SILVER: Forecast & Trading Plan
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the SILVER pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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Metals
ANFIBO XAUUSD – Fibonacci Breakout and Continuation Plan
Hi guys, Anfibo’s here!
XAUUSD Weekly Trading Plan
Overall Picture
On the 4H chart, gold has broken out of the previous descending trendline and is now trending inside a rising bullish channel. Price is pushing toward the upper boundary of this channel, and the next key reaction zone is where:
The new uptrend channel resistance
The old descending trendline (now potential resistance)
And the Fibonacci extension cluster
all line up around the 4240s.
This is where I expect the market to show its hand:
Either give a short-term corrective pullback,
Or consolidate and build energy for a continuation rally toward the higher Fibonacci extensions (2.618 around the 4370–4380 zone).
Macro Context – Why USD Still Matters
From a macro perspective, the U.S. Government and Treasury have a direct impact on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) through:
Fiscal policy (budgets, new laws, spending programs)
Announcements from the administration
Treasury funding needs and issuance
At the same time, U.S. GDP data is a core driver of dollar sentiment:
Stronger‐than‐expected GDP → supports DXY → often weighs on gold.
Weaker GDP or slowdown signals → pressures DXY → tends to support gold.
So while the chart is clearly giving us a bullish technical structure, the strength or weakness of upcoming U.S. data will strongly influence whether gold can sustain a breakout beyond these Fibonacci levels or get capped and pull back deeper.
Trading Plan – Using Fibonacci and Structure
For next week, I’m working with one tactical short setup at resistance and one continuation buy setup on the dip.
>>> Scenario #1 – Short-Term SELL at Fibonacci Resistance
If price extends into the confluence zone around 4240+ and shows rejection, I’ll treat it as a counter-trend sell opportunity:
Sell entry: 4241 – 4243
Stop loss: 4248
Take profit levels:4210-4194-4165-4120
Idea: fade the first touch into the Fibonacci + trendline resistance box, targeting a corrective leg back towards mid-channel support and potentially the lower part of the structure around 4120 if sellers step in aggressively.
>>> Scenario #2 – BUY the Continuation from 4194 Support
If the market respects the breakout and only offers a shallow pullback, I’ll look to join the trend from the key support / Fibonacci area:
Buy entry: around 4194
Stop loss: 4185
Take profit levels:
TP1: 4210
TP2: 4235
TP3: higher extension zone toward the 2.618 area (4370+ if momentum continues)
Idea: use 4194 as a continuation buy zone, where broken resistance + Fib support align, aiming to ride the next impulsive leg higher inside the ascending channel.
Key Technical Levels for the Week
Resistance / Sell zone: 4241 – 4243
Intermediate resistance: 4235, then higher at the Fib extension band near 4370–4380
Support / Buy zone: 4194
Deeper supports: 4165 and 4120 (bottom of corrective structure)
As long as price holds above the 4165–4120 block on a closing basis, the medium-term bias remains bullish.
Risk Management
Treat the sell setup as tactical / short-term against higher timeframe bullish structure.
Always wait for clear confirmation (rejection wick, slowdown, or shift in 4H / 1H structure) at 4240s before entering shorts.
Keep Risk:Reward ≥ 1:2 on both scenarios; avoid forcing trades in the middle of the range.
Do not hold opposing positions simultaneously – follow the scenario the market confirms first.
If strong fundamentals (e.g., very strong GDP, hawkish fiscal tone) push DXY sharply higher or lower, be ready to reassess the bias instead of clinging to the plan.
Conclusion
Gold has flipped from a descending structure to a rising channel, and Fibonacci confluences are giving us clear, objective levels to work with next week. Whether price reacts with a short-term pullback from 4240s or respects 4194 as continuation support, we already know:
Where to sell tactically,
Where to buy with the trend,
And how our risk is defined.
LET THE LEVELS GUIDE YOU, TRADE WITH CONFIDENCE, AND STAY DISCIPLINED, GUYS! 💛📈
Gold: Safe-Haven Demand Surges After Venezuela TensionsHey Traders,
In the coming week we are monitoring XAUUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 4,195 zone. Gold remains in a clear uptrend, and the current correction is guiding price back toward a major support-and-trendline confluence, where buyers have consistently defended the structure.
On the fundamental side, safe-haven flows are heating up again.
Following Trump’s announcement that a land operation against Venezuela is expected to begin soon, markets quickly shifted into risk-off mode. Geopolitical uncertainty has historically driven capital toward traditional havens — and Gold often reacts first.
If tensions continue to escalate, the 4,195 zone could become the launchpad for the next bullish extension, with sentiment strongly supporting upside.
Trade safe,
Joe
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context
Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory
4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion.
Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138
SL: 4130
TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+
Rationale:
• Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf
• Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep
🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247
SL: 4255
TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning.
• Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers).
• Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed.
Summary
Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility.
Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins.
🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts.
Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity.
Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction.
Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020.
• The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops.
• A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution.
• The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation.
• Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction.
🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008
SL: 4000
TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220
Rationale:
• Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity
• Confluence of demand + structural mitigation
• High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion
🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227
SL: 4235
TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction
• Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries.
• Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop.
✅ Summary
Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion.
Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups.
Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation.
🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
Master the Market with This Secret StrategyHey traders! If you’ve ever watched XAUUSD suddenly explode up or crash down and wondered “What just happened?” — this is the answer. And that’s exactly why today’s topic matters.
To truly master gold, you need to understand one thing better than most traders do: how interest rates and the FED shape every major move on this chart.
When I first started trading, I relied heavily on patterns, indicators, and momentum signals. But the longer I traded, the more obvious it became: gold doesn’t make its biggest moves because of a pattern — it moves because the flow of money shifts. And nothing shifts money faster than the FED.
Interest rates are basically the “price of the dollar,” and gold reacts to that instantly:
High rates → strong USD → gold usually drops.
Lower rates or a dovish tone → weaker USD → gold rallies hard.
But here’s the part most traders never realize:
The FED doesn’t need to change rates to move gold.
Sometimes a single hawkish or dovish sentence is enough to push XAUUSD $20–$30 in minutes. That’s why understanding the tone of the FED — not just the numbers — is your real edge.
And this leads to the strategy I’ve used consistently with XAUUSD:
If the market expected hawkish but hears dovish → gold pumps.
If the market expected dovish but gets hawkish → gold drops fast.
That “expectation gap” is what gives us the clean moves we love trading.
On TradingView, I keep it simple:
I never enter on the first spike — that move is almost always engineered to grab liquidity. Instead, I wait 15–30 minutes for the real structure to form, watch for a break and retest, and then I follow the true direction. This approach has saved me from countless traps during FED weeks.
So when you’re analyzing XAUUSD, don’t just stare at the candles.
Look at the interest rate environment.
Listen to the FED’s tone.
Measure what the market expected versus what actually happened.
Master that connection — and suddenly the gold chart feels less chaotic and a lot more predictable.
Breaking 4,200 USD: A New Bullish Cycle Emerging?Hello everyone,
Gold continues to maintain a robust upward structure, with higher highs and higher lows. The recent break above the 4,200 USD level further confirms the bullish trend, indicating that buyers are still firmly controlling the market rhythm. Notably, a series of FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) appear consistently below, showing that proactive buying is absorbing most corrective moves.
1. Technical perspective: Uptrend remains dominant
Gold formed a higher low around 4,120 – 4,140 and broke through the 4,200 barrier, which had held for nearly 10 days. FVGs at 4,165, 4,120 – 4,135, and 4,080 – 4,100 serve as potential retracement zones where the market may revisit to regain bullish momentum. Volume Profile also shows heavy activity around 4,150 – 4,170, suggesting a pause before the next leg upward.
2. Forecast for gold’s next move
The bullish structure remains clear. Therefore, a mild pullback before further ascent is the dominant scenario. From the 4,215 zone, gold may retreat to 4,180 – 4,165 to form a base, then rally towards 4,240 – 4,260. If buying remains strong, further targets could reach 4,300 – 4,320.
An immediate surge is also possible, particularly if the USD weakens or macro news supports it. In such a case, gold could push directly to 4,240 – 4,250, though this type of rally is usually prone to quick profit-taking.
