Metals
Gold Futures (MGCZ2025) — Weekly FVG Magnet & Potential ReversalPrice has been respecting Standard Deviation levels beautifully across the H4, Daily, and Weekly timeframes. The market recently rejected the H4 FVG and is now hovering mid-range, with a Weekly Fair Value Gap left open below.
This imbalance could attract price early in the week, creating a liquidity grab and possible weekly low before Gold flips bullish again.
Key Levels:
🟤 H4 FVG rejection zone: 4,040 – 4,080
🔵 Weekly FVG target: 3,880 – 3,900
⚫ Weekly High: 4,124
⚫ Weekly Low: 3,901
Narrative:
I’m expecting price to push into the Weekly FVG discount zone early in the week — potentially aligning with high-impact financial news — and then reverse bullish for a mid-week or end-of-week rally.
Watch For:
Price displacement or BOS near the Weekly FVG
Killzone reactions (London & NY)
Volume and order flow confirmation before entering
Bias: Short-term bearish → medium-term bullish
Invalidation: Sustained trade below 3,842 (Weekly Lows & -1σ zone breach)
Gold’s Pullback Is a Trap for the UnpreparedGold is not collapsing. It is consolidating after a historic surge, and the evidence across timeframes shows this dip is a high probability buying opportunity. Traders focused only on the short term are missing the bigger picture because the monthly and weekly charts reveal a powerful bull trend still intact.
The monthly timeframe tells the dominant story. Gold closed October at 3858.45, near its all time high of 4381.44, with the 1M RSI 7 at 95.44 and 1M ADX 14 at 63.15—confirming an extremely strong uptrend. The MACD histogram remains positive at 81.78, and price is trading well above all major monthly moving averages, including the 1M SMA 200 at 1592.71. This is not a market ready to reverse. It is a market pausing to digest gains before its next leg up.
On the weekly chart, the structure remains bullish. Price pulled back from 4381.44 to test the 3886.47 low, which aligns with the 1W SMA 10 at 3776.44 and the lower Bollinger Band at 2991.35—still far below current levels. The weekly ADX 14 is 53.91, signaling a strong trend, and the MACD histogram is still positive at 59.92. Even though the weekly RSI is overbought, that is normal in strong bull markets and does not signal an imminent reversal.
Now look at the daily chart. Price is at 4002.81, below the 1D SMA 10 (4096.48) and 1D SMA 20 (4080.89), creating short term bearish pressure. The daily MACD histogram is negative at –41.99, and RSI 14 is neutral at 52.48, suggesting temporary weakness. But crucially, price is holding above the daily pivot at 3989.09 and the 1D SMA 50 at 3808.41—a major support zone. The 3950.95 S1 pivot and 3877.38 S2 level offer clear downside buffers.
The 4 hour chart shows early signs of stabilization. Price is trading above the 4H SMA 20 (3982.52) and the MACD histogram has turned positive at 8.49, hinting at short term momentum building to the upside.
Short term, gold could test 3950 over the next 5 to 10 days as bears push for a deeper retracement. But the higher probability outcome is a bounce from this zone toward 4100, supported by 4H momentum and daily support alignment.
Medium term, within 4 to 8 weeks, gold is likely to reclaim 4250 and challenge the all time high near 4380. This aligns with the upper weekly Bollinger Band at 4140.24 expanding upward and sustained volume on up weeks.
Long term, by the end of Q1 2026, gold is positioned to reach 4700, based on the monthly R3 pivot at 4442.75 and the continuation of the primary bull trend confirmed by monthly ADX and MACD strength.
This pullback is not weakness. It is the market separating disciplined trend followers from emotional sellers. The technicals across timeframes confirm one truth: gold’s bull run is far from over.
GOLD: Bullish! Continue To Buy! The +FVG Is Holding!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Nov. 3 - 7th.
Gold has completed the pullback into the Weekly +FVG. It has moved sideways since, but inching higher.
Buys are valid. They have the highest probability.
Sells become valid only after a bearish break of market structure!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
XAUUSD Acceptance Rule at 4 000 - Map for 3-7 Nov 2025Context, in plain language
Gold finished Friday near 3 998.4 on my feed and sits right on the round 4 000 pivot. October was a runaway month with fresh records. In the final week of this rally phase the market will test whether price can live above four thousand or if it needs another breath. The plan below keeps things simple. I work from one decision line, a short event ladder, and a fixed risk template. Education only.
