XAU/USD | Waiting for NFP! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the hourly chart of gold it seems that it has been consolidating in a certain range since yesterday and it's not moving neither down nor up, which makes sense given today is the NFP news release date (a few days later than usual).
Now, if Gold manages to go above 5086 and hold itself above there, it'll signal that it'll go higher. Now, we have to wait until after NFP numbers come out to make a move.
Targets for gold, if it goes above 5086 and holds itself there: 5100, 5115, 5130, 5145 and 5160.
If it fails to get there: 5035, 5020, 5005 and 4990.
Nasdaq
Nasdaq Short Is Playing Out - TGT 24'080First, Nasdaq has failed to make a new high.
Then price dropped, missing the red CL by just a couple of points. Is this really a miss?
Let’s play: *What if…*
The white fork measured how far price could pull back. As we Forkers know, there was about an 80% probability that price would retrace to the white Centerline - and indeed, the CL was reached.
Now it looks like price is turning on a dime.
Next target: the red Centerline around 24,080–24,000.
Here I’m sharing some deeper insights on the lower time frames:
Questions and comments are always appreciated.
#USDJPY , Just be with Momentum 📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #USDJPY
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Not a Quality setup ... and i don't wanna get trap by it ... when it be 100% clean , will take it
🚀 Trading Plan:
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED ‼️
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
NAS100 Multi-Timeframe OutlookMonthly → Weekly → Daily Elliott Wave Breakdown
This analysis walks through NAS100 from the macro structure down to the lower-timeframe execution view.
1. Monthly Timeframe – Macro Trend Still Intact
On the monthly chart, NAS100 is clearly trending within a well-defined rising channel, respecting both the median line and the lower boundary across multiple cycles.
Elliott Wave Context (Monthly):
- Price appears to be in a larger impulsive structure, with wave (iii) and (iv) already completed.
- The market is currently in a wave (5) impulsive phase.
- This impulse to remain contained within the rising channel.
- Despite the correction risk, this remains a bullish market structurally unless price decisively breaks the lower channel boundary.
2. Weekly Timeframe – Impulsive Structure Taking Shape
The weekly chart adds clarity to the monthly impulse wave currently unfolding.
Elliott Wave Context (Weekly):
- The market appears to be developing an extended wave 3 from its current context.
- Currently, we are now looking at the completion of wave i - ii of (iii).
- Once wave i finishes its completion, wave ii targets may be expected between 0.618 and 0.786.
Technical Structure
- Price remains inside a rising corrective channel.
- A breakdown toward the lower boundary would complete the corrective phase.
- Holding above that boundary keeps the larger bullish thesis alive.
3. Daily Timeframe – Short-Term Volatility & Execution Zone
The daily chart is where the last phase of wave i becomes actionable.
Elliott Wave Context (Daily)
- A smaller wave 5 (encircled) is on its development.
- Minor wave (encircled) may still be forming, potentially as a regular flat. If not, then wave 5 (encircled) is confirmed.
- Once wave 1 (encircled) is reached, the daily timeframe analysis before the completion of wave 5 (encircled), the daily count becomes invalidated. However, this doesn't mean that the weekly and monthly outlook is invalidated as well. It will just require a recount in the Daily perspective to align it with the weekly and monthly timeframes.
Macro & Economic Factors to Watch
Several external forces may influence price behavior over the coming weeks and months:
1. Monetary Policy & Rates
- Markets remain sensitive to interest rate expectations
- Any persistence in higher-for-longer rates pressures growth-heavy indices like NAS100
2. Geopolitical Risk
- Ongoing geopolitical tensions add risk-off flows
- Tech equities often underperform during uncertainty spikes
3. Earnings & Valuation Compression
- High valuations leave little room for disappointment
- Even strong earnings can result in sell-the-news reactions
These factors support the technical case for a controlled correction, rather than an immediate continuation higher.
Outlook Summary
Long-term trend: Bullish and intact
Medium-term: Bullish
Short-term: Bullish followed by a Bearish movement
All Fibonacci measurements, from the smallest impulsive waves to the macro retracements, are converging toward the same zones, reinforcing the validity of the projected targets.
eBay - Breaking Down the StructureLet’s take a look at eBay stock from the very beginning up to today:
What do we see?
A completed wave structure and an almost completed Fibonacci structure as well.
The peak came in at 101 , which is close to the 105 Fibonacci level.
Now let’s zoom in on the larger fifth wave:
The move started in late September 2022, and this structure also looks complete.
The corrective move from mid-August 2025 confirms this.