3. News perspective: The market supporting gold
At the US close, gold eased slightly to 4,159 USD/oz—a healthy cooling after a strong rally. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley continues to target 4,500 USD in 2026, supported by the strongest ETF inflows since 2020, net purchases from central banks, and expectations of lower interest rates—all reinforcing the long-term uptrend.
However, short-term risks remain, such as rising real rates or a USD rebound. These could create pressure, but overall, the trend still favours buyers.
XAUUSD: Imminent reversal, don't miss outThe price of gold continues to rise steadily, driven by strong demand that’s pushing the market higher. However, the price is now facing a significant resistance zone, where sellers have previously intervened with conviction. This zone is critical: if buyers lose momentum here and sellers successfully defend the resistance level, we are likely to see a price decline, triggering a correction.
If this rejection is confirmed, it will be a clear signal that sellers will take control and push prices lower. I expect the price could drop to around 4,130.
SPX/PA - SPX/Palladium ratio flashing a buy$SP:SPX/NYMEX:PA1!
Palladium is looking very good relative to equities currently, currently sitting at a ratio of over 4.50 : 1
I would be expecting to see this normalize around the 2.50-1.5 level, this would imply a significant period of outperformance of palladium relative to the SP500.
This coupled with the continued breakout of Silver and the strong performance of gold, comes together to form a very bullish outlook for palladium.
GOLD IS OVERBOUGHT|SHORT|
✅XAUUSD After sweeping liquidity above the supply zone, price is about to retest the rejection point in a premium area. A draw on liquidity toward the next inefficiency is favored as the market seeks a balanced repricing leg. Time Frame: 3H.
SHORT🔥
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GOLD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD taps a clean supply zone after an extended move, showing rejection wicks and shifting orderflow that signal potential distribution. A short-term pullback into discounted levels may unfold toward the downside target.
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Stop Loss: 4,246$
Take Profit: 4,192$
Entry Level: 4,216$
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
'Cinderella Gold' Episode 2 — Silver is Not Waiting Anymore 'Cinderella Gold' Episode 2 — Silver is Not Waiting Anymore 👑
Once upon a breakout… 📈
Back in March 2023, I dropped “Cinderella Gold Ready to Shine” — a bold claim that silver would rise from the shadows while the world watched only gold.
Fast forward to today — Silver (XAGUSD) is above $53 , and this chart doesn’t lie.
The forgotten sister of gold is no longer waiting for a dance…
She’s leading the entire ballroom now.
💥 Key Technical Levels
• $50.03 — now confirmed as new support
• $60.58 — next resistance / golden ratio (.618 fib)
• $73.24 — the “New Target” zone
• Ultimate fib expansion? $80+ is not fiction if momentum continues 🔭
This isn’t some one-day wonder. This is the result of 10+ years of structural consolidation breaking wide open.
And if you still think silver is a sidekick, you’re not reading the right story.
🧪 Why Now? The Tech-Silver Symbiosis
Most forget this:
Silver outperforms gold when technology is booming.
Why? Because unlike gold, silver isn’t just money — it’s semiconductors, solar panels, EV batteries, AI chips and the future of industry itself.
• 💻 Tech bull cycle → industrial demand skyrockets
• 🔋 Green energy transition → silver becomes critical infrastructure
• 🛠️ The macro tailwind + physical scarcity = explosive upside
🧠 Food for Thought 🍃
When tech runs hot, silver runs hotter.
It’s the metal that reflects not just fear — but progress.
Gold is the vault.
Silver is the spark.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
⚠️ Disclaimer
Disclaimer: These are my personal thoughts on the market. They are not financial advice. Every trade is your responsibility. Manage your risk and protect your capital.
Gold’s Roadmap: TRZ + Resistance = High-Probability ReversalGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) rose to the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,133) as I expected in the previous idea and reached its target.
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,133) and in the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, it seems that Gold has managed to complete a Double Three Correction(WXY) in the ascending channel during the 7 trading days.
I expect Gold to start falling after the Resistance zone($4,192 – $4,133).
First Target: $4,077
Second Target: $4,037
Stop Loss(SL): $4,195(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
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In the upcoming hours, the U.S. will release a batch of key economic indicators: Core PPI, PPI, Core Retail Sales, and Retail Sales. These prints directly influence inflation expectations and the interest-rate outlook, which makes gold particularly sensitive today.
