BTCUSD WARNING: The Ultimate Bull Trap or a One-Way Ticket......Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure.
Market Structure: Bitcoin is currently displaying a textbook bullish trend structure. Following a solid pivot low, the market has transitioned into a series of aggressive impulse moves, characterized by clear Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). The EMA 89 (yellow line) is sloping upward and trending below the price, providing strong dynamic support and confirming that the primary trend remains firmly bullish.
Price Action and Continuation: After the most recent impulse leg, BTCUSD has entered a healthy corrective phase. This pullback is occurring on decreasing volatility, forming what looks like a Bull Flag or an ascending continuation pattern. Crucially, the current pullback is holding well above the previous Higher Low (HL), suggesting that this is a "buy the dip" opportunity for smart money rather than a trend reversal.
Key Levels: The immediate Demand Zone is located around the 93,150 level, which aligns with the current corrective floor and the EMA 89 support. On the upside, the previous Higher High at 94,750 serves as the immediate resistance target.
My Scenario: As long as BTCUSD maintains its structure above the current 93,150 Support Zone, the broader bullish expansion remains the dominant play. I expect a period of accumulation here before an explosive move higher to retest and break the 94,750 peak. However, a decisive close below the EMA 89 would signal a loss of momentum and could open the door for a deeper correction to flush out late longs.
Manage your risk!
LONG
Decision Point — Bounce or Breakdown?EURUSD is trading at a key decision area after a sustained decline from the upper range. Price is now approaching the mid-range support, with momentum slowing, suggesting the market is preparing for either a reaction bounce or continuation lower.
The broader structure remains range-bound, with price capped below the 1.1800–1.1810 resistance zone and buyers historically stepping in near the lower boundary.
Resistance: 1.1800 – 1.1810
Support: 1.1700 – 1.1710
Decision zone: 1.1730 – 1.1740
➡️ Primary: hold above 1.1700 → corrective bounce → rotation back toward 1.1760–1.1780.
⚠️ Risk: clean break below 1.1700 → continuation toward the lower support zone before stabilization.
The Stealthy Ascent: Decoding Bitcoin’s Strategic Pullback....Hello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent bearish candles, but how Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting after rejecting from the upper boundary of its ascending channel and pulling back into a well-defined support structure.
Structurally, the market remains contained within a remarkably clean ascending channel, with price consistently forming higher highs and higher lows since the start of the year. The most recent push higher stalled precisely at the upper resistance line and the $95,000 psychological level, where sellers stepped in to lock in profits. This rejection confirms that the upper boundary is still a formidable barrier and that a period of cooling off was necessary after the recent impulsive move.
Following that rejection, BTC is now rotating lower toward the $92,500–$93,000 support zone, which aligns perfectly with the lower trendline of the channel. This area is technically important: it has served as a consistent reaction base, as seen in the previous sessions highlighted on the chart. The current move lower appears orderly and corrective—a classic "retest" of the support—rather than a signs of an impulsive breakdown or a change in the primary trend.
From a price action perspective, there is no confirmed trend reversal at this stage. The decline into the lower boundary fits well with a healthy pullback within the broader bullish structure. As long as price holds above this ascending support, the downside follow-through remains a temporary rebalancing act.
The projected path on the chart reflects this logic:
- A test or sweep of the $92,800–$93,000 support zone to check for fresh demand.
- A technical rebound back toward the mid-range of the channel.
- Potential continuation higher toward the $96,000+ level if buyers regain strength at the boundary.
Only a clean breakdown and acceptance below the channel's support line would invalidate this bullish pullback scenario and open the door for a deeper correction toward the $90,000 handle. Conversely, a strong bounce here would be the first signal that the bearish pressure was merely transitory and that the market is ready to challenge new highs.
Until confirmation appears, Bitcoin is not breaking its trend; it is simply rebalancing after a rejection at the highs, and patience around these key levels remains critical.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
EUR/USD Slides as Venezuela Tensions Fuel Dollar Strength EUR/USD Technical Forecast
TICKMILL:EURUSD is trading at $1.1687 on the 4H chart, and after breaking below that rising channel support, it’s now testing the $1.1680-$1.1658 zone. That 200-EMA near $1.1660 is a big deal, because it’s where the next key downside support is – and it’s also where price is looking to head next.
