Marketupdate
XAUUSD Trade Idea - 30m Structure with 4H ConfluenceCurrently, price is trading below the 4H descending trendline, respecting bearish structure on lower timeframe (30m).
✅ 1H Order Block (OB) marked between 3335-3340 remains a strong demand zone where price can bounce break the trendline to sweep liquidity above around 3377 to form bullish continuation.
📌 Scenarios I'm Watching:
Short-term rejection from the 4H trendline.
Potential reversal towards 1H OB.
Bullish reaction from OB could trigger a breakout above the 4H trendline.
Final upside target remains at the liquidity pool around 3377 zone ($$$).
🟣 Overall Bias: Bullish after liquidity sweep. Watching for bullish confirmation at OB before executing buys.
GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan 20/07/2025🪙 GOLD (GC) Weekly Recap & Game Plan
📊 Market Context:
Price is currently forming an accumulation pattern.
The purple zone marks a key weekly demand zone, and I expect a potential bounce from that level.
I'm closely watching for trendline deviations to determine the directional bias.
🎯 Game Plan:
If price drops below the trendline and bounces from the weekly demand, I’ll look for longs targeting the bearish trendline.
If price taps the bearish trendline and shows clear rejection, I’ll look for shorts targeting the bullish trendline.
I'll wait for LTF confirmations before entering any position.
✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
ES Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 20/07/2025ES Weekly Outlook & Game Plan
🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment
Market Context:
ES continues its bullish momentum, driven by institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy environment.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Price is currently in price discovery, and the weekly structure remains strongly bullish — so I prefer to follow the strength.
We might see a minor retracement before pushing further above the all-time high (ATH).
🎯 Game Plan:
I'm expecting a potential retracement to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is the discount zone in a bullish environment.
Interestingly, the 4H liquidity zone aligns perfectly with the 0.5 Fib level — this confluence suggests price may gather enough energy from there to make new highs.
✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
NQ Weekly Outlook & Game Plan 20/07/2025NQ Weekly Outlook & Game Plan
🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment
Market Context:
NQ continues its bullish momentum, driven by institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy environment.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Price is currently in price discovery, and the weekly structure remains strongly bullish — so I prefer to follow the strength.
We might see a minor retracement before pushing further above the all-time high (ATH).
🎯 Game Plan:
I'm expecting a potential retracement to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is the discount zone in a bullish environment.
Interestingly, the 4H liquidity zone aligns perfectly with the 0.5 Fib level — this confluence suggests price may gather enough energy from there to make new highs.
✅ Follow for weekly recaps & actionable game plans.
Trend Line Tested Twice Is AUD/USD Ready to Rally?📈 AUD/USD Market Insight – Potential Bullish Breakout Ahead?
The AUD/USD pair has respected a key trend line, bouncing off it for the second time — a sign of potential strength. If the price revisits and successfully retests this trend line, we could see a bullish momentum (a pump) play out.
On the flip side, if the pair maintains its current trajectory without pulling back, focus shifts to the 0.65415–0.65455 resistance zone. A clean breakout above this range could open the doors for a move higher — potentially targeting swing highs and key liquidity zones.
🚀 Watch closely — the next move could be significant.
🔎 Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research). This is not financial advice.
Eyes on 1.16300: EUR/USD Prepares for the Next Move.📉 EUR/USD Technical 📈
The pair has broken a strong support level and is now finding footing around 1.15970, forming a fresh bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) at this zone.
At the moment, EUR/USD is moving within a bearish FVG. Here's what to watch next:
🔻 If the market dips from here, we could see a reversal from the lower edge of this FVG.
🔼 But if it holds and pushes higher, breaking above 1.16300 — the CE (Continuity Equation) level of the bearish FVG — that could unlock further bullish momentum.
🚨 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 1.15970
Resistance/Breakout Zone: 1.16300
📊 Stay alert — price action at these levels could define the next move.
👉 DYOR – Do Your Own Research
📌 Not financial advice.
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap.📈 Gold Market Daily Outlook 💰
Gold has bounced back after tapping into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and clearing liquidity below recent lows.
🔥 Price is now heading into a key bearish FVG zone on the 4H chart.
📊 Key Level to Watch:
If $3339 breaks with strong bullish momentum, we could see a further push towards $3350 and beyond.
