LULU 1D - stretching into a comebackOn the daily chart of Lululemon Athletica (LULU), a clean AB=CD pattern is forming, signaling a potential end to the correction and the beginning of a new upward wave. The price has tested the strong buy zone between 164–167, aligned with a major daily support level and rising volume - a classic setup indicating that buyers are regaining control.
Technically , the structure is highly symmetrical, RSI shows a bullish divergence, and the 50-day moving average is starting to turn upward - all suggesting a possible trend reversal. The first upside target for this pattern is $230, followed by a second target at $340, which corresponds to the 1.272 and 1.618 Fibonacci extensions.
From a fundamental standpoint, Lululemon remains a powerhouse in the premium activewear market, maintaining strong brand loyalty even amid competition from Nike and Alo. The company continues to expand its men’s line and footwear segment, which now accounts for over 25% of total revenue. International growth remains robust, with new stores opening in South Korea, the UAE, and Germany. Lululemon’s shift toward higher-margin online sales and more efficient logistics continues to strengthen its profitability.
In the latest quarterly report (September 2025), revenue grew by 9% year-over-year, and EPS came in above Wall Street expectations. High customer retention - over 90% repeat purchase rate - and stable gross margins create a solid foundation for a mid-term recovery in the stock.
Tactical plan: watch for entries within the 164–167 buy zone, consider partial profit-taking near $230, and target $340 if momentum extends. Just like in yoga, patience and balance lead to the best results.
Lululemon
Lululemon Athletica | LULU | Long at $165.00Lululemon $NASDAQ:LULU. If you don't think the US is in a recession, examine most retail stocks right now. But this doesn't mean doom and gloom are here from a US government/news narrative - in fact, the complete opposite. AI and tech are solely propping up the US stock market ... but pay no attention to the issues behind the curtain! Once interest rates start dropping, trading and investing are going to get wild before the cracks open up.
Okay, off my soap box...
NASDAQ:LULU entered by "crash" simple moving average zone (green lines) today after earnings. Competition is finally catching up to the company, but expansion into China and other foreign areas *may* revive them in the next 1-2 years. While most analysts are relatively bullish, I'll stay centered. I wouldn't be surprised if the stock dips into the $140's and $150's in the near-term. Bigger news will have to come out for me to stay long-term, but I'm holding here or even lower. Additional entries will be made in the $140's-$150's to swap out the position I just made at $165.00 for the future.
Thus, at $165.00, NASDAQ:LULU is in a personal buy zone with the risk of a continued drop to the $140's and $150s. Christmas rally potential...
Targets into 2028:
$185.00 (+12.1%)
$197.00 (+19.4%)
LULU Swing Trade Setup: Watching SMA Breakout Confirmation⚡ LULU “Lululemon Athletica Inc.” — Bullish Pullback Profit Playbook 🧘♂️💰
Type: Swing / Day Trade Setup
Idea: Bullish Pullback + Breakout Confirmation Play
🧠 Plan Summary
We’re watching LULU for a Bullish Pullback setup, waiting for confirmation through a HULL Moving Average breakout, followed by a Simple Moving Average breakout around $183.00 🟢
Once the SMA breakout is confirmed, entries can be taken at any price above the breakout zone — or for the “thief-style traders,” there’s a layered limit order approach below key levels.
💸 Entry Strategy (Thief Layer Style)
The Thief Strategy uses a “layering method” — stacking multiple buy limit orders for precision entries and better average cost.
Buy Limit 1️⃣ — $168.00
Buy Limit 2️⃣ — $172.00
Buy Limit 3️⃣ — $176.00
Buy Limit 4️⃣ — $180.00
(You can increase the number of layers based on your own comfort and risk appetite.)
🛑 Stop Loss — Thief SL @ $160.00
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) — I’m not recommending you to use my SL blindly.
You have full freedom to set your own stop depending on your position size and risk comfort.
🎯 Target — $200.00
The ATR line acts as a strong resistance zone where overbought signals or potential traps can appear.
The smart move: Escape with profits before getting caught in a reversal trap 😎
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) — again, this is not a mandatory TP.
