XAUUSD – Downtrend Confirmed, Bears in ControlOn the H4 timeframe, gold has completely broken its short-term uptrend structure and formed a series of lower highs and lower lows. Every bounce is rejected at the strong resistance zone of 3,326 – 3,333 USD, confirming the clear downtrend.
Although the recently released Core PCE index was lower than expected, this is not enough to drive a recovery as other data, such as the Employment Cost Index and statements from the Fed, still show persistent inflationary pressure. Therefore, the monetary policy remains hawkish, causing money to flow out of gold.
Currently, the price is approaching the critical support zone of 3,247. If this level is broken, the scenario of further declines to 3,192 is entirely possible.
Longsetup
LONG ON EUR/USDEUR/USD is currently at a major demand level after sweeping sell side liquidity.
The Dxy (Dollar) is overall bearish. I expect the dollar to fall and EUR/USD to rise to the previous high / supply level for over 200-300 pips.
News most likely will affect this pair in terms of volatility.
Accumulate waiting for btc price increase💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE – End of July (31/07)
📊 BTC Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe – End of July)
✅ Positive Signals:
• BTC has broken out of the consolidation triangle pattern (blue diagonal line), indicating a potential strong uptrend.
• The current price is retesting the breakout support zone around 117,800–118,000 → showing a good reaction and creating upward momentum.
• MA50 and MA200 are starting to slope upwards → confirming increasing buying strength.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
• If BTC holds above 118,000, it is likely to move toward the nearest resistance zone at 119,900.
• After breaking 119,900, the next targets are:
→ 122,792 (Fibonacci 1.618)
→ Further target: 127,900 (Fibonacci 2.618)
🛑 Risk Note:
• If the price drops below 117,000, it’s important to monitor again, as it may retest a deeper support zone around 114,500.
PUMPUSDT: Bullish Breakout and Retest - A Potential 34% Upside?Hello, traders!
Today we're looking at the PUMP/USDT pair on the 4-hour timeframe, and a very clean technical setup is unfolding that points towards potential bullish continuation. Let's break down the key elements of this analysis.
The Analysis
The chart presents a classic breakout and retest scenario, which is often a strong indicator of a trend reversal or continuation.
Descending Trendline Breakout: The most significant feature is the decisive breakout from a major descending trendline that had been capping the price for a considerable period. Breaking this trendline is a primary signal that the previous bearish momentum is weakening and buyers are starting to take control.
Break of Horizontal Resistance (S/R Flip): Following the trendline break, the price also successfully pushed through a key horizontal resistance zone, identified on the chart between approximately $0.002966 and $0.003044. This level has now, as expected, turned into a new support base.
The Retest: We are currently witnessing a pullback to this newly established support zone. This "retest" is a critical phase. A strong bounce from this level would confirm the breakout's validity and suggest that the market has accepted this price floor, paving the way for the next leg up.
Volume Confirmation: Notice the volume bars at the bottom of the chart. There was a visible spike in volume during the initial breakout candles, which adds conviction to the move. It indicates that the breakout was backed by significant buying interest.
The Trade Idea
Based on this structure, a potential long opportunity presents itself.
Entry: A favorable entry point could be found within the current support zone ($0.002966 - $0.003044), especially upon seeing confirmation of a bounce (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle or a hammer on the 4H or 1H chart).
Target: The analysis points to a primary target at the next major resistance level, located around the $0.004000 psychological mark. As measured on the chart, this represents a potential upside of over 34%.
Invalidation: This bullish outlook would be invalidated if the price fails to hold the current support and decisively closes back below the $0.002966 level. Placing a stop-loss below this zone is a prudent risk management strategy.
Conclusion
In summary, PUMPUSDT is displaying a textbook bullish setup. The combination of a trendline breakout, an S/R flip, and a live retest offers a compelling case for potential upside. As always, manage your risk carefully and wait for your preferred confirmation signals before entering a trade.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis provided is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading cryptocurrencies involves a high level of risk. Please conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any investment decisions.
EURUSD – German GDP boosts EUR, but USD still holds the reins Germany’s recently released GDP data exceeded expectations, acting as a catalyst for EURUSD to rebound after a steep decline. However, this upward move remains fragile, as the USD continues to dominate the market—especially with several key U.S. economic reports set to be released later this week.
