DOW THEORY PLAY - INTC CONFIRMS BREAKOUT FROM ACCUMULATION PHASEINTC - CURRENT PRICE : 29.58
Key Technical Highlights:
1. Breakout from Accumulation Phase with Strong Volume
Intel has successfully broken out of a prolonged sideways accumulation zone. The breakout is accompanied by significantly higher-than-average volume , indicating strong buying interest and institutional participation.
2. New 52-Week High Achieved
Price has breached the previous 52-week high, signaling bullish momentum and the potential start of a new price discovery phase. Historically, such breakouts often attract trend-following traders.
3. Golden Cross Formation (look at the red circle)
A Golden Cross has formed for the first time in a long period, where the 50-day EMA has crossed above the 200-day EMA — a classic long-term bullish confirmation. Notably, the last occurrence of this pattern was in July 2023 , making this the first reappearance in over two years, further reinforcing its significance as a potential turning point in market sentiment.
4. Dow Theory Alignment – Public Participation Phase
According to Dow Theory, this marks the second phase of a major uptrend — the Public Participation Phase — where broader market participants begin to enter following early accumulation by smart money. This phase typically sees strong price advances.
ENTRY PRICE : 28.00 - 30.00
FIRST TARGET : 35.00
SECOND TARGET : 42.00
SUPPORT : 25.00 (CUTLOSS below 25.00 on closing basis)
Note : This is related to point no 1. Markets have a tendency to "fall of their own weight." At bottoms, however, markets require a significant increase in buying pressure, reflected in greater volume, to launch a new bull market. A more technical way of looking at this difference is that a market can fall just from inertia. Lack of demand or buying interest on the part of traders is often enough to push a market lower; but a market does not go up on inertia. Prices only rise when demand exceeds supply and buyers are more aggressive than sellers.
Nasdaq
Breaking: TEN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:XHLD) Spike Over 100% TodayThe price of TEN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ NASDAQ:XHLD ) broke out of a falling wedge spiking over 100% today during Tuesday early market session.
With buying momentum increasing as seen by the RSI at 88, NASDAQ:XHLD might reclaim the $2 resistance in the short to long term.
In another news, TEN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ NASDAQ:XHLD ) recently announces a strategic agreement with V-Cube, Inc., its controlling stockholder and a leader in the global virtual events industry in Japan and Singapore.
TEN Holdings and V-Cube are unifying their respective technologies and expertise to deliver advanced communication and event technology tailored for the North American enterprise market, valued at USD 34.39 billion in 2024 (Grand View Research).
About XHLD
TEN Holdings, Inc. provides event planning, production, and broadcasting services in the United States. The company organize virtual, hybrid, and physical events, including conferences, marketing events, product launches, trainings, and investors and shareholder meetings. Its events are enabled by its Xyvid Pro Platform, an internet-based broadcast platform with interactive engagement tools designed to provide web broadcast audiences with a dynamic, interactive, and engaging virtual event experience.
COINBASE (COIN) – Watching for Pullback Entry Around $343Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN has surged nearly +20% since our previous update, powered by strength in the broader crypto sector. With price action now extended, we’re watching for a pullback opportunity around the $343 area — a previous zone of interest where buyers may step back in.
💡 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $343 (on pullback confirmation)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $360–$390
TP2: $415–$440
Stop Loss: $303 (below key support)
DXY Long-Term big surprise revealed by Gold! Hi Guys,
I've been doing some research on the DXY and Gold charts and I've been reading news headlines
For the past 20 years and trying to link it with both DXY and Gold charts and I've found out
Some interesting facts that literally flipped the market upside down.
So I pointed each even with the corresponding candle and I would love to know what do you guys
Think about this so feel free to comment and share your opinion on what's really going on behind
The scenes.
Red Alert !... ETH got rejected at the topHi guys,
If you zoom out of ETH you'll notice that its moving sideways on the Weekly/Monthly chart
Which can be bullish or bearish at the same time BUT recently we've seen the price gets rejected at the top of the sideways channel on three different monthly candles which is a red alert in my book.
Now I'm not saying that its going down a 100% but not breaking out of the channel is a very bad sign and could mean the signal for a major drop to the lows of the channel.
Not to mention the 4 years cycle of bitcoin is due and all realistic traders are expecting Bitcoin to drop to the previous all time high at 69000$ and if that happens all alt coins will go down too.
Crypto twitter is insanely bullish (very bad sign) and almost all big markets including US stock market and Gold are at all time high and extreamly over valued so don't listen to the greedy social media or the news and listen to reason and common sense here.
Risk management is advised so stay safe out there and let me know what do you guys think my this.
COIN | 200 SMA Confluence + Bullish Doji = High-Value Setup🎯 COIN: The 200 MA Heist — Dip Buyers Stacking Bags While Others Panic 💼🔥
📊 Asset Intelligence
Coinbase Global Inc (COIN) — NASDAQ
Strategy Classification: Swing/Day Trade Hybrid
Market Bias: Bullish Pullback Confirmation
Risk Profile: Calculated Aggression
🧠 Technical Thesis — Why This Setup Slaps
Listen up, Thief OG's 👀
COIN just pulled back to the 200 Simple Moving Average and did exactly what professional setups do — it respected support and reversed. We got a textbook Heikin Ashi reversal doji candle forming right at the MA, signaling buyer exhaustion turned into buyer dominance.
Translation for the streets: Big money stepped in. Retail panicked. We capitalize.
📈 What We're Seeing:
200 SMA holding like a vault door 🔐
Heikin Ashi doji = indecision flipped to bullish conviction
Volume profile showing accumulation, not distribution
Buyers got the juice to push this higher
This isn't hopium. This is structure meeting momentