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$LINK – PREPARING FOR A BIG DUMP – SQUEEZE TRAIN LOADING Traders, I BELIEVE THE CRYPTO MARKET IS SETTING UP FOR A BIG, BIG, BIG DUMP!, NOT JUST LINK! Last time, we nailed the BIST:LINK short from $24.55 — it hit Target 1 and Target 2 (the two boxes below) pixel perfect. From $20.00 we expected a retrace back up toward the $23.00 region, before a potential dump to $17.00. That scenario may now be unfolding. Let’s break it down: CVD & Market Participation – Bearish Divergence Building Aggregated CVD Spot → still relatively flat → tells us there’s no real spot demand or accumulation. Spot buyers are not fueling this push. Aggregated CVD Futures (Stablecoin-margined) → moving aggressively higher → lots of leveraged traders chasing the move up. Aggregated CVD Futures (Coin-margined) → also moving aggressively higher → even riskier longs, since collateral is crypto itself (double downside risk if LINK sells off). 👉 Why this is a bearish divergence: Price is being pushed higher only by aggressive leveraged longs, while spot (the foundation of demand) is not confirming. This creates a fragile rally that can easily unwind into a long squeeze. Order Flow – Signs of Absorption On Binance & Bybit perps, we see aggressive buyers stepping in (CVD making higher highs). But price is not moving higher accordingly. This is a classic absorption signal: passive limit sellers are absorbing the buying pressure, preparing for reversal. Market Context – Entering the PRZ ($23–24) HTF VAL (Value Area Low) at this region. LTF VAL aligns perfectly here too. Single Prints (TPO profile) → thinly traded zones where price moved quickly in the past, often acting as magnets and reversal points. Imbalances stacking at these levels, showing inefficiency that can flip. AVWAP Confluence → multiple anchored VWAPs cluster in this zone, creating strong resistance. All of this builds a confluence-heavy Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at $23–24. My Take We are entering a Reversal Zone packed with: No real spot demand, Leveraged longs chasing, Absorption in order flow, Strong technical confluence (VALs, TPO singles, Imbalances, AVWAP). ⚠️ This is the perfect fuel for a long squeeze dump back toward $17.00. Trade safe, manage risk. Adios 🚀🔪
Short
by ThetaNomad
9
THE LAST ALV CHART: Binance + Burning the Key — 2025 Will Be ...ALV/USDT Final Chart — The Golden Setup for 2025 After consistent daily updates, this could be the final and most powerful ALV chart leading into 2025. There’s a strong probability that ALV will target $0.50 on its way toward a $1.70 high in 2025. As long as the price remains well above the secure zone around $0.11, ALV stays technically bullish and positioned for another breakout — whether early or late in the next cycle. The setup is now confirmed for a solid swing trade into 2025. There’s also growing speculation that Binance may list ALV, especially following the surge in Binance Alpha volume. Combined with the potential for the team to burn more token supply, the technicals and fundamentals align perfectly — making ALV one of the most promising breakout candidates for 2025. 🔥 ALV could truly be the golden chart of the year.
