Get started

M-forex

GOLD surpasses $4,000, political risks and Fed rate cutOANDA:XAUUSD continued to rise in Asian trading on Wednesday morning, hovering around $4,006/ounce, approaching a record high. The gains were fueled by the risk of a US government shutdown, global political uncertainty, and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ease monetary policy soon. The US government shutdown has entered its second week, delaying many key economic data, including the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report. This lack of information increases the level of uncertainty about monetary policy and forces investors to predict the direction of the Fed based on market signals rather than data. According to CME FedWatch, traders are now pricing in an 84% chance that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at its October meeting, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75%–4.00%. The market is also pricing in a high probability of another cut in December. The turmoil in the US government coupled with weak economic signals is reinforcing gold’s safe-haven status, especially in the context of a weak US dollar and volatile stock markets. Alongside monetary policy, geopolitical risks are also playing a key role in sustaining demand for the precious metal. In France, Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu unexpectedly resigned just hours after taking office, raising concerns about the budget crisis and financial stability in the eurozone. Meanwhile, in Japan, Sanae Takaichi’s victory in the ruling party leadership election has raised expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will maintain its easing policy for longer, thereby supporting gold prices. In the currency market, the US dollar index (DXY) recovered slightly to around 98.7 points, but the upward trend was limited by expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates. At the same time, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond fell to 4.12%, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset. If the non-farm payroll data after the government reopening shows a slowdown in job growth, investors believe this will further strengthen expectations of a new easing cycle by the Fed, thereby creating more momentum for gold to move towards the $4,100/ounce mark in the short term. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD Trend analysis: • Gold prices have been in a strong uptrend since mid-August, with a series of dense green candles and stable buying pressure. • Currently, the price has surpassed the psychological level of 4,000 USD/ounce, closing the day above this level, showing that buyers are still in control of the market. • The EMA50 (blue) continues to slope up, reflecting that the medium-term trend is still very positive. • RSI remains above 70, signaling a mild overbought condition, but there is no clear bearish divergence signal, meaning that the uptrend still has room to run. Important technical zones: • Nearest resistance: $4,044 (0.382 Fibonacci level). • Extended resistance: $4,113 and $4,182 (0.5 and 0.618 Fib) – potential targets for the next bullish wave. • Short-term support: $3,959 (0.236 Fib) – important support zone for intraday recovery. • Stronger support: $3,896 – $3,871, which coincide with the previous top and the lower edge of the rising channel. Note: • RSI is approaching the overbought zone, so a short-term technical correction may occur before continuing to increase. • If the price closes below $3,950, be cautious of the possibility of a short-term recovery wave. The main trend of gold is still strong, reinforced by technical factors and the macro context. In the short term, the $3,960 area is a potential buying point, with targets towards $4,110 - $4,180. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4038 - 4036⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4042 →Take Profit 1 4030 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4024 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3974 - 3976⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3970 →Take Profit 1 3982 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3988
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
3
GBPUSD H4 | Bearish Drop OffGBP/USD has reacted off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop from this level to the take profit. Sell entry is at 1.3432, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 1.3526, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 1.3337, which is a multi swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: TRULY INSANE FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: TRULY INSANE FOR TRADERS Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust rallies in recent history. Let's take a look at key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇 🔻 SELL Scenario SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980 SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980 🟩 BUY Scenario BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040 BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040 📈 Technical Analysis The medium-term uptrend channel continues to be maintained steadily. Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong. The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 area, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension. The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, previously where many traders expected gold prices to be rejected, but now could become a strong demand area. 🧭 Macro Perspective If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market could aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce. Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged: US public debt is increasing Central banks are diversifying foreign exchange reserves The USD is weakening All support the medium-term uptrend of gold. ⚡️Summary Gold remains in a solid bullish structure, even as it approaches overbought territory. There may be strong corrections, but as long as the uptrend structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
