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LONG

Bitcoin Macro Support Hit — Bull Cycle Ready to ExtendBINANCE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin just tapped the weekly FVG + channel support, completing what looks like a running flat correction. This zone has acted as a major demand area, and price reacted exactly where a higher-timeframe Wave 2 should finalise. As long as BTC holds above this green support block, the bullish macro structure stays intact. Upside targets for the next impulsive leg are: 147,961 (1.0 extension) 164,105 (1.27 extension) 184,641 (1.618 extension) If this running flat is confirmed, Bitcoin may be entering a large Wave 3 — historically the most explosive phase. Still watching weekly close for validation, but momentum is shifting. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis reflects my personal view based on market structure and Elliott Wave principles. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk — the market doesn’t forgive careless entries.
Long
by Trwin
BITCOIN – THE TIDES ARE TURNING Traders, On November 5 I mapped out a scenario where Bitcoin would push into 107k to 108k and then decline to 98k first and 89k second. This entire scenario has now played out perfectly to the pixel. We swept 108k, we dumped to 98k, and then we flushed into 89k. Where I expected price to retrace from exactly this level: $88.912 So the real question now is simple. What now? Do we break lower, or do we go up? Let’s break Bitcoin down cleanly, without bias, and only by reading structure, levels, and order flow. Levels, Structure and Order Flow AVWAP at the core of the structure Bitcoin is currently trading right near the AVWAP from the 06 August 24 anchor. This is the blue line on your chart and the exact level is 90.881. This anchor began with a large volume impulse. When heavy volume kicks off a leg, the AVWAP from that point becomes a core reference level for the entire future auction. We are now sitting right on top of it, which is exactly where you would expect absorption or a strong reaction. The market is basically deciding if this AVWAP will hold or break. AB=CD completion The full AB=CD measured move has completed exactly into the AVWAP zone. This is a clean harmonic completion and adds confluence to why price reacted here. AB=CD means the downside leg is symmetrical and usually marks exhaustion inside a trend. Fixed Range Volume Profile Using a FRVP from the start of the current HTF auction (07 April until now), we see price wicked directly into the LVN that sits inside the weekly FVG. This area had imbalance and low participation. A wick into an LVN inside an FVG often means that the inefficiency is now cleaned and the auction has reached completion for that side of the range. Wedge breakout Bitcoin technically broke out of the falling wedge, but the breakout does not look clean. We are outside the wedge, but momentum on the breakout is weak. True confirmation would come if price re-enters the wedge from the outside and climbs back through the wedge body. Re-entering the wedge tells you that the breakdown was liquidity and not a structural continuation. If we reclaim it, upside targets become more likely. Order Flow – What the data shows Spot and Futures CVD Across the 15m, 30m and 1h charts, Spot CVD is forming a bullish divergence. Price keeps making lower lows, but Spot CVD is holding higher. This shows that spot buyers are stepping in at the lows and absorbing sell pressure. Futures CVD on both stablecoin margined and coin margined contracts continues to push lower. Price is not following these lower lows. This creates hidden bullish divergence and confirms that aggressive sellers are hitting the market while limit buyers are absorbing the pressure. This is a classic sign of absorption. Selling continues, but the market is refusing to break lower with the same intensity. Open Interest – A shift Earlier in the dump, Open Interest was falling. This means positions were being closed. Most of this was shorts taking profit or exiting the move. When OI drops during a downtrend, continuation becomes harder because the move loses fuel. Near the end of the screenshots, there is a shift. Both stablecoin margined and coin margined OI start to rise again. This rise in OI happens while: CVD continues to make lower lows Price stops making new lows Price begins to stabilize This tells us that new positions are being opened at the lows. Given the CVD behavior, most of these are new shorts entering the market. When new shorts enter and price does not break, the probability of those shorts becoming trapped increases. If buyers step in, this setup often leads to a short squeeze. This is how reversals form in a controlled market. Funding rate – Binance Funding is positive but very small. This means there is no extreme long pressure. There is no overcrowding on the long side. The market is not stretched. With fresh shorts entering at the lows and funding staying neutral, the market can turn quickly if support holds. What this means The combination of: Spot CVD divergence Hidden bullish divergence on futures CVD Rising Open Interest at the lows Neutral funding Price refusing to break down - So price needs to hold. shows that the market is absorbing aggressive selling at a key level. If buyers defend the current level, this can force newly opened shorts to cover, which would fuel the next move up. Targets 109k This is the first upside objective. There is a CME ETH gap resting at this level and gaps of this type tend to get filled. 