although the short-term is still ranging — HTF will take control soon. 📉 Bias: Bearish-to-neutral 🎯 Targets: 0.8550 → 0.8350 📈 Invalidation: Daily close above 0.8750 🧩 Summary Market’s compressing between key zones — expect a breakout soon. Watch for a liquidity sweep above 0.8700, then potential drop toward 0.8500 zones. Bears remain in charge unless price cleanly flips the daily resistance structure.
Short
by Jibzy_Trades
SPX500USD – Important Levels Below (Watch for Next Week)The S&P 500 is holding near all-time highs. When markets sit at extremes, it’s useful to map out where the structure lives underneath. These are levels that: Could act as strong support if price pulls back (buy interest). Or, if broken, could accelerate downside momentum into deeper zones. Here are some confluent areas to keep in mind for next week (as today is Friday): 6.525 – 6,534 → Weekly vWAP, weekly time POC, and a poor low. 6,495 - 6,506 → Naked weekly POC and naked daily POC. 6,455 – 6,479 → Naked daily, naked weekly, monthly vWAP, daily naked POC, weekly naked POC, current monthly POC, and weekly time naked POC. So clearly the biggest level to watch! Why these matter: when multiple levels overlap (VWAP, POC, HTF highs/lows, etc, liquidity often pools there. That makes them “decision points” — either support for a bounce or, if broken, fuel for a larger move down. If you’re new to terms like VWAP or POC, don’t worry — they can be confusing at first. Leave a comment and I’ll happily explain, or DM me if you prefer to ask privately. This post is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a trading signal.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by QTXAlgoSystems
NIFTY50 Closing Price: ₹24,722.75 (4th Aug 2025, 02:00PM UTC+4)Comprehensive Technical Analysis for NIFTY50 world wide web shunya trade Closing Price: ₹24,722.75 (4th Aug 2025, 02:00PM UTC+4) Time Frames: Intraday: 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H Swing: 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly 1. Japanese Candlestick Analysis Intraday (5M-4H) 4H: Bearish Engulfing at 24,722.75 signals rejection of highs. 1H: Dark Cloud Cover below 24,750 confirms weakness. 30M/15M: Shooting Stars at 24,720 indicate exhaustion. 5M: Three Black Crows pattern suggests strong bearish momentum. Outlook: Bearish reversal likely if 24,700 breaks. Swing (4H-Monthly) Daily: Gravestone Doji at 24,722.75 warns of trend exhaustion. Weekly: Bearish Harami after 3-week rally signals distribution. Monthly: Long-legged Doji at all-time highs (24,800) indicates indecision. 2. Harmonic Patterns Intraday 4H/1H: Bearish Butterfly completing at 24,722.75 (D-point). PRZ: 24,700–24,750 (127.2% XA + 161.8% BC). 30M: Bullish Crab forming at 24,600 (secondary setup). Swing Daily: Bearish Gartley near 24,750 (78.6% XA retracement). Weekly: Potential Bullish Bat at 24,500 if correction extends. 3. Elliott Wave Theory Intraday 4H: Wave 5 of impulse cycle peaked at 24,722.75. Structure: Completed 5-wave sequence from 24,200 → 24,722.75. Corrective Phase: ABC pullback targeting 24,500 (Wave A). 1H: Sub-wave (v) ending with RSI divergence. Swing Daily: Wave 3 of primary bull cycle nearing completion at 24,750. Weekly: Wave (iii) of larger impulse, expecting Wave (iv) correction to 24,300. Monthly: Wave V of multi-year bull run, nearing major resistance at 24,800. 4. Wyckoff Theory Intraday Phase: Distribution (after markup from 24,200 → 24,722.75). Signs: High volume at 24,722.75 (supply), failed upthrust above 24,750. Schematic: Phase C (markdown) initiating. Swing Daily: Late Markup → Distribution at 24,750. Weekly: Accumulation completed at 23,500; now in Markup but showing signs of exhaustion. 5. W.D. Gann Theory Time Theory Intraday: Key reversal windows: UTC+4: 10:00–12:00 (resistance test), 14:00–16:00 (trend reversal). Swing: Daily: 8th Aug (4 days from close) for time squaring. Weekly: 12th Aug (1 week) for cycle turn. Square of 9 24,722.75 → Resistance Angles: 0° (24,750), 90° (24,850), 180° (25,000). Support: 45° (24,500), 315° (24,250). Angle Theory 4H Chart: 1x1 Gann Angle (45°) from 24,200 low at 24,500. Price overextended. Daily Chart: 2x1 Angle (63.75°) at 24,722.75 acting as resistance. Squaring of Price & Time Price Range: 24,200 → 24,722.75 (522.75 points). Time Squaring: 522.75 hours from 24,200 low → 24,750 resistance. Ranges in Harmony Primary Range: 24,000–25,000 (1,000 points). 