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Microsoft (MSFT)

Weekly insighta EUR/USD S&P500 NVDA METAThis video is a weekly insights report from a financial trader on TradingView. I amdiscussing my analysis and predictions for several financial instruments based on technical and fundamental indicators. Key Points: Market Overview: The speaker talks about the impact of recent US unemployment data on the market, which led to a "parabolic" rise in the Euro dollar. Euro Dollar: Based on a technical analysis of an "expanding diagonal" and an old trend line, the speaker believes a false breakout is likely. They plan to avoid trading USD pairs for the next 11 days, waiting for the Fed's interest rate decision. S&P 500: The speaker notes a five-wave Elliot wave pattern with an expanding diagonal. They are waiting for the price to break below a trend line and a red confirmation line before considering a short position. They anticipate a "choppy" market for the coming week. Nvidia: The speaker received "hate comments" for their previous analysis of Nvidia. They stand by their short position, citing a break below the exponential moving average, a "huge" divergence on the monthly chart, and a "shooting star" candle pattern. They note that Nvidia is the heaviest stock in the S&P 500, representing 7.5% of the index. Bitcoin: The speaker points out that Bitcoin's price has crossed and retested two moving averages, which they see as a bearish sign. They will consider a short position if the price breaks below the previous low. They also expect Bitcoin to be stagnant in the coming week while the market waits for the Fed's decision. Call to Action : The video concludes with a plea for viewers to subscribe to the speaker's TradingView channel for more trading insights and short-trade opportunities.
SP:SPXShort
by MartketsTitan
Microsoft - A very profitable repetition!💰Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) just repeats the cycle: 🔎Analysis summary: At this exact moment, Microsoft is once again retesting the upper channel resistance trendline. Following all previous cycles, there is a 100% chance that we will see a short term retracement. Since the trend remains bullish, the all time high break and retest will follow. 📝Levels to watch: $450, $700 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
8
The report is good, but there is no stock dynamicsMSFT gapped up at around $555 on the report and reached a market cap of $4.1 trillion This happened because the report significantly exceeded expectations on key metrics The latest quarterly report showed record results. Revenue for the quarter was $76.4 billion (up 18% y/y) Net income was $27.2 billion (up 24% y/y). EPS was $3.65, exceeding analysts' expectations However, the shares are falling and are already below the level they were before the report. Capex was increased to $24.2 billion (up 27% YoY) For fiscal 2026, management forecasts further Capex growth (over $30 billion in Q1 alone) Operating expenses increased 6% YoY due to investments in AI and engineering The company recorded $1.71 billion in other expenses in the quarter, partly related to losses on equity investments (likely in OpenAI) In the call with investors, the company's management warned market participants about further margin compression in the short term and higher-than-expected capital expenditures on AI infrastructure. Accordingly, this raises questions about the future profitability of both the investments themselves and the future results of the company as a whole, which will be released in future reports. Professional investors have begun to change their DCF models in accordance with the new data. From a “tech” perspective, we are seeing weaker dynamics in the broad market. It is clear how the company's comments have broken the up trend that has been observed in recent months. We expect further cooling of sentiment in the stock, the closing of another gap from below and a slide in the price to the $400-420.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by A3MInvestments
3
Microsoft - This chart is too obvious!💡Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) perfectly respects structure: 🔎Analysis summary: Back in April of 2025, Microsoft created a textbook all time high bullish break and retest. After this move, Microsoft started a rally of +50%, perfectly in conformity with the rising channel pattern. The trend remains bullish for now, but a shorter term correction will follow quite soon. 📝Levels to watch: $650 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
14
