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Metals

Risk appetite will return again! With all the FUD that's going around in the market, I look back to dr. copper! Sometimes it's important to look back at the fundamentals and then you'll realize, everything is playing out the way it should. Extreme bearish deviation from the mean on the COPPER/GOLD ratio Massive macro pitchfork bottom reoccurring Small caps can't catch a breath All while talks of QE just being around the corner! I don't believe the current liquidity strain on the system (High SOFR spreads, Large TGA build up, Lowest reverse repo reserves, Low bank reserves) will last too long before the printer restarts. Powell knows this!
FX:COPPERLong
by BlazeTube
Gold price analysis November 13 Gold continues to maintain its bullish momentum after successfully breaking above the 4150 resistance zone. This breakout confirms the strength of the uptrend, with the recently broken area now acting as a solid support base. The next target that buyers are likely aiming for is around 4250, before testing the all-time high zone. From a trading perspective, the focus remains on BUY setups—either on breakout entries or pullbacks to support. As long as price holds above 4150, the bias stays bullish and traders can consider holding positions to extend profits along the trend. BUY setup: Watch for price reaction around 4150 support 💬 Feel free to share your thoughts and analysis below. I’d love to hear different perspectives from the community!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TVS-Trader
Will gold continue to fall?Gold finally saw a correction, closing lower on the daily chart. However, it's worth noting the technical aspects: the retracement in the NY market on the daily chart didn't break the 5-day moving average, and after finding support at 4145, it rebounded sharply. Currently, the latest 5-day moving average on the daily chart is moving up to around 4157, and the 10-day and 7-day moving averages are trending upwards. Gold prices are maintaining their position within the upper Bollinger Band channel on the daily chart, and the RSI indicator is above the midline. On the shorter-term 4-hour chart, moving averages are converging, and gold prices are maintaining their position within the upper Bollinger Band channel. The RSI indicator is pulling back and trading near the midline. The main trading strategy for Friday is to buy low and sell high, expecting gold to trade in a wide range, potentially continuing its intraday correction followed by a further rise, then a pullback after reaching a high in the US session. Gold's strength is driven by both safe-haven demand and expectations of a potential Fed rate cut. Intraday trading will depend on its performance against key resistance levels, as well as the correlation between the dollar and US Treasury yields. However, the current trend remains primarily upward with limited downside potential. Key Levels: First Support: 4152, Second Support: 4130, Third Support: 4100 First Resistance: 4208, Second Resistance: 4225, Third Resistance: 4250 Gold Intraday Trading Strategy: Buy: 4150-4155, SL: 4140, TP: 4175-4185; Sell: 4230-4235, SL: 4245, TP: 4215-4205; More Analysis →
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Wall_street_jun
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy & Sell Reversals Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance. It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — LONG / Reversal 4178 ☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body. ☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base. ☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward. ☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break. ☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity. ✈️ Technical Reasons / Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4242 ☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body. ☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region. ☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally. ☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection. ☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control. ⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum. From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins. ⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior. POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones. ⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move. Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers. When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
TVC:GOLD
by Path_Of_Hanzo
51
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey everyone, Please review our Daily Chart Route Map, now featuring updated levels for tracking Golds movement. We continue to track our refreshed proprietary Goldturn Channel, our unique method for constructing ascending channels. Price action is now testing the swing range and the swing range seems to be holding support as expected. This swing range support also falls inline with the channel half line providing stronger support. As long as ema5 remains above the swing zone we expect price to play between this range until the full updated long term swing is completed into 4145. An ema5 break below the swing range will open the lower channel floor for test, currently sitting at 3824 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
14