50% Retracement: 24,500 (critical support). 61.8% Retracement: 24,380. Secondary Range: 24,500–24,750 (250 points). Price & Time Forecasting Intraday Targets: Short-Term: 24,500 (61.8% Fib). Extension: 24,380 (Gann 45° angle). Swing Targets: Weekly: 24,300 (Wave (iv) target). Monthly: 23,800 (38.2% retracement of entire bull run). 6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Intraday (4H) Cloud (Kumo): Price below Kumo (bearish). Tenkan-sen: 24,700 (flat, resistance). Kijun-sen: 24,650 (support). Chikou Span: Below price (confirms bearish momentum). Swing (Daily) Cloud: Thick cloud resistance at 24,750–24,800. Tenkan/Kijun: Bearish crossover at 24,700. 7. Indicators Intraday RSI (14): 68 (4H) → Overbought; divergence at highs. Bollinger Bands: Price tagging upper band (24,750); contraction signals volatility. VWAP: 24,680 (acting as dynamic resistance). Moving Averages: 50 SMA: 24,600 (support). 200 EMA: 24,400 (major support). Swing Daily RSI: 72 (overbought, divergence). Weekly BB: Upper band at 24,800 (resistance). Monthly VWAP: 23,500 (major support). 200 WMA: 22,800 (long-term bull support). Synthesized Forecast Intraday (Next 24H) Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Trigger: Break below 24,700 (1H close). Targets: 24,500 (T1), 24,380 (T2). Timeline: 8–12 hours (UTC+4 22:00–02:00). Bullish Scenario (Low Probability): Trigger: Sustained close above 24,750. Target: 24,850 (Gann 90° angle). Swing (1–4 Weeks) Bearish Scenario: Targets: 24,300 (Wave (iv)), 23,800 (38.2% retracement). Timeline: 5–10 trading days. Bullish Scenario: Trigger: Close above 24,800. Target: 25,200 (Gann 180° angle). For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.(world wide web shunya trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NSE:NIFTY
by sunya
Gold two session setups - Timings Levels Behavior of PriceIn this example we see FOREXCOM:XAUUSD forming a simple and scalable setup interacting with key session levels and key times of day. - 4HR OPEN CLOSE (10:00am) - SESSION TIME RANGES - DAILY HIGH/LOW - SESSION HIGH/LOW Here on my chart I use no lagging indicators. A previous session ranges high and low represents the major liquidity levels. A classic break and retest going into the NY session took place at 10:00am offering a parabolic opportunity back to a previous days session low. SIMPLICITY IS KEY. Stay away from trading gaps, sweeps, hunts, soups on the inside of a high and low. The market only does two things. - Breakout, fail, reverse. - Breakout, pullback, continue. Its important to be on a higher time frame to capture multiple sessions of liquidity areas. As a new trader I found looking to take a trade instead of waiting for a setup. 1 minute charts with multiple moving averages, oscillators, macd. Essentially a science project! Keep it simple traders. Patience pays. Timing, levels, behavior of price.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by GiancarloZacc
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has continued its rally, breaking through the 3,416 resistance and pushing into the next upside zone. Price is now trading around 3,421, just below the 3,440 resistance cluster. The structure remains bullish with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA, which are acting as dynamic support. A confirmed break and hold above 3,440 would open the path toward 3,458 and potentially the higher‑timeframe target at 3,478 if momentum extends. If price fails to sustain above 3,416–3,440 and begins to fade, watch the initial pullback toward 3,400. A deeper move below that would shift focus to 3,383 - 3,362 and then the Pullback Support Zone. Failure to hold there could expose price to the lower Support Zone if bearish pressure builds. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,440 ‣ 3,458 ‣ 3,478 Support: ‣ 3,416 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,383 ‣ 3,362 ‣ 3,336 🔎 Fundamental Focus ⚠️Not much on the calendar today. Still, manage your risk and stay prepared for any unexpected volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