⚠️ Reminder:
This is not financial advice — always DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
Gold just played an interesting game on the 4-hour chart!🚨 GOLD Technical Outlook – 4H Chart Insight! 🕵️♂️✨
📉 First, we spotted a Bearish Engulfing pattern that created a strong Sell Zone, signaling downward pressure. But guess what? The market wasn't ready to give up just yet…
📈 From the lower end, a powerful Bullish Engulfing stepped in like a hero, offering solid support and pushing the market back up!
Now here's where it gets exciting:
🔥 Gold has formed another bullish engulfing pattern, and the price is once again knocking on the door of that Sell Zone.
🤔 What's next?
A rejection from this sell zone could trigger another drop 📉
But keep an eye on the overlapping support zone below — if price revisits and holds there, we could see a bullish bounce toward the upside again! 🚀
📌 Key takeaway: We’re at a decision point. The next move could be explosive — up or down. Stay sharp! 🔍
⚠️ DYOR – Do Your Own Research! 🚫 This is not financial advice — just a trader's perspective.
Gold Analysis Bullish Breakout | Trendline & OB Setup📈 Gold Analysis
We are currently seeing price action within a descending channel, testing key support at the M30 OB (Order Block). The price is pushing higher after bouncing off the support level, and the trendlines suggest a potential breakout to the upside.
💡 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3326
Resistance Zone: 3342
The market is primed for a possible rally, indicated by the upward momentum and price breaking out above the trendline. Watch for confirmation as we approach the liquidity level for further bullish movement.
⚡ Trade Idea: Look for a long entry if price closes above the trendline for a continuation towards the next resistance.
Gold To The Basement? Week Ahead with Bearish Bias by PhoenixFX🌟 Welcome to Phoenix FX’s Intraday Pulse! 🌟
Hello, Phoenix FX family! 👋 I’m thrilled you’ve joined us for today’s TradingView chart breakdown. Our focus? Intraday opportunities—spotting those high-probability setups you can enter, manage, and leave to run whilst you concentrate on the things you love doing.
Here’s what you’ll find in this analysis:
Key Levels & Zones: Support, resistance, and Fair Value Gaps that matter on the smaller timeframes.
Price-Action Clues: Exact candlestick patterns and momentum signals to watch for your next entry.
Trade Triggers & Targets: Clear criteria for when to get in, where to take profits, and how to manage your risk.
Whether you’re hunting quick scalps or tactical swing moves, our goal is simple: help you trade with confidence, clarity, and community support. Got a different view or a fresh idea? Drop it in the comments—after all, “each one, teach one.” 😉
Let’s dive into the charts and make today’s market moves count! 🚀📈
Donald Trump’s presidency continues to exert outsized influence on gold through three main channels: trade policy uncertainty, fiscal stimulus (and resulting deficits), and shifts in safe-haven demand. Here’s how each factor has played out—and what it could mean for gold going forward:
1. Trade-War Uncertainty
What’s Happening: The Trump administration’s aggressive use of tariffs—including recent 25% duties on goods from Japan and South Korea—has periodically roiled markets and driven investors into gold as a safe haven. On July 7, gold pared losses after tariff news, as traders sought refuge despite a firm dollar.
Looking Ahead: If further tariff escalations or retaliations emerge, expect renewed spikes in gold. Conversely, any de-escalation or trade-deal breakthroughs could sap that safe-haven bid.
2. Fiscal Stimulus & Deficits
What’s Happening: Senate Republicans recently passed a Trump-backed tax‐and‐spending package projected to add $3.3 trillion to the U.S. deficit. Larger deficits—especially when financed by the Fed—tend to stoke inflation expectations, which bolsters gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge.
Looking Ahead: Continued large-scale stimulus or fresh tax cuts without offsetting revenue measures could keep real yields low (or negative), a classic tailwind for gold.
3. Safe-Haven Flows & Investor Positioning
What’s Happening: Despite peaking at record highs earlier this year, gold remains up roughly 30% since November, driven largely by investor fears around Trump’s policy unpredictability and geopolitical tensions.
Looking Ahead: Should Trump-era uncertainty persist—whether around trade, foreign policy, or domestic turmoil—gold is likely to retain its status as a portfolio diversifier and crisis hedge. A sustained drop in U.S. real rates or fresh bouts of market volatility would reinforce that trend.
🎯 Outlook Summary
Bullish Drivers: Ongoing trade-war rhetoric, larger deficits, and any new geopolitical flashpoints.
