Get started

Moving Averages

TQQQ Regime ThrottleOverview Rule-based risk expression for QQQ/TQQQ with explicit action prompts. The panel translates a 100/200-day SMA regime on QQQ into what to actually hold and how big to size, so you’re not guessing in real time. TL;DR This Idea pairs a simple 100/200-day SMA regime on QQQ with a volatility gate and a TrendScore so the panel explicitly tells you how to express risk: Express: TQQQ (use leverage and stay in TQQQ while this hint persists, subject to trims), Express: QQQ (stay unlevered), or Express: Cash (flat). It also suggests a sleeve size for TQQQ when enabled. What’s different vs a plain MA system Express hint : turns the regime into an action—TQQQ vs QQQ vs Cash. “Express: TQQQ” means be long TQQQ until the hint changes per rules (or your trims hit). Volatility gate : AnnVol and ATR% thresholds must be met to enable TQQQ; if not, you remain in QQQ or Cash even if GREEN. TrendScore → size : converts trend quality into a suggested sleeve %, capped to your risk budget. Dynamic guardrails : optional buffer around the 200D and extra confirmations at higher vol to curb whipsaws. How colors are determined GREEN = Close > 100D and 100D > 200D. YELLOW = Close > 200D and 100D ≤ 200D. RED = Close < 200D. How to read the panel RISK: GREEN/YELLOW/RED per the MA regime on QQQ daily (signal updates on daily closes). Confirm | Band : daily closes required to change color; the small ±% buffer applied to the 200D when vol rises (set to zero to mimic a plain 200D test). AnnVol | ATR% : realized vol and ATR as % of price used by the gate. TrendScore (0–1) : higher = stronger, cleaner trend. Express: what to hold— TQQQ if regime is risk-on and vol is tame; QQQ if regime is risk-on but vol is hot or trend is marginal; Cash if risk-off. “Express: TQQQ” = stay in TQQQ until the hint changes or your trims fire. Suggested sleeve : size guidance for TQQQ when enabled (TrendScore × vol scaling, then capped). Playbook (discipline) Decide at the daily close ; execute at the next open . If GREEN + Express: TQQQ → allocate up to Suggested sleeve (respect your cap). If GREEN + Express: QQQ → stay unlevered until vol cools or TrendScore improves. If YELLOW → light risk (half base sleeve; panel still gates leverage). If RED → flat/cash. Trim rule: if sleeve value > target × 1.25, rebalance back to target. Inputs you can tune MA lengths (100/200) and confirmations. Vol lookback, ATR length, Max AnnVol, Max ATR% (stricter = less TQQQ). Base sleeves for GREEN/YELLOW and an overall cap. Dynamic band/confirm multipliers (raise to reduce flip-flops). Signal source: QQQ by default; can follow your chart symbol. Notes Signal is computed on QQQ daily via security() and only locks at the daily close. The panel is an indicator , not an order system—use it to standardize decisions and sizing. Leveraged ETFs amplify gains and losses; backtest and size prudently. Disclaimer Educational only. Not investment advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by degenfolio
NVIDIA – When the Same Setup Appears Twice!NVDA - CURRENT PRICE : 188.61 NVDA – Technical BUY Call 📈 Price previously rallied steadily after breaking a minor downtrend line (refer orange circle). Similar technical setup is forming again, suggesting a potential repeat of the prior upswing. In both occurrences, price stayed above EMA50 , confirming the broader bullish trend remains intact. RSI remains in bullish territory (>50) and is not overbought, indicating healthy momentum with further upside potential. No major distribution signal observed, pullback appears corrective rather than trend-reversing. Notes : According to Moomoo, broker house targets range from USD 200 (lowest) to USD 352 (highest), with an average target of USD 260. ENTRY PRICE : 186.00 - 188.61 FIRST TARGET : 206.00 SECOND TARGET : 224.00 SUPPORT : 170.00
