Gold - The bullrun is over today!💰Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Starting all the way back in 2015, Gold created a major rounding bottom pattern. After the breakout, Gold started its major bullrun, rallying about +300% over the past couple of years. But after this rally, Gold is now showing clear signs of a serious top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$4,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Metals
4 reasons traders are piling back into gold right now Here’s all the reasons gold is up more than 2% today:
U.S. consumer sentiment fell to its second-lowest level ON RECORD.
The government shutdown, the longest in U.S. history, is likely coming to an end this week, easing pressure on the U.S. dollar.
The US economy likely lost jobs in October, and layoffs reached a 20-year high.
Traders now see about a 70% chance of a rate cut next month.
Gold, therefore, is up ~2.8% on Monday to ~$4,115. The XAUUSD RSI indicator has moved above its midline, showing mild buying pressure, while the 50-day moving average near $3,891 may be acting as key support.
So, is 2.8% just the start of a bigger rally?
Gold Breaks above $4050, what is next? Gold prices continued to edge higher on Monday amid growing market speculation that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in December. Despite earlier comments from several Fed officials suggesting no rate cuts this year, the probability of a December cut has strengthened. This renewed optimism has once again boosted gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
However, in my view, the recent price rise isn’t solely driven by expectations of rate cuts. There are several broader macroeconomic and geopolitical factors contributing to gold’s bullish momentum.
Following the recent meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, markets were initially hopeful that a significant trade breakthrough would ease tensions between the U.S. and China. Investors expected that China might resume exports of rare minerals and critical raw materials, which are essential for semiconductor production.
While China has indeed decided to extend the export suspension of certain materials—particularly gallium and antimony—until 2026, the uncertainty beyond that timeframe has created further anxiety in global markets. This uncertainty, combined with expectations of slower global economic growth into 2026, is strengthening demand for gold as a long-term hedge.
In addition, major central banks such as China, Russia, and Turkey have been steadily increasing their gold reserves. This accumulation provides additional support for gold prices, as these institutions are likely to continue buying on dips to diversify away from dollar exposure. Fundamentally, the overall outlook remains strongly bullish for gold.
From October 20 to October 28, gold experienced a short-term pullback. Despite that correction, price action consistently respected the key support zone near $3,990–$4,000, never forming a stable close below it. The market repeatedly failed to break below that base, showing buyers’ strength.
On the upside, the immediate resistance zone around $4,030–$4,050 had held firm for several sessions. However, during today’s early trading session, gold successfully broke above this resistance, establishing stability above the breakout level.
Currently, the next short-term target lies near the $4,130–$4,150 range. If the daily candle closes bullishly, even a minor correction could be followed by another leg upward toward that zone.
Given that $4,150 represents a strong resistance area, a brief pullback is possible once price reaches it. But if gold can sustain a stable close above $4,150, the next psychological target would be around $4,200–$4,230, with a potential final upside target near $4,280–$4,300.
Support & Risk Levels
Immediate Support: $4,050
Next Strong Support: $3,970 – $4,000
Major Support (Invalidation Zone): $3,880 – $3,900
As long as gold holds above the $3,880–$3,900 range, a major downtrend remains unlikely. Buyers continue to defend lower levels aggressively, and momentum remains positive both fundamentally and technically.
Gold remains underpinned by a mix of fundamental optimism (potential Fed rate cuts, central-bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty) and technical strength above its breakout levels. A sustained move above $4,150 could open the path toward $4,300, while a break below $3,970 might trigger a temporary correction.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Let’s break down the technical analysis presented:
Overall Idea
The analysis suggests that Gold is likely to continue its upward movement after a possible short-term retracement. The chart projects a move toward the target point at 4,160.549.
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Key Technical Elements
1. Break of Structure / Trendline Break
A descending trendline (black) has been broken to the upside, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
The breakout candle is strong and supported by volume, confirming bullish momentum.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone
A Fair Value Gap (blue box) has been marked where price may retrace to fill imbalance before continuing higher.
This FVG area also aligns with the previous resistance turned support, adding confluence for a bullish continuation.
3. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)
EMA 50 (blue): 4,016.295
EMA 200 (black): 3,965.661
Price has crossed above both EMAs, indicating a strong bullish trend shift.
A bullish EMA crossover may be forming, further confirming upward bias.