On the chart, EURUSD has just bounced from the 1.15000 support zone, which has historically served as a strong floor. If the price holds above this level and breaks the downtrend line, the short-term target could move toward the 1.15700 resistance zone.
Still, the path ahead won’t be easy. The market is closely watching upcoming U.S. data, such as the jobs report and the Core PCE index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. If these figures come in strong, the USD could regain strength and put pressure back on EURUSD.
XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues as USD StrengthensGold remains under significant pressure as the U.S. dollar continues to gain strength following a series of positive economic data from the U.S. Specifically, GDP grew by 2.5%, beating expectations, while ADP Non-Farm Employment data also came in strong. This suggests the U.S. economy remains resilient, supporting the Fed's hawkish stance and keeping the dollar strong.
On the 4H chart, XAUUSD has broken below the previous ascending price channel and is now trading under the 3,340.400 resistance zone – an area packed with unfilled FVGs. The current price structure leans bearish, with any rebounds likely to be temporary pullbacks.
If USD strength continues, gold could drop further toward the support zone at 3,279.200 or even lower near 3,240.
Trading Strategy: Focus on SELL
Entry: Around 3,325 – 3,340.400 upon price rejection signals.
Target: 3,279.200 or lower.
Stop-loss: Above 3,342.459
SUI ANALYSIS🔮#SUI Analysis 💰💰
#SUI is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and if it breakouts with high volume then we can see a bullish momentum in #SUI. Before that we will see little bit bearish movement towards its support zone and that a bullish movement.
🔖 Current Price: $3.81
⏳ Target Price: $5.27
⁉️ What to do?
- We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #SUI. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#SUI #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
$AI they sleep, i eat. Quiet danger..Hello,
Name has been on my watch for a week or so now, finally just sitting back and getting to a multi analytical chart.
To begin: Yes, I see the head and shoulders pattern forming, scary, I know. Aside from that just zoom out, this name has traded in this range for 1,200 days... the range of $20 to $30 with some bumps in the $40's and low $20's with taps in the teens. This name is quiet, not a loud player like other AI tickers. Something smells fun here. I'm going to be gearing in some $40 calls for 2026. I may risk 20% of my port here. I feel confident in this one, I do. The name is holding good support in the low $20 range and there are a lot more green candles than red. I know other names are getting more attractive like BBAI, you still have SMCI, CRWV, NVDA and so forth, which is fine, means nothing. This was a meme name type of stock about a year ago. I believe this will go on a run towards $50. If you have patience, $50 calls for 2027 would be appropriate and at a fair price for a swing and a possible short squeeze. For those who want to play the shorter term volatility $40 calls for Jan. 2026.
Good luck.
WSL.
AUDUSD Analysis – Bullish Structure Still IntactAUDUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel on the H4 chart. After dropping from the FVG zone around 0.65800, price has reacted well to the lower boundary support near 0.64650.
Currently, price action suggests the potential formation of a short-term bottom. If this level holds and the pair rebounds, the next target could be the red FVG zone near 0.65400.
Recent Supporting News:
U.S. consumer confidence slightly weakened, causing the dollar to cool off — offering technical rebound support for AUD.
Trading Strategy:
Prefer short-term Buys near 0.64650 if a confirmed bounce appears, with target around 0.65400. Be cautious if price breaks below the ascending channel.
Do you think AUD will continue to rise within this bullish channel?
XAUUSD – Is gold getting ready to bounce?Right now, gold is reacting around the 3,280 support zone after breaking down from its previous ascending channel. While the broader trend is still under bearish pressure, the recently released JOLTS data came in lower than expected, signaling that the U.S. labor market may be cooling — a mildly positive sign for gold.
From a technical view, price is showing signs of forming a short-term bottom near 3,229 and is starting to rebound. If gold can hold above this support and break through 3,339, a recovery toward the 3,360–3,400 zone could unfold.
That said, this bounce is likely just a technical correction. Without more bearish news for the dollar, gold still risks being rejected around the FVG area and heading lower again.
Trading idea: Consider short-term Buy opportunities if price stays above 3,280 and forms a clear reversal pattern. Stop-loss below 3,229. Short-term targets: 3,339–3,360.
What about you? Leaning towards buying the dip or staying with the downtrend?
