AU| Bullish Setup4H price action has been crazy choppy, stuck in a messy range — but I refined and mapped it out.
The 4H high at 0.65533 was broken, price continued higher, then pulled back into my 4H professional order flow area for mitigation.
From there, I dropped to the LTF to plan continuation for the week. I’m watching for liquidity to be swept around 0.64892 and a tap into the OB just below.
Once that happens, I’ll wait for further confirmations before flipping into full execution mode.
Patience first, execution second.
Liquidity
BTC| - Bullish
HTF shows strong bullish momentum, giving clear buy intent for continuation.
Major Levels:
• HTF high: 111,965
• Internal framework high: 110,581
• Sweep level: 105,127
LTF is setting up for a pullback continuation — the classic play after a liquidity sweep into the OB at 115,910.
Once that sweep and mitigation happen, we’re on go after lower timeframe confirmation.
Targets will be the 5M highs or 30M highs depending on how price delivers. 📦
Bitcoin – The Last Stop Before the DropMarket Overview
Price action on the daily chart has shown a decisive move into a key rejection block after taking out recent liquidity. This is a classic sign of exhaustion in the current move, suggesting that momentum may now begin to shift in the opposite direction. The daily close reinforced this idea, showing a clear respect for higher-timeframe resistance levels.
Rejection Block Context
The 4H and daily rejection blocks have aligned, creating a strong confluence zone where sellers have stepped in before. Price did not just test this area, it closed within it, which often indicates a high probability of reversal. This setup builds confidence that the market could be preparing for a retracement.
Liquidity Sweep Confirmation
Before the rejection occurred, price ran through a cluster of resting liquidity above recent highs. This liquidity grab often acts as the fuel for a reversal, as it traps late buyers and allows larger players to shift price in the opposite direction.
Fair Value Gap Target
Below current price, there remains an unfilled gap which is the final gap inside the current run. Historical price behavior shows that such gaps tend to get filled before a fresh move can develop. This unfilled zone provides a clear downside target.
Bearish Scenario
If the rejection holds, I expect price to work its way lower toward the 110k range, filling that remaining gap before any sustained bullish move can resume.
Conclusion
With liquidity taken, a clean rejection from higher-timeframe resistance, and an untouched gap below, the chart is aligning for a potential retracement. I am watching for continued weakness to confirm the move toward the 110k region.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
___________________________________
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NASDAQ 100| Bullish OutlookHTF (4H)
Price has broken major external structure highs, currently trading near the 23,712 zone with strong bullish momentum. My focus is on buying opportunities after a clean pullback — ideally sweeping sell-side liquidity into the 4H OB. Price action is being monitored closely for confirmation.
LTF (30M/5M)
Structure remains clean and respected. I’m watching for a liquidity sweep into the 23,444 – 23,399 OB zone.
Execution Plan
Targeting 5M highs for intraday delivery or 30M highs if momentum extends. Trade will be managed in alignment with internal framework structure and market delivery behavior.
Extreme greed - LINK weekly update August 12 - 18thFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, Chainlink is currently in Minor degree Wave 5 within Intermediate degree Wave 3. On a broader scale, LINK has completed a 1–2 structure at both the Primary and Intermediate degrees, similar to many other altcoins I have analysed recently, and is now advancing as part of Cycle degree Wave 1.
Liquidity positioning shows a substantial build-up below current price. The recent impulsive rally was largely driven by a short squeeze, as many traders opened short positions during Wave 4 and were subsequently liquidated. The order book also shows heavy order clusters above price, aligning closely with the key Fibonacci extension levels.
Funding rates, however, paint a more cautionary picture. They are currently at extremely high positive levels, while open interest has spiked sharply — suggesting that this leg higher is standing on shaky ground. Such conditions often precede volatility spikes or corrective pullbacks. Additionally, momentum indicators like the RSI are showing overbought conditions.
Given the current structure and liquidity alignment, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension remains my preferred target for the completion of this Minor Wave 5, as it coincides with a significant concentration of orders and fits the overall Elliott Wave projection. That said, the combination of overheated funding rates, elevated open interest, and extreme momentum readings warrants high caution for traders.
As always — do your own research, and trade safe.