4. Projection Path
After a short retracement into the FVG zone, the expected price structure shows:
A bounce upward forming higher highs.
The final target zone is projected at 4,160.549, where a potential take-profit level lies.
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Target and Confirmation
Target Point: 4,160.549
Retracement Zone (Buy Area): Within the blue FVG zone (around 4,060–4,080 range).
Confirmation: Watch for a bullish reaction (e.g., bullish engulfing or rejection wicks) within the FVG zone before entry.
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Risk Considerations
If price closes below the FVG or drops back under 4,016 (50 EMA), it could invalidate the bullish continuation setup.
Fundamental catalysts like U.S. Dollar strength or economic data releases could cause volatility and affect momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
This analysis outlines a bullish continuation setup on Gold, expecting a pullback into the FVG for liquidity collection before resuming upward momentum toward 4,160.549.
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H timeframe, following Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and structural confluence trading. Let’s break down the full reasoning behind this setup
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Overall Concept
The chart suggests that Gold is preparing for a bullish breakout after a successful retest of the trendline and demand zone, signaling potential institutional accumulation before a push toward the target level at 4,080.231.
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Technical Breakdown
1. Market Structure
Price recently broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential change of character (ChoCH) from bearish to bullish structure.
The higher lows and multiple rejections from the blue demand zone confirm buyer interest.
The small arrow and upward projection illustrate an expected retracement and continuation pattern (impulse → correction → new impulse).
2. Key Levels
Current Price: 4,001.275
50 EMA: 4,003.110 → Price is now testing and starting to close above this level, showing renewed bullish strength.
200 EMA: 3,960.048 → Dynamic support confirming mid-term bullish bias.
Demand Zone (blue area): Around 3,985–3,995 — key zone for re-entries and confirmation of buyer defense.
Target Point: 4,080.231 (aligned with a liquidity zone or prior imbalance area).
3. Confluences
EMA Cross: Price pushing above both 50 and 200 EMA — often a signal of trend reversal strength.
Trendline Retest: The green arrow indicates a successful retest of broken resistance turned support.
Bullish Structure: Higher highs and higher lows forming above the EMAs.
Volume: 101K+ — healthy momentum supporting institutional buy continuation.
4. Expected Scenario
1. Short-term retracement into the blue demand zone or along the ascending trendline.
2. Bullish reaction (engulfing candle or rejection wick).
3. Continuation move toward the 4,080 target zone.
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Trade Idea Summary
Aspect Detail
Bias Bullish
Entry Zone 3,985 – 3,995 (demand + trendline confluence)
Stop Loss Below 3,960 (under EMA200 and previous swing low)
Take Profit 4,080
Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better
Mr SMC Trading point
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Confirmation to Watch
Bullish candle close above 4,005 (EMA50)
Rejection from the blue demand zone
Break of short-term high around 4,015 confirming continuation
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Summary
Gold appears ready for a trend continuation following accumulation above major EMAs and a clean retest of structure. The next impulsive move is projected toward 4,080, aligning with prior liquidity and smart money target areas.
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Gold – Distribution Before DropGold – Distribution Before Drop
Gold is showing signs of exhaustion after the recent corrective bounce. The 3H market structure highlights a clear distribution pattern, as price continues to reject from the 4,100–4,250 supply zone. Repeated Break of Structure (BOS) signals that bearish momentum remains dominant.
Institutional activity suggests that liquidity is being built above local highs, preparing for another downside leg. The current market sentiment stays bearish as long as price trades below the key premium area. A confirmed rejection from this zone could trigger a decline toward the 3,904 liquidity pool.
Only a breakout and hold above 4,250 would invalidate this scenario and shift bias back to bullish accumulation.
GOLD | Daily Analysis #5 - 10 November 2025Hello and Welcome back to DP,
Technical Analysis:
🟩 Demand Zones (Support Areas)
$4,025 – $4,060
This is the primary demand zone
Formed after a strong bullish impulse that broke previous structure highs.
Multiple bullish candles emerged from this zone with increasing volume — clear institutional buying footprint.
Acts as immediate support if price retraces.
A sustained hold above $4,060 keeps short-term buyers in control.
🟥 Supply Zones (Resistance Areas)
$4,108 – $4,148
Prior distribution area before the sharp drop in late October.
