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Metals

Comparison: Gold’s Triple Top vs. EthereumLet’s take a look at the charts. Gold formed a triple top before breaking out strongly, and the current Ethereum structure looks strikingly similar, only moving much faster. The gold chart you see here developed over 15 years, while Ethereum’s pattern has taken shape in just 4 years. When a resistance level is tested multiple times, it often eventually breaks. I’m sharing this analysis to help you recognize recurring patterns across markets. History doesn’t repeat itself perfectly, but it often rhymes.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Tommetje
GOLDThe era of cheap gold ends From 1919 to 2015, the price of gold due to Gold Fixing. The price was set by London Gold Market Fixing Limited. On March 20, 2015 fixing ceased to be installed according to the old methodology and was replaced by electronic auctions LBMA Gold Price. Initially, the "golden five" consisted of the following companies 1.N M Rothschild & Sons 2.Mocatta & Goldsmid 3.Pixley & Abell 4.Samuel Montagu & Co 5.Sharps Wilkins What now? Thirteen market participants are accredited to participate in LBMA Gold Price trading: Bank of China Bank of Communications China Construction Bank Goldman Sachs International HSBC Bank USA NA ICBC Standard Bank JPMorgan Chase Morgan Stanley Société Générale Standard Chartered The Bank of Nova Scotia - ScotiaMocatta The Toronto Dominion Bank UBS These banks all belong to the same families. Most of the gold has already been bought and there is no point in keeping it at this level. In a period of instability, investors will seek refuge for their assets. And gold will not be a bad refuge for long term. WE WILL BE GOLD BEFORE THE PORN, WHILE GOLDEN IDEOLOGISTS WILL EXIST . Rothschild's
FX:XAUUSDLong
by EXCAVO
39
GOLD What Next? SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the GOLD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 4125.9 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 4093.5 My Stop Loss - 4146.0 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
GOLD REBOUNDS AS INVESTORS BUY THE DIP AFTER ETF SELL-OFFGOLD | Prices Rebound Despite ETF Outflows 💰 Gold prices recovered after an earlier dip triggered by the largest single-day ETF outflow in five months, signaling profit-taking and a technical correction. Despite investor caution, the metal maintains bullish momentum while trading above 4101, supported by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty ahead of U.S.–China trade talks. Technically, as long as gold trades above 4101, upside targets remain 4124 → 4163 → 4189. A clean 1H close below 4075 would shift momentum bearish, opening room toward 4053 and 4011. Pivot Line: 4101 Resistance: 4124 – 4163 – 4190 Support: 4075 – 4053 – 4011
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Gold facing pressure but still open for further surgeFollowing a recent rally, the gold price met significant profit-taking pressure. Prices reached a record high of 4381, signaling an easing of US-China trade tensions. China confirmed trade talks with the US will occur tomorrow in Malaysia alongside the ASEAN summit. However, both sides are escalating tensions pre-talks to gain bargaining power, potentially complicating a final agreement. Meanwhile, the prolonged US government shutdown, combined with a weakened Labor Market and a lack of data, has obscured the Labor Market's current situation. This uncertainty fueled market concern and drove investors toward safe-haven assets. Concurrently, expectations place the US CPI at 3.1% YoY, accelerating from 2.9%. This increase raises stagflation concerns in the US economy, further supporting the gold price. Technically, XAUUSD hovers slightly above the EMA78. Both EMAs are consolidating, signaling continued flattening momentum. However, the long-term trend remains to the upside, suggesting investors may buy the dips amid the remaining uncertainty.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by WiseLeoTrading
GOLD → Fundamental background boosts interest FX:XAUUSD is recovering after a correction, trading in the range of 4060-4120 amid geopolitical tensions and risks of an escalating trade war. Key supporting factors: New threats from the US against China, which is responding with additional measures. Trump imposed sanctions against Russian oil companies, accusing Moscow of lack of progress on Ukraine. US inflation data (CPI) on Friday may cause volatility, although the Fed's rate cut next week is likely already priced in. The meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping next week remains uncertain. Gold remains a safe haven, but near-term dynamics depend on the balance between dollar strength and geopolitical risks. Resistance levels: 4116, 4163, 4200 Support levels: 4082, 4060, 4002 A retest of support at 4082-4060, as well as a breakout of resistance at 4116, could trigger a bullish reaction—a rise to the resistance level or imbalance zones. Against the backdrop of the escalating trade war, gold is becoming attractive again. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
