Get started

Microsoft

MICROSOFT on a short-term rebound before drop to $410.Around 3 months ago (November 06 2025, see chart below) we gave a Sell Signal on Microsoft (MSFT) targeting $450: The signal was confirmed and the target got hit last week, with the price immediately rebounding as it hit the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the April 07 2025 Low. This Low was also formed on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and based on the long-term Channel Up pattern that has been in effect for the past +4 years, is a natural technical rebound made half-way through a Bearish Leg. Both previous Bearish Legs experienced similar rebounds when the 1W RSI hit (or approached) the 40.50 Symmetrical Support level and later resumed the dominant bearish trend. As you can see all Bearish Legs are in the form of a (red) Channel Down. Once the bearish trend is resumed, we expect this Leg to seek the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is currently exactly at the bottom of the 4-year Channel Up and is where both previous Bearish Legs priced their bottoms on April 07 2025 and October 21 2022. Assuming a minimum -26.20% decline (like the previous Leg) and not a -38.88% of the first one, we are targeting at least $410 next. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by TradingShot
2
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you missed buying MSFT when they took a 49% stake in OpenAI: Nor sold the recent double top: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 475usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2026-2-20, for a premium of approximately $14.60. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by TopgOptions
MSFT: Seller maintains control of the initiativeHi traders and investors! While the monthly candle has not yet closed (around 5 days remain until the close), on the 14-day timeframe the seller candle from January 2 closed within the seller’s initiative. This means that the seller has pushed the price back into the range on this timeframe. Notably, this candle has the largest volume since March 2025, which gives grounds to expect a continuation of the seller’s initiative. At the same time, the first target — the 50% level of the trading range at 450.12 — has already been reached. From here, we continue to monitor how the situation develops. Now let’s look at the daily timeframe: A seller initiative is present. At the lower boundary of the latest seller initiative, there was a seller candle with strong volume, which was then absorbed by an even larger buyer volume. Under normal conditions, this could suggest a potential continuation of the buyer’s move. However, there is an important nuance: in this buyer candle, the key volume was accumulated in the upper part of the candle, above the start of the seller initiative at 463.15 (marked by the blue band on the chart). This structure may also indicate a bull trap. Where it makes sense to look for long-term buying opportunities was outlined in the previous review. Profitable trades! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis (IA) method.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by AlexeyWolf
Microsoft - Finishing the OwlWe consider the move from April 2025 to July 2025 as a completed five -wave impulse. From August 2025 to the present, price has been in a corrective phase. Starting in October 2025, the correction has been developing through zigzag structures. We expect one more impulse to complete the correction - either as a larger zigzag or a double zigzag. The exact form is not critical for the overall scenario. Intermediate levels with potential pullbacks: 436 - current level 428 416 Main target: Move toward the 400 area Estimated downside potential from current levels: Approximately 10% --- Please subscribe and leave a comment! You’ll get new information faster than anyone else. ---
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by NotBoringTrading
$MSFT Microsoft Potential BUY/Support AreasNASDAQ (NQ) did not have a good start to the new year. It has been hitting lows after lows so far and yet to make a proper 2026 high. This downward correction is being reflected in nearly all major tech stocks. MSFT (Microsoft) clearly created a double top while running inside and touching upper end of a channel. It is now retracing and can possibly come to one of the support areas/levels which can act possible targets for shorts and levels for buys. As the channel is upwards, this can be good retracement for buy opportunities and if NASDAQ makes anew high, it can pull MSFT higher to new highs too. Lets wait and watch and always this is not and advice but just an observation. Risk management is extremely important as always.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by vikinsa
3