USDJPY – Bearish Pressure Builds Near Channel TopUSDJPY is approaching strong resistance around 149.900, a level that has repeatedly triggered price rejections. The ABCD structure suggests the current bullish correction may be nearing completion. If price fails to break above this zone, selling pressure could emerge.
On the news front, Japan’s core inflation remains elevated, reinforcing expectations that the BOJ will maintain its current stance. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is losing momentum after a series of mixed economic data releases.
Strategy: Consider SELL opportunities if clear reversal signals appear near 149.900. A short-term target lies around the 148.200 support zone. A confirmed break below this level could signal the start of a deeper bearish move.
GBPJPY – Bearish pressure returns near ascending channel supportGBPJPY is trading close to the lower trendline of the ascending channel, with the 197.400 zone acting as a key support. A breakdown below this level could trigger stronger bearish momentum.
On the news front, Japan’s CPI remains solid, strengthening the yen. Meanwhile, the British pound is under pressure after recent consumer spending data showed signs of weakness, raising concerns over the UK’s economic outlook.
Strategy: If the price breaks below 197.400 and fails to bounce back, consider SELL setups in line with the bearish trend. If it rebounds, watch the reaction around the 199.100 zone for signs of recovery confirmation.
$NVO offers solid risk to reward for long term buyers! - I had previously called out that NYSE:NVO would have more pain to come when it was in $85-90s I have attached the link with this post for my reader's reference.
- Now, I am turning bullish on this name given these prices and compressed multiples for the growth prospects it offers.
Fundamentally,
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 3.93 | 4.78 | 5.41 | 5.97
EPS growth% | 25.41% | 21.60% | 13.19% | 10.24%
For a quality name growing EPS > 20% deserves a fair forward multiple of 25.
| Year | Bear (fp/e = 15) | Cons. Base (f. p/e = 20) | Base (fpe = 25) | Bull Case (fpe=30)
| 2025 | $58.95 | $78 |. $98.25. |. $117.9
| 2026 | $71.7 | $95 |. $119. |. $143.4
| 2027 | $81.15 | $108 |. $135 | $162.3
| 2028 | $90 | $119 |. $149.25 | $179.1
As you can see, If you buy NYSE:NVO under $60 then you will be making money even if multiple remains compressed i.e bear case. Only thing you have to do is hold and returns would amplify once there is optimism back in the market which will lead to multiple expansion.
My fair value for NYSE:NVO for this year is $78 based on the conservative base case.
BTC Accumulation, Bullish Breakout Signs💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE
1. Key Chart Features:
Currently, the BTC/USD price is at $118,893.
The chart shows a strong upward trend recently, and we are seeing accumulation with short-term corrections.
2. Fibonacci Levels:
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the lowest point ($114,460) to the highest point ($119,809).
At the moment, the price is hovering near the 0.5 retracement level ($113,000), which is a key support level.
If the price holds above this level, a rebound is likely.
3. Trendlines and Price Patterns:
The trendlines (dashed blue lines) are indicating a descending triangle pattern, which could lead to a breakout if the price surpasses resistance levels.
A potential Head and Shoulders pattern might be forming, though it is not yet clear and needs confirmation by breaking key resistance.
4. Breakout and Retest Zone:
The breakout zone (red area) is around $119,000.
If the price breaks and holds above this level, we may see a continuation of the uptrend toward the next target around $122,792 (Fibonacci 1.618 level).
After the breakout, the price might retouch (retest) this support area before resuming the upward movement.
5. Technical Indicators:
• Moving Averages (MA):
• The red MA (long-term) is below the current price, indicating a strong uptrend.
• The yellow MA (medium-term) is near the current price, providing support for the uptrend if it holds.
• RSI Indicator:
The RSI has not yet reached overbought levels, suggesting that the market still has potential to rise without being overheated.
6. Conclusion:
If the price breaks above the $119,000 resistance and maintains that level, BTC/USD could continue its strong bullish trend, potentially targeting $122,792 or even $127,941.
Note: If the price fails to hold above $119,000 and drops back below, a pullback to the nearest support level at $114,460 may occur.
XAUUSD – Technical rebound, but downside risks remainOn the H4 chart, gold is bouncing slightly from the 3,323 support zone after a sharp drop. However, price remains within a large descending channel and is approaching a dense cluster of bearish FVGs around 3,360–3,374.