what is happening wiyth xauusd?1. Fundamental Analysis (Macro Drivers) 🏦 Monetary Policy & Interest Rates Federal Reserve stance: The Fed has paused rate hikes amid slowing US growth and moderating inflation. Real yields have begun to fall, which supports gold prices. Market expectation: Traders now expect possible rate cuts in early 2026, lowering opportunity costs of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Impact: Lower real yields → bullish for gold. 💵 US Dollar Trends The US Dollar Index (DXY) has weakened over the last quarter due to rate-cut bets and growing fiscal deficits. A weaker dollar directly lifts XAU/USD since gold is priced in USD. 📈 Inflation & Recession Fears Despite softening inflation (US CPI ~3.2%), sticky services inflation and fiscal pressures maintain gold’s appeal as a hedge. Global growth is fragile, and recession fears (notably in Europe and Japan) have increased safe-haven demand. 🌍 Geopolitical & Structural Factors Escalating geopolitical tensions (Eastern Europe, South China Sea, Middle East) and US election uncertainty have driven institutional and central bank gold buying. Central banks (notably China, India, and Turkey) are diversifying away from the USD — net gold purchases are at multi-year highs. 🏦 Central Bank Gold Demand According to the World Gold Council, 2025 central bank purchases are on pace for another record year. This provides a floor for gold prices even during corrective phases. 📊 Fundamental Outlook Summary Factor Current Status Gold Impact Fed Policy / Yields Dovish bias ✅ Bullish US Dollar Weakening ✅ Bullish Inflation Moderate but sticky ✅ Bullish Geopolitical Risk Elevated ✅ Bullish Central Bank Demand Strong ✅ Bullish Global Growth Slowing ✅ Bullish 🔎 Overall Fundamental Bias: Strongly Bullish (Short-to-Medium Term) 📉 2. Technical Analysis (as of Oct 23 2025) 🔹 Current Price XAU/USD ≈ $4,340/oz (TradingEconomics, Oct 20 2025) 🔹 Trend Overview Long-term uptrend since early 2024 continues. Gold broke out from a multi-decade ascending channel earlier this year and now trades well above 200-day moving average. 🔹 Moving Averages Indicator Value Signal 20-day MA $4,215 ✅ Bullish 50-day MA $4,030 ✅ Bullish 100-day MA $3,740 ✅ Bullish 200-day MA $3,290 ✅ Bullish → All MAs are aligned in a bullish configuration (short-term > long-term). 🔹 RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI ≈ 78 → Indicates overbought conditions → risk of short-term correction or consolidation before further rally. 🔹 Key Levels Type Level (USD/oz) Note Resistance 1 $4,400 Recent high Resistance 2 $4,500 Psychological round level Support 1 $4,200 Short-term support Support 2 $3,950 Strong support (previous breakout zone) Support 3 $3,700 Long-term support / 100-DMA 🔹 Chart Pattern Ascending channel with potential breakout continuation. Some analysts note a rising wedge, signaling possible short-term exhaustion. 🔹 Volume & Momentum Volume peaked on breakout above $4,000 — confirming strong institutional participation. Momentum indicators show minor divergence → watch for short-term pullback. 📊 3. Combined Outlook Horizon Technical Bias Fundamental Bias Combined View Short-Term (1–3 weeks) ⚠️ Overbought – possible pullback to $4,150–4,200 ✅ Bullish Consolidation likely before next leg up Medium-Term (1–3 months) ✅ Uptrend intact ✅ Bullish Buy on dips strategy favored Long-Term (6–12 months) ✅ Strong uptrend ✅ Bullish Targets $4,500–$5,000 possible 🪙 4. Scenario Analysis Scenario Trigger Likely Outcome Bullish Continuation Fed confirms 2026 rate cuts, DXY weakens Gold → $4,500+ Short-Term Correction RSI reset, USD rebound Pullback to $4,100–$4,200 Bearish Reversal Sharp rise in yields or risk-on sentiment Gold retests $3,700–$3,900 🧩 5. Trading/Investment Insights Short-term traders: Watch for retracement toward $4,150–$4,200 to consider buy setups. Swing traders: Maintain partial longs; trail stops below $4,000. Investors: Maintain core exposure; gold remains a hedge against macro and geopolitical volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