You make money → you take money → at your own risk 💵
🔍 Related Pairs & Correlations to Watch
Keep your eyes on correlated names and sector strength to confirm momentum:
NYSE:NKE (Nike Inc.) → Major competitor; sector sentiment mirror.
OTC:EADSY (Adidas) → Global apparel demand trends can impact LULU sentiment.
AMEX:XRT (Retail ETF) → Reflects broader retail market health.
AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX (S&P 500) → General market direction adds confirmation weight.
If these tickers are moving in sync with bullish setups, it strengthens LULU’s upside potential 🔥
🧩 Trade Management Notes
Layered entries reduce exposure and provide flexibility — thief-style discipline is key.
Monitor HULL MA slope and volume reaction during breakout.
Adjust stops dynamically when the market confirms momentum.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — just for fun 😄
Not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and assess your own risk levels before taking action.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#LULU #Lululemon #SwingTrade #DayTrade #StockMarket #BullishSetup #PullbackStrategy #BreakoutPlay #HullMA #SMA #ThiefStyle #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingViewIdeas #EditorPick #StockTrader #MarketSetup #RetailStocks
LULU Trade Plan – Buy Zones, Risk Levels, and Profit Goals🧘♂️ LULU "Lululemon Athletica Inc" – Thief Cash Flow Management Strategy 💰👟
Plan: 📈 Bullish (Swing / Day Trade)
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry (Thief Style Layering): Multiple limit buy layers placed like a thief sneaking in 🕵️♂️
$166.00
$168.00
$170.00
$172.00
(You can add more layers as per your own flow management)
Stop Loss (Thief SL): $160.00 ⚔️
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending you set only my SL. Manage risk your way — you take money, then you make money.
Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: $190.00
🎯 TP2: $205.00
Again, Thief OG’s, I’m not recommending only my TP. Profit booking is your own hustle 💼.
🗝️ Strategy Key Points
Thief Strategy = Cash Flow Layering: placing multiple limit orders (instead of 1 big risky entry).
Flow Management: works best in bullish momentum swings when volatility gives chance to “steal” good entries.
Risk Discipline: thief’s survival = flexible SL & TP, not fixed.
🔗 Related Stocks & Correlations
NYSE:NKE (Nike): Competitor correlation. If Nike earnings show strength, LULU often benefits.
NYSE:UAA (Under Armour): Similar sector — watch sentiment shifts.
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF): LULU often tracks broad market sentiment.
AMEX:XLY (Consumer Discretionary ETF): Sector ETF, gives broader picture of consumer spending trends.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy — created for fun, education & vibes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
#LULU #SwingTrading #DayTrading #StockMarket #ThiefStrategy #CashFlow #BullishSetup #TradingHumor #EditorPickVibes
Lululemon: Beaten-Down Athleisure GiantLululemon: Beaten-Down Athleisure Giant Amid #Earnings and #Stocks Trends Crash? $250 Recovery Target in Sight?
Lululemon (LULU) shares tanked 19% today to around $160 after Q2 2025 earnings missed estimates, with revenue at $2.4B (up 7% YoY but below $2.44B expected) and EPS dipping to $2.68 from $2.89 last year, prompting a slashed full-year outlook amid China slowdowns.
This extends a brutal 57% YTD plunge from $420 highs, but with a P/E now at 12x versus historical 30x averages, analysts are calling it a "screaming buy" at 40% below fair value.
Just as #Earnings racks up 8K mentions on X with post-report volatility exploding, and #Stocks trends highlight beaten-down consumer plays (e.g., LULU's RSI at 33 signaling oversold), the stock's premium brand and 15% international growth position it for a viral rebound in the $200B+ athleisure market.
But with guidance cuts, is LULU the undervalued turnaround story ready to warrior-pose back to $250, or will competition erode margins further? Let's unpack the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 17, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Lululemon's resilience shines in steady sales despite macro headwinds, with Q2 gross margins holding at 58% and international revenue surging 15%—but US softness and China inventory issues led to the outlook trim to $11.15–$11.3B for FY2025 (up 6–7% YoY from $10.7B).
Analysts forecast 2025 EPS of $14.50 (up 10% YoY), with buy ratings from 25 of 30 firms hiking targets to $250 amid #Earnings fallout creating a value entry. Trading at 40% below DCF fair value, LULU's undervaluation ties into #Stocks hype on oversold retail, but elevated inventory risks could pressure if consumer spending cools.