Silver turns negative but is this really a double top?Gold and silver have turned lower along with global indices, as risk sentiment turns sour. With silver prices having formed a potential double top at record highs above $54, should investors be concerned with this renewed selling pressure? Well, firstly is it really a double top pattern? It is still a tentative bearish signal, the fact that prices have reversed after nearing the old high. This could be a false signal so we should be careful in drawing any conclusions from it yet. A double top without break of the neckline is not of itself a significantly bearish sign, but a waring for the late buyers, nonetheless. As a minimum, silver will need to break and close below $50 for me to turn decisively bearish on silver again. Dip-buying rules, until the charts tell us otherwise. Key levels shown on chart. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by FOREX.com
XAU/USD – Rate Cut Hope vs Supply Trap?🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold is trading near elevated levels as markets increasingly price in a rate cut by Federal Reserve in December. Spot gold climbed above US$4,130/oz driven by a weaker dollar and relief over the U.S. government shutdown ending. Reuters +2 Saxo Bank +2 Despite this strength, analysts still view gold as being in a corrective range, awaiting key U.S. inflation data and monetary-policy signals. The Economic Times +1 Sentiment is tilted toward risk-on for gold (i.e., bullish) given dovish expectations, but the upside is capped by supply zones and the possibility of a rejection if data surprises to the upside for the dollar. For the upcoming London → New York sessions, expect volatility and trading around structural zones rather than trending breakout. Bias for today: Conditional bullish, but prepared for a bearish bias if supply triggers rejection. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + Liquidity Structure) Price is in a broad up-trend, but currently approaching high-probability supply zones where prior imbalances may repeat. Key structures to monitor: A potential BOS (Break of Structure) upward if demand zones hold. A potential CHoCH (Change of Character) if supply rejects and price turns lower. Demand zones: strong structural support and liquidity pools lie lower in the 3,900s region. Supply zones: clusters of untested supply exist near 4,080 + where stop-runs and trap buys may occur. Confirmation factors: liquidity sweeps (stop-loss hunts), fake breakout then reversal, mid-timeframe (M5/M15) rejection candles. Example logic: If price enters 4,080-4,078 zone and shows a wick, then rally fails → likely a supply trap and short scenario. Conversely, if price falls into 3,990-3,988 and sweeps then reverses → possible CHoCH to bullish. 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES 4,080 – 4,078 ▶️ Sell Zone – High-probability supply, reactive short. 4,161 – 4,163 ▶️ Buy Zone – Higher structural support / breakout-target area for long. 4,081 – 4,083 ▶️ Buy Zone – Mid-structural demand zone, smaller long setup. 3,990 – 3,988 ▶️ Buy Zone – Deep support, high reward if confirmed. Stop-loss levels: For sell zone: 4,086 For buy zone (4,161): 4,155 For buy zone (4,081): 4,075 For buy zone (3,990): 3,982 ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS ✅ BUY SCENARIO 1 – STRUCTURAL HIGH BUY Entry: 4,161 – 4,163 Stop-loss: 4,155 TP1: ~4,180 TP2: ~4,210 TP3: Open Logic: A strong bounce in this zone indicates continuation of bullish structure, valid for London session. ✅ BUY SCENARIO 2 – MID-DEMAND REACTION Entry: 4,081 – 4,083 Stop-loss: 4,075 TP1: ~4,100 TP2: ~4,135 TP3: Open Logic: Reactive long in mid-structure; lower risk, good for intraday. ✅ BUY SCENARIO 3 – DEEP SUPPORT ACCUMULATION Entry: 3,990 – 3,988 Stop-loss: 3,982 TP1: ~4,020 TP2: ~4,060 TP3: ~4,100+ Logic: High reward scenario if price sweeps down and reverses from strong support. ⚠️ SELL SCENARIO – NY SESSION SUPPLY REJECTION Entry: 4,080 – 4,078 Stop-loss: 4,086 TP1: ~4,040 TP2: ~3,990 TP3: ~3,930 Logic: Supply zone with liquidity; if price enters and shows rejection → shift to short bias. 🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN London session: focus on buy setups from zones at 4,081 and 3,990. NY session: monitor sell scenario around 4,080–4,078 for reactive short. Avoid entering right on news release; wait for structure confirmation (M5/M15). Maintain risk ≤ 2% per trade; trail stops after TP1 hit. Be aware of macro risk: U.S. inflation data and Fed commentary may cause sudden moves. If price gets stuck or choppy in zone without confirmation → stay out rather than forcing a trade. 🏁 CONCLUSION Today’s bias: conditional bullish, favouring longs from confirmed support zones 4,161–4,163, 4,081–4,083, and 3,990–3,988. But remain ready to switch to a bearish scenario if price triggers the supply zone at 4,080–4,078 and displays rejection. Trade with discipline, wait for confirmation, and manage risk strictly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alicee_Trader
2
SILVER showing reversal from lower levels as US Govt reopensSilver crashes and wipes away entire day's gain by falling around 3000 points on MCX and is now showing a reversal on 15 min chart as investors turned to precious metals as a hedge against rising global uncertainties. Hopes of upcoming Federal Reserve rate cuts—driven by signs of a softening US job market—also boosted sentiment. Supply-side worries added further support, with India’s wedding season increasing demand and concerns emerging over possible US tariffs on silver. Additionally, the US Department of the Interior recently classified silver, copper, and metallurgical coal as “critical minerals,” underscoring their strategic economic importance. This new status could pave the way for Section 232 investigations and potential trade restrictions, similar to the actions taken on copper earlier this year.