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by IMRAN_96
6
DOGE at a Critical CrossroadDogecoin has been moving within a mid-term ascending trend, clearly marked by the purple trendline on the chart. However, price has now decisively broken below this trendline and is consolidating under it, which is a major technical warning signal. Key technical implications: • The structure of higher lows has been invalidated • Price is trading below short-term moving averages • Bearish momentum has increased following the trendline break The black dashed line around 0.048 – 0.05 USD represents a very strong historical support zone, where price has previously reacted aggressively. Short-Term Outlook Bias: Bearish / corrective In the short term, the price action looks more like a breakdown followed by continuation, rather than a healthy consolidation. • Nearest resistance: 0.14 – 0.15 USD • As long as price remains below this zone, selling pressure is expected to dominate Probable scenario: Continuation to the downside with temporary relief bounces. Short-term targets: • First target: around 0.105 USD • Second target (if selling pressure increases): 0.085 USD Short-term stop-loss: • Daily close above 0.155 USD (This would indicate a reclaim of the broken trendline) Mid- to Long-Term Outlook Bias: Deep correction within a larger macro structure If DOGE fails to hold the 0.085–0.10 USD region, the chart opens a clear path toward the major support zone at 0.048 – 0.05 USD. This area aligns with long-term historical lows and major liquidity pools, making it a potential accumulation zone rather than a chase-buy area. Long-term upside targets (after a confirmed rebound): • First target: 0.10 USD • Second target: 0.16 USD • Third target (strong meme-coin cycle): 0.22 – 0.25 USD Long-term stop-loss: • Daily and weekly close below 0.045 USD (This would fully invalidate the long-term structure) Technical Summary in One View • Break of ascending trendline = major warning • Short-term momentum remains bearish • Long-term focus is on the 0.05 USD decision zone Fundamental Overview (Brief) From a fundamental perspective, Dogecoin remains: • Inflationary, with no fixed supply cap • Highly dependent on market sentiment, meme-coin cycles, and social/media influence • Strongly affected by overall crypto market conditions and figures like Elon Musk Strengths: • Very strong and loyal community • High liquidity • Explosive upside potential during bull markets Weaknesses: • Limited real-world utility compared to major Layer-1 projects • Tends to underperform sharply in prolonged bear markets Final Verdict DOGE is not in a low-risk buy zone right now. Patience is key—either wait for a clear bullish confirmation, or monitor deeper supports such as 0.05 USD for higher-probability long-term entries. If you want, I can also convert this analysis into: • A precise trading plan (long/short) • Or a professional YouTube script tailored for your channel
COINBASE:DOGEUSDShort
by isahebdadi
GBPJPY H4 - Potential Short Setup FormingGBPJPY has reached a completed upside expansion objective (XOP) on the H4 chart, where bullish continuation has stalled. Following the objective completion, price action has begun to shift from acceleration to reaction. Directional behavior has weakened: price has broken below the 3×3 Displaced Moving Average and failed to reclaim it, forming a Double RePo pattern. This confirms downside directional pressure rather than a temporary pause. Several DiNapoli Confluence Zones are located below the current price and will be closely monitored as potential areas of future market interaction. These levels are not entry signals but zones where further structure and confirmation may develop. However, those willing to take a short-term short trade can consider these zones as their exit points.
