Buy the Dip on Amazon
BUY @ 200-210
Long hold
Still waiting for AMZN to catch up on the AI race, they have such great sticky ecosystem for leveraging AI integration in robotics, automation and IOT.
Not to mention the lacklustre monetization in their existing robotics arm.
On this aspect it is possible for almost full replacement of headcounts in AMZN's fulfilment centers with automation and robotics - hence heavy decrement in recurring manpower costs.
I foresee an amazon Trainium resurgence from Anthropic's collaboration with AWS.
Overall, adding a big bag to this one
Nasdaq
Buy AMAZON now!! Huge discount sale for an ecommerce behemoth!
Technical Analysis
- Triple bounce off $101 level with big reaction upwards,
- this region used to be resistance now flipped support.
- Its also the 61.8% retracement level (golden zone for a rebound)
- stochastic RSI was in oversold, now rebounding
Trades:
Short term traders can look for a LONG from current level
For long term traders this is a good region to BUY MORE AMAZON
Easy Buy on Netflix - Breakout of Ascending Channel !Netflix is currently down almost 50% from its all time high in Nov 2021.
Currently traded in an ascending channel since Oct 2022 and briefly broke out above with strong volume to close at 357.42 as of market close.
Now we look for some profit taking and pullback to retest the top of the channel
Buy zone is:
336 - 357
Take profit:
393
Now we have the 50 EMA crossing the 200 EMA, with the 100 EMA close behind. A cross of 100 EMA will signal stronger bullish momentum on Netflix stock, giving us more room for upside.
ORACALE (ORCL) Rally! Cycle 3 → $400, Eyes on Supercycle $6,000🌀 ORACLE (ORCL) – Elliott Wave Supercycle Analysis | Smart Money & Fibonacci Confluence
🔭 Macro Perspective
Oracle’s long-term chart (NYSE: ORCL) showcases a powerful Supercycle (III) wave in motion — a multi-decade expansion phase fueled by institutional participation, structural growth, and technological innovation.
The internal Cycle waves (1–5) are clearly defined, with current price action positioned deep within Cycle Wave (3) — the strongest segment of this major bullish leg.
🟢 Supercycle Wave (I) (1987 – 2000)
Elliott Behavior: The first grand impulsive advance, representing Oracle’s rise during the early software and database revolution.
Fibonacci Structure: Wave (3) extended toward the 2.618× of Wave (1), typical of an early institutional growth wave.
SMC Dynamics:
Breaks of structure (BoS) at each impulsive stage.
Liquidity sweeps before rallies — consistent smart money accumulation patterns.
Fundamentals: Explosive earnings growth through enterprise software adoption and global market expansion.
💥 Conclusion: The dot-com peak in 2000 completed Supercycle (I).
🔵 Supercycle Wave (II) (2000 – 2002)
Nature: The sharp, emotion-driven retracement following the tech bubble.
Fibonacci Retracement: Retraced into the 0.236 zone of (I), providing the long-term discount region for accumulation.
SMC Characteristics:
Liquidity grab beneath 1998–1999 structure.
Long accumulation base confirming institutional re-entry.
Fundamentals: Oracle streamlined operations and built the groundwork for enterprise-level solutions.
🧱 Bottom: Wave (II) ended around 2002 — the base of today’s decades-long uptrend.
🟣 Supercycle Wave (III) (2002 – 2030s, ongoing)
This ongoing macro impulsive wave contains five internal Cycle Waves (1–5) .
⚪ Cycle Wave (1) (2002 – 2019)
Elliott Context: A powerful, sustained impulsive leg lasting nearly two decades.
Structure: Clean five-wave advance with strong extensions during 2010–2019.
Fibonacci Note: The move achieved near the 1.618× extension relative to its starting point.
SMC Insight:
Consistent higher highs and higher lows throughout the period.
BoS continuation patterns confirming institutional markup.
Fundamentals: Expansion of Oracle’s business model — cloud transition, data analytics, and enterprise software dominance.
📈 End: Cycle (1) peaked near 2019 , completing the first internal impulsive leg of Supercycle (III).
🔵 Cycle Wave (2) (2019 – 2020)
Nature: A sharp yet shallow correction that coincided with the global market decline (COVID crash).
Fibonacci Retracement: Retraced around the 0.236–0.382 zone of Wave (1).
SMC Dynamics:
Liquidity sweep under 2018–2019 structure.
Fast accumulation pattern — strong re-accumulation footprint.
Fundamentals: Short-term market shock, but Oracle’s fundamentals remained intact and rebounded swiftly.
🧭 Conclusion: Cycle (2) ended in 2020, setting the foundation for the explosive ongoing Cycle (3) rally.
🟢 Cycle Wave (3) (2020 – ~2026, in progress)
Elliott Context: The most powerful internal impulsive wave — currently unfolding.
Target Zone: Projected to complete near $380–$400 , expected around late 2025 to early 2026 .
Fibonacci Extension: The 2.618× extension of Wave (1) perfectly aligns near $400.
SMC & Market Structure:
Continuous BoS and HH–HL formations — clear institutional control.
No macro distribution yet; structure remains intact.
Liquidity inducements near highs suggest ongoing markup phase.
Price Action: Aggressive impulses, shallow retracements, and orderly continuation patterns.
Fundamentals:
Rapid expansion in Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), AI-driven services, and recurring revenue models.
Sustained EPS growth and improved margin performance support wave maturity.
🚀 Expectation: Completion near $400 will likely trigger a Cycle (4) corrective structure before the final impulsive push.
🟠 Cycle Wave (4) (Projected: 2026 – 2028)
Elliott Behavior: A corrective phase — retracing part of the strong Cycle (3) run.
Fibonacci Retracement: Expected correction into the 0.236–0.382 zone of Wave (3), roughly $200–$280.
SMC Insight:
Break of structure (BoS) near top zones to induce liquidity.
Re-accumulation base forming after liquidity sweep below key supports.
Market Psychology: Cooling from euphoria, consolidation, and rebalancing of valuations.
Fundamentals: Period of stabilization after several years of aggressive expansion.
📉 Outlook: Likely forms the structural foundation for the next rally phase (Cycle 5).
🟢 Cycle Wave (5) (Projected: 2028 – early 2030s)
Elliott Context: The final impulsive leg completing Supercycle (III).
Target Zone: Fibonacci 3.618× extension (~$900–$950) of Cycle (1).
SMC Structure:
Final markup phase with strong BoS continuation patterns.
Climax rallies as retail sentiment peaks.
Price Action: Parabolic trend, thin retracements, and expanding volatility.
Fundamentals: Oracle could cement its dominance in global data, AI, and enterprise infrastructure markets.
💎 Completion: Cycle (5) will mark the end of Supercycle (III), leading into the long-term corrective Supercycle (IV).
🔶 Supercycle Wave (IV) (Projected: 2030s – 2040s)
Nature: Major macro correction after decades of expansion.
Fibonacci Depth: Likely retraces into the 0.382–0.5 zone of (III).
SMC Behavior: Distribution → liquidity sweep → re-accumulation.
Market Context: Could align with macroeconomic tightening or sectoral rotation.
📊 Purpose: To reset valuations and build energy for the final Supercycle (V).
🟩 Supercycle Wave (V) (Projected: 2040s – 2050s)
Elliott Context: The final impulsive wave of Oracle’s century-long trend.
Fibonacci Target: 3.618× expansion (~$6,000).
SMC Behavior: Final institutional markup followed by distribution and secular reversal.
Fundamentals: Could coincide with Oracle’s role as a global AI–data infrastructure leader.
🚀 Legacy Wave: The culmination of decades of innovation and expansion.
⚙️ Macro Summary
Accumulation (1980s–1990s) – Smart money foundation.
Expansion (2000s–2020s) – Institutional markup phase.
Distribution (2030s) – Macro correction and rotation.
Re-accumulation (Post-2040s) – Long-term reset for future cycles.
🧠 Technical & Fundamental Alignment
✨ Elliott Structure: Clear impulsive (I–V) sequence with macro rhythm.
✨ Fibonacci Confluence: $400 (2.618× of Wave 1) & $900 (3.618× of Wave 1).
✨ SMC: Institutional control with clean BoS → reaccumulation → continuation.
✨ Price Action: Aggressive bullish order flow with no macro distribution yet.