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by orchidresearch
US100 – Consolidation Between FVGs, Watching for Bullish BreakouHello traders, On the daily timeframe, NASDAQ (US100) is currently consolidating between a bullish and a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). Both sides present clear liquidity areas, and the market is preparing for its next directional move. From my perspective, I’d like to see the price tap into the bullish FVG first, react from that zone, and then invalidate the bearish FVG on its way higher. If this scenario plays out, the next targets would be the equal highs (EQH) and eventually a new all-time high (ATH). However, if a daily candle closes below the bullish FVG, this idea becomes invalid and we could expect further downside movement. For now, I remain bullish while the bullish FVG holds. 📈 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
FOREXCOM:NAS100Long
by VahidTradingCR
1
GOLD: Big Pullback Loading Before a 4400 Rally?Bias: Bullish – Buy-the-Dip Strategy Approach: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) 🌐 Market Context Gold continues to show a strong recovery, maintaining a clear bullish structure across the H1, H4, and Daily timeframes. Institutional order flow remains firmly on the buy-side as: Liquidity on H1/H4 highs is being swept consistently Pullbacks are respecting Demand Order Blocks (OBs) Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm bullish continuation However, the region 4280 – 4330 (FVG + major trap zone) has historically triggered strong distribution – making it a likely area for liquidity hunts and fake breakouts before any corrective move. 🎯 Key Price Levels 🔴 Resistance Zones (Potential Distribution Areas) 4274 – 4295 4330 – 4345 (FVG + Biggest Trap Zone) Expect volatility and sharp reactions here – suitable for partial profit-taking, not for chasing buy entries. 🟢 Support / Buy Zones (Institutional Demand Areas) 1️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Shallow Pullback (High Probability) Entry: 4170 – 4190 (H4 OB + BOS retest) SL: Below 4170 TP1: 4275 TP2: 4360 – 4400 ➡️ This is today’s primary setup. Requires clear bullish confirmation on entry. 2️⃣ BUY Opportunity – Deep Pullback (High R:R Setup) Entry: 4100 – 4120 (Deep OB + liquidity sweep level) SL: Below 4100 TP1: 4275 TP2: 4360 – 4400 ➡️ Best scenario if the market retraces deeply — exceptional Risk:Reward. 📉 Why Selling Is Not a Priority Despite resistance overhead, the market remains: Bullish in structure Supported by demand zones Without a confirmed Market Structure Shift (MSS) → Bearish BOS Therefore, selling remains counter-trend and not part of the main trading plan today. 📈 Institutional Technical Outlook (H1/H4) 1. Price approaching 4280 – 4330 trap zone Expect: Liquidity sweeps Wick-driven false breakouts Short-term corrections back into OB before continuing upwards 2. Liquidity Map 4170 liquidity pool below current price → likely target for engineered pullback 4300 – 4350 equal highs → attractive upside draw for smart money 🧠 Professional Trade Plan Summary ✔️ Do not chase breakouts near resistance ✔️ Wait for price to retrace into: 4170 – 4190 4100 – 4120 ✔️ Main targets: TP1: 4275 TP2: 4360 – 4400 ✔️ At TP1: Secure 50% Move SL to Break-Even ✔️ Plan invalidation if price closes below 4100 📌 Notes for Large-Capital Traders (UK/EU) Today’s environment is ideal for high-quality, low-frequency entries at institutional demand zones. Avoid buying at highs; patience will deliver the best setups. This plan follows a clean institutional trend-following methodology — suitable for accounts prioritising consistency and low drawdown. 📊 Daily Bias: Strong BUY ⏳ Waiting for pullback towards 4170 – 4190 or 4100 – 4120 🚀 Targeting 4360 – 4400 over the next sessions
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
