AUDUSD - Bullish Bias
🔹 Pair: AUDUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Price respected higher-timeframe bullish structure and swept past the MTF OB with momentum.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Mitigation occurred in the deeper hidden anchor OB. Waiting for a clean midterm CHoCH to confirm continuation.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once the MTF CHoCH prints, I’ll drop to the lower timeframe to refine entries and align with discounted areas.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity points above recent structure in line with bullish bias.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience and alignment across timeframes remains the edge.
Liquidity
BTCUSD - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
🔹 HTF Overview: Price remains strong and bullish, respecting higher-timeframe structure with clear upward momentum.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for midterm alignment—once a lower-high (LH) breach occurs, we’ll position for continuation with fresh OB areas.
🔹 LTF Setup: Currently in a deep anchor OB. Waiting for the hold and CHoCH switch before committing to long entries.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity zones above recent highs, aligned with bullish intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Let smart money lead—patience ensures optimal timing and execution.
XAUUSD - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: Gold (XAUUSD)
🔹 HTF Overview: Market structure remains bullish, with strong upside intent still intact.
🔹 MTF Outlook: Waiting for price to sweep short-term sell-side liquidity and mitigate the deeper OB below—this will refine the continuation play.
🔹 LTF Setup: Once MTF objectives are cleared, I’ll align with CHoCH and fresh OB prints on the lower timeframe to position long.
🔹 Targets: Eyes remain on higher liquidity pools in line with bullish market rhythm.
🔹 Mindset Note: Timing is everything—patience until MTF and LTF structure align.
UJ - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: USDJPY
🔹 HTF Overview: Bullish structure well respected, with clean momentum driving price higher.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Price mitigated our midterm OB, held firmly, and validated the continuation longs we’ve been anticipating.
🔹 LTF Setup: Bullish setups already played out—now waiting for fresh alignments and new mitigations to position for the next leg.
🔹 Targets: Eyes on mid- to long-term highs as liquidity magnets in line with bullish intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience sharpens precision—let the market confirm before engaging.
GU - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: GBPUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Price swept liquidity, then respected a higher-timeframe order block. Momentum shifted bullish with a steady rhythm.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Initial OB mitigation failed cleanly, but price tapped deeper into hidden anchor OBs. From here, expecting smart money to defend and guide the move higher.
🔹 LTF Setup: Waiting for a CHoCH and a fresh OB print. Once midterm structure aligns, I’ll refine entries from the LTF.
🔹 Targets: Higher liquidity pools above recent highs in line with bullish HTF intent.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the real entry—let smart money confirm before committing.
EU - Bullish Bias🔹 Pair: EURUSD
🔹 HTF Overview: Major higher-high order block respected cleanly. Strong bullish intent and volume confirmed; market structure favors upside continuation.
🔹 MTF Confirmation: Original OB failed, but price tapped deeper into the hidden anchor block. Expecting this zone to act as the true smart money foundation.
🔹 LTF Setup: Waiting for a CHoCH and lower-high break. After that, I’ll target a pullback below 50% equilibrium into discounted areas for long entries.
🔹 Targets: Continuation toward higher-timeframe liquidity above recent highs.
🔹 Mindset Note: Patience is the edge. Smart money confirms before committing.
Bitcoin Liquidity GrabBitcoin came back into discount pricing (between the swing low and swing high), and it looks like it is still waiting for the next catalyst for the next leg up.
We are currently still in the weekly imbalance, which a lot of times will act as a demand zone. Before we can take a long position, we need to clear the "bump in the road" — or in this case, liquidity.
I will wait for price to take out the liquidity under the equal lows around 107.2k, and then I’ll wait for a CHoCH on the 1H–4H before looking for a long trade.
Happy trading,
USD/CHF - Multi Timeframe Analysis (Trade setup)📉 USD/CHF – Forecast Breakdown 📉
Time to dissect this one across the charts 👇
🕰 Weekly View
The weekly chart is still in a bearish trend. Price rejected from the monthly/weekly trendline and printed a clean lower-high setup. Structure suggests continuation down unless buyers can flip resistance near 0.83. For now → bias leans bearish, with space to revisit 0.76–0.75 demand.
📅 Daily Structure
Daily shows a swing range with:
BOS south ✅
Liquidity sweep below SSL (sell-side liquidity)
Market retracing toward 0.805–0.81 (daily + 71% zone)
This looks like a setup for a liquidity grab into premium pricing before sellers potentially take control again. The daily zone at 0.805–0.81 is the hot spot to watch for bearish reactions.
