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AUDUSD Eyes 0.65900 as Gold Nears Record HighHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.65900 zone. AUDUSD remains in an uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price moving toward this key support/resistance level. Structure: The broader bias is bullish, with price retracing toward trend support. Key level in focus: 0.65900 — an important area where buyers may look to re-enter. Fundamentals: Gold continues to rise and is nearing a fresh ATH, supported by a bearish US Dollar bias. Given the positive correlation between AUDUSD and Gold, further upside on the pair remains likely. Next move: Monitoring price reaction at 0.65900 to assess whether the trend resumes higher. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
15
Silver Is Extending Impulsively Higher; All-Time Highs SoonSilver Is Extending Impulsively Higher, which can push the price into all-time highs from a technical point of view and by Elliott wave model. Silver is on the rise and has been outperforming gold quite a lot over the last week, and it looks like an extended leg up is still in progress; seems like wave three of an extended impulse, therefore more gains are possible after next three-leg retracement. Based on the 4-hour chart, there is a chance that price goes towards 50usd, but there can be some new pullback first. Ideally red wave (4) could stabilize near 45.86. Only a sharp impulse down closer to 43 level will be an indication that higher degree wave four has started. Higher Time frame charts show an ongoing bull cycle that is now targeting the high from April 2011, which could be the next major level and a potential area for a new retracement, maybe sometime in 2026.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by ew-forecast
Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Above $3910Gold price is currently showing a mild correction after testing the upper trendline of the ascending channel. The chart suggests a possible short-term pullback toward the $3925–$3913 zone, which aligns with the 0.382–0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels. As long as price holds above $3910, the bullish structure remains intact, and a rebound toward $3976 and possibly $4016 can be expected. A break below $3900 would weaken bullish momentum and could extend the decline toward $3875 support. Support: $3925 / $3910 / $3875 Resistance: $3976 / $4016 Bias: Bullish above $3910; correction possible before next leg up. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
1
Buyers Hold Momentum Above SupportGold continues to trade in a bullish structure, forming higher highs after a clean rebound from the support zone. A short term pullback provides a potential swing buy opportunity targeting higher resistance levels as buyers remain active above intraday support. Key Levels: Buy Entry: 3960 Take Profit: 3980 Stop Loss: 3945 Reasoning: Technically, price action shows a sustained uptrend, supported by rising structure and consistent bullish candles. The 1H chart confirms momentum continuation after retesting previous resistance turned support. Fundamentally, weaker U.S. dollar sentiment and stable Treasury yields continue to support gold demand as investors look for safety ahead of key U.S. data releases. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan before executing any trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
GOLD – New All-Time High, Bullish Above 3,976 Toward 4,020GOLD – Overview Gold recorded a new all-time high (ATH) and continues to show strong bullish momentum. The metal remains supported by expectations of further Fed rate cuts and safe-haven demand, but short-term corrections are possible if price fails to hold above key pivot levels. Technical Outlook As long as price trades above 3,976, the bullish trend remains intact, with potential to extend toward 4,008 → 4,020. A 1H or 15M close below 3,976 would indicate the start of a bearish correction, targeting 3,957 → 3,944. Pivot: 3,976 Resistance: 4,008 – 4,020 Support: 3,960 – 3,944 – 3,920