GOLD Analysis: Watching for Reaction Near Buyer ZoneHello traders, I want to share with you my opinion about Gold. The market for Gold has been in a strong bullish trend for quite some time, forming a clear upward channel structure. Each impulse has been followed by a short consolidation phase (range), allowing the market to gather liquidity for the next push higher. However, after reaching the key Resistance Level near 4368, the price entered a Seller Zone where heavy supply emerged, triggering a sharp correction. This move broke the short-term market structure and pushed the price down towards the Buyer Zone — an important support area that previously acted as a base for a strong rally. Currently, Gold is trading near the bottom of a descending correction channel, approaching a crucial decision point. I expect the market to make a small corrective move to retest the Resistance Line of this channel, and if rejection follows, it could open the way for another bearish leg toward my TP around 4020. From a broader perspective, this decline still looks like a healthy correction within a major uptrend, so I’ll be watching closely how the price reacts inside the Buyer Zone — it might offer great opportunities for the next bullish impulse later on. Thank you for reading! Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
16
GOLD → Correction after aggressive growthFX:XAUUSD is in a correction phase after a month and a half of aggressive growth. The price is forming a trading range and continues to storm support... The record growth was overheated, and traders are closing long positions. A gradual change in the fundamental background and market sentiment is also provoking an outflow of funds. However, US-China negotiations, the ongoing US shutdown, and the tense geopolitical situation, including the cancellation of Trump's meeting with Putin, create additional risks in the economy, which may support the metal. The correction in gold looks like a healthy pause. The $4,000 level remains key support. A recovery above $4100 indicates continued buyer interest, but further dynamics depend on news about trade negotiations. Resistance levels: 4082, 4107, 4163 Support levels: 4059, 4000 A breakdown of the trading range support could trigger further sell-offs. Focus on 4000K, aggressive reaction possible. At the moment, the market is falling as aggressively as it rose. We need to wait for the price to slow down in order to make reasonable technical decisions. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
19
The trend line is not broken and the medium to long term is bull Good morning, bros. Gold has fallen from its high of 4380, dropping nearly $380. This significant drop is relatively rare in the past six months. However, judging from the 4H cycle trend, the current gold price is still above the rising trend line. The 4000 mark is a defensive point for bulls. The decline will only continue after successfully breaking through 4000. Yesterday, the lowest point only retreated to around 4015-4005 before it began to rebound. Although it did not provide us with an ideal entry opportunity, it also confirmed the determination of the buyers below to hold on to the 4000 mark. Therefore, until a clear break below the trend line is achieved, our bullish outlook remains unchanged. The gold price rebounded to around 4135 during the day and then fell back. As I told you yesterday, this position is a relatively dense trading area. I believe the current decline is the market accumulating strength to hit yesterday's rebound high, and it also provides us with a good opportunity to enter the long market. Pay attention to 4110-4100 below. If it retreats to this range, you can try to go long on gold in batches. The first target can continue to look at 4135-4145. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Perfect_Allen
GOLD PAUSES DECLINE; REBOUND IN PLAY TP: 4398 - 4485 - 4630GOLD Macro Outlook Gold prices rose to around $4,120 per ounce on Thursday, halting a two-day decline as investors weighed trade developments and geopolitical tensions that lifted the metal’s safe-haven appeal. Reports indicated that the US is considering export restrictions on China involving American-made software, though President Donald Trump later confirmed plans to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Gold is setting up for a potential bullish continuation as falling bond yields and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts continue to weaken the U.S. dollar and boost demand for safe-haven assets. The 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4%, and yields across the curve have softened. This reinforces