- **Positive:**
- Brand moat with 20%+ market share in premium yoga; $1.2B FCF TTM funds $6B buybacks, amplified by #Earnings dips as buy signals.
- International expansion (35% of sales) projects 12% CAGR, undervaluing the stock at 12x P/E vs. peers' 25x amid #Stocks rotation.
- Broader trends in wellness and athleisure (e.g., viral TikTok fitness) position LULU for 15% revenue growth rebound.
- **Negative:**
- Guidance cut reflects China woes (sales down 2%), clashing with #Earnings optimism if tariffs hit.
- Inventory pile-up at $1.5B risks markdowns, pressuring margins in a high-inflation environment.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Iconic brand loyalty and direct-to-consumer model (40% of sales) with 58% margins, amplified by #Earnings oversold bounce potential.
**Weaknesses:** US market saturation and China dependency (20% revenue); recent earnings miss exposes execution risks in #Stocks volatility.
**Opportunities:** Global store openings (50+ planned) tap #business trends; undervalued at 12x P/E amid 10% EPS growth and athleisure boom on social media.
**Threats:** Rivals like Nike/Lululemon eroding share; economic slowdown crimping discretionary spend during viral #Earnings discussions.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, LULU shows a sharp V-bottom after the 19% gap-down, bouncing from $155 support in a multi-month downtrend, with volume spiking on post-earnings panic and mirroring #Earnings volatility. The monthly RSI at 33 screams oversold, echoing 2009/2014 bounces. Current price: $160, with VWAP at $165 as intraday pivot.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 25, deeply oversold—classic bounce setup amid #Stocks surges. 📈
- **MACD:** Histogram flipping positive post-selloff, crossover imminent for reversal. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price below 21-day EMA ($180) but above 200-day SMA ($220)—death cross avoided.
Support/Resistance: Key support at $155 (today's low), resistance at $170 (50-day SMA) and $200 (Fib retrace). Patterns/Momentum: Oversold hammer candle targets $190; fueled by #Earnings momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Volume exhaustion low. 🔴 Bearish risks: Break below $155 eyes $140 on further guidance fears.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Reclaim $170 on retail rotation or soft CPI data targets $200 short-term, then $250 by year-end; buy pullbacks to $155, especially if #Earnings narrative shifts to value.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $155 eyes $140 (52-week low); watch for inventory news amid #Stocks fade triggering 10% more downside.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $155–$170 if data mixed and #Earnings cools, suiting covered calls pre-holidays.
Risk Tips: Use stops at $152. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #Earnings-linked retail like NKE.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if LULU holds $155, supercharged by today's #Earnings and #Stocks trends, affirming its undervalued status with 50%+ upside on international rebound. But watch Q3 comps and China updates for confirmation—this fits September's value rotation amid beaten-down consumer hype. What’s your take? Warrior pose into LULU dip or sitting out the volatility? Share in the comments!
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold LULU before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LULU Lululemon Athletica prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 195usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-10-17,
for a premium of approximately $14.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
LULU Bears in Control: Strike $160 Put Ready to Pop
🔥 **LULU Weekly Put Alert | 2025-09-11** 🔥
**🚨 Directional Bias:** Strong Bearish (75% Confidence) ✅
**Why This Trade?**
* 🔹 RSI deeply oversold (Daily 23.8, Weekly falling)
* 🔹 4.5x volume spike = institutional distribution
* 🔹 Options flow neutral; put OI strong at \$160 → high liquidity
* ⚠️ 1 DTE = high gamma & theta risk → scalp only
**💡 Recommended Trade:**
* **Instrument:** LULU weekly PUT
* **Strike:** \$160 💰
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12
* **Entry Price (Ask):** \$0.75
* **Direction:** SHORT / LONG PUT ✅
* **Position Size:** 1 contract (scale small due to 1 DTE)
* **Entry Timing:** Market open
**🎯 Targets & Stops:**
* **Profit Target:** \$1.50 (+100%)
* **Stop Loss:** \$0.37 (-50%)
* **Exit Rule:** EOD Thursday if neither target nor stop is hit
**⚡ Key Risks:**
* High gamma & rapid theta decay → very sensitive 1-day option
* Intraday bounce possible (oversold RSI)
* Slippage / bid-ask spreads → use limit orders
* Unexpected positive news can quickly reduce put premium
**💎 Trade Strategy:**
* Single-leg naked put, tight risk controls
* Asymmetric scalp: small position, high-probability downside capture
* Monitor intraday price action closely; exit at stop/target or EOD
**📊 JSON Snapshot:**
```json
{
"instrument": "LULU",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 160.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 1.50,
"stop_loss": 0.37,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.75,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-11 09:20:21 UTC-04:00"
}
```
💥 **TL;DR:** LULU is showing strong bearish momentum. Buy \$160 put at open, tight stop \$0.37, target \$1.50, exit by EOD Thursday. Small size, high gamma scalp — risk controlled, potential quick payoff!