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Zone 4: Where Gold’s Next Move Will Be DecidedTVC:GOLD continues its impressive bullish structure, climbing cleanly through all prior resistance zones. Each expansion phase has been measured and consistent - alternating between ~1.7% impulsive legs and ~4.4% corrective expansions, forming a rhythmic price behavior that reflects controlled institutional flow rather than retail volatility. Price is now operating within Zone 4, approaching the $3,987–$3,990 resistance target. This level aligns with the upper boundary of the current expansion range, making it a critical decision point. If price follows the same historical rhythm observed in September, there’s a high probability we’ll see a tap of $3,987, followed by a retracement toward $3,914 (zone support) before any continuation attempt. However, it's important to note that we’re currently in a blackout phase, with no tangible U.S. economic data releases to fuel directional conviction. This means momentum here is largely technically driven, and could mark the final phase for gold before a broader trend shift. Key Note: Primary Bias: Bullish continuation remains valid while above $3,900 support. I expect price to hit 3987 and then pullback to 3914 where possible re-accumulation repeats. Volume remains steady but not euphoric - signaling disciplined accumulation rather than late FOMO. Conclusion: TVC:GOLD structure remains intact, but the market is entering a decision zone. The next move from here within 24-48 hours window, will likely determine whether we witness a final extension or the start of a deeper correction. 💭 Share your thoughts below if following this trade.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by niclaxfx
4
Gold settles near record high on support of China's purchases Gold prices are hovering around $3,960 an ounce, near a record high reached earlier in the session, supported by economic uncertainty and China's central bank's growing gold holdings for the eleventh consecutive month in September. Gold is up 51% so far this year , supported by resilient safe-haven demand, and expectations of #Federal_Reserve_easing. Technically, the metal fell slightly in a downward corrective movement at the beginning of today's trading, after holding above the $3940 levels, so we expect the downward correction to stop around the $3940 per ounce level, and then rebound again and target the resistance levels of $3996.75 per ounce
TVC:GOLD
by shymaasheta029
Gold/Silver Ratio Nears 100: What Does It Mean Historically?The Gold/Silver ratio is on the verge of reaching 100, an extremely rare level seen only at key historical turning points. The chart includes a 2,500-week linear regression channel, which shows that over the very long term, the ratio has been steadily rising, though at a slow pace. Occasionally, the ratio touches the 1.5 standard deviation line, and in rare, game-changing events, and sometimes it even breaks beyond that level. Here are some of the key historical turning points marked by major spikes in the Gold/Silver ratio: 1- Early 1990s: The collapse of the Soviet Union, the Gulf War, and a U.S. recession pushed the ratio to 106. It remained above 1.5 standard deviations for more than two years. 2- 2002: Following the dot-com bubble burst, the 9/11 attacks, and the Iraq War, the ratio climbed to 82.6, nearing the 1.5 deviation line. 3- 2008 Recession: The global financial crisis triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers sent the ratio to 88.50. This spike sparked a major rally in both gold and silver, lasting until 2011 when the ratio reached one of its deepest bottoms. 4- 2019: The U.S.–China trade war under Trump’s first term pushed the ratio to 93, again nearing the 1.5 deviation threshold. 5- 2020 (COVID-19 Shock): The pandemic caused one of the biggest disruptions in modern economic history. Although relatively short-lived, its impacts were severe. The Gold/Silver ratio surged to 126 , marking the highest level in modern records, possibly the highest in all of history. 6- 2024–2025 (Global Trade War?): With the U.S. imposing major tariffs on key global trading partners, this could be another historic inflection point. The full impact is still unfolding, but risks of a serious global slowdown, or even a deep recession are rising. A full-scale trade war remains a real possibility. Now, the Gold/Silver ratio is approaching 100 and nearing the 1.5 standard deviation line. It remains unclear whether this represents a powerful pair trade opportunity—"sell gold, buy silver"—or a structural breakout where the ratio stays elevated for an extended period. In either case market is showing that this is one of the rare turning point of global economy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ftdsystem