Why four thousand matters
Round numbers concentrate liquidity. They create noise on the first touch then clarity on the second. At four thousand you will see stop runs in both directions and you will see fast fades. The edge comes from trading acceptance rather than touch. Acceptance for me means two closes on the execution timeframe above or below the line. I use four hour for structure and fifteen minute for triggers. If you prefer one hour or five minute, keep the logic exactly the same and do not chase the first spike.
What can move price this week
It is a data led week. Monday brings ISM Manufacturing. Tuesday brings JOLTS. Wednesday brings ADP in the early morning and ISM Services late morning. Friday is the Employment Situation. The Federal Reserve cut the policy rate last week and said future steps depend on incoming data, so these releases are live for gold. I treat Monday as tone setting, Wednesday as positioning, and Friday as the weekly verdict. Times are Eastern. If you trade from Europe, align your session planning the night before.
Levels to work with if Friday’s close is your anchor
Immediate map
• 4 000 is the decision line.
• 4 050 to 4 060 is the first upside gate from the early October stall area.
• 4 100 opens if services data or jobs come in soft and real yields ease.
• 3 950 to 3 920 is first support on pullbacks where late sellers often get trapped.
• 3 880 to 3 800 is the larger retest zone from the September breakout.
I draw one bold line at 4 000. I shade two narrow boxes at 4 050 to 4 060 and 3 950 to 3 920. I leave the wider retest box lighter at 3 880 to 3 800. No extra overlays. No spaghetti. The clarity helps when the tape speeds up.
How I will trade it
Before New York I check two things. The dollar index trend. The ten year real yield tone. If both rise together I will be patient with longs and I will only buy strength that proves acceptance over four thousand with time. If both slip together I will allow a second test long that holds above four thousand and I will target the first gate at 4 050 to 4 060. If the event hits and the first move rips through four thousand I do nothing. I wait for the pause. The second test is the trade.
Triggers
Long idea
• Event passes and the second test holds above 4 000 with two closes on fifteen minute.
• Dollar fails to make a higher high on the hour.
• Target 4 050 to 4 060 first, then trail toward 4 100 only if the day opens up.
• Invalidation below 3 980 on a five minute close or a clear failure back inside the pre release range.
Short idea
• Clean rejection of 4 000 after the event.
• Dollar and real yields bid together.
• Target 3 950 to 3 920 first. Leave room for 3 880 only if the day does not bounce.
• Invalidation above 4 020 on a five minute close.
Risk template
I size so that a normal day’s pullback does not force me out. A simple rule is to keep per trade risk inside one third of the five day ATR. I place stops beyond the opposite edge of the zone I am trading. I never move a stop closer because the candle looks scary. I take partials into the first gate only when the day’s range is already near the expected move for that session. If spreads widen during the release I stand aside for five minutes. This alone will save you from many avoidable losses.
Common traps to avoid
Do not trade the first touch at four thousand. The tape loves to run stops there. Do not fade a break that holds for thirty minutes above the decision line. The whole edge is acceptance. Do not add size in front of Friday’s Employment Situation. This report resets everything. Finally do not forget that gold can gap through levels on macro surprises. The way to survive that is small size, predefined exits, and a plan to do nothing if liquidity is thin.
Event ladder for the week
Monday. ISM Manufacturing sets the opening tone.
Tuesday. JOLTS shapes labor cooling views.
Wednesday. ADP and ISM Services drive pre positioning into Friday.
Friday. Employment Situation at the open. I go reactive only after the first five minutes settle.
How to set up your chart
Timeframe four hour for structure. Timeframe fifteen minute for triggers. Draw a single line at 4 000. Shade the two narrow zones at 4 050 to 4 060 and 3 950 to 3 920. Add a lighter box at 3 880 to 3 800. Nothing else. If you must watch the dollar, keep it on a separate chart. The goal is to make the decision obvious when the release hits.
Three rule bullets that define the model
• Trade acceptance, not touch, at 4 000. Wait for two closes to confirm.
• Use the event ladder to scale risk. Light early. Normal only after the day’s release.
• Place invalidation beyond the opposite band of the zone you are trading.
Education and analytics only. No investment advice.
GC Higher or Lower?Looking at GC on the 4 hour TF, we see it consolidating in a small rising wedge. If price wants to continue higher, I will be looking for price to drop back down to the $3980s level and then move higher breaking out of the wedge. If price wants to continue lower, I will be looking for price to make its way up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level marked on the chart, around $4090s, before breaking back down and creating another leg down in its recent downtrend.
What are your thoughts on GC?