Short
by borces
Healthy Pullback or Trend Reversal?Bullish Scenario (Primary) • Strong uptrend structure • Sharp impulse move followed by bullish consolidation (triangle) • Pullback is constructive, not trend-breaking • Price holding above 50-day SMA 📍 Entry Zone: • $225 – $230 🛑 Stop Loss: • $212 • Daily close below invalidates bullish setup 🎯 Targets: • Target 1: $245 • Target 2: $255 • Extension: $270 Bearish / Risk Scenario • Breakdown below $212 → deeper correction • Next support zone: $200 – $195 • Prefer staying sidelined if breakdown occurs Short Fundamental View • AbbVie has a robust pharmaceutical portfolio • Successful transition away from Humira dependency • Strong free cash flow + attractive dividend • Defensive stock with solid long-term outlook • Fundamentally supportive of medium-term bullish continuation
NYSE:ABBVLong
by isahebdadi
Coty | COTY | Long at $3.00NYSE:COTY , one of the world's largest beauty companies, is known for its extensive portfolio of fragrances, cosmetics, skincare, and body care brands, such as: Adidas Bourjois Bozzano Bruno Banani Burberry Calvin Klein Cenoura & Bronze Chloé CoverGirl David Beckham Davidoff Escada Etro Gabriela Sabatini Gucci Hugo Boss Infiniment Coty Paris Jawhara Jil Sander Joop! Jovan Kylie Cosmetics Kylie Skin Lancaster Leger by Lena Gercke Manhattan Marc Jacobs Marni Max Factor Mexx Miss Sporty Monange Nautica Orveda Paixao Philosophy Rimmel Risqué Sally Hansen Swarovski Tiffany & Co. Vera Wang Technical Analysis Price double bounced off the top level of my selected historical "crash" simple moving average band. While the price may dip further to touch the lower end of this band (low $2 zone), this band is typically where share accumulation begins before a price reversal. The price may trade sideways for some time or jettison up, but my long-term outlook will simply require patience. Growth projections are modest and hinge on the company's successful execution of strategic restructuring and turnaround plans, delivery on new product launches and growth initiatives, and leadership stability / clear catalysts. Thus, at $3.00, NYSE:COTY is in a personal buy zone and not recommended for the risk averse. Targets into 2028 $3.50 (+16.7%) $4.70 (+56.7%)
NYSE:COTYLong
by WorthlessViews
Gold (1H) - Short-Term DiNapoli Context Near XOP CompletionGold is currently approaching the completion area of the prior upside swing, with the XOP target already reached. From a DiNapoli perspective, this zone often marks trend exhaustion or loss of upside momentum , especially in an extended market. While the broader trend remains bullish and fundamental factors continue to influence price, the technical picture suggests slowing upside behavior. Price is trading in an overbought condition, and momentum indicators indicate the potential formation of a bearish reversal sequence , with a MACD crossover developing. This context does not represent a long-term trend change, but rather a short-term corrective opportunity. If price confirms a downside reaction from the XOP area, fib node levels derived from the initial directional swing will serve as the primary downside objectives.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by borces
Smart Money Can Exit Their PositionThis video explains how smart money is able to exit their positions by operating as a coordinated group rather than as individual traders. The discussion focuses on how institutions plan exits using liquidity, timing, and market structure, and why these exits often occur without creating obvious signals for retail participants. The objective of this video is to help understand smart money thinking, team-based execution, and exit behavior from a market-structure and price-action perspective—purely for learning and awareness, not for trade recommendations.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ProTradeMatrix
Golden Momentum Breakout [XAUUSD]OANDA:XAUUSD Golden Momentum Breakout Signal: BUY Entry: 4,375.47 (Fibonacci 0.5 + VRVP node) TP1: 4,391.23 (Fib 0.382) TP2: 4,408.00 (Recent swing high) TP3: 4,437.94 (Current high) SL: 4,348.08 (Fib 0.705 + liquidity shelf) Insights: Price is consolidating above the 0.5 Fib level with strong VRVP support and bullish MACD crossover. RSI is elevated (63–75), indicating momentum but not yet overbought. Market structure shows higher lows and breakout potential above recent resistance. #BreakoutMomentum #GoldScalping #LiquiditySweep#FibonacciConfluence #HunterSetup #RiskReward3R 🌟 Trade Like Hunter ✅ High-Probability Setup: Confluence across VRVP support, MA slope up, RSI strength, MACD bullish crossover📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 3.0R (TP3 vs SL)🔑 Liquidity Zone Confirmation: Entry aligns with high-volume node and prior imbalance zone🧠 Market Psychology: Traders accumulating above 0.5 Fib, preparing for breakout continuation⚡ Probability Score: 80% High Probability📈 Scalability: Setup aligns across H1 and H4 for intraday and swing entries🔒 Risk Disclaimer: Always use proper lot sizing and SL discipline. Market conditions can change rapidly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LonaGoldHunter