SPY | Leap of Doom?SPY just jumped... The wrong way up! To sustain you must conserve. To climb up a hill, you need energy, resources like food and water. The energy they give you far out-weighs their absolute mass. Therefore it makes sense for you to carry them. And they have taken you very far... But now you have run out of energy. Price growth needs transaction volume to have strength and meaning. You are too light(headed) to realize that moving further up is a dead-end. THIS IS NOT SOMETHING SMALL. SPY is one of the largest Funds in the world. A first-ever major violation of volume trend, in such a big index, must not be ignored. Imagine what is happening underneath... Look at some examples: NVDA The most massive of companies, has a multi-year issue with volume. MSFT Unlike its first growth, Microsoft has a tremendous loss of strength in volume metrics. Such long-term drop in volume means that companies offload real stocks for cheap futures . We witness the same with Bitcoin... And gold... Not quite doomed yet, but troublesome still. TSLA Tesla with their shiny and financially pointless cars, has made a pointless growth. Just like many stocks as you will soon realize. AAPL The masses, even though their name suggests that they have some matter, in reality they don't. 10% of people have 90% of wealth. Investors have long left Apple, leaving the hoard inside to bubble up the dream. There is more and more proof that the Fab5 (well the Fab500 as we can see from SPY/SPX) are replacing stocks with derivatives. Real money replaced by weapons of mass destruction, just like Warren Buffett said. Good luck to us all... PS. Something irrelevant to stocks, but relevant to the fundamentals of investing in AAPL. Judging by the recent UI decisions, they trapped the users in bubbles and they are unable to see the truth. Brilliantly, they changed the name of soap bubbles to liquid glass. (bubbles are shiny, crystals are rough). As a long-time Apple user, now not much of an Apple lover, I know quite well the changing philosophy of them. iPhone (and all products) began as a phone for the "smart" ones and ended up the No1 desire for the masses. After a decade, I have switched to Fedora Silverblue for 90% of my leisure.
AMEX:SPY
by akikostas
8
Microsoft: The Perfect Pullback Is Coming. Are You Ready?🌟 MSFT HEIST ALERT! 🌟 Steal from the Cops, Not from the Citizens! 🚔➡️🤑 Dear Ladies & Gentleman of the Thief Trading Guild, 🎩👒 Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style Analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) fortress. Our intel confirms a BULLISH ambush is setting up! It's time to loot! 💰💸✈️ 🦹‍♂️ THE HEIST PLAN (SWING TRADE) 🦹‍♂️ Entry Point: The Perfect Pullback Loot Zone! 🎯 We're waiting for the asset to pull back to our LAYERED LIMIT ORDER TRAP! 🪤 Thief OG's use multiple entries to maximize the steal! LAYER 1: 510.00 (First dibs!) LAYER 2: 505.00 (Loading the bag!) LAYER 3: 500.00 (MAIN HEIST - Perfect Pullback!) LAYER 4: 498.00 (Bonus loot! Add more layers based on your own risk, thieves!) Stop Loss: The Getaway Car Location! 🛑🏎️ This is Thief SL @ 485.00. This is where the trade idea is invalidated. Dear Thieves, adjust your final SL based on your own risk, strategy, and how many layers you used. Don't get caught! 👮‍♂️🚔 Target: The Police Barricade! 🚧🚨 Intel shows a major resistance wall (Police Barricade) at 565.00. Our mission is to escape with the stolen money BEFORE we get there! Escape Target: 560.00! Count your profits and live to trade another day! 💵🎉🤝 📢 THIEF'S BROADCAST 📢 Yo! Listen up, crew! 🗣️ If you're placing limit orders on this pullback, your stop loss should be set ONLY AFTER your order is filled! You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just remember, you're playing with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine! 👊 ⚠️ TRADING ALERT : EARNINGS & NEWS ⚠️ MSFT is a big cap stock, and news/earnings can cause extreme volatility! To protect your stolen loot: Avoid entering new layers before major news. Consider taking some profit before earnings. Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect running positions! 💖 Supporting our robbery plan = 💥Hitting the Boost Button💥 It fuels our getaway car and helps us find the next big heist! Let's make stealing money look easy! 🏆💪❤️🎉 I'll see you at the next heist, so stay tuned! 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by The-Thief
New Bear Market? Heavy Tech SelloffToday the markets were shattered by weakness in mega cap tech. All major leading companies in the QQQ were severely down. We saw the majority of the S&P 500 sectors green with health care leading the charge. Despite all indices closing negative this was not a full fledge market sell. Commodities were hit across the board. Gold, Nat gas, Oil, Uranium, Silver were all down. It seems the market is de risking into J Powell Jackson Hole meeting on Thursday / Friday. Today we closed out NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:PLTR short & trimmed AMEX:MSOS puts for over 105% We were very active on the option and swing trading side of the market.
