USDCHF - The LONG Shift At Extreme & Confluence Points North🔱 Could this is the turn for USDCHF? 🔱
🏦 Some condensed economic fundamental points first 🏦
📈 Rate Differential: Fed ≈ 5.25-5.50 % vs SNB 0 % → strong yield advantage for USD. Growth Gap: U.S. GDP resilient; Swiss economy soft from tariffs and weak demand → CHF under pressure.
💰 Carry & Flows: Higher U.S. yields attract capital into USD assets.
⚠️ Risk Sentiment: If markets stay risk-on, CHF’s safe-haven bid fades. Sudden risk-off shocks, faster Fed cuts, or unexpected SNB tightening.
🌍 Bias: USD supported by yield spread and stronger growth unless risk-off returns.
🔱 What The Chart Is Telling Us 🔱
he white pitchfork seems to be catching price rather loosely around the centerline — and only now do we see why. It’s likely due to a shift in play.
See the orange parallel? It’s shifted upward if we use the overshoot above the centerline as the reference for the parallel lines.
The red, downward-sloping pitchfork gives us a strong confluence point where price stops falling. It’s also sitting at the L-MLH, the extreme relative to the red fork.
HAGOPIAN?
Yes! If we start to trade away from the red centerline, then I also expect a Hagopian is cooking and we go up farther than from where we came!
I’ll be watching it on lower timeframes, looking to catch the bus north. If this setup plays out, it could be a significant move, so the stop-loss needs to be well-placed.
Just follow me and maybe we can travel together 🚌💨