109k also aligns with the 1.113 Fibonacci extension of the latest wave. This makes it the first logical level if price continues to hold the AVWAP and absorb selling pressure. 112k The next major level is 112k. This area contains single prints on CME and matches an AVWAP level on the BTC CME chart. 112k also lines up with the 1.272 extension of the wave. From a Fibonacci rotation perspective, 1.272 is the next stop after 1.113 and often acts as a mid-cycle continuation target. 118.800 The final target sits at 118.800. This is the full 1.618 extension of the wave and mathematically completes the auction. If the market rotates from AVWAP support, this level becomes the natural endpoint of the move. As long as price continues to hold the AVWAP at 90.881 and the market keeps absorbing futures selling, all three upside targets remain in play. Invalidation The structure changes only if price breaks below 88k. A clean drop under 88k opens the door for the next major high timeframe support at 85k. 85k carries strong confluence. It aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the HTF move and sits directly on a Point of Control zone within the Fixed Range Volume Profile. Below that level, the auction shifts into a lower structure entirely. TLDR Bitcoin completed the downside scenario perfectly. Price is now sitting directly on the AVWAP at 90.881. AB=CD is complete. LVN inside weekly FVG has been cleaned. Futures CVD is still pressing lower but price is not. That is absorption. But the key update is OI. OI was dropping earlier on the LTF, but now OI is rising again, and this is happening while CVD continues down and price holds steady. That means new shorts are entering the market and getting absorbed. If AVWAP holds, expect a bounce. Targets: 109k 112k 118.8k If 88k breaks, 85k is next. -------- Abbreviation List AVWAP Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price. A dynamic support or resistance level based on volume since a chosen anchor. AB=CD A harmonic measured move where AB equals CD. FRVP Fixed Range Volume Profile. Shows where volume was traded inside a chosen range. LVN Low Volume Node. A low interest level where price often rejects strongly. FVG Fair Value Gap. An imbalance left by aggressive price moves. CVD Cumulative Volume Delta. Tracks buying vs selling pressure. OI Open Interest. The amount of open futures positions. POC Point of Control. Level with the highest traded volume. -------- If you like this kind of analysis, drop a like and leave a comment. Everything here is shared for free so more people can cut through the noise and finally see what is actually happening under the surface. No hopium. No fear. Just real data, real structure, and real order flow. The goal is simple. To help traders stop guessing and start understanding what the market is actually saying. Stay sharp. Stay objective. And remember… the chart whispers long before it speaks. - ThetaNomad
by ThetaNomad
13
NZDUSD: Expecting Bullish Movement! Here is Why: The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the NZDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Long
by UnitedSignals
1
AUDUSD What Next? BUY! My dear friends, AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.6461 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 0.6485 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6451 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GOLD is below: The market is trading on 4038.3 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 4059.3 Recommended Stop Loss - 4026.8 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
2
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1546 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1579 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