XCU/USD: Will This Demand Zone Hold for Bulls?🎯 XCU/USD: The Great Copper Heist Strategy | Multi-Layer Entry Setup 💰
📊 Asset Analysis
Copper vs U.S. Dollar (XCU/USD) - Metals Market
Strategy Type: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: 🐂 BULLISH CONFIRMATION
🔍 Technical Setup Overview
The setup shows bullish confirmation with triangular moving averages converging in a demand zone - a classic institutional accumulation pattern. We're seeing strong support structure forming, making this an attractive risk-reward opportunity for multi-layer entries.
🎯 The "Layered Entry" Strategy Explained
This isn't your typical single-entry approach. We're using a multi-limit order layering strategy (what I call the "strategic accumulation method") to build positions gradually:
📍 Suggested Layer Entry Levels:
Layer 1️⃣: $4.9000
Layer 2️⃣: $4.9500
Layer 3️⃣: $5.0000
Layer 4️⃣: $5.0500
Layer 5️⃣: $5.1000
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your account size and risk tolerance. The beauty of layering? You average into the position as price dips, reducing overall entry cost.
🛡️ Risk Management
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $4.8000
This level invalidates the bullish structure and protects capital if the setup fails.
⚠️ Important Disclaimer: The stop loss mentioned is based on this specific analysis. You should always determine your own risk parameters based on your account size, risk tolerance, and trading plan. Take profits at YOUR comfort level - your risk, your rules! 🎲
🎯 Profit Targets & Exit Strategy
Primary Target: $5.4000 🎊
This represents a solid risk-reward ratio from our layered entries.
⚠️ Long-Term Resistance Warning: There's a major resistance zone around $28.00 (historical supply zone acting as a strong barrier + potential overbought conditions). If you're thinking ultra-long term, be aware that this level has trapped bulls before.
💰 Exit Strategy Note: The targets provided are guideline levels. Always manage your own exits based on price action, momentum, and your personal profit goals. Lock in gains when you're comfortable - trading is personal!
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Analysis)
Keep an eye on these correlated assets to confirm the copper move:
HG (Copper Futures) - Direct correlation, primary benchmark
FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.) - Major copper producer, equity proxy
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weak dollar = stronger copper
CL (Crude Oil) - Industrial commodity correlation
AUD/USD - Australian dollar heavily tied to copper exports
CNY/USD - China is the largest copper consumer globally
💡 Key Point: If DXY weakens and AUD/USD strengthens while industrial commodities rally, this confirms the copper bullish thesis.
📈 Why This Setup Works
✅ Triangular MA convergence in demand zone = strong technical confluence
✅ Multi-layer entry reduces timing risk
✅ Clear invalidation level for risk management
✅ Favorable risk-reward ratio to first target
✅ Industrial metals showing strength in current macro environment
⚡ Final Thoughts
This is a methodical approach to capturing potential upside in copper while managing downside risk through layered entries. Remember: trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Build positions strategically, manage risk religiously, and let the market come to you.
🎭 Strategy Style Disclaimer
This analysis uses a creative "layered accumulation" approach for educational and entertainment purposes. All trading involves substantial risk of loss. This is not financial advice - trade at your own risk and always do your own research. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. ⚠️📉
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#XCU #Copper #MetalsTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexTrading #CommodityTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #XCUUSD #CopperFutures #MultiLayerEntry
Is the Gold Bull Market Over? Gold has had a double digit correction form the all time high.
Pulling back just over 11% is very healthy if the bull market trend is to resume.
On an intra day 4 hour time frame gold is still looking very weak.
However the weekly pattern was able to hold a key weekly bullish level.
Gold is at a very tricky inflection point so i would personally wait until you get some key breakout or breakdown signals.
Look towards your miners to see if they are gaining additional liquidity. They will often lead.
Bullish Momentum Confirmed on $XPT/USD!💎 PLATINUM vs U.S DOLLAR | Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 💎
Plan:
📈 Bullish plan confirmed ✅ with pullback retest in triangular moving average + re-accumulation at neutral zone.
Entry:
💰 YOU CAN ENTER AT ANY PRICE LEVEL — Thief Layer Strategy.
Stop Loss:
⛔ This is Thief SL @1500
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I do NOT recommend using only my SL. Your choice, your risk — make money responsibly.
Target:
🎯 @1720 → Police barricade zone: strong resistance + overbought + trap alert 🚨
💎 Preferred escape target: @1700
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), I do NOT recommend using only my TP. Your choice, your risk — take profits as you see fit.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch & Key Points
$XAU/USD (Gold vs USD): Often shows strong correlation with Platinum. Watch Gold for leading/confirming bullish momentum.