META -- Breakdown? Or Move Higher? Levels To Watch ForHello Traders! Meta has broken down from its ascending trendline. This is bearish. In addition price has formed a major Double Top pattern with Bearish Divergence. Bearish Factors 1) Breakdown of ascending trendline 2) Double top 3) Bearish divergence Two things need to happen if META is going to make a move higher... 1) Price needs to stay above "Support #1" 2) Price needs to break above the descending trendline (connecting the range highs) IF price does breaks lower... where do we start looking for long positions? - Support #2 is a great starting point, however if price makes it to support #2, then I could also see price trading down to fill the gap just below. - This is where you could enter again to average down your position. Thanks everyone and best of luck on your trading journey!
NASDAQ:META
by natef1
XAUSD - Using HOW levels for a break and retest!Identify what signal a market is showing you. TYPES IOF SIGNAL DAYS - First red/green day - Dump/Pump - Inside day Frame the Trade play - Reversal - Continuation Identify the Levels - HOW/LOW - Session High/LOW - Friday Closing Price. Trade Explanation On the previous week FOREXCOM:XAUUSD triggered 3 days of breakout traders into the market closing in breakout. On Monday we have a FRD signal that sets up a next day trade opportunity. A retest of a previous weeks high gave us an indication of a retest/reversal trade on day 3 below Fridays closing price. Into the NY session this market quickly displaced back to Friday day 1 LOD level. Going into Tuesday day 2 we had the test of a weekly level and reversal above a session high closing below the Friday closing price. The break of a previous weeks high triggered more breakout traders into the market however it failed. We know day 2 typicall expands the range on Monday for a great parabolic trade setup right to as previous days low. NO GUESSING, NO FOMO, NO FEAR, NO STRESS! - Friday Closing Price (Entry) - Previous HOW (Stop) - PDL (Target)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GiancarloZacc
Pump Coil Dump Day 1-2-3 USDJPYUSDJPY Reversal Trade. Points to Notice Day 1 - Sets the new week high and low. Establishes a new week closing price as a target for a day 3 setup. Day 2 - Typically expands Mondays range in the direction of the underlying oder flow. This occurs as a pump/ dump leading to the Asia and London coil sideways. Day 3- We take note of the previous day high and low to observe price going into the NY session. In this case Price gave signs of a coiling reversal into the evening setting up for the move below Day 2 closing price. Ideally what you want to see in this template is traders faked into a breakout move in the direction of the pump. This can present as a candle close above yesterdays high or closing price. After trapping traders in we see the change in order flow creating a new lower low. This is the confirmation to look for an entry at the previous days closing price. We set a stop at the high of day 3 level or at the previous days high with a target at the previous days low. In extreme cases we may see a setup that expands to the LOW level. THE ONLY IMPORTANT DATA POINTS. - PREVIOUS DAY HIGH AND LOW - CLOSING PRICE - LOW HOW LEVELS - DAY COUNT MARKETS ONLY DO TWO THINGS - BREAKOUT, FAIL, REVERSE - BREAKOUT, RETEST, TREND. ONLY LEVELS THAT ARE TRADED - PREVIOUS DAY HIGH (STOP LOSS) - PREVIOUS DAY CLOSING PRICE (ENTRY) - PREVIOUS DAY LOW (TARGET) CMCMARKETS:USDJPY FX:EURUSD OANDA:USDJPY
by GiancarloZacc
2
Mid-Session Market InsightsMid-Session Market Insights In today's session, I'm closely monitoring eight different futures markets: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, Gold, Crude Oil, Euro Dollar, Yen Dollar, and Aussie Dollar. S&P 500: We're seeing a rotational pattern within the prior day's value area and the CVA. I'm eyeing long opportunities from the prior value area low up to the high. NASDAQ 100: The market is a bit choppy around the PVA and CVA highs, with a slight upward intraday trend. I'm staying cautious here. Russell 2000: Also choppy, but we've got acceptance within the CVA. I'm looking for long opportunities from the CVA low, which aligns with the prior day's low. Euro Dollar: I'm currently short from the CVA high, with the first target at the prior day's low. We've broken below the prior value area, so I'll trail this trade and see how it develops. Yen Dollar: It’s been a bit of a mixed bag. I took a short below the CVA and prior day's low, got stopped out, but it was still a decent setup. Aussie Dollar: I took some long positions that weren't the best setups, as it was quite choppy near the CVA high and prior day's low. Lesson learned for next time. Crude Oil: I took a short from the CVA and PVA highs, hit my target at the low of those areas, and we’re currently hovering around that level.
