AAPL Stock: 1-Week Trade Setup | Key Levels explainedIn this video, I break down a complete 1-week trade opportunity for AAPL (Apple Inc.) using technical analysis. We look at chart pattern formation, MACD signals, and important support/resistance levels to track. I also provide a clear entry zone, stop-loss placement, and potential upside targets for short-term traders.
Current AAPL chart pattern forming
MACD crossover and momentum analysis
Key support & resistance levels
My entry plan, stop loss, and target zones
Short-term outlook for the next 5 trading days
Risk management tips for Apple stock
📌 Why watch this?
If you’re planning a 1-week trade on AAPL, this video gives you a data-driven plan with clear technical signals.
Macdivergence
Megaphone Broadening Top Likely on SPXOver the last few months, the market has been increasingly difficult to trade as it searches for direction. Stop losses were triggered for longs on Oct 10, and shorts were equally liquidated on the run up beginning Oct 27th. What has formed is a broadening top, confirmed by two points of touch on each side of the pattern.
Broadening patterns can go in both directions, but supporting information suggests this is the end of the bull market:
On the weekly chart, there is a MACD cross.
There is a clearly defined 5 wave structure from the October 2022 bottom. It is a textbook example of Elliot Wave Theory.
Multiple analysts have shown that stock valuations are near historical extremes. It is highly likely that the market is in an AI bubble.
How am I trading this? I have sold all long positions. I am swinging puts that I will close out at the bottom of the megaphone. Once a breakout occurs, a pullback is highly likely to follow, even going so far as to return inside the pattern (60% of the time). If a pullback does occur, I'll load up on long dated puts to profit off a potential bear market.
BULLISH CRAB PATTERN ON NFEI’ve charted this ticker before and the setup didn’t play out, but this time the structure looks a lot more convincing. We’re at a point where the stock is likely gearing up for a major move — either a full breakdown or a sharp upside reversal. From a risk-management standpoint, a small allocation (e.g., ~1% of a diversified portfolio) could make sense for those who understand the volatility, but that’s strictly a general observation, not advice.
The good news: price action looks like it’s forming a potential bottom. On the log chart, I’m seeing a possible crab harmonic completion lining up with the end of a Wave C, backed by weekly MACD divergence. I’ve outlined the levels I’m watching — entry zone, stop-loss region, and upside targets — strictly as charting reference points.
Not financial advice — just sharing the setup as I see it on the charts.
How to Trade with MACD in TradingViewMaster the MACD indicator using TradingView’s charting tools in this comprehensive tutorial from Optimus Futures.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a momentum and trend-following indicator that helps traders identify shifts in market direction and momentum strength. It measures the relationship between two exponential moving averages (EMAs) to reveal when momentum may be building or fading.
What You’ll Learn:
Understanding MACD as a tool that tracks the convergence and divergence of moving averages
How the MACD line is calculated as the difference between the 12-period and 26-period EMAs
How the Signal line acts as a 9-period EMA of the MACD line and serves as a trigger for potential buy or sell signals
How the Histogram visualizes the distance between the MACD line and Signal line to show momentum strength
Recognizing bullish and bearish crossovers between the MACD and Signal lines
How to interpret the Zero Line as a momentum baseline — above zero suggests an uptrend, below zero suggests a downtrend
Identifying bullish and bearish divergences between MACD and price to anticipate potential reversals
Why crossovers and divergences should be confirmed with price action and trend structure, not used in isolation
How to add MACD to a TradingView chart via the Indicators menu
Understanding the default settings (12, 26, 9) and how adjusting them changes responsiveness
Practical examples on the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart to illustrate MACD signals in real market conditions
Applying MACD across multiple timeframes — daily, weekly, or intraday — for higher-confidence confirmations
This tutorial will benefit futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to incorporate MACD into their trading process.
The concepts covered may help you identify trend changes, momentum shifts, and potential entry or exit points across different markets and timeframes.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only.
Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools — not forecasting instruments.
CSB Bank Gaining Strength – Momentum Trade Setup ActiveCSB Bank – Daily Timeframe Analysis
Stock has taken reversal from Supertrend support.
Currently trading above Pivot level.
Supertrend support lies near ₹400 zone.
Daily MACD has given a positive crossover and is moving in the positive zone.
If this support sustains, momentum is likely to continue upward.
Possible new highs can be seen in the coming sessions.
Bitcoin Daily for the weekend, showing signs of more to come.
A quick update for the weekend.
We have since the start of this cycle, been printing Ranges, pushes, ranges Pushes.