Recent candles have been showing some pretty strong bearish bodies, which is a sign that the bulls are losing control after price rejected near $1.1805 resistance. The prior trendline break is also looking at wearing on the near-term bias, and the next support is at $1.1615. The trade idea is to short the rally near $1.1720 and aim for $1.1620, but set a stop loss above $1.1780.
Market Overview
The dollar has been on a roll for the second day in a row, with the dollar index (DXY) trading around 98.60 during those early European hours. The dollar’s strength is largely due to the renewed safe-haven demand sparked by escalating tensions in Latin America.
The US has reportedly launched a major operation in Venezuela and captured President Nicolás Maduro, sending regional instability into high gear. The situation was only made more uncertain when President Trump warned that possible action could be taken in Colombia, and he went after Mexico and Cuba.
Fed Rate Cut Expectations Continue
Despite the dollar’s strength, the market is still pricing in two or more rate cuts from the Fed by the end of 2026. The Fed did lower rates by a quarter point in December 2025, setting the target range at 3.50%–3.75%, following a total of 75 basis points in cuts during the year.
Notes from the FOMC meeting suggest that more rate cuts could be on the way if inflation continues to decline. Adding to the uncertainty is the looming question of who will be the next Fed chair and what kind of policy that person will implement. All of this is keeping investors on high alert.
Meanwhile, the dollar remains strong due to the safe haven demand, but traders are closely watching key US data, including inflation figures and Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls, which is expected to come in at 57K – a touch weaker than last month’s 64K. Weaker-than-expected job growth could weigh on the dollar and raise expectations for even more Fed rate cuts.
EURNZD: Bullish Continuation
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy EURNZD.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURUSD: Long Signal Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.1701
Stop Loss - 1.1691
Take Profit - 1.1718
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
EURJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 183.29
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 183.61
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 197.03
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 197.37
My Stop Loss - 196.86
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SHOCKING ETHUSD Update: The 3,200 Level is a Powder KegHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of ETHUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure.
Market Structure: Ethereum has been in a sustained bullish trend, characterized by aggressive impulse moves followed by shallow consolidations. Price action is consistently making higher highs and higher lows, supported by a steep rising trendline.
Price Action and Support: After the most recent vertical expansion, the market has entered a consolidation phase. Price is currently hovering just above a newly established Support Zone around the 3,200 level. This zone is critical as it aligns with the previous breakout structure and is being reinforced by the blue EMA, which is acting as dynamic support.
Key Levels: The immediate floor is the Support Zone between 3,200 and 3,210. On the upside, the recent local high serves as the first resistance target, with the psychological level of 3,300 being the broader objective if the trend continues.
My Scenario: As long as ETHUSD remains above the 3,200 Support Zone, the bullish bias is firmly intact. I expect a period of sideways accumulation here before another leg higher to test new local highs. However, a decisive break and close below this support would suggest a deeper correction toward the secondary trendline or the red EMA.
Manage your risk!
GBPAUD: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GBPAUD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GBPAUD
Entry Level - 2.0105
Sl - 2.0085
Tp - 2.0144
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
BTCUSDT Long: Uptrend Continues Toward 94,500 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT initially traded within a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure during that phase. This move ended with a clear pivot point, followed by a strong breakout from the descending channel, signaling a shift in market control from sellers to buyers. After this breakout, price transitioned into a broad range, where BTC consolidated for an extended period, showing balance between supply and demand with multiple internal reactions.
Currently, BTC is approaching a key Supply Zone around the 94,500 level, where previous selling pressure is expected to re-emerge. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending channel, increasing the likelihood of a reaction. Below current price, the Demand Zone near 86,800 remains a critical support level, marking the prior breakout area and the base of the bullish structure.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the Demand Zone and stays within the ascending channel, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect price to test the 94,500 Supply Zone, where a reaction or short-term pullback may occur. A clean breakout and acceptance above supply would signal further upside continuation. However, a strong rejection from supply followed by a breakdown below channel support would suggest a deeper corrective move. For now, structure favors buyers while price remains within the ascending channel. Manage your risk!