EUR/USD Slide Begins! Market Flow Shifts Bearish🎯 EUR/USD "THE FIBER" 🔥 | Cash Flow Heist Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 📊 MARKET SETUP 🐻 Bias: BEARISH CONFIRMED ✅ Technical Confirmation: Triangular Moving Average Breakout ⚡ Strategy Type: The Thief Layering Method 🎯 THE HEIST PLAN (Entry Strategy) 🔫 Thief Style = Layered Limit Orders Instead of one entry, we're placing multiple sell limit orders to catch the best average price: Suggested Entry Layers: 🎯 Layer 1: 1.17000 🎯 Layer 2: 1.16800 🎯 Layer 3: 1.16500 🎯 Layer 4: 1.16300 Note: You can add more layers based on your account size and risk appetite. This is NY session pricing strategy. 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🚨 Stop Loss: 1.17300 💰 Take Profit Target: 1.15400 ⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - These are MY levels for reference only. Always manage your own risk! If you see profit, secure it. Your account, your rules. Don't be greedy when the market pays you! 💵 Why 1.15400 Target? Strong historical support zone Oversold conditions likely Bull trap territory - time to escape with the loot before reversal! 🏃‍♂️💨 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH Keep your eyes on these connected moves: 📈 Positive Correlation (Move together): EURGBP - Euro strength indicator EURJPY - Risk sentiment gauge EURCHF - Safe haven flow monitor 📉 Inverse Correlation (Move opposite): DXY (US Dollar Index) - The boss! Strong DXY = Weak EUR/USD GBPUSD - Cable follows Fiber's lead often AUDUSD - Risk-on/risk-off cousin 💡 Pro Tip: If DXY breaks higher while EUR indices weaken, this setup gets SPICY! 🌶️ 🎓 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS ✅ Triangular MA Breakout = Momentum shift confirmed ✅ Multi-layer entries = Better average cost & lower risk per position ✅ 1.17300 SL = Tight stop above resistance ✅ 1.15400 TP = Major support + psychological level ✅ Risk:Reward = Solid 2:1+ depending on entry layers 📍 Current Levels (Oct 8, 2025): Weekly High: 1.177 Weekly Low: 1.1663 Trend: Bearish pressure continuing ⚠️ FINAL DISCLAIMER 🎭 This is "Thief Style" trading strategy - created for educational and entertainment purposes only! This analysis represents my personal trading approach and should NOT be considered financial advice. Trading forex carries substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always: Do your own analysis Risk only what you can afford to lose Use proper position sizing Never trade with borrowed money YOU are responsible for YOUR trading decisions! 🎰 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #EURUSD #Forex #TradingStrategy #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ForexTrading #CurrencyTrading #FiberSetup #ThiefStrategy #LayeredEntry #ForexCommunity #TradingView #ForexIdeas
Short
by The-Thief
GOLD hits new peak with global crisisSpot OANDA:XAUUSD continued to climb in Asia on October 7, approaching the all-time high of $4,000 an ounce, amid global markets rocked by political turmoil in the US and Europe. Gold had earlier gained 1.9% in the first session of the week, reaching $3,976.25 an ounce, despite a stronger US dollar and high US bond yields. In Washington, the budget impasse continues to drag the US government into a second week of shutdown. Both spending bills proposed by Democrats and Republicans failed to pass the Senate. The shutdown is costing the US economy about $15 billion a week, or 0.1 percentage point of GDP, according to National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett. If it lasts a month, the consequences could be 43,000 jobs lost and as much as $30 billion in lost spending. The lack of economic data due to the shutdown has also made it difficult for the Federal Reserve to assess the situation and make decisions on interest rates. However, the market is still pricing in the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates by 0.25% this month, a factor that is seen as a strong support for gold, which is a non-interest-bearing asset. In Europe, things were less calm. French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu abruptly resigned just hours before a new cabinet was to be announced, deepening the political deadlock and threatening efforts to rein in the budget deficit in the country with the highest debt in the eurozone. Meanwhile, in Japan, the prospect of Sanae Takaichi becoming the new Prime Minister has also made investors cautious, as monetary policy and public spending may continue to be loosened. Gold prices have increased by nearly 50% this year, supported by the Fed's interest rate cuts, a wave of gold purchases from central banks, and escalating global geopolitical tensions, once again affirming the precious metal's position as the "last refuge" of the international financial market. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD Main Trend • Gold prices are in a strong and sustainable uptrend, as shown by: o The price line is firmly above the medium-term MA line, with a clear positive slope. o The uptrend channel (parallel trendline) has not been broken yet, and prices continue to remain within the upper zone of the channel. o RSI remains above 60, indicating that buying power is still dominant. Important zones • Strong resistance: 4,000 USD/oz, this is a major psychological level, also coincides with the Fibonacci 0.236 zone. • Near support: around 3,895 – 3,870 USD/oz, which is the confluence of the lower edge of the rising channel and the old peak zone. Note If the price breaks decisively above $4,000 with high volume, the target can be extended to the $4,280 – $4,405 zone. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4000 - 3998⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4004 →Take Profit 1 3992 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3986 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3919 - 3921⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3915 →Take Profit 1 3927 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3933
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
1
GBP/USD: Short Pause or Start of a Deeper Correction?Hello traders, after a sharp and impressive rally, GBP/USD is now entering a consolidation phase, hovering around 1.3475. This zone highlights the current tug-of-war between bulls and bears as the market cools down after an extended climb. On the 4-hour chart, several Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) can be seen near 1.3450–1.3470, which might be filled before the next directional move. The 1.3500 level remains a critical resistance area to confirm further upside potential, while 1.3400 serves as strong support — a break below could trigger a deeper pullback. In the news, all eyes are on ECB President Christine Lagarde’s upcoming speech (October 7), which could spark volatility depending on her stance regarding inflation and monetary policy. Any hawkish tone could support the Euro and indirectly influence GBP/USD. Meanwhile, France’s trade balance data could add short-term volatility to European currencies. Do you think this correction is just a short pause before another rally — or the start of a more meaningful reversal?
Short
by EmmaChartist
10
Bullish bounce off?EUR/NZD has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the swing high resistance. Pivot: 2.00180 1st Support: 2.98927 1st Resistance: 2.02961 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Bearish momentum building?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 11.66459 1st Support: 11.54492 1st Resistance: 11.73724 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Potential bearish drop?AUD/CAD is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.92037 1st Support: 0.91125 1st Resistance: 0.92677 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish drop off?NZD/CAD has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.81142 1st Support: 0.80298 1st Resistance: 0.81642 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZDJPY to find sellers at current market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The previous swing high is located at 88.36. 88.13 has been pivotal. Trading volume is increasing. Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail. The primary trend remains bearish. We look to Sell at 88.10 (stop at 88.60) Our profit targets will be 86.60 and 86.23 Resistance: 87.94 / 88.13 / 88.36 Support: 87.42 / 87.25 / 86.71 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
GBP/JPY Breaks Out of Consolidation, Momentum Turns BullishThe British Pound/Japanese Yen pair has surged above its recent consolidation zone, signaling renewed bullish momentum after several weeks of sideways movement. The breakout follows a period of price compression between roughly 198 and 201, suggesting that volatility is returning to the market. From a moving average perspective, the 50-day SMA (blue) continues to trade comfortably above the 200-day SMA (red), maintaining a positive structure typical of a sustained uptrend. The latest breakout candle has pushed prices well above both averages, reinforcing trend continuation bias. Momentum indicators support the bullish tone: The MACD line has crossed above its signal line and is now trending higher in positive territory, showing an acceleration of upside momentum. The RSI (14) has risen sharply to around the 70 level, entering the overbought zone. While this may signal short-term overextension, it also confirms strong buying pressure consistent with a breakout environment. Overall, GBP/JPY appears to be entering a new leg of its broader uptrend, with both price action and indicator alignment favoring continued strength — though short-term pullbacks cannot be ruled out following such a sharp move. -MW
by FOREXcom
AUD-USD Free Signal! Buy! Hello,Traders! AUDUSD reacts strongly from the horizontal demand area, confirming bullish displacement as Smart Money defends discount levels. With liquidity swept below structure, price seeks to rebalance inefficiency toward 0.6599$. ------------------- Stop Loss: 0.6574$ Take Profit: 0.6599$ Entry: 0.6585$ Time Frame: 1H ------------------- Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TopTradingSignals
3