Long
by SatochiTrader
BITCOIN’S PUMP BEFORE THE DUMP — CRYPTO ABOUT TO CRASHTRADERS, WE ARE STARING RIGHT INTO THE EYE OF THE STORM. BITCOIN’S “TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE” RALLY IS BEING PROPPED UP BY LEVERAGED PERPS, NOT REAL SPOT BUYING. THE CHART IS SCREAMING EXHAUSTION: AVWAP BANDS COLLIDING, ORDER FLOW MAXED OUT WITH AGGRESSIVE LONGS, AND A DANGEROUS IMBALANCE AROUND 118K. THIS IS THE PERFECT BREEDING GROUND FOR A MEGA LONG SQUEEZE THAT WILL NOT ONLY RIP THROUGH BITCOIN BUT DRAG THE ENTIRE CRYPTO MARKET DOWN WITH IT. THE PUMP IS THE TRAP. THE DUMP IS LOADING TLDR; This leg looks futures-driven, not spot-backed. We’re pushing into AVWAP outer-band confluence with imbalances near 118k while leveraged longs pile in. Base case: sweep the mid-Sept Weak High, fail, rotate down toward 104k (and maybe 98.5k). I’ll flip only if spot CVD takes the lead and price accepts above the AVWAP band cluster. Why I think the “mega long squeeze” is loading 1) Who’s actually buying? (Spot CVD vs Futures CVD) Spot CVD: still negative/underwhelming across the push → real buyers (spot) aren’t lifting. Futures CVD (stablecoin-margined): rising with Open Interest → perps are doing the heavy lifting. Translation: Leverage is pushing price, not genuine spot accumulation. These moves are fragile and unwind hard when OI compresses. 2) AVWAP confluence (the auction math) I’m tagging anchored VWAPs from opposing pivots (swing low→high and swing high→low). The outer bands from these anchors are overlapping in the same zone → both bottom-anchored longs see it as expensive (profit-taking), and top-anchored shorts defend their break-even. That overlap = double-sided supply. Historically, these reject unless fresh spot demand blows through (which we don’t have… yet). Still have bad September lows that are likely to be swept at 107k~ 3) 118k imbalance There’s an inefficient push / imbalance around 118k. Thin structure often gets tapped/swept, then mean-reverts if the follow-through is purely leveraged. 4) Order flow is too aggressive (late longs) OI up + positive delta into resistance = new longs chasing. On footprint, you can see buy-side aggression meeting absorption near the top of the move. That’s classic trap fuel if we print an SFP. Trade idea (conceptual, not financial advice) Base case path (bearish): ✅ Sweep the Weak High (mid-Sept) into 117.8–118.8k (imbalance + AVWAP band confluence). ✅ Print a Swing-Fail Pattern (SFP) / rejection wick on 5–15m with: Spot CVD NOT confirming (stays flat/negative), OI spikes while delta stalls (late longs absorbed). Short after the reclaim/failure back below the swept high; stop above the SFP high. Targets / magnets: 113.2–114.1k (0.382 zone / local AVWAP midlines) 111.3k (0.5 retrace / prior balance edge) 109.9–109.3k (weekend low / prior node) 106.0–104.9k (SP + LVN cluster, high-prob test area) Stretch: 103.5k (4H single print) → 98.5k if liquidation cascade extends. validation / flip criteria: Acceptance above the AVWAP outer-band cluster and 118.8k with: Spot CVD turning positive and making higher highs, OI stable or down on further upside (less leverage dependence). If that happens, I stand down on the short idea and reassess for continuation
Short
by ThetaNomad
DGB CAN ENTER 40% TREND INCREASE - Update 29-09-2025DGB/USDT Trading Update 🔹 Main trend support: DGB is currently holding around its main trend level, showing early signs of stability after a strong correction. We have seen before similar trend 🔄 New cycle forming: A recovery setup is visible, with the market potentially entering a new cycle if momentum continues upward. 🎯 First target: The next significant target lies at $0.0106, aligning with resistance from the previous cycle. 📈 Upside potential: If this cycle gains confirmation, there is a 40% increase potential from current levels, making this a key area to watch. 📌 Summary: DGB is stabilizing at the main trend, showing promising signs of a new cycle activation. If the upward push holds, the first target of $0.0106 could mark a potential 40% increase in price. The previous increase from the start to now until the target took 14 days.
by SatochiTrader
$AVAX – ARBITRAGE DUMP DETECTED – READY TO BALANCE?Traders, Last time we nailed CRYPTOCAP:AVAX from 22.80 → 30 → 35 almost pixel perfect. Now the setup may be flipping. Let’s break it down with the THETA method: 🔹 Imbalances Perps vs Spot: Binance Perps wicked down to $26.83, Spot hasn’t filled it yet → liquidity gap below. Market Profile: Price swept the 31 Jan weekly high, a “bad high” (too much excess, unstable). Oscillators: RSI shows bearish divergences on multiple timeframes → momentum fading. Context: Market is repairing imbalance above to build liquidity, which can later be used to fix the unfinished business below. 🔹 Order Flow & AVWAP Aggressive buyers stepping in at $34–36 (since CME open). Price is now trading at the upper band of the HTF AVWAP, a zone that often signals overextension vs volume-weighted positioning. The unfilled wick imbalance at $26.83 is also the price of the HTF AVWAP itself (blue line) → strong confluence for a revisit. If downside continues, those aggressive buyers will be trapped, fueling the move lower. Next key check: At $26.90, we need to watch data + price action to define if AVAX stabilizes there or breaks further. ✅ Conclusion Price is showing signs of distribution at the HTF AVWAP upper band. Liquidity is being absorbed above, and the confluence of the wick imbalance + HTF AVWAP at $26.83 strengthens the case for a downside move. 👉 Key takeaway: Longs chasing into AVWAP extremes = potentially trapped buyers, with the market likely rotating back to $26.90–26.83 before the next decision point.