Crude to $75 Profit TargetYou all know I'm a 100% Chart driven trader.
But of course I also have my fundamental thoughts.
Here is my layman’s fundamental thesis:
I do not believe that Venezuelan oil will flood global markets, just because they grabed Maduro. On the contrary, the opposite is more likely. Venezuela’s production is dominated by heavy and extra-heavy crude, which is costly to extract and difficult to refine. As a result, an oversupplied market is unlikely from this point of view.
But with a U.S. military invasion of Iran could be very likely to drive oil prices higher, potentially sharply so. The effect would stem from supply risk, transportation chokepoints, and market psychology I think. Even if physical supply disruptions were initially limited. My experience is, that short-term crazy price moves are often driven by psychological factors.
So, in short:
1. Risk to the Strait of Hormuz (Primary Factor)
2. Potential loss or Threat of Iranian Oil Supply
3. Spillover Risk to Other Producers
4. Speculation and Financial Market Reaction
5. OPEC and Strategic Reserves Probably Very Limited
Sure, the magnitude would depend on duration, scope, and whether shipping through Hormuz remains uninterrupted, but upward price pressure would be immediate.
Timing is always the most difficult part. That’s why I would look at a trade with a horizon of at least three months, or longer (likely using ITM LEAP options).
The chart needs to confirm my thesis.
First, I want to see a break of the descending pressure line (red).
Next, the CIB line must be broken.
Finally, a sign of stabilization above the CIB line would serve as my entry signal.
That’s it. My stalker hat is on.
CAD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the CAD/JPY with the target of 113.972 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Bullish Outlook | Dollar Weakness & Geopolitical Risks!Hey Traders,
In the coming week, we are closely monitoring XAUUSD (Gold) for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,280 zone. Gold remains in a strong bullish trend and is currently undergoing a healthy corrective pullback, approaching a key trendline confluence and 4,280 support & resistance zone, which could act as a high-probability demand area.
From a macro perspective, the recent weakness in the US Dollar continues to support upside momentum in Gold. Additionally, last night’s escalation of US tensions with Venezuela has increased geopolitical uncertainty, further boosting safe-haven demand for Gold, which strengthens the bullish bias.
As always, wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Bitcoin Is Not Overextended — This Is a Structured Trend Hello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a clean, well-respected bullish trend, and the current price action continues to validate trend continuation rather than exhaustion.
Market Structure Breakdown
The chart shows a clear ascending structure, defined by:
Higher highs and higher lows
Price consistently respecting the ascending trendline
Each pullback forming a rounded corrective base, followed by impulsive expansion
Every highlighted orange circle marks a successful reaction at trend resistance, which was later converted into support. This is a textbook example of break → accept → continue, not rejection.
Key Technical Observations
The impulsive leg from ~91,000 to above 92,800 was followed by tight consolidation, not aggressive selling.
Current candles are holding above the prior breakout level (~92,300), confirming acceptance, not a fake move.
Pullbacks remain shallow and overlapping, indicating buyers are in control and sellers lack follow-through.
Scenario Logic
The projected path is structurally sound:
Hold above 92,300 → continuation remains valid
Minor consolidation / flagging → fuel for expansion
Upside continuation toward 93,900, then 94,400+
Importantly, there is no distribution signature:
No sharp rejection from highs
No aggressive bearish displacement
No loss of trendline structure
Invalidation Conditions
This bullish continuation thesis only weakens if:
Price loses 92,300 with acceptance
Followed by a breakdown below 91,800, which would indicate a deeper corrective phase
Until then, any pullback is structural, not directional.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is not “too high” — it is doing exactly what a strong trend should do:
Break levels
Pause briefly
Continue higher
As long as price remains above the reclaimed supports and respects the rising structure, the path of least resistance remains upward.
Trade safe and stay disciplined.
05/01/26 Weekly OutlookHappy new year everyone!
As 2026 begins BTC bulls will be looking to continue last weeks momentum continuing this LTF rally from mid $80,000's towards 2025's yearly open of $93,300.
