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Bitcoin: A Longterm OutlookIt might take a couple years before another rally. The next 4 months I expect price failing at the red trend line and coming back down to 220-300 depending on how strong demand is there and therefore if it's worth for whales to try running the stops bellow 230. The 800-900 target is derived from meassuring the distance at the widest place within the triangle, and projecting that same distance (150%) from the (expected) breakout point upwards.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by MagnusTradingGroup
18
2 TARGETS EXPLAINED - POSITION SIZING - BANKING PROFITS Hi All, I recently have been asked to publish this diagram for executing a 2 target order. I have labeled the diagram with order sequence in a perfect world scenario. Steps below relate to numbers on chart I am not telling you this is how everyone does it and this is only based on the questions I have been asked, every strategy has its own order entries stops and targets. 1. Price action comes down to hit your Limit Order Entry/Entries - when we find the reason for entry in this case we have identified this as an advanced pattern. When price action has at least past the B leg and we anticipate that price will continue downwards towards our D completion and predict where the Market is most likely to go after this, we then decide on our entry type and execute the order - The most important thing is to know where your entry stops and targets go before the entry level is reached. We mark these area's out and place 2 Order Entries @ Half position size. So let's say you would like to buy 20k EURUSD and the spread was 2.3 pips with a pip cost of $1 per 10k (minilot) trade. The cost would be: 2.3 pips * $1 per minilot * 2 minilots = $4.60 Now let's say you bought 20k in EURUSD, but this time, you bought two separate minilots, 10k and 10k. The cost for this would be Position #1 - 2.3 pips * $1 per minilot * 1 minilot = $2.30 Position #2 - 2.3 pips * $1 per minilot * 1 minilot = $2.30 The 2nd scenario costs the same as the 1st but allows two different sets of stops and limits (one set per ticket). So now we have the Order in Place with your target 1 and 2 and only exposing you to a stop loss of your original 20k After D has completed you need to make sure to bring your targets down until D has completed. 2. Now you have your order filled, based on historical data and forward testing results in the most likely of places price will retrace to being the 38.2% for T1 and 61.8% for T2 - now in your testing results you may just take one position and use the 50.0% for your one target. Keep in mind this is just an example. We have already banked our target 1 with 43pips - Price can do 3 things Go up Sideways or down. We hope price would just continue to hit our T2 - in this case price will retrace when sellers have their orders in at the 38.2% 3. We then move our stops up for position 2 to break even. 4. Price action usually will retrace and can indeed come back down to stop you out for a break even trade on position 2 but this has already banked 43 pips at 10k Half Position. 5. Price action doesn't stop us out and we are looking for Target 2 to be acquired, when T2 is obtained we have completed a perfect trade. And target 2 has banked 69 pips You can also trail a stop when the price action hits T1 if you need to sleep or leave for some reason and don't want to leave the position exposed to loss if it turns in the wrong direction. You can take step number 4 after the retrace and use the LLLC candle wick and trail the stop 5 pips below or above the HHHC candle wick depending on bearish or bullish. Note: some brokers or platforms do have the feature to have two limits on the one order. Also note the dollar figure is great that's what we all want is to make money in the market, the most important thing though is to not go broke, protect capital, dont expose yourself to too much risk, bank profits and don't be greedy. Being a consistently profitable trader putting yourself in the highest probable trades, Like Warren Buffett Says The stock market is a device of transferring money from the impatient to the patient. Their are a million ways to make and lose money in Forex - good luck I hope this helps for all those who asked to post it
Education
by Oztrade
2
BTCUSD developing a healthy bull trendBitcoin is at a huge juncture at $300 and it looks very close to breaking through. Plenty of room for upside and once it cracks that $300 mark, it's on like donkey kong. Depending on the risk you can handle, you can pick a stop-loss at various levels. I'm personally keeping a pretty tight stop-loss below the breakout zone on a 2h scale because I believe this is going to happen very quickly once it breaks. When the price pops, we will see a quick run to the upper $300s before a retrace. If and when this occurs, I plan to play both sides of it. We can see volume supporting this trend on a daily time frame, but also on shorter time frames as well, with steadily increasing volume accompanying steadily increasing price. What's more, the speed of the trend seems to be increasing, although we obviously haven't reached climax levels yet, which would be indicated by huge volume and very fast upward price action. This would also be a good indicator that it's time to fold our longs and begin shorting. Good luck!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by MoonTrader
21
Butterfly Pattern, Eur/Gbp, 15minHere we see a butterfly pattern on the Euro, Pound charts. Like most trades i make, i try to find support inside the linear regression channel and here we see the patern complete along the linear regression and the butterfly would suggest that we rally back up into, if not past, the positive standard deviation line. I have placed my targets like any other harmonic you will see me trade. My entry is at point b , my stop at point X and my limit at the 1.618 extension of the BC leg. This pattern appears to have 9 hours to complete as labeled by my forecast line. Thanks for checking us out, as always like comment and follow. Thank you and good trading !
