SilverOver the last 10 trading days, silver futures have exhibited a strong bullish trend, extending a powerful rally that began in late 2025. The price has advanced from roughly $88–90/oz to above $105/oz, with successive higher highs and higher lows
Surpassed ~$100/oz decisively and sustained above this psychological threshold toward recent highs near ~$110/oz
The rally has been supported by risk-on flows as the US dollar softened and safe-haven and industrial demand factors strengthened. Speculative positioning and ETF inflows have underpinned upside interest, though sentiment signals indicate extended bullishness and potential for corrections..
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Metals
XAUUSD BULLISH ANALYSIS ()READ CAPTIONHi trader's what do you think about gold
Gold is currently maintaining a bullish market structure, supported by strong buying interest at key demand zones. The overall momentum favors buyers, and short-term pullbacks are considered potential buying opportunities within the broader uptrend.
🟢 Support Zone 1: 4,940
The 4,940 level is acting as an immediate bullish support. As long as price holds above this zone, upward continuation remains likely.
🟢 Support Zone 2: 4,888
The 4,888 level represents a deeper demand and accumulation area. If price retraces toward this zone, buyers may step in again. A break below this level would weaken the bullish outlook.
🔴 Resistance: 4,997
The 4,997 level is the nearest resistance where temporary rejection or consolidation may occur.
🔴 Supply Zone: 5,085
The 5,085 level is a major supply zone and a potential upside target if bullish momentum continues.
📈 Market Bias
Above 4,940 → Bullish structure remains active
Pullbacks toward 4,940 – 4,888 → Buy-on-dips opportunity
Break below 4,888 → Bullish setup invalidated
Upside targets → 4,997 then 5,085
Overall, Gold favors a buy-on-dips strategy while price remains above key support zones.
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GOLD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD retraced with strong bullish pullback into premium after discount reaction. Structure remains bearish overall, and 3H horizontal supply is likely to be mitigated again. Expect rejection from supply and continuation toward sell-side liquidity below.Time Frame 3H.
Sell!
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Copper – Targets for the Year: 15,760 > 16,600 – 16,800 > 14,800Good day, friends. Today we will try to analyze the current situation in the copper market for this year and identify key targets for the year. Let's start with the news that had the biggest impact:
🔴 Codelco — El Teniente: Tunnel Collapse (July 2025) A tragedy at the world's largest underground copper mine, caused by seismic activity triggered by mining operations. Current Situation:
Partial resumption — 8 underground sectors deemed safe are operational, running at ~75% capacity
Production Losses in 2025: 48,000 tonnes of copper
❌ Exact recovery date not announced. Forecast — no earlier than late 2026.
Codelco — A Chilean state-owned company and the world's largest copper producer. Operates legendary deposits: • El Teniente — the world's largest underground copper mine • Chuquicamata — one of the largest open-pit mines • Radomiro Tomic — high-grade ore Codelco faces challenges: aging assets, declining copper ore grades, and the need for large-scale investments in modernization.
🔴 Freeport-McMoRan — Grasberg: Landslide and Force Majeure (September 2025) A serious incident at one of the world's largest copper mines Force majeure declared on deliveries
Recovery Plan: • Big Gossan and Deep MLZ mines (unaffected) restarted in Q4 2025 • Main mine Grasberg Block Cave — phased restart from Q2 2026 Phase 1 - Q2 2026 - Beginning of phased restart of Grasberg Block Cave Phase 2 - H2 2026 - Reaching 85% capacity Full Recovery - 2027 - 100% capacity
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) An American company with the world's most profitable copper mine — Grasberg in Indonesia. Key facts:
• Grasberg is also one of the largest gold deposits (gold bulls send their regards) • Largest copper producer in the USA (Morenci mine in Arizona) • Actively developing underground mining at Grasberg
🔴 DR Congo — Copper Mine Collapse (November 2025) This is not a major corporate mine, but the incident highlights the risks of mining in the region. • African Copper Belt — DR Congo and Zambia are attracting major investments
✅ Kamoa-Kakula — Smelter Launch (November 2025) This is the biggest event in the industry. Estimated Smelter Capacity - 500,000 tonnes/year (direct-to-blister) Product - Copper anodes (first melt completed) Production in 2025: 388,838 tonnes of copper in concentrate Forecast for 2026: Sales 20,000 tonnes above production (inventory realization)
p.s. There is no incentive to sell inventory now; better to wait for price growth and sell in Q2 2026 for higher margins.