SCHW's Weekly Pour: A Cup, a Handle, and a Bullish Refill?Been tracking SCHW, and this chart is shaping up to be something big—potentially a breakout from a range that’s been developing since early 2022. Price is pressing up against key resistance around $95-$100, and a clean break above this level could confirm a multi-year breakout, opening up the possibility of a much larger trend move. With Fibonacci extensions lining up at $150 and $200, this could be one of those slow-burn setups that eventually pays off in a big way. Let’s break it down. Fibonacci Extensions and Multi-Year Price Targets The way this chart is structured, $95-$100 is the final boss. If price convincingly clears that level, it breaks a massive range that’s been in place for over two years. If that happens, $150 (the 161.8% Fib extension) and $200 (the 261.8% extension) are the next major upside targets. These aren’t short-term price points—this is the kind of move that could play out over multiple years. But historically, when a stock coils for this long and then breaks out, the measured move potential is huge. Moving Averages and Long-Term Trend Shift Right now, we’ve got price trading above both the 50-week and 200-week moving averages, signaling that momentum has already started to shift. The 50-week MA is curling upwards, and if we see it hold above the 200-week, that would mark a long-term trend shift that typically aligns with sustained upside moves. Mapping Out the Breakout Scenarios If we do get a breakout, here’s how I see it playing out: 1️⃣ Break Above $100 → Multi-Year Uptrend Begins – A confirmed break and hold above $100 shifts the entire structure bullish, setting up an eventual run to $150 and possibly $200 over the next couple of years. This would be the full resolution of the pattern that has been developing since early 2022. 2️⃣ Rejection at $95-$100 → Pullback Before Breakout – If price gets stuffed at resistance, we could see a pullback to the $75-$80 zone before another breakout attempt later in 2025. This would act as a final shakeout before the bigger move. ---------------------------------------------------------- All eyes on $95-$100. That’s the level that determines whether this just grinds sideways for another year or finally starts a major new uptrend. If it breaks, we’ve got a clear roadmap to $150 and $200 in the coming years. Curious if anyone else is watching this. Are we about to see the start of something big, or is there one more fakeout before the real move? Not financial advice. Just charting things out. Let’s see what happens.
NYSE:SCHWLong
by seaphoss
1
NVDA Daily Chart Breakdown: Trendline, Targets, and RiskNVDA remains in a strong long-term uptrend, but short-term price action shows a corrective / decision phase. Price is currently sitting on a major ascending trendline, near the 50-day SMA. Current state: • Primary trend: Bullish • Price location: Key dynamic support • Major resistance: 210 – 215 zone Bullish Scenario (Bounce / Breakout) If price holds the trendline and moves higher: 🎯 Targets • Target 1: 200 • Target 2: 215 • Target 3: 235 – 240 🛑 Stop Loss • Daily close below 175 📌 Rationale: Healthy pullback into trend support → continuation of the bullish structure. Bearish Scenario (Breakdown) If price breaks below the ascending trendline: 🎯 Targets • Target 1: 160 • Target 2: 145 • Target 3: 128 🛑 Stop Loss • Recovery above 185 📌 Rationale: Loss of dynamic support → deeper corrective phase. Technical Summary • Above trendline → Bullish bias • Below trendline → Correction likely • Current zone = High-impact decision area Brief Fundamental Outlook – NVIDIA • Bullish drivers: • Explosive AI & data center demand • Strong margins and revenue growth • Dominant position in AI chips • Risks: • High valuation • Tech sector & interest rate volatility Fundamental Takeaway: As long as the AI supercycle continues, NVDA remains structurally bullish.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by isahebdadi
A continued crash to $45k for Bitcoin? - December 2025Bitcoin has 5 days to stop the current candle body print under the 11 day 50SMA. Throughout the entire history of Bitcoin, a candle body close under this level has meant a test of the 11 day 200SMA. It is that simple. Never a false signal. Here are all the historical data points: 50SMA on the 11 day chart throughout all Bitcoin history At the moment the candle prints as a Gravestone DOJI. Zoom in a little further to the 3 day chart and you can see price action follows the 200SMA. Does not matter what the asset is, anytime you see this, it is a sign of weakness. Look left. Regardless of asset, a complete collapse typically follows. Even if price action staggers like a drunken sailor finding his way back to port. The idea " Is a Bitcoin crash to $40–45k next? – October 2025 " published around $120k made the break of market structure very clear. This idea is a continuation