Microsoft. Great business. Tough tape.Microsoft came into the year priced for AI dominance and flawless execution. The business still delivers. The stock does not have the same margin for error. Rallies into the 430–440 zone have failed. Buyers hesitate. Sellers appear. That tells you expectations are heavy. The OpenAI advantage is narrowing at the margin. Models are commoditising faster than the market expected. Compute is expensive but available. Distribution still matters, and Microsoft owns it, but narrative premiums are compressing. That hits multiples, not revenues. Capex is the next pressure point. Data centre spend is enormous and visible. Investors are no longer waving it through. They want returns, timelines and proof. Add political and social scrutiny around power usage and infrastructure and the risk premium rises. There is also internal tension. AI boosts productivity but threatens parts of Microsoft’s legacy software economics. Copilot is strategic. It is also cannibalistic. Transitions like that are rarely clean in the eyes of the market. Competition matters too. Alphabet is executing better. The gap story is fading, even if Microsoft remains the enterprise leader. If 400 breaks, momentum traders step away and 370 becomes the natural magnet . That is where longer-term investors may return. Microsoft remains a great business. This year, it is a crowded trade adjusting to reality. The stock feels like digestion, not discovery. The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Blueberry
Microsoft (MSFT) shares fall below $460Microsoft (MSFT) shares fall below $460 As the Microsoft (MSFT) share chart shows: → yesterday’s candle closed below $460 — the lowest level since early June last year; → the decline from the all-time high near $550 has exceeded 16%. Why MSFT shares are falling The downward move may reflect a shift in market sentiment from AI-driven euphoria to a more sober reassessment of the actual returns on investment. Investors are locking in profits amid concerns that the company’s current infrastructure spending may not pay off in the near term. Concerns have been reinforced by media reports of: → disappointing sales momentum for its AI products (Microsoft 365 Copilot); → intensifying competition, including from Google Gemini and Amazon AWS; → rising capital expenditure (forecast at more than $80bn per year). Technical analysis of Microsoft (MSFT) shares From a long-term perspective, the share price continues to move within a key ascending channel. In this context: → the lower boundary acted as support in April 2025; → the upper boundary has served as resistance. The orange arrows highlight aggressive selling pressure whenever the price moves beyond it. The black arrow points to rising volumes during the price decline in early November — a bearish signal following overbought conditions; → the QH line, which divides the upper half of the channel into two parts, has switched from support to resistance near the psychological $500 level; → the current price has fallen towards the channel’s median, where supply and demand typically come into balance (marked by the blue arrow). In light of the above, it is reasonable to assume that the market may find an equilibrium that could persist until 28 January, when the quarterly earnings report is scheduled for release. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
1
Microsoft: Back in the Target Zone!Microsoft’s stock has slid back, settling again within our green Target Zone between $477.87 and $451.84. We anticipate an imminent upward movement as part of the magenta wave (5), which is expected to push price beyond the resistance at $562.17. Just above this level, the large blue wave (I) is likely to complete before a significant correction begins. There’s also a 38% chance of additional selling pressure below the support at $392.97. In this case, the high of $562.17 would align with the beige wave alt.III , while the low of wave alt.IV would form below $392.97.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by HKCM_Global
MICROSOFT testing the most important Support of the Cycle.Microsoft (MSFT) hit last month its 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and held. The rebound seems short-lived however as again half-way through December, the market is about to re-test that Support again. This is a critical Support level for the Bull Cycle that started upon the November 2022 market bottom, as the last two times this broke, the price pulled-back to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). That level has in fact been the ultimate long-term Support since 2012, the most important level of the Channel Up that started after the 2008 Housing Crisis. We also see here that almost all of the strong bearish corrections within this pattern, hit the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and rebounded. As a result, if 1W MA50 breaks again, we expect the subsequent correction / Bear Cycle to hit $400 at least. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by TradingShot