My personal outlook on Gold:
If the data comes in hotter than expected, Treasury yields may rise , and the dollar could strengthen, putting short-term downward pressure on gold.
If the data comes in softer than expected, markets may quickly price in lower inflation pressure and a more dovish Fed path. This scenario typically gives gold a strong short-term upside push, especially if PPI and Core PPI print below estimates.
Overall, with the current structure, the market reaction in the first 15–30 minutes after the release matters more than the numbers themselves. Monitoring volatility and price behavior right after the release will help determine the day’s dominant direction.
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Ukraine appears to have agreed to the terms of the peace agreement.
Why does this kind of news usually push Gold lower?
Gold acts as a safe-haven during periods of war, geopolitical tension, and uncertainty.
When credible news of peace emerges, the demand for safe-haven assets declines → lowering gold demand.
Global risk sentiment improves, and capital flows toward risk-on assets such as equities, stronger currencies, and yield-bearing markets.
If a peace agreement reduces tensions around energy or oil markets, inflationary pressure eases → making gold less attractive.
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💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
GOLD breaks above $4,190, time to exit accumulation4,190 USD/oz is a temporary step forward, with price testing the upper boundary amid thin liquidity (holiday period) and sharply rising expectations of Fed easing. However, confirming an uptrend requires a daily close above the stronger technical resistance zone (around 4,216 USD) and sustaining that level.
Reasons not to rush to confirm a “breakout from the accumulation range”
• The 4,190 USD level appeared during a low-liquidity session, making it prone to “false breaks” caused by thin trading.
• Recent volatility has been driven largely by monetary policy expectations (FedWatch ~80% probability of a December rate cut) rather than any immediate fundamental shift in gold’s supply–demand balance. Expectations can reverse quickly if Fed outlook or economic data changes.
• Geopolitical scenarios (Ukraine, Middle East) and central bank gold demand provide medium–long-term support, but these are “slow” drivers and cannot replace the need for technical confirmation to start a new bull phase.
Elements supporting a breakout (if sustained)
• Dovish comments from Fed officials (Waller, Daly, Williams) continue to reinforce rate-cut bets, while news about the potential Fed Chair candidate (Hassett) increases expectations of easier policy.
• Stable physical demand from Asia (India has recently kept importing strongly at ~14.7B USD) and steady official purchases by central banks.
• Rising global risk sentiment (shift into safe-haven assets) may push gold above 4,200 if accompanied by stronger Fed-easing signals.
Warning factors for a pullback (downside risks)
• Unexpectedly strong U.S. economic data (labor, retail sales) may reduce rate-cut expectations, pushing USD/yields higher and pressuring gold lower.
• Thin holiday liquidity increases the risk of gaps and exaggerated moves.
Outlook:
If policy conditions and geopolitics continue to support (dovish Fed + geopolitical risk), gold has a high probability of breaking out from the accumulation range and starting a true bullish cycle before/early 2026. In the short term (a few sessions to a few weeks), the market remains vulnerable to fake-outs.
Technical Analysis – OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold price has surpassed the 4,190 USD/oz zone—a positive sign but not yet enough to confirm a new uptrend.
Structurally, price remains within the medium-term ascending channel, holding above the trendline and above the short-term MA21 (~4,056 USD).
Notable Fibonacci levels:
• 0.236 ≈ 4,128 USD
• 0.382 ≈ 3,973 USD
The 3,970–4,000 USD zone remains a major support shield.
RSI is recovering from the neutral region (not overbought), showing the uptrend has a foundation but hasn't accelerated.
Necessary condition:
Hold above 3,972–4,000 USD and avoid breaking below the ascending channel trendline.
Sufficient condition (confirmation of a new bullish cycle):
A daily close above 4,216 USD/oz (Fib resistance zone / intraday peak).
Accompanied by:
• RSI breaking above 55–60
• Price holding above MA21 with a successful retest
If these conditions appear together, the probability of moving toward 4,300 — 4,380 USD/oz increases significantly.
Short-term bearish reversal scenario:
Failure to hold 3,972 USD opens the door to a deeper correction toward 3,846 USD (Fib 0.5) and then 3,720 USD (Fib 0.618).