Gold - 4H Forecast ☀️ GOLD – 4H Forecast ☀️ Alright gold gang, let’s talk business — XAU/USD is setting up for something clean 👇 🧠 Bias : Still bullish overall, but we’re chilling in premium territory, and this structure screams “pullback incoming.” Expect a retrace before the next rocket launch 🚀. 🧩 Technical Breakdown: Price just printed a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) grab up top — textbook liquidity sweep before a potential correction. We’ve got a strong impulsive leg pushing off a 4H + Daily demand confluence around $3,850–$3,880. The 71% fib retracement zone aligns beautifully with that 4H demand, creating a prime reload area if price dips. The volume profile gap (POI) also hints at untested liquidity sitting below current highs. 🎯 Trade Idea: Entry Zone: $3,880–$3,860 (4H & Daily demand overlap) Target 1: $3,970 (current high retest) Target 2: $4,010+ (continuation into new impulse) Invalidation: Below $3,830 (break of structure + demand failure) ⚙️ Risk Management: Keep risk tight — 1%–1.5% max. If we get a reaction at the 71% level, partials at $3,950 are smart to secure profits before the next leg. 💬 Summary : Gold just ran buy-side liquidity and looks ready to dip into discount before ripping higher again. If we get a clean 4H or 1H confirmation in the demand, expect another bullish leg to unfold.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Jibzy_Trades
DeGRAM | GOLD formed bearish takeover📊 Technical Analysis ● XAU/USD is trading inside a rising channel, where price recently formed a bearish takeover near the upper boundary at 3,975, suggesting exhaustion of bullish momentum. ● The rejection aligns with resistance, hinting at a short-term retracement toward 3,927, with possible extension to 3,884 if selling pressure accelerates along the lower channel line. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields ahead of Fed minutes are weighing on gold, as investors shift toward safer dollar assets. ✨ Summary ● Short bias below 3,975; targets at 3,927 and 3,884. Bearish reversal confirmed within the rising channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by DeGRAM
1
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is pulling back after failing to clear resistance around 3970, showing the first signs of intraday exhaustion following the sharp rally. The bias remains bullish, but it’s healthy to see some correction after strong momentum. The MA50 acts as the first line of dynamic support, aligning with the 3937 support level. Failure to hold above this zone may open the way for a test of lower reaction zones before fresh buying interest emerges. A clear break above 3970 will likely invite momentum buyers and push price toward the 4000 and possibly 4020 resistance levels. 📌Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 3970 4000 4020 Support: 3937 3909 3880 3820 🔎Fundamental Focus: The ongoing U.S. government shutdown continues to delay key data and elevate risk sentiment. With uncertainty rising and liquidity thinning, gold is highly reactive to political headlines, leading to erratic intraday volatility. Safe-haven demand underpins dips, but sudden reversals remain possible.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
1
GOLD (XAUUSD): 4000 Soon?! Gold was strongly bullish on Monday, updating the ATH again. The next psychological resistance is 4000. I think that the price will reach that soon. We will probably see a pullback first. You can consider the underlined supports, especially Horizontal Support 1 and a Vertical Support 1 for buying after a pullback. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
6
Gold Grid Trading Overview: Effective Strategy for 20% gains🪙 Gold Breakout-Stop Grid Strategy: Overview & Rationale Grid trading is often built using limit orders above and below a base price, expecting the market to oscillate and capture many small profits. But in a strongly trending or volatile asset like gold, there is often breakout momentum that drives price through grid zones rather than bouncing. By instead using buy stops above and sell stops below (i.e. breakout triggers), you capture directional thrusts, while still retaining a grid structure (i.e. multiple layers). Think of it as a hybrid between a breakout strategy and a grid. Key advantages in gold: • ✨ Gold often exhibits strong trending phases, with momentum after breakouts of supply/demand zones. • 📊 Volatility is higher than many forex pairs, so you can space