Short
by ThetaNomad
$PWEASE will go to the moon$ PWEASE go to the moon. The daily RSI retested the 50 line, indicating the start of an uptrend after a long period of accumulation with well-defined support. BTC dominance is falling, which is essential for the rise of altcoins. The political scenario also helps, with JD Vance increasingly in the media spotlight (even appearing on South Park). At least 100 million is expected. If Trump slips and falls, we will expect at least 10 billion. $ PWEASE market cap today: only 4.5 million Easy Money!
Long
by danielszk
Potential reversal in sight - x100 Potential MEME CoinAs a price action trader im still waiting for confirmation and/or liquidity sweep however overall chart looks great with a tons of confluence for a POTENTIAL reversal 😉 We are still bullish on a daily. Yesterday printed a doji candle in high confluence area - daily and 4-hours order block responsible for the last breakout . We are playing around 200 SMA on 4H and strong volume support area and we are definitely in discount area considering the last leg up. I would like to see a change of character on 30 min - 1 H and /or a liquidity sweep before calling a trade entry cause we are still in a downtrend until proved otherwise. ON fundamental side of things - the team is very active and doing everything to bring this coin to BONK market cap. Keep an eye on this x100 gem is all i am saying 🤑🥸
by uwe_eats_world
BTC Moon Phase, Dominance % and BBWP resolutionBTC, D. Moon Phase. I see bearish scenario for the next days, until 4-5th of August. After reviewing Moon Phase chart for last year+, I see same scenario is happening most of the times. During the First Quarter ( Aug. 1) of the phase, price is dropping and start to recover about 4-5 days prior Full Moon. This is exactly when energy of the Full Moon starting to amplify. Current BBWP is contracted for 8 days, making the next move very rapid, I would not set any long/short trades, untill the volume start to expand. Its the mid summer - always slow and August is the month it start to accelerate towards the Fall, with all financial/political tricks happening in September and later in Q4. We already had one bear trap fakeout, but price didnt anticipate to go higher and got rejected by falling wedge upper like ( or bull flag, in this case).I would expect that high volume green candle will be either fully recovered to $110-111K , or 75% recovery, where the CME gap is $113500 - 1-2% lower, making it $113,000. The cascade liquidation will happen very fast, I expect the whole move down and up will take around 24 hours, with the bottom time 5-15 minutes. Need to be ready, that all alts will crash as well, Im expecting BTC %dominance to bounce here , after 8.4% drop to weekly 50EMA. I would like to see BTC, D% at 70% by Christmas and new ATH, what ever it is 160K or 200K what ever it is, for bitcoin to make ATH, it must grab dominance.
Short
by OlegDC
1
DOG Rectangle + Structure AnalysisBITGET:DOGUSDT has been trading in a rectangle since June 2024, with well-defined boundaries. After a downside deviation in March, it managed to reclaim the range and it's now attempting to break above $0.0040, a key S/R throughout its price history. Key Levels to Watch • $0.0018-$0.0020: Main demand zone • $0.0040: Key S/R in place since May 2024 • $0.0058-$0.0060: Rectangle midline and previous S/R • $0.0095-$0.0099: Main supply zone • $0.0170: Measured rectangle target in case of a breakout A successful daily close above $0.0040 should set the next target around ~$0.0060. Above that, there isn't much separating DOG from another retest of the main demand zone and ATH.
Long
by AliferCrypto
2