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GOLD → Consolidation is narrowing... Price is weakening FX:XAUUSD is trading near $4,000, consolidating after the Fed's statements and awaiting new macro data. The trading range has narrowed to $3,886–4,046, forming a symmetrical triangle (unpredictability) Fed caution: Powell ruled out guarantees of a rate cut in December, which supported the dollar and limited gold's growth. US shutdown: Could become the longest in history, causing economic concerns, but is expected to end this week. Weak data: ISM Manufacturing PMI (48.7) pointed to contraction in the sector, which is holding back the dollar's strengthening. This week, attention is focused on ADP and ISM Services — assessing the impact on Fed rates. NFP (if published) — a key benchmark for the labor market. Accordingly, gold is in wait-and-see mode. Clear signals from the data or the Fed will be needed to break out of the range. The $4000 level remains a psychological equilibrium point. Resistance levels: 4000, 4030, 4050 Support levels: 3956, 3915, 3900 At the moment, the price is far from the key consolidation boundaries, and the market is uncertain. In this case, we are considering trading within the channel. I expect to see a retest of the flat resistance or the triangle boundary and a rebound. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
18
Bearish Scenario (primary)Bearish Scenario (primary) Bias: Still bearish until price can reclaim 4020+ on 4H. Setup idea: Entry: 4008–4012 (retest of imbalance / EMA cluster). Stop-loss: 4022–4025 (above 4H minor swing and trendline). Targets: TP1 → 3980 (1H structure low / EMA200 zone) TP2 → 3960 (liquidity sweep below wedge support) TP3 → 3920 (major 4H demand zone) Confirmation: Wait for 15m rejection wick or lower-timeframe MSS/CHOCH within that zone. Bullish Alternative (reversal breakout) If price closes a 4H candle above 4020 with strength: Entry: Retest of 4010–4012 as support. Stop-loss: Below 3995. Targets: TP1 → 4040 (previous supply zone). TP2 → 4080 (liquidity above equal highs). Summary Structure compression signals potential breakout soon. Since momentum is still bearish and price is failing to reclaim 4H EMAs, short from resistance is higher-probability. Watch reaction to 3980 — if it holds firmly with bullish divergence, the wedge breakout north could begin.
COMEX_MINI:MGCZ2025Short
by GC_TTC
Gold Nears Resistance — Buyers Target $4,130 BreakoutHello traders, here’s my current outlook on Gold (XAUUSD). The market structure shows that Gold has recently shifted from a sharp bearish phase into a short-term recovery pattern, finding solid demand near the $3,940–$3,950 Buyer Zone. After the last strong drop from the $4,130 Resistance Level, price stabilized within this accumulation area and began forming an ascending structure supported by a clear Support Line. Currently, Gold is trading inside a rising wedge pattern — a signal of a tightening market where buyers are gradually gaining ground. The Resistance Line near $4,050 represents a short-term barrier, and a confirmed breakout above this level could open the way for a move toward the $4,130 Resistance Zone (TP1), which aligns with the previous Seller Zone. From my perspective, as long as the price remains above the $3,940–$3,950 Support Zone, the bullish bias remains valid. A successful breakout above $4,050 would likely confirm the continuation of the current upward momentum, targeting $4,130. However, if the price fails to break above resistance and falls below the ascending support line, a short-term pullback toward the Buyer Zone could occur before any new bullish wave develops. In my opinion, the market structure currently favors buyers, with strong support underpinning the move. Therefore, I’m expecting a potential bullish continuation toward $4,130 as the next key target.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by LegionQ8