News context:
– US GDP and ADP data beat expectations, boosting the USD and adding pressure on gold.
– JOLTS dipped but remains above 7 million → limited support for gold.
– Thailand–Cambodia conflict provides only short-term impact.
Strategy: Favor SELL if price retests 3,360–3,374 and gets rejected. Downside targets: 3,323 or lower.
Main trend remains bearish, unless gold breaks above the descending channel.
GBPAUD: Calm Before the ConfirmationPrice has swept liquidity below the previous week's low and broke structure to the upside. Now it’s retracing into a Fair Value Gap that aligns beautifully with the 38.2% to 50% Fibonacci zone.
I'm not in yet. I’m watching for a clean bullish confirmation, like an engulfing or strong rejection candle, before entering .
The 50 EMA supports the bias and helps confirm that I'm trading in the direction of the short-term momentum. If all aligns, I’ll be targeting the previous week’s high.
This is a reminder that being patient often protects your capital more than being early.
AMD coiling to $148-160 range by post-earnings- NASDAQ:AMD is one of the beaten down names. It's not too cheap at the current valuation but it's growth for upcoming 2-3 years are promising which deserves a higher multiple.
- 25%+ growth rate when revenue is in billions is a big deal unlike NASDAQ:PLTR which has high 20s % growth rate on a revenue of 250 mil a quarter.
- Technical supports strong rebound to 148-160 range to test 200 SMA. Good setup for Q1 2025.
- Downside risk is to 94-105 if it continues to meltdown.
MOVR — Buying the Dip Into Confluence SupportAs the broader market pulls back, it’s the perfect time to scan for high-conviction long setups — and MOVR stands out.
Price is approaching a strong confluence support zone, offering a solid long opportunity.
🧩 Key Technicals
➡️ Liquidity Pool Below the Low:
There’s a visible liquidity pocket just beneath the swing low at $6.121 — an area where stop hunts and reversals are likely.
➡️ Fib & Speed Fan Confluence:
0.618 Fib retracement from the recent move aligns at $6.042
0.618 Speed Fan level also intersects the zone
Together, they form a technical floor right at the $6 psychological level
🟢 Long Trade Setup
Entry: $6.042
Stop-loss: $5.685 (below structure & liquidity sweep)
Target (TP): $6.78
R:R: ≈ 1:2+
Plan: Wait for price to fill into the zone and monitor for a bullish reaction (e.g., SFP, bullish structure reclaim)
💡 Why It Matters: Confluence Builds Confidence
When multiple tools — fib retracement, speed fan, liquidity pools, and psychological round numbers — all line up, it increases the probability of a strong reaction.
This is how smart money builds positions — not by chasing pumps, but by entering where others panic.
Final Thoughts
MOVR is approaching a clean, high-probability buy zone just below $6.00.
If the level holds and confirms with price action, this setup offers a solid R:R and a clear invalidation point.
📌 Mark the zone, set your alert, and let price come to you.
_________________________________
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CAKE / USDT : Trying to break horizontal resistanceCAKE/USDT - Triangle Breakout
CAKE/USDT is currently breaking out of a triangle pattern after a period of consolidation. The price is now testing the key resistance area at $2.80. Once this resistance is cleared, we can expect a strong bullish move towards $3.50 - $4.00.
Bullish Scenario:
Break above the $2.80 resistance confirms the breakout, targeting $3.50 - $4.00.
Pro Tip:
Watch for volume confirmation to ensure the breakout is sustainable. Set stop losses below the breakout zone to manage risk.
USDJPY30h Candle confirmed break out!
📢 USDJPY – 30H Breakout Confirmed
Technical Outlook:
Confirmed breakout on the 30H candle, signaling bullish.
Resistance break!
A Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern observed, though the right shoulder is slightly weaker than the left.
For safety, Stop Loss placed below the last Higher Low (HL) to respect market structure.
📍 Key Line:
“Imperfect structures can still produce perfect trades — when aligned with price action and fundamentals.”
🌐 USD Fundamentals Supporting the Bias:
Stronger-than-expected economic data (e.g., recent PMI and labor reports) continues to support USD strength.
Fed's hawkish stance and higher-for-longer rate policy remain favorable for the dollar against low-yielding currencies like JPY.