Every significant push has come off one of 2 trendlines.
The Weekly chart shows these in bold white lines.
A Messy working chart but clearly shows what I mean. The Ranges are in Boxes.
To look again at the Daily, we can see that we are SO close to that trend line again
We have bounced off this line twice in recent days. We are currently under a line of resistance and so we may revisit.
It is worth noting we have a Fib Circle Right on the intersection of this Range box and the rising line of support.
We also have that vertical dash line showing us the day the FED announce their latest Rate decision.
All this in very close proximity to each other. Something is DEFINITELY going to happen here.
The 4 hour shows more detail
On this we can see that the VRVP, on the right, follows the line of that Fib circle very well.
This could be pointing towards heavy resistance, in which case the potential for PA to drop below this line of support DOES exist.
But as we can see on this chart, PA has found support on the rising line pf support a number of times now.
In the short term, we do have th epotential for Bullish moves as the 4 hour and Daiy MACD are rising.
4 hour MACD
Above neutral and looks to be heading higher.
Daily MACD
This does look Bullish but the MACD line ( yellow) has yet to cross over the Signal line ( red) and until that happens, we must remain cautious.
Weekly MACD
THIS is what we ALL need to remember, The Weekly MACD us still falling Bearish.
It is obviously possible that MACD could turn Bullish before it hits the Neutral line.
But should the MACD continue to fall on its current trajectory, it will be the New year before it arrives at a line of support.
Conclusion
CAUTION remains the most important thing righ tnow.
The FED rate decision will certainly effect markets and we will see that next week.
Bitcoin is in a tight Squeeze with the potential to move in BOTH directions.
Short term we may see a move higher. Maybe to 117K
But if we get rejected and pushed back below, sentiment may tumble.
Loose 100K and begin to activate Bearish plans
Reach 94K and thinl about what you intend to do VERY seriously.
Me, I will start Buying again...........................
Heres a GOOG Breakout SETUP!! (1HR)Still in a wedge, but my bias leans towards bullish. Watching for a clean breakout above 247.64 for confirmation.
My Targets are 247.64 → 251.65 → 254.77
⚠️ This is not financial advice just my personal analysis. Always do your own research before trading or investing.
Looking for Zuari's Golden Zone - Fib RetracementZuari's fib retracement on the daily chart on the run up from 200 to 390 shows a clear pullback to 38.2% followed by a failed attempt to break 100% in a seeming double top formation around 390, invalidating immediate bullish momentum.
Daily Macd and RSI look weak with bearish divergences forming against PA, denoted with green brush lines showing both indicators with lower highs against price's equal high.
A retest of the golden zone (61.8% to 78.6%) puts us between roughly 240 and 275, which should offer a high probability zone for accumulation and eventually a bounce.
Look out for confluences of major fib levels with 1d 50ma, 99ma and 200ma. 61.8% also has a horizontal confluence with the Dec 3rd peak, and 78.6% has horizontal confluence with April 24th peak, also potentially infleuntial to support levels.
10Y Futures Case Study: Trading the Breakout with Defined Risk1. Introduction
The 10-Year Yield Futures market has recently drawn attention as it builds a constructive base and attempts to shift momentum higher. After weeks of choppy movement, price action on the 4-hour chart has resolved into a breakout scenario that could define the next leg for yields. At the heart of this case study is a double bottom formation, a classical reversal structure, confirmed at 4.321. What makes this setup more compelling is the presence of nearby support and resistance zones, providing a precise technical framework to define entries, targets, and stop placement with discipline.
2. Double Bottom Pattern
The double bottom is one of the most reliable chart patterns signaling the potential exhaustion of selling pressure. It typically forms after a downtrend, with two consecutive troughs creating a strong support base before buyers regain control. In the current 10-Year Yield Futures chart, the first bottom occurred near 4.20, followed by a retest close to the same level. The neckline breakout emerged at 4.312, marking the confirmation point. Applying classical pattern analysis, the measured move points toward a target near 4.396. This alignment of structure and projection provides traders with a clear and objective technical roadmap.
3. MACD Confirmation
Momentum indicators often add depth to price action analysis, and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is one of the most widely followed. Built from the relationship of short- and long-term moving averages, it helps reveal underlying shifts in strength. In the current 10-Year Yield Futures chart, the MACD displayed a positive divergence: while price carved lower lows during the second bottom, the MACD lines began to slope higher. This divergence often signals weakening bearish momentum and the early stages of accumulation. In this case, it reinforces the validity of the double bottom breakout and its bullish potential.