CME:6A1!
by JBradleyTrades
2
VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?Predicting the market requires skill. Most traders fail at one crucial point: they don’t see the market as a living, breathing organism—a structure where one move leads to another, like cause and effect in motion. That’s what we often call reading the psychology of the market. When you begin to grasp the fundamental principles behind that, you step into the realm of elite traders. And yes—Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a powerful tool, but only if you know how to read it properly. I’m not a certified trader or financial advisor, and I don’t give signals, entries, or exits. I’m simply a solo observer, sharing a slice of what true technical and fundamental analysis looks like. And yes—it takes time. It takes skills. Now, if we want to even attempt predicting the future of price action, we must understand something: A chart is not a single truth. It’s a battlefield of conflicting signals. Patterns, marks, levels—some suggest bullish continuation, others hint at sharp reversals. Confusion is inevitable if you don’t learn to distinguish which signs matter. In our current BTC chart, we’re witnessing this contradiction unfold clearly: • A bullish flag formation... • Yet within it, the emerging completion of a Head & Shoulders pattern! How arrogant can the market be! 😄 A moment to laugh—but also a moment to observe how cleverly the crowd is misled. This is classic manipulation, wrapped in a textbook setup. But what’s most telling isn’t the pattern on the surface—it’s the volume beneath the structure. It’s always the quiet details that speak the loudest. Before price shows its true face, volume often leaves footprints. In our case, those footprints were already leading toward a bearish path—long before the structure began to shape itself clearly. So while retail eyes focused on the bullish flag, the underlying volume had already begun withdrawing support. Not aggressively—no. Subtly, almost elegantly, in that familiar way institutions mask intention: • Spikes that don’t hold • Buying that doesn’t follow through • And a steady fade in commitment as price climbs into weakness It’s in those quiet inconsistencies where VSA earns its value. It tells us: the move isn’t about what’s obvious. It’s about what never fully materialized. So yes, the pattern may still remain incomplete. The Head & Shoulders may yet fail to validate. But for those who were watching volume first—not structure—the script was already being written. ✒️ From now on, professionally speaking, we must still wait: • For the Head & Shoulders to confirm or dissolve. So eyes targeted at the swing low level near 107k • And for volume to either legitimize or invalidate the entire setup Only then does the chart grant us permission to speak in certainties. 🐾 But so far… • The clues have favored the bears. • Sell opportunities appeared early and often—for those who know what to look for. • Bullish spikes in volume? They were met with silence. • Momentum fizzled under a macro backdrop of fading demand. If you were in the right mindset, and aligned even the lower timeframes to basic structural zones, you already saw the path ahead wasn’t being carved by the bulls. Let them finish the patterns. Let the candles paint the story. But for those trained in volume, the ink has already dried. And if you're still reading, maybe you already sense it— real insight doesn’t shout, and it never floats in abundance. Value has never been about noise. It’s about what’s rare, quiet, and overlooked by the crowd. Just like in the markets—the true signals aren’t loud, and they’re never free in the economic sense. Just as price rises where supply thins, the same applies here: what’s scarce... holds weight. PS For last A little exercise, something to grasp on. Have you noticed how Volume & RSI behaves in lower time frames? 4Hour or 1Hour for example. Can you identify how volume confirms a bearish move. Do you discover the correct correlation and combined use between VSA & RSI. Remember my previous insight See you next time!