⏱ 4H Breakdown
On the 4H:
Price already made a BOS down, confirming short-term bearishness.
Currently pushing back into a 4H + daily supply overlap (0.805–0.81).
Ideal scenario → a sweep of that zone before the next bearish leg, targeting 0.79 → 0.785.
🎯 Summary
Weekly : Bearish, trend pointing lower 📉
Daily : Retrace likely into 0.805–0.81 before rejection ⚔️
4H : Watching for liquidity sweep + reversal confirmation 👀
Bias → Bearish, unless bulls flip above 0.815. Short opportunities favored around the supply zone, targeting 0.79 → 0.785, with deeper extension possible toward 0.76 if momentum holds.
⚠️ Risk note: USD/CHF can grind slowly — patience is key; avoid chasing entries.
USD/JPY - Multi Timeframe analysis🚀 USD/JPY – Forecast Breakdown 🚀
Let’s cook this pair up across the timeframes 👇
🕰 Weekly View
Price has been battling along that weekly liquidity trendline. After months of chop, buyers finally punched through the consolidation zone and are now aiming higher. Big picture → the path of least resistance points north toward the 152–154 zone. But, keep in mind, weekly still has major resistance around 150 lurking.
📅 Daily Structure
Daily chart shows a clean BOS after running stops. Price cleared liquidity above 149, tapped into the daily imbalance, and is reacting nicely. If bulls keep control, momentum could carry us toward 151. But if daily sellers defend that major resistance, we could see a dip back to 148 (daily demand).
⏱ 4H Breakdown
On the 4H:
Fresh BOS + 71% fib reaction 🔥
Price grabbed liquidity below before rocketing higher.
Market is now stalling under 149.5 – 150 major resistance.
Short-term scenario: Possible pullback into 148.3 – 148.5 (4H demand) before another leg up. If that zone holds, bulls likely reload and push us toward 151+.
🎯 Summary
Weekly : Breaking higher, aiming for 152–154 🎯
Daily : Strong BOS, but resistance at 150 needs clearing ⚔️
4H : Demand at 148.3–148.5 is the key re-entry zone 🟩
Bias → Bullish overall, with healthy pullbacks likely. Watch 150: break it clean and we’re on rocket mode 🚀; rejection could mean a retest of 148 support.
⚠️ Risk note: USD/JPY is a stop-hunter — mind your entries and size.
GBP/JPY - Multi timeframe Analysis (We are ready to sell off)🔥 GBP/JPY – Forecast Breakdown 🔥
Alright traders, let’s slice this beast up 👇
🕰 Weekly View
We’re chilling right inside that weekly supply zone after sweeping the BSL. Price already showed signs of exhaustion here, and the structure screams: "Yo, we might dip." If sellers hold this fort, the swing could correct toward the mid-190s — right where demand is waiting.
📅 Daily Structure
Daily chart shows price running liquidity above 200/201 and tapping into resistance. BOS candles already printed earlier in the leg up, so this could be the last stop hunt before a deeper pullback. Daily demand sits 197 – 196, prime snack zone 🍫 for buyers to reload.
⏱ 4H Breakdown
On the 4H, we’ve got:
71% fib reaction ✅
BOS and liquidity sweep above 200.5
Market tapping into a 4H supply zone
That’s textbook SMC (smart money concepts) for a reversal play. Expectation? A possible short run back into 198 – 197, lining up with the daily zone.
🎯 Summary
Weekly : Tapped supply, sellers flexing 💪
Daily : Liquidity grab above 200, correction eyed
4H : 71% retrace + supply reaction, bearish pressure building
Bias → Short-term bearish targeting 198 – 197. Watch for rejections at current levels, but if buyers somehow break above 202, then the short idea is invalidated.
⚠️ Risk note: Stay nimble, this pair moves like a rocket 🚀 and can hunt stops fast.
NEAR — Prime Swing Setup at $2.5NEAR is shaping up for a high-probability swing trade, and the chart is lining up beautifully. The $2.5 zone is packed with confluence, making it one of the most attractive long opportunities on NEAR in a while.
Confluence Support Zone
Previous Monthly Open (Key Level): $2.535
0.786 Fib Retracement: $2.506
Liquidity Pocket: Sitting right at this zone
📌 Together, these factors make the $2.53–$2.50 area a critical support level to watch.
🟢 Long Setup
Entry: $2.53–$2.50 zone
Stop-Loss: Below monthly open at $2.366
Target: $4 (major resistance + TP zone)
Potential Gain: ~+50% if played to target
R:R 1:7+
Trade Outlook
If NEAR reacts strongly off the $2.5 zone, this setup could unfold into a powerful swing trade. The structure suggests this could be the launchpad for the next leg higher.
