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Liquidity

Bitcoin - Bears in Control, Lows AheadBitcoin has recently completed a clean sweep of the previous all time high, which has now given us strong bearish confirmation signals. After the sweep, the market rejected higher levels and failed to sustain bullish momentum, showing clear signs of distribution at the top. This shift in behavior suggests that buyers have lost control and sellers are now taking over. Fair Value Gap Setup Currently, price is sitting just below a fair value gap, which remains unfilled. These imbalances often attract price back before continuing in the prevailing direction, and in this case, that direction is down. A small retracement into the fair value gap above would be the ideal setup for a continuation lower. Bearish Confirmation The rejection after sweeping the highs and the subsequent breakdown beneath key support levels has created a bearish structure on the higher timeframe. The failed hold inside the fair value gap turned it into resistance, strengthening the case for lower prices. Each retest has been met with selling pressure, confirming that liquidity is now being delivered to the downside. Liquidity Targets Once the fair value gap above is filled, the next logical draw on liquidity sits below the current range. That means the lows are now exposed, and the cleanest target to expect price to reach is at 112k. The path of least resistance remains to the downside, as uncollected sell-side liquidity continues to build up beneath the market. Trading Outlook As long as Bitcoin continues to respect the newly formed resistance from the fair value gap, the bearish outlook remains intact. A retracement into the gap would likely offer the best entry for shorts, with the expectation that price will then seek out the lows. Only a convincing reclaim above the imbalance would threaten this bearish scenario. Conclusion The clean sweep of the old all time high has shifted market sentiment, and the subsequent bearish confirmations support the idea that the next major move is lower. I expect a slight retrace into the fair value gap before price makes its way down to the 112k liquidity pool. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
61
GBPJPY: Bullish FVG Retracement Into LiquidityMarket Context Current price: ~199.69 Market swept the Previous Day Low (PDL) and reacted bullish. We now have a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, signaling strength. Price is consolidating just above the BOS level. 📌 Bullish Idea The plan is for price to pull back into the 1H demand/FVG zone you’ve highlighted (just above the PDL), then push up towards the liquidity resting above 200.300. This makes sense because: Liquidity is clearly sitting above that swing high. Price already swept downside liquidity (PDL), giving fuel for an upward move. BOS confirms buyers are in control. ✅ Strength of the Setup PDL sweep + BOS -> classic bullish reversal sequence. Fresh demand/FVG zone formed after the BOS. Liquidity target above 200.300 gives a clean upside magnet. Market structure = bullish -> higher probability play. Things to Watch If price breaks below the PDL again, the bullish idea becomes invalid. A shallow retracement (not fully filling the FVG) could still lead to upside, so don’t wait for perfection. Watch London/NY session GBPJPY moves aggressively during those times. Execution Plan Buy Entry: 199.20–199.30 (pullback into demand/FVG) SL: Below 198.95 (below PDL & demand) TP1: 200.00 (psychological round number) TP2: 200.30+ (liquidity target) Professional Take This is a clean liquidity sweep -> BOS -> FVG retracement play. As long as PDL holds, the bias remains bullish. It’s the type of setup that works well on GBPJPY because of its volatility and liquidity runs.
Long
by J4mesWick
What Is an Iceberg Order, and How May It Be Used in Trading?What Is an Iceberg Order, and How May It Be Used in Trading? An iceberg order is a type of execution strategy that hides the full size of a trade by revealing only small portions at a time. Used by institutions and large traders, it helps reduce market impact. Understanding how iceberg orders work, where they’re used, and their risks can help traders more accurately analyse market activity. This article breaks down everything you need to know about iceberg orders and their role in trading. What Is an Iceberg Order? An iceberg order is a type of order designed to execute large trades without revealing the full size to the market. Instead of placing one massive position that could disrupt prices, traders split it into smaller portions, with the rest hidden. As each portion gets filled, the next one is placed automatically until the full order is executed. The key feature of this type of entry is that only a fraction—known as the display quantity—is visible in the order book at any given time. The rest remains hidden until it’s gradually revealed. This prevents other traders from immediately recognising the true size of the position, which helps avoid unnecessary market movements. For example, if a trader wants to buy 50,000 shares of a stock, placing the full position in the market at once could cause prices to rise before execution is complete. Instead, they might set an iceberg order with a display size of 5,000 shares. Once the first 5,000 are bought, another 5,000 are automatically placed, repeating until the full 50,000 are executed. They’re particularly useful for institutional traders, hedge funds, and high-net-worth individuals who want to build or reduce positions without attracting attention. However, some retail traders also use them when executing relatively large trades in markets that support this execution type. Many major exchanges, including those for equities, forex, and futures, allow icebergs, but their availability depends on the broker and trading platform being used. How Iceberg Orders Work The main idea of iceberg orders is clear but let’s consider how they work in detail. Order Execution Process When a trader places an iceberg order, they specify two key parameters: Total size – The full amount they want to buy or sell. Display size – The portion that will be visible at any given time. For example, if a trader wants to buy 20,000 shares but only wants 500 to be visible at a time, the order book will show just 500 shares. Once those are bought, another 500 will appear at the same price (if still available), and the cycle continues until the entire 20,000 shares are filled. Dynamic Execution Some trading platforms and institutional brokers use smart order execution algorithms to optimise how these orders are placed. These algorithms might adjust the display size dynamically based on market conditions, ensuring the order gets executed efficiently without drawing too much attention. Hidden Portions and Order Book Activity Although most of the order remains hidden, experienced traders and high-frequency algorithms can sometimes detect iceberg levels. If they notice an order constantly refreshing at the same price level without an obvious large sell or buy position, they may infer that an iceberg is in play. Where Iceberg Orders Are Most Popular They are most popular in liquid markets where frequent trading activity allows the hidden portions to be executed smoothly. In less liquid markets, there’s a higher risk that the order will be only partially filled or take longer to execute, making alternative execution strategies more practical. Why Traders Use Iceberg Orders Iceberg orders help traders hide their full intentions from the market. Here’s why they’re commonly used: Reducing Market Impact When a large position enters the market, it can shift prices before the full trade is completed. This is particularly an issue in less liquid markets, where even moderate positions can cause price swings. By splitting a large trade into smaller, hidden chunks, iceberg orders prevent sudden moves that could work against the trader. Avoiding Slippage Slippage occurs when an order is executed at a worse price than expected due to market movement. Large trades placed all at once can exhaust available liquidity at the best price levels, forcing later portions to be filled at less favourable prices. Iceberg orders help mitigate this by allowing the trade to be executed gradually without consuming too much liquidity at once. Maintaining Discretion Institutions and high-net-worth traders often prefer to keep their trading activity under the radar. If other market participants see a massive buy or sell entry, they may react by adjusting their own strategies, making it harder for the original trader to get a good price. Icebergs keep most of the position hidden, preventing this from happening. Reducing the Risk of Front-Running High-frequency trading firms and aggressive traders actively monitor the order book for large transactions. When they spot them, they may enter positions ahead of the large trade, pushing prices in an unfavourable direction. By keeping most of the trade hidden, iceberg entries make it harder for others to exploit this information. Identifying Iceberg Orders in the Market Iceberg orders are designed to be discreet, but experienced traders and algorithmic systems can sometimes detect them by analysing order book activity and price movements. Since only a small portion of the total order is visible at any given time, certain patterns can reveal the presence of an iceberg in action. Order Book Clues One of the most obvious signs is a persistent order at the same price level. If a bid or ask keeps refreshing with the same quantity after being partially filled, it may indicate that a much larger hidden position is sitting at an iceberg level. This is particularly noticeable in less liquid markets where large trades are more disruptive. Another telltale sign is a large trade volume without corresponding large visible