USDZAR long-term setupUnit could test fibonacci level at 12.68 or even lower at 12.31, then I will buy and hold for bullish trend reversal possible up to 13.7 area. High Profit/Risk ratio on this unit once it starts reversal.
Motivation:
Despite economic recession, Moody downgrade, political turmoil, ZAR has been strengthening. However, the longer-term effects of the economic downgrades will become evident. The unit is expected to trade at 13.72 at the end of Q2/17. The USDZAR is undervalued at the moment.
Long-setup
WTI Spot:USOIL Pushing up against resistance: buy pull-backWTI Spot: USOIL Pushing against near-term resistance and needs more Dollar weakness to move up further from here: should come back some from here to give another buying opportunity as per comment. If trading this PLEASE watch DXY chart. The will move in near perfect opposite direction in the near term and DXY is pulling WTI, not the other way round...and the dollar looks like it has further to fall
EURUSD: Trying to break out, needs DXY to break 97.3 to confirmEURUSD: The Euro is trying to break to the upside again - but it needs confirmation from DXY to power ahead from here. DXY has to break below 97.3 to let Dollar bears run riot again from here. Keep an eye on it. It should be defended in 97.43 to 97.33 range by last dollar bulls. If/when 97.3 is broken it will effectively say that the Dollar has lost its last friend and defender...that is the point (if struck) to get heavily short USD and the point to increase long euro positions
WTI Spot USOIL: still waiting for pull-back to 48.54 at leastWTI Spot:USOIL Still patiently waiting for WTI to come back to 48.54 at least and at lowest to 48.26 before getting long again, looking for rally to 50.09-50.18 - Far East originated impulse wave from 10pm Eastern last night. We could see the same tonight looking at the chart
UKOIL:Brent Crude Long set up from lower down at 51.09 if struckUKOIL Brent Spot: Like WTI it will hopefully get sold sold off on open in Far East about 10pm Eastern US time - if it does it should present a good buying opportunity at 51.09 for rally to 52.53, then 53.50 - worth setting a buy order up and seeing if it gets struck - and if it doesn't do the ideal and rallies from here and not lower down, it's still worth following on a move through 50.95 for rest of rally as above
WTI Oil Long Setup 4hrOil is in a wedge that will soon break. There is upside potential to this trade, this setup shows our views on the trade. We would monitor the area to buy and then scale out part of it at the first point in orange and then P1 ourselves with the remainder while leaving the rest for the yellow area. We will monitor price and patterns in this box to close off the trade.