As always, confirmation is key: I’ll be watching closely for a clean reaction before committing fully. Profit-taking decisions will be refined as price action develops, but the $4 level stands out as the main TP zone.
Indicators used
DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
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GBP/USD - Multi Timeframe Forecast🕰 Weekly View
Weekly is looking toppy near that 1.38–1.39 rejection zone.
Big weekly BOS already in play → momentum pointing down.
Liquidity targets sit way lower at 1.28–1.29 (weekly demand + swing range).
📉 Daily Structure
Daily broke structure → now printing lower highs.
A daily supply zone sits heavy overhead near 1.36–1.37.
If sellers keep pressing, the magnet is clear: 1.30–1.31 daily demand (stacked with fib + HV buy zone).
Any bounces are likely just snack stops for liquidity 🍟 before rolling lower.
⏱ 4H Breakdown
Price is hunting between two short-term options:
1️⃣ Option 1: Tap into the 4H supply around 1.3450–1.3500, reject hard → continuation down.
2️⃣ Option 2: Push a bit higher into the high-volume sell zone at 1.3550–1.3600 → then dump to new lows.
Below, key demand sits at 1.3200 → 1.3000, so that’s the landing pad 🎯.
🎯 Summary
Bias : Bearish until proven otherwise.
Weekly → Failed top, heading toward deeper demand.
Daily → Lower highs into supply, eyes on 1.30.
4H → Watch for rejection at sell zones before shorting.
Big picture → GBP/USD looks like it’s loading up for a multi-week selloff 📉 unless buyers defend hard at 1.32.
EUR/USD - Multi time frame Analysis 🕰 Weekly View
Price recently tapped weekly demand around 1.1600 and reacted strong.
But that wick rejection above 1.1900 screams liquidity sweep 🧹—it failed to hold as a true breakout.
Until we see a clean weekly BOS (Break of Structure) above 1.1900, this is still looking like a range play between 1.16–1.19.
📉 Daily Structure
We’ve got a failed break at the highs, confirming liquidity grab.
Daily is chilling near the 71% fib retracement + demand zone. That’s the hot buy area 🏦.
If price bounces here → eyes on 1.1750–1.1800.
If it fails → expect a sweep into 1.1500 zone before any rocket 🚀.
⏱ 4H Breakdown
Two clear scenarios loading…
1️⃣ Idea 1 (deeper dip): Price breaks below current lows, sweeps liquidity into 1.1550–1.1600 (4H demand). Then we catch buys for a run back to 1.1700+.
2️⃣ Idea 2 (bullish push): Price flips short-term highs at 1.1750 → confirms momentum → next stop 1.1850–1.1900 retest.
Both ideas align with higher-timeframe liquidity games—just depends which way market makers want to hunt first 🎯.
🎯 Summary
Weekly = Range between 1.16–1.19 until proven otherwise.
Daily = Sitting on golden demand/discount.
4H = Watch for liquidity sweep down or break above 1.1750.
Big picture → Still bullish bias if demand holds, but don’t be surprised by one more dip before the climb.
Sept 25: Two Trades Should Have Won If I Just...Sept 25: Two Trades Should Have Won If I Just...
Put my TP at 10 pips (100 points).
Both trades on A+ setups but failed because TP was too high.
I guess I have to adjust my 130 point standard take profit idea. It's still too high lol.
I've decided to do 50 points/5pips SL and 100 points/10pips as my standard. I think it's just enough for my strategy's "gas limits".
We'll see how it goes if this ends up making me profitable or not.
EURUSD - Bears are taking control!Introduction
This chart analysis of EUR/USD highlights key price action concepts such as liquidity grabs, fair value gaps, and inversions on the four-hour timeframe. By examining how the market has been moving recently, we can better understand where price may head next and how institutional activity could be shaping upcoming moves. The following sections break down the liquidity sweeps, the bearish and bullish setups, and the potential implications for future price direction.
Liquidity grab at the upside
The recent price movement shows a clear liquidity grab to the upside, where price aggressively pushed higher to take out resting buy stops above previous highs. This kind of move is typical of market makers and institutions seeking liquidity before reversing the price. Once those stops are cleared, the market often lacks the momentum to sustain higher levels, which can be a precursor to a reversal or deeper retracement.