orders. If significant buying or selling occurs but the order book only displays small entries, there’s a chance that a hidden order is gradually being executed. Time and Sales Analysis Traders can also look at time and sales data, which records every transaction. If the same price level repeatedly absorbs multiple trades without depleting, it suggests a hidden order replenishing itself after each execution. Algorithmic Detection Some trading algorithms are specifically designed to identify icebergs. These tools scan for patterns in order execution and attempt to infer hidden liquidity. While not always accurate, they can give traders an idea of when institutional activity is taking place. Risks and Limitations of Iceberg Orders While iceberg orders can help traders execute large trades discreetly, they are not without drawbacks. Market conditions, execution risks, and the rise of advanced trading algorithms can all impact their effectiveness. - Incomplete Execution: If market conditions change or liquidity dries up, part of the position may remain unfilled. This is especially problematic in volatile or low-volume markets where price movements can accelerate unexpectedly. - Detection by Algorithms: Sophisticated trading algorithms actively scan for hidden orders. High-frequency traders (HFTs) may detect it and adjust their strategies, making it harder to execute at a favourable price. - Increased Trading Costs: Splitting a large entry into multiple smaller ones can lead to higher transaction costs. Exchanges and brokers may charge fees per executed trade, meaning an iceberg entry could end up costing more than a single bulk position. - Slower Execution in Fast Markets: When markets move quickly, the visible portions of an iceberg might not fill fast enough before the price changes. This can lead to slippage, where later parts of the order get executed at worse prices than intended. - Limited Availability: Not all brokers or exchanges support icebergs, particularly in smaller or less liquid markets. Some platforms also impose minimum position size requirements, restricting their use for smaller traders. The Bottom Line Iceberg orders enable traders to execute large trades discreetly, minimising market impact and enhancing execution quality. While they offer advantages in managing liquidity, they also carry risks such as detection by advanced algorithms and potential slippage. Traders should exercise caution and conduct thorough market analysis. FAQ What Is an Iceberg Order? An iceberg order is a type of order that splits a large trade into smaller visible portions, with the remaining size hidden from the order book. As each visible portion is filled, the next one is automatically placed until the full order is executed. This helps traders avoid moving the market or revealing their full position size. How Do You Identify an Iceberg Order? Traders can spot icebergs by looking for repeated small trades at the same price level. If an order keeps refreshing after partial fills without a visible large order in the book, it may indicate hidden liquidity. Time and sales data, as well as algorithmic tools, can help detect these patterns. What Is the Difference Between an Iceberg Order and a Basket Order? An iceberg order breaks a single large entry into smaller, hidden parts, while a basket order consists of multiple different trades executed together, often across various assets or instruments. Basket orders are used for portfolio adjustments, whereas iceberg entries focus on reducing market impact. What Is an Iceberg Order in Crypto*? In crypto* markets, iceberg entries function the same way as in traditional markets—hiding large trades to prevent price fluctuations. Many exchanges offer this feature, particularly for institutional traders handling large positions. How Do I Place an Iceberg Order? Availability depends on the broker or exchange. Traders typically set the total position size and the visible portion, allowing the system to execute the trade in smaller segments. What Is the Iceberg Order Strategy? The strategy involves using iceberg orders to accumulate or distribute large positions without drawing attention. It helps reduce slippage, maintain discretion, and avoid triggering unnecessary price movement. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FXOpen
1
BTC| BULLISH HTF Bias: Fresh mapping aligns bullish. Previous outlooks adjusted — that’s part of the craft, we flow with market structure. Strong upside momentum confirms intent. MTF View: SSL has already been swept, but I’m anticipating a deeper dig into my 30M OB. That’s where my refined IFS (Internal Framework Structure) sits. Execution Plan: Once that mitigation occurs, I’ll shift down to LTF for confirmation before executing continuation buys. Until then, patience. Let smart money handle the delivery. Mindset Note: Traders who rush will miss the clarity. Precision waits, emotion chases.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Juicemannn
GBPUSD| BULLISH HTF Bias: Structure mapped bullish. Price has already mitigated higher-timeframe OB, refined down to precision. Notably, LH break with wick rejections adds confluence for intraday upside interest. MTF View: Tracking SSL below current structure — waiting for that liquidity sweep into the internal framework zone. That’s the key POI for continuation. LTF Setup: Patience. Once the sweep + tap plays out, I’ll wait for a clean flip in structure to confirm long entries. Mindset Note: No rushing — letting liquidity unlock the move. Discipline comes before execution.
Long
by Juicemannn
GBPJPY| BULLISHHTF Bias: Structure mapped with a clear bullish bias, momentum favors continuation higher. MTF View: SSL identified — waiting on that sweep into OB for a clean mitigation. That’s the zone of interest before any commitment to longs. LTF Setup: No confirmation yet. Sitting on hands until the sweep + mitigation completes, then looking for a CHoCH or BOS to lock entries. Mindset Note: Bears can have their moment — patience is power. Let liquidity do its job before stepping in with precision buys.