Bearish Risks: Clear resolution of major trade disputes, a pivot by the Fed toward earlier rate cuts (reducing real‐rate support for gold), or diminished investor fear.
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PhoenixFX price action analysis based on the Daily time frame
🔴 Primary Resistance (Daily)
Zone: $3,348 – $3,400
Why It Matters:
Multiple daily closes have stalled here, leaving a clear Fair-Value Gap (dashed purple). Sellers are likely to defend this range until we see a decisive daily close above $3,400.
📉 Bearish Bias – Short Setups
Short at Resistance
Entry: Bearish daily reversal candle (engulfing, pin-bar) in $3,348–$3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,290 (50% of Primary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
TP3: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone high)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,420
Breakdown Short
Trigger: Daily close below $3,250 (Primary Buy Zone low)
Entry: On the open of the next daily candle after close below $3,250
Targets:
TP1: $3,172 (Secondary Buy Zone)
TP2: $3,026 (Final Buy Zone 50% level)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,290
🔵 Potential Long Opportunities
Defensive Long (Aggressive)
Entry: Bullish daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290
Targets:
TP1: $3,348 (short-term resistance)
TP2: $3,400 (key resistance)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,230
Trend-Reversal Long (Ultra-Conservative)
Trigger: Daily close above $3,400
Entry: Open of the next daily candle after the close above $3,400
Targets:
TP1: $3,450
TP2: $3,500+
Stop-Loss: Below $3,360
📊 Week-Ahead Scenarios
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price remains capped under $3,400.
Look for a bearish signal in $3,348–$3,400 to initiate shorts.
A break below $3,250 extends the move into deeper demand zones ($3,172 → $3,026).
Bullish Counter-Trend (Lower Probability):
Strong daily rejection candle in $3,250–$3,290 could spark a relief rally.
Short-term longs can target $3,348 and $3,400—ideal for quick swing trades.
Only a sustained daily close above $3,400 shifts the bias back to the upside.
Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅
We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it. So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈
Each one, teach one.
— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅
Dow Could Be Gearing Up for a Run Toward 50,000We’ve seen it before—and we might be seeing it again . The Dow Jones is showing a familiar pattern, and here’s what’s happening:
The index has been repeatedly hitting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from previous ranges.
Right now, we’re approaching the 100% extension between the last swing high (~45,000) and swing low (~36,600).
If the Dow breaks above that previous high at 45,000, there's a good chance we’ll see the pattern repeat—with 50,000 as the next target.
It’s all about that breakout confirmation. Until then, we watch and wait.
This market has a memory—let’s see if it chooses to repeat it again.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index has primarily exhibited downward trends during this week’s abbreviated trading session, narrowly failing to reach the targeted Mean Support level of 5940, as outlined in the previous Daily Chart Analysis. Currently, the index exhibits a bearish trend, suggesting a potential direction toward the Mean Support level of 5940, with an additional critical support level identified at 5888.
Contrariwise, there exists a substantial likelihood that following the accomplishment of hitting the Mean Support of 5940, the index may experience recovery and ascend toward the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate a resilient rally, ultimately topping in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073, thereby enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level situated at 6150.
SOL/USDT Rejected at Key Fib Zone – Bulls’ Last Stand at SupportRecap and Bias
The short-term bullish “orange” bounce scenario from the previous analysis failed to materialize. Solana’s price was rejected near 150, printing a lower high, and has since dropped back into the mid 140s. This confirms that the recent rally was a dead-cat bounce rather than a trend reversal.
The updated bias is cautiously bearish. This stems from rejection at resistance, weakening momentum, and a deteriorating volume profile. Unless price reclaims the 148 to 150 zone with strength, the bears remain in control. Only a decisive breakout above that level would shift the short-term outlook back to bullish.
Macro Context
Global risk sentiment remains fragile. The sudden escalation between Israel and Iran in early June, including reports of missile strikes, sparked a flight to safety. Solana’s rally quickly reversed, with price dropping over 15 percent since June 11.
Other geopolitical flashpoints also continue to weigh on investor confidence. The protracted war in Ukraine and ongoing disruptions in Red Sea trade routes have fueled broader market caution. This is contributing to periodic risk-off moves and spikes in volatility across both traditional and crypto markets.
