Gold (XAUUSD) Intraday Analysis – August 29, 20251. Overall Trend
After a strong bullish impulse, gold has completed a harmonic structure (likely a Bearish Gartley / AB=CD) with a clear FVG zone around point C–D. Price recently tested the 3420–3422 resistance and rejected strongly, confirming a short-term correction phase.
For intraday perspective, gold is likely to enter a pullback move to the downside before deciding the next trend.
2. Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
3420 – 3425 (recent swing high + Fibonacci extension).
3435 – 3440 (major resistance; if broken, the bullish trend may extend further).
Support:
3380 – 3385 (first key support, confluence with FVG + 0.5 fib retracement).
3366 – 3370 (harmonic D-point support).
3350 (psychological support, stronger downside if broken).
3. Technical Indicators
EMA: Short-term EMA (20) is still sloping upward, but price is retesting it – a break may trigger further downside.
RSI (H1): Bearish divergence is forming (price making higher highs while RSI lags).
Volume: Selling pressure increased significantly at the 3420 rejection zone.
4. Intraday Trading Strategy
Short Setup (Primary):
Entry: 3410 – 3415 on pullbacks.
Stop Loss: Above 3425.
Take Profit 1: 3385.
Take Profit 2: 3370.
Buy Setup (Countertrend at Support):
Entry: 3370 – 3380 if price holds with bullish confirmation.
Stop Loss: Below 3350.
Take Profit 1: 3400.
Take Profit 2: 3420.
5. Conclusion
Gold is showing clear rejection at 3422, signaling possible continuation of a short-term pullback. Intraday traders may prioritize short positions from resistance and look for buy opportunities only at strong supports.
Risk management is crucial here, as price is trading in the middle of the range and volatility may sweep stops before the next decisive move.
- Keep a close eye on 3380 – 3385 support zone, as it will be the key level that decides whether buyers step back in or sellers take control.
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Metals
XAU/USD – Gold holds 3400, waiting for breakout or pullback?⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
FED turns dovish, gold tests a new Storm Breaker
1. News Waves 🌍
FED – Waller: “Tariffs are a tax and do not increase inflation. I’m back with the ‘transitory’ team on inflation.”
👉 A clear signal supporting a 25bps rate cut in September , with the possibility of 1–2 more cuts in the next 3–6 months.
U.S. Senate: preparing hearings for the new FED nominee S. Miran on September 4 → political & monetary spotlight.
Tonight: markets await PCE data , the FED’s preferred inflation gauge.
➡️ Summary: FED leans dovish, supporting gold in the medium term. But in the short term, price still faces profit-taking pressure near resistance.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
On H1, gold has been forming consecutive bullish BOS and has broken above 3,400.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3375 – 3373): large volume accumulation, confluence with FVG → strong entry if price retraces.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3432 – 343x): near previous ATH, likely to face heavy supply if tested.
Key levels:
3375 = critical anchor support.
3438 = target resistance if gold continues higher.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY Zone – Priority)
Entry: 3375 – 3373
SL: 3365
TP: 3378 → 3381 → 3384 → 3387 → 33xx
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Zone – previous ATH reaction)
Entry: 3432 – 343x
SL: 3442
TP: 3428 → 3425 → 3423 → 3420 → 33xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
“The gold ship has crossed 3400, but Storm Breaker 🌊 343x remains a tough challenge. If corrective waves appear, be patient at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to board the journey toward a more bullish September.”
Gold Bulls Eye Breakout, But Caution May Be RequiredI'm seeing a lot of bullish calls for a gold breakout this week, and the contrarian within me suspects this could lead to disappointment over the near term. Even though my core bias is for gold to reach new highs eventually. Today I look at market exposure to gold futures from the commitment of traders report alongside key levels on gold's futures chart.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index.
Gold 29/08: Smart Money Targets 3444 or Sweeps 3395Market Context (SMC View):
• Gold rejected from 3423 liquidity zone and is retracing into discount.
• Demand sits at 3397–3395, which could provide a bounce if tapped.
• Premium supply zones above 3422 and 3442 remain attractive for shorts.