Liquidity grab at the downside
After the upward liquidity sweep, the market also executed a downside liquidity grab. Price dipped lower to target sell-side liquidity, running stops beneath previous lows before showing signs of reacting. These moves are designed to trap both breakout traders and late sellers, creating the liquidity necessary for the next larger move. This back-and-forth price action emphasizes how the market often seeks liquidity in both directions before deciding on a sustained trend.
4h bearish FVG
A four-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed, which acts as a strong area of imbalance where price is likely to return. This zone provides a potential entry point for institutional traders looking to short, as it represents inefficiency in the market that has yet to be filled. As long as price respects this area and reacts bearishly upon re-entry, it strengthens the case for continuation to the downside.
4h bullish inversion
At the same time, there is a four-hour bullish inversion level, where previous resistance has flipped into potential support. This area can act as a temporary base for price to consolidate or retrace before resuming its bearish trajectory. If the inversion holds, we might see short-term bullish reactions, but the broader market structure still favors sellers as long as the bearish FVG remains intact.
Final thoughts
Overall, the current EUR/USD setup suggests that the market is in the process of engineering liquidity on both sides before deciding its next major move. The upside and downside liquidity grabs confirm the presence of institutional activity, while the bearish FVG highlights a potential point of interest for further selling. The bullish inversion may offer temporary support, but the broader bias remains bearish until proven otherwise. Traders should watch how price reacts to the highlighted zones, as these areas are likely to provide the clearest signals for the next significant move.
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EUR/USD forecast (1H)⚡ EUR/USD – Top-Down Breakdown ⚡
🕰 Weekly View
Big picture shows price tapping into HTF resistance zone (1.1850–1.1900).
Structure is still heavy long-term, but bulls have carved a corrective leg upward.
📅 Daily View
Price reacted off discount demand earlier in August, shifting order flow bullish.
Now, price has tested the HTF resistance and left a strong wick → sellers showing interest.
Room below for a deeper retrace into demand.
⏳ 4H View
Multiple i-BOS along the way up, confirming bullish order flow.
Current correction pulled back into a 4H reaction zone → Buy Zone 1 (1.1720s).
If this fails, next major support sits at Buy Zone 2 (1.1580s) aligned with 71% fib & imbalance fill.
⏱ 1H View
Price swept BSL at the top, then sold off into the 4H reaction zone.
Buyers defending here for now, but structure isn’t super clean → liquidity still resting below.
If bulls hold above Buy Zone 1 → bounce back toward 1.1820–1.1850.
If it breaks, we dip deeper into Buy Zone 2 (1.1580s) before bulls reload.
🎯 Forecast Summary
📍 Bias : Bullish corrective, but expecting deeper retrace
🎯 Upside Target: 1.1820–1.1850
🪙 Buy Zones:
Zone 1 → 1.1720s (current)
Zone 2 → 1.1580s (HTF demand)
❌ Invalidation: Break below 1.1550 swing low
USD/CAD Forecast (1H)🔥 USD/CAD Forecast (1H Breakdown)
🕰 Weekly View
Market is sitting in a bigger swing range.
We had a strong sell-off, but bulls are clawing back — retracing into mid-range supply.
Momentum leaning corrective → buyers probing liquidity before any bigger move.
📅 Daily View
Clear demand base built around 1.3720s.
Price stair-stepped higher with higher lows, heading back toward the 1.3890–1.3920 daily supply pocket.
Structure is short-term bullish, but daily still hovering inside a corrective leg.
⏳ 4H View
Several internal BOS (i-BOS) prints on the way up → strong intraday bullish order flow.
We’re now reacting from internal range supply.
Below, SSL + imbalance + fib 71% confluence sits at 1.3780–1.3800 = 🔑 reload zone.
⏱ 1H View
BSL swept, sellers testing the entry zone.
Expecting a pullback into SSL/71% → if buyers hold, 🚀 continuation higher.
If price smashes swing low, bullish idea invalid and shorts take over.
🎯 Forecast Summary
📍 Bias : Bullish but expecting a dip before continuation
🎯 Upside Target: 1.3890–1.3920
🪙 Reload Zone: 1.3780–1.3800
❌ Invalidation: Clean break of swing low
REAL VS FAKE CHOCK🔹 1. Real Choke vs Fake Choke
A **Choke** in ICT/SMC language usually refers to a **block of price action where liquidity is absorbed** and either the trend reverses or continues strongly. It is connected to the idea of **Order Blocks, IDM (Imbalance-Demand-Mitigations)** and **Liquidity Absorption**.
### ✅ Real Choke
* Happens when **genuine liquidity is absorbed** by institutions (big players).
* Price reacts to the choke level → gives a **clear displacement** in opposite direction.
* Characteristics:
* Strong rejection (impulsive move away).