Risk management note:
Volatility is still heavily driven by Fed news and geopolitics. Keep position sizes small, set clear stop-losses, and avoid holding large positions during policy events.
Trade Ideas (as provided)
SELL XAUUSD at 4213 – 4211 ⚡️
• Stop Loss: 4217
• Take Profit 1: 4205
• Take Profit 2: 4199
BUY XAUUSD at 4134 – 4136 ⚡️
• Stop Loss: 4130
• Take Profit 1: 4142
• Take Profit 2: 4148
GOLD retreats slightly, market gains bets on easing cycleOANDA:XAUUSD edged slightly lower after a strong rally yesterday, as the market continued to expand expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin its rate-cutting cycle as early as December. This development occurred despite positive U.S. economic data, indicating that the main support for gold now comes more from monetary policy expectations than from growth signals.
U.S. Treasury yields fell and the U.S. Dollar weakened, with the DXY index down 0.20% to 99.60, helping gold maintain its recovery momentum. Although initial jobless claims fell to 216,000 — the lowest since April — and durable goods orders rose more strongly than expected, these data had little impact on rate-cut expectations.
According to FedWatch, the probability of a Fed rate cut at the December meeting remains near 85%, a sharp increase from below 30% last week.
Geopolitical conditions, however, are shifting in a direction less supportive of gold. Signs suggest Russia and Ukraine are moving closer to a de-escalation agreement, with consultations in Geneva and positive remarks from both sides reducing the geopolitical risk premium that has supported gold for months. A Russian adviser told Al Jazeera that the U.S. plan contains “many positive aspects,” implying that diplomatic progress may be approaching.
Even so, the Fed’s policy outlook remains the dominant driver. JPMorgan Chase has reversed its forecast and now expects the Fed to cut rates in December instead of delaying until January. Michael Feroli’s economics team cited dovish comments from key Fed officials — especially New York Fed President Williams — as the reason for the shift. JPMorgan had previously expected the Fed to stay put after the September jobs report.
A new variable also attracting attention is the selection process for the next Fed Chair. Bloomberg reports that White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett — seen as dovish — has emerged as a leading candidate. The likelihood of a more dovish Fed leadership further strengthens expectations of rate cuts, pressuring the dollar and supporting gold. Treasury Secretary Bessant said the nomination could be announced before Christmas.
Overall, markets perceive that the key question now is how quickly the Fed can implement the rate-cutting cycle. Karl Schamotta of Corpay noted that markets are leaning toward expectations of more aggressive easing. In a similar move, Deutsche Bank raised its 2026 gold price forecast to 4,450 USD/oz, based on steady investment inflows and rising central bank gold-reserve demand.
While geopolitical risks appear to be easing, the outlook for U.S. monetary policy continues to be the primary driver shaping gold’s direction in the short and medium term.
Technical Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold price is maintaining the main uptrend on the daily timeframe, still moving within the ascending channel established since August. The latest session closed around 4,147 USD/oz, trading above the short-term MA21 and approaching the technical resistance zone at 4,128 (Fib 0.236) and the major resistance at 4,216 USD.
• Structure: Series of higher lows + rising channel intact → underlying trend remains bullish.
• Key support: 3,972–4,000 USD (Fib 0.382 + channel lower boundary/MA21). If this zone holds, the bullish outlook remains valid.
• Short-term resistance: 4,128 USD (Fib 0.236). A breakout above this level opens the path toward 4,216 USD and beyond.
• Momentum: RSI rebounded from the neutral zone → buying pressure has returned but remains moderate; no clear bearish divergence.
• Conclusion: Market structure remains bullish, but confirmation is needed via a breakout above 4,128 USD to validate a new bullish cycle.
Summary:
The main trend is still upward, but the market is awaiting a confirmed breakout of the 4,128–4,216 USD zone to enter a strong bullish phase. If price falls below 3,972–4,000 USD, the plan should be reassessed due to the risk of a pullback toward the 3,846 zone (Fib 0.5).