SP:SPXLong
by Trading-Capital
MSFT Weekly Calls on Fire – Can Bulls Beat the Clock?🚀 MSFT Bulls Charge at \$530 – Can They Double Before Expiry? **Sentiment:** 🟢 *Strong Bullish* * **Daily RSI:** 61.3 📈 * **Weekly RSI:** 81.4 🔥 * **Trend:** Bullish above key MAs & resistance * **Volume:** Weak (0.5× last week) → watch for consolidation * **C/P Ratio:** 2.34 (Institutional bullish flow) * **VIX:** 15.0 → favorable for calls --- ### 📊 **Consensus Snapshot** ✅ Strong RSI + bullish options flow across all models ✅ Low volatility supports directional trades ⚠️ Volume weakness = possible pause before push --- ### 🎯 **Trade Setup** * **Type:** CALL (Naked) * **Strike:** \$530.00 * **Expiry:** 2025-08-15 * **Entry:** \$0.69 * **Profit Target:** \$1.38 (+100%) * **Stop Loss:** \$0.34 (–50%) * **Confidence:** 75% * **Entry Timing:** Market open --- 💬 *One-day gamma sprint — manage risk, exit quick.* 📌 *Not financial advice. DYOR.* --- **#MSFT #OptionsTrading #WeeklySetup #TradingSignals #StocksToWatch #DayTrading #OptionsFlow #GammaSqueeze**
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by quantsignals
1
Microsoft: Wave (3) Complete – Wave (4) Pullback in ProgressAs Microsoft has reached a pronounced peak, followed by a notable move to the downside, er now consider wave (3) finished. Thus, we see price currently in the corrective phase of wave (4), which still has some immediate downside potential but should hold above support at $454. The subsequent wave (5) is expected to mark the high of the broader blue wave (I). At this point, we assign a 36% probability to the scenario where wave alt.(3) makes a higher high above the new resistance at $562.17.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by MarketIntel
Microsoft (MSFT) Technical Update & its channelMicrosoft (MSFT) Technical Update & its channel Microsoft began forming a long-term ascending channel as far back as November 2021, marked by three higher highs and two higher lows, as illustrated on the chart. The price action became particularly interesting when it broke out of this channel, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of approximately $557. However, the underlying fundamentals (catalysts) were insufficient to sustain momentum at that level, leading to a pullback. The stock is now consolidating around the $522 zone — a key confluence area where the ascending trendline meets a horizontal support level. Outlook: If price breaks below this zone and re-enters the channel, a deeper correction could follow, with potential downside targets in the $500 – $480 range. As always, I encourage you to review the chart, share your thoughts in the comments, and connect if you’d like to discuss further.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by ForexClinik
XLK Relative Strength – Leaders Extended, Rotation Risk BuildingXLK has been one of, if not the strongest sectors on a relative basis since bottoming at the end of March. Despite its relative strength, top SXLK holdings are into areas where profit-taking looks to be occurring, and a rotation out may be taking place (see Weekly Supply zone on RS chart 0.4157-0.4199). This comes as NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:INTU are into -0.236 fib. extensions. NYSE:ORCL and NASDAQ:PLTR show a similar picture, with NYSE:ORCL reaching the 1.618 extension, while NASDAQ:PLTR failed to reach its 1.618 extension at $162.05. Weak: $APPL, NYSE:CRM , NYSE:IBM , and NYSE:NOW are among the weakest performers. If $APPL doesn’t hold around $200.00, look for it to slump to the $170.00 area. Trades: Look for NASDAQ:AMAT to hold around $169.46 for a move to $205.06 (Weekly Supply) or $243.40 (Monthly supply). If NASDAQ:AMAT fails to hold the $169.46 print, expect a move to $156.75. Look for NASDAQ:QCOM to hold $145.20 (Weekly) for a move to the $172.23 area (Weekly Supply). Look for NASDAQ:ADBE to hold $329.30 for a move to $449.40 (could top out around $417.30 depending on buying volume). Look for NYSE:ACN to hold $250.00 (Weekly), or I like it better a $218.32 (Monthly Demand). Featured Chart: Look for NYSE:APH to hold $100.71 (Daily close on 07/23) for a move up to $116.00-$116.50 area. If NYSE:APH fails to hold around the $100.00 mark, I’d expect a move below $95.00. AMEX:XLK move down to $240.38? Let me know your thoughts for or against any of these names in the comments. XETR:AMEX :
AMEX:XLK
by bulltrapbrigade
2
Microsoft (MSFT)–Watching for Pullback Entry After $4T MilestoneMicrosoft Corp. NASDAQ:MSFT has become the second company after Nvidia to cross the $4 trillion market cap, powered by strong AI and cloud demand. Azure revenue grew 34% to $75B in 2024, with a $30B AI infrastructure investment fueling future growth. Q4 EPS came in at $3.65 on $76.4B revenue, showing strong fundamentals. We are looking for a pullback to key support for a long entry: Trade Plan: Entry Zone: $515 – $518 Take Profit: $536, $555 Stop Loss: $502 #Microsoft #MSFT #Stocks #Trading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #AI #Cloud #BigTech #NASDAQ