A push toward 105 looks unlikely, though it can’t be completely ruled out.
Either way, the broader bias remains to the downside.
For now, let’s focus on the smaller timeframe,
specifically the fifth wave on a lower degree.
Key targets:
75
71
66
The potential move from the current level is 14-23% .
On a broader scale, a sizable correction within the fifth wave is expected.
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USNAS100 | Stabilization Above Pivot Signals UpsideUSNAS100 | Stabilization Above Pivot Supports Upside
The Nasdaq rebounded from 24970 and has now stabilized above the 25230 pivot, signaling improving bullish momentum.
Technical Outlook
As long as price remains above 25230, upside continuation is expected toward 25410, followed by 25610 and potentially 25835.
A 1H candle close below 25230 would invalidate the bullish scenario and trigger a pullback toward 24960.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 25230
• Support: 24980 – 24785
• Resistance: 25410 – 25610 – 25835
XAU/USD | Will it reach the 5100 level again? (READ THE CAPTION)Gold went up as high as 5086 last night, failing to go above the 5091 level to sweep the liquidity and dropped, currently being traded at 5033, and has been consolidating in that range for a while now. If gold holds itself above the Jan 26th NWOG and makes it through the Vol Imbalance created last night, I can see it go for the buyside liquidity above and the Daily IFVG at 5111.
Targets for Gold: 5040, 5055, 5070, 5095 and 5110.
If it fails to go above the Vol Imbalance and fall into the Jan 26th NWOG, the targets will be: 5020, 5005, 4990 and 4975.
NQ: 25.5k Is the Line in the Sand Ahead of CPI & NFPNQ Update 📊
🔑 25.5k is the line in the sand
🟢 Above 25.5k → I’ll look for upside continuation
🔴 Below 25.5k → I’ll be watching for short-term downside
⏰ Best entry opportunities likely around NY open
📅 Big data this week: CPI + NFP — expect volatility ⚠️
#USDCAD , Lets be friend with it 📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #USDCAD
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Not a Quality setup but lets have it in our watchlist.
—
#GOLD is still VALID
—-
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Need to check Momentum at POI
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED ‼️
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
SinnSeed | OMS Energy Technologies ( #OMSE ) — 10.02.2026SinnSeed | OMS Energy Technologies (#OMSE) — Company Overview | After IPO
© OMS Energy Technologies
➡️ An oil and gas equipment manufacturer with over 50 years of history has been listed on NASDAQ.
✍️ Company Card
Full name: OMS Energy Technologies Inc. Ticker: OMSE | Exchange: NASDAQ Capital Market Founded: 1972 | Headquarters: Singapore Employees: ~632 people (May 2025) Website: omsos.com
⚙️ Company Operations
OMS Energy Technologies is a growth-oriented manufacturer of equipment for the oil and gas industry. The company specializes in two key product categories: 🗣️ Surface Wellhead Systems (SWS) — surface wellhead systems and "Christmas trees" for controlling oil and gas flow from wells 🗣️ Oil Country Tubular Goods (OCTG) — oilfield tubular products: ▪️ Specialized connectors ▪️ Premium pipes and threaded connections ▪️ Casing and tubing (pump/compressor pipes)
These products are used for drilling, completion, and operation of oil and gas wells worldwide.
🕯 Financial Performance (FY 2025) Total revenue: 203.6 million USD | Growth: +12.21% year-over-year Cost of sales: 134.6 million USD Gross profit: 69.0 million USD Operating expenses: 9.1 million USD Operating profit: around 39.6 million USD
🕯 Balance Sheet: Total assets: 211.68 million USD Total liabilities: 34.51 million USD
📊 The company shows steady growth — revenue has increased from 163.3 million to 203.6 million USD, demonstrating strong operating profitability.
📍 Management ▪️ How Meng Hock — Chairman of the Board & CEO (CEO since 2014, Chairman since March 2024) ▪️ Kevin Yeo — Chief Financial Officer ▪️ Tse Meng Ng — Non-executive Director
🟢 How Meng Hock is a key figure in management and sets the company’s strategic direction.
📈 IPO History ▪️ November 2024 — Submission of confidential documents (Form F-1 to SEC) ▪️ December 2023 — Registration of OMS Energy Technologies Inc. for IPO purposes ▪️ Offering price: 9.00 USD per share ▪️ Exchange: NASDAQ Capital Market, ticker OMSE “Since our founding in 1972, OMS has built its reputation on engineering excellence and strong operating capabilities.” — from the company’s press release. ©
⭐️ Key Takeaways ✔️ Established business — over 50 years in the oil and gas sector ✔️ Financially healthy — low debt burden (liabilities ~16% of assets) ✔️ Sustainable growth — double-digit revenue growth year-over-year ✔️ Strategic location — Singapore as a hub for Asian and global markets
A classic representative of the “old economy” on the modern stock market. Focus on a premium segment with high margins.