Sellers previously defended this level twice (confirmed by the red arrows).
Expect profit-taking or short setups on the first retest — this is major resistance in the short term.
First rejection likely near $4,120; a 2H close above $4,150 would invalidate the bearish pressure here.
$4,366 – $4,370 (black line above)
Upper-level supply and major swing high from October.
Would become the next upside target if price breaks and holds above $4,150.
SO, After forming a higher low near $3,760, price shifted bullish, breaking successive minor structure highs. Current move is an impulsive leg approaching the first strong supply zone ($4,108–$4,148).
The market is bullish in the short term, but approaching key overhead supply.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM
Amir D.Kohn
Gold Price Setup: The Pullback Signal Is Getting Stronger!OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action now testing the upper boundary. This level may act as a dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a correction toward 4,030.
Such a pullback aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after a strong rally. I anticipate this move will serve as an important launchpad for buyers, defined by the confluence of horizontal support and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical in determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds and shows signs of reversal, it could offer a solid re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this region would invalidate the current bullish outlook, opening the door for a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and manage risk wisely. Stay sharp, and trade smart.
Gold 30-Min — Volume Buy & Sell Reversals Triggered⚡Base : Hanzo Trading Alpha Algorithm
The algorithm calculates volatility displacement vs liquidity recovery, identifying where probability meets imbalance.
It trades only where precision, volume, and manipulation intersect —only logic.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — LONG / Reversal 4004
☄️Bullish momentum confirmed through strong candle body.
☄️Structure shifted with higher-low near key demand base.
☄️Volume expanding confirms order-flow alignment upward.
☄️Buyers reclaimed imbalance with sustained clean break.
☄️Algorithm detects rising momentum under low liquidity.
✈️ Technical Reasons
/ Direction — SHORT / Reversal 4093
☄️Bearish rejection confirmed through sharp candle body.
☄️Lower-high forming beneath resistance supply region.
☄️Volume decreasing confirms exhaustion in price rally.
☄️Sellers regained imbalance with heavy top rejection.
☄️Algorithm detects fading demand and shift to control.
⚙️ Hanzo Alpha Trading Protocol
The Alpha Candle defines the day’s real control zone — the first battle of momentum.
From this origin, the Volume Window reveals where the next precision strike begins.
⚙️ Hanzo Volume Window / Map
Window tracked from 10:30 — mapping true market behavior.
POC alignment exposes institutional bias and breakout potential zones.
⚙️ Hanzo Delta Window / Pulse
Delta window monitors real buying vs. selling power behind each move.
Tracks volume aggression to expose who controls the candle — buyers or sellers.
When Delta aligns with Volume Map, momentum becomes undeniable.
Silver Tries a Comeback but It Could Depend on the ShutdownSilver is contracting within a triangle-like pattern. After the sharp selloff, it managed to find some balance above the 47.60–47.80 zone and has since regained the 200 SMA on the 60-minute timeframe.
Liquidity constraints tied to QT and the US government shutdown are creating downward pressure on precious metals. These factors are likely to ease once the shutdown and QT end, and the market may start pricing that in early, potentially leading to renewed bullish momentum in the coming days.
The 49.30 level is likely to serve as the trigger for upward movement. Until that resistance breaks, it’s best to remain cautious.
Bullish Gold TurnaroundOver the weekend, Trump’s $2000 tariff dividend announcement and the Senate’s first step toward ending the shutdown gave a strong boost to gold prices. Both developments are helping to ease the dollar liquidity crunch that has pressured gold in recent days.
It’s not over yet, but after testing the 4130–4150 resistance zone, gold might see a short-term selloff that could present a new buying opportunity. With quantitative tightening set to end in December, bullish pressure is likely to persist in the medium term.
XAUUSD Has it started a Bear Cycle according to the Dollar??Gold (XAUUSD) may be rising early into the week on news of a potential U.S. government opening but remains heavily rejected from the Highs of the past 3 weeks.
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY illustrated by the black trend-line) has been staging its first legitimate bottom since December 2020 and is rebounding. That DXY's bottom came a few months after Gold's top for that Cycle. The result was the start of Gold's new 2-year Bear Cycle.
In fact that DXY bottoming pattern was also present in 2011, right before Gold topped this time. This suggests that the current DXY bottom has the potential to start a new multi-year rally, hence a new Bear Cycle for Gold.