Can Innovation Survive Strategic Drift?Lululemon Athletica's shares plummeted 18% in premarket trading on September 5, 2025, following a dramatic reduction in annual sales and profit guidance that marked the second guidance cut of the year. The company's stock has declined by 54.9% year-to-date, resulting in a market capitalization of $20.1 billion. This drop in stock value comes as a reaction from investors to disappointing Q2 results, which showed only 7% revenue growth, reaching $2.53 billion. Additionally, there was a concerning 3% decline in comparable sales in the Americas, despite strong international growth of 15%.
The perfect storm hitting Lululemon stems from multiple converging forces. The Trump administration's removal of the *de minimis* exemption on August 29, 2025, eliminated duty-free treatment for shipments under $800, creating an immediate $240 million gross profit headwind in fiscal 2025 that's projected to reach $320 million in operating margin impact by 2026. This policy change particularly damages Lululemon's supply chain strategy, as the company previously fulfilled two-thirds of its U.S. e-commerce orders from Canadian distribution centers to bypass duties, while relying heavily on Vietnam (40% of manufacturing) and China (28% of fabrics) for production.
Beyond geopolitical pressures, Lululemon faces internal strategic failures that have amplified external headwinds. CEO Calvin McDonald acknowledged the company had become "too predictable with our casual offerings" and "missed opportunities to create new trends," which led to prolonged product life cycles, especially in lounge and casual wear, accounting for 40% of sales. The company is facing increasing competition from emerging brands such as Alo Yoga and Vuori in the premium segment. At the same time, it is dealing with pressure from private-label imitations that provide similar fabric technology at much lower prices. This trend is especially challenging in markets where consumers are more price-sensitive.
Despite maintaining an impressive portfolio of 925 patents globally, protecting unique fabric blends, and investing in next-generation bio-based materials through partnerships with companies like ZymoChem, Lululemon's core challenge lies in the disconnect between its robust intellectual property and innovation capabilities versus its inability to translate these strengths into timely, trend-setting products. The company’s future strategy requires decisive actions in three key areas: refreshing our products, implementing strategic pricing to counteract tariff costs, and optimizing the supply chain. All of this must be done while navigating a challenging macroeconomic environment, where American consumers are cautious and Chinese consumers are increasingly opting for local brands over premium foreign alternatives.
Stock Opportunity: LULULEMON & AVGO EARNINGSNASDAQ:LULU just reported earnings of $2.53B vs $2.54B est
They did beat on the EPS side $3.10 vs $2.85
Lululemon is now the second cheapest its ever been in its history on a PE basis. Behind the GFC crisis in 2008.
They have slashed their guidance and profit forecasts...which seem to be the final shakeout.
Lulu filled a massive weekly technical gap going back to Covid.
NASDAQ:AVGO reported earnings: Rev $15.95B vs $15.83B
EPS $1.69 vs $1.54
This institutional semiconductor stock is crushing Vol and staying flat-ish in afterhours.
We took a position in Lulu.