✨ Fundamentals: Oracle’s AI + Cloud strategy drives sustainable growth.
🌍 Conclusion
Oracle (ORCL) continues to trend within Supercycle (III) — the most powerful long-term wave.
Cycle Wave (3): In progress, targeting $380–$400 by end of 2025 / early 2026.
Cycle Wave (4): Anticipated retracement toward $200–$280 zone.
Cycle Wave (5): Final impulsive run toward $900+ into the early 2030s.
📈 Macro Bias: Long-term bullish — institutional structure intact.
📊 Short-term Outlook: Momentum strong but nearing Cycle 3 completion; prepare for corrective rotation.
💬 Summary: Oracle’s price evolution beautifully mirrors its technological growth story — a near-perfect alignment of Elliott Wave symmetry , Smart Money structure , and fundamental strength . The completion of Cycle 3 near $400 will open the door to an ideal re-entry opportunity for the next macro leg higher.
#ORCL 📈 #Oracle 💼 #ElliottWave 🌊 #WaveAnalysis 🔹 #Supercycle 🚀 #Fibonacci 📊 #SmartMoney 💎 #PriceAction 🕯️ #MarketStructure 🏗️ #LongTermBull 🟢 #StockAnalysis 💹 #TechnicalAnalysis ⚙️ #Investing 💰 #TradingViewIdeas 💡
💬 Respected traders and analysts!
Your insights matter. Share your views, confirmations, or constructive criticism in the comments below. Let’s discuss ORCL’s structural evolution, Elliott Wave setup, and long-term Supercycle potential 🚀📈.
— Team FIBCOS 💎
NASDAQ (US100) – Trading Plan for Today | February 06🔥 NASDAQ (US100) – Trading Plan for Today | February 06
The session started with a bearish open.
Price opened below the key level at 24,686,
while the key level itself is located below the Value Area.
This structure confirms a short-biased intraday context.
Additional cluster context:
Intraday plan
Primary scenario (short):
– short positions remain the priority.
Downside target:
– daily short zone.
Alternative scenario:
– longs will be considered only after acceptance above the daily long zone,
– in that case, the target shifts toward the long reversal zone at 25,069.
As long as price remains below 24,686,
bearish bias remains valid.
This is not financial advice. Risk management is required.
MSFT - High-Risk Reaction Trade at HTF SupportNASDAQ:MSFT is now down nearly 80% from its all-time high, approaching a major higher time frame (HTF) support zone. This is not a trend reversal play — it's a reaction trade at a critical level where a bounce is possible if sentiment stabilizes. The risk is high, but so is the short-term reward potential if the level holds.
📌 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $100 – $102
Take Profit: $120 – $140
Stop Loss: $88.00
This trade relies on a tight risk management strategy, given the strong downtrend. We’re looking for a bounce, not a reversal — if support cracks, we’re out.
XAU/USD | NWOG retest (READ THE CAPTION)Gold went as low as 4655 last night after going through Feb 3rd NDOG before making it back up and is now being traded at 4858, inside the Feb 2nd NWOG. If it holds above the Consequent Encroachment of the NWOG, then I expect it to go and retest the NWOG high.
Targets: 4877, 4890, 4905 and 4920.
If it fails: 4844, 4830, 4815 and 4800.
Palantir - Going DownFrom April to October 2025, a fifth wave to the upside formed.
After that, the stock entered a corrective phase.
According to the plan, we expect a retracement toward the start of Wave 5 .
Given the fast price action and the large number of minor corrections, we will focus only on the major, higher-timeframe targets.
Proceed with caution - a pullback is expected even from the current level.
Key targets:
115 - or slightly lower; a corrective bounce (upward move) is expected here as part of wave 3 of the impulse
83
63
The potential move from the current level is 34-50% .
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#EURUSD , Time to Fly?📊 Morning Market Brief | London Session Prep
🔎 Instrument Focus: #EURUSD
⚠️ Risk Environment: High
📈 Technical Overview:
Not a Quality setup at all but with a valid structure we can have it as QuickScalp
🚀 Trading Plan:
• Need Valid momentum Structure Close
• LTF ENTRY NEEDED ‼️
• Just and Only for QuickScalp
🧠 Stay updated with real time news and macro events, visit 👉 @News_Ash_TheTrader_Bot
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#Ash_TheTrader #Forex #EURUSD #MarketInsight #PriceAction #TradingPlan #RiskManagement #LondonSession #Scalping #Futures #NQ #Gold
Tesla - Electric Car Rolling LowerWe continue the downside move described in several previous posts.
