We're setting up for the greatest Q4 for Ethereum $ETH so farMy CRYPTOCAP:ETH thesis is slowly playing out
Waiting for one more confirmation (reclaiming 4250 resistance), and we're setting up for the greatest Q4 so far for Ethereum
I'll be buying the dips with SL below the current HTF deviation low at ~3830
A bit more patience here, let it play out, don't rush it
LONG
USD/JPY - BULLISH REVERSAL IN PLAYThe recent price action on the USD/JPY 30-minute chart confirms a Change of Character (CHOCH), marking a significant shift in market structure from a bearish trend to a potential bullish reversal. This CHOCH is a critical technical signal indicating that the previous downtrend has lost momentum and that buyers are beginning to take control of the market.
Leading up to the CHOCH, the market had been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, respecting a well-defined trendline resistance. This downtrend was also characterized by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. However, as price approached a strong support zone, it began to consolidate, suggesting a buildup of buying interest. Eventually, price broke above the most recent lower high, completing a clear CHOCH — the first structural sign that the bearish trend had been invalidated.
This CHOCH is further validated by the break of the descending trendline, a strong bullish impulse candle, and a reaction from the support zone, all of which add confluence to the idea of a trend reversal. Additionally, the breakout occurred with noticeable momentum (as implied by the volume indicator icon on the chart), further reinforcing the likelihood of continued upside movement.
With the CHOCH confirmed and the previous bearish structure broken, the market is now positioned to seek liquidity and inefficiencies above, specifically targeting the next key resistance zone located around 149.600 to 149.900. This area represents a prior supply zone and contains a “weak high,” which often acts as a price magnet during bullish reversals, as the market seeks to test or sweep liquidity from those levels.
In conclusion, the CHOCH marks a decisive shift in direction, and the market structure now supports a bullish move. As long as price holds above the recent low and continues to print higher highs and higher lows, the next likely destination is the resistance zone, where traders should watch for either profit-taking opportunities or signs of further continuation.
LULU / LULULEMON / Long / Fractal and SeasonalityHere is my view on LULULEMON:
The 15min Timeframe analysis (yellow) shows the next luttle move.
The bigger timeframe analysis (green, done on 1h) shows the bigger move to come.
Seasonality analysis suggests that we should enter a bullish time and reach our take profit around december 8th.
First TP: Gap close
2nd TP: old high before the drop
3rd TP: target taken from the fractal.
Feel free to discuss this idea and the method with me so we all can learn.
This is not a trade call nor financial advice.
Cheers!
MSFT / MICROSOFT / Fractal and Seasonality inspiredHere is my view on MSFT from seasonal and fractal point of view.
Price gonna break the recent 516 high, shall turn and break recent 505 low than head upside for end of the year ralley.
i put 2 Longs into the chart. Smaller for first partial take profit and the larger one for rest.
All this should play out until 15th of November or latest until End of January.
After January 2026 downside. Be careful!
(This is not a trade call, just educational analysis, trade at your own risk)
Feel free to comment so we can learn and improve together!
Cheers!
Zinc - Exponential Move To Profit Along With Copper🔱 I posted about copper and zinc on Sep 17. 🔱
Both are closely correlated, and now zinc is moving exponentially.
The target is at the centerline of course with around an 80% probability.
👉 If you think that these forks are doing a good job, then throw me booster please and check out my links. §8-)
SHORT BITCOIN – THE TRAP IS BELOW, NOT ABOVE!Traders,
From the current levels around $112.8K–$113K, I believe Bitcoin is setting up for another leg down into the $104K region.
Why? Because at current levels we already have multiple Anchored VWAPs (AVWAPs) lining up from different swing high → low auctions, which makes this area heavy resistance.
That means the probability of retracing higher is limited, and instead, the market is more likely to drop into $104K — where there’s significant unfinished business — before a proper bounce can occur.