LULU Earnings Alert: Big Beat Potential! 208Call Plays
🚀 **LULU Earnings Trade Setup (2025-09-04)** 🚀
**Market Bias:** **Moderate Bullish** 📈
**Confidence:** 72% ✅
**Trade Idea:**
🎯 **Instrument:** LULU
🔀 **Direction:** LONG CALL
💵 **Strike:** \$208.00
📅 **Expiry:** 2025-09-05 (Weekly)
💰 **Entry Price:** \$12.10
📈 **Profit Target:** \$36.30 (200%+ return)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$6.05 (50% of premium)
📏 **Size:** 1 contract
⏰ **Entry Timing:** Pre-earnings close (AMC on 2025-09-04)
**Rationale:**
* Strong fundamental beat history: 100% last 8 quarters 💪
* Durable margins & high earnings quality 🏆
* Asymmetric upside if modest beat + guidance lift ⚡
* Risk: IV crush & binary guidance shock ⚠️
**Key Levels:**
* Support: \$185–\$190 🛡️
* Resistance: \$208–\$215 🔝
* Expected gap on beat: \~\$215–\$220
* Expected move (implied): \~9–11%
**Risk/Reward:**
* Max loss: \$1,210
* Reward potential: \$2,420 → **2:1+ asymmetric upside**
* Breakeven: \$217.10
**Execution Notes:**
* Use **limit orders or algo** to reduce slippage
* Exit **by market open post-earnings** or at profit/stop targets
* IV crush expected: 30–50% ⚡
**Options Liquidity:**
* 205 call OI: 1,205 ✔️
* Ask/Bid: 12.10 / 11.85
* Sufficient for single-leg trade
📊 **Trading JSON (for exact execution)**
```json
{
"instrument": "LULU",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 208.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"confidence": 72,
"profit_target": 36.30,
"stop_loss": 6.05,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 12.10,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_date": "2025-09-04",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 9.5,
"iv_rank": 0.75,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-04 14:33:52 UTC-04:00"
}
``
Yoga Pants, Tariffs, and Upside: The $LULU BetLululemon NASDAQ:LULU - My Investment Thesis 👖
Hey team,
I've been keeping an eye on NASDAQ:LULU for a while, and I'm finally going to pull the trigger.
In this market of overhyped MAG 7 stocks, Lululemon dropped 62% since its high in Dec. 2023 until now.
Here's why I'm into LULU:
Revenue has been growing every year for 5 years. Still, the stock is at its lowest in 5 years.
Growth has been slower in the US but good in Asia.
Net income has also been growing over the last 3 years.
P/E ratio is at 13, the lowest in many years.
Stock is also beat up because of the tariffs.
Analysts at Morningstar put its fair value at $305 (now $193, giving it an upside of 58%).
Product Innovation: New franchises like Daydrift, Shake It Out, and Align No Line have been well-received and will continue to drive sales.
Lululemon recently announced an expansion into India for 2026, with plans to open a physical store and a partnership with Tata CLiQ, the e-commerce arm of India’s largest business conglomerate, Tata Group. India can be a huge market for Lulu.
There's also intense competition and margin erosion.
Saying this, I kinda see people around me less excited about Lululemon products.
Technical Analysis:
My EVaR - Entropic Value at Risk - is in a low risk area.
RSI is oversold.
Price has been under the 200 MA for too long.
I'm going to proceed with caution on this one, and allocate approximately. 0.5% of my portfolio into it.
Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
LULU Weekly Bearish Setup – 7/21/2025
📉 LULU Weekly Bearish Setup – 7/21/2025
💥 RSI Breakdown | 📉 Institutional Bearish Flow | 💰 Premium Risk-Reward
⸻
🧠 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
🟥 RSI: Daily 36.1 / Weekly 29.9 – Bearish Momentum Confirmed
📉 Volume: Consistent sell pressure across models
📊 Options Flow: Mixed signals, but bearish price action dominates
⚠️ Conflicting flow ≠ bullish reversal… yet.
⸻
🎯 TRADE IDEA – LULU $220 PUT
💥 Direction: Bearish
🧾 Strike: $220 Put
📆 Expiry: July 25, 2025
💵 Entry: $1.33
🛑 Stop: $0.80 (≈40% loss cap)
🎯 Target: $1.95 (≈50% gain)
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry Time: Market Open (Monday)
⸻
📎 Why it Works:
✅ RSI Collapse across timeframes
✅ Bearish price action confirmed by volume
✅ Favorable IV and gamma setup
🚫 No trade suggested by some models = opportunity in the noise
⸻
📊 TRADE_DETAILS
{
"instrument": "LULU",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 220.00,
"expiry": "2025-07-25",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 1.95,
"stop_loss": 0.80,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.33,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-07-21 12:45:12 EDT"
}
⸻
🔥 #OptionsTrading #LULU #BearishSetup #WeeklyTrade #PutOptions #TradingStrategy #MarketMomentum #RSI
📍 Save this setup, share with your trading group, and set alerts!