Ivanhoe Mines and Zijin Mining launched their own 500,000 tonnes/year smelter directly on-site in DR Congo. This allows production of high-purity copper anodes instead of exporting concentrates, significantly increasing margins.
🟡 Escondida and Zaldivar — Strike (January 2026) The world's largest copper mine is experiencing disruptions. Protesters are blocking access roads to the mines. Blockades affect access to Escondida (BHP) and Zaldivar in the La Negra industrial sector, Chile.
📈 Factors Supporting DEMAND
China — Massive investments in renewable energy Target by 2035 - 3,600 GW of solar and wind capacity (new commitment) State Grid Investments - 89 billion USD planned for 2025 — a record level Each GW of solar capacity requires ~2,500-5,000 tonnes of copper . Grid expansion and energy storage require even more. This creates sustainable long-term demand.
USA — Tariff Policy (Section 232) November 1, 2025 - 25% tariff imposed on imports of medium and heavy trucks and parts November 14, 2025 - Framework agreement announced with Switzerland and Liechtenstein (rate reduction) November-December 2025
Impact on copper Tariff uncertainty stimulated frontloading by American importers, temporarily boosting demand.
Electric Vehicles — Continued Growth In 2025, over 18.5 million electric vehicles were sold globally, accounting for ~25% of new sales. Each EV contains 80-100 kg of copper (4 times more than ICE vehicles).
Summary November 2025 became a turning point for the copper market: The combination of factors — China's massive investments in renewable energy, US tariff policy, and multiple disruptions at the world's largest mines — created a powerful bullish impulse that supported prices above 13,000 USD/tonne. Particularly significant is that the three largest producers (El Teniente, Grasberg, Escondida) simultaneously faced problems, which is a rare coincidence that amplified the supply deficit.
Now for the technical analysis. In this forecast, we use Fibonacci extension zones for price and time, projecting onto the industry information and expected events we've gathered. The overall trend is bullish. I assume that the current uncertainty with strikes will last up to 2 months, and we will observe sideways movement for some time while buyers accumulate positions and replenish inventories for subsequent resale, amid growing demand and increasing deficit due to accidents at major facilities.
Next — growing demand (including the new Kamoa-Kakula smelter) will push the price toward 15,760 – 15,800 (which we should reach by May).
Then — relative price stabilization in the range of 15,780 – 16,600 Likely price breakout ~ 16,800
After which , amid news of the restart of Grasberg Block Cave and other damaged mines, as well as news of increased copper production in DR Congo , buyers will take profits , leading to a phased price correction .
As copper production in DR Congo continues to grow:
2025 - ~3,210 thousand tonnes | +0.3%
2026 (forecast) - ~3,404 thousand tonnes | +6%
First correction target: ~ 14,800
Second target: ~ 13 200
What do you think?
With Respect to Everyone, Your #SinnSeed
GOLD: Bullish-Neutral. Wait For Valid Buy Long Setups!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze Gold for the week of Feb. 16-20th.
Gold is still bullish, but it is ranging sideways. Last week closed an indecisive week with a doji candle. Not great, but the integrity of the overall uptrend is still intact, despite the flash crash last month.
Look for price to respect the bullish discount arrays, and wait patiently for the buy models to form.
There is no reason to take shorts, as there has not been a bearish BOS event.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold Technical Outlook - Bullish Structure Still Intact?Gold is currently trading near 5042 and moving within a rising structure after forming a strong base from the February lows. Price is respecting the ascending trendline and holding above the key demand zone around 4900-4950 which keeps the short term bullish structure intact. However the market is still capped below the range high and weak high area near 5110-5130 showing hesitation and liquidity resting above. Price is holding above the rising trendline and the 5116 but is still struggling below the range high and weak high zone. This structure suggests accumulation where a minor pullback into support could be followed by a continuation move toward the upper channel and liquidity zone around 5300-5400.
Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 4950 – 4900
Buy Trigger: Clean breakout and close above 5115 – 5120 with continuation momentum
Targets: 5170 → 5290 → 5350-4000
Invalidation: H4 or Daily close below 4880
Bias : Bullish continuation favored while price holds above the demand zone and trendline. Pullbacks are considered buying opportunities not selling zones.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD (H4) – Structural OverviewMarket Context:
Price is trading inside a mid-range structure.