4. UFO Support & Resistance
UnFilled Orders, or UFOs, represent areas where pending buy or sell orders may remain active, providing powerful zones of support or resistance. On the 10-Year Yield Futures chart, a key UFO support sits just below the breakout at 4.278, making it a logical stop-loss placement to protect the trade. Meanwhile, the upside target of the double bottom at 4.396 coincides with a UFO resistance zone. This overlap creates a clear exit area where supply may re-emerge. By combining classical charting techniques with order-flow–based zones, traders gain a structured plan that balances opportunity with risk control.
5. Trade Idea (Illustrative Case Study)
In this case study, the trade idea develops around the breakout point of 4.312 with the current price at the time of writing this article of 4.321. A trader could consider going long if the market sustains above this neckline level. The projected target is the resistance zone at 4.396, while the protective stop loss can be placed just below the UFO support at 4.278. This creates a defined risk profile with a reward-to-risk ratio of roughly 2:1. Alternatively, more conservative traders might consider a wider stop beneath the second bottom, offering more tolerance against volatility but at the expense of risk-reward efficiency. Both options maintain risk clarity and structure.
6. Contract Specifications & Margin Overview
The 10-Year Yield Futures (ticker: 10Y or 10Y1! on TradingView) is a cash-settled futures contract that tracks the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield directly. The gain or loss per tick per contract is as follows: 1 tick = 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00.
According to CME’s margin schedule (which changes as market conditions change through time), the current margin requirement is approximately $300 per contract. These relatively modest requirements make the product accessible while still providing meaningful exposure to U.S. interest rate markets.
7. Importance of Risk Management
Even with technically strong setups, the defining factor between consistent traders and inconsistent ones is risk management. Futures are leveraged products, meaning a small price move can translate into significant profit or loss. Using stop-loss orders helps enforce discipline, ensuring that one trade does not spiral into uncontrolled exposure. In this case, the support at 4.278 provides a logical technical area for a stop. Regardless of market outlook, avoiding undefined risk is key to long-term survival and consistency.
8. Closing Remarks
The alignment of a double bottom breakout, positive MACD divergence, and key support and resistance zones creates a textbook technical case study in the 10-Year Yield Futures market. With a clearly defined entry, target, and stop-loss, this setup demonstrates how combining price patterns with momentum and order-flow levels can help build structured trade plans. Yet, no analysis guarantees outcomes, and discipline remains at the core of every approach.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Master MACD Histogram + EMA Filter To Filter Out NoiseThe MACD histogram isn’t just noise — it’s a leading signal for momentum shifts when interpreted correctly. On this AAVE 1H chart, a textbook transition plays out:
– Rising histogram fades → crosses below 0
– EMA filter confirms trend shift
– Strategy flips short at the peak, locks in a +10.76% move
The recent long trigger occurs only after the histogram begins rising, crosses above zero, and price breaks back above the 50/9/3 EMA filter.
💡 Histogram Tips:
– Rising bars = bullish momentum building
– Shrinking bars = momentum weakening
– Crossing the zero line = potential trend reversal
– Best results come when histogram + EMAs align
⚙️ Settings Used:
MACD: 25 / 60 / 220
EMA Filter: 50 / 9 / 3
Entry Mode: Both (Histogram + Crossover Confluence)
📈 Use histogram transitions as an early signal — but always confirm with trend filters to avoid fakeouts.
Deep Dive Into Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)🗓 The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is one of the most popular momentum indicators in technical analysis. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, understanding how the MACD works can significantly enhance your trading decisions.
📚 Introduction: What Is MACD and Why It Matters
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is one of the most powerful and widely used momentum indicators in technical analysis. It was developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s and has since become a staple in the toolkit of traders and investors across markets — from stocks and forex to cryptocurrencies.
At its core, MACD helps traders understand the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price, providing insight into both trend direction and momentum strength. By analyzing how these averages converge and diverge, the indicator offers valuable signals for entries, exits, and trend reversals.
What makes MACD especially popular is its versatility — it works well in trending markets, can be used across all timeframes, and combines both leading and lagging components. Whether you're a day trader or a long-term investor, understanding how MACD works gives you an edge in making timely and informed trading decisions.
📚 How the MACD Is Calculated: The Components Explained
The MACD is built from three core components: MACD line, Signal line and MACD histogram.
