Gold (XAU/USD) – 25-August-2025Live Price (UTC Anchor): $3364.00
Gold continues to trade within a tightly coiled range, but today’s structure across Daily → 4H → 1H timeframes highlights key execution-ready zones. Institutional footprints are clear — liquidity sweeps, unmitigated order blocks, and premium/discount imbalances are guiding the flow.
Buy-Side Liquidity Zones
🔹 Primary Buy Zone: $3348 – $3352
Fresh 4H bullish order block, unmitigated since last push.
Daily structure still showing higher-lows above $3330.
1H BOS with hidden bullish divergence (RSI).
Best confluence zone for long entries.
🎯 Targets: $3378 → $3395
🛡️ Stop: Below $3340
🔹 Secondary Buy Zone: $3328 – $3332
Daily demand base from prior accumulation.
Liquidity sweep expected below $3335.
4H fair value gap aligns with engineered liquidity.
🎯 Targets: $3350 → $3375
🛡️ Stop: Below $3320
📉 Sell-Side Liquidity Zones
🔻 Primary Sell Zone: $3388 – $3395
Daily resistance supply untouched since last rejection.
4H bearish OB marks origin of sell-off.
1H CHoCH with overhead imbalance.
ATR resistance at $3390–$3395 zone.
🎯 Targets: $3370 → $3350
🛡️ Stop: Above $3402
🔻 Secondary Sell Zone: $3410 – $3416
Daily premium zone at range extreme.
Liquidity highs resting around $3412.
1H displacement cluster with VWAP extension.
🎯 Targets: $3390 → $3365
🛡️ Stop: Above $3420
⚡ Executive Outlook – Golden Zone
The Golden Zone for today is $3348 – $3352 (Primary Buy Zone).
Supported by 5+ confluences across Daily, 4H, and 1H.
Aligns with macro bullish bias and engineered liquidity setup.
High-probability long with clear SL/TP levels, offering the cleanest risk-reward of the day.
Trading Plan:
Patience is key. Wait for price to revisit the Golden Buy Zone ($3348 – $3352). Execute with conviction only if order flow confirms (1H rejection wicks / volume spike). Upside targets remain $3378 → $3395.
Metals
Get ready for the week's highlights, track negotiations progressOANDA:XAUUSD prices remained generally stable, in the Asian trading session on Friday (August 22), OANDA:XAUUSD fell slightly to $3,328/oz, equivalent to a decrease of $10 on the day as of the time of writing, extending the sideways accumulation.
The focus of the week, Jackson Hole
Gold continues to consolidate, with selling pressure holding back gains around $3,350/oz. Market participants await fresh messages from policymakers at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Today (Friday), Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will speak at the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting.
If Powell says we will cut rates again in October, November or December, the dollar could weaken and gold could have a chance to rise.
Exclusive Reuters report, tracking the progress of the Russia-US-Ukraine negotiations
Reuters has published an exclusive report in which three sources close to senior Kremlin leaders told Reuters that Russian President Vladimir Putin demanded that Ukraine abandon the entire Donbas region in the east, abandon its ambitions to join NATO, remain neutral and prevent Western troops from entering Ukraine.
Last Friday, Putin met with President Trump in Alaska for the first summit between the United States and Russia in four years.
According to Reuters sources, the nearly three-hour closed-door talks between the two sides were almost entirely devoted to discussing a compromise solution to the Ukraine issue.
Standing next to Trump after the meeting, Putin said the meeting was expected to pave the way for peace in Ukraine, but neither Putin nor Trump revealed the specifics of the discussions. Reuters cited the most detailed Russian account yet of Putin’s proposal for the summit, outlining the outlines of a potential peace deal the Kremlin hopes to see.
According to Russian sources, Putin has made some concessions based on territorial demands he made in June 2024. At that time, he asked Kyiv to give up four regions that Moscow claims as part of Russia: Donetsk and Luhansk (located in eastern Ukraine, collectively known as the Donbas region), as well as Kherson and Zaporizhia in the south.
Reuters also reported that Putin maintained in his new proposal a demand for a full withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the Donbass regions it still controls. However, they added that in return, Moscow would halt its frontline offensive in Zaporizhia and Kherson.
According to US estimates and open-source data, Russia controls about 88% of the Donbas region and 73% of the Zaporizhia and Kherson regions.