🌐 Geography & Clients Key markets: 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia (Saudi Aramco — anchor client) 🇦🇪 UAE 🇮🇩 Indonesia 🇵🇰 Pakistan
Offices: Singapore (HQ), Saudi Arabia, Indonesia
⚔️ Competitive Landscape Global giants: Schlumberger, Baker Hughes, Halliburton, NOV
OMS Advantages: ✔️ Higher margins vs. competitors ✔️ Niche specialization ✔️ Flexibility and focus on regional markets ✔️ Strategic presence in Singapore
Risks: ⚠️ Smaller scale (capitalization in the hundreds of millions USD) ⚠️ Dependency on major clients ⚠️ High share volatility (but within expectations after IPO)
🚀 Growth Strategy (2025–2026+) ▪️ Expanding in Asia and the Middle East ▪️ Diversifying the client base ▪️ Potential M&A deals ▪️ Expanding the product line
📊 Market Global wellhead equipment market: 5.7–7.6 billion USD Forecast to 2031–33: 9–11 billion USD (CAGR ~5%)
💡Bottom line: #OMS is a compact but high-margin player focused on the premium niche with ambitions for regional growth. It is interesting as a bet on the development of the oil and gas sector in Asia and the MENA region.
Technical Picture: What we know: After the IPO, there is a 📉 correction for 3 to 6 months ⚠️ Sideways between 23.6% and 50% — this is an accumulation or distribution zone. The longer the consolidation, the stronger the breakout will be. The spring is tightening 🔥
🔼 Signs of accumulation (bullish scenario) ▪️ Trading volume declines during declines, rises during upswings. ▪️ Higher lows. ▪️ Dips are quickly bought up. ▪️ RSI forming an upward structure.
🟢 Long conditions: Breakout above the upper limit (50% or 61.8%) on increasing volume + candle closes above the level. Stop-loss — below the lower limit (23.6%).
Short term: 🔹 5.07 (+16%) — Minimal target 🔹 5.70 (+30%) — Standard target ⭐️ 6.15 (+41%) — First key target ⭐️ 6.73 (+54%) — Golden extension
Long term: 🔹 6.25 (+50%) — Minimal target 🔹 7.69 (+75%) — Standard target ⭐️ 8.70 (+97%) — First key target ⭐️ 10 (+124%) — Golden extension
NASDAQ 's long-term consolidation resembles prior peaks.Nasdaq (NDX) has been practically trading sideways since October 30 2025. This 3-month consolidation resembles Nasdaq's last aggressive correction that started in late February 2025. As you can see both have a Resistance Zone that kept the consolidation valid until a 2nd rejection that (in the 2025 case) broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and confirmed the sharp correction.
Right now the 1D MA200 held last week but the 1D RSI printed an oversold bounce similar to that late February fractal. As a result, once the index breaks below the 1D MA200, we can technically claim that a deeper correction is confirmed. It's first Target should technically be the 1W MA100 (black trend-line) around 21800 (based on its current trajectory).
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XAU/USD | Small upwards move? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see, Gold has been moving between this week's NWOG and Jan 26th NWOG today. Currently it's being traded at 5011. If it fails to go through the 26th Jan NWOG and above 5050, I expect it drop in price, targets will be: 5000, 4990, 4980, 4970 and 4960.
However, if it manages to go through and stay above 5050 level, the short-term targets will be: 5060, 5070 and 5080.
USNAS100 | Futures Steady Ahead of Key U.S. DataUSNAS100 | Futures Steady Ahead of Key U.S. Data
Wall Street futures held steady after a chipmaker-led rebound, with focus now shifting to a heavy week of U.S. economic data that could drive volatility.
Technical Outlook
The Nasdaq is currently in a bearish corrective phase while trading below 25030.
Downside pressure remains active toward 24770, and a break below this level would extend losses toward 24570, followed by 24160.