🔹 Calculating the MACD Line:
The MACD line is the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), typically 12-period EMA (fast) and 26-period EMA (slow). The formula is:
MACD Line = EMA(12) − EMA(26)
This line captures momentum by tracking how the shorter-term average diverges from the longer-term average. When the MACD line rises, the short-term momentum is increasing faster than the longer-term trend — a sign of bullish acceleration. The reverse implies bearish momentum.
🔹 Calculating the Signal Line:
To reduce noise and provide clearer signals, a 9-period EMA of the MACD line is plotted on top. This is the Signal Line, and it acts as a trigger:
When the MACD line crosses above the signal line → bullish signal (buy)
When the MACD line crosses below the signal line → bearish signal (sell)
Signal Line = EMA(9)(MACD Line)
🔹 Calculating the MACD Histogram:
The Histogram shows the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line:
Histogram = MACD Line − Signal Line
It provides a visual representation of momentum strength. The histogram bars expand when momentum strengthens and contract as it fades. It helps you spot shifts in momentum earlier than a basic crossover.
📚 How to Use MACD in Trading Strategies
⚡️MACD Signal Line Crossover
Buy Signal:
MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line from below (bullish crossover)
Preferably when both lines are below the zero line (early in the trend)
Price closes above the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA
Sell Signal:
MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line from above (bearish crossover)
Preferably when both lines are above the zero line (early in the trend)
Price closes below the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA
📈Long Trading Strategy Example
1. Wait until MACD line crosses over the Signal line from down to up. In our example we use 1D time frame for BITMART:BTCUSDT.P . Open long trade if point 2 will be completed.
2. Price candle shall be closed above the 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend.
3. Close the long trade when the MACD line crosses under the Signal line. This is an approximation that short-term impulse is over and correction is about to start.
In our case we have +20% return on this long trade, but, please, notice that we have not used initial stop-loss in this strategy. Trade was closed according to the technical condition, this approach can violate the risk management rules, but also can be applicable if you trade the amount ready to lose using this strategy. We will talk about stop-loss later.
📉Short trading strategy example
1. Wait until MACD line crosses under the Signal line from up to down. In our example we use 1D time frame for BITMART:ETHUSDT . Open short trade if point 2 will be completed.
2. Price candle shall be closed below the 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend.
3. Close the short trade when the MACD line crosses over the Signal line. This is an approximation that short-term impulse is over and correction is about to start.
In this case we have +15% return on the short trade. Again, strategy used the technical condition to close the trade and now let's cover how to place the stop-loss. There is no right answer how to use stop-losses. The first and the most obvious way to place stop-loss is using recent swing low/high, but the problem is that all traders are seeing them and do the same. Price tends to reach such levels to collect liquidity.
Another one way to place stop-loss is using the signal candle's high/low. This is so-called 1 candle stop-loss. Usually it's very tight and can allow to have the fantastic risk to reward ratio, but we are now recommend to use it if you are not a professional trader because win rate of such strategy decreases.
Third approach in placing stop-loss which we often use in our algorithmic strategies is the Average True Range (ATR). ATR is the volatility measurement, it allows to take into account the current volatility. Sometimes it helps to avoid the stop-loss hit when trade finally goes in your direction. You can just simply subtract (in case of long trade) or add (in case of short trade) ATR value to the entry price and obtain the dynamic stop loss based on current market condition. Also multiplier can be used for ATR. You shall choose the approach which is more comfortable for you, backtest all these approached to make your choice.
🧪Important: we used the long signals only below the zero-line and short signals above it in the attempt to catch the beginning of a trend and have large potential move. On the picture below you can see the same BITMART:BTCUSDT.P , but what will happen if we open long on the lines crossover above zero line? This trade will not be profitable because of restricted potential.
⚡️MACD Zero Line Crossover
Buy Signal:
MACD Histogram crosses above the zero line (momentum shifts from bearish to bullish)
Price closes above the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA
Sell Signal:
MACD Histogram crosses below the zero line (momentum shifts from bullish to bearish)
Price closes below the long-term trend approximation, in our case we use 200-period EMA
📈Long Trading Strategy Example
1. Wait until MACD Histogram crosses over zero line. Open long trade if point 2 will be completed.
2. Price candle shall be closed above 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend.
3. Take profit when price reaches 3:1 risk to reward ratio according to the stop-loss from point 4.
4. Stop-loss shall be placed below recent swing low. This point can be discussed, you can use any stop-loss technique described earlier in this article. We demonstrate the simplest one, the key here is using at least 3:1 RR.
📉Short trading strategy example
1. Wait until MACD Histogram crosses under zero line. Open short trade if point 2 will be completed.
2. Price candle shall be closed below 200-period EMA. This is long-term trend filter to increase the probability that trades will be open only in the direction of the main trend.