LULU – Double Bottom + RSI Divergence: Multi-Target Setup After LULU NASDAQ:LULU is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after forming a double bottom structure around the $220 support zone , along with a bullish divergence on the RSI indicator.
Two vertical lines highlight the divergence: while price made a lower low, RSI formed a higher low – indicating a possible momentum shift in favor of buyers.
Currently, price is moving just below a descending trendline, which has been acting as dynamic resistance. The first condition for a long setup is a confirmed breakout above this trendline followed by a successful retest. If that happens, an entry can be considered .
📌 Entry Plan:
Entry: After a breakout and retest of the descending trendline.
1st TP: ~$247 — This level coincides with a local resistance zone, which may act as a neckline of the double bottom.
If price breaks above $247 and retests, it confirms bullish continuation.
📈 Target Structure:
2nd TP: ~$271 — next major resistance zone.
3rd TP: ~$297 — aligns with the first major gap zone.
4th TP: ~$329 — final gap resistance from previous sell-off levels.
This structure allows for scaling into the trade in stages — each breakout and retest offers a new confirmation and extension to the next target zone.
Volume analysis, price action, and RSI momentum all support the probability of a trend reversal — but confirmation is key.
Not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk management.
LULU Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06📉 LULU Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Timeframe: 5–10 days
Catalyst: Oversold momentum, heavy put OI, technical downtrend
Trade Type: Single-leg put option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Targets Stop Confidence
Grok Moderately Bearish $240 PUT $0.75 +50% < $235 stock 72%
Claude Moderately Bullish $280 CALL $2.74 +45–100% –50% premium 75%
Llama Moderately Bearish $260 PUT $4.40 +50% ($6.60) $2.00 75%
Gemini Strongly Bearish $240 PUT $0.75 +100–200% $0.37 75%
DeepSeek Moderately Bullish $300 CALL $0.64 +100–200% $0.32 75%
✅ Consensus: Oversold with strong bearish trend
⚠️ Disagreement: Some models expect a bounce; others expect continued capitulation
📉 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Trend: Strong multi-timeframe bearish (price below all major EMAs)
RSI: Deeply oversold across charts
MACD: Bearish with early signs of momentum fading
Sentiment: Heavy put OI at $240/$260, falling VIX, some speculative reversal interest
Max Pain: $300 (well above current)
✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument LULU
Direction PUT (SHORT)
Strike $260
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $4.40
Profit Target $6.60 (≈+50%)
Stop Loss $2.20 (≈–50%)
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 75%
💡 Rationale: Balanced premium vs. downside exposure, fits current trend and offers high R/R around near-the-money strike
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
Oversold RSI: May cause short-lived relief rally
Macro Reversal: Broader risk-on rally or LULU-specific positive catalyst could invalidate trade
Theta Decay: Accelerates next week → use time-based stop if trend fades
LULU Earnings Setup – Undervalued Deep OTM Put Play?🧘♀️ LULU Earnings Setup – Undervalued Deep OTM Put Play? 💣
📅 Earnings: June 5, 2025 (AMC) | ⏳ Expiry: June 6, 2025 (1D)
🎯 Strategy: Low-premium put for “sell-the-news” drop after extended rally
🔍 Multi-Model Analyst Summary
Model Bias Strike Premium Confidence Comment
Grok/xAI Moderately Bullish 335C 14.45 65% IV high, but calls rich
Claude Moderately Bearish 330P 12.75 65% Max pain gravity
Llama Moderately Bullish 340C×2 12.15 80% Above key MAs, peers strong
Gemini Moderately Bearish 302.5P 3.15 65% Heavy put OI at $325
DeepSeek Moderately Bearish 285P 0.88 65% Unusual put volume at $285
📊 Technical & Sentiment Highlights
IV Rank: 0.68 → High risk of IV crush post-earnings
Expected Move: ±8.49% (~$28.45)
Max Pain: $325 – indicates potential pullback/pin scenario
Key Risk Factors: Governance flags, mixed sector sentiment, peer strength offsets margin concerns
Liquidity Check: $285 put OI = 2,725; volume = 2,088 → ✅ tradable
🎯 Trade Setup – Earnings Put Play
Instrument: LULU
Direction: PUT (SHORT)
Strike: $285.00
Expiry: 2025-06-06 (Friday)
Entry Price: $0.88
Profit Target: $1.00 (≈13.6% gain)
Stop Loss: $0.25 (≈71.5% of premium)
Size: 1 contract