Trading Plan
SELL XAUUSD — 4195–4193 ⚡️
Stop Loss: 4199
Take Profit 1: 4187
Take Profit 2: 4181
BUY XAUUSD — 4109–4111 ⚡️
Stop Loss: 4105
Take Profit 1: 4117
Take Profit 2: 4123
Continue to buy gold after the market opens!After a steady rise this week, gold prices have been consolidating near resistance levels, with trading range narrowing. As market expectations rise for another Fed rate cut in December, coupled with increased anticipation of regional peace negotiations, global market sentiment has become more optimistic, prompting some funds to flow from gold into risk assets. The US economic data released this week were mixed, but overall did not change the market's judgment on the Fed's policy path. The cross-cutting performance of economic data reinforced market expectations of further Fed rate cuts in December, causing the dollar index to fall to a one-week low and continuing to be a significant supporting factor for gold.
From the combined perspective of interest rate expectations, dollar performance, and technical structure, this round of gains is very healthy. If subsequent economic data continues to support rate cut expectations, gold still has the potential to resume its upward trend after a pullback to key support. However, it should be noted that repeated fluctuations in the expected peace negotiations could bring additional volatility.
In terms of strategy, we can continue to maintain a buy-on-dips approach! After the market opens, you can buy in batches in the 4125-4150 range, with the first target at 4165. If it successfully breaks through 4170, the upside potential will be further opened up, and it is expected that the stalemate will be broken on Friday.
The above represents only my personal thoughts. If you find it helpful, please like and follow to show your support! Please note that any strategy is time-sensitive, and strategies will change as market conditions evolve. I will notify you in the channel based on the actual market situation!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4100 and a gap below at 4057. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4100
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4100 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4140
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4140 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4193
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4193 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4233 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4275
BEARISH TARGETS
4057
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4057 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
4016
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 4016 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3965 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3923
3861
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GLD long-term TAGold is having a healthy strong weekly uptrend and monthly as well for quite a while.. but will it grow further? sure it can but there's a small negative divergence and distribution ongoing on mid-term which is why gold stuck at these levels at the moment. As for the GLD on weekly and gold in general watch for support level (blue line) and upward moving SMA50 to hold the price in the event of correction.
As of now Gold continues its uptrend, GLD got through the $381 pivot on Daily and shows the sign for the support in current range between $360-380 but the distribution hasn't completed yet.
XAU/USD | Gold hit $4200, Is It Time to Fall Again? (READ)By analyzing the #XAUUSD chart on the 4 hour timeframe, we can see that after the previous analysis, gold moved exactly as expected. Even with the low volatility during Thanksgiving, price still managed to hit both the $4190 and $4200 targets.
Once gold entered the supply zone at $4208 to $4244, it started to pull back and is now trading around $4196.
As we approach the final hours of the session, we need to watch how price reacts to its key supply and demand levels. This analysis will be updated soon.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Thanksgiving volatility is limited, precise strategy is key.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
🙏Today is Thanksgiving, and the market will close early. Gold trading is likely to be quiet, and with insufficient liquidity, it is expected to continue to fluctuate within a narrow range.
📊However, as I said yesterday, core safe-haven demands such as the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and geopolitical factors continue to provide some support for gold prices, and the upward structure has not been broken. The holiday effect is simply limiting significant volatility. Pullbacks are all for building momentum for a subsequent bullish rally.
📈The short-term daily MA5 is moving upward, and the 4-hour moving average and Bollinger middle line are also around 4135, which together with 4125 below form short-term support. On the first pullback to the 4135-4125 area, you can consider a small long position. The key support level to watch remains unchanged at around 4115-4100, near the daily MA10. As long as this level holds, the market's bullish trend will remain intact.
🌈Regarding resistance, continue to focus on the 4170-4180 range, a breakout would lead to an attack on the 4195-4205 range.
✅In summary, our strategy remains unchanged: in the absence of data or news-related factors today, we will primarily focus on buying on dips and waiting for the market to provide opportunities to buy at lower prices.
Silver trend continuation breakout supported at 5213 The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 5213 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 5213 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
5437 – initial resistance
5514 – psychological and structural level
5600 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 5213 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
5155 – minor support
5100 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 5213. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold bullish breakout continuation supported at 4133The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4133 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4133 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4218 – initial resistance
4268 – psychological and structural level
4315 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4133 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4103 – minor support
4067 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 4133. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.






