However, if price stabilizes above 24770, a recovery toward 25250 and 25410 could follow.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 25030
• Support: 24770 – 24570 – 24160
• Resistance: 25250 – 25410 – 25600
NAS100 - Stock market awaits US data!?The index is trading in its descending channel on the four-hour time frame between EMA200 and EMA50. In case of an upward correction towards the channel ceiling, which is also at the intersection of the specified supply zone, we can look for further selling positions in Nasdaq. The decline of Nasdaq towards the demand zone will also create a buying position with a risk-reward ratio.
In the week leading up to February 9–13, 2026, the U.S. equity market enters a phase where earnings from mid-sized yet influential companies may provide a clearer picture of the real economy. From consumer giants such as Coca-Colaand McDonald’s to industrial and technology firms like Ford and Cisco, this week’s data could clarify the trajectory of inflation, consumer demand, and corporate investment.
Youtotimes examines which reports carry the greatest market significance.
The week begins with predominantly industrial-focused releases. Cleveland-Cliffs may deliver the earliest signals about steel, construction, and industrial demand—sectors that typically enter recession or expansion ahead of the broader economy.
However, the key focal point is Onsemi, whose outlook will determine whether automotive and industrial chip markets remain under pressure. Weak guidance from Onsemi could ripple across the entire chain from automobiles to industrial goods.
Tuesday represents one of the most critical days. Coca-Cola serves as a primary gauge of global purchasing power, while Marriott reflects the state of luxury travel—usually the last segment to weaken in an economic cycle.
Within technology, Datadog may reveal whether companies continue spending on SaaS and cloud-monitoring infrastructure.
After the market close, Ford’s financial guidance could shape expectations for the entire auto industry. Zillow will provide insight into the housing market, which has remained largely frozen for months.
Wednesday—arguably the most important day of the week— brings McDonald’s results, a direct barometer of lower-income consumer health. Any sales decline could spark renewed fears of a consumer-led slowdown.
Shopify has the potential to influence the broader e-commerce landscape, while T-Mobile reflects telecom conditions and Kraft Heinz signals food inflation trends.
Most significant, however, is Cisco, whose guidance is widely viewed as a forward indicator of enterprise investment, a critical driver of economic growth.
On Thursday, Applied Materials (AMAT) will indicate whether the AI investment wave has truly reached equipment suppliers. Strong guidance could trigger renewed optimism across semiconductor equities.
Coinbase is likely to move alongside Bitcoin volatility and may show whether retail participation persists.
Meanwhile, DraftKings and Expedia will reflect trends in online gambling and travel demand.
On Friday, Enbridge serves as a key proxy for energy infrastructure and is particularly relevant for conservative investors. Moderna may help define the outlook for biotechnology, while Magna completes the week’s picture of the automotive sector.
Although the companies reporting this week may appear smaller in name recognition, the signals they generate are far larger in implication. From inflation and consumer health to AI, autos, travel, and housing—each report has the potential to shift market direction.
According to the trading calendar, Tuesday brings U.S. December retail sales data, followed by the delayed Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Wednesday.
On Thursday, weekly jobless claims and January existing home sales will be released.
The week concludes Friday morning with the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January—typically a decisive input for inflation expectations and monetary policy.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar entered a recovery phase last week, outperforming other major currencies—largely driven by the nomination of former Federal Reserve governor Kevin Warsh as a potential Fed chair. During his 2006–2011tenure, Warsh maintained a hawkish stance on inflation and opposed balance-sheet expansion, making his selection by Trump unexpected for many investors.
Warsh’s proposal to reconsider the relationship between the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury has generated concern in financial markets. While some view it as a step toward greater balance-sheet transparency, critics warn it could weaken monetary independence, alter the inflation path, and threaten the dollar’s safe-haven status.
He has called for revisiting the principles of the 1951 Treasury-Fed Accord, which restored central-bank independence after World War II by removing caps on government bond yields. Warsh argues that the boundaries set by that agreement have eroded in recent years following large-scale asset purchases during the global financial crisis and the pandemic.
However, the lack of concrete details has unsettled investors. Neither Warsh nor Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has provided a clear framework. Warsh has only suggested that a new structure could better align the Fed’s balance-sheet objectives with Treasury issuance plans.
With federal interest costs nearing $1 trillion and Trump openly pressuring policymakers to consider debt-service costs, markets view this potential alignment as risky.
Some observers believe Warsh will not cross the line of central-bank independence, arguing his aim is merely to enhance transparency and define stricter boundaries for emergency asset purchases.
Critics, however, caution that gradual shifts could evolve into a form of implicit coordination—especially if institutions like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac also become involved in managing financing costs.