25
Gold (XAU/USD) – Short-Term Range Before Potential BreakdownGold remains in a tight consolidation phase around the $3,985–4,000 zone, following a series of lower highs and equal lows — a classic sign of market indecision before a stronger move. From a technical perspective, the structure suggests a possible liquidity sweep toward $4,050–4,060 before a potential reversal to the downside. Key technical zones: Resistance: $4,060 / $4,140 / $4,185 Support: $3,940 / $3,900 / $3,825 The trendline and horizontal support alignment around $3,940 indicates where short-term buyers might attempt to defend, but failure to hold this zone could open the path toward deeper retracement targets. The 1H EMA cluster remains flat, confirming lack of momentum, while RSI continues to reject mid-levels — a signal that bulls are losing steam. Trading strategy idea: Scenario 1: Wait for price to retest $4,050–4,060 zone → look for bearish rejection signals (e.g., fake breakout or bearish engulfing) → target $3,940 / $3,900. Scenario 2: If gold breaks below $3,940 cleanly → follow short continuation toward $3,825. This setup aligns with the broader bearish bias unless a strong daily close above $4,060 occurs. Remember: patience before confirmation often yields better risk-reward entries. - Keep this setup saved and follow for more daily gold strategies and liquidity-based trading insights.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) 📘 EDUCATIONAL ONLY — NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE All times Africa/Cairo (UTC+2) — Tue, 04 Nov 2025 • NYC currently EST (UTC−5) 🟡 YALLA XAUMO — GOLD (XAUUSD) | Institutional Daily — COMPREHENSIVE (Holiday-Aware Edition) Version: v2025-Approved Protocol • Report time: 08:55 Cairo Spot ref: 3,980.7 • GC1 (Dec’25): 3,984.9 • GC2 (Feb’26): 4,018.0 → Term spread: +0.83% → Contango — GC futures curve explainer — • Contango → GC2 > GC1 (normal upward curve; storage/carry cost priced in; not bearish by itself). • Backwardation → GC2 < GC1 (near-term demand/supply stress; often bullish spot impulse). • Term spread (%) → (GC2 − GC1) / GC1 × 100 → shows curve slope/steepness. ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── 1) SNAPSHOT & MAP • Cross-asset now: DXY 99.80 (−0.08%), SPX +0.17%, VIX 17.16 (−1.55%). (from user tape) • Intraday structure: Overnight push held above ~3,960 after a deep Asia dip; sellers still camped 4,000–4,015; demand pockets 3,970 → 3,960 → 3,946–3,940. 2) VALUE / VWAP / LIQUIDITY • VWAP (rolling, 15m context): ~3,973–3,978 cluster from pre-London handover. • POC/Acceptance bands (intraday): 3,972–3,980 and 3,990–3,998. • Gates: 3,960 (bull line), 3,990/4,000 (bear line), 4,015 (squeeze pivot), 3,946 (flush), 3,930 (capitulation test). 3) ICHIMOKU / REGIME READ (15m/1h/4h/D) • 15m: Attempting cloud reclaim; needs >3,985 to unlock momentum. • 1h: Below/near Kijun; directional conviction modest unless >4,000. • 4h: Range-down channel; rallies fade at 4,000–4,015. • Daily: Trend up on long horizon but extended; contango argues for 2-way trade. 4) FIB-KICKER / MEGABAR CONTEXT • Major reaction nodes: 38.2% ≈ 3,972 • 50% ≈ 3,988 • 61.8% ≈ 4,004 of the latest 4h swing. • Last clear MegaBar: Bear impulse into 3,96x then absorption; “uploading” noted on your 15m prints. 