3. Take profit when price reaches 3:1 risk to reward ratio according to the stop-loss from point 4.
4. Stop-loss shall be placed above recent swing high. This point can be discussed, you can use any stop-loss technique described earlier in this article. We demonstrate the simplest one, the key here is using at least 3:1 RR.
⚡️MACD Divergence Strategy
MACD Divergence is a strategy that helps traders identify potential reversals in market direction before they become obvious on the price chart. This makes it a favorite tool among swing traders and crypto enthusiasts looking to catch major moves early.
But what exactly is a divergence? In simple terms, divergence occurs when price and momentum (MACD) are moving in opposite directions — signaling that the current trend may be losing strength and preparing for a reversal. There are two main types of divergence.
🐂 Bullish Divergence
Price makes a lower low
MACD Histogram makes a higher low
This suggests that while price is still falling, downward momentum is weakening. The bears are losing control, and a bullish reversal may be near. Trading signal is very simple, when bullish divergence happens wait for the first increasing column on MACD histogram and open long trade. Place stop-loss under recent swing low and take profit at 3:1 RR.
🐻Bearish Divergence
Price makes a higher high
MACD makes a lower high
This suggests that while price is still falling, downward momentum is weakening. The bears are losing control, and a bullish reversal may be near. Trading signal is very simple, when bearish divergence happens wait for the first decreasing column on MACD histogram and open short trade. Place stop-loss above recent swing high and take profit at 3:1 RR.
🧪 Important hint: MACD histogram shall cross the zero line between two lows/high to create the most reliable divergence signals. We are not recommend to use it without zero-line crossover to decrease number of false signals.
📈Long Trading Strategy Example
1. MACD Histogram shall create higher low.
2. Price shall create lower low.
3. MACD Histogram shall cross the zero line between lows.
4. MACD Histogram shall show the first increasing column.
5. Put stop-loss under the recent swing low.
6. Put take profit at 3:1.
🧪 You can enhance the long signal with the MACD Line divergence. In our case we have both divergences: with MACD Histogram and MACD Line.
📉Short trading strategy example
1. MACD Histogram shall create lower high.
2. Price shall create higher high.
3. MACD Histogram shall cross the zero line between lows.
4. MACD Histogram shall show the first decreasing column.
5. Put stop-loss above the recent swing high.
6. Put take profit at 3:1.
🧪Divergence is extremely strong signal, but when price continue it's move in the direction of a trend and it's not reversing it can also be the signal for the trend continuation. This situation is called "Baskerville Hound" signal, this name was given by famous trader Alexander Elder. We don't recommend to use it for novice traders, but it's useful to know about it.
📚 Conclusion
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is more than just a crossover tool — it's a powerful momentum indicator that offers deep insight into the strength, direction, and timing of market trends. By understanding how the MACD line, Signal line, and Histogram interact, traders can uncover early trend shifts, spot momentum divergences, and time entries and exits with greater confidence.
Whether you're a short-term trader using fast crossovers for scalping or a long-term investor watching for weekly divergences, MACD can adapt to your style when used thoughtfully. Like all indicators, it works best when combined with price action, support/resistance levels, and other indicators — not in isolation.
Ultimately, mastering MACD is not about memorizing patterns, but about learning to read the story of momentum that unfolds beneath the surface of price. With disciplined application and practice, MACD can become a reliable compass in your trading strategy.
$Eth Bearish Divergence Alert – Correction Ahead?#ETHUSDT is approaching the $4000 zone, but momentum indicators signal caution 🧨
🔸 Bearish divergence spotted on RSI – price making higher highs, while RSI makes lower highs
🔸 MACD is showing signs of weakening bullish momentum
🔸 Stochastic RSI reflects fading buyer strength, hinting at possible seller dominance
If correction plays out, key support zones to watch are $3000 – $3200 👀
That range may offer a bounce opportunity, but if broken, deeper downside is possible ⚠️
Trade wisely and always manage risk 🎯
#Ethereum #CryptoAnalysis #BearishDivergence #CryptoSignals
USDJPY: Bearish Divergence – Eyeing Shorts to 143 CAPITALCOM:USDJPY
We’re seeing strong bearish divergence in USDJPY near the 148 resistance zone, shifting our focus to short opportunities with a medium-term target at 142.
📈 Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL Stop: 147.040
❌ Stop Loss: 149.220
✅ Take Profit: 143.000
(Click 👉 Trade Now 👈 on your mobile to copy SL & TP easily)
🔍 Why am I short here?