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Richtv_official
Microsoft Soars to Record High Following Strong Earnings ReportMicrosoft Stock (MSFT) Soars to Record High Following Strong Earnings Report As the chart illustrates, Microsoft (MSFT) shares surged sharply after the close of the regular trading session – an immediate market reaction to the company’s strong quarterly results. According to available data, MSFT's post-market price jumped to $555 per share, exceeding its previous all-time high by more than 8%. Why Did MSFT Share Price Rise? The quarterly report provided several reasons for optimism, including: → Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.65, beating analysts’ expectations of $3.37 by over 8%. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, totalling $76.4 billion versus the projected $73.9 billion. → Microsoft’s cloud revenue rose by 27% to $46.7 billion, while Azure’s annualised revenue exceeded $75 billion, driven by growing demand for AI-related services. In response to these results, Barclays analysts quickly raised their price target for Microsoft shares from $550 to $625. Technical Analysis of MSFT Chart It is worth noting that the previous quarterly report was also strong, resulting in the formation of a large bullish gap on 1 May, followed by a sustained upward trend (highlighted by the purple trendline S). Importantly, the gap in the $395–425 range remains unfilled. Yesterday’s report is also likely to result in a large bullish gap at the market open today, though this time, the market context could lead to a different scenario. The key factor here is the long-term ascending channel (shown in blue), which reflects MSFT’s price movements throughout 2024–2025. After the previous strong report, the share price moved from the median to the upper boundary of the channel without setting a new record high. However, following the most recent report, the price has surged deep into overbought territory, potentially setting a multi-month high on the RSI and achieving a significant breakout to a new record. As a result, once the initial excitement around the earnings subsides – and the desire of investors to close long positions intensifies – MSFT could undergo a correction from the upper boundary of the channel. In this scenario, the following support levels could come into play: → The psychological level of $550 in the short term; → The S trendline, as a possible support during a deeper correction. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant. CEO Satya Nadella stated “Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.” This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant. If you need a quick summary, here are three main points: 1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period. 2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025. 3. 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results. Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter. Overview of today’s insights: - New segmentation. - Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview. - Key earnings call highlights. - Future areas to monitor. 1. New Segmentation Revised Business Segments In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management. Summary of the main changes - Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment. -Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising. -Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes. -Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together. Impact of These Changes: Core Segments Overview: In summary: - The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly. - The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue. Products and Services Overview: - M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services. - Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category. Additional Insights: - Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed. Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations. 2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance Financial Summary: -Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger. New Product and Services Segmentation Results - Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y). - M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y). - Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision. - Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y). - LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y). - Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y). - Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y). - Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y). - M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y). Core Business Segments Breakdown: - Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption. - Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth. - More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation. Key Observations: - Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y). - Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth. - Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25. - Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25. - Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter. - Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q). - EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: - Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y). - Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion. Q2 FY25 Outlook: - Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens. - Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%. - More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro. Main Takeaways: - Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost. - Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25. - Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4. - Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points. - Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected. - Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases. Earnings Call Highlights: Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake. AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y. M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly. LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends. Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6 Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth. 4. Future Outlook Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably. Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start. Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry. For further analysis stay tuned
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
MSFT Earnings Play (2025-07-31) — STRONG BULLISH SETUP **🚨 MSFT Earnings Play (2025-07-31) — STRONG BULLISH SETUP 🚨** **Microsoft \ NASDAQ:MSFT Pre-Earnings Trade Idea — 545C (Aug 1)** --- ### 🧠 **Earnings Thesis (🔥 80% Conviction)** MSFT is set to report **BMO July 31**, and all signs point *bullish*: 📈 **Revenue Growth**: +13.3% YoY, driven by **AI + Cloud** momentum 💰 **Margins**: Profit 35.8%, Op 45.7%, Gross 69.1% — textbook pricing power 📊 **Guidance**: 100% beat history, avg. +5.8% surprise 📌 **Analyst Consensus**: 💪 Strong Buy | Target: \$549.90 📊 **Sector Tailwinds**: Tech favored in current macro with Fed on hold ➡️ **Score: 9/10 Fundamentals | Bullish Momentum Across the Board** --- ### 🔍 **Options Flow & Technicals** 🔥 **Implied Move**: \~6.3% by Aug 1 📉 **IV Rank**: 0.75 (Room to expand post-earnings) 💸 **Call Flow**: Strong OI in 540–550 zone, gamma buildup may fuel squeeze 📊 **RSI**: 70.14 → Bullish, close to overbought 📈 **Support**: \$505 | **Resistance**: \$518.29 ➡️ **Score: 8/10 Options | 8/10 Technicals** --- ### 🧨 Trade Setup: 545 CALL (Aug 1 Exp) 🎯 **Entry Price**: \$0.90 📅 **Expiry**: 2025-08-01 📈 **Profit Target**: \$1.80 (⚡️+100%) 🛑 **Stop Loss**: \$0.45 📐 **Size**: 2 contracts (2% portfolio risk) 💡 **Timing**: Enter **EOD July 30 (Pre-earnings)** ⚠️ **IV Crush Alert** → Exit within 2 hours *post-earnings* --- ### ✅ RISK PLAN * Position: Max 2–3% of portfolio * IV crush & gap protection: Tight stop and quick post-earnings exit * Exit Plan: \$1.80 or Stop \$0.45, OR close manually after earnings move --- 📊 **Trade JSON Snapshot** ```json { "ticker": "MSFT", "direction": "CALL", "strike": 545, "entry": 0.90, "target": 1.80, "stop": 0.45, "expiry": "2025-08-01", "entry_time": "EOD Jul 30", "earnings_date": "2025-07-31 BMO", "confidence": "80%", "expected_move": "6.3%", "iv_rank": "0.75" } ``` --- 🧠 **Summary** MSFT is poised for a **clean earnings beat** with bullish fundamentals, strong options flow, and upside momentum. This is a **high-conviction, short-dated trade** with defined risk. 🎯 **Watchlist it. Size smart. Exit fast.**
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by quantsignals
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MSFT when they announced the 49% stake in OpenAI: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 550usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-12-19, for a premium of approximately $14.75. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MSFTLong
by TopgOptions