Sources said Putin also maintained his previous demands that Ukraine abandon its NATO membership bid and demanded that the US-led NATO make a legally binding commitment not to expand eastward, impose restrictions on the Ukrainian military and reach an agreement ensuring that no Western troops would be deployed as peacekeepers in Ukraine.
There remains a wide gap between the two sides’ positions. The Ukrainian Foreign Ministry has yet to respond to the proposal.
Technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been moving sideways for most of the time, so the technical structure has not changed much and the positions are also kept the same as in the previous publications sent to readers.
During the day, the technical outlook of gold price accumulation sideways will be noticed by the positions listed below.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3380
→Take Profit 1 3368
↨
→Take Profit 2 3362
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3295
→Take Profit 1 3307
↨
→Take Profit 2 3313
GOLD eases after recovering from $3,310, data highlightsOANDA:XAUUSD edged down in Asian trade on Thursday (August 21), after a strong rally in the previous session. The current price is around $3,337/ounce, down 0.32% and around $10 on the day.
OANDA:XAUUSD edged up on Wednesday. Bloomberg News analyzed that US President Trump's call for the resignation of Federal Reserve Board member Tim Cook has raised fresh concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting safe-haven demand and causing gold prices to rise.
On the other hand, Bloomberg also reported on Wednesday (August 20) that as gold prices have soared, the illegal gold trade has become one of the largest and fastest-growing illicit economies in the Western Hemisphere, and the U.S. government is facing pressure to step up its crackdown.
According to a report released by the Financial and Corporate Transparency Alliance (FACT) on Wednesday, the boom in illegal gold mining and trading in some South American countries has become a crisis that the United States cannot ignore.
In Colombia and Peru, two major cocaine-producing countries, illegal gold is estimated to generate more revenue for organized crime than the drug trade itself.
The Washington-based financial advocacy group has called on Congress to pass legislation to address the environmental and social impacts of illegal gold mining.
The rise of the illegal gold trade is due to a tripling of gold prices over the past decade and weak law enforcement as authorities remain focused on fighting drug trafficking.
In terms of the day’s data highlights
S&P Global will release preliminary figures for the US manufacturing and services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for August today (Thursday). This important report could have a significant impact on the direction of gold prices.
Economists expect the preliminary US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August to be 49.5, compared to a final reading of 49.8 in July.
In addition, the preliminary reading of the US S&P Global Services PMI for August is expected to be 54.2, compared to a final reading of 55.7 in July.
The July services PMI was 55.7, and if August data shows a sharp decline, the US Dollar could be negatively affected immediately.
On the other hand, if the manufacturing PMI recovers above 50 and the services PMI approaches July levels, the US Dollar could remain strong against other currencies, making it difficult for gold to regain its upward momentum.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
After receiving support from the $3,310 level, which is the support that readers have been paying attention to throughout the publications during this time, gold has recovered but the upside momentum has also been limited after testing the EMA21 line. Gold is under pressure from the EMA21, temporarily falling slightly but it may retest the $3,310 level in the short term as there is no more notable support than this level at present, followed by the full price point of $3,300.
Personally, I still maintain the view that gold will continue to move sideways and wait for a strong enough fundamental impact to change the overall technical structure.
The factors that show that gold is neutral are that it has not yet achieved the conditions for a long-term trend line, the sideways state is depicted by the green rectangle. Next is the price action clinging to the 21-day moving average, followed by the RSI moving around the 50 level, showing that the market sentiment is also hesitantly neutral without leaning to any particular side.
During the day, the technical outlook of gold price accumulation sideways will be noticed by the positions listed below.
Support: 3,310 – 3,300 – 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3376 - 3374⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3380
→Take Profit 1 3368
↨
→Take Profit 2 3362
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3299 - 3301⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3295
→Take Profit 1 3307
↨
→Take Profit 2 3313
Will the Fed’s dovish stance lift gold prices?
Following Fed Chair Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole remarks hinting at potential rate cuts, risk appetite in global markets revived. Powell noted that inflation has moved much closer to the target while the labor market has cooled from previously overheated levels, suggesting the Fed may need to recalibrate its policy stance. However, geopolitical risks linger as ceasefire negotiations face hurdles. Should President Trump’s proposed trilateral summit collapse, the renewed risk-on sentiment could fade quickly.
XAUUSD is consolidating within the 3300–3500 range, awaiting an additional trigger for a clear breakout. If XAUUSD holds above both EMAs, the price may gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 3500. Conversely, if XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3300, the price could retreat toward the next support at 3160.