your grid more widely, reducing overcrowding. • 🎯 With breakout stops, you reduce “false bounce” whipsaws inside the range; only when momentum validates do you trigger entries. Risks / caveats: • ⚠️ If price doesn’t break strongly and whipsaws, you could trigger and then reverse, creating drawdown. • 📉 In a sideways gold market, fewer breakouts may be triggered, lowering trade frequency. • 🛡 You must carefully size exposure and use drawdown controls, especially with leverage. I’ll now walk through how to set this up, with gold-tailored specifics and sample trades (with increased aggressiveness), using realistic current spot prices (≈ $3,862) Investing.com. ________________________________________ 🧮 Setup: Account, Leverage, Risk & Grid Sizing 📋 Account & Leverage • Account size: $10,000 • Leverage: 1:100 • This means your maximum notional exposure is huge but margin and maintenance rules will limit you. • We’ll now risk ~20–25%+ of equity in an aggressive version of this system (in order to aim for 20-30% weekly), i.e. $2,000–$2,500 at most drawdown limit for a grid run. Note: This is very aggressive and only for demonstration. Many traders would never risk this much per grid. 💰 Risk per Grid Step (Aggressive Version) • Let’s target $50 risk per triggered order (instead of $10) so that each step is meaningful. • That means if a triggered order goes adverse by its maximum “stop zone,” your loss is $50. • If you trigger, say, 5 steps, that’s $250 worst case on that direction (if all hit adverse). • You must still cap total drawdown (e.g. 25% or $2,500) and limit exposures. 📈 Gold Contract & Price Movements • Spot gold (XAU/USD) currently trades about $3,862.74 Investing.com. • Let’s assume a contract specification such that 1 standard lot gives $100 per $1 move (so $1.00 move = $100) — a common ballpark in retail gold CFDs. • Then:   • A move of $0.01 = $1 (for 1 lot).   • Therefore, if you trade 0.50 lots, a $1 move = $50. So with this, to get ~$50 risk per $1 adverse move, 0.50 lots is a candidate (because $1 adverse × 0.50 lots × $100/lot = $50). You can scale lot sizes accordingly. 📏 Grid Spacing & Levels (Realistic & Aggressive) Given gold’s volatility, use wider spacing. Let’s choose: • Grid spacing = $3.50 between successive triggers (a robust distance). • We’ll place buy stops and sell stops relative to a base zone around current spot. Let’s pick base ~ $3,860 as our pivot. So: • Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50, $3,874.00, $3,877.50 • Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50, $3,846.00, $3,842.50 (Max 5 levels each side, but you may cap to 3–5.) Take Profit / Exit Logic: • Target profit per trade = $3.50 (same as spacing). • Thus one successful step = $3.50 × lot_size × $100. • If lot_size = 0.50 lots, $3.50 × 0.50 × $100 = $175 profit per triggered trade. • If you get 3 successful triggers in a run: 3 × $175 = $525 gross. • That’s 5.25% on $10,000 in one clean directional run (before commissions/slippage). You see the scaling is now aggressive — you risk more per step, but also gain more per successful trade. Limit how many triggers you allow (e.g. max 3–4 per side) to cap exposure. Define a hard equity stop: e.g. if floating drawdown > 25% ($2,500), close all and reset. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trade Example: How It Plays Out in Gold (Realistic Prices & Aggression) We’ll do two detailed scenarios. This time we target higher returns, with real price zones. ________________________________________ 🎯 Scenario A: Bullish Breakout Base price: ~$3,860 (spot) Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50 Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50 Lot sizing: 0.50 lots per order (so $3.50 adverse = $175 risk). TP per trade: +$3.50 Sequence: 1. Gold climbs and breaks $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1 at 3,863.50 o TP at 3,867.00 → profit if reached = ($3.50 × 0.50 × $100) = $175 2. Momentum continues, price breaks 3,867.00 → triggers Buy #2 there o TP at 3,870.50 → another $175 3. Price surges, breaks 3,870.50 → triggers Buy #3 → TP = 3,874.00 → +$175 If all three succeed: Gross = $525 (5.25% gain) in one directional move. If you allow up to 4 or 5 levels, total can scale to ~$700–900 (7–9%) in a strong move — if all hits. If reversal? If price reverses after buy #2, or before buy #3, you can: • Close open longs immediately when opposite side’s sell stop triggers. • Or cancel further buy