Equal highs / liquidity resting near 5,100 – 5,120 zone (PWH / PDH area).
H4 FVG above acting as premium supply.
Clear internal liquidity below around 4,888 – 4,878 (PDL / PWL area).
Recent impulse shows bullish retracement into resistance.
🔎 Technical Bias (Conditional Short Setup)
1️⃣ Liquidity Perspective
Buy-side liquidity resting above 5,100.
Market likely to sweep highs before expansion.
H4 FVG (red zone) = premium sell area.
2️⃣ Structure Logic
Range high respected multiple times.
Weak highs forming → possible liquidity grab.
If price taps 5,100–5,120 and shows rejection → short continuation becomes valid.
🎯 Potential Short Plan (IF confirmation forms)
Entry Zone:
5,095 – 5,120 (Premium / FVG / Liquidity sweep)
Invalidation:
Strong H4 close above 5,130–5,150
Targets:
TP1: 5,045 (range mid / PDH)
TP2: 4,888 (PDL liquidity)
Extended: 4,800 (H4 imbalance)
📌 Alternative Scenario
If price fails to sweep highs and instead breaks above with strong displacement:
→ Market may expand toward 5,250–5,300 liquidity.
No confirmation = No trade.
🧠 Confluences Used
Liquidity theory (BSL / SSL)
Premium vs Discount range
H4 Fair Value Gap
Range structure
Internal liquidity targeting
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder
Risk small (1% or less per idea).
Wait for confirmation (lower timeframe CHoCH / displacement).
Avoid anticipating entries without reaction.
SILVER: Bullish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current SILVER chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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$FCX – The Copper Supercycle Breakout!!?The Pattern: NYSE:FCX has completed a massive, 10-year W-Bottom. The first trough was set in 2016 at **$3.52**, followed by a second higher low in 2020 at $4.82. The recent monthly close above the $60.00 neckline validates this multi-year trend reversal.
The Log Target: On a logarithmic scale, the measured move from the $3.52 low to the $60.00 neckline implies a potential technical target in the $1,000+ range if the full percentage-based move replicates. While that is a long-term "moonshot," the immediate linear target sits at roughly $116.48.
Macro Tailwinds: Copper is the "new oil" for the green energy transition and AI infrastructure. Institutions like J.P. Morgan and UBS project a severe supply deficit in 2026, targeting copper prices between $12,500 and $13,000 per metric ton.
Why this is a "Solid" Buy at Support:
Infrastructure Demand: Global demand for copper is accelerating due to EVs, data centers (AI), and grid upgrades, while mine supply growth has fallen to just +1.4% for 2026.
Analyst Backing: Currently, 88% of Wall Street analysts rate NYSE:FCX as a "Strong Buy" or "Buy," with median price targets moving higher as earnings estimates are revised upward.
XPTUSD 1H — Bounce in progress, looking for a short1) Chart & context
The hourly chart suggests Platinum is approaching a sell-side opportunity, but I’m not looking to short immediately — I’m watching for the correction to mature first. 🕒
2) Structure (Elliott Wave read)
• We can see a clear 5-wave decline from ~2923 to ~1816.
• After a completed 5-wave move, the market typically prints at least a 3-wave corrective bounce (A-B-C) before the next bearish leg resumes.
➡️ My base case: we’re currently inside that upward correction.
3) Fibonacci / correction depth
So far, the bounce looks shallow relative to the full drop (2923 → 1816).
We haven’t meaningfully reached the 38.2% retracement yet — not a rule, but a common pattern that often appears in corrective bounces.
4) What I’m watching next 🎯
I expect the correction to continue toward:
• Minimum: the end of the prior wave 4 area ~2327
• Optimal sell zone: 50%–61.8% retracement ~2368–2500
5) Trade plan (scenario)
Primary idea: Wait for price to reach 2327 → 2368–2500, then look for rejection / reversal structure to consider shorts.
Entry approach (practical):
• ✅ Aggressive: short on clear rejection in 2368–2500
• ✅ Conservative: short only after a rejection + bearish confirmation (break of the local swing structure on 1H)
Stop idea:
• Safer stop above the correction high (or above 2500, depending on your risk model).
• Full invalidation is a sustained break back into the higher structure (see below).