Liquidity in theory should support this continuation move as year end window dressing is over, the Fed have begun to inject cash into the markets again having ended QT. It is also important to note that BTC ETF's had a net inflow of $460m last week which does look positive for the bulls.
This week I would be looking very closely at weekly high and any price acceptance above that level. That would mean $100,000 major resistance level is the next step for this rally but it is a huge hurdle to jump, with $108,000 being an even bigger one after that.
Should the weekly high fail to hold once again a rangebound SFP play is the logical move, with midpoint ($89,300) and weekly low (86,800) the targets for the bears.
XAUUSD Buyers Step In at Key Level - Momentum StabilizesHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Gold is trading within a broader bullish structure after a strong impulsive rally from lower levels. Earlier, price moved inside a consolidation range, signaling accumulation before breaking out to the upside and confirming renewed buyer control. This breakout initiated a sharp bullish leg, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Following the impulsive move, XAUUSD reached the Seller Zone around the 4,400 Resistance Level, where strong selling pressure appeared. Price dropped aggressively from this area, confirming supply dominance at higher levels. After the drop, gold broke below the resistance, then performed a test and retest of the same zone, which now acts as resistance. This behavior confirms a short-term structural shift while the broader bullish trend remains intact. Currently, price is reacting around the Buyer Zone near 4,310–4,320, which aligns with a key Support Level and a previous breakout area. This zone has already shown a clear reaction, with price turning around and forming a higher low above the rising Trend Line. The recent move into support appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting a pause within the larger bullish structure rather than a full reversal. My scenario: as long as XAUUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising Trend Line, the bullish structure remains valid. A strong reaction from this area could lead to a move back toward the 4,400 Resistance Level (TP1). A confirmed breakout and acceptance above resistance would signal bullish continuation. However, a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone would weaken the structure and signal a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area, with buyers actively defending support while consolidation continues. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Is Still Trapped — H1 Box Accumulation Has Not Resolved Hello everyone,
On the H1 timeframe, the key focus right now is not the recent push higher, but the fact that Bitcoin remains locked inside a clearly defined box accumulation structure. Despite several directional attempts, the market has not achieved acceptance beyond the range boundaries.
Structurally, BTC continues to rotate between the 87,100–87,300 support band and the 90,300–90,400 resistance zone. The latest advance stalled exactly near the upper half of the box around 89,100–89,200, where selling pressure has consistently appeared in previous rotations. This confirms that supply remains active before the range high, preventing a clean breakout.
Price action inside the box remains overlapping and corrective. Higher lows are forming, but they are doing so within the range, not above it. This tells us that buyers are active, yet still operating in absorption mode rather than trend-expansion mode. The market is building pressure, but has not released it.
The projected paths on the chart reflect two realistic outcomes that are fully aligned with current structure:
- A short-term rejection from the upper range, followed by a pullback toward the 88,000–88,200 area, which would represent a normal rotation inside accumulation.
- Alternatively, a continued grind higher, but only a clean break and acceptance above 90,400 would confirm that accumulation has completed and open the door for upside expansion.
As long as price remains inside the box, directional conviction is premature. This is not a trending environment; it is a liquidity-building phase, where false breaks and rotations are part of the process.
Only two things matter from here:
- Acceptance above resistance → bullish expansion.
- Acceptance below support → failed accumulation and deeper correction.
Until one of those conditions is met, Bitcoin is not breaking out. It is waiting.
Wishing you all effective and disciplined trading.
Bitcoin at the Edge: Breakout Incoming or Another Trap $89000BTCUSD H1 chart, price is currently testing a key resistance zone around 88,800 – 89,000, an area that has previously triggered multiple rejections. The recent upward move represents a recovery leg within a broader range, rather than a confirmed breakout.
As price reaches this resistance, buying momentum is clearly slowing, with smaller bullish candles and immediate selling pressure appearing at the zone. This behavior suggests that sellers are still active, and the market has not yet accepted higher prices. Without a strong H1 close above this resistance, the current move lacks technical breakout confirmation.
The more probable short-term scenario is a rejection from resistance, followed by a pullback toward nearby support levels. Initial support is located around 88,200 – 88,000, with a deeper support zone near 87,700, where buyers previously stepped in. As long as price remains capped below resistance, the market structure continues to reflect a range-bound / consolidation environment.
