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Mattsimpson

GBP/JPY Bears Eye Drop to 195GBP/JPY closed lower for a third day on Wednesday, with bearish momentum increasing thanks to political tensions in the UK and dovish comments from BOE voting members. While the daily RSI (2) is oversold, there could still be room for a move to 195 over the near term. Its less than a day’s trading range away using recent volatility levels, and it also sits near the bullish trendline from the May low. The 1-hour chart shows prices are drifting higher in an apparent corrective fashion, yet prices remain in the lower third of Wednesday’s range. I suspect bears will seek to fade into any pops higher in anticipation of another drop towards 195, near the daily S1 pivot, weekly S and rising trendline. Should GBP/JPY drop to the lower target area, how prices react could provide clues over its potential to use the level as a springboard or break lower from that pivotal zone. Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by CityIndex
July Seasonality Patterns For Index, Metals and ForexSeasonality can be a useful tool if used wisely (and in context) with current sentiment and news flows. Seasonality really is a backwards looking indicator that can easily be overpowered by key macro drivers. But its strength comes in to play when seasonality aligns with the macro landscape. With that in mind, I share my seasonality matrix for indices, metals and USD FX pairs to highlight potential patterns for July, then wrap up with an update on my Nasdaq 100 analysis. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by CityIndex
Chasing Oil Spikes? How Geopolitics Can Wreck SetupsOil prices surged over 12% in Asia on Middle East headlines, sparking a surge of volatility across safe-haven currencies and stock market futures during thin trade. It felt like a good time to provide food for thought to newer traders looking to chase these moves, highlight the mockery geopolitics can make of technical analysis with recent examples, and provide a filter for when the waters may be safer to reenter. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NYMEX:CL1!
by CityIndex