$200 soon - SOL weekly update August 12 - 18thFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, the scenario for Solana has been slightly adjusted from previous counts. Current price action suggests that SOL is already in an impulsive upward move, which aligns well with the broader correlation observed across the altcoin market. As with many other altcoins, the structure shows a completed 1–2 sequence at the Primary degree and another 1–2 sequence at the Intermediate degree. At the Minor degree, price is in the final stages of Wave 1, specifically in Minute Wave 5.
An alternative scenario — less likely but still possible — is that the move is actually a corrective structure, with the Minor degree currently forming Wave C. This would become more probable if price extends significantly beyond the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, as such behaviour would be atypical for a standard fifth wave.
From a liquidity standpoint, short- to medium-term bias points upward. The liquidity heatmap shows a large concentration of liquidity at the local high of Wave 3, as well as significant order clusters near the 1.0 extension target for the current Wave 5. However, substantial liquidity is also accumulating below current price, which will likely be targeted during the subsequent Wave 2 retracement.
Funding rates have shifted from slightly negative toward positive territory, and open interest is climbing — both signs of a stable and sustained upward move.
Macro conditions also support the current market tone. The latest CPI data came in at 2.7%, better than expected, boosting sentiment. As the FOMC meeting approaches, retail traders are increasingly positioning for a potential “altseason” — a dynamic that raises the probability of a sell-the-news event if expectations are overextended.
Given the current wave structure, liquidity positioning, and macro backdrop, the 1.0 Fibonacci extension level has been set as the primary target for the completion of this Minor Wave 5. This area aligns with heavy order clustering and fits the typical profile for a fifth wave termination before a corrective phase.
Do your own research — and trade safe.
EURUSD SELL BIASPrice action has maintained a bullish structure since the beginning of the year. However, recent failure to break above the June high, coupled with the formation of lower highs and lower lows, suggests a potential bearish reversal. My final target is positioned at 1.15164, with the ultimate take-profit level set at 1.13914.
BTC - Short Update Part 2This chart shows the ascending parallel channel that supports 7,000-8,000 ultimate bottom - layered with BITCOIN ONLY liquidity zones on the multi day time frame.
The majority or liquidity in the chart is long position stop losses - leveraged sell orders.
Bitcoin has been moving straight up, consolidating sideways, straight up, consolidating sideways since End 2022.
This tells us the market is collecting long position stop losses and leaving them in tact IE not allowing price to fully drop and start triggering off the cascading chain reaction of sells that is a natural phenomenon.
Happy Trading.
"Gold’s Next Big Move? The Hidden Entry Zone Smart Money "Gold’s Next Big Move? The Hidden Entry Zone Smart Money is Watching!"
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently consolidating after a series of higher lows, signaling sustained bullish momentum from the strong support region around $3,280–$3,300. Price has respected key structural points, forming a clean market structure with:
BOS (Break of Structure) confirming bullish intent after reclaiming prior resistance.
Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap) acting as a liquidity zone for potential re-entries.
Multiple Higher Lows, highlighting strong buyer defense levels.
The chart indicates a possible short-term retracement into the $3,350–$3,357 entry zone, which aligns with demand structure. From this zone, buyers are expected to push toward the $3,400–$3,415 resistance target.
Key technical levels:
Entry Zone: $3,350–$3,357 (demand area)
Stop Loss: Below $3,340 to protect against deeper pullbacks
Take Profit: $3,400 psychological level and $3,414 structural resistance
Market Sentiment:
The combination of a strong support base, sustained higher lows, and bullish imbalance zones suggests a favorable risk–reward setup for long positions. A clean breakout above $3,415 could trigger a larger bullish leg toward the $3,440 resistance zone.
📈 Bias: Bullish above $3,350
💡 Watch for a reaction at the entry zone before committing to positions.
This is it - Bitcoin weekly update August 11 - 17thFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin is currently unfolding a Cycle degree Wave C, which at the Primary degree is forming Wave A. At both the Intermediate and Minor degrees, price is also in Wave A. The minimum downside target for this structure lies at the 1.0 Fibonacci extension near $112K. Additional targets include the 1.236 extension at roughly $110K and the 1.618 extension near $106K.
Liquidity mapping reveals notable clusters at key levels. The $115.5K zone, highlighted by the red box on the chart, contains significant liquidity according to the heatmap. Additionally, order book data shows heavy bid accumulation around the $110K level — an area that also coincides with a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). The Point of Control (POC) from the previous wave lies just below the red box, further reinforcing the bearish confluence.