$PALL/USD (Palladium vs USD): Platinum & Palladium can diverge in industrial demand cycles. Check for divergence alerts.
AMEX:USD Index (DXY): Strong USD = pressure on XPT/USD; weak USD = tailwind. Key macro driver.
Key Points:
1️⃣ Pullback retest on triangular MA shows strong buying interest.
2️⃣ Re-accumulation at neutral zone signals continuation of bullish trend.
3️⃣ Keep an eye on overbought conditions near $1720 — possible profit-taking zone.
4️⃣ Cross-asset signals (Gold/Palladium) strengthen conviction for swing/day trades.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer:
⚠️ This is Thief-style trading strategy just for fun. Trade responsibly and at your own risk.
#XPTUSD #Platinum #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #BullishSetup #TradingStrategy #ThiefStyleTrading #MetalsMarket #TradingViewIdeas
Silver Strategy Map — Thief Layers, Smart Targets, and Risk Zone📊 XAG/USD “Silver vs U.S Dollar” — Metals Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade)
🔑 Plan: Bullish Setup
This setup follows the “Thief Strategy”, which means using layered limit entries to scale into the trade. Instead of going all-in at one level, we “steal the entries” across multiple layers.
💰 Layered Buy Limit Entries (Example Setup):
46.200
46.400
46.600
46.800
47.000
👉 You can increase layers as per your own plan and risk style.
🛑 Stop Loss (Protective Exit): 45.600
(This is my thief SL — but you’re free to adjust as per your own risk appetite.)
🎯 Target Zone: 49.000
⚠️ Around 49.300, we see a “Police Barricade” (heavy resistance + overbought conditions + potential trap).
That’s where profits should be taken — escape with gains before the trap closes!
Why This Setup?
Support Zones: Strong accumulation zones forming near 45.600–46.000.
Trend Bias: Silver remains bullish in the medium-term metals market outlook.
Layering Strategy Advantage: Reduces entry risk and allows better average fill.
Profit Zone: 49.000 aligns with strong supply area + RSI extension risk.
🔗 Correlation & Related Pairs to Watch
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold vs USD): Gold often leads Silver’s moves — watch Gold for early signals.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): A weaker USD usually boosts metals.
TVC:PLATINUM & CAPITALCOM:PALLADIUM : Industrial metals correlation — strong moves here can influence Silver sentiment.
TVC:SILVER Futures: Always track COMEX Silver contracts for volume confirmation.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
📌 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy, created just for fun and educational sharing. Not financial advice — trade at your own risk.
#XAGUSD #Silver #Metals #TradingStrategy #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #Gold #DXY #Forex #Commodities
ADA JESSE LIVERMORE SPECULATIVE ACCUMULATION CYLINDERADA is currently experiencing a Jesse Livermore Accumulation Cylinder described in 1925
Typically this pattern resolves with powerful moves to the upside when presenting in a basing pattern
Other assets that underwent this pattern before explosive moves up are
Palladium
Platinum
Silver
Uranium
MOS
IPI
LEU
LTBR
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Nov 03 - Nov 07]This week, global OANDA:XAUUSD prices recorded their second consecutive weekly decline. Spot gold started the week at $4,104/oz, dropped to $3,886/oz at one point, and then recovered to around $4,000/oz.
In the coming week, gold prices may move sideways with no clear trend, requiring more time for accumulation.
If the price trades above the 4,045 resistance level, it may recover to 4,150, and a break above this level could push it toward 4,250.
However, if the price falls below 3,900, there is a risk of a sell-off, potentially dragging it down to around 3,750.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,750 – 3,900 USD
Resistance: 4,045 – 4,150 – 4,250 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4151 - 4149⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4155
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3899 - 3901⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3895
Gold Trend Analysis 4-Hour Time Frame
Hi Traders
The analysis for this week is ideal for me according to this flash move.
Since the daily candlestick closed as a doji and indecisive, we mark the high and low range of this daily candlestick and refer to the 15-minute time frame. Depending on whether the high or low breaks or breaks out, we enter the trade.
Considering the liquidity of 4050 and the remaining orders, the balance of 15 minutes, one hour and 4 hours, which are important numbers 4062, 4075 and 4090, the upward movement can be considered initially to hunt liquidity and attract orders in these ranges, and then continue the price correction until we have liquidities at the bottom of the price, including 3915 and 3886 ... Good luck
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 4079 and a gap below at 3985. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
4079
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4079 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
4173
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4173 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4264
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4264 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4340
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4340 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4422
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 4422 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
4494
BEARISH TARGETS
3985
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3985 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3873
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3873 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3741
3632
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis for Next Week
Here is my structure analysis for Gold for next week.