MSFT Selling Pressure Activated — Time to Short!🔥 MSFT Bearish Profit Playbook — Thief-Style Layer Attack Activated! 🔥 Asset: MSFT — Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ) Style: Swing / Day-Trade Playbook 📉💼 📉 Plan: Bearish Pressure Play — Smart Sell-Side Thief Approach Microsoft is showing potential exhaustion on the upside, and this setup focuses on a structured bearish move using a layered sell-limit strategy (Thief Layer Method) 😎🕵️‍♂️. 🎯 Entry Strategy (Thief Layer Method) Using the thief-style multi-layer approach, we stack multiple sell-limit orders at different levels to catch premium liquidity: Sell Limit Layers: $500, $490, $480 (You can increase or adjust layers based on your own risk tolerance.) This method aims to fade upward pushes, catching price exhaustion during liquidity grabs. 🛑 Stop Loss (Risk Control) This is the Thief SL @ $510 🛑 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending that you use only my stop-loss. It’s your money — your rules. Manage your risk like a pro. 💼⚠️ 🎯 Target (Exit Zones) We are aiming toward strong support zones + potential oversold zones where bearish momentum may slow. Main Target: $450 Trap may form — escape with profits before the market police catch us 🚓💨 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending using only my target. Exit where you feel safe and profitable. 🏦✨ 📊 Market Summary (Clean, TV-Safe Explanation) Bearish attempt based on overextended zones Layered entries help clip premium during upside wicks Targeting liquidity pockets near support SL above structural invalidation Setup respects TradingView House Rules: No financial advice, no promises, no signals, educational thief-style humor only ✔️ 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights) Because MSFT is a heavyweight in tech + NASDAQ index weighting: 1️⃣ NASDAQ:QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF) Strongly correlated If QQQ rejects from local resistance → MSFT bearish play strengthened QQQ weakness = tech sector weakness 2️⃣ AMEX:SPY (S&P500 ETF) Broader market risk sentiment SPY pullback often pressures mega-caps like MSFT 3️⃣ NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.) Moves similarly during liquidity rotations Apple weakness = added pressure to mega-cap tech basket 4️⃣ NASDAQ:NVDA (Nvidia Corp.) High-beta tech name When NVDA loses momentum, MSFT downside probability increases through sector rotation 5️⃣ NASDAQ:GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) If large-cap tech corrects collectively, MSFT rarely moves opposite Perfect correlation watch ⚡ Watching these pairs helps confirm bearish bias through sector-wide confirmation, not isolated signals. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a thief-style trading strategy just for fun. Educational only — not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. 😄🕵️‍♂️
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by The-Thief
MSFT Market Blueprint: From Pullback to Profit Zone💼 Asset: Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — NASDAQ Type: Swing Trade Setup Bias: Bullish Pullback Play 🔍 Plan Overview MSFT is showing a clean bullish pullback confirmation with the Hull Moving Average acting as dynamic support. A Heikin Ashi reversal doji candle has appeared — a strong hint that buyers are gaining control again 🟢. Momentum looks ready to shift back to the upside as the pullback finds its footing. The plan focuses on catching this move with layered entries (a.k.a. “Thief Strategy” style). ⚙️ Entry Plan (Layered “Thief” Style Method) This approach uses multiple limit orders to build a strong position during pullbacks. You can add or adjust based on your own risk appetite. 📍 Layered Entry Points: 🟩 520.00 — first buy zone (initial position) 🟩 530.00 — second layer (confirmation add-on) 🟩 540.00 — third layer (momentum add) 💡 Tip: You can increase or decrease the number of layers depending on volatility or confidence in trend continuation. 🔒 Stop Loss (SL) 🛑 Thief OG’s SL idea: 510.00 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I’m not recommending to stick strictly to my SL — trade with your own risk management. Make money and protect it wisely. 💰 🎯 Target Profit (TP) 🎯 Target zone: 580.00 The “Police Force” (strong resistance zone) is waiting up there — where the market could become overbought or trap late buyers. That’s where we take our profit and vanish with gains like pros 😎. Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), again — you can set your own TP. This level is my personal exit zone for safety and profit lock. 🔗 Related Pairs & Market Watchlist Keep an eye on correlated tech giants and ETFs to confirm momentum: 💻 NASDAQ:AAPL (Apple Inc.) – often leads the NASDAQ tech sentiment. 🌐 NASDAQ:GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) – confirms sector strength. 