We are drawing a corrective wave of the larger move.
Inside the corrective wave, four impulse sub-waves have already formed, and we are now forming the fifth sub-wave.
Key levels:
408
393
368
The most probable completion zone appears to be between 393-368 , which corresponds to roughly 50-60% of the primary move.
The downside potential from current levels is estimated at 2-12% .
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AMD — Everything Looks BadSince October 2025, AMD stock has been correcting.
Waves A and B have formed, and it appears that Wave C has begun to develop.
The correction type is flat .
Wave C is forming as a five -wave impulse.
Key targets:
218 — local correction
200 — the most likely end of the impulse, located in the 50–60% range of the larger Wave 5
189
The potential move from the current level is 15–20%.
We assume that the stock may move lower after the initial targets are reached.
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Nasdaq Centerline Target at 24'220NQ has host everything what is called support.
My target is the 24120 at the Cetnerline.
On a complete flush, further lower targets would be the white Centerline around 23'500.
Time until it hit's the 24220?
I have no cristal bowl. But for each day it takes, I'll move the target even lower, attached to the Centerline.
Since I play this with Options, I don't have a hard Stop/Loss, just risking what my risk-management allowes me in my account.
!! Trade small - It could snap back anytime !!
Stay save
Emilio
Microsoft - Finishing the OwlWe consider the move from April 2025 to July 2025 as a completed five -wave impulse.
From August 2025 to the present, price has been in a corrective phase.
Starting in October 2025, the correction has been developing through zigzag structures.
We expect one more impulse to complete the correction - either as a larger zigzag or a double zigzag. The exact form is not critical for the overall scenario.
Intermediate levels with potential pullbacks:
436 - current level
428
416
Main target:
Move toward the 400 area
Estimated downside potential from current levels:
Approximately 10%
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USNAS100 | Tech Earnings Drive Volatility as Bears Hold ControlUSNAS100 | Bearish Pressure Builds as Tech Earnings Drive Volatility
Nasdaq futures remain under pressure as markets continue to digest the latest big tech earnings, following the recent tech-led selloff highlighted in the S&P 500 outlook. With Alphabet and Amazon earnings in focus, volatility is expected to remain elevated as traders position for the next directional move.
Technical Outlook
The index maintains a bearish structure while trading below 25415.
As long as price remains below 25415, downside pressure is expected toward 25250, followed by 25120.
A break below 25120 would expose deeper downside toward 24770.
On the upside, a 1H candle close above 25415 would signal a bullish corrective move toward 25610 and 25700, with further resistance at 25835.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 25415
• Support: 25250 – 25120 – 24770
• Resistance: 25610 – 25700 – 25835
XAU/USD | NWOG Retest (READ THE CAPTION)Gold went below the Feb 2nd's NWOG low it the early hours of today, but managed to go back and went through it, then dropped again into the NWOG zone, currently being traded at at 4880. It once got close to the NWOG high at 4884 but fell short of 7 pips and didn't touch the NWOG high.
I expect Gold to retest the NWOG high, and current targets are: 4890, 4900, 4910, 4920 and 4930.
If it fails at retest, the targets are: 4866, 4850, 4835 and 4820.
MSFT BUY - Market Overreaction!Market overreaction due to OpenAI making up for 45% of MSFT's Azure Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) - raising questions about circular financing.
Disregarding the RPO the remaining revenue growth is still sustained and considerable
With a mag7 at PE near 25~, MSFT has never been cheaper
Buy @ 385 - 400
Near Weekly 200SMA
Target @ 482, 550
Long hold
Is NVIDIA showing signs of a potential momentum shift?Is NVIDIA starting to shift momentum after a strong uptrend since October 2022?
There’s a possibility of a retest toward $88 if price fails to break out above the $180 range.
Volume continues to decline, suggesting weakening participation. Only time will tell.






