✅ Technical: Clear bearish divergence on the H4 (RSI & MACD), indicating potential reversal signals.
✅ Resistance Zone: Price is testing the key 148 resistance, providing an ideal risk-reward location for shorts.
✅ Macro Event: Ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI release, a conservative trade structure is maintained to manage volatility risks.
📰 Fundamental Snapshot:
Japan’s economy shows signs of stabilization:
Core machinery orders fell only 0.6% MoM in May to ¥913.5B, much better than April’s -9.1% and forecasts of -1.5%.
Despite the headline decline, it indicates resilience in Japan’s capital spending, supporting the JPY’s medium-term outlook amid global trade and growth risks.
Trade cautiously!
NATURAL GAS - REBOUND FROM THE MAJOR TRENDLINE AND ANOTHER LONG CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
Last week on Wednesday and Thursday we observed the false breakout of the major trendline. Eventually, Thursday ended up bullish, gaining 4.8% day-to-day. On Friday the asset has been trading majorly sideways, retesting the major trendline (pic 1). Technically, looks like the divergence on RSI, MACD and Momentum works out as well as the bullish wedge (pic 2). Fundamentally, we still have warm temperature weather forecasts in the U.S. and bullish Thursday's EIA report. Additionally, today the market opened with a bullish gap and continues to grow, which is a good signal for the buyers.
Considering major levels here, I decided to open long positions:
🔼 a market buy order at 3.4556 with
❌a stop loss at 3.2995 and
🤑a take profit at 3.7927
At 3.6000 would be reasonable to reduce long position on a half. Thank you for the attention!
How to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend ShiftsHow to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend Shifts in BTC
Chart: BTC/USDT (1D)
Tool Used: Sentiment Cycle Indicator
Type: Educational – How to interpret sentiment shifts and time corrections.
⸻
🟢 What the Indicator Does:
The Sentiment Cycle Indicator is designed to help identify emotional cycles in price movements by mapping bullish (green) and bearish (red) sentiment zones directly on the chart background.
It highlights sentiment clusters using a combination of volume behavior, price structure, and trend alignment , helping traders anticipate trend continuation or possible exhaustion.
⸻
✅ Recent Performance:
📈 In the most recent BTC rally (from ~60,000 to 110,000+ USDT),
• The indicator captured the uptrend early, turning the background consistently green starting mid-October 2024.
• Multiple Buy signals (green arrows) confirmed trend conviction.
• Even during minor pullbacks, green sentiment persisted — signaling strength.
📉 Now, the green sentiment zone has faded, and red zones are reappearing, indicating a potential sentiment shift:
• This transition may be an early warning of correction or distribution phase.
• Several Sell signals (red arrows) have recently fired as well, validating the shift.
⸻
🔍 Current Interpretation:
• Bullish sentiment has weakened — background color has turned neutral-to-red.
• Sentiment exhaustion is likely, and this could mark the start of a distribution or corrective phase.
• The absence of new buy signals despite recent price highs further supports this view.
📌 What to watch next:
• If red zones deepen and persist → correction is likely.
• If green zones reappear quickly with renewed Buy signals → resumption of uptrend is possible.
⸻
📚 How-To Use the Indicator:
1. Watch the background color:
• Green → Accumulation or markup.
• Red → Distribution or markdown.
2. Buy/Sell Markers:
• Use arrows as confirmation — not standalone signals.
• Best results when aligned with sentiment zone and price structure.
3. Volatility Filter:
• Sideways zones (mixed bands) indicate indecision — avoid overtrading here.
⸻
🧠 Final Thoughts:
The Sentiment Cycle Indicator isn’t just about price – it’s about the emotion behind price. As BTC shows signs of sentiment fading, this could be a pivotal time to re-evaluate bullish bias and prepare for a cooling phase or even deeper correction.
Let the market’s mood guide your strategy.
Color Your Trades: MACD 4C vs the Classic📊 Coloring Momentum: Comparing Standard MACD vs MACD 4C
Momentum indicators are a trader’s compass—but not all compasses are created equal. In this post, we compare the classic MACD with the visually enhanced MACD 4C , a four-color histogram tool that adds clarity and nuance to trend and momentum analysis.
Let’s break down how both tools work, how we use them at Xuantify, and how you can decide which one fits your strategy best.
🔍 What Are These Indicators?
Standard MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a time-tested momentum indicator that plots the difference between two EMAs (typically 12 and 26) and a signal line (usually a 9 EMA of the MACD line). It’s simple, effective, and widely used.