Support 1: 3868 - 3927 area
Support 2: 3766 - 3830 area
Support 3: 3690 - 3736 area
Resistance 1: 4023 - 4109 area
Resistance 2: 4187 - 4245 area
Resistance 3: 4357 - 4383 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU USD - Corrective wave ABC?Updte to previous post.
Still long, awaiting the corrective structure to occur - firstly to break and hold under $4000 (key level).
Downward channel - to $3800 which is another area of interest - reason being, it holds high volume at a structure point under $3800. So, we sit tight and await the corrective pattern to emerge and complete.
Daily chart image shows my thought pattern and an opportunity I am waiting for price to revert to.
I'm referring to the Daily price chart and key counts are in line with Wave counting and supply and demand curve trading levels based on fair value gap intervals of weekly trading sessions plotted to a daily chart at intervals of 60.
Current wave - 3 of 5 in the Elliott wave count.
Experiencing ABC corrective structure.
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
Do you enjoy the setups?
Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Focus on investing for long term positional moves
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment.
To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXIV
Gold: Technicals vs. Fundamentals as Prices DipGold is currently facing significant downward pressure, recently touching its lowest point since early October and dipping below the $4,000 mark. This bearish sentiment is largely fueled by two key factors: cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding policy easing, and a noticeable de-escalation in the ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China.
As traders, we're now watching for the next catalyst. Upcoming macroeconomic data from the US, coupled with further commentary from Fed officials, will be critical in shaping Gold's near-term valuation.
The December Rate Cut: Not a Done Deal
While the market has been pricing in potential rate cuts, it's important to remember that a cut in December is not yet a certainty. This ambiguity is keeping buyers on the sidelines and adding to the metal's weakness.
A Look at the Charts (Technical View)
From a technical perspective, Gold is at a critical juncture. The key breakout level to watch is the $4050 - $4060 area.
The Bullish Case: If Gold can decisively break above this $4050/$4060 resistance, it would open the door for a test of the next significant level, around $4150 / $4160.
The Bearish Case: However, until Gold can firmly establish itself and stabilize above the $4150/$4160 zone, the risk of a deeper correction remains very high till $3700
We are observing a recurring pattern: Gold is repeatedly failing at immediate trendline resistance levels. In technical trading, this is often a classic sign that the market is weak and may be poised for a further decline, assuming there are no major fundamental surprises.
Trading Strategy: Patience is Key
For those of us looking to enter long-term buy positions, a two-pronged approach is necessary:
Fundamental Watch: Keep a close eye on fundamental developments. Specifically, any new updates regarding US-China tariffs or shifts in the Federal Reserve's tone on interest rates will be major market movers.
Technical Confirmation: Patience is required. We must wait for a confirmed technical breakout above the $4150 / $4160 area. Until this happens, the bearish pressure is likely to continue. Otherwise, gold still have bigger chances to test $3700 before it rise again.
XAUUSD: Correction Phase Aiming Toward 3,900 SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) has shifted from a strong bullish phase into a clear bearish structure after failing to sustain momentum above the 4,130 Resistance Zone. The market initially traded within an Upward Channel, forming a steady series of higher highs and higher lows until buyers lost strength near the top of the range. A breakout from the channel confirmed the end of the bullish impulse, followed by a range formation and multiple fake breakouts, indicating indecision and growing selling pressure. Eventually, the market broke below the range, retested the resistance area, and established a Downward Channel, showing that sellers have regained control.
Currently, Gold is moving within this descending structure, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel. The Resistance Zone around 4,130 has once again acted as a strong supply area, rejecting price and pushing it lower toward the Support Zone near 3,900.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my perspective, XAUUSD is likely to continue its short-term bearish correction toward the 3,900 support level, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel. A successful test of this area could trigger a short-term reaction or even a potential reversal if buyers step in.
As long as price remains below the Resistance Zone (4,130) and within the Downward Channel, the bearish sentiment remains dominant. A confirmed breakdown below 3,900 could open the door for a deeper move toward the 3,850–3,820 zone. For now, I remain bearish in the short term, looking for short opportunities from the upper channel resistance with a primary target at 3,900.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
SILVER My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SILVER below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 48.678
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 47.933
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK






