________________________________________
🔼 BUY SCENARIO
• Buy Zone: 3397 – 3395
• SL: 3389
• TP: 3405 → 3415 → 3425
________________________________________
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 1 (Price Action)
• Sell Zone: 3422 – 3424
• SL: 3430
• TP: 3412 → 3400
________________________________________
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Swing)
• Sell Zone: 3442 – 3444
• SL: 3452
• TP: 3425 → 3412 → 3400
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion & Notes
• Bias: Buy on dips at 3397–3395, then look for liquidity grab around 3422–3424 or extended sweep into 3442–3444 for short entries.
• 3422–3424 is the first intraday supply zone, while 3442–3444 is the major swing sell zone.
• Patience: wait for rejection/confirmation candles before selling.
• Protect capital: keep SL tight, as gold tends to hunt liquidity around round numbers.
XAUUSD Shines Bright: Safe-Haven Demand Lifts GoldHello everyone, what are your thoughts on OANDA:XAUUSD ?
Yesterday, XAUUSD continued its impressive recovery, with the precious metal trading as high as 3,393 USD and still holding around 3,387 at the time of writing.
This sharp rally from near 3,350 up to almost 3,400 is largely driven by the broad sell-off in the U.S. Dollar (USD) and weaker short-term U.S. Treasury yields. These factors boosted safe-haven demand for gold as investors shifted capital into the metal.
This week, the market will focus on the upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, due on August 29. As the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, this data will be crucial in shaping expectations for potential Fed rate cuts, which could further influence gold’s direction.
I remain optimistic on gold’s outlook, with my analysis targeting resistance at 3,400 – 3,415 and support in the 3,350 – 3,360 zone. The short-term trend still favors the upside.
What do you think about XAUUSD? Share your view!
Gold Surge: Preparing for a Possible Pullback at Supply ZoneThroughout August, gold has steadily risen in value, experiencing only minor retracements along the way. Currently, the price is approaching a significant daily supply zone, situated at the top of the market. Recent data indicates that non-commercial traders have been increasing their short positions over the past few weeks, hinting at a potential capitulation or liquidation of positions soon. Meanwhile, retail investors continue to push longs, whereas commercial traders remain positioned more neutrally, gradually adding to their holdings. Moving forward, I will closely monitor the next supply zone, as it could present an ideal opportunity to initiate a short position, capitalizing on potential market exhaustion at this resistance level.
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XAUUSDUpdate:
Gold Price Trend: As per our previous analysis on July 28, 2025, the price has now tested the support at 3,269. We expect that if the gold price can hold above 3,249, the gold price trend will remain bullish. We recommend considering buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Interest rate forecast to decreaseMarkets now expect the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates as early as September. Traders have almost fully priced in a 25 basis point cut, with further easing likely in October and December, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
“Recent U.S. economic data have prompted us to revise our rate forecasts lower,” BofA said, citing signs of a cooling labor market. “Recent weakness in employment data, slowing job growth, and other signs of labor market slack could prompt the Fed to change its risk assessment.”
The bank also said political pressure on the Fed, including criticism from President Donald Trump, could continue to weigh on the dollar.
“The risks to the Fed’s independence are well recognized, but now markets must also factor in the implications of institutional weakness at statistical agencies,” the analysts stressed.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook - 29 August 2025Gold remains in a highly reactive zone, with price currently consolidating near the $3410 handle. Institutional order flow shows a battle between bulls defending discount demand zones and bears attempting to exploit premium supply levels. By combining Daily, 4H, and 1H confluences, today’s analysis outlines the most execution-ready buy and sell zones with defined entries, stop-loss levels, and profit targets.
🔹 Primary Buy Zone – $3388 to $3396
This is the highest-probability demand area for today. On the Daily timeframe, the zone sits within a deep discount region of the last bullish leg, aligning with the broader macro bias. The 4H chart reveals a fresh, unmitigated bullish order block, while the 1H structure confirms a BOS (Break of Structure) and liquidity sweep beneath equal lows.
Momentum indicators support this view — RSI is approaching oversold levels, and MACD momentum is shifting bullish. Volume also highlights absorption, suggesting institutional accumulation.
Entry: $3392
SL: $3384
TP1: $3415
TP2: $3428
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone – $3365 to $3372
If the primary demand fails, the next strong support sits around $3365–$3372. This zone overlaps with a Daily breaker block and coincides with the 50% retracement of the previous swing leg. On 4H, liquidity is pooled just below $3370, while 1H imbalance (FVG) aligns with demand.