by WhatComes21
1
"Crypto Charts Whisper—Are You Listening?"As I’ve mentioned before, the market is manipulated. In a previously published idea, “VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?”, this manipulation becomes obvious. The big players—whales, institutions, banks—are deliberately engineering traps to absorb liquidity from uninformed retail traders, boosting their profits and power. Some informed retail traders like you and me understand that behind these entities are teams of insiders and highly trained traders operating around the clock—24/7, 365 days a year. That’s what it takes to survive in such a demanding environment. This is especially true in the crypto market, which—despite its explosive growth—is still a baby in terms of total market cap. That’s why price fluctuations are so extreme, whether it’s Bitcoin, Ethereum, or altcoins. Many of you who have been in the space since the early days already know: Bitcoin is the king. As the first coin built on cryptography, Bitcoin leads the way—and where it goes, altcoins follow. These movements often align with changes in Bitcoin Dominance. So, yes, Bitcoin is the king—but its movements aren’t random. Bitcoin follows rules, and these rules are shaped by data—especially macroeconomic data. One major example is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), released monthly by the U.S. Department of Labor and Statistics. And here's the key: the big players often have early access to this kind of information. They prepare accordingly—days before the official release—and when the data hits, they move the markets up or down. Even whales don’t act on gut feelings. They follow a framework. We, as retail traders, must adopt a similar approach. We may not have insider access, but we do have knowledge—and with an open mind, we can act in advance. As I’ve emphasized before: learning to read Market Structure lets you decode not just market psychology, but also the intentions of the big players. Their large positions leave footprints, just like a ship cuts a path through water. That trail is visible—for those who know where to look. If you study volume correctly, you’ll start to notice certain zones that keep coming back. That’s all I’ll say—for now. Unfortunately, many traders rely blindly on strategies like swing trading, expecting price to react at predefined swing highs or lows. But this rarely happens on schedule—especially in crypto. Yes, swing highs and lows exist—that’s the nature of all markets—but in between those levels, the big players create hidden structures that act as signals. These aren’t just random formations—they’re part of how the big players "communicate" with one another. First, to maintain balance within their own circles. Second, to create FOMO and trap emotional retail participants. Look at the SHIBA INU chart I’ve shared. This technique is unfolding in real time. Do you notice how the structure is compressing? How price and new swing levels are squeezing in? Look closer at the footprints I’ve highlighted—some of those levels are being respected and reused in the future. We’re taught from childhood that "we can’t know the future." But is that really true? Repetition of such beliefs is common—worldwide. But again, is it true? I think not. Think about this: if you drive a car full-speed toward a wall and don’t brake, what happens? You crash. Isn’t that a form of future reading? It’s based on logic, observation, and probability. The same tools we use in market analysis. So, I hope my words challenge your thinking. 📅 As of this writing (June 11, 2025), Bitcoin is trading at $109,588. Today’s candle still has about 17 hours left to form, and price action on the daily timeframe is sitting within a previously established supply zone. Bulls and bears are clashing here. But zoom in: what's happening on the lower timeframes? Which signals have been tested, and which haven't? Are we about to see a breakthrough above the all-time high? Could this be the launch of the next leg of the bull run?