In summary, this is not a confirmed breakout. Bitcoin is trading at a decision area where price must either produce a clean, impulsive close above resistance to confirm continuation, or face rejection and rotate back into the range. Until that clarity appears, bias remains neutral, with focus on price reaction rather than directional anticipation.
Ethereum Near Major Resistance: Structure StrengtheningEthereum is currently trading just below a strong resistance zone around 3,050–3,070, where multiple prior rejections have occurred. Price is advancing within a clearly defined ascending price channel, indicating controlled bullish pressure rather than impulsive expansion. The recent sequence of higher lows suggests buyers are active, but the lack of strong follow-through near resistance highlights hesitation.
From a technical structure perspective, ETH is transitioning from a recovery phase into a potential range environment. The upper boundary of the rising channel aligns closely with horizontal resistance near 3,030–3,050, creating a confluence zone where profit-taking is likely. Momentum candles are slowing, and price is beginning to overlap, which typically precedes either consolidation or a corrective pullback rather than an immediate breakout.
If ETH fails to reclaim and hold above 3,050 on a clean H1/H4 close, the higher-probability scenario is a rotation back toward the mid-range, with downside targets around 3,000 → 2,970, and potentially deeper into the 2,950–2,930 support cluster. This would keep Ethereum locked in a sideways range, rather than confirming a trend continuation.
From a macro perspective, the environment remains mixed. While expectations of future rate cuts in 2026 provide medium-term support for risk assets, near-term USD stability and restrictive financial conditions continue to cap aggressive upside moves. Additionally, flows into crypto remain selective, favoring short-term rotations rather than sustained breakouts. Without a clear macro catalyst (such as dovish Fed signaling or a strong risk-on impulse), upside attempts near resistance are vulnerable to rejection.
Summary:
Ethereum is technically constructive but not in breakout conditions yet. As long as price remains below the strong resistance zone, the market should be treated as range-bound, with upside capped and pullbacks toward support remaining a valid and healthy scenario. Patience is required until either structure breaks decisively higher—or the range resolves with confirmation.
GBP/USD at a Decision Point: Breakout Potential or Another RangeGBP/USD is currently trading inside a clearly defined range structure, with price compressing between a well-respected support zone around 1.3450 and a resistance zone near 1.3490–1.3500. Recent price action shows a sharp recovery from the lower boundary, but upside momentum has stalled again as price re-enters the prior resistance area. This behavior suggests the market is not trending, but rotating liquidity within the range.
From a technical perspective, the rejection from the resistance zone is technically clean. Price failed to hold above the short-term equilibrium and slipped back below the mid-range, indicating that buyers lack conviction at higher levels. The moving averages are flattening and overlapping, reinforcing the idea of balance rather than trend. Until a decisive break occurs, upside moves should be treated as corrective, not impulsive.
The bullish scenario only becomes valid if GBP/USD can break and hold above the 1.3490–1.3500 resistance zone, followed by acceptance above that level. In that case, upside expansion could open toward 1.3510 → 1.3525, where higher-timeframe supply is located. Without that confirmation, any push higher remains vulnerable to rejection.
On the bearish / range-continuation scenario, failure to reclaim resistance keeps price rotating back toward the 1.3450 support zone. A clean breakdown below this support would expose deeper downside toward 1.3430 and below, extending the range rather than reversing the broader structure.
From a macro standpoint, GBP remains sensitive to the USD side of the equation. Persistent USD resilience—supported by relatively restrictive financial conditions and cautious Fed messaging—continues to cap upside in GBP/USD. At the same time, the Bank of England’s stance remains restrictive but growth concerns limit aggressive GBP inflows. This macro backdrop favors choppy, range-bound price action, not clean directional trends.
Summary:
GBP/USD is in a neutral-to-range environment. The market is waiting for confirmation. A sustained break above resistance is required to unlock upside continuation; otherwise, the higher-probability outcome remains range rotation back toward support. Patience and confirmation are key at this level.






