stops once a reversal signal appears. • Or net positions (if your broker supports hedging) — but that adds complexity. Better to disable opposite side (sell stops) after the first buy triggers, to avoid collision exposures. ________________________________________ 🔻 Scenario B: Bearish Breakout Same base zone. Now price breaks downward. • Sell stops at: 3,856.50, 3,853.00, 3,849.50 • TP each = –$3.50 from entry. Sequence: 1. Gold breaks 3,856.50 → Sell #1 → target 3,853.00 → profit $175 2. Continues down, breaks 3,853.00 → Sell #2 → target 3,849.50 → +$175 3. Breaks 3,849.50 → Sell #3 → target 3,846.00 → +$175 If all three succeed: $525 profit. If you allowed 4 levels: e.g. break 3,846.00 next → target 3,842.50 → +$175 more → total $700. Again, reversal risk must be managed. ________________________________________ 📊 Mixed / Whipsaw Scenario Suppose price crosses above $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1, moves a bit, then reverses and crosses down through 3,856.50, triggering Sell #1. You now hold: • Long from $3,863.50 (losing) • Short from $3,856.50 (potential profit) This is a collision. To avoid chaotic risk: • Cancel all opposite-side stops when first side triggers. • Or immediately close all on first collision signal. • Or lock in partial profit/loss and pause grid until trend clarity returns. That’s why many breakout-grid strategies disable the opposite direction after first breakout. ________________________________________ 📈 Profit Potential & Drawdown Estimates (Aggressive Model) Let’s simulate one clean grid run (bullish) where 3 steps succeed fully: • Gross profit = $525 • If you risked 3 steps * $175 = $525, worst-case these same 3 steps lose you $525 (if all adverse) • Net = +5.25% in one run • If you manage 2–3 such runs per week (if market allows), theoretically 10–15%+ weekly is possible — but that is optimistic. However, in real life, not all runs will hit all targets — sometimes partial, sometimes losses. A drawdown of 25% ($2,500) is your cap boundary. With that, if you undergo 5 bad runs in a row, you’d hit your equity stop. If average win per run is $400 and average loss per bad run is $500, you need a favorable win-loss ratio to hit ~20–30% weekly. This is extremely aggressive. ________________________________________ 🔁 Adaptive Mechanics & Enhancements (for robustness) To improve consistency and manage risk, add: • 📐 ATR-based spacing: Use a 14-period ATR on H4 or D1 to set grid spacing. If ATR = $4, spacing = $4 or $5. • 📈 Trend filter: Only open buy-side grids when price > 200-period MA (H4 or D1), or only open sell-side when price < MA. Prevent fighting trend. • 🚫 Volatility filter / news blocks: Do not place or trigger near major gold-related news (Fed, CPI, central bank announcements). • 🔄 Grid rebase / reset: After a winning cycle, re-center grid around new price and restart stop orders. • 📈 Scaling rules:   – Aggressive scaling: after n consecutive wins, increase lot size (within risk caps).   – Defensive scaling: after a loss, reduce lot size or skip grid. • 🛑 Equity-stop / margin cap: If floating drawdown > 25% or margin usage > 80%, close all and reset. • 🧊 Cooldown periods: After a loss or big run, pause grid orders for some hours/days to let market settle. ________________________________________ 🧮 Worked Example: Multi-Cycle Over a Week (Aggressive) Say you run 3 grid cycles in a week under trending conditions: Cycle Direction Steps hit Gross profit Net (after one partial loss) 1 Up 3 out of 4 levels hit fully +$525 +$490 (small drawdown on partial) 2 Down 2 of 3 hit, 1 reversed +$350 +$320 3 Up 4 levels hit fully +$700 +$700 Total gross = $525 + $350 + $700 = $1,575 Net after adjustments/slippage ~ $1,450–$1,500 That’s ~ 14.5% gain in one week. If the market is more favorable, you may hit ~20–30%, but the risk is commensurate. Over multiple weeks the compounding is powerful — but a few big losses can wipe gains. ________________________________________ ✅ Summary & Implementation Tips • Use breakout stops (buy stops above, sell stops below) instead of limits to catch directional thrusts in gold. • Wider grid spacing (e.g. $3–$5) is essential to survive volatility. • Lot sizing must match your desired risk per step (here $50). • Limit max triggers per direction and enforce a hard equity stop (e.g. 25%) to avoid blow-ups. • Employ trend / volatility filters to filter low-probability entries. • After a net winning run, rebase grid to current price. • Use scaling and cooldown mechanics to moderate aggression. • On collision signals, cancel opp side stops or close everything to avoid contradictory exposures.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