expectations that the Fed will announce rate cuts during its upcoming FOMC meetings on October 29 and December 10. Looking into 2026, the trend of global monetary easing is likely to persist. Economies in Asia and Northern Europe are showing signs of structural weakness due to aging demographics and declining household formation, leading to prolonged low growth and further pressure on global interest rates. Gold Technical Structure On the technical front, Gold is currently trading near $4,137, after correcting from the recent high of $4,398. The chart shows price consolidating along the lower Gann support, with a potential reversal setup forming. Immediate Support: $4,023–$4,100 Immediate Resistance: $4,175 and $4,225–$4,255 (key breakout zone) Breakout Targets: $4,318 → $4,398 → $4,485 → $4,631 Stop-Loss: Below $4,025 (closing basis) A daily close above $4,255 would confirm bullish continuation, opening the path toward $4,400–$4,630 levels in the medium term. A breakdown below $4,050 would invalidate the setup and shift bias back to neutral. Summary Bias: Bullish (above $4,225) Entry Zone: $4,060–$4,150 Confirmation: Close above $4,255 Stop-Loss: $4,025 (closing basis) Targets: $4,318 → $4,398 → $4,485 → $4,631 Macro Catalyst: Fed easing cycle, weaker USD, global rate decline Gold remains well-positioned for a renewed upside phase driven by macro tailwinds and technical recovery from support zones. Sustained trade above $4,225–$4,255 could confirm a breakout, aligning both macro fundamentals and technical signals in favor of the bulls.
TVC:GOLDLong
by tradeflowadvisors
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 61.8% Fibo of 4265.Dear colleagues, in the new forecast the idea remains the same - the upward momentum (12345) is not yet complete. At the moment I see the end of the formation of the corrective wave “4” at the level of 4000, as stated earlier, and the beginning of the upward movement in wave “5”. I do not want to set distant targets, because their achievement may take time, so let's start small - the nearest target is the resistance area at 4265 - the area beyond the 61.8% level of wave “4”. I think that this is the nearest target that we should expect. Fundamental context Earlier this week, gold experienced a sharp pull-back after its recent record highs. Nothing to panic about — it’s simply a technical correction: investors are taking profits after a rapid and extended rally. Key drivers like central bank buying and lower rate expectations remain intact, so the broader bullish story is still alive. In fact, this brief dip may offer a better entry point before the next leg up. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
7
GOLD cooling down, correction or signal of new cycle?Summary “After three consecutive sessions of declines, gold is experiencing a short-term correction after a rally that has lasted more than two months. Despite falling nearly 6% from its recent peak, the medium-term uptrend remains solid as prices remain above the psychological level of $4,000 per ounce. This move reflects a technical cooling of an overbought market, rather than a fundamental reversal. With the Fed expected to cut interest rates before the end of the year, geopolitical tensions lingering and the trend of “de-dollarization” spreading, gold continues to play a central role in the global safe-haven portfolio. Investors are now closely watching the price reaction around the $4,000 region, the balance point between short-term profit-taking pressure and medium-term accumulation momentum, while the technical outlook still favors a recovery trend if this support level holds.” OANDA:XAUUSD corrects after 3-day decline, medium-term uptrend remains strong Gold has fallen for three consecutive days, marking a technical correction after a long rally. Spot gold was hovering around $4,080/ounce on Tuesday morning, nearly 6% below its recent peak, reflecting a necessary pullback in an overbought market. The decline comes amid global markets being cautious about the latest developments in US-China trade talks and unclear signals on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path. Despite short-term pressure, gold remains a central part of the safe-haven portfolio, especially as geopolitical risks increase and major currencies face “soft devaluation” pressure. Comment: “After a period of excessive growth, gold is correcting like an overstretched spring. The fact that the price is still holding above the $4,000 mark shows that this is a technical cooling process, not a fundamental reversal. The need for safe haven and defensive trades in the Dollar