Long
by Juicemannn
USDJPY| BULLISH HTF Bias: Bullish. 4H printed strong bullish structure with momentum to the upside. MTF Observation: Refined structure spotted — SSL swept, price mitigated area, showing clear interest. LTF Setup: CHoCH confirmed, now waiting for mitigation to trigger continuation. TP Outlook: • First TP (short-term) always drawn near external/internal highs — logical liquidity targets. • Next TP aligned with 30M and 4H highs — higher projected levels for intraday to swing plays. • Meanwhile, scalping opportunities exist up into 5M highs. Mindset Note: Trade what structure gives — scalp with precision, but keep the bigger TP ranges in sight. Execution is layered, bias remains bullish.
Long
by Juicemannn
AUDUSD| BULLISHHTF Bias: Bullish. Higher timeframe shows clear bullish intent — deep sweep in order flow area sets the stage for mid-term continuation and further highs. MTF Observation: Refined structure spotted with SSL confirmed. Sweep occurred, and last week’s order block has been mitigated. Entry Plan: Waiting for lower timeframe confirmations to align with structure for optimal entries and continuation. Mindset Note: Patience and precision over rushing setups. Let the market confirm, then execute.
Long
by Juicemannn
EURUSD| BULLISHHTF Bias: Bullish. Higher timeframe structure is intact, showing strong bull momentum. Price has mitigated the 4H order block and is primed for multi-timeframe continuation. MTF Observation: Waiting for SSL into POI and drive to mitigate the area 1.15600–1.15200. Entry Plan: Once full mitigation occurs, drop to lower timeframes for directional shift and continuation entries. Mindset Note: Patience is key — let bears play out until price gives the proper LTF shift. Precision over rush. Until then, we chill. ✌️
Long
by Juicemannn
NASDAQ| BULLISHHTF Bias: Bullish. Structure intact, bullish intent confirmed, previous highs broken to the upside. All bullish setups remain valid. Strong 4H levels holding; price pushing upward cleanly — past interventions not a concern. MTF Observation: Deep liquidity formed on the sell side. We’re waiting for it to be taken out to mitigate order block areas between 23,500–23,400. Once sweep occurs, refined internal structure will align for bullish continuation. Entry Plan: After order block mitigation, drop to lower timeframes for CHoCH confirmation and precision entry. Until then, we observe, follow price, and maintain patience. Mindset Note: Play smart money. Stay disciplined. Hold your spot, let the market show the path, then execute with precision. Let’s go. 🚀
IG:NASDAQLong
by Juicemannn
GOLD| BULLISHHTF Bias: Bullish. Higher timeframe shows clear bullish intent — structure was broken to the upside previously and now we’re watching for potential continuation buys. 30M Observation: Order block has already been mitigated last week, but price is retesting the area for bullish reinsurance. Refined structure spotted with a multi-timeframe sweep. Entry Plan: Waiting for price to confirm trend change — breach minor LH and pullback — to align for continuation to the upside. Key Levels: Break 3,350+ for next bullish leg; watch pullback for optimal entry. Mindset Note: Precision > rush. Wait for confirmations and structure before committing. Bulls are in the room; patience pays.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Juicemannn
Bitcoin – Momentum Turns Bearish After Topside SweepBitcoin has just completed a clean sweep of the old all-time high, which served as a major liquidity grab. This move has cleared out buy-side liquidity at the very top, creating the perfect environment for a shift in momentum. Price action shows a clear rejection after the sweep, suggesting that the market may now be poised to reach for sell-side liquidity. Inversion Structure and CISD On the 4H timeframe, we have a well-defined inversion fair value gap forming immediately after the high was taken. This aligns with the CISD concept, as the liquidity sweep at the top acted as inducement before a sharp displacement to the downside. The CISD level has already been retested, confirming the shift in structure and reducing the likelihood of another deep revisit before the next leg down. Bearish Pathway From here, price could either continue to slide directly or first pull back into a nearby imbalance before continuing lower. Both scenarios favor the downside, as the order flow remains bearish after the displacement. A further push down is likely to aim for sell-side liquidity resting below the recent swing low. Key Downside Objective The primary target sits at the confluence of a marked liquidity pool and a lower fair value gap. This is a high-probability area for price to react, as it combines the sweep of the recent low with a fill of unmitigated inefficiency. Once that zone is reached, we can reassess for potential reversals or continuation patterns. Expectation The market has already shown its intent by taking the highest liquidity first, shifting structure, and respecting the CISD framework. Unless the upside imbalance is filled in a deeper retrace, the path of least resistance remains lower toward the highlighted fair value gap. Conclusion With liquidity above already cleared and the CISD retested, the focus now shifts to the liquidity resting below. The alignment between structure, inefficiency, and liquidity targets supports a bearish continuation into the marked zone before any meaningful bounce. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