5) CROSS-ASSET HEAT (quick) • Equities firm, vol soft → favors mean-reversion buys at support if DXY not spiking. • DXY under 100 but sticky → caps breakouts unless macro beats. 6) SESSION BIAS (London → Pre-NYC) • Baseline: Balanced with buy-the-dip into 3,96x while 4,000–4,015 caps. • Upgrade to trend-up only on acceptance >4,000 with RVOL ≥ 0.9. • Downshift to trend-down on 15m close <3,960 with RVOL ≥ 1.0. 7) TODAY’S ECONOMIC CALENDAR (Cairo time • key items) • 16:45 — US S&P Global Services PMI (Oct, final). :contentReference {index=0} • 17:00 — US ISM Services (Oct) + sub-components (prices, new orders, employment). :contentReference {index=1} • Eurozone: PPI (Sep) publishes tomorrow (heads-up for follow-through). :contentReference {index=2} • Full rolling calendars for corroboration: TradingEconomics master pages. :contentReference {index=3} 8) XAUMO TREND MAP (confidence %) • 15m: 56% up if >3,972 and RVOL ≥ 0.8; else 50% (balanced). • 1h: 45% up — needs >3,990. • 4h: 40% up — sellers at 4,000–4,015. • Daily: 52% up (macro path intact; short-term stretched). 9) TRADE SCENARIOS (education only) A) Reclaim-and-Go (long): Buy 3,972–3,978 on reclaim & hold above VWAP | SL 3,960 | TP 3,990 / 4,004 / 4,015. B) Fade-the-Cap (short): Sell 3,998–4,012 if ISM at/above & tape stalls | SL 4,024 | TP 3,985 / 3,972 / 3,960. C) Spring-from-Band (long): First clean rejection 3,958–3,962 with absorption | SL 3,946 | TP 3,978 / 3,990. D) Break-and-Retest (short): Miss + 15m close <3,960 → sell pullback 3,960–3,966 | SL 3,978 | TP 3,946 / 3,930. 10) EXECUTION CHECKS ☐ RVOL regime (≥0.8 for momentum). ☐ No opposite delta wall at entry. ☐ 15m cloud not rotating against the trade. ☐ Respect 3,960 / 3,990 gates. 11) RISK MANAGEMENT • Per-attempt: 0.30–0.60R; max session 1.5R. • If 2 losses within the ISM window, stand down. • Trail above/below last 5 swing highs/lows when RVOL ≥ 1.0; otherwise scale out at TP1/TP2. 12) HOLIDAY / DST NOTES • Cairo now UTC+2 (DST ended); NYC is EST (UTC−5). Time gap = 7 hours. ──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── BOTTOM LINE (Market Read) • Yesterday’s profile: **Distribution early into 4,000–4,015**, then **accumulation/absorption around 3,96x** (charts show offloading zone at the top and “uploading” prints near the lows). • Today’s outlook: **Balanced-to-bid** above 3,972 into ISM; **sell-the-cap** bias 3,998–4,015 unless ISM beats and acceptance holds above 4,000. Break <3,960 reopens 3,946 → 3,930. 📘 Educational only — not financial advice. 🏆 Winners trade with XAUMO indicators
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Drop OffGold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 4,017.82, whic his a pullback resistance that lines up witht he 23.6% Fibonacci retracemnt. Stop loss is at 4,135.96, whic is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 3,789.94, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
A 30-Minute Look at USDJPY AnalysisHello friends, I have prepared my USDJPY analysis for you. In this analysis, I plan to open a buy position between the 154.003 and 153.831 levels, aiming for the 154.453 level. This analysis has been carried out on the 30-minute timeframe. Once my target is reached, I will share the updates with you here. Friends, every single like from you is the greatest source of motivation for me to continue sharing these analyses. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their appreciation. With respect and love.