still exists.” Gold has risen more than 55% year-to-date since mid-August, boosted by expectations of at least a 25 basis point cut by the Fed before the end of the year, along with a trend to hedge against inflation and widening budget deficits. The stability of the US dollar and ETF inflows supported gold prices, while silver and platinum recorded consecutive losses due to profit-taking pressure. Traders are also focusing on new political-trade signals. US President Trump expressed optimism about a “good deal” at the upcoming meeting with Asian leaders, but admitted that a delay scenario is still possible. This situation has made the market sentiment “cautious but realistically optimistic,”. The current decline reflects a technical correction, not a trend reversal. With the Fed likely to cut interest rates, persistent geopolitical tensions and the “de-dollarization” trend of some economies, gold remains a pillar in the global safe-haven structure. Investors should monitor the price reaction around the $4,000 mark, the balance point between short-term profit-taking and medium-term accumulation. Technical outlook analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD Gold Technical Outlook: Bulls Keep the Initiated Around $4,000 Gold prices are experiencing a short-term but strong correction, after a long rally since mid-August. On the daily chart, the decline has brought the price to test the important support cluster around $4,000–$4,050/oz, corresponding to the Fibonacci 0.618 zone and the MA50 average, which acts as a key “psychological milestone” for the bulls. The RSI has retreated to near the neutral level of 50, reflecting a temporary cooling rather than a trend reversal. The major trend structure remains clearly bullish, as evidenced by the intact upward price channel. If the $4,000 zone is maintained, gold is likely to enter an accumulation-recovery phase, with the nearest resistance zones at $4,160–$4,180 (Fibo 0.5) and $4,210–$4,275 (Fibo 0.382–0.236). Conversely, a loss of the $4,000 mark would trigger deeper profit-taking towards the extended support zone of $3,950. The current correction suggests the market is consolidating its medium-term uptrend, with no signs of breaking the trend. Once sentiment stabilizes around the $4,000 threshold, new buying pressure is likely to return, especially if there are supportive signals from US economic data or expectations of a Fed rate cut. SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4231 - 4229⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 4235 →Take Profit 1 4223 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4217 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4001 - 4003⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3997 →Take Profit 1 4009 ↨ →Take Profit 2 4015
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
The Ultimate GOLD || Intraday Trading Plan (10/23/2025)Welcome to Trade with Decrypters! DETAILED AND COMPLETE ANALYSIS ( 5 TRADE SETUPS ) Central Bank Buying Central banks added net 19t in August led by Kazakhstan (14t), Bulgaria and El Salvador, Q3 on pace for 1,000t+ annually up 41% from historical norms. BRICS drivers like China (300t+ YTD) and India's $100B reserves fuel de-dollarization and inflation hedges; Poland reaffirms targets amid risks. Silver links to EV/solar boom (+70% China demand). Outlook: Unfazed 1,000t buys lift prices into 2026. ETF Inflows & Sentiment Gold ETFs hit $472B AUM in Q3 (+23% q/q) with $64B YTD inflows, September $17B record led by North America/Europe; Asia minor outflows. Safe-haven rush amid trade wars, minor profit-taking post $4k peak. RSI 75 overbought, $3,900 support holds. Silver +$2B YTD on industry bets. Forecast: Gold $4,200 test, silver $50+. Macro & Geopolitical Events Fed Oct cut vs. 2.9% inflation/shutdown-delayed jobs—labor firmer but risks grow. Trump's China tariffs fuel wars; BRICS stalls de-dollarization but boosts gold; Ukraine/Mideast hikes energy/inflation. Drives 50%+ YTD metals gains; tariffs add 1–2% CPI. Silver Deficit Fifth straight deficit at 118M oz in 2025 (down 21% YoY), demand stable 1.20B oz vs supply +3% to 1.05B oz, industrial record 680M+ oz from solar/EVs. Renewables offset jewelry drops Futures & Options Flow CME gold OI ~528k contracts, steady amid volumes; CVOL moderate, call/put skew bullish for rate-cut squeezes Fundamentals & Forecast Gold +51% to $4,062, silver +43% to $48—via 1,000t+ CB buys, inflation, cuts, 7% GDP deficits. De-dollarization/geo-risks dominate. Projection: Gold $4,400 Q4, silver $57 mid-2026
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DECRYPTERS