* Volume & imbalance support the move.
* Leaves behind a valid **IDM / FVG / Order Block**.
* Usually aligns with **higher timeframe POI** (HTF OB, FVG, BPR).
👉 **Effect**: Becomes the base for a **true reversal or strong continuation**.
---
### ❌ Fake Choke
* Happens when price **pretends to absorb liquidity** but it’s just a **stop hunt / inducement**.
* Market sweeps liquidity near choke level → then continues in original direction.
* Characteristics:
* Small/weak rejection, no real displacement.
* No proper imbalance or absorption.
* Often formed just to **trap retail traders** thinking reversal is coming.
* Seen in **mid-range / liquidity inducement zones**, not at HTF POI.
👉 **Effect**: Leads to **continuation in same direction** after trapping liquidity.
---
## 🔹 2. Why IDM (Imbalance Demand Mitigation) is Important
**IDM** is the footprint of institutions when they:
* Absorb liquidity,
* Create imbalance, and
* Mitigate their positions later.
It’s important because:
1. **Shows Institutional Interest** → IDM confirms that Smart Money actually participated.
2. **Validates Choke** → If choke has IDM inside it → higher chance it’s **real**.
3. **Gives Entry Points** → IDM zones often become mitigation levels (precise entries with low risk).
4. **Separates Fake vs Real** → Fake chokes usually have no IDM footprint.
---
## 🔹 3. Role of IDM in Reversal & Liquidity Absorption
When market is reversing:
* First, **retail liquidity is collected** (fake choke).
* Then, institutions place **real choke + IDM** to absorb liquidity.
* The IDM ensures that:
* All **supply/demand imbalance** is cleared,
* Institutions get filled,
* Price is ready for a **clean reversal**.
👉 **In Short:**
* **Fake choke** = liquidity grab.
* **Real choke + IDM** = liquidity absorption + reversal base.
---
⚡So, the easiest filter is:
* If a choke has **IDM (clear imbalance & mitigation footprint)** → it’s **real**.
* If not → it’s just a **fake liquidity sweep**.
Possible Pre-Skyrocket ManipulationSince every soul on this earth knows that we will see huge bull-moves with given and upcoming rate cuts + october price action, its not unlikely that we COULD manipulate even lower after the Billion Dollar liquidation move overnight.
IF we do so, we would do it pretty fast and continue the displacement from the bearish head and shoulders pattern that broke the daily 50 EMA%SMA in the next few weeks.
On a technical site, there is still a huge amount of liquidity on CRYPTO:ETHUSD left (around 20B$), most accumulated at around 3.450$.
Strangely enough, that area matches the current ranges equilibrium, standard deviation levels of prior bearish manipulation moves, KEY SR Levels of 3400 and 3200, monthly and daily imbalances (which will get filled sooner or later), the 200D EMA and 50W EMA, AND the current htf bullish trendline and broken triangle resistance...
If we hit this before mid-October, these will be free longs, and I will DCA into my position, which sits at 1.794$ currently.
Avalanche sale!With how strong the Avax/btc ratio is, we look at this sell off in avalanche as a great buy the dip opportunity. If this level holds at the 0.5% fib level, Avalanche has a high probability target of $37. If you entered with $100,000 at the 0.5% fib level, you have a chance to make $25,000.
GBPCHF - Weekly Outlook
Pair: GBPCHF
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Major LH has been broken, signaling clear buy intent. A deep pullback is currently in play, setting up potential continuation.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Price has mitigated the OB zone and pushed deeper into the secret anchor OB area. Structure shows high-probability continuation potential.
LTF (30M/5M):
Waiting for a CHoCH to form. Once the LH breaks, we’ll wait for the pullback to occur and attend the bullish leg.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
GBPCHF can run sharp — patience for the CHoCH and pullback ensures a clean entry aligned with HTF bullish intent.
EURNZD - Weekly OutlookPair: EURNZD
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Strong momentum visible toward the upside, structure clearly bullish.
MTF (2H/1H/30M):
Anticipating continuation to the highs. Waiting for the courtyard liquidity to be taken and slashed before confirming the next leg.
LTF (30M/5M):
Once price mitigates the OB from the MTF, we wait for a full CHoCH. After that prints, we’ll look for a pullback on the bullish leg to catch the move.
Targets:
• TP1: 5M highs
• TP2: 30M highs (depending on market delivery)
Mindset Note:
Let the CHoCH and mitigation complete — patience ensures the cleanest entry and avoids premature entries against structure.






