Long
by TraderTilki
19
Gold Bulls Defend the $4000 Level as Bears Struggle for ControlGold closed lower for a second week, and prices are now meandering around the 4000 handle. We can see that the last time it tried to break back below such a milestone level, gold bear sonly managed a single weekly close below 3000 before the rally continued. I doubt we’ll see another 1000 directly from current levels, and my bias is actually for the retracement to eventually dip lower before its bullish trend resumes. But for now, traders could seek false breaks below 4000 in anticipation of at least a minor move higher. My video from Friday provides a bullish bias on the daily timeframe over the near term which still stands. But for those on intraday timeframes, notice that bullish engulfing candles have appeared on the 1-hour chart on the prior two occasions that gold tried (but failed) to break beneath 4000. It’s as if gold bears are trying to force the golden beach ball below its 4000 waterline. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
COMEX:GC1!Long
by City Index
The correlation between gold and Bitcoin I've observed an inverse correlation between gold and Bitcoin, as detailed below: October 1, 2012: Gold was overbought, leading to a notable increase in Bitcoin. November 25, 2013: Bitcoin hit its peak while gold fell to a low point. August 10, 2020: Gold reached a peak, which was followed by a substantial rise in Bitcoin. March 1, 2021: Bitcoin peaked while gold hit a trough. October 13, 2025: Gold reached a peak (according to my analysis, it appears gold is overbought and has met its targets). Historical data shows that gold has consistently formed peaks around these times, coinciding with Bitcoin's surges. Consequently, I believe this remains an optimal accumulation period, with the indicators aligning favorably.
FX:XAUUSD
by AlQasim_Analysis
1
Can gold prices go long amid a narrow stalemate?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold prices continued to fluctuate narrowly throughout the evening⚖️, with the hourly and 2-hour moving averages converging in the 4010-4005 range, as both bulls and bears awaited a clear directional decision from the market.📊 However, from a technical perspective, gold prices have failed to break below the 4-hour moving average support at 3995 and the daily MA5 at 3985📈. These are crucial short-term support levels🚀, and the fact that gold prices haven't broken them confirms strong buying support below💪. This suggests that any short-term decline should be viewed as a technical correction rather than a market reversal.🤔 Therefore, although the short-term direction is not yet clear, considering the support formed by the 4-hour moving average and the daily MA5, I remain bullish and await a breakout from the consolidation pattern in gold prices🐂. There may not be much clear information tonight, so let's take a look at the performance of gold prices in the Asian session👀. In summary, the current trend is still in an upward channel. As long as the 3995-3985 level holds, I will maintain a bullish view. On the upside, pay attention to the short-term resistance at 4020-4030🤩.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
XAUUSD Bear Cycle has started and this is why according to VIX.Gold (XAUUSD) closed 2 straight red weeks, which last did on June 23. Despite this pull-back, it remains within a Channel Up since the October 31 2022 Low, which was essentially when the Bear Cycle ended and the new Bull Cycle (Channel Up) started. The previous Bull Cycle topped around 4.5 months after the Volatility Index (VIX) shown in blue, peaked during the March 2020 COVID flash crash. We are now on a similar situation as VIX topped on the week of March 31 2025 during the Trade War and has since started to decline aggressively. Gold's current top was 6.5 months after VIX's top. Even the 1W RSI sequences between the two Bull Cycles are similar, further raising the degree of their high symmetry. According to this correlation, Gold may has already formed its Bull Cycle Top 3 weeks ago and could be starting a new +2 year Bear Cycle. As far as a Target and Bottom is concerned, the previous Bear Cycle almost hit its 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level three times throughout the Cycle, until it broke below it marginally for its September - October 2022 bottom. As a result, we are looking for the 0.382 Fib yet again as our focal point which is currently around $3000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by TradingShot
PaxGold vs BTC: Are You Missing the Signal?Why is nobody paying attention to the PaxGold/BTC chart? In the chart below, you can see PaxGold/BTC, and in the chart above, you see Bitcoin price. As you can observe, every time the RMBS indicator gives a buy signal, Bitcoin’s price tends to drop, and vice versa. I recommend adding this indicator to your chart on the daily timeframe along with PaxGold to see whether you should buy a risky asset like Crypto or a safe asset like Gold. You can find the link below—feel free to add it to your chart if you like.