XAUUSD Long: Buyers Eye Push Toward $4,100 ResistanceHello traders! XAUUSD is developing a clear technical structure after reacting multiple times to both the Supply and Demand zones, forming a well-defined pattern of price behavior. Recently, Gold rejected the Supply Line after creating a new Pivot Point near the $4,230 area — the same region where a previous strong rejection occurred. This confluence confirms that sellers remain active at the upper boundary of the market. Earlier, the market formed a Double Top pattern near the same Supply Zone, which triggered a strong bearish reversal. After the breakdown, price retested the $4,100 level several times, turning it into a meaningful local resistance. Multiple breakout attempts above this level failed, signaling strong selling pressure from the supply area. Currently, XAUUSD is testing the Demand Line that has been respected consistently throughout the recent bullish leg. Each touch of this trendline resulted in a higher pivot point, confirming active buyers stepping into the market. This area aligns with the $4,000–$4,010 Demand Zone — a key support cluster where price has reacted with strong bullish impulses before. My scenario as long as XAUUSD holds above the Demand Line and the $4,000–$4,010 support, the bullish structure remains valid. A rebound from this zone may initiate a fresh move toward the $4,100 Supply Zone (TP1), where the next important reaction is expected. A clean breakout above $4,100 would strengthen the bullish scenario and open the path toward $4,150–$4,170, aligning with the upper Supply Line. If Gold fails to hold above the Demand Zone, sellers may regain control and push the price lower toward the $3,960 support, signaling a deeper correction phase. For now, the market favors buying pullbacks near demand while monitoring price action closely around the $4,100 resistance. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by heniitrading
30
GBPUSD Correction Could Trigger Fresh Longs at 1.31200Hey Traders, In today’s trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.31200 zone. The pair remains in a clear uptrend, and price is currently in a corrective phase, retracing back toward the 1.31200 support–resistance confluence aligned with the ascending structure. This level has acted as a key reaction zone in previous swings, and a bullish response here could open the door for continuation toward recent highs. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
8
XAUUSD: Bullish Rebound Setup as Price Holds Above Wedge SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup. Market Analysis XAUUSD is currently maintaining a bullish market structure after rebounding from the key Wedge Support Line, which continues to act as a major dynamic support for the ongoing uptrend. The chart shows that Gold previously formed a broad Range at the top, followed by a sharp rejection from the Resistance Area near $4,170–$4,200, where strong sellers stepped in. This zone remains the primary supply region and aligns closely with the Wedge Resistance Line, creating a strong confluence barrier. After the rejection, price moved back into a correction phase, retesting both the Support Zone around $4,040–$4,070 and the ascending wedge structure. Notably, the recent bullish reaction inside this zone indicates that buyers are still defending this area effectively. Multiple breakouts and a prior fake breakout highlight that sellers are struggling to maintain downward momentum, while buyers continue to accumulate at lower levels. Currently, XAUUSD is stabilizing just above the Support Zone, forming early signs of a potential upward continuation. As long as the price respects the wedge support and holds above $4,070, the bullish structure remains intact. The market behavior suggests increasing buyer interest, especially during retests of lower support. My Scenario & Strategy I expect Gold to continue its upward movement from the current support area and retest the $4,170–$4,200 Resistance Zone once again. This level will be the next major decision point; a successful breakout above this zone could open the path toward higher highs and potentially signal a continuation of the broader bullish trend. However, if XAUUSD breaks below the Wedge Support Line, the bullish outlook would weaken, and the price could revisit deeper support levels before buyers attempt another recovery. For now, bullish continuation remains the most probable scenario as long as the support structure holds. Pullback-based long entries remain the best approach while price continues to trade above the key support zone and upward trendline. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
19
EURUSD Will Go Higher! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 1.158. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.165 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