by WhatComes21
GBPJPY: Weekly OverviewHello Traders, Everything is clear in the chart. the yellow line is a HTF resistance. ******************************************************** The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC. SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings. TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels. ******************************************************************* Role of different zones: GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them. RED: Just Short trades allowed on them. BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them. WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
by AliSignals
#ES_F Weekly Prep 06.01 - 06.06.25Last week we have consolidated, built a cost basis under HTF Edge Top and made a push into new HTF Ranges Value on Wednesday after some news, we made it into the Mean of that range but failed to hold before the open trapping Supply in Value. Thursday held under the Edge and by Friday built up enough supply to flush Holiday Cost basis into lower Value where the selling stopped at the Mean and we started covering, being mid day Friday and End of Month we got strong enough covering to take us all the way back into the Edge/into current Intraday Ranges top which is around 930 - 25 Area. Question for this week is, was that a strong bid on Friday which will give us a hold and continued pushes into above VAL over the Edge or was it just a retest of this Edge top from below, momentum traders pushed us out on news and now we are back inside 930 - 770s HTF Range ? Looking at our structure, we had Trend Change on Thursday during RTH Open and for now we have closed Friday in downward correction Trend. This tells us that its possible that we have failed to accept inside new above HTF Range and if that is the case then we could target moves back down towards lower areas of VAH / Mean / VAL and if there will be volume moves under it. For things to change and to see stability + strength out of here we would need to see a good push over 930s which could hold over AND see a move over 941 - 45 area, without that need to be careful with longs into those areas as our Supply and Sellers are around and over us. Things have been slow and moves take a while to set up so Current Intraday Range could act as support and we can see price trade back and forth inside it with Holiday Cost basis providing Support, BUT if we do get through that under VAH then we can see further moves down towards Mean and VAL which has another cost basis there that we can try to fill out and it could hold the price around it, to see any more weakness from there we would need to find ourself under VAL and be able to get into that 800 Balance area, it is new Month and we do have Market Moving Data this week so it could happen. If this will be the case good entry areas for continuation lower could be found around 914 - 10 // 900 - 896 // 869 - 65 // 855 - 51 careful around 824 - 20 and IF we attempt for move into lower Balance could find entries for it at 810 - 06 IF Trend does change and we hold over the Edge OR we hold Current Intraday Range and some of the weekly Data/News will push us over 941 - 45 then we could see moves into above VAL / Mean and would look for Entries around 955 - 59 // 986 - 90 if this will be the case need to be careful with looking for too much continuation over the Mean as there will be selling closer to above VAH we get and especially if we see pushes into/over it as there is more supply above, if move higher happens we would probably look to stay under 630 - 20s and If Holiday Cost Basis holds as Support the could also find long entries at 896 - 900 area after we hold under but need to be careful with looking for big moves and try to grab area to area as market moves and back fills very efficiently lately so watch out for back and forth trading while its moving towards targets.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
Weekly Analysis for BTC (May 26–30)BTC played out clean last week. Broke above 108k, tapped a new ATH at 110.5k, and pulled back slightly. Structure still bullish — 4H HLs holding strong and 107k retest held nicely into weekend close. Key level to watch is 110k. If we break that with momentum, price can push to 115k or even 120.7k based on fibs and hype continuation. If we reject again, we might pull back to 107k or 100k — still a buy zone unless 88k breaks. On the macro side, confluence is heavy: – ETFs still driving big money inflow – US debt growing after Trump’s new tax bill – Moody’s downgrade adds more pressure – Geopolitical tensions + safe-haven flow also helping BTC hold strength – Holiday week in the US (Memorial Day), so volume might be low — fakeouts possible if liquidity dries up Best zones to watch this week: 🔸 110k breakout for continuation 🔸 107k and 100k pullback buys 🔸 110.5k ATH for possible rejection scalps As long as 88k holds, structure is clean. Bias remains bullish with both TA and macro pointing up. Will be posting more detial daily anaylsis. follow for more updates. Or check out Streefree_trade IG.
by StressFreeTrading