6) Targets
• 🎯 Main target: 1270
7) Invalidation ❌
This bearish scenario weakens if the correction expands and holds above the correction zone (especially above 2500). A full structural invalidation would be a sustained reclaim of the prior top zone near 2923.
8) Risk note ⚠️
This is a scenario, not a signal. Position size and risk limits come first.
⸻
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ETH/USDT | Going above 2100 (READ THE CAPTION)Well hello folks, Amirali here.
By examining the hourly chart of ETHUSDT we can see that after going below the $2000 level last week, it bounced back up and went up all the way to 2108, before dropping back and then going into the consolidation phase.
As long as ETHUSDT keeps itself above the 2050 level, it can go back up to 2150. However, if it goes below 2045 and stabilizes there, another drop would be likely.
Targets for ETHUSDT: 2080, 2095, 2110, 2125, 2140 and 2050.
If ETHUSDT fails to keep itself above: 2040, 2025, 2010 and 1995.
XAUUSD 1H Outlook: Range Rebuild After a Sharp Sell-Off XAUUSD 1H Outlook: Range Rebuild After a Sharp Sell-Off (Liquidity Above, Demand Below)
Gold is currently rebounding into the prior distribution area after the impulsive breakdown. The price action on 1H suggests a controlled recovery (stair-step), but the market is still trading inside a broader supply-to-demand rotation, which keeps today’s bias two-sided: upside liquidity grab first, then potential fade back into support.
Market Structure (1H)
The drop from the top formed a clear bearish displacement, followed by a base-building recovery.
Current leg looks like a retest/mean-reversion toward the mid-range, not a confirmed trend reversal yet.
Expect price to probe liquidity above recent swing highs before deciding continuation.
Key Levels (Support & Resistance)
Resistance
R1: 5045–5055 (current pivot / mid-range supply reaction zone)
R2: 5090–5110 (upper distribution band / likely liquidity magnet)
R3: 5135–5145 (weak highs / premium supply, ideal “stop-run” area)
Support
S1: 4985–5000 (first demand shelf / intraday support)
S2: 4930–4950 (major demand zone on chart, key for bullish defense)
S3: 4660–4680 (strong low / extreme sell-side liquidity area)
Fibonacci Map (From the breakdown swing high → swing low)
0.5–0.618 retracement aligns with the 5090–5110 zone (high-probability reaction area).
0.786+ retracement aligns with 5135–5145 (classic “last squeeze” zone before a fade).
EMA + RSI Read (Execution Filters)
EMA(50/200) on 1H: price is recovering, but unless we reclaim and hold above the faster EMA cluster, upside is likely corrective.
RSI(14): if RSI prints lower highs while price pushes into 5090–5145, that’s a strong divergence signal for a short setup.
Trading Plans (Intraday)
Plan A: Buy the Dip (safer, demand-based)
Wait for a pullback into 4985–5000 or 4930–4950
Confirm with bullish rejection + RSI reclaim 50
Targets: 5045–5055 → 5090–5110
Invalidation: clean 1H close below the demand zone you bought
Plan B: Sell the Squeeze (premium fade)
Let price run stops into 5090–5110 first; ideal extension into 5135–5145
Look for sweep + bearish engulf / displacement and RSI divergence
Targets: 5045 → 5000 → 4950
Invalidation: 1H acceptance above the supply zone (not just a wick)
What I’m Watching Today
If price keeps holding above 4985–5000, the market can squeeze higher into 5090–5110 and potentially 5135–5145 to clean out late shorts. The higher it squeezes into premium, the better the odds of a mean-reversion sell back toward 5000/4950.
Vale momentum, copper growth, and cashVale’s price has been in a strong uptrend, and last week's pullback looks like a normal pause rather than a breakdown: OBV is still trending higher, confirming that volume is flowing with the advance, while an ADX in the low‑40s signals a strong, established trend rather than a choppy range. In the earnings report I really liked the dividends, the growth in base metals/copper specifically, and if iron ore prices actually recover this is going to be an amazing value stock.
A downturn is imminent - 10 Year Treasury Note based analysisIn recent years, many of us acknowledge that the term "recession" has been appearing in news and social media outlets at an increasing rate. While it acts as great clickbait, most sources tend to avoid to avoid a more fundamentals data driven approach, but rather are preferential an opinionated viewpoint from which their viewers can relate. Here I propose a more decisive graphical proof of why I believe some sort of downturn is on the (medium term) horizon, using the 10 year US treasury bond as the foundation, and comparing its recent movements to other typical recession indicators at a long timeframe.