On the economic side, uncertainty around US monetary policy is adding to pressure. Although May inflation cooled slightly, investors remain cautious ahead of upcoming Fed decisions. Crypto assets have traded weakly into these events, reflecting a wait-and-see approach.
Taken together, this geopolitical and macroeconomic backdrop is driving elevated short-term volatility and a higher risk premium in the crypto space. In this context, market participants are increasingly hesitant to take large directional bets without a clear catalyst.
One such catalyst may be the potential approval of a Solana ETF. Optimism has grown, with prediction markets now placing the likelihood of approval near 76 percent by late July. If approved, this could be a game-changing event that re-rates SOL’s medium-term valuation and breaks it out of its current downtrend.
Until then, traders should remain cautious and assume headline risk is elevated.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook
Daily and 4H Trend
The high timeframe structure shows a clear downtrend. Lower highs and lower lows are intact. A double top formation from May broke down cleanly. Most recently, Solana was rejected at a key Fibonacci confluence zone around 149 to 151, which included the 0.618 retracement, the 20-day SMA, and a well-defined supply zone.
After that rejection, SOL has traded along the lower Bollinger Band with increasing volatility. The 20 SMA is now acting as dynamic resistance. All major trendlines have broken.
2H, 1H, and 30m Perspective
Shorter-term charts show SOL attempting to base near 143 to 145 support. Several oversold RSI conditions have triggered bounces, but these have lacked momentum. Harmonic pattern recognition shows that a bearish Deep Crab completed near 152, which marked the local top.
Currently, price remains pinned below descending trendlines and the 1H 20 EMA. Bullish momentum has yet to reappear in any meaningful way.
Key Technical Factors
Resistance: 149 to 151
This zone holds multiple levels of confluence. It includes the 50 to 61.8 percent retracement of the last swing, a 1.272 Fib extension, the 20-day SMA, and prior supply. The rejection at 151.7 was sharp and decisive. Unless price reclaims this zone, it remains a ceiling.
Support: 142 to 145
This is the last meaningful support zone holding price up. It is the neckline of a 12H Head and Shoulders pattern and the base of a previous multi-week range. It also coincides with the lower bound of a prior rising channel. The 50-day MA and 0.236 Fib retracement are also near this zone. If this area breaks, sellers will likely target 130 to 135 next.
Momentum: RSI 14 with MA Overlay
Daily RSI rolled over from above 70 with bearish divergence as price topped. RSI is now below its MA across all timeframes, reflecting negative momentum. On the 4H chart, RSI dipped below 30 and remains weak despite minor relief bounces. Lower timeframes show early divergence but no confirmed reversal signals.
Trend Structure
Price continues to make lower highs and lower lows. The 200-day MA was lost weeks ago. The 50-day is now flattening near 140. A death cross recently printed on the 12H chart, confirming bearish short-term pressure.
Volume and PVT
Volume favors the bears. PVT is in decline, showing more volume on down days than up days. The rally to 150 occurred on weak volume, while selloffs continue to show increasing size. This signals distribution, not accumulation.
Harmonic Patterns
A bearish Deep Crab pattern completed at the recent high. No bullish harmonics are confirmed yet. Traders should monitor the 130 to 125 zone for potential bullish completion patterns like a Gartley or Bat. If those form with oversold signals, they could mark the bottom.
Green Scenario: Bullish Breakout Path
Bias
Only valid on confirmed breakout
Trigger
Break and hold above 150. Ideally, an hourly close above 150 or daily close above 152 confirms the move.
Confirmation
Rising volume, RSI reclaiming 50, and a PVT uptick. A retest of 148 to 150 from above would reinforce the breakout.
Targets
First target is 155, which aligns with the 12H 50 EMA.
Second target is 162 to 165.
Extended targets include 170 to 180 and eventually the 200 psychological level if ETF news hits.
Stop Loss
Below 147 or back inside the 143 zone would invalidate the breakout and suggest a failed move.
Logic
If bulls reclaim 150 with strength, this would invalidate the lower-high structure. Shorts would begin covering and momentum could quickly shift. Breakout entries should focus on confirmation and volume expansion.
Red Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Continuation
Bias
Default scenario
Trigger
Clean break below 142. Daily close under 140 confirms the H and S neckline break.
Confirmation
Failing retests of 142, rising sell volume, and RSI staying suppressed. Price action showing impulsive red candles validates the move.
Targets
First target is 130 to 135.
Second target is 115 to 120.