BTCUSD Rebounds From Channel Support — Targeting $93K PullbackHello traders! Let’s break down the current BTCUSD market structure. Bitcoin continues to move within a well-defined descending channel, where price has repeatedly respected both the resistance and support lines. Every touch of the upper boundary resulted in a Turned Around reaction, confirming strong seller dominance throughout the downtrend. After breaking below a key local support, BTCUSD shifted into a deeper bearish phase and moved toward the broader Support Zone beneath $90,000. This level aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel and has acted as a strong reaction area in previous price swings. Recently, price reached the channel’s support line, where buyers stepped in and formed an early rebound attempt. BTCUSD is now showing signs of a potential short-term correction, with price aiming toward the nearest resistance cluster at $93,000–$96,000, which also represents the mid-channel region and a key retest zone. As long as Bitcoin stays below the descending resistance line, the broader trend remains bearish. However, a corrective move toward TP1 near $93,000 is likely if the current support continues to hold. A rejection from the resistance area could send the price back toward the channel bottom for another test. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance line would be the first signal of a potential shift in momentum and could open the way for a stronger recovery. Until then, BTCUSD remains in a bearish structure with a possible short-term bullish pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
25
NZD/CHF BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG Hello, Friends! We are now examining the NZD/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 0.461 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBP/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! Previous week’s red candle means that for us the GBP/CHF pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 1.050. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
2
HK50 Long Setup at 25,875Crab pattern completes on M30 and H1, marking a potential reversal zone near current price. Triple bottom visible on M30 and H1, reinforcing a well defined support shelf. RSI is rising as the triple bottom forms, which supports the idea of accumulation rather than a weak bounce. Daily trend remains up, so a rebound aligns with the higher time frame bias. Timeframes up to H4 are oversold, which suggests short term selling pressure is stretched and vulnerable to mean reversion. Stay alert to a possible regime shift toward bearish conditions. If market tone deteriorates, prioritise defense and faster exit. RSI divergence of about 18 points on M30, indicating buyers are stepping in while downside momentum fades. Look for a momentum confirmation trigger, for example, an M30 higher low or an H1 close above the most recent swing high. Entry: 25,875 at or just above the reversal zone. Stop loss: 25,650 to avoid crowding structure while cleanly invalidating the setup if broken. First target: 26,475, which aligns with nearby resistance and a conservative mean reversion objective. Secondary decision point: monitor price behavior as M15 and M30 approach overbought. If thrust is weak, scale partials and tighten risk.
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by JavonDias_Trading
APT 4H – Stablecoin-heavy L1, swing long from local baseAptos is trading around $2.9 with a market cap near $2.1B, still down ~85% from the $19.9 ATH. At the same time the chain carries ~$512M TVL and ~$1.27B in stablecoins (almost half of that in the RWA token BUIDL). That’s a lot of liquidity for a token this depressed. Over the last month APT is up ~+10%, and on several recent days Aptos briefly beat both Ethereum and Solana by net stablecoin inflows. The main fundamental driver is the Aave V3 launch on Aptos (first non-EVM deployment) plus an institutional staking narrative (Everstake + Paribu Custody). The big overhang is still tokenomics: ~11–12M APT unlocks each month in 2025 and generally high inflation vs current on-chain demand, plus the controversial “freeze” function at protocol level. Technical view (#4h) On the 4H chart APT has been in a controlled downtrend from the 3.7–3.8 area and recently put in a local low near 2.63–2.65, right on my lower ATR / demand zone. Now: Price is reclaiming the short EMA and pressing into the 4H EMA band from below around 2.9–3.0. Below sits a well-defined support shelf at 2.60–2.65; above are stacked supply/FVG levels around 3.16–3.20 and a larger cluster near 3.8–3.9, which coincides with higher-TF EMA and previous breakdown zone. My 4H system has flipped from pure deviation mode to an early trend-reversal long: oversold extension + first reclaim of the EMA band. I treat this as a swing-long attempt from a local base inside a bigger bearish cycle, targeting a move back into the prior distribution zone. Trade plan (swing 3–10 days) Entry: around 2.90–2.95 (current price area). Main target: 3.30–3.35 – first 4H supply band and old support. Extended target: 3.80–3.85 – upper supply zone and confluence with higher-TF resistance. Stop / invalidation: below 2.63–2.65. A confirmed 4H close under this level would mean the current base failed and I step aside instead