RSI divergence also strengthens the bullish probability here.
Entry: $3368
SL: $3358
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3410
🔹 Primary Sell Zone – $3425 to $3435
This is the strongest intraday supply zone. On the Daily timeframe, price approaches a premium level of the current retracement, while 4H charts show a fresh supply zone formed from institutional distribution. The 1H chart reveals liquidity buildup above $3428, creating an engineered high.
RSI is flashing bearish divergence at this level, with volume showing prior rejection and imbalance — confirming potential sell-side pressure.
Entry: $3430
SL: $3438
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3395
🔹 Secondary Sell Zone – $3448 to $3458
This zone sits higher, acting as a fallback supply level. It overlaps with a Weekly supply zone, while 4H structure confirms old consolidation highs resting here. If tapped, price is likely to engineer liquidity before displacement. ATR also shows exhaustion at this level, making it a potential reversal point.
Entry: $3453
SL: $3463
TP1: $3430
TP2: $3410
🏆 Executive Summary – Golden Zone
The Primary Buy Zone ($3388–$3396) is nominated as today’s Golden Zone. This area aligns with Daily discount, 4H unmitigated demand, and 1H structural confirmation. With multiple confluences (order block, BOS, liquidity sweep, RSI, MACD), it presents the highest reward-to-risk opportunity.
Golden Execution Idea:
Buy $3392 → SL $3384 → TP $3428 (≈1:4 RR)
Final Thoughts
Gold is currently positioned at a critical juncture, with well-defined buy and sell zones framing today’s opportunities. Traders should stay disciplined, execute only on confirmed setups, and remain aware of liquidity manipulation around key levels. The $3388–$3396 Golden Zone offers the most institutionally aligned trade for today, but alternative supply and demand levels provide structured backup scenarios.
How and why Silver May Overshoot Well Beyond 50 by 2026A description of silver price anomalies. Info is in video-only thing to add is we are going onour 6th consecutive year of silver structural demand deficits. The odds of a massive upside move intensify exponentially day to day at this point.
Do your own research
GOLD → Retest 3400. Readiness for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD is "consolidating" creeping up on resistance, which generally increases the chances of a breakout, but the initial resistance test may end in a pullback. However, there is news ahead that could trigger one of two scenarios...
At the moment, gold is testing $3,400, but is ready for a correction pending new data from the US. However, further decline may be limited for the following reasons: Weak dollar: The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 90%. Trump-Fed conflict: Pressure on Fed Chair Lisa Cook undermines confidence in the dollar. Trade wars: New US tariffs (on India) and retaliatory measures (Mexico, Canada against China) increase demand for "safe havens"
What is important: Political uncertainty and soft rhetoric of the Fed continue to play in favor of gold. Any attempts to reduce will be supported by buyers. It is also worth paying attention to the GDP and Initial Jobless Claims, which will be published today at 12:30 GMT.
Resistance levels: 3405, 3420, 3433
Support levels: 3386, 3373, 3369
Technically, the situation is ambiguous and everything depends on the reaction to 3405 and further news. Weakening of the fundamental background may lead to consolidation or correction to 3373 - 3369. However, if traders feel support, then the retest of 3405 may end with a small consolidation around the level and subsequent breakout and growth to the specified targets (I am more inclined to this scenario based on the above situation)
Best regards, R. Linda!
SILVER Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER keeps growing
And we are bullish biased
Mid-term but the price will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Of 39.52$ from where a local
Bearish pullback is to
Be expected
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPX is in a clear breakout trend! SP:SPX has triggered 2 larger bullish patterns.
Both patterns result in higher price.
Despite the weakness in NVDA the markets have shrugged off the decline.
We are trading into new all time highs so price discovery mode is in a effect.
When you have no resistance pivots or volume to trade against at new all time highs you really have to be careful if you're shorting the market.
Volume trends. extension moves, ATR, deviations should all be included in your analysis to define upside target zones.