📊 NASDAQ:QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF) – index pressure or breakout signal for techs. ⚙️ AMEX:XLK (Tech Sector ETF) – broader sector health indicator. 🧠 Correlation Insight: When Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) or Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) show the same bullish reversal near their moving averages, it reinforces MSFT’s bullish continuation. Strong moves on NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:XLK also validate that the entire tech sector is moving in sync. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is a Thief-style trading strategy, designed for educational and entertainment purposes only — just for fun 🎭. Trade responsibly and manage your risk accordingly. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #MSFT #SwingTrade #BullishSetup #TechStocks #LayeredEntry #HeikinAshi #HullMA #TradingPlan #StockMarket #ThiefStyle #TradingView #Investing #NASDAQ #PriceAction
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by The-Thief
Resurfacing fears of AI overinvestment triggered by MSFT A report claimed that Microsoft (MSFT) had lowered AI product sales growth targets across several divisions by as much as 50% for the current fiscal year, after many sales teams failed to meet targets for the fiscal year ending June 2025. Although MSFT swiftly denied the report, it reignited investor concerns about AI monetization and the risk of overinvestment. Adding to the unease, IBM CEO Krishna warned that even trillions of dollars invested in AI data centers cannot deliver meaningful returns under current cost structures, further fueling market anxiety. MSFT briefly tested the resistance at 493.00 before falling below EMA21. The price remains below bearish EMAs, indicating a potential downtrend continuation. If MSFT fails to close above EMA21, the price could retreat toward the following support at 465.00. Conversely, if MSFT breaches above EMA21 and 493.00, the price may advance toward the next resistance at 510.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by inkicho_exness
Microsoft (NASDAQ: $MSFT) Drops as AI Sales Miss Targets Microsoft (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) slid more than 2% after a report from The Information claimed that the company had reduced growth targets for its AI products because sales teams failed to meet expectations. The report highlighted that several Azure sales units missed ambitious quotas tied to Foundry—Microsoft’s enterprise AI platform used to build and manage autonomous AI agents. According to the report, less than 20% of salespeople in one U.S. Azure division hit the 50% Foundry growth target, while another team initially faced a quota requiring them to double sales. Microsoft quickly refuted the claims, stating that The Information conflated growth projections with internal quotas. The company emphasized that “aggregate sales quotas for AI products have not been lowered,” reaffirming the strength and ambition of its broader AI roadmap. Despite the clarification, the stock reacted sharply, reflecting heightened sensitivity around AI monetization as enterprise adoption continues to lag expectations. Although AI is transforming workflows and offering automation opportunities, the adoption curve for enterprise-scale AI agents remains slower compared to consumer AI breakthroughs. Competitors including Google, Amazon, Anthropic, Salesforce, and OpenAI all face similar challenges as traditional organizations navigate data integration, reliability issues, and operational risk. Technical Outlook From the chart, MSFT has pulled back sharply from its $555 resistance zone and is now retesting a key support level around $465. This area aligns with previous structure and may act as short-term demand. A breakdown below $465 opens room for a deeper decline toward the $450 level. However, holding this support could trigger a rebound back toward the $555 region. Momentum remains neutral-bearish, with price sitting below the recent swing highs.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DEXWireNews
Microsoft: Target Zone Hit!Microsoft has reached our green Long Target Zone between $451.84 and $477.87 as anticipated. In the meantime, the stock has successfully completed the magenta wave (4) and has since broken out of the Target Zone to the upside. We now expect further gains as wave (5) unfolds, targeting a move above the resistance at $562.17, where the larger blue wave (I) is expected to conclude. After that, we anticipate a pronounced correction phase. However, there remains a 38% chance that MSFT could break down through the Target Zone and fall below the support at $392.97. In this case, we would reclassify the last significant high at $562.17 as the top of the beige wave alt.III and prepare for a new low in wave alt.IV .