Final measured move would project into the 100 to 110 zone if trend acceleration continues.
Stop Loss
Any reclaim of 145 to 148 would likely invalidate the breakdown and trap late sellers.
Logic
If this support fails, shorts will press. Bounces will likely be sold into. Traders can enter on the break or the first failed retest of 142. Consider scaling out near 135 and trail stops from there.
Strategy Summary
Current Bias
Leaning bearish unless bulls reclaim 150
Key Levels
148 to 150 is breakout zone
142 to 140 is breakdown zone
Trading Strategy
Range traders can play 144 to 150 but must be nimble
Breakout traders should wait for confirmation above 150
Breakdown traders can short under 140 with stops over 145
Risk Management
Volatility is elevated. Trade smaller size. Use tight stops and trail them. Wait for confirmation, not anticipation. Watch ETF news closely. If delayed, expect continued weakness.
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H FVG!🚨 GOLD TRADE SETUP INSIGHT 🚨
Gold is currently range-bound, dancing between a 4H Inverse Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Daily Bullish FVG—two powerful zones that are shaping price action right now. 🟡📈
Recently, price dipped into the lower Daily Bullish FVG, grabbing liquidity from previous lows — classic move. 🧠💧
Right after that, the market gave us a clean Market Structure Shift (MSS) and formed a solid Breaker Block (BPR) 🔥
📍 Price has tapped into this BPR zone, and all signs point toward a potential bullish move from here. Eyes on the prize — the swing highs above look ripe for targeting. 🎯📊
💡 This setup is packed with confluence, but as always...
DYOR – Do Your Own Research.
Don’t trade blindly. Trade smart. ✅
At present, the market has invalidated the 4-hour bearish FVG.Gold Market Update:
The gold market is currently moving upward after previously sweeping the liquidity below the previous day's lows. This liquidity grab typically signals the exhaustion of bearish momentum, and in this case, it appears to have served as a springboard for the current upward movement.
Notably, the bearish PD arrays (Price Delivery Arrays)—which are often indicative of bearish structure and order flow—are currently failing to hold. This failure suggests a weakening of bearish pressure and a possible shift in market sentiment toward bullishness.
At present, the market has invalidated the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and successfully closed above it. This is a significant development, as it often implies that the price is rejecting lower levels and building strength to push further upward. In simple terms, the market has absorbed the bearish imbalance and chosen to go higher, showing strong bullish intent.
Given this scenario, it's reasonable to interpret that the market is now aiming for higher levels, specifically toward the previous weekly high—marked on the chart with the line labeled "WH" (Weekly High). The price action suggests that the market is in the mood to test or reach that level in the near term.
However, this is not a guarantee. It's essential to watch the market closely for further confirmation signals before making any trading decisions. Additional confirmations could come from continuation patterns, bullish structure formations, or order flow alignment.
---
Reminder:
Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any financial decisions.
This is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Weekly Outlook – June 9, 2025Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continues to maintain its bullish structure, now trading around $106.6K. While price action looks strong, the market is approaching a key resistance zone between $110K–$120K, with technical signals hinting at a possible short-term rejection before further upside.
🔍 Technical Overview
Current Price: $106,654
Resistance Zone: $110K – $120K
Support Zone for Pullback: $98K – $100K
200 EMA & 100 EMA: Still trending up and providing strong base support
The chart suggests a potential "rejection-retest-rally" structure forming, where BTC may temporarily pull back before making a fresh push toward new highs.
📊 Momentum & Indicators
Stochastic RSI on the daily timeframe recently bottomed and is starting to curl back up — a potential bullish shift in momentum
Volume remains stable — no signs of aggressive distribution or FOMO activity yet
💬 Sentiment & Structure
The current structure remains healthy, with HH-HL (higher high - higher low) formation intact. Market sentiment is optimistic but not yet euphoric, which is ideal for continued accumulation.
Short-term traders may look for a pullback opportunity near the $98K–$100K zone before re-entering.
🎯 Mid-Term Outlook
If BTC holds the $98K–$100K range during a pullback, it could act as a springboard toward the $120K target in the coming weeks.
✅ Summary
🔵 Bullish trend intact
📉 Possible short-term pullback before breakout
📈 Mid-term target remains: $120K
🚫 Avoid chasing breakouts — position wisely at key supports
Let the price come to you. Patience pays more than FOMO.