🔮 Hypothesis
From current levels ($112.8K–$113K), price will reject and move down toward $104K.
Retracement higher than $113K is unlikely given AVWAP confluence + resistance stack.
The $104K region will act as a bounce zone, potentially with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) wick.
📊 Data & Confluence
🔻 Why $104K Is a Magnet
HTF Point of Control (POC): The high-volume node where markets naturally seek equilibrium.
HTF AVWAP: Anchored VWAP from major pivots aligns here, marking fair value.
4H TPO Single Prints + Fib Retracements (0.75–0.786): Gaps in auction structure converge with key Fibonacci levels.
CME Gap: The $104K CME RTH gap still needs filling — markets often return here for balance.
Sept 1st Low (Weekly TPO): Poor excess signals unfinished auction business, pulling price back down.
🔼 Why Current Levels Won’t Hold
Clustered AVWAPs (different swing high → low auctions): Acting as strong dynamic resistance.
Multiple POCs at current zone: Volume saturation suggests exhaustion.
Fibonacci confluence + harmonic pattern: Pointing to lower continuation.
💵 Macro Flows
USDT Dominance (USDT.D): Breaking higher → capital shifting to stablecoins → bearish BTC.
Aggregated CVD: Spot CVD drifting slightly higher, but futures CVD flat with no OI expansion.
→ No real demand behind the move.
📌 My Take
Bitcoin is most likely to:
Reject from current AVWAP resistance ($112.8K–$113K).
Drop into $104K, clearing imbalances and luring in shorts below the 0.786 fib.
Trigger a wick/squeeze move up (Swing Failure Pattern) to trap those late shorters.
⚠️ If $104K fails to hold, next target is the imbalance zone around $98.5K.
✅ Conclusion
The market is loaded with resistance at current levels. Until that’s broken with conviction, the path of least resistance is down into $104K.
That’s where the real battle will be.
Trade safe, manage risk, and don’t get trapped on the wrong side of the wick.
EUR/USD: A Decision Level for SurePrice managed to reach the white centerline again (80% rule!) after forming a Hagopian in early 2025.
Now it’s sandwiched between the orange U-MLH and the white centerline.
Wherever it breaks out will determine the direction we should trade.
If it breaks upwards, the next targets are the ¼-line and then the U-MLH.
If it breaks below the white centerline, I’ll wait for a test/retest and then jump on the train south toward the white L-MLH.
Patience is key!
XAUUSD Has Left the buildingOn the way up, we first found support at the L-MLH (1).
Then the Centerline stepped in as resistance (2), but it eventually couldn’t hold price down.
Eating through the Centerline like a mouse through cheese, price found support again at (2) before blasting upward to the U-MLH — and quickly through it.
Once again, the U-MLH turned from prior resistance into fresh support.
From there, price mirrored (2), moving sideways before blasting off to the moon! 🚀
I’m surprised that WL1 offered no resistance at all.
Now that we’ve left WL1 behind, WL2 is the next target.
Watching the show patiently.
BTCUSD – Last Chance to Go HigherOver the weekend, price found support just outside the white L-MLH. That’s where I previously mentioned the red Centerline — the target for the earlier short trade.
Now, however, price has jumped back into the fork. Tthis could be the last chance to break out of the down-sloping yellow fork to the upside.
P3 would be my next level to watch for support after the break of the red Centerline.
NQ is twitching the worm - Don't take the bait🎣 Don’t take the bait! 🎣
Just sitting here, watching my pre-market setup.
Now I can see them twitching the worm, trying to lure me in.
NOPE!
This price action’s way too twitchy for me. §8-)
This Chart is a RTH with "Gap-Attached" and gives a perfect catch of the first drop.
So, just casually watching...maybe I can learn even more...
🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡🐟🐠🐡
GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,831.23.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,854.44 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPJPY Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 199.725.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 200.402.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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BITCOIN Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 109,230.63.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 112,035.52 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CHF/JPY BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY is trending up which is evident from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 187.473.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 86.223 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADJPY Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
CADJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 106.74 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 107.03
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
28/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $115,537.51
Last weeks low: $108,606.86
Midpoint: $112,072.19
As BTC continued to trend down post FOMC the key HTF level of $108,500, after some chop at this level a late rally on Sunday has pushed BTC back to the Midpoint of the range for this week.
As September comes to a close we are at the point where banks window dress their balance sheets by de-risking going into Q4. Banks taking cash out of the market to appear there is less risk and more liquid to hide their true risk over the quarter. This lowers liquidity and for this reason I do not expect the bulls to be out of the woods yet and the weekly low ($108k) could be under attack again before the week closes.
The story is the same for much of the altcoin market, after continued downtrend majors are bouncing off key HTF S/R levels but conviction is still low due to quarter end.
This week I am looking at how BTC finishes the week once the month/quarter end is out of the way. If their is renewed optimism October.
In terms of seasonality October has an average return rate of 21.89% since 2019.
Should price break below weekly low the bullish HTF trend would be questioned and would open the door to a deeper correction. With the 4-year cycle predicted to end in late October there would be huge talk of the cycle repeating and the bear market beginning.
Good luck this week everybody!
CADJPY: Bulls Will Push
Balance of buyers and sellers on the CADJPY pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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#029: EUR/USD Long Investment Opportunity
The pair recently broke the 1.1700 support zone, showing strong rejection and signs of a possible bullish reversal. Volume confirms accumulation near the lows, while retail traders remain largely positioned on the short side. Hello, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, an independent trader and prop trader with $200,000 in capital under management. Thank you in advance for your time.
From an institutional perspective, this creates favorable conditions for a potential continuation of the upside.
Momentum indicators are turning positive, and the next few sessions could be crucial for a breakout attempt.
Key Focus:
Support zone around 1.1690-1.1700
Resistance area near 1.1810
Retail sentiment is still strongly short-term → possible upward pressure from institutional investors
⏳ The trend remains bullish in the short term, with expectations of a progressive upward move in the next 24-32 hours.
#BTCUSDT.P (1H Chart)#BTCUSDT.P
(1H Chart)
🔹️ Bitcoin Analysis Update 🔹️
The bullish outlook from the previous analysis remains valid.
The yellow box resistance has been engulfed, and I expect the bullish move to continue.
📌 Best entry zone: Blue Box
🎯 Main target for this long setup: Red Box (114,000 – 114,500)
🚀 If you enjoyed this analysis, please give it a boost 💙
and to not miss any new analyses or setups, make sure to follow me 📊
🆔️ @Rasoolahmadi
EURGBP Eyes 0.86700 Support for Potential BounceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around the 0.86700 zone. EURGBP is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader trend remains bullish, with the current pullback potentially offering fresh entry opportunities.
Key level in focus: 0.86700 — a significant support zone where buyers may look to rejoin the trend.
Fundamentals: Ongoing EUR resilience against GBP could help support a continuation higher if this level holds.
Trade safe,
Joe.
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Momentum ContinuesHello, traders! The prior price auction for XAUUSD was dominated by a wide consolidation range, from which the price broke out with significant bullish momentum. This breakout from the demand zone 2 established the current uptrend, which has since taken the form of a well-defined ascending channel, confirming that the market initiative is with the buyers.
Currently, the price action continues to be guided by this ascending channel. After a successful breakout above the demand level, the price has reached the upper portion of the channel and is now in a corrective phase. This pullback is a normal part of a healthy uptrend and is bringing the price back towards an area of potential support.
My scenario for the development of events is a continuation of the uptrend after this correction. I believe the price will find support, possibly after a brief dip, and then resume its rally within the channel. In my opinion, the underlying bullish momentum is strong enough to push for a new structural high. The take-profit is therefore set at 3785, targeting the upper resistance area of the channel. Manage your risk.