51
Stablecoins as the New Macro Liquidity ProxyFor years, macro liquidity in crypto was gauged through broad monetary metrics like M2 or Total Market Cap. But those days are fading. With the rise of regulated stablecoins—and new TradingView tickers like CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C (Stablecoin Market Cap) and CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C.D (Stablecoin Dominance)—we now have real-time, on-chain liquidity metrics that better reflect how institutional and retail capital enters the crypto ecosystem. 🔑 Why These Tickers Matter • STABLE.C = Capital injection. → Tracks aggregate growth of major stablecoins, serving as a proxy for dry powder entering the system. • STABLE.C.D = Sentiment signal. → Measures stablecoin dominance relative to the crypto market. → Rising dominance = risk-off (capital parked). → Falling dominance = risk-on (capital deploying). Together, they offer a macro lens on risk appetite and capital inflow , updated in real-time—something no traditional metric can match. 🔍 How We Use Them These metrics are now integrated into our Crypto Macro Cockpit , where: • Stablecoin cap growth signals liquidity expansion or contraction • Dominance slope helps identify regime shifts (risk-on vs risk-off) We're beginning to see consistent patterns: ➤ Surges in STABLE.C precede market rallies ➤ Spikes in STABLE.C.D often align with rotation tops or periods of caution 📎 Implication Stablecoins are no longer just trading tools—they’re macro indicators. If ETFs are the Trojan horse for institutional entry, stablecoins are the bloodstream. As we transition into a new cycle, these tickers might become the most important charts you’re not watching. 💬 Would love to hear from others—are you using STABLE.C or STABLE.C.D in your analysis? What signals are you seeing?
CRYPTOCAP:STABLE.C
by RWCS_LTD
1
"BTC at Critical Reversal Zone – Watch This Key Liquidity Trap "BTC at Critical Reversal Zone – Watch This Key Liquidity Trap 🎯" Market Structure Overview BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS points indicate shifts in trend phases, first to the downside (end of July to early August) and then back to the upside. BOL (Break of Low): This marked a key liquidity grab before the reversal rally began. Liquidity Zones: The chart highlights both sell-side liquidity (below lows) and buy-side liquidity (above highs), showing where institutional traders hunt stops. 2. Key Supply & Demand Zones Support Zone (112,500 – 114,500): This level acted as a demand base after the liquidity sweep in early August. Price reacted strongly here, triggering the bullish leg. Previous Resistance (121,500 – 122,500): This zone has capped price multiple times, making it a critical area for sellers to defend. 3. Current Trade Setup Entry Zone: Around 120,000 – 120,400, where a short setup is triggered upon rejection. Stop Loss: Above 122,120, just beyond the resistance to avoid premature stop-outs. Target: 116,500 – aligning with prior liquidity pools and structural support. 4. Educational Takeaways Liquidity Hunts: Notice how price often spikes into liquidity pools before reversing—this is common in BTC’s volatile environment. Confluence Trading: The short setup aligns with resistance retest + liquidity grab + BOS, increasing probability. Risk Management: Using defined zones for stop loss and target helps maintain a favorable risk/reward ratio. Summary: BTC is currently respecting the higher-timeframe resistance zone, with a clear short-term bearish setup in play. A rejection from the entry zone could trigger a drop toward the 116,500 target. Traders should monitor price action closely and avoid chasing entries—patience and precision are key.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
