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Marketstructure

Trade Plan: XAUUSD====Date: 8/29/2025S: Bullish M: Neutral L: Neutral Bullish --------------------------- Bullish bias has set for today. Better to look for buy set up at the zone 1 : If the real time situation is very bullish, price may hold at the first zone which confluence to trend line and then it could reverse back up higher. 2: Price may back down to test Yesterday VPOC and then you should watch for buying price pattern or the ending of down move momentum. 3: If price has passed down through Yesterday VPOC it might has a shoppy move up and down around Larger time frame value area high zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by chaorua
BTC Rotations Aren’t What They Used to Be — Trojan Cycle This chart uses the Trojan Cycle: Dip & Profit Hunter tool to evaluate recent BTC price action in relation to structural flow dynamics — specifically price and volume behavior through a statistical lens. The tool is part of a broader effort to monitor the evolving nature of capital rotation in crypto — one that considers how institutional infrastructure, regulatory filters, and synthetic signals may be altering traditional cycle behavior. 🧠 What This Tool Is Designed to Do Rather than issuing classic buy/sell signals, the tool evaluates where we are in the broader capital flow rotation by analyzing: Z-Scores of price and volume (how far each has deviated from their historical norm) Percentile ranks (where current values fall relative to past distributions) Price vs. Volume momentum divergence A contextual output based on combinations of these metrics The aim is to offer a clearer view into whether a move is structurally supported or potentially hollow . 🔍 Live Signal Example (as shown on chart) Metric Value Z-Score (Price) +0.65 (mild extension) Z-Score (Volume) -1.27 (subdued flow) Percentile (Price) 64% Percentile (Volume) 2% (extremely low) Combined Context 📉 Price leading — flow lagging, be cautious Structural Signal 🟣 No high-probability setup 🗣 Interpretation (not prediction): While BTC has advanced in price, this configuration suggests a lack of supporting volume — at least from the perspective of the current model. In the context of a maturing, compliance-filtered market structure, these kinds of setups may align with the idea of synthetic rotations: price expansion without true structural inflow. 📘 Why This Matters The goal isn’t to call tops or bottoms — it’s to better understand the character of a move . This tool helps frame whether a move may represent: 📥 Accumulation 🔴 Distribution 🚨 Euphoric extension 🧨 Synthetic narrative trap …or simply neutral structure , as in the current case. 🔎 Interested in the Thesis Behind This? This tool is part of a broader analytical framework outlined in the Trojan Cycle and Synthetic Rotation theses. To explore those ideas further, including full macro breakdowns and structural flow models, please visit the published charts for RWCS_LTD on TradingView. 📊 How I Use This Personally I avoid adding risk when signals show price is leading while volume lags. I scale in during “confluent buy” or “value + flow” setups. I pair this with BTC.D, ETH/BTC, and TOTALES3/ETH to track relative strength and phase rotation. 💭 Final Thought Whether this tool confirms your existing thesis — or challenges it — the intent is to help develop structure-informed judgment in a rapidly evolving market.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by RWCS_LTD
EURGBP - LongEURGBP Analysis - LONG 👆 In this Chart EURGBP H4 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions. ❤️This Chart is for EURGBP market analysis. ❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy. This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts. The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BULLISH trend in EURGBP, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management. 🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢 ❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
Long
by Nii_Billions
How to Identify Market Structure: From Uptrend to DowntrendUnderstanding market structure is key to trading well. 📈 In an uptrend, price forms a sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). As long as the most recent HL is respected, buyers remain in control. Pullbacks into demand often provide continuation opportunities. 📉 Once the most recent HL is broken, structure shifts — buyers lose control, and the market can flip into a downtrend with Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). Pullbacks into supply confirm bearish momentum. 🔑 Remember: Market structure is fractal — always check higher timeframes for better understanding of price action. A break of any important structure ( lows, highs ) tells us that either price is continuing or reversing. Supply and demand zones are where reversals usually begin. And that is due to volatility and orders, volume coming into the market. Don’t fight momentum — align with structure, and let the market confirm direction before you do anything. Keep this framework in mind, and reading trends will become much clearer. Blessings, T
Education
by Tilen_FX
Gold 15M OB Reaction – Targeting 3355Price is currently trading around the $3,333 level after reacting to the M15 and M5 Order Blocks (OB). The market is showing signs of a potential reversal from this demand zone, supported by the break of the descending trendline. Entry Zone: Price is mitigating the M5 OB within the larger M15 OB. Targets: TP1: $3,339 – aligned with local liquidity ($$$) and previous highs. Final TP: $3,357 – a major liquidity zone and supply area. If price holds above the OB, we can expect bullish continuation towards TP levels. However, a break below $3,323 would invalidate this setup and signal deeper downside. 📊 Bias: Bullish (as long as OB holds).