Long
by Kylan_Laymance
(LOSS) EUR/USD Short-term Long Reversal (2.7:1 risk/reward)A bit of a speculative long reversal play which has burned me more than a few times already but this position is a more ideal spot to go long than my previous long position which was doing perfectly fine until news came out. Re-entering the same position just to see how it plays out. Still like this fib powered play and went long closer to structured support which was not broken despite news drop. WARNING: I really should have waited until fed speech but I still overall like the play purely on price action. UPDATE: Got burned.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn189583
Stop Losses, Love Them Or Hate ThemStop losses aim to end a trade when the market goes so far in the opposite direction, that the trade idea no longer makes sense. It’s the point of invalidation . Ideally, they get hit on bad trades only and not on good trades. The area between entry point and stop loss is a zone where the trade is at a loss, but can still recover. This is not an invalidation of the trade. It’s a balancing act : place the stop orders far enough beyond your entry point to give the trade room to breathe and allow the price to rebound in the profitable direction, yet close enough to it to protect your account against a big loss in case of an invalid setup. When you put on a trade, you take a risk. Acknowledging this means accepting this risk and quantifying it before you enter a trade. Not using a stop loss, to me signals not accepting the risk and thereby increasing it because if you don’t use a stop loss your account becomes one . I see not cutting losses early as a fear based trading error. I always try to trade another day and stops give me piece of mind. Automatic stops are even disconnection and hardware problem proof. Everything in trading is a trade off, so there are disadvantages: when it is hit and price reverses, or if its placed wrongly. My philosophy when managing a trade is that either I am right, or I should be out. So what is the ideal place for stop losses? Trying to answer this is like searching for Columbus´ egg . And I haven’t found it yet. It’s a personal decision and I have no overarching rule. For each play in my playbook, I describe where to put the stop loss. I don’t use a fixed amount of pips; in stead I let the trade setup conditions dictate its position. With 5-point retracement structures like the Bat pattern this would be beyond the X-point (because if price moves across this level, then it was not a retracement structure and if I am not right, I should be out). For 2618 plays this would be beyond the tops / bottoms, for channel trades beyond the trend lines and for other plays I use support and resistance levels. I always put the stop losses at a certain distance of these invalidation points, as price may pierce through them before reversing. How far they are placed from my entry point varies, depending on the timeframe and the size and configuration of the pattern I am trading. I always adjust my position size so that in each case the amount of pips from the entry point to the stop loss represents my maximum trade risk (as a fixed % of my trading capital). As a consequence the position sizes I use vary from trade to trade but my risk does not. So, for any winning trade, how much profit I make per pip is proportional to the distance between entry point and stop loss. The placement of a stop loss also influences both the win rate and reward / risk ratio and therefore the expectancy. So its placement is absolutely key. When I am in a winning trade, I roll the stop loss in the profitable direction to lock in part of the profit, thus ensuring the winning trade does not turn into a loser. The stop loss has now become a profit protection point and the trade has become a management of profit. As a rule, I must have hit my first profit target, before I can do this manual trailing. These risk free trades, essentially trading with the markets money, are awesome. Rolling the stops in the opposite direction is a no-go: stops can only be tightened, never widened . I can´t talk about stop losses without mentioning "stop loss hunting” . This refers to situations when the market quickly spikes and hits your stop loss so you are out with a loss, only to reverse and continue in the direction you predicted. I will not get into whether it’s the broker, the banks or institutional traders that are behind this (looking for liquidity to fill their positions), but this price behaviour does happen and taking it into account pays off.
Education
by JazzForex
63
ONE TO WATCH - AAPL Bullish BreakoutA very simple and quick analysis of AAPL stock. As usual there is not much reason to be bearish on AAPL (Apple) stock, with the release of its new products and a game changing new watch, there are no major fundamental signs or technical indications of a fall in price. After the usual post announcement pull-back and consolidation that seems to affect Apple, we seem to be nearing the limits of this symmetrical triangle that has been forming since the days leading up to the announcement back in the beginning of March. 3 bounces on the 50ema have proven it to be acting as dynamic support, matching the bottom trend of the triangle. The most recent bounce closed as a minor hammer/doji reversal candlestick signalling the end of the recent down trend and most likely a long move for the bullish continuation. Just like we have seen in the past with this stock. To top it all off we can see there is support at the 122.50 level, most likely a result of the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone. A good entry order for this stock would be 126.5, giving price enough room to breath through the upper trend line and reverse or take the breakout. A great stop-loss here seems a no brainer. 121.50, well below the 50ema and 0.382 retracement and also below the last swing low bounce on to the 50. Please like and share your thoughts and for more market analysis, visit - www.forexvader.com
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ForexVader
Stable Oil Prices Sets Up Well For Halliburton Near-TermThe stabilization in energy prices lately has meant relief in some oil & gas stocks. Halliburton shares have been one of them, putting in a series of higher lows since mid-January. The pullback in the previous two weeks sets up for a low risk buying opportunity (stop loss under $41.90). HAL is now poised to fill the gap from November ($46.70-$47.50 range) in the coming months with near-term resistance at $45. Options Trade Idea : Sell the Mar 20 $41/$42 bull put spread for a $0.23 credit or better (still using the $41.90 level as a stop loss reference to minimize risks). Look to take profits at $0.05 credit and/or a move to $45 in the stock.
NYSE:HALLong
by MitchellKWarren