XAUUSD Short: Rejection From Supply Targets $4,070 Demand LineHello traders! Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential corrective move after a strong bullish rally from the $3,950–$3,970 Demand Zone, where multiple fake breakouts confirmed the presence of strong buyers. This area coincides with the ascending Demand Line, which has provided consistent support for price growth. Each touch on this line has led to notable bullish impulses, signaling accumulation and strengthening buyer momentum. Currently, the price approached the $4,140–$4,160 Supply Zone, which aligns with both a Supply Line and the neckline of a previous Double Top pattern. This confluence area represents a critical resistance zone where sellers have historically regained control. The current rejection from this level suggests that a short-term pullback could be underway as the market seeks to retest lower support. I expect the first key area to watch is the $4,070 pivot level, which aligns with the Demand Line. This zone is expected to act as dynamic support for a potential rebound. If price holds above this level, the bullish structure remains valid, with a possible retest of the $4,150–$4,160 Supply Zone. However, a confirmed break below $4,070 could trigger a deeper correction toward the $3,950 Demand Zone, where fresh buying opportunities may emerge. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by heniitrading
11
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for November 13Gold Technical Analysis: Daily Resistance: 4275, Support: 4050 4-Hour Resistance: 4240, Support: 4155 1-Hour Resistance: 4240, Support: 4210 Technically, the monthly and weekly charts still indicate an upward trend. The daily chart shows a very standard and gradually completing "rounded bottom" pattern. The current candlestick pattern presents key resistance around 4262-4275, a previous support/resistance level. Historically, a downward correction is likely. We need to be cautious on Thursday and Friday, focusing on the support zone of 4160/4155, and also monitoring the continuation of the trend after a breakout above 4300. If the price falls back below 4080, a target of 4000 could be reached. The main strategy for gold in the near term is to continue the upward trend! Looking at the 1-hour chart, the moving averages are diverging upwards, providing support. Note the Bollinger Bands are narrowing upwards, and the MACD/KDJ indicators are providing upward momentum. Today, Thursday, the risk of a bearish market is increasing, and the short-term market continuity remains to be seen. During the European and American sessions, pay attention to whether the price can stabilize around the 4204 support level. The first strategy is to buy at the current price, which is relatively risky. A safer strategy is to look for pullbacks to around 4204/4200 to enter the market. A cautious strategy: BUY: 4204~4200
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold Hits 3-Week High on U.S. Debt Concerns & Fed Rate-Cut BetsGOLD | Overview Gold Hits 3-Week High on U.S. Debt Concerns and Fed Rate-Cut Expectations Gold extended gains to a three-week high as growing concerns over U.S. debt levels and renewed expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts fueled demand for the safe-haven asset. Volatility is likely to remain elevated as traders position ahead of key U.S. data and central bank commentary. Technically: Gold maintains a bullish bias, but a clear 1H candle close above 4238 is required to confirm the next bullish leg toward 4254, 4267, and 4300. While trading below 4238, the price may stage a short-term correction toward 4222 and 4207 before resuming its upward move. A 15-minute close below 4207 would invalidate the bullish setup temporarily and could extend losses toward 4186. Pivot Line: 4238 Resistance: 4254 · 4267 · 4300 Support: 4222 · 4207 · 4186
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Silver (SLV): Multi-Year Cup & Handle SetupSilver appears to be repeating the same large-scale institutional “Cup and Handle” structure that played out almost perfectly on Gold. The difference is that in SLV (iShares Silver Trust), the chart history is shorter, so the full formation is not as clearly visible — but if we reference the historical silver chart (since 1802), the pattern becomes unmistakable. That long-term chart shows a massive multi-decade rounded base — the cup — and now price has already touched the upper boundary, effectively activating the pattern. 