BRIEFING Week #34 : The Rotation may have BegunHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Gold Weekly Plan: Daily FVG → H4 FVGGold closed last week with a strong impulsive move into a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG). As we open the new week, I’ll be watching closely:
Daily FVG (3423–3451): Potential resistance and rejection zone early in the week.
H4 Bullish FVG (3390–3395): If price rejects the Daily FVG, I expect a retrace into this zone to set the weekly low between Monday and Tuesday.
From there, we could see a bullish expansion for the rest of the week.
The key question: Will Gold respect the Daily FVG as resistance before rebalancing lower, or will buyers push straight through?
What’s your bias going into the week? 🚀📉
GOLD to $3,450? The Most Important Breakout of 2025
🔥 Gold has been one of the most talked-about assets in 2025, and now it’s testing the critical $3,370 resistance zone once again (price at $3,372 as of Aug 24).
📈 Bullish Case:
If gold breaks and closes above $3,370, we could see momentum push toward $3,390–$3,395 in the short term.
📉 Bearish Case:
If rejected here, support remains strong around $3,325–$3,330, aligned with the 100-day SMA.
👉 Do you think gold will finally break higher this week, or get rejected again? Drop your thoughts in the comments
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Shared for educational purposes only.
Gold Deep Dive: Cycles, Correlations, Divergences, SymmetryGold has been in a raging bull market and almost up over 100% since its monthly bullish engulfing candle.
Gold sniffing out week monetary policy and rallying on the back of easing global monetary policy.
Historically from a trading standpoint, Gold is extremely overbought and could be 4-8 weeks away from a considerable pullback of 15-30% .
Many Signals such as symmetrical moves, Monthly overbought RSI, Copper / Gold Divergence, GDX resistance is telling us to use caution and trim long profits.
It does seem like gold wants $3500 before it has a reversal back down. We are looking for a liquidity sweep of the ATH as a possible short zone. (Not FA advice)
Once gold resets some indicators and allows longer term moving average to catch up it will likely keep pushing but we only for see that in mid to late 2026.
If we make a new high....we don't see much upside for the next 3-6 months.
GOLD IN THE CROSSHAIRS WITH PIPGUARDGOLD IN THE CROSSHAIRS WITH PIPGUARD
Hello there, my colleagues, welcome back!
👉 From today on, I will always use this layout. If you like it, let me know by leaving a boost and a comment with your opinion!
ANALYSIS
Hello everyone, my colleagues, how are you? I hope all is well. I hope it was a great summer for all of you, that you enjoyed your days off and holidays, and that you spent time with family and friends ❤️.
Let's pick up where we left off and see what the markets are telling us. I'll start again with gold: a peculiar summer, made of stalls, endless sideways movements, and a lot of uncertainty basically like a tired marriage.
After Friday's weekly close, the price decided to shoot up over 400 pips and close beautifully above $3,370.
So what happens on Monday? Two options:
A sideways phase, the usual liquidity war where the little guys always get screwed.
A clean retracement, with two interesting points: 3,360 (the closest) and 3,330 (the nastier one, and I admit... the one I like the most).
The key level is 3,365 : now support, but if it breaks, it becomes resistance, worse than your boss coming back from vacation pissed off. Second support at 3,325/20.
I'm waiting for a nice retracement to re-enter long at a decent price. But one thing is for sure: the bullish target is 3,385 .
NEWS
✅ Powell continues to work his magic: the Fed kept selling smoke and mirrors about rate cuts and inflation. The result? The dollar remains strong, and gold is just watching.
✅ Central banks are gobbling up gold like there's no tomorrow: they are on track to buy over 1,000 tons in 2025. Four years in a row like this, not even a junkie on methadone.
✅ 95% of reserve managers plan to increase their gold holdings: practically everyone. When even the white-collars decide they want more gold, you know the carousel is about to start.
SECRETS
Here come the real gems, the ones that stink of shady deals and under-the-table agreements:
🔓 The "Mar-a-Lago Accord": according to a Fed analysis, there's an $863 billion gap between the book and real value of US gold. And the Treasury is thinking of using it to set up a BTC fund with a million coins, just for kicks.
🔓 95% of reserve managers no longer trust the dollar: everyone is buying gold. Anyone who isn't is an idiot.