From a derivatives standpoint, the recent impulsive rally in Wave b appears to have been largely driven by leveraged positions. Funding rates have started to decline from high positive levels, while open interest — after a brief surge — is now dropping, suggesting traders are unwinding positions rather than adding fresh exposure.
Spot ETF flows continue to show net inflows, but closer inspection reveals that these have been more FOMO-driven than strategic accumulation. Outflows were recorded at the local low of Wave a, while inflows spiked during the impulsive rise of Wave b — behaviour that often reverses as the market corrects. This increases the likelihood of inflows slowing or reversing during the expected downward leg.
The primary scenario anticipates that Bitcoin will continue lower. At the Primary degree, Wave A could terminate within the red liquidity box, where the liquidity cluster might act as a temporary buy wall. This could then lead to a corrective Wave B before a final Wave C to complete the larger structure. However, making precise forecasts beyond Wave A would be speculative at this stage.
GJ: Courtyard Sweep Into Bullish ContinuationBias: Bullish
Pair: GBPJPY
Higher Timeframe Context (4H & 2H)
• Significant 4H high at 196.846 was broken, confirming bullish intent and momentum.
• Price had been ranging between 196.784 – 199.975 before breaking sell-side liquidity at 196.797.
• This liquidity sweep led to mitigation of a refined 30M order block between 195.405 – 195.349, sparking strong bullish momentum.
• Note: Unmitigated 4H order block exists between 194.816 – 194.022, but current focus is on capturing the bullish continuation in play.
Lower Timeframe Context (30M & 5M)
• After the 30M order block mitigation, price breached and broke the major lower high, shifting bias fully bullish.
• Now in execution mode, awaiting price to reach refined order block at 197.631 – 197.391.
• A courtyard liquidity sweep at 197.682 will act as the trigger for entry.
Execution Plan
• Enter after liquidity sweep at 197.682 and mitigation of the refined OB at 197.631 – 197.391.
• First TP: 198.842 (5M highs).
• Second TP: 199.979 (30M structural highs).
• Hold toward TP2 depending on price delivery and momentum.
Key Levels
• Broken High: 196.846
• Range: 196.784 – 199.975
• Sell-Side Liquidity: 196.797
• 30M Refined OB: 195.405 – 195.349
• Entry OB: 197.631 – 197.391
• Courtyard Liquidity: 197.682
• TP1: 198.842
• TP2: 199.979
Summary:
GBPJPY shifted from analysis to execution mode after breaking a major lower high and mitigating a refined 30M order block. Price is now approaching a key courtyard liquidity level, which, once swept, sets up a clean long entry toward TP1 and TP2. With bullish structure across the board, the plan is to ride momentum into the highs while managing execution on the lower timeframes.
USDJPY| Bullish Setup After OB MitigationBias: Bullish
Pair: USDJPY
Higher Timeframe Context (4H & 2H)
• Major 4H high at 149.211 was broken, pushing price to a new high at 150.910.
• Expected pullback has played out, with price mitigating a refined 4H internal structure order flow zone between 146.735 – 145.864.
• This refined order flow zone has historical reaction points from previous weeks, indicating strong demand.
Lower Timeframe Context (30M & 5M)
• On the 30M chart, key high at 148.819 preceded a sell-side liquidity sweep at 148.595.
• Following the sweep, price dropped and mitigated the refined 30M order block between 147.893 – 147.812, showing strong reaction.
• Currently awaiting a 5M lower high break as confirmation for bullish continuation.
Execution Plan
• Standby for a confirmed 5M lower high break and a sweep of minor sell-side liquidity into next week.
• Look for entry after mitigation of the refined OB for a bullish continuation.
• Targets: 5M highs and 30M highs, depending on structure delivery.
Key Levels
• 4H High (broken): 149.211
• New High: 150.910
• 4H Refined Order Flow Zone: 146.735 – 145.864
• 30M High: 148.819
• 30M Liquidity Sweep: 148.595
• 30M Refined OB: 147.893 – 147.812
Summary:
USDJPY remains in bullish structure after breaking major highs and pulling back into strong demand. The higher timeframe structure supports continuation, but execution will wait for lower timeframe confirmation — specifically a 5M lower high break and liquidity sweep into refined demand. Patience here sets up a clean, high-probability long entry into next week.
GBPUSD Bullish Setup - Waiting for Courtyard Sweep Bias: Bullish
Pair: GBPUSD
Higher Timeframe Context (4H)
• Major 4H high at 1.37877 remains intact.