TVC:GOLD
by Luna_Harper_Charts
$EURUSD 15m Mark-UpAug 18 - Mark-Up Update Analysis Note: The demand zone failed, and price did not move toward the Asian high. Currently, if price manages to maintain its bullish structure and shift character from this area on the lower timeframe, it may push upward. If not, it will likely head toward the weak low I marked, and we may see a 15-minute swing character shift. By analyzing price action on the 5-minute timeframe, you can make a more precise decision for either scenario! Follow us to never miss more analyses.
by CryptosWinter
Gold 1H | ICT SMC Analysis (OB + FVG Roadmap)This analysis is based on ICT / Smart Money Concepts. •Key Order Blocks ( OB ) and Fair Value Gaps ( FVG ) highlighted. •Current price is testing a bullish OB on the 1H timeframe after a CHoCH . • Possible scenarios: 1. Bullish case → if demand (green OB) holds, price may target 3,390 – 3,410 (upper OB). 2. Bearish case → failure to hold may drive price towards 3,280 – 3,300 demand zone. Methodology : ICT / SMC ⚠️ This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SilentScalpers
Recent Dip & What It Means for the Trojan Cycle: Fact Check1. Stablecoin Capital Flow — Not a Typical Sell-Off On August 14–15 , Binance saw $1.82 billion in net stablecoin inflows, one of the highest recent figures. Simultaneously, Tether and Circle minted a combined $9.5 billion in stablecoins over the past 30 days , signaling significant on-ramp activity. These patterns contradict what we'd expect in a pure capitulation. Instead, they suggest capital is being positioned to buy into dips , not exit markets—hallmarks of the positioning-reset phase in the Trojan Cycle. 2. Institutional Accumulation Aligns with Thesis Spot Ether ETFs just recorded over $1 billion in net inflows in one day (led by BlackRock’s ETHA and Fidelity’s FETH), bringing total ETF inflows to $10.8 billion. Two whales accumulated $150 million in ETH , reinforcing institutional interest at these levels. This indicates institutional players are using the dip as an opportunity to accumulate—consistent with the Trojan framework's “Trojan vehicles” mechanics. 3. Market Structural Trends Support Rotation Setup Ethereum price dipped ~3% , suggesting short-term weakness but providing a potential entry zone. Network activity remains robust: ETH daily on-chain transactions recently neared all-time highs at ~1.87 million , driven primarily by stablecoin transfers . Strong on-chain activity alongside stablecoin flow indicates capital preparation for a rotation phase, rather than a breakdown. Trojan Cycle Thesis — Data Review Aspect --> What Trojan Cycle Predicts --> What Data Shows Stablecoin Inflows --> Increases ahead of rotation --> Binance saw $1.82B in inflows; $9.5B minted overall Institutional Buying --> Accumulation during dips --> $1B+ ETF inflows; $150M ETH whales buying Network Activity --> Pre-rotation buildup --> High ETH txn volume, stablecoin activity peaking Conclusion: All three key indicators align with the Trojan Cycle model. This dip appears to be a positioning flush, not the start of a structural downturn.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3ES
by RWCS_LTD
The Trojan Cycle: A New Framework for Altseasons & Liquidity🧭 A Thesis for a New Crypto Cycle This post proposes a new lens for understanding crypto’s macro structure in the institutional era—rooted in two frameworks: The Trojan Cycle and Synthetic Rotation . It challenges the legacy “ M2 = liquidity, BTC = lead, alts = profit ” model, proposing a more engineered and asymmetric structure shaped by capital rails, narrative timing, and retail dynamics. 📖 Key Concepts 🔹 Trojan Cycle A macro capital flow model where: • BTC still triggers narrative momentum—but no longer drives liquidity alone • Institutional capital enters via regulated wrappers like ETFs and through equities with crypto treasuries (e.g., MSTR, miners, COIN) • Stablecoins replace M2 as real-time liquidity proxies • Retail unknowingly front-runs these flows 🛠 Trojan access isn’t just through ETFs—it includes public stocks holding crypto on balance sheets. These Trojan equities serve as indirect exposure rails that institutions use stealthily. 🔹 Synthetic Rotation Altseasons today are not spontaneous BTC profit spillovers. They are: • Platform-driven • Narrative-coordinated • Liquidity-engineered • Retail-targeted—by design, not coincidence 🛠 Media, influencers, and platform incentives synchronize narrative deployment to align with capital rotation windows, driving retail engagement at peak distribution phases. 🔹 ETH as a Structural Fulcrum Ethereum isn’t just a top asset—it’s the bridge: • Serves as a midpoint for capital between BTC and high-beta alts • TOTAL3ES/ETH ratio reveals directional bias in rotation structure 🛠 ETH is a liquidity buffer and rotational fulcrum—not just a layer-1 narrative asset. 🔹 Structural Liquidity Fragmentation Institutional and retail flows now move on different rails, timelines, and tools: • Retail is incentivized through volatility and engagement • Institutions scale in/out passively, through wrappers and proxies 🛠 These cycles don’t just desync by chance—they’re structurally misaligned. This is why retail often exits late and enters at narrative highs. 📊 Visual Framework Using the Crypto Macro Cockpit script: • Spread and slope = flow direction and acceleration • Stablecoin cap = capital injection • Stablecoin dominance = risk appetite • TOTAL3ES/ETH = alt rotation pressure • Composite regime classification = macro posture (Risk-ON/OFF, Caution, Waiting) 📎 Why It Matters Understanding engineered cycles vs organic flows is key to staying ahead. Legacy cycle models no longer apply. New frameworks are needed to decode capital movement, timing asymmetries, and narrative deployment. 💬 This isn’t a prediction—it’s a proposed mental model for discussion. Would love to hear your thoughts—how are you navigating the new cycle?