by Ario_pinelab
Above 4000, continue to be bullish on gold.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold prices fell after opening lower in Asian trading today, but rebounded after touching the key support zone of 3960-3950 and then entered a narrow range of fluctuation. Judging from the current trend, gold is still in an upward channel, and the price is still stabilizing above the daily MA5. Therefore, as long as it does not break below the daily MA5 of 3985, we can continue to maintain a bullish view. Observing the 1H and 4H charts, we can see that the moving average support is basically maintained in the 4010-4000 range. If the gold price retraces to this range in the short term, we can consider going long on gold. Meanwhile, the first resistance level to watch is 4035-4045, which is both the rebound high point that gold prices repeatedly tested last Friday and the location of the daily MA10 moving average. Only by breaking through and stabilizing above this level will gold prices further test the upper resistance of 4050, or even higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Gold Aiming for 4045 — Calm Before the Break!Market looks like it’s gathering strength after a tight consolidation. I’m currently watching the $4045 zone (highlighted in green) — that’s a clean resistance from previous highs. If price breaks above it with a strong candle and good momentum, we might see a short-term bullish continuation toward the upper zone. However, until the breakout actually happens, I’ll stay patient — no rush entries. Right now, gold is simply testing its mid-structure, and this kind of calm buildup usually ends with a solid directional move. The candle structure also shows steady higher lows — another positive sign, but confirmation only comes after a clean 1H close above 4045. If rejection happens again, I’ll expect another pullback to around 4010–4000 before any fresh upside attempt.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ClearTradingMind
GOLD | Daily Analysis #3 - 3 November 2025Hello and Welcome Back to DP, Reviews and News Coverage: Last week chart represented major moves and volatility. In this Week we should expect following economic calendar events : - Monday, Nov 3: ISM Manufacturing PMI - Wednesday, Nov 5: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change AND ISM Services PMI - Friday, Nov 7 (Tentative): Unemployment Rate & Average Hourly Earnings Political Angle: The ongoing U.S. government shutdown negotiations and fiscal uncertainty may increase safe-haven demand for gold. Any escalation or delay in funding could trigger a risk-off tone and push XAU/USD higher. 1H Technical Analysis: Gold has broken its major downtrend line, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish bias on the intraday time frame. The price is currently trading around $4,016, consolidating just below a short-term resistance zone. Immediate Resistance: $4,024, So a breakout here could open the door toward $4,046, then $4,083. The next stop if pass 4024, aligns with markup. Immediate Support: $3,998 → $3,970 zone. If this support breaks, the next downside target is $3,947 – $3,915 region. Momentum remains cautiously bullish after breaking the descending trendline. The structure of higher lows indicates accumulation, but the $4,024–$4,046 resistance area must be cleared with strong candle closes to confirm continuation. If gold rejects from $4,024 again, expect a retest of the trendline support near $3,970–$3,950. Trading Plan Ideas: Bullish bias above $4,024 → potential upside toward $4,046 → $4,083. Bearish correction if price breaks below $3,998 → next supports $3,970 → $3,947 → $3,915. Watch for volume confirmation at $4,024 or $3,970 before entry. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. © DIBAPRISM Amir D.Kohn
FX:XAUUSD
by DibaPrism
Gold 30Min Engaged ( bullish After Break Detected )Status: Active Reversal Protocol Symbol: Gold Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window) Bullish After Break 4030 Bias: Bullish & bearish Reversal ☄️ Volume Surge Confirmed — Sellers dominate exhausted highs ☄️ Session Aligned — Smart money exit window open ☄️ Cluster Shield Active — Supply imbalance verified ☄️ Delta Shift Negative — Buyers trapped above ☄️ POC Retest Completed — Liquidity absorbed at resistance ☄️ Structure Break Pending — Bearish bias confirmed
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
XAU/USD | Gold Fills Liquidity Gap – Another Drop Below $3,900?By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching the $3,915 demand zone, price reacted strongly and began to rise, filling the liquidity gap created by last night’s drop. Gold is currently trading around $3,973, and if it fails to hold above $4,015, we could see another strong bearish move toward lower levels below $3,900. The next short-term bearish targets are $3,955, $3,947, $3,915, and $3,899. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OPOFINANCE:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
48