The top graph shows the US YoY interest rate divided by the US 10 year note. Bonds and the interest rate are very closely economically correlated, deviations in the ratio between these two factors provides a very strong indicator (historically) for recession territory. 7 out of 8 times where the white line around 1.2 has been crossed on the 3M chart, as shown by the bottom graph, unemployment is quick to follow with rapid and sharp increases (beginning from red vertical lines).
This white line acts as the point of no return for the economy medium term. The maximum threshold by which historically the balance of the economy tips in one direction, bursting bubbles in favor of what people call a recession, and eventual return to an equilibrium (stability). This was hit in December 2022. While its very hard to tell the exact point where the downturn begins after this point, its obvious (based off this chart alone) one is around the corner.
By no means is this solid proof of anything in the future, but a very simplified graphical comparison between the ratio of two major economic data trends and their historical impact on the rate unemployment. If these historic trends continue to remain strong (as they have done with 88% accuracy since 1971) we should expect a significant economic downturn on the medium term timeframe, between 3-18 months from now. This is not financial advice, derive what you will from this data, let this idea act only as a point of interest - however, I urge sensible and thoughtful investing/trading on medium/short term timeframes with a bias towards the downside and continues high volatility.
USD/JPY | Where to next? USDJPY continued last week's trend of dropping further in price until NFP came out on Wednesday, after a surge in price, it dropped again and then started to consolidate between the IFVG and the demand zone.
Currently USDJPY is being traded at 152.82, if it bounces back up from the Demand Zone, it can go a bit higher and retest the IFVG. If it goes through the IFVG, it can go all the way up to 154.65, however, if it fails to stabilize above 153.60, abort mission.
Targets: 153.00, 153.50, 154.00, 154.30 and 154.65.
NZD/USD | CPI aftermath! (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 30m chart of NZDUSD, last night it had a dramatic fall in price just like the other Forex pairs, and then it continued to drop further and further to 0.6014. With the CPI news coming out, it went up to 0.6043 and then it dropped and went back up several times.
Now, it is being traded at 0.6037, just above the Feb 13th NDOG. If it stabilizes above 0.6040, I expect it to go higher. But if it fails to stabilize there, I expect another drop for AUDUSD.
If it stabilizes above 0.6040: 0.6048, 0.6056 and 0.6064.
If it fails: 0.6030, 0.6022 and 0.6014.
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see our Daily chart idea, which had a strong candle body close above the 5030 axis level on Monday opening the long-range upside target at 5198.
On Tuesday, we saw a small corrective move back to test the EMA5, which acted as dynamic support. The bounce from EMA5 aligned perfectly with our plan to buy the dips, supporting continuation of the upward push.
Following Monday’s confirmation close, price delivered a move of over 500+ pips, reinforcing the bullish structure. A daily EMA5 lock above 5030 would further strengthen the bullish gap above and increase the probability of filling it.
We will continue to update as the chart structure unfolds.
Mr Gold
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4982 and a gap below at 4863, as support. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4982
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4982 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5077 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5200
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5200 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5334
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5334 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5446
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 5446 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
5550
BEARISH TARGETS
4863
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4863 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4734
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4734 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
4600
4493
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USDT — Overextension Risk After Parabolic YearGold has delivered nearly 2× in a year, following an additional +35% move before that.
For an asset traditionally viewed as a store of value, this is exceptional. Historically, gold is not highly volatile.
However, it is now actively traded on crypto exchanges — not only via tokenized gold (XAUT), but also through futures and derivatives.
Recently, it has behaved more like a high-beta asset, with corrections of 20%+ in just a few days.
This may be the first signal of a global correction.
The main argument is historical RSI overbought conditions.
In previous cycles, overbought readings alone were not enough for a full reversal — a monthly bearish divergence typically formed before major tops.
That process can take months or even a year. It’s not mandatory, but statistically more common.
Two scenarios remain on the table:
1️⃣ A final push to new highs, followed by divergence formation.
2️⃣ A reversal starting from current levels.
On the weekly timeframe, a bearish candle structure has formed.
Confirmation requires a sustained break and hold below 4800.






