MACD 4C , developed by vkno422 , builds on the classic MACD by introducing a four-color histogram and divergence detection , making it easier to interpret momentum shifts and trend strength visually.
Key Differences:
Standard MACD: Two lines + histogram (single color)
MACD 4C: Histogram only, but with four colors to show trend strength and direction
MACD 4C includes bullish/bearish divergence detection
🧠 How We Use Them at Xuantify
We use both indicators—but for different purposes.
1. Standard MACD – Clean Confirmation
We use it for classic trend confirmation and crossover signals . It’s great for traders who prefer minimalism and are comfortable interpreting line-based momentum.
2. MACD 4C – Visual Momentum Clarity
We use MACD 4C when we want a more intuitive, color-coded view of momentum. The four-color histogram helps us quickly spot trend strength, exhaustion, and divergence.
🧭 Color Coding in MACD 4C
MACD 4C uses four histogram colors (default settings):
Lime/Green : Bullish momentum building or continuing
Red/Maroon : Bearish momentum building or continuing
This makes it easier to:
Spot momentum shifts
Identify trend continuation
Detect divergence at a glance
⚙️ Settings That Matter
Both indicators allow customization, but MACD 4C offers more visual tuning:
MACD 4C:
Adjustable fast/slow MA and signal smoothing
Toggle divergence detection
Color-coded histogram for quick reads
Standard MACD:
Clean, minimal, and widely supported
Best for traders who prefer traditional setups
🔗 Best Combinations with These Indicators
We combine MACD tools with:
Structure Tools – BOS/CHOCH for context
Liquidity Zones – To spot where momentum may reverse
Volume Profile – To confirm strength behind moves
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – For precision entries
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Both indicators are lagging by nature—they rely on moving averages. MACD 4C’s divergence detection can help anticipate reversals, but it’s still best used as a confirmation tool , not a standalone signal.
🔁 Repainting Behavior
Both the standard MACD and MACD 4C are non-repainting . Once a histogram bar or crossover is printed, it remains fixed. This makes them reliable for real-time trading and backtesting .
⏳ Lagging or Leading?
These are lagging indicators , designed to confirm trends—not predict them. MACD 4C’s divergence feature adds a leading element , but it should always be used with structure and price action for confirmation.
🚀 Final Thoughts
If you’re a visual trader who wants more clarity from your momentum tools, MACD 4C is a powerful upgrade. If you prefer simplicity and tradition, the standard MACD still holds its ground.
Try both, test them in your strategy, and see which one sharpens your edge.
$BTC Bearish Divergence Confirmed | Correction ImminentBitcoin has formed a clear bearish divergence on the daily timeframe, accompanied by declining volume, an inverted hammer candlestick at resistance, and a MACD crossover to the downside. Price has also retested the upper trendline but failed to break higher.
Key levels to watch:
First support: $96,000
If broken, further downside to $80,000
Ultimate support around $60,000 if market sentiment weakens further
Also, be cautious as today's Moody's downgrade of U.S. credit may increase market volatility.
This presents a solid short opportunity if BTC fails to reclaim key resistance levels.
MACD: More Than Just a Crossover ToolHello, traders! 🔥
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is one of the most trusted tools in technical analysis — but often one of the most oversimplified. While many traders focus on signal line crossovers, the real power of MACD lies in its ability to visualize market momentum, subtle shifts in trend strength, and early signs of potential reversals.
Let’s unpack how MACD behaves using the weekly BTC/USDT chart ✍🏻.
🔧 Understanding the Mechanics
At its core, MACD is the difference between two exponential moving averages — typically the 12-period EMA and the 26-period EMA. The result is the MACD line (blue). The orange line represents a 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the MACD line, commonly referred to as the signal line. The histogram reflects the distance between them, helping to visualize when momentum is building or fading.
📊 MACD in Action — Weekly BTC Chart Breakdown
Looking at the BTC/USDT weekly chart, several notable MACD behaviors stand out:
1. The Bullish Acceleration in Early 2023
In early 2023, MACD crossed above the signal line, accompanied by a sharp rise in the histogram. This indicated strong positive momentum, as the price began recovering from the 2022 lows. The histogram’s expansion confirmed increasing divergence between the short- and long-term EMAs — a classic sign of trend acceleration.
2. Peak Momentum in Late 2023
Around late 2023, the MACD line peaked while the histogram also reached maximum height. This wasn’t just a confirmation of strength — it also hinted that momentum may have reached a climax. Despite price continuing to rise slightly, the MACD curve started to flatten — an early warning of potential exhaustion in trend strength.