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3ES
by RWCS_LTD
XAUUSD – Channel Breakdown & Order Block ReactionPrice has broken below the ascending channel 📈 after failing to hold higher highs. A strong bearish drop has pushed price toward the 15M Order Block (OB) 📦 around 3,335–3,345, which may act as a demand zone. 🔍 Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bullish Reversal 🐂 – Buyers defend the OB, pushing price back above 3,360 and possibly toward 3,380+. 2️⃣ Further Drop 🐻 – If the OB fails, sellers could target lower liquidity zones. ⚡ Volume spikes during the breakdown show strong selling pressure, but the OB zone remains the key battleground for the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luna_Harper_Charts
1
Minor Bullish Signs Inside Gold’s Bearish Range▋Observation & Meanings: ▪Price is currently trading within a broader range. ▪After touching the bottom of that range, price bounced and took out the prior high — signaling a potential minor uptrend beginning to take shape within the range. ▋Critical Questions: 🔹 Is the surge reliable? ▪Rather than reacting to a surge, it’s more constructive to wait for a clear uptrend. A valid uptrend only takes shape when price starts forming higher lows . ▪Also, recent behavior within the range suggests bearish pressure remains. Tops are rejected sharply, while bounces from the bottom are slower and more choppy. 🔹 What opportunities might be next? 1. A potential long trade toward the top of the range: ▪Look for price to pull back, form a higher low, then push through the previous high in one clean move. ▪The opportunity comes when the price retests the prior high, confirming a resistance-turned-support level. ▪Interesting finding: $3,387 might act as a strong resistance level . The last two bounces from the bottom of the range both advanced about the same distance before pulling back. Could this time play out the same way? 2. Short opportunities inside the range: ▪This aligns with the current bearish skew . ▪Potential setups to watch for: - A consolidation that breaks to the downside. - When price drops through the bottom of the range without hesitation or buildup, it reinforces the bearish bias . ▋Mental Notes: ▪Range-bound markets can still provide opportunity — if you're clear about risk and structure. ▪Don’t predict the price, trade the price. Have a plan, but not blindly follow. ▪The market will always find ways to surprise. Stay open and follow the flow. If you find the analysis helpful, drop a 🚀 to show some support — always open to thoughts and discussion! ▋Not Financial Advice: The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by stock_adelie
1
ETH/USD Analysis – Smart Money Breakdown ETH/USD Analysis – Smart Money Breakdown & Rejection from Premium Zone 🔍 Key Breakdown: ✅ BOS (Break of Structure): The initial BOS on July 15 signaled a strong bullish shift in market structure, triggering a sustained upside rally. 💪 Strong Bullish Rebound: After the BOS, ETH experienced impulsive buying, confirming institutional order flow and liquidity injection. 🔺 Resistance Zone (Premium Area): The price formed a clear TOP at the resistance (near $3,950–$4,000), a common zone where smart money distributes positions. 📉 Reaction from Resistance: As ETH tapped into the resistance, price sharply rejected — a potential mitigation move or distribution phase. ⚠️ Current Price Structure: After the correction, ETH is retracing back into the resistance zone. The projected arrow indicates a possible lower high formation, followed by a continuation to the support zone ($3,300–$3,400). 🧠 Educational Takeaways: Structure Is King: Market structure (HHs, HLs, BOS) is the foundation of SMC-based trading. Premium vs. Discount Zones: Smart money sells in premium (resistance) and buys in discount (support). Liquidity Reversal: Tops often trap late buyers before a reversal — watch for liquidity grabs at key zones. Wait for Confirmation: Always wait for confirmation (candlestick or structure shift) before entering trades. 🎯 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bearish Case: ETH forms a lower high and drops to support (~$3,350). ❌ Invalidation: Clean breakout and hold above $4,000 could open doors for further bullish continuation.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03