GREETINGS
Remember to leave a GREETING 🚀 or a COMMENT
Talk to you soon,
PipGuard
Article published by PipGuard™ on the TradingView® platform
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to test that 3550-55 region and hopefully get a rejection there taking us downside into the lower levels and targets. This move worked well, although we got 3358 it completed into the red box defence. It’s at that defence level and the one below that we said opportunities to long may arise, which as you can see they did.
We then released the back test and report for Jackson hole mid-week. In this report we said we would be looking for a test on the low, and as long as it held we should see price push upside into the red box target levels. Again, a point to point, level to level move on this report hitting that target to a tee on the close!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’re going to stick with the Jackson Hole report for the first couple of days of the week.
As you can see from last week the low held us well and the move completed into the red box that we wanted. We did have a arrow down here suggesting a short, and there was a reaction from this point, however, it’s a new week now so we’ll play price up here.
We have resistance above at the 3385-90 level with support below at the 3365-70 level. These are the levels that need to be watched hence we’ve put a range box on the chart. What we’re looking for here is price to attempt to play between the red boxes and inside this range due to there being now news in the early part of the week.
If we break above and support 3370, we’re likely to see this attempt the break of 3400 but the first destination is only slightly above 3420-25. A break below and we would hope to see price correct the whole move from Jackson Hole before then again attempting to rise, which for us is the ideal scenario here.
What we want traders to understand is that although we saw volume for Jackson Hole, we’re still playing the same range we’ve been in for the last two months. Price is simply in one huge accumulation before a bigger breakout!
That’s all for this report, as always, we’ll update as we go along through the week.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3375 for 3378, 3383, 3385, 3388 and 3392 in extension of the move
Break below 3365 for 3355, 3351, 3345 and 3335 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Short: Sellers to Maintain Control at 3380 SupplyHello, traders! The macro structure for the XAU price auction has been defined by two critical pivot points, establishing a wide and volatile consolidation range. A major pivot point high was formed at the 3390 supply zone, while a subsequent pivot point low anchored the market at the 3300 demand zone. All price action since has occurred between these two dominant control zones, transitioning the market into a state of balance.
Currently, the price action is contracting within a large symmetrical triangle, signaling a compression of volatility. The auction is now at a critical inflection point, as it is directly testing the upper boundary of this formation. This area represents a powerful confluence of resistance, where the descending supply line and the horizontal 3380 - 3390 supply zone intersect, providing a key battleground for market participants.
The working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on sellers successfully defending this resistance confluence. It is anticipated that the price will make a final push into the supply zone before being rejected. A confirmed failure to break higher would validate the triangle's integrity and initiate a full rotation to the downside. The take-profit is therefore set at 3330, targeting the high-liquidity area where the ascending demand line converges with the horizontal demand zone. Manage your risk!
Gold Breaks Descending Trendline After Support RejectionHello guys!
Price touched the major support level at the recent low, confirming buyers’ activity.
After that, a QM (Quasimodo) pattern formed, often seen before reversals.
The descending trendline has been broken, showing weakness in bearish momentum and a potential shift to the upside.
A long entry can be considered in the QM blue zone, which is now acting as a demand area.
As long as price holds above this zone, the bias remains bullish, with potential for continuation higher.
XAUUSD — Daily Sniper Plan (Aug 25, 2025)Hello traders,
Let’s get ready for tomorrow. Gold is still trading inside a structural range, and liquidity hunts are likely before a decisive move. Here’s the refined roadmap:
🌍 Macro / Geopolitical
Powell’s dovish tone Friday lifted gold; USD remains soft but not broken.
No major US data until Thursday’s Unemployment Claims, so tomorrow is driven mainly by technical flows.
Safe-haven appetite stays supportive in the background.
📊 Bias & Structure
HTF (Daily/H4): Range-bound between 3320 demand and 3450 supply.
LTF (H1/M30/M15): Price sits in premium; expect liquidity sweeps and decision inside FVG.
🧭 Structural Zones
Demand (buy interest):
3340 – 3325 → Intraday demand OB + liquidity sweep.
3310 – 3295 → Deeper discount demand.
Supply (sell interest):
3390 – 3405 → Primary intraday supply (OB + resting liquidity).
3420 – 3440 → HTF supply cluster, strong cap.