of averaging down. This gives roughly 3:1 R:R toward the extended target. Fundamental context Aptos is a Move L1 with strong stablecoin presence: ~$1.27B in stables and ~$512M TVL, plus meaningful RWA share (BUIDL ≈44% of stablecoin cap). Aave V3 on Aptos is the first non-EVM deployment for Aave, anchoring a more “institutional” DeFi narrative on this chain. Institutional staking partnerships (Everstake + Paribu Custody) support the idea of APT as a staking asset, but not yet as a clear “number go up” token. Main risks: continuous monthly unlocks (~11M+ APT), inflationary supply vs demand, and competition from larger L1s (Sui, Solana) with bigger TVL and higher chain revenue. Alternative scenario If APT loses 2.63–2.65 and starts closing 4H candles below this zone on rising volume, I’ll consider the current long thesis invalid and look for a deeper capitulation / deviation toward 2.4–2.2 before reassessing. No averaging into unlock-driven selling. Not financial advice – just how I’m structuring a 4H swing long on APT around strong on-chain liquidity and Aave V3, while respecting the heavy tokenomics overhead.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
BITCOIN | LONG BIAS | POTENTIAL REVERSAL AND KEY LEVELS TO WATCHTraders, Bitcoin is now sitting inside a large falling wedge structure on the daily chart. Wedges of this type often form during trend exhaustion and can precede significant reversals when the lower boundary is reached. This pattern sets the stage for everything that follows in this analysis. Below is the full breakdown of why I believe Bitcoin is positioned for a potential reaction and where the most important levels are located. Recap of the Previous Bitcoin Analysis In the previous IG:BITCOIN analysis I mentioned two scenarios. Scenario one outlined the following sequence: • Price pushes into 107k to 108k • That move sweeps the weak high and taps the AVWAP anchor • If spot CVD slows or perps shift into net selling, a rejection becomes likely • That rejection sends price back toward the mid range and possibly into 101k to 102k • Continuation into the higher timeframe LVN at 98k becomes possible Every single step unfolded almost perfectly. Current State of Bitcoin Bitcoin is now sitting directly on the lower band of the AVWAP anchored from 7 April 2025. What this means AVWAP stands for Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price. It calculates the average position of market participants beginning from the chosen anchor point. The April low marked a major shift in trend structure. When price reaches the lower band of an AVWAP anchored to such a significant low, it often acts as dynamic support. This is because it reflects the average entry of early cycle buyers. If price holds and begins reclaiming from this area, it signals that the strongest hands are defending their positions. If it fails, the market risks a deeper flush into lower demand clusters. Value Zone Analysis with Fixed Range Volume Profile To determine whether Bitcoin is inside a significant value region, we use a Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP). The range is anchored from the April low to the October high. Zooming into the profile on the left, price has now re-entered the core value area of this entire swing. The red horizontal line marks the Point of Control, which is the level with the highest traded volume in the entire range. The current low sits almost exactly on this level. Pixel perfect confluence. Why this matters When price returns to the value area after a distribution phase, two possible outcomes appear: 1. Reversal Buyers defend value and price rotates back toward high volume nodes above. 2. Continuation breakdown Price accepts below value, meaning even previous buyers are unwilling to re accumulate here. This opens the door to the next low volume pocket and lower demand zones. Right now, the reaction at this level is critical because we have perfect alignment between the lower AVWAP band and the FRVP Point of Control. Mathematical Levels and Fibonacci Structure Now we collect the mathematical evidence. We are sitting at a core AVWAP level and a core FRVP level. Now we check if the market is stretched mathematically. Bitcoin at the 1.618 Extension On the four hour spot chart, I apply a Trend Based Fibonacci Extension from A to B and project it from C. The placement rule Ask yourself: What was the last meaningful swing high that ended the previous trend and started the current reversal? That swing becomes A to B. The first corrective lower high after that becomes C. Using this structure, Bitcoin has now extended perfectly into the 1.618 level. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension is historically associated with exhaustion. Sharp downlegs often pause, take liquidity, or reverse at this point. TOTAL at the 2.0 Extension To confirm that this move is not isolated to Bitcoin, we check the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL crypto market. TOTAL reflects the entire crypto market and shows equilibrium conditions. When Bitcoin and TOTAL stretch at the same time, reaction probability increases. Start with a retracement from A to B: Price nearly hit the fifty percent mark but not entirely. Then reverse the tool from B to A. Doing so reveals the extension levels below. Price is now sitting exactly at the 2.0 extension. Why the 50 percent connects to the 2.0 If a move retraces halfway, the remaining distance becomes the basis of the flipped extension. Doubling that distance gives the 2.0 level. Because TOTAL did not fully reach the fifty percent retracement, there is a small missing portion. To visualise this, I draw a box between the actual retracement and the fifty percent level. Then I duplicate the box under the 2.0 extension. The duplicated box lands perfectly on the current low, showing mathematical symmetry. Additional Mathematical Check I also check the structure that began after the 10 October crash. By extending from B to A, the downside projections appear. Price tagged the 1.618 level perfectly. Full symmetry Bitcoin at the 1.618 TOTAL at the 2.0 Internal structure at the 1.618 When all three align, the move has reached market wide symmetry. These zones commonly produce strong reactions or reversals. Summary so far We now have confluence in four categories: • AVWAP support • FRVP Point of Control support • Fibonacci extensions on BTC and TOTAL • Mathematical symmetry across multiple swings Next, we check the internal fuel of the move: order flow. Order Flow Analysis Spot CVD Divergence On both the one hour and thirty minute charts, Spot CVD continues making lower lows while price holds steady. This means aggressive sellers are pushing market sell but price refuses to break down. This can only occur when passive limit buyers absorb the flow. This is hidden absorption. Coin Margined Futures CVD Coin margined CVD shows the same pattern: lower lows while price stays flat. This indicates aggressive shorting with no continuation. Why coin margined matters Coin margined futures use BTC as collateral. When price declines, the collateral loses value. When price rises, shorts lose even more because both their collateral and their position move against them. Coin margined shorts get squeezed harder and faster. Open Interest • Stablecoin margined OI: holding steady. Traders continue to open or maintain positions during sell pressure. • Coin margined OI: compressed during the dump and is now flat. This means shorts are sitting in the market and can be forced out. Summary Price stable CVD falling OI steady This is absorption combined with short build-up. This often leads to a sharp reversal when price begins to lift. Volume Analysis Chart: Accumulation and Distribution (A D Indicator) The A D indicator shows whether volume flows into candles or out of them. On the one hour chart, the A/D is trending up while price stays flat. This means buyers are stepping in during down-wicks and absorbing sell pressure. Price is not showing this strength yet, which is typical for accumulation phases. On Balance Volume (OBV) OBV measures directional volume flow. On the last wick down, OBV actually moved up. This means buyers absorbed the move rather than sellers pushing price down. This is the classic bullish volume divergence after a liquidity sweep. Both Spot and Perps Confirm These divergences appear on both spot and perpetual futures. Spot confirmation is the strongest form of validation because it represents real buying without leverage distortion. The combination of A/D rising, OBV diverging, Spot CVD falling, and Futures CVD falling strongly supports that the sell pressure is being absorbed. What Happens Next Based on everything above, I expect Bitcoin to start by taking the weak local high at 99,862. Weak highs form when the wick structure is sloppy and no real sellers defended the level. On fine tick data, this high looks even weaker. Taking that high breaks the current local structure and potentially triggers a short squeeze. If Bitcoin begins closing four hour candles above 106,200, the next important level is 108,500. Main Thesis Bitcoin pushes into the first target zone and performs a Swing Failure Pattern around 115,700. With strong momentum, the move could extend into the 17,300 to 18,000 region. Invalidation and Downside If Bitcoin loses support and spends meaningful time below 93,000, the next major support is 84,617. This is the next Point of Control from the AVWAP auction and an extremely important level to watch. All relevant levels are marked on the charts. Trade safe and manage risk. From the depths of the sands, ThetaNomad ------------------- If you like my analysis, give it a like and leave a comment so more people can see real analysis without the noise.