48
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected Before Key CPI Data💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is stabilizing below the $4,000 mark as traders await this week’s U.S. CPI data and fresh remarks from the Federal Reserve. After a strong multi-week rally, the metal is showing early exhaustion near premium liquidity zones, where engineered pullbacks often occur before continuation. While the mid-term bias remains bullish, several analysts — including those from Citi and UBS — caution that gold could face short-term corrections if the dollar regains strength. The market continues to price in around a 65% probability of a December rate cut, keeping volatility elevated and sentiment uncertain. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price has slipped slightly below the ascending channel after consecutive BOS signals, indicating a potential short-term retracement before resuming the uptrend. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3932–3930 (Breakout & FVG zone) – an ideal discount area where buyers may re-enter the market. 🔴 Sell Zone: 4009–4007 (Premium liquidity) – a key region for short setups if price rejects strongly. 🔑 Key Levels • BUY Zone: 3932–3930 (main support 3923) • SELL Zone: 4009–4007 (liquidity reaction area) • Psychological Resistance: 4000 💡 Trading Scenarios & Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3932–3930 SL: 3923 TP: 3945 – 3955 – 3965 – 3975 – 3980+ 🔴 SELL ZONE: 4009–4007 SL: 4016 TP: 3995 – 3980 – 3975 – 3965 – 3955 ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The 4000–4010 region acts as a high-liquidity magnet, where false breakouts and engineered sweeps may occur before reversals. Wait for lower-timeframe confirmation (BOS or rejection candle) before entry. Avoid overleveraging ahead of CPI — expect volatility spikes and rapid shifts in sentiment. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish but vulnerable to intraday retracements near 4009–4007. Ryan_TitanTrader anticipates potential buy reactions from 3932–3930 and short-term rejections near 4009–4007. Holding above 3923 keeps the bullish outlook intact with upside targets toward 3970–3980. 🔔 Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time updates, live setups, and advanced SMC insights as gold reacts to CPI data this week!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
14
The most accurate analysis on the entire network do you follow As the US government shutdown continues, many central banks continue to increase their gold holdings. Coupled with Trump's new tariffs and geopolitical implications, the market continues to release bullish signals, contributing to a pattern of gold prices hitting new highs. Yesterday, gold in the US market tested the resistance of 3960-3970 as expected and then fell back to around 3945. Those brothers who followed the trading strategy and went short must have made good profits. As time goes by and the price of gold continues to rise, the short-term lows are also moving higher. Gold continued to rise in the Asian session today, reaching a high of around 3977 before falling back. In the short term, pay attention to the support level below 3955-3940. If it falls back for the first time during the day, you can consider going long on gold. In addition, observing previous gold price trends, we can see that every time gold breaks through a new high, it will experience a pullback of approximately $70-80 to accumulate momentum after hitting channel resistance. According to this trend pattern, combined with the rising channel of our chart, we can find that the next suppression point is at 3985-4000. Overall, gold remains bullish in the medium to long term, but may experience short-term technical adjustments. The core trading strategy remains primarily long gold, supplemented by short positions. If the price falls back to the 3955-3940 range for the first time during the day, you can consider buying gold in batches according to the strength of the pullback, with the target at 3985-4000. After the resistance level is reached and under pressure, you can consider shorting gold appropriately based on the market trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allen_Boswell