3. Bearish Convergence into Q1 2025
In early 2025, the MACD line turned downward and eventually crossed below the signal line, while the histogram flipped to red. This reflected a cooldown in bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. What’s notable is how price didn’t collapse sharply, but moved into a pullback phase — illustrating how MACD can show momentum softening before price visibly reacts.
📌 What This Can Tells Us
The MACD indicator on this weekly BTC chart shows how momentum often shifts before the trend itself breaks. Each crossover, divergence, or histogram change is not a guarantee, but a cue to pay closer attention.
Key takeaways:
Strong Histogram Expansion = Confidence in the Current Move.
Peaks in MACD Without Price Making New Highs = Potential Divergence.
Shrinking Histogram + Converging Lines = Momentum Stalling.
🧠 Final Thought
MACD isn’t just about “buy when it crosses” or “sell on red bars.” It’s a narrative tool, showing how the story of the price develops beneath the surface. On higher timeframes, such as the weekly chart, it can potentially highlight macro momentum shifts long before they become apparent in price action alone.
DXY, bullish or bearish?Welcome back!
Today i'm posting a small idea on the DXY. Usually i cover crypto but the macro is important. A weak dollar correlates with more risk being taken and a strong dollar with less risk being taken. Hence my analysis of the DXY.
In the above chart a couple of things can be seen which makes the outlook hard to predict.
On one side there is a bullflag on the monthly timeframe with a target of 130!
On the other side, looking under we can see a bearish MACD cross and a bearish stoch RSI. On average it takes half a year to a year for a cross like this to recover.
This causes me to be bearish on the dollar and bullish on risk-on assets.
Thanks for reading
Let's talk about the MACD components, signals and strategies The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a powerful technical indicator widely used in crypto trading to identify trends, momentum shifts, and potential entry or exit points.
Here's how to effectively use MACD in your crypto trading strategy:
Understanding MACD Components
The MACD consists of three main elements:
MACD Line: Calculated by subtracting the 5-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) from the 20-period EMA
Signal Line: A 9-period EMA of the MACD line
Histogram: Represents the difference between the MACD line and the signal line
Key MACD Trading Signals
Signal Line Crossovers
Buy Signal: When the MACD line crosses above the signal line
Sell Signal: When the MACD line crosses below the signal line.
Zero Line Crossovers
Bullish Signal: MACD crosses above the zero line
Bearish Signal: MACD crosses below the zero line
Divergences
Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows while MACD makes higher lows
Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs while MACD makes lower highs
MACD Trading Strategies
Trend Following
Use MACD to identify and follow strong trends. When the MACD line is above the signal line, it indicates an uptrend, while the opposite suggests a downtrend
Momentum Trading
The MACD histogram can help identify building momentum. Increasing histogram bars suggest strengthening momentum in the current direction
Divergence Trading
Look for divergences between price action and MACD to spot potential trend reversals
Multiple Timeframe Analysis
Combine MACD readings from different timeframes to get a more comprehensive view of the market
Best Practices
Confirm Signals: Use MACD in conjunction with other indicators like RSI or Bollinger Bands for stronger confirmation
Avoid Choppy Markets: MACD is less effective in ranging or sideways markets, potentially generating false signals
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders and proper position sizing to manage risk
Timeframe Selection: Choose an appropriate timeframe based on your trading style (e.g., intraday, swing, or long-term)
Default Settings: Stick to the default MACD settings (12, 20, 5) as most traders use these, potentially creating self-fulfilling prophecies in the market
ETHENA - Identifying a trend shift using RSI, MACD, EMA and DivFirst post of 2025 to start the new year Journaling and using Basic tools Offered by Tradingview. The most Common Used by traders are RSI MACD and EMA's.
I am going use these indicators with descriptors of what I came to understand after reading the "About script" and applying them to my trade Ideas to see If I can correctly Identify Strength and Weakness in markets.
I have plotted out on the charts what the use cases are for these tools.
RSI, MACD and EMA's are momentum Indicators, They are not used to identify where a reversal will happen but over a period of time where you can see trend start to shift or continue trending based on the Information they provide.
Can this be it?BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC is in a broadening wedge.
which means it shall range in it for now!
Price has 2 positive bullish signals from MACD
1-a Bullish divergence
2-a bullish cross on MACD and Signal line!
this can be a great bullish point for Bitcoin
maybe next time we see Bitcoin at 114K!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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