Bitcoin Weekly Outlook – June 2, 2025
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is holding strong above the psychological $100K mark, maintaining its bullish market structure on the weekly timeframe. However, technical indicators are flashing early signs of a possible short-term correction before another leg up.
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Current price: $105.1K
Key support zone: $89K (strong demand area + weekly structure retest)
Resistance to watch: $120K (major weekly supply zone + psychological level)
Stochastic RSI is currently overbought at 94+, which historically tends to trigger a healthy retracement before further upside continuation.
📊 Market Structure:
BTC remains well above the 200-week EMA, keeping bullish momentum intact
Higher Highs and Higher Lows are still in play
Volume is steady, showing no major distribution at the moment
📈 Sentiment Check:
Fear & Greed Index: 64 (Greed)
→ Suggests bullish sentiment is high
→ Greed often precedes short-term pullbacks or consolidation
🧭 Outlook:
A short-term correction toward the $89K–$92K zone is likely, as part of a healthy market cycle.
If support holds, BTC could rally back up with a mid-term target around $120K.
✅ Summary:
🔵 Bullish structure still intact
⚠️ Overbought signal = possible retracement
🎯 Mid-term target: $120K
🧘♂️ Don’t chase — wait for price to breathe, not break
Let the market come to you. Trade smart, not just hopeful.
We could see an upward move up to $3350!There is a lot of buy-side liquidity resting in the gold market. There are 2 to 3 daily highs currently unchallenged, and even a weekly high is in place. The market has already moved downward and created inducement (a trap or manipulation to draw sellers in), which now makes the market appear bullish from this point.
We could see an upward move up to $3350 or even higher—especially if a 4-hour candle closes above $3360. At this point, it’s better to wait for clear displacement (strong movement indicating a direction). After that, we’ll see how the market develops.
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
SWDY Rebound AnalysisSWDY stock is trying to peak up, but unfortunately, it's rebounding back from the resistance line 80.081. In case of falling, it'll break the 1st support line 79.982 till reaching the 2nd support line 79.922, then the 3rd support line 79.832. In case of rising, it'll breach the 1st resistance line at 80.193, the 2nd resistance line at 80.344, and the 3rd resistance line at 80.464, which is more recommended due to its latest collaboration with Modon Holding to build an industrial zone for Egypt's Ras El Hekma on 10 Million square meters.
We've observed the formation of an Order Block(OB)Gold Market Daily Timeframe Analysis
The gold market, on the daily timeframe, is currently exhibiting price action consistent with an IRL (Internal Range Liquidity) to ERL (External Range Liquidity) model. Price has swept the IRL and then moved upward by tapping into a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This price action suggests a smart money liquidity grab followed by a reaction to an imbalance.
Subsequently, the market formed another FVG and executed a tap once more after taking out the initial target structure (TS), continuing its bullish move. Recently, we’ve observed the formation of an Order Block (OB), indicating a potential area where institutional orders may reside.
It’s expected that price might return to this OB, and if a Market Structure Shift (MSS) is confirmed on lower timeframes, there could be a strong bullish continuation. In such a case, we may witness the market reaching towards the $3430 level in the coming days.
It’s essential to monitor how the market reacts to these key zones especially the OB and the surrounding liquidity structures. Such movements could provide confirmation or invalidation of the projected move.
As always, this is a personal market perspective based on price action and liquidity concepts. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice.
And by the way what are your thoughts on this analysis? Does it align with your outlook?
BTC UpdateLooking at historical data, we’re at a similar point as in 2021 — diverging RSI, declining volume, and signs of exhaustion. The key difference now is the level of institutional involvement: hedge funds are heavily in, MicroStrategy keeps buying, and even nation-states have exposure.
Despite the bullish narrative, I believe we’re heading down.
Price action isn’t convincing — we're still trading below the January monthly candle close, volume is drying up, and RSI continues to diverge. Each 5–10% pump is followed by a sharp spike in open interest (OI), then a brutal liquidation cascade wiping out $500M–$1B. This is starting to look like a leveraged casino, not a healthy uptrend.
That said, I wouldn’t rule out a final wick toward $120K to trap late longs and suck in liquidity before the real move down.
I called the top after the January rally — they called me a madman. Still, I was right.
Mastery tends to be a funny thing, seems like on a long enough timeframe you cant lose.
Stay safe everyone.






