📌 Intraday Key Levels
3295 · 3310 · 3325 · 3340 · 3370 · 3395 · 3405 · 3420 · 3440
⚖️ Decision Zone
3370 – 3330 = FVG / Imbalance Zone
This is the battlefield:
Hold top side (3340–3370) → bullish continuation.
Full fill toward 3330 → inducement for deeper demand test.
Market direction for the session will be decided here.
🎯 Trade Scenarios
Bullish 🟢
Longs from 3340–3325 demand → targets 3370 and 3395–3405 supply.
Break & hold above 3405 → continuation toward 3420–3440.
Bearish 🔴
Rejection at 3395–3405 supply → sends price back into 3370, then 3340–3325.
Break below 3325 → exposes 3310–3295.
🔗 Confluences
EMAs: Price above EMA21/EMA50, EMA200 flat → confirms range.
RSI: Neutral-bullish, room for both retracement & extension.
FVGs: Main imbalance at 3370–3330 = decision zone.
✅ Action Plan
Monitor 3370–3330 FVG as the session’s decision zone.
Primary buy: 3340–3325; primary sell: 3395–3405.
Break of either side (3325 or 3405) should define momentum for the day.
💬 Gold is caught inside a clean decision zone — do you see bulls holding 3340 or sellers defending 3405? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇 If this plan gave you clarity, leave a 🚀🚀🚀 and follow for daily sniper updates.
— GoldFxMinds | Trade Nation Disclaimer
XAUUSD — H4 Weekly Outlook (25–29 Aug 2025)Hello traders,
After Powell’s dovish comments Friday, gold closed the week on a bullish note. But on H4, price remains trapped inside a wide structural range. The coming week will revolve around whether buyers can clear overhead supply or if the market rotates back into demand.
🔹 Macro Context
Powell’s tone supported gold, weakening USD sentiment.
This week is quiet until Thursday’s Unemployment Claims, which may provide the key catalyst.
Market bias: mildly bullish, but capped by strong supply.
🔹 H4 Structural Zones
Demand Zones (downside targets):
3345 – 3320 → Main H4 Demand (OB top + liquidity sweep bottom).
3300 – 3280 → Secondary structural demand, liquidity pocket.
3260 – 3240 → Major HTF demand, structural defense.
Supply Zones (upside targets):
3380 – 3395 → Local supply, intrarange resistance.
3420 – 3450 → Major structural supply cluster (OB + wick highs + liquidity).
3470 – 3500 → Key HTF Supply + FVG (origin of April sell-off).
3520 – 3540 → Extended HTF supply, target only if 3500 breaks.
🔹 EMA Confluence
EMA5 / EMA21 → bullish cross, supporting upside momentum.
EMA50 → overlaps with 3345–3320 demand.
EMA100 → mid-range around 3368.
EMA200 → aligns with 3260–3240, ultimate bullish defense.
🔹 Scenarios
Bullish 🟢
Defending 3345–3320 demand keeps momentum for a push into 3380–3395, then 3420–3450 supply.
Break above 3450 activates 3470–3500 HTF supply/FVG.
Sustained breakout over 3500 targets 3520–3540.
Bearish 🔴
Rejection from 3420–3450 supply brings rotation back toward 3345–3320 demand.
Break below 3320 exposes 3300–3280, and deeper weakness can reach 3260–3240 HTF demand.
🔹 Conclusion
Gold is range-bound on H4, between 3320 demand and 3450 supply.
Above 3450 → bullish path toward 3470–3500 and possibly 3520–3540.
Below 3320 → bearish path into 3300 and 3240.
💬 Gold is boxed between 3320 demand and 3450 supply — do you expect a breakout higher or another rejection? Share your bias in the comments 👇 If this outlook gave you clarity, leave a 🚀🚀🚀and make sure to follow for daily sniper updates.
— GoldFxMinds | Trade Nation Disclaimer
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Support 1: 3306 - 3315 area
Support 2: 3245 - 3275 area
Support 3: 3121 - 3177 area
Resistance 1: 3371 - 3380 area
Resistance 2: 3403 - 3408 area
Resistance 3: 3431 - 3451 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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The Bigger Picture in Gold: A Complete Cross-Market ViewFor directional swing traders, Gold’s summer price action has been particularly challenging. Strong impulsive moves have frequently been followed by tight consolidations and equally strong reversals, making it difficult to capture clean continuation trades.
In such environments, the most effective strategy is often to step back and reassess the broader context.