EURUSD – Climbing for Liquidity, Then What?EURUSD continues to move within a well-defined ascending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. After the recent rejection from the lower boundary, price found support inside a fair value gap, triggering a strong bullish reaction. This bounce has maintained the overall bullish structure, keeping the uptrend intact for now. Fair Value Gap Retest The fair value gap retest provided a clean entry for buyers, confirming demand at that level. This reaction reinforced the idea that liquidity was likely collected from the lows, giving the market fuel to push higher toward key resistance levels. Short-Term Bullish Path From here, price is approaching a major liquidity area above recent highs. This level may act as a magnet, drawing price upward for a sweep of buy-side liquidity. A continuation beyond that could result in a direct test of the upper trendline. Potential Bearish Reversal Setup If the upper boundary of the channel is reached, the reaction there will be critical. A sharp rejection from that area could trigger a deeper retracement, potentially driving price back toward the mid-range or even retesting the lower trendline. A liquidity sweep followed by bearish displacement would confirm this shift. Key Scenarios Ahead There are two primary outcomes to watch. First, price could sweep the current high and reverse lower, respecting the channel structure. Second, price could break through, reach the upper trendline, and then roll over for a larger corrective move. In both cases, the reaction after liquidity is taken will define the next directional leg. Conclusion At this stage, EURUSD is in a controlled uptrend, but the next high-probability move depends on how price behaves around the key liquidity level above. The plan is to monitor for either a sweep and rejection or a push to the upper trendline for a potential reversal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
47
GU|HTF LH Sweep + Waiting for Demand Zone Mitigation Bias: Bullish from refined micro OB demand zone HTF Overview: Price has swept highs aligning with a higher timeframe lower high, yet without a decisive candle break to confirm further downside continuation. LTF Confluence: Price is seeking extra confirmation by mitigating into my refined micro OB demand zone. Key Levels: • Sweep watch: 1.33997 • Buy Block: 1.33612 – 1.33461 Execution Plan: Waiting for liquidity sweep into the buy block before engaging in longs. Precision entry only — patience remains the edge.
Long
by Juicemannn
XAUUSD| Textbook CHoch + SSL Sweep + OB Mitigation + TP SmashBias: Bullish on LTF after liquidity sweep Pair: Gold (XAUUSD) HTF Overview: Price maintained bullish flow, with prior session’s sell-side liquidity resting beneath recent 5M structure lows. LTF Confirmation: On the 5M chart, price delivered a clean CHoCH, sweeping SSL and tapping directly into a refined order block. Entry Zone: OB at the sweep level, aligned with execution criteria. Trade Execution: • 5M CHoCH confirmed • SSL swept clean • OB mitigated → instant reaction • Entered in full trader/execution mode Targets: Took TP1 and TP2 following 5M structure; clean continuation until liquidity above was cleared. Mindset Note: Patience before execution was key — I waited for the exact confluence to hit before acting. Precision beats impulse every time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Juicemannn
EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown) EURUSD Technical Analysis (Educational Breakdown) 1. Market Structure Overview The chart shows a clear downtrend phase that started after failing to break the major resistance around 1.1780 – 1.1820. Price formed lower highs and eventually broke below a rising trendline, signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. Recent movement shows a retracement toward a defined entry zone, suggesting a short-term pullback opportunity. 2. Key Levels Resistance Zone (1.1780 – 1.1820): This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, rejecting bullish attempts and triggering heavy sell-offs. Support Zone (1.1340 – 1.1380): A key demand area where previous reversals took place. Current Entry Zone: Between 1.1697 – 1.1750, aligning with a minor resistance zone and previous supply reaction. 3. Price Action Insights Fair Value Gap (FVG) identified earlier near 1.1700 served as a reaction zone before a push downward. The price is now revisiting an area near the previous imbalance, which aligns with a confluence of resistance and short-term overbought conditions. If price action rejects the entry zone, a bearish swing toward 1.1534 is likely. 4. Trade Setup Idea (Short Bias) Entry: 1.1697 – 1.1750 (retest of broken structure). Stop Loss: Above 1.1772 to avoid stop hunts beyond resistance. Target: First take profit at 1.1534; extended target toward 1.1400 if bearish momentum persists. 5. Risk Management & Educational Note This setup is based on supply & demand principles plus market structure shifts. Always confirm entries with lower-timeframe rejection patterns before executing. Protect capital with a maximum of 1–2% risk per trade and adjust lot sizes accordingly. 📌 Summary: EURUSD is currently testing a high-probability short zone after a structural breakdown. If rejection occurs, sellers could push price toward mid-range support at 1.1534, and potentially deeper toward the 1.1400 zone. However, if bulls manage to reclaim and close above 1.1780, this bearish view becomes invalid.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03