• Key high at 1.34474 was broken with strong bullish momentum.
• Price swept sell-side liquidity at 1.33707, then dropped to mitigate a refined 4H order block between 1.31558 – 1.31405.
• This mitigation sparked a strong bullish reaction, aligning with the overall higher timeframe bias.
Lower Timeframe Context (30M & 5M)
• On the 30M chart, price broke a significant lower high at 1.33138, confirming bullish structure.
• Waiting for market open to deliver a deeper pullback.
• Expecting a courtyard liquidity sweep at 1.32602.
• After liquidity is taken, looking for mitigation into the refined order block zone 1.32452 – 1.32158.
Execution Plan
• Standby until liquidity sweep at 1.32602 is complete.
• Watch for 5M confirmations at the refined order block zone 1.32452 – 1.32158 before entering.
• Targets: 5M structural highs and 30M structural highs.
• Preliminary stop loss consideration: around 1.32158 (subject to adjustment based on price action).
Key Levels
• 4H High: 1.37877
• Broken High: 1.34474
• Liquidity Sweep: 1.33707
• 4H Refined OB: 1.31558 – 1.31405
• Courtyard Liquidity: 1.32602
• Refined Entry Zone: 1.32452 – 1.32158
Summary:
GBPUSD remains firmly bullish after breaking key highs and sweeping liquidity on the higher timeframe. A clean sweep of courtyard liquidity at 1.32602 followed by mitigation into the refined demand zone will set up a high-probability long opportunity. Execution will rely on lower timeframe confirmations, with targets set on both 5M and 30M highs.
EURUSD: Bullish Breakout + Pullback to Order Block
Bias: Bullish
Pair: EURUSD
Higher Timeframe Context (4H)
• Price broke the previous high at 1.14941 with strong bullish momentum.
• Major sell-side liquidity located at 1.14463 has been swept.
• After the liquidity sweep, price mitigated a refined order block zone between 1.13992 – 1.13725.
Lower Timeframe Context (30M & 5M)
• On the 30-minute chart, a major lower high at 1.15892 was broken, confirming bullish structure.
• Sell-side liquidity at 1.15271 on the 30M timeframe has been cleared.
• Expecting price to retrace into the refined order flow area between 1.14379 – 1.13924 for a potential long setup.
Execution Plan
• Wait for price to enter the refined order flow zone.
• Drop down to 5M timeframe for entry confirmation (looking for liquidity sweep and bullish shift in structure).
• Target 5M highs and 30M highs for profit-taking.
Key Levels
• 4H High (broken): 1.14941
• 4H Order Block Zone: 1.13992 – 1.13725
• 30M Liquidity: 1.15271
• Refined Entry Zone: 1.14379 – 1.13924
Summary:
Market structure is bullish across the higher timeframes. After the liquidity sweeps and order block mitigations, a retracement into the refined demand zone is expected, providing a favorable setup to join the continuation higher towards 5M and 30M timeframe highs.
XAUUSD (Gold) | Bullish Bias
📌 Higher Time Frame (4H/2H) Context
• Overall bias: Bullish after multiple BOS (break of structure) events.
• Key High: 3,366.287 — price broke above, confirming bullish market structure.
• Liquidity sweep at 3,293.327, followed by mitigation of 4H demand zone (3,264.769 – 3,245.643) with strong bullish momentum.
• This continuation follows last week’s uptrend and BOS at the same 3,366 high.
• Early this week: liquidity sweep at 3,309.301 → refined 4H order block (3,284 – 3,282) tapped, strong bullish reaction.
⸻
⏳ Lower Time Frame (30M/5M) Confirmation
• Price currently reacting off last week’s 4H OB.
• Liquidity level to watch: 3,350.000.
• Looking for a pullback into internal structure OB near 3,349.000 for potential long entry.
• Waiting for lower time frame confirmation (5M/1M) before execution.
⸻
🎯 Execution Plan
• Entry: On confirmed mitigation + bullish LTF structure at 3,349 OB.
• Stop-Loss: Below refined OB low.
• TP1: 5M structural highs.
• TP2: 30M structural highs (adjust depending on delivery).
⸻
🧠 Mindset Note
No chasing — wait for price to pull back and confirm at OB. Let liquidity sweep play out first for optimal RR entry.
NASDAQ-100| Bullish Bias📌 Higher Time Frame (4H/2H) Context
• Market remains bullish, currently in push phase toward 4H highs.