NASDAQ:MSFT
by HKCM_Global
Why is Microsoft Stock $MSFT dropping hard?Microsoft just did what every impatient trader hates… after a massive rally, the candles are shrinking, emotions are rising, and here comes the correction everyone said ‘couldn’t happen.’ Today I’ll show you—using pure supply and demand—why MSFT is being magnetically pulled back into the monthly demand imbalance like a toddler to a candy shop. No fundamentals, no drama… just price action, imbalances, and patience. Let’s dive in. Microsoft Monthly Supply & Demand Analysis After Apple’s strong monthly correction setup, Microsoft (MSFT) is showing the exact same pattern — but even cleaner. This is what I love when I teach traders to learn to trade stocks using pure price action and supply and demand imbalances. You don’t need news, earnings, or any guru opinion — everything is already priced in at the higher timeframes. Just like I explained in the Supply and Demand Free Course , the bigger timeframes tell you what the professionals already did months ago. Let’s break it down. Candles Shrinking = Momentum Weakening Fast-forward to mid/late 2025: - The wide-bodied candles disappeared - Small-bodied candles appeared - Then came the big bearish candle This is classic momentum decay. This is exactly when most traders start acting emotionally: - They zoom into 5-minute charts - Their IQ drops by 50 points - They forget the trend - They forget the imbalance - They become chart zombies But price action never lies — we’re simply seeing exhaustion after a massive markup.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AlfonsoMoreno
AI Valuation TechnicallyThese are the three largest market-cap listed companies on the Nasdaq. If we are concerned about an AI bubble, I’m going to show you how I perform a quick glance at some top companies and their index to determine the likelihood of an upcoming short-, mid-, or long-term correction. In 2017, Microsoft’s P/E reached its highest at 45 — and it continued to rise after that. In 2023, Nvidia’s P/E reached its highest at 147 — and it continued to rise after that. In 2024, Apple’s P/E reached its highest at 40 — and it continued to rise after that. Video version: Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
Microsoft Approaches Key Level, Expands Xbox Design Lab GloballyMicrosoft has announced a major expansion of its Xbox Design Lab through a new global partnership with ESW, significantly widening its international ecommerce footprint. Xbox Design Lab allows gamers to create personalized Xbox Wireless Controllers and Elite Series 2 controllers. With ESW now serving as the Merchant of Record, Xbox can efficiently handle cross-border payments, logistics and compliance, key components for scaling internationally. The relaunch extends Xbox Design Lab access to 27 countries, including major markets across North America, Europe and APAC. Countries such as the U.S., Canada, Japan, Singapore, Australia, South Korea, Germany and the U.K. are all included in the upgraded rollout. ESW’s ecommerce infrastructure also enables Microsoft to customize checkout flows and streamline international operations under tight timelines. A joint roadmap promises expanded payment options and future global growth. This move strengthens Xbox’s global branding at a time when personalization and gamer-focused experiences are becoming central to console ecosystems. With Xbox hardware sales stabilizing and Game Pass continuing to anchor recurring revenue, this expansion supports Microsoft’s broader gaming strategy. It also enhances Xbox’s competitive positioning against Sony by offering deeper personalization options and global accessibility. Fundamentally, Microsoft remains a high-margin, high-cash-flow giant with strong performance across cloud, AI, enterprise software and gaming, making this expansion another bullish development. Technically, Microsoft’s stock maintains a long-term bullish structure. Price is currently trading near $505, trading towards $465 support zone after pulling back from the $555 high. The chart shows clean support and resistance levels that act as strong levels. As long as this $465 support holds, the larger bullish structure remains intact. If buyers defend the $640–$660 region, a rebound toward $813 becomes the next upside target. A breakout above that level could lead to fresh all-time highs. If support breaks, next levels sit at the trendline near $600 or deeper support around $550. Overall bias remains bullish.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DEXWireNews
1
Microsoft: Stuck in Sideways PatternMicrosoft shares have continued to show weakness recently, although the stock has shifted into more of a sideways pattern. In the near term, we anticipate another downward move, which should establish the low for wave (4) in magenta within our green Target Zone between $477.87 and $451.84. From our perspective, this range remains attractive for long entries, as we expect a new upward impulse to follow as part of magenta wave (5). This move should push the stock above resistance at $562.17 and complete the larger blue wave (I). Alternatively, there is a scenario in which the high at $562.17 marks the end of beige wave alt.III (probability: 36%). In that case, we would expect a substantial decline below support at $392.97, where the low of wave alt.IV would be found.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by HKCM_Global
Microsoft - This bullrun will end soon!💊Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) might reverse soon: 🔎Analysis summary: Microsoft created a textbook bullish break and retest back in the beginning of 2025. After this retest, we then witnessed a major rally of about +50% over the past couple of months. But considering the recent weakneses and resistance, this rally might be over very soon. 📝Levels to watch: $550 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by SwingTraderPhil
8