In this article, I will attempt to do just that — to strip away the noise of short-term fluctuations and focus instead on the bigger picture shaping Gold’s market direction.
XAUUSD on the Weekly Chart
Looking at the weekly timeframe, the beginning of the current uptrend can be traced back to October 2022.
However, it wasn’t until March 2024 that XAUUSD finally broke decisively above the 2000 level. Only after this breakout did the trend accelerate meaningfully to the upside.
From that point, the long-term trend has been clear and technically consistent, with pullbacks and corrections that are typical in such strong advances.
Following the all-time high in late April, XAUUSD entered another corrective phase, and since then the market has been consolidating.
Two key observations stand out:
1. A congestion zone is forming, with both highs and lows tightening over the past four months.
2. An ascending triangle structure is becoming increasingly visible.
On the daily chart, this congestion is even more evident—especially in the past four weeks. Moreover, last week produced an interesting pattern: two strong bullish engulfing candles, the latest triggered by Powell’s remarks on Friday.
Conclusion
In the bigger picture, XAUUSD continues to look bullish as long as price holds above the 3300 level. The consolidation is healthy within the broader uptrend, and the ascending triangle suggests a potential continuation higher once the market resolves this range.
Gold Futures
The picture on Futures is broadly similar, with the uptrend starting in October 2022 and gaining momentum after March 2024. The key distinction here is that the consolidation is forming an ascending triangle, and last Friday’s bullish engulfing candle coincided with a reversal directly off the trendline support.
Note: From my perspective—and I’ve said this before—when I trade Gold, I care about Gold itself as an asset. That’s why I ignore the DXY in my analysis. Instead, I focus on how Gold performs across multiple currencies, which I find far more relevant to understanding its true strength.
XAUEUR
Here as well, the trend is clearly to the upside—confirming what I mentioned earlier: Gold has strengthened regardless of the currency it is priced in.
Over the past month, a well-defined support has formed around 2840. Last week, price action confirmed that level with a strong bullish engulfing candle, followed by two consecutive bullish pin bars.
XAUGBP
The picture is very similar to XAUEUR: the uptrend remains intact, with a clear support base forming. Last week’s price action delivered a bullish engulfing candle followed by a double bullish pin bar, reinforcing the case for continued strength.
XAUJPY
When it comes to the yen, the chart tells a different story. The series of all-time highs began back in 2022, driven not only by Gold’s global strength but mostly by the yen’s pronounced weakness.
Over the past year, price action has remained contained within an ascending channel. While the structure differs from other Gold crosses, it nevertheless continues to suggest underlying strength.
In conclusion, the overall, the bigger picture remains bullish for Gold as long as key supports hold, with the potential for continuation once current consolidations resolve.
XAUUSD Daily Outlook — 25 Aug 2025Hey team — wishing you a sharp start to the week! ✨ Here’s XAUUSD Daily Outlook based on the current range and supply/demand zones.
🔸 Market Context
Powell’s speech on Friday gave gold the momentum push, but the market is still trading inside a wide Daily range.
Monday brings no high-impact news, meaning price is likely to respect technical supply and demand zones until Tuesday’s catalysts arrive.
🔸 Structure & Bias (D1)
Current price: ~3372
Trend: HTF bullish, Daily still ranging between 3320 demand and 3439 supply cap.
EMA Flow: Price trades above EMA21/EMA50 → bullish tilt, but capped by multiple overhead supply zones.
Liquidity:
Buy-side rests above 3380–3410 → 3439 → 3470–3485 → 3500.
Sell-side sits under 3320–3340 demand zone.
Bias: Bullish as long as 3320–3340 demand zone holds.
🔸 Key Supply & Demand Zones
Lower Demand Zone: 3320 – 3340 (active support, line in the sand for bulls).
Upper Supply Zone 1: 3380 – 3410 (first resistance band).
Major Supply Zone 2: 3430 – 3439 (weekly wick high, range top).
Supply Zone 3: 3470 – 3485 (Daily supply, OB + liquidity pocket).
Supply Zone 4: 3495 – 3500 (critical ceiling before extensions).
Deep Demand Zone: 3250 – 3230 (only active if 3320 breaks decisively).