We continue to remain net long the markets with key shorts in place.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish and Bearish Reversal Entry DetecteTime Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal - 3400
🩸Bearish Reversal - 3424
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is a follow up post from earlier with the typo correction and also to highlight the target 3416 now completed after ema5 lock above 3390 just like we said.
We will now look for a lock above 3416 for a continuation or failure to lock will see price test lower Goldturns for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we’ve shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends.
The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels, that’s the key difference between them.
BULLISH TARGET
3390 – ✅ DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3416 - ✅ DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3365 – ✅ DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3365 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3347
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3324 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A Piptastic day on the charts with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
After completing our target yesterday at 3390, we stated that ema5 cross and lock above 3390 will follow with a continuation into 3422. We got the lock above 3390 opening 3422, which gave the the push up with the gap still remaining open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we’ve shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid-term swings and trends.
The swing ranges give bigger bounces than our weighted levels, that’s the key difference between them.
BULLISH TARGET
3390 – ✅ DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3365 – ✅ DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3365 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3347
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3324 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3304
3281
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Divergence has appeared at H4 – TOP IS ABOUT TO BE FORMEDGold SMC Daily Plan – 28/08
________________________________________
Market Context (SMC perspective):
• Price is currently trading around 3395–3396 after an impulsive bullish run and showing early bearish divergence on H4, signaling a potential short-term top.
• Key resistance sits at 3400 – a clean break above could sweep liquidity towards 342x–343x, retesting old ATH.
• If 3370 support breaks, price could retrace deeper into the 335x BUY zone for a strong bullish setup.
________________________________________
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3396–3400 (Sell Zone), 342x–343x (liquidity sweep area)
• Support: 3370, 3354–3352 (Buy Zone), 3325 (SL for buys)
________________________________________
SMC Zones & Liquidity Pools:
• BUY ZONE 1: 3354–3352 (below liquidity sweep under 3370)
o SL: 3347
o TP: 3365 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 → 3400+
• BUY ZONE 2: 3380 – 3382
o SL: 3374
o TP: 3390 → 3400 → 3415 →3430 → 3450+
• SELL ZONE: 3408 - 3410 (above recent high)
o SL: 3416
o TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3375 → 3360
________________________________________
Plan & Scenarios:
1. Sell Scenario (Primary Bias – Divergence Play):
o Wait for liquidity grab above 3396–3399 (sweep into resistance)
o Enter short with SL above 3403
o Scale out profits at 3390–3380–3375; leave runner targeting 3360 if support breaks
2. Buy Scenario (Counter Play – Break & Retest):
o If price dips into 3354–3352 buy zone, look for bullish reaction (choch / BOS on lower TF)
o Enter long with SL below 3347
o Target 3365–3375–3385–3395–3400+
________________________________________
Confluence:
• H4 bearish divergence indicating exhaustion at top
• Untapped liquidity zones above 3396 and below 3370
• FVG and imbalance areas aligning with the 335x buy zone
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3410.57
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3402.6
My Stop Loss - 3415.2
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD (XAUUSD): Another Breakout Coming?!
Gold went up yesterday, as I predicted.
The price is testing a key daily horizontal resistance now.
Its breakout and a daily candle close above will provide
another strong bullish confirmation.
Next goal for the buyers will be 3430 resistance then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/USD | EUR/USD Holding 1.16 – Eyes on 1.17 Next! (READ)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.165 and has so far managed to hold above the 1.16 support zone. Based on the current trend and momentum, I expect a potential bullish move toward higher levels, with targets above 1.17.
All the key supply and demand zones are marked on the chart, so keep a close eye on the price reaction around these critical levels!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold XAUUSD Intraday Analysis 28.08.2025Gold volume has been shrinking over time, signaling reduced momentum. The price is approaching the 3403–3405 resistance zone, which aligns with a well-respected trendline. This area can serve as a potential reversal point for a short setup.
If price rejects this zone, downside movement toward 3384 becomes likely. A stop loss above 3414 protects against invalidation of the idea.
Trading Plan (Educational Idea)
Entry Zone (Sell): 3403 – 3405
Stop Loss: 3414
Take Profit: 3384
Notes.
Confirmation is required at the resistance (such as wick rejection, bearish close, or momentum shift).
Invalidation occurs on a sustained break above 3414.
This is a trendline-based counter-trade setup with defined risk.