🧠 Technical Context On the long-term silver chart, the handle represents the multi-year consolidation we’ve seen since the 2011 peak. In SLV, this structure is compressed, but the correlation with physical silver remains ~99%, since the fund is backed by over 90% physical silver holdings. This makes SLV an ideal instrument for expressing long-term silver exposure — it tracks spot silver almost tick-for-tick, while providing the liquidity and accessibility of an ETF. Technically, silver has already tested the upper rim of the cup, confirming that the pattern is active. This breakout will likely be followed by a short-term consolidation (the final part of the handle) before the market enters what could become a multi-year rally phase. Based on historical fractals and volume structure, the first major pullback is expected toward the $35–25 zone, which corresponds to the previous 4th-wave cluster — a classic accumulation area in Elliott terms. I’ll be looking to accumulate aggressively in the $35–30 range, scaling in gradually as price approaches those levels. 🎯 Trade Plan Instrument: SLV (iShares Silver Trust ETF) Correlation to Spot Silver: ~99% Primary Support Zone (Accumulation): $25 – $35 Handle Breakout Level: around $50 Long-Term Target: $800+ (silver spot equivalent) Stop-Loss: per individual risk management Time Horizon: 5+ years Once silver completes its consolidation and breaks above $50, the measured move of the Cup and Handle suggests a multi-hundred percent rally that could unfold over the next decade. The breakout will likely be accompanied by rising institutional volume and strong follow-through momentum. 🧭 Strategic View I trade silver exclusively through SLV, as it offers the most direct and reliable exposure to the underlying metal. The fund’s near-perfect correlation with spot silver makes it ideal for implementing long-term accumulation strategies without the operational complexities of futures or CFDs. This will be one of my core positions for the coming decade. After the expected correction into the $30–35 range, I plan to build a large position, possibly hedged later on, and hold through the full bullish cycle. Silver’s technical structure, macro fundamentals, and historical analogs all point toward a potential generational rally once this base completes. This is the setup I’m positioning for — patiently, systematically, and with conviction. Summary Long-term “Cup and Handle” formation now confirmed Final correction expected before the next secular rally SLV offers near-1:1 tracking with physical silver Accumulation zone: $35–25 Target: $800+ over the next decade
AMEX:SLVLong
by sdk-trading
3
XAUUSDGold: The main trend remains up, but after testing the $4,380 level, the price was unable to break above this level and the price declined. We expect this to be a correction, with key support levels at 3,885 and 3,857. If the price can hold above 3,857, there is a high chance that the price will continue to rise. ** Very Risky Trade 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Serana2324
2
GOLD → Consolidation before the next rally?FX:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the psychological threshold of 4200-4225 amid uncertainty surrounding the publication of US data after the end of the shutdown. Despite the resumption of government work, key reports for October may be lost... Key factors: The House of Representatives has approved funding, ending the shutdown. However, data for October (including NFP and CPI) may not be published. We need to wait for confirmation... However, the restoration of statistics (possibly next week) will clarify the Fed's trajectory. Fed support: 80% of economists surveyed by Reuters expect a 25 bp rate cut in December. Gold retains its growth potential. The $4200 level is a key barrier, with the price entering a new trading range of 4200-4400. A breakout of the local trigger is possible if data is weak or the Fed confirms a rate cut in December... Support levels: 4200, 4161, 4148 Resistance levels: 4239, 4274, 4317 Focus on local consolidation and the 4239 trigger. A breakout and close above this level could trigger further growth. Otherwise, the market may test 4220-4200 before resuming its rally. Overall, the market structure and sentiment are bullish. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12