This pattern is further strengthened by the fact that Gold has formed a Quadruple Top on its 1W RSI Resistance Zone, similar to both of its previous Cycle Top patterns since 2011.
Is the Dollar signaling a Bear Cycle on Gold?
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Third Gold Long AttemptSo, the crypto, especially some key altcoins on the move, more talk about ending shutdown but Hassett kill the stock market. Crpto and gold is rising despite that. There is something going on but timing seems to be hard to detirmine. I want to enter the weekned on with long position.
Long - XAUUSD Hit TP on early MondayAnother week opened, XAUUSD long position hit TP as expected. I took a buy following a strong rejection at support zine. Price closed the week with 4000 after a strong bullish candle/rejected wick, confirming a short term bullish bias and surge with a sharp move earlier this morning.
XAUUSD – Ahead of U.S. Inflation / Technical Setup🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to consolidate as traders weigh cooling inflation data against persistent Federal Reserve caution.
Last week’s PPI reading at 2.6% YoY strengthened expectations for a softer Fed stance, boosting gold from its recent lows.
However, uncertainty remains before the next CPI release, keeping volatility high and sentiment mixed.
Current sentiment:
Mild risk-on tone from easing inflation expectations.
Safe-haven demand persists amid geopolitical risks and Fed rhetoric.
London session: Likely accumulation and reaction from lower zones.
New York session: Expect volatility around liquidity pools near 4,080.
Overall bias: Bullish within correction, but prone to reactive sell-offs from upper supply zones.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + Liquidity Structure)
Price is forming a higher-low structure, suggesting continuation potential if liquidity below 3,988 and 3,928 remains protected.
Recent CHoCH confirms short-term bullish intent, though liquidity above 4,078 remains a strong magnet.
Demand zones: 3,990–3,988 and 3,930–3,928 show strong confluence with prior order blocks and inefficiencies.
Supply zone: 4,080–4,078 aligns with a prior imbalance and liquidity cluster — key short zone.
Expect liquidity grabs at both extremes before trend continuation.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
Zone Type Description
4,080 – 4,078 ▶️ Sell Zone NY session supply + liquidity rejection area
3,990 – 3,988 ▶️ Buy Zone 1 Intraday structural demand; potential CHoCH setup
3,930 – 3,928 ▶️ Buy Zone 2 Deep support; ideal for liquidity sweep reversals
4,086 ▶️ Stop Zone (Sell SL) Above daily high – invalidation of bearish idea
3,982 ▶️ Stop Zone (Buy 1 SL) Below structural support
3,922 ▶️ Stop Zone (Buy 2 SL) Below deep liquidity base – full invalidation
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
⚠️ SELL SCENARIO – NY SESSION LIQUIDITY REJECTION
Entry: 4,080 – 4,078
Stop-Loss: 4,086
TP1: 4,065 TP2: 4,040 TP3: 3,990
Logic: Supply confluence + liquidity run above previous high; wait for M5/M15 rejection or CHoCH confirmation.
✅ BUY SCENARIO 1 – MAIN STRUCTURAL SUPPORT
Entry: 3,990 – 3,988
Stop-Loss: 3,982
TP1: 4,010 TP2: 4,040 TP3: 4,078 (trail if momentum strong)
Logic: SSL sweep + CHoCH confirmation; core intraday long setup for London session.
✅ BUY SCENARIO 2 – DEEP SUPPORT SWEEP
Entry: 3,930 – 3,928
Stop-Loss: 3,922
TP1: 3,950 TP2: 3,980 TP3: 4,010
Logic: Deep liquidity grab + structural shift; ideal for high RR reversal setup.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Focus primarily on buy setups from 3,990 and 3,930 zones during London.
Monitor 4,080–4,078 for reactive sell opportunities during NY session.
Avoid entering around high-impact news releases (CPI / Fed remarks).
Confirm entries with liquidity sweep + candle rejection or BOS on M5/M15.
Manage risk strictly — max 2% per trade, trail stops once TP1 hits.
Expect liquidity manipulation near session opens; let the market form direction first.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold remains in a corrective bullish phase with a clear liquidity range between 3,930 support and 4,080 resistance.
Two buy zones (3,990–3,988 and 3,930–3,928) are key areas of interest for accumulation setups.