of the same break of structure. The spite continues to pour in for this idea. The market does not care. Micheal Saylor's lenders will likely become very nervous should this continuation confirm. A forced liquidation of Strategy would be the best thing that could happen to the Bitcoin space in my opinion as the cash to pay out Dividends must come from somewhere, and that means selling Bitcoins. In an already depleted marketplace. Have noticed influencers gaslighting audiences with "Black rock" is buying your panic selling at this time posts. Conclusions Let’s not dress this up like a TED Talk. Bitcoin has five days to avoid doing the thing it has never once avoided in its entire history. That’s not drama, that’s statistics, the boring kind that ruins hopium. A confirmed candle body close under the 11-day 50 SMA has always resulted in a test of the 11-day 200 SMA. No exceptions. No “yeah but this time BlackRock…”. No spiritual awakening mid-candle. Just gravity doing what gravity does. At present, price is printing a gravestone DOJI. Which, despite the name is not a bullish candle, unless you’re a fan of irony or funerals. The break of market structure was identified months ago near $120k, when optimism was peaking and common sense was being shouted down by people with laser eyes and affiliate links. Since then, price action has done exactly what broken structure does: grind, fail, and roll over. A move toward $45k is not a prediction pulled from thin air, it’s a mechanical outcome if the current signal confirms. If that level is reached, it will be framed as a “black swan”, despite being broadcast loudly, publicly, and repeatedly in advance by yours truly. As for the Saylor situation, leverage works both ways. Lenders get nervous. A forced seller in a thin market is never bullish, no matter how many times “BlackRock” is whispered like a protective spell. If this cascade happens, it won’t kill Bitcoin. It will do something far worse to the influencers: it will expose them. And frankly, that might be the healthiest thing this market has seen in years. Ww Disclaimer ============================================================== This is not financial advice. It is not a call to panic, sell the bottom, or tweet angrily at strangers. Markets can invalidate any thesis at any time. If price action reclaims structure and closes decisively back above key moving averages, this outlook changes. Loyalty to a chart after it’s wrong isn’t conviction, it’s just stubbornness with a Wi-Fi connection. If you’re trading with leverage, emotion, or borrowed confidence from YouTube thumbnails, none of this will save you. If you’re trading probabilities, history, and structure, then this is simply the chart doing what it has always done, while people insist it won’t.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by without_worries
18
How To Plan Trend-Line Breakout TradeThis video explains how a trend-line breakout develops and how to plan a trade around it using market structure and price behavior. The discussion focuses on identifying a valid trend-line, understanding breakout conditions, observing confirmation and follow-through, and planning a structured approach based on logic rather than emotions. The objective of this video is to help understand the process behind trend-line breakouts and how trade planning can be approached from a price-action perspective, purely for learning and awareness—without providing any trading or investment recommendations.
NSE:BELLong
by ProTradeMatrix
BNB About to Crash Hard or Just Faking You Out?Yello Paradisers, is BNB setting up for a major dump, or is this just another trap for impatient traders? This next move could catch a lot of people off guard if they're not paying attention to key levels. 💎BNBUSDT is currently looking bearish, as it's reacting strongly from a key resistance zone. This level is further reinforced by the 200 EMA, making it a significant area of confluence. On top of that, price has recently broken down from an ascending channel, which adds further confirmation to the potential shift in trend direction. When these signals line up like this, the probability of a bearish move increases substantially. 💎Now, ideally, we want to see a pullback into the resistance zone. That would give us a much better risk-to-reward entry for a potential short. However, entering blindly is never the move — we need clear confirmation. Specifically, we’ll be watching for a strong bearish candlestick pattern to form right at the resistance zone. If we get that, we can then expect a move toward the next liquidity zones and support levels below. 💎That said, we must stay objective. If BNB manages to break above the invalidation level and closes a candle beyond that point, it will completely invalidate the current bearish outlook. In that scenario, it's better to stay out and wait patiently for stronger price action to develop. There’s no need to force trades when the setup isn't perfect. 🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
2