Entry Timing: End of day 6/5 (pre_earnings_close)
Confidence Level: 70%
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
💥 Requires big move (~15.3% drop to break even)
⏳ 1-day expiry = fast theta burn – quick exit post-earnings
🎢 IV Crush: Even a small move might not offset premium decay
🧾 Audit-related risk: News drop or weak guidance could trigger panic selling
🧠 Rationale
After a strong run-up into earnings and elevated IV levels, LULU is vulnerable to a "sell-the-news" event. The $285 put is deep OTM but has strong volume and fits within the low-risk, high-reward zone. Risk is capped, and reward could exceed 100%+ with a strong bearish move.
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought LULU before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LULU Lululemon Athletica prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 325usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-6-6,
for a premium of approximately $10.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Breaking: Lululemon Shares Dip 12.80% In Friday's Premarket lululemon athletica inc., (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:LULU ) together with its subsidiaries, designs, distributes, and retails technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women and men under the lululemon brand in the United States, Canada, Mexico, China Mainland, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, and internationally saw it's shares tanked nearly 15% in Friday's premarket trading after reporting earnings and revenue beats for its fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday.
Lululemon beat Wall Street expectations for fiscal fourth-quarter earnings and revenue, but issued 2025 guidance that disappointed analysts.
On an Thursday earnings call, CEO Calvin McDonald said the athleticwear company conducted a survey earlier this month that found that consumers are spending less due to economic and inflation concerns, resulting in lower U.S. traffic at Lululemon and industry peers.
McDonald said. “There continues to be considerable uncertainty driven by macro and geopolitical circumstances. That being said, we remain focused on what we can control.”
In light of that, Shares of the apparel company fell more than 10% in extended trading on Thursday and extended the loss to premarket session dipping 12.80%.
Here’s how the company did compared with what Wall Street was expecting for the quarter ended Feb. 2, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:
Earnings per share: $6.14 vs. $5.85 expected
Revenue: $3.61 billion vs. $3.57 billion expected
Fourth-quarter revenue rose from $3.21 billion during the same period in 2023. Full-year 2024 revenue came in at $10.59 billion, up from $9.62 billion in 2023.
Lululemon’s fiscal 2024 contained 53 weeks, one week longer than its fiscal 2023. Excluding the 53rd week, fourth-quarter and full-year revenue both rose 8% year over year for 2024.
Lululemon expects first-quarter revenue to total $2.34 billion to $2.36 billion, while Wall Street analysts were expecting $2.39 billion, according to LSEG. The retailer anticipates it will post full-year fiscal 2025 revenue of $11.15 billion to $11.30 billion, compared to the analyst consensus estimate of $11.31 billion.
For the first quarter, the company expects to post earnings per share in the range of $2.53 to $2.58, missing Wall Street’s expectation of $2.72, according to LSEG. Full-year earnings per share guidance came in at $14.95 to $15.15 per share, while analysts anticipated $15.31.
Technically, shares of Lululemon ( NASDAQ:LULU ) will form a gap down pattern which is a bearish scenario should market session open. However, the RSI at 59 is strong enough to hold the bears in the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement point a level serving as support point for NASDAQ:LULU should selling pressure increase.
Analyst Forecast
According to 27 analysts, the average rating for LULU stock is "Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $394.19, which is an increase of 15.42% from the latest price.
LULU Lululemon Athletica Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought LULU before the previous rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LULU Lululemon Athletica prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 337.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $20.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.






















