$USIRYY -U.S Inflation Rate (September/2025)ECONOMICS:USIRYY 3%
September/2025
source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
- The US annual inflation rate rose to 3.0% in September from 2.9% in August, slightly below market expectations of 3.1%.
It was the highest rate since January, mainly due to a jump in energy prices. Meanwhile, core inflation eased to 3.0% from 3.1%, while monthly headline and core CPI increased 0.3% and 0.2%, respectively.
M-forex
Could Gold Recover After Yesterday's CrashGold saw its biggest single-day drop since the infamous 2013 crash. Back then, I was inexperienced, but with some luck and perhaps a bit of reckless bravery, I managed to secure a tidy profit. Unfortunately, my more experienced self missed most of yesterday’s move :)
Now that gold has reached the double-top target near 4000, a short-term bounce could be on the way. However, volatility remains high, making gold a risky trade at the moment.
My plan is to enter around current levels, targeting a recovery toward the 61.8% retracement of the recent drop. It’s a calculated gamble, but the risk-reward ratio looks acceptable, at least for me.
Possible Gold Long SetupIf gold falls to around 4065–4070, it could present a buying opportunity. My target is 4122, but the 4094 level is an intermediate resistance that could disrupt this setup.
A breakout above 4094 might act as a buy signal, though I would avoid entering there due to the unfavorable risk-reward ratio.
EURUSD Might Get a Boost from DataEURUSD is attempting to recover, supported by stronger PMI figures. CPI models from both the Cleveland Fed and Bloomberg project inflation around 3%, slightly below the 3.1% market expectation. I trust the models more than the consensus forecast.
However, due to the government shutdown, today’s CPI data quality may be lower than usual, which increases the risk of unexpected results. The risk-reward ratio for this setup is 2.64.
DXY and EURUSD Consolidate Near Key Breakout LevelsOn the 4-hour chart, both DXY and EURUSD are consolidating near key levels, with DXY leaning bullish and EURUSD leaning bearish.
DXY Outlook
A breakout above 99.15 could redirect gains toward 99.50, setting up another test before confirming a move higher toward 100.20 (July 2023-September 2024 resistance), then 101 and 103.
On the downside, a hold below 98.80 could extend the consolidation between 98.60 and 98.40.
EURUSD Outlook
A breakout below 1.1600–1.1560 could extend the decline toward 1.1520, with deeper losses possible toward 1.1480 and 1.1380.
From the upside, holding above 1.1620 may allow a rebound toward 1.1680 and 1.1730, before targeting yearly highs if momentum builds further.
Razan Hilal, CMT
GOLD Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 4,058.20.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 3,995.15 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCHF Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.796.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.807 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURJPY FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅EURJPY has reached a premium zone near a clear supply level, where smart money could be offloading long positions. Expecting a potential reversal setup as liquidity is engineered above previous highs.
—————————
Entry: 177.57
Stop Loss: 177.80
Take Profit: 177.10
Time Frame: 2H
—————————
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
CADJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 107.424.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 108.786 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCAD Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.402.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.398 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USDJPY SMC based setup forming as price taps into the horizontal supply area, showing rejection and loss of bullish momentum. Smart money may now shift order flow to the downside, aiming for liquidity resting below recent lows.
-------------------
Stop Loss: 153.295
Take Profit: 152.612
Entry: 153.024
Time Frame: 3H
-------------------
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USTECUSTEC price is in the resistance zone 25237-25264. If the price cannot break through the 25264 level, it is expected that the price will likely go down in the short term. Consider selling in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 57.23
Target Level: 59.72
Stop Loss: 55.57
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,250.59
Target Level: 4,039.91
Stop Loss: 4,389.04
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BITCOIN BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 111,152.14
Target Level: 108,548.72
Stop Loss: 112,904.00
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.569 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.158 level area with our short trade on EUR/USD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EURCAD: Another Trend Line Based Opportunity 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD may continue rising after a test of a solid
rising trend line on a daily.
A formation of a double bottom pattern accompanied by
a bullish Change of Character on an hourly time frame
indicates a strong buying interest.
Goal - 1.6305
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today’s trading session, we’re monitoring GBPUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.32500 zone. The pair has recently broken out of its previous downtrend and is now in a correction phase, approaching a key retracement area at 1.32500, which also aligns with strong support on the 4H structure.
Fundamentals:
All eyes are on the upcoming U.S. CPI release, with markets expecting a slightly softer print. A weaker inflation figure could reinforce dovish expectations for the Fed, potentially putting further pressure on the Dollar and supporting GBPUSD upside into the end of the week.
Next Move:
Watching price action at 1.32500 for a possible bullish reaction and continuation toward recent highs.
Trade safe,
Joe
NZDJPY: Important Breakout 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY broke and closed above a significant horizontal
resistance cluster on a daily.
There is a high chance that the market will go higher soon.
Expect a bullish continuation to 88.3 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD – Increased Selling Pressure After CPI DataHello traders,
With U.S. CPI rising sharply to 3.1% (compared to the forecast of 2.9%), inflation remains elevated, reinforcing the likelihood that the Fed will not cut interest rates anytime soon. With higher interest rates, the opportunity cost of holding gold (a non-yielding asset) increases, causing capital to flow into USD, which is a negative factor for gold.
On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is facing pressure at the 4.150 level, with a pullback pattern forming within a descending channel. After reaching this level, the price of gold is likely to continue its decline, with the next target being the 4.080 support area, and potentially heading toward 3.830 if the bearish momentum persists.
Additionally, while both the PMI for manufacturing and services have slightly decreased , reflecting a slowdown in the U.S. economy, the CPI remains the dominant factor , limiting the potential for gold's short-term price increase.
$JPIRYY -Japan CPI (September/2025)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
September/2025
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- Japan’s annual inflation rate rose to 2.9% in September 2025 from August’s 10-month low of 2.7%.
The increase was driven by the first rise in electricity prices in three months (3.2% vs -7.2%) and a rebound in gas costs (1.6% vs -2.7%), after the expiry of temporary government measures launched to offset summer heat.
Price growth also persisted across most categories, including housing (1.0% vs 1.1%), clothing (2.5% vs 2.9%), transport (3.0% vs 3.0%), household items (1.0% vs 2.0%), healthcare (1.2% vs 1.3%), recreation (2.0% vs 2.3%), communications (6.7% vs 7.0%), and miscellaneous goods (0.7% vs 1.3%), while education costs fell further (-5.6% vs -5.6%).
On the food side, prices increased 6.7% yoy, easing from a 7.2% rise in August and marking the softest gain in four months, largely due to the smallest rise in rice prices in a year (49.2%) amid Tokyo’s continued efforts to contain staple food costs.
Core inflation came in at 2.9%, matching consensus and rising from the prior 2.7%.






