Long
by ThetaNomad
7
UNI 4H – Post-UNIfication consolidation longUniswap remains one of the key DEX protocols: TVL is around $4.5B and 30-day DEX volume is roughly $94.6B, which keeps Uniswap at the top of the sector by liquidity and fee generation. Over the last 30 days UNI is up ~+22%, with a sharp acceleration in November (70%+ week) after the UNIfication proposal: enabling protocol fees and burning up to 100M UNI (~16% of supply). That fundamentally changes expectations for UNI as a value-accrual token rather than “governance only”. On derivatives, UNI trades with deep liquidity: OI ≈ $560M, ~ $1.16B futures volume and ~$220M spot per 24h, so larger positions can enter/exit without severe slippage. Regulatory tail risk also eased earlier this year when the SEC closed its investigation into Uniswap Labs without charges. Technical setup (#4h) After the vertical post-UNIfication spike into the 10–11 area, UNI has been digesting the move in a sideways 4H range roughly between 7.3 and 8.1: Price is hovering around the 4H EMA band; on higher TFs (1D–3D) UNI still trades above the main EMAs, keeping the broader uptrend intact. Multiple tests of the lower part of the range (7.3–7.5) have been bought back, with my PRICE_EMA long signals firing near the lower deviation/ATR zone. Overhead, a major supply/OB cluster sits around 10–10.5, which also matches the prior spike highs and HTF resistance. I view this as a post-news consolidation above support within an emerging bullish trend. Strategy context This trade comes from my 4H EMA-based swing system (trend-following mode): The system focuses on buying pullbacks to the EMA band during strong momentum phases and targeting prior liquidity zones. Sample of 30+ trades on alts shows roughly ~70% win rate with average winners larger than losers, at the cost of relatively wide stops and multi-day holding times. UNI currently fits the “momentum + consolidation on EMAs” template for this system. Trade plan (swing 3–10 days) Entry zone: ~7.5–7.7 (current spot around 7.6–7.7). Main target: 10.2–10.3 – retest of the post-UNIfication spike high and upper supply block. Stop / invalidation: below 6.8–6.9 (under the lower ATR band and recent local lows). A 4H close below this zone would mean the consolidation broke down and the “second leg” scenario is off. This gives a rough R:R of ~3.5:1 from entry to the 10.2–10.3 target. I’ll look to trail partial size if price breaks and holds above 8.5 (orange level) with strong volume, but the core idea is to catch one clean extension from the current range into the upper resistance cluster. Fundamental snapshot Key bullish points: UNIfication: proposal to turn on protocol fees and burn up to 100M UNI (~16% supply), aligning Labs, Foundation and DAO economics and finally connecting UNI to protocol cash flows. Strong fee engine: Uniswap generates ~$1.25B annualized fees, ~$100M in the last 30 days, currently all going to LPs – a large “pool of value” that fee switch can redirect partially to UNI. Sector leadership: ~$94.6B 30-day DEX volume and deep liquidity in UNI markets (tens of millions in depth), making it one of the core DeFi blue chips. SEC case closed: investigation into Uniswap Labs ended without charges, cutting a major tail risk. Key risks: UNIfication is not fully implemented yet – parameters of fee switch and burn (LP share vs DAO vs burn) can still change and may trigger LP outflows. DeFi / DEX tokens as a group still trade at a discount vs L1s, and Fear & Greed is in Extreme Fear territory. UNI is still ~−80% below its $44 ATH, so structurally it’s early in any potential new DeFi cycle. Alternative scenario If UNI breaks down and starts closing 4H candles below 6.8–6.9 with no new positive catalysts on UNIfication or DeFi sentiment, I’ll treat this setup as invalid and stand aside, watching the 6.0–5.5 area for a deeper retrace and fresh structure before considering new longs. Not financial advice — just my structured 4H EMA swing long on UNI, combining the current consolidation pattern with system stats and the UNIfication fundamental narrative.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
1
AUDCAD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for AUDCAD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.9117 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.9143 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPCAD Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GBPCAD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.8446 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.8468 Safe Stop Loss - 1.8434 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1