The sell zone at 4,080–4,078 marks a high-probability liquidity trap for intraday reversals.
Trade with confirmation, patience, and disciplined risk management ahead of U.S. inflation data releases.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Price Action Retest on Trendline SupportGold continues to hold its bullish momentum after a strong impulsive move from the $3,940 zone, forming a clean uptrend structure on the H1 timeframe. The current setup shows price retesting the broken trendline and holding above minor intraday support at $4,078.
A successful retest here could trigger another leg toward the upper resistance at $4,121 – $4,130, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone. RSI remains in the bullish territory, supporting short-term continuation bias as long as price stays above $4,050.
Trading Plan:
Entry: $4,079 – $4,082 (trendline retest area)
Stop Loss: Below $4,050
Target: $4,121 – $4,130
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:2
If gold maintains structure above EMA20 and the trendline, buyers may dominate intraday. However, a breakdown below $4,050 will invalidate the bullish scenario and signal potential correction toward $4,020.
Stay alert for confirmation candles before entry, and remember—reaction at this level will determine the next move.
Follow for daily professional gold strategies and chart updates.
Gold’s Calm Before the Storm – Triangle Ending Soon!Over the past 10 days , many traders—especially those working on 15-minute and higher timeframes—might have found Gold a bit tedious as it's been somewhat range-bound.
Right now, Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is sitting in a Support zone($4,004 – $3,895) and is also relatively close to a Resistance zone($4,046 – $4,004) .
From a Classical Technical Analysis standpoint on the 1-hour timeframe, it looks like gold has formed a Symmetrical Triangle and it's currently moving near the upper line of this triangle. Additionally, there's a small ascending channel that has formed over the last couple of days, which is something to keep in mind.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, Gold might be forming a Contracting Triangle that could be completed by the time it finishes wave E.
I expect that Gold may decline at least to the lower line of the symmetrical triangle in the coming hours. If it breaks that lower line , we might see further downside and a clearer direction for gold’s main movement. Otherwise, it could bounce again.
Second Target: $3,913
Stop Loss(SL): $4,04(Worst)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,984.0
Target Level: 4,875.1
Stop Loss: 5,056.8
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold – Holding Below 4102 | Key Breakout Zone to WatchGOLD | Overview
Gold soars on Fed rate-cut bets despite government shutdown progress.
Prices jumped in early trading, supported by rising expectations of further interest rate cuts in December after U.S. data revealed a surge in October layoffs and weakening consumer sentiment — the highest concern level in over two weeks.
Signs of a slowing U.S. economy outweighed optimism over progress in ending the record-breaking government shutdown, keeping demand for safe-haven assets elevated.
Technically:
Gold remains under bearish momentum as long as it trades below 4102, with downside targets at 4056 and 4025.
However, a temporary correction toward 4090–4102 is possible before resuming the bearish move.
On the other hand, a 1H close above 4102 would shift bias to bullish continuation, targeting 4155 and 4189.
Pivot Line: 4102
Resistance: 4102 · 4155 · 4189
Support: 4056 · 4025 · 4004
Outlook:
Gold remains bearish while below 4102, with potential for correction toward 4090–4102 before resuming its decline to 4056–4025.
A confirmed 1H close above 4102 would invalidate the bearish bias and support a bullish reversal toward 4155–4189.
XAUUSD – Bullish structure aiming for 4,218 FVG zone 🎯 Price has completed a clean liquidity sweep above 4,087, confirming that Smart Money has cleared the short-term highs before continuing higher. The market structure has now shifted bullish, showing clear intent to reach the imbalance zone between 4,157–4,218, where an important Bearish FVG / Supply block remains unmitigated.
The 4,017–4,020 Bullish Order Block below current price is the key mitigation area I’m watching for potential re-entry. If price retraces into this zone and confirms with a BOS up, I’ll be looking for longs targeting 4,087 first, then 4,157–4,218 as the main liquidity draw.
As long as price holds above 4,017, the short-term bias stays bullish. A clean break below that would shift focus back to lower liquidity levels near 3,980, where the next accumulation could form.
Overall, this setup reflects a classic liquidity grab → structure shift → FVG draw, and I’ll stay patient to let price confirm from the OB before engaging.✨
This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice. Like & Follow for daily updates.






