• No sweep or mitigation at the previous 4H order block — price pushed higher with strong momentum.
• 4H Demand Zone: 22,576 – 22,376
• Liquidity at 22,955 cleared → room for continuation to higher targets.
⸻
⏳ Lower Time Frame (30M/5M) Confirmation
• 30M structure refined, bullish order flow intact.
• Current liquidity resting near 23,400.
• Watching 30M OB: 23,322 – 23,222 for a pullback, liquidity sweep & inducement.
⸻
🎯 Execution Plan
• Entry Zone: 23,321 – 23,221 (refined OB)
• Stop-Loss: 23,225
• TP1: 5M + 30M structural highs
• 30M Structural High Target: 23,714
⸻
🧠 Mindset Note
Patience is key — wait for price to pull back into the OB zone and give lower time frame confirmation. No chasing. Let liquidity sweep first, then execute.
US30 Liquidity Grab Strategy – 15m Chart (1m Precision Entries)Description:
This idea showcases my Liquidity Grab Entry Signals strategy, optimized for US30.
The setup identifies daily high/low liquidity zones with a sensitivity buffer, then confirms reversals using strong engulfing candles.
Key Points:
Daily Liquidity Levels plotted automatically.
Buffer Zone detects price interaction with liquidity.
Engulfing Confirmation for higher probability entries.
Long when price rejects daily low with bullish engulfing.
Short when price rejects daily high with bearish engulfing.
While the precision entries are taken on the 1-minute chart, this 15-minute chart is shown for publication purposes in line with TradingView rules.
Example (Yesterday & Today):
Multiple clean rejections at daily liquidity zones.
Clear 1:15–1:20 R:R potential with minimal drawdown.
Risk Management:
Suggested SL: 10–15 points beyond liquidity zone.
Suggested TP: the next key level.
Precise 1 min entry shown here:
GJ|- Bullish Momentum Setup for Next Week4H – From the top-down, price has been respecting structure and just broke major highs with strong momentum to the upside.
30M – Price pulled back into structure, refined to the cleanest level. Before that, we had the professional sweep I mentioned in my last GJ post.
5M – I’m watching for a sweep of SSL into my refined zone before taking an entry. Once that happens, I’ll look for bullish follow-through.
Buy Zone: 196.264
SL: 195.925
Bias: Bullish continuation into next week — pending liquidity sweep confirmation.
XAUUSD Bearish SMC Analysis – Institutional RejectionXAUUSD Bearish SMC Analysis – Institutional Rejection from Supply Zone
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a clear bearish structure after rejecting a major supply zone at premium pricing. This setup is aligned with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and reflects how institutions manipulate liquidity and order flow before major price moves.
🔍 Market Structure Context:
The market had been trending upward with higher highs and higher lows, until it approached a key premium supply zone near $3,420.
At this level, price stalled, creating internal Equal Highs (liquidity) — a common trap used by institutions to grab orders before reversing.
🔄 Change of Character (CHoCH):
A clear CHoCH was printed when price broke below the most recent higher low, signaling a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
This change marked the first early signal that institutional order flow has flipped bearish, and distribution is underway.
📉 Break of Structure (BOS):
Following the CHoCH, the market confirmed intent with a clean BOS to the downside.
This structural break confirms bearish control and validates short bias.
🧲 Liquidity Engineering:
Equal Highs were swept at the top, indicating a liquidity grab before institutions drove price downward.
This move traps breakout buyers and provides large players with sell-side execution at premium pricing.
🧱 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Supply Zone Mitigation:
After BOS, price retraced into a Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and the origin of the supply zone, offering a high-probability entry.
The rejection from this zone showed imbalance was respected and no bullish continuation existed — further validating the short setup.
🔍 Confluences for the Bearish Bias:
Confluence Confirmation
CHoCH Structure flipped bearish
BOS Bearish continuation confirmed
Liquidity Sweep Equal highs taken
FVG Retest Smart Money re-entry signal
Supply Zone Mitigation Institutional reaction confirmed
📘 Educational Summary:
This setup exemplifies a complete Smart Money bearish reversal model:
Premium pricing ✅
Liquidity taken ✅
Structure flipped (CHoCH + BOS) ✅
Supply & FVG respected ✅
It reflects how institutions build positions quietly, using engineered liquidity to trap retail traders, and then drive price with high-volume imbalance moves.