🔸 Scenarios
Bullish 🟢
If buyers defend 3320–3340 demand, gold can step up into each supply zone:
3380–3410 → first target
3430–3439 → range cap test
Break above 3439 → continuation to 3470–3485
Final supply before extensions: 3495–3500
Only above 3500 do extensions open:
3520–3530 (1.272 Fibo ext)
3635–3650 (1.618 Fibo ext)
Bearish 🔴
Rejection in any supply zone (3380–3410 / 3439 / 3470–3485 / 3500) → pullback into 3320–3340 demand.
Break below 3320 demand → activates the deeper 3250–3230 HTF demand zone.
🔸 Action Plan
3320–3340 demand = key support zone.
As long as this zone holds, bias is bullish toward step-by-step supply tests.
Watch reactions in each supply zone: rejection = range play, break = continuation.
Above 3500 → bullish extensions activate into 3520–3530 and higher.
✨ Gold remains in range, 3320–3439, with multiple supply zones stacked above. Powell lit the fire, but breakout confirmation hasn’t happened yet. If this gave you clarity, drop a like, share your bias below, and follow GoldFxMinds for more updates. 💛
Disclosure: Analysis built on Trade Nation feed (Gold Spot · TradeNation data).
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3424 and a gap below at 3347. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3424
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3347
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3347 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3277
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3277 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3234
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
2996
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold in 15 minute and 1-hour time framesGold in 15-minute and 1-hour time frames
Last weekend, with the tone of Mr. Powell's speech about the probability of a US interest rate cut, the global gold price strengthened by $50 and 1.5 percent. During the week, positive news about the possibility of an agreement and peace between Russia and Ukraine and Hamas and Israel reduced geopolitical risks in the world and helped reduce the initial decline in gold prices.
According to the technical chart of gold, support and resistance lines and Fibonacci and sensitive areas have been identified. Personally, I think there is a possibility of a price correction.
We need to see which group of news funds has the most power and which direction gold will go when the market opens.
Don't forget about capital and risk management
Good luck.
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (25–29 August 2025)Hey team — happy new week! Let’s lock in the XAUUSD Weekly Outlook (Aug 25–29) so we start focused and calm. ✨
🔸 Macro & News Context
This week is loaded with USD catalysts that will shape gold’s direction:
Tuesday (26 Aug): Core Durable Goods Orders, CB Consumer Confidence
Thursday (28 Aug): Unemployment Claims, Prelim GDP Price Index
Friday (29 Aug): Core PCE Price Index (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) + FOMC Member Waller speaks
⚡️ Wednesday has no major data → expect technical price action mid–week before Thursday–Friday volatility.
🔸 Weekly Structure & Bias
Trend: Bullish on HTF; price remains above EMA21/EMA50.
Location: Consolidating in premium territory (3300–3350).
Liquidity:
Buy-side above 3350–3439 wick supply.
Sell-side below 3260–3280 (PML).
Order Flow: Buyers continue defending mid-range, sellers pressuring highs. Equilibrium until news triggers breakout.
🔸 Key Structural Zones
Premium Supply (Resistance): 3350 – 3439 (weekly wick supply).
Decision Zone: 3300 – 3320 (mid-range control + EMA confluence).
Weekly Demand: 3260 – 3205 (OB + liquidity cluster).
Deeper HTF Demand: 2965 – 2590 (not in play unless strong breakdown).
🔸 Target Zones Above 3439
If weekly closes above 3439, price enters clean air. Using fibo extensions from swing 2965 → 3439:
1.272 extension: 3520–3530 (first major upside target).
1.618 extension: 3635–3650 (secondary bullish projection).
These are the next realistic institutional levels where gold could face supply pressure.
🔸 Weekly Scenarios
Bullish Case 🟢
Break and close above 3350–3439 → extension toward 3520–3530.
If macro data weakens USD (soft GDP / lower PCE), momentum accelerates.
Bearish Case 🔴
Rejection from 3350–3439 zone + strong US data → pullback into 3300.
Break below 3300 reactivates demand at 3260–3205.
🔸 Conclusion & Action Plan
This week is range-to-breakout:
Above 3439 → upside opens toward 3520–3530.
Below 3300 → downside pullback into 3260 demand.
News flow (Thu–Fri) will decide the weekly candle close.
Patience until the macro catalysts hit — the cleanest sniper entries will come after confirmation.
If this was helpful, drop a like, share your bias in the comments, and follow GoldFxMinds for the daily plan next. Let’s trade the facts, not the noise. 💛
Disclosure: Analysis built on Trade Nation feed (Gold Spot · TradeNation data).