IONQ Showing Classic Reversal Clues After SweepIONQ is showing a textbook liquidity sweep followed by a strong reaction back to the upside — a pattern that often hints at a potential reversal.
Price recently swept key sell side liquidity before quickly reclaiming higher levels, suggesting absorption and possible accumulation. This type of move typically signals that downside objectives may have been satisfied, with the market now preparing for a structural shift.
The focus this week is on confirmation:
- Do we see continuation with higher highs and supportive structure?
- Or does price reject and return to range?
If momentum holds, this could mark the early stage of a broader push higher. Definitely one to monitor closely as the week develops.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
#GOLD , Lets Play it 📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #GOLD
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
After Many months , i added GOLD on Watchlist of PUBLIC channel ... but i don't wanna it be like a TRAP so mostly will just Watch it ... and if it be 100% good will take it .
—
#EURUSD IS STILL VALID
—-
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Need Valid momentum Structure Close
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED ‼️
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Why Risk Management matters more than WIN RateWhy Risk Management matters more than WIN Rate
Welcome everyone to another educational article.
If you are enjoying these, please make sure to follow for more!
Lets get started.
Definitions:
Risk Management > Is the process of defining:
- What you can afford to lose completely
- The percentage of all your capital, risked per trade
- How losses are controlled, before you take a trade
Risk management allows you to Stay in the game . It protects your capital and account from blowing up, from your emotional ideas.
Win Rate > is the percentage of trades that:
- Hit Take Profit
- Hit Stop Loss
- Hit Break Even
Win rate alone does Not determine profitability. A high Win Rate w/poor risk management can still lose you money.
Straight Into It
Risk management is more important than win rate because defining your risk allows you to take many trades over time.
If you “go all in” on one trade:
- You technically have a 100%- win rate system if it wins
- But it is based on one outcome
This system is flawed because it relies on a single result, not probability.
Trading is not one trade it is hundreds.
Why Defined Risk Wins Over High Win Rate
When you define your risk:
- You control downside
- You survive losing streaks
- You allow probability to play out
A system that wins over:
- 100
- 200
- 300 trades
It is far more reliable than a system based on one trade.
Consistency over time always beats one-off success.
Example: Risk in Practice
Let’s say you have $100.
When people say “ risk 1% ”, they mean:
- Risk $1 per trade
- Not $100
Using leverage (example: 10x):
- Your capital risk is $1
- Your margin exposure becomes $10
This allows you to trade 10% position size while only risking 1%.
If the trade loses:
- You still have $99
- That’s 99 more attempts
That’s how systems survive.
Why This Matters Long-Term
Risk management:
• Reduces emotional pressure
• Prevents revenge trading
• Keeps drawdowns manageable
• Allows confidence to grow naturally
Win rate looks good on paper.
Risk management keeps you alive long enough to profit.
Extra Insight
A trader with:
• 40% win rate
• Strong risk management
Will outperform a trader with:
• 70% win rate
• Poor risk control
Why?
Because the first trader survives long enough for probability to work.
Conclusion
Win rate tells you how often you win.
Risk management determines whether you stay in the game.
One trade proves nothing.
A hundred trades prove everything.
Define your risk .
Respect probability.
Trade for longevity > not ego.
Check out the process of "Understanding Risk Management here" Here:
#202606 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Just have to be bullish about this double bottom below 24300. Same reasoning as for dax. Friday was so strong that I expect bears just gave up. I expect at least 25700 early next week and then we can have a pullback before the market decides if we print new highs or not.
current market cycle: trading range since November but since bears just fail to close consecutively below the weekly 20ema, we are also still in the bull trend
key levels for next week: 25000 - 27000
bull case: Big double bottom with the November low and Friday was strong enough to expect much upside. A measured move up would bring us very close to the January high and that is most likely the most important resistance for next week. The bulls have all the arguments on their side to continue sideways to up. We have not traded below 24000 since September 2025 and every touch or dip below the weekly 20ema is heavily bought. Upside targets in order are 25500, 26000, 26360, 26650, 27000.
Invalidation is below 24153
bear case: Exactly the same as in dax. As a bear you can not hold short here. Only a news-bomb can reverse it. I’d be very surprised if we stay below 26100 next week.
Invalidation is above 26100
short term: Bullish for at least 26000. We could dip down to 24800 again before more upside but I highly doubt that.
medium-long term - Update from 2026-02-08: Neutral over the next months. At least for now. I hope for a bigger down turn but at the moment I can only expect new ath so it’s stupid to look for lower targets than 24000.






















