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Marketinsights
PULLBACK ZONE FOR SHORT DIRECTION ENTRY - SFTBY - SOFTBANK - 4HThank you for the like, comments and shares! Much appreciated! This is not financial advise, just ideas on probable market evolution.
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The trend has probably changed as the very strong blue up trending line has been frankly and strongly broken.
The price is now evolving under the bearish channel. This might be a sign that the bearish action is possibly still going on.
We see an horizontal zone emerging, showing a potential pullback zone and good entry for a short direction positions.
The black line can possibly be the target price as it is an historical center of gravity like price.
A probable idea would be to wait for pullback and get a short entry, and, as we approach the black horizontal line, we lower our position weight by taking profits.
probably good to lower exposition if having already bought up there.. it probably can become worse.
PS.:
Hope is there, because following fundamental analysis, we can see that SoftBank is pretty active and doing very strategic investments. Are the latest's SoftBank investments to be copied to improve portfolio experience ? Robotics, Communications, Uber.... etc..
Is the black line the best place to enter from for a long direction entry and for long time ? (with the probability that in the near future the price of SoftBank stock will rise to record numbers)
ORBEX: EURUSD and AUDUSD Reach Critical Intersection!The Coronavirus keeps spreading, weakening Aussie despite the upbeat jobs numbers as markets take a less risky approach to the heightening threat.
Technicals indicate that Aussie and Euro move hand to hand, with the former falling following a ‘holding’ ECB! Now both are corrective and at a trendline low!
Pound, on the other hand, does relatively well as rate cut expectations diminish! Will it continue long? Well, PMIs could tell...
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: Keep and Eye on Coronavirus & Today's BOC!Markets remained somewhat muted at the start of the impeachment trial despite Trump’s talk at Davos as concerns around the deadly coronavirus mounted. It’s going to affect Asian economies for sure due to weakening consumer spending unless if it will be contained asap, and perhaps the emerging markets too.
In Europe, German and UK macros were seen increasing risk appetite, however, with ECB and #Brexit on the spotlight we could see participants take on a cautious approach on euro and pound now and shift their focus on today’s BOC policy decision.
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: Equities Continue Recording All-Time Highs!US Retails Sales, corporate earnings and now Chinese consumer data add on to the equities rally!
Despite US equities having reached overbought levels, phase one seems to be working well on global #indices.
All eyes will turn to Davos this week, central banks' decisions and also the widely anticipate Trump’s impeachment trial.
Let’s see how equities will pan out.
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: With US-China Done, All Eyes on Brexit Now!The US and China signed a partial deal yesterday, putting a temporary stop to global uncertainty! Without that being the end of the trade war, at least we can now wait and see if China respects the signed terms over the next few months...
Are emerging markets affected by the fresh rhetoric since China is supported, or should we just focus on monetary policy, particularly in South Africa today?
Market participants will now look at the EU and UK for a resolution on the Brexit front. Will the House of Lords prevent a January exit? And how will the EC react about an 11-month transition if they won't?
Watch our analyses on euro-pound and the SA rand!
Timestamp
EURGBP 8H 02:15
USDZAR 8H 04:45
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: Look at SPX Volumes for Further Clues!Despite the US-China phase one trade deal supporting equities the upside could be minimized if priced in already since as indices have been moving up since the December truce!
Geopolitics suggest more strength, however, technicals indicate otherwise! Will corporate earnings trigger a shift from a macro perspective? Well, either that or weaker US inflation data!
It seems that equities hang on earnings and inflation, whereas the US index only on inflation data.
Timestamps
SPX 8H 01:30
DXY 8H 04:25
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: EU/UK Free-Trade Agreement Under ThreatWith US-Iran de-escalation traders shift their focus on Brexit talks and safe-haven outflows!
The new EC President threw doubt into a free-trade agreement in her visit in the UK to initiate talks. And this could have a reversal effect on the uncertainty we saw removed over the past few weeks.
Watch me analyze GBPNZD and CADJPY for further technical insights and as I apply Elliott waves.
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: Gold & Oil Soar on Iran's Military Retaliation!Iran retaliated against US with ballistic missiles instead of disrupting oil shipments, facing one enemy at a time as China is a big importer.
Gold and crude soared to fresh highs after Iran attacked a US military base in Iraq.
Oil gains, however, were discounted early, perhaps due to EIA’s later report, but gold remains bid near $1600/oz.
Watch our analyses for further technical insights and as we apply Elliott waves.
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: FX Majors Remain Bid int he New Year! Will It Last?The FX majors stretched into 2020 firm, spelling a strong term against a weaker #dollar!
Will this continue being the case though when uncertainty around #tradewar and #Brexit remain elevated?
Take a peek at our #elliottwave analysis for some technical insight at least.
Timestamps
EURUSD 1H 01:45
USDJPY 1H 03:30
GBPUSD 1H 05:50
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: Equities Rally Continues But Risks Remain Elevated!Equities and the US Index hit the levels we expected last week, however, participants remain encouraged on “phase one” and Brexit conclusions.
Will the rally keep on in 2020 or have investors really misplaced the recent concessions?
The risk of deteriorating relations remains elevated in our opinion!
Timestamp
DXY 4H 00:20
SPX 4H 02:45
NASDAQ 4H 04:55
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
ORBEX: Risk Up on LOWER TARIFFS As China Announces Import Cuts!China announced they will be lowering tariffs on a number of items come January 1st, making markets looking more festive ahead of Christmas!
Aussie and Kiwi took the headlines with a positive tone, however, Cable kept entering lower territories on the back on post-election no-deal fears! Will the Santa rally continue?
Have a look at our Elliott Wave analysis for further clues!
Timestamp
AUDUSD 2H 01:15
NZDUSD 2H 04:10
GBPUSD 2H 06:20
ORBEX: Will the US Avoid A Gov Shutdown This Year?In this market insights, I talk about the reason #FX Majors were muted; on the back of a shift to riskier assets i.e. the equities
I dive into euro, pound, dollar and the safe-haven yen to provide you with my short-term analysis.
I also talk about what to focus on for the rest of the week and with crunch talks around the allocation of US’s $1.3tn spending continuing, it is certainly going to be an interesting one as fears of another shutdown linger!
Timestamps for each pair:
EURUSD 1H 01:30
USDJPY 1H 03:40
GBPUSD 1H 05:00
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
ORBEX: Trump Triggers Recovery Trade while Pound Soars!In today’s market insights I talk about Trump’s latest comments surrounding the US-Sino rhetoric and why they have triggered a full or partial recovery in risk assets!
Watch me analyse risk vs safety using Elliott Waves, as well as the incredible surge in the British pound!
It seems that BoJo’s chances to win the elections are cracking fresh multi-month price levels! Will this continue being the case?
Timestamps
#EURGBP 1D 01:05
#AUDJPY 4H 04:40
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
ORBEX: Trump Dents Markets Days Before OPEC+In today’s market insights I talk about the massive Trump sell-off seen in the markets following his comments that a phase 1 trade deal could be now dragged later than the 2020 election.
Gold and Oil were affected by the pessimistic rhetoric as participants received the delay announcement!
The yellow metal appreciated while Crude oil jaw-dropped days ahead of the critical OPEC+ meeting in Vienna.
Watch me analyse the two #Commodities and what I expect in the short and medium-term using #ElliottWaves!
Timestamps
XAUUSD 1H 01:40
WTI 1H 04:15
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
ORBEX: "Tariff-Man” Return Risk-Positive, PMIs Weighs on Dollar!In today’s market insights I talk about Trump’s latest tactical move to intimidate China into a partial deal!
With China having retaliated for the HK bills and manufacturing data confirming that the trade spat is now weighing on on the US economy, risk appetite returns with the Tariff Man!
Will tariffs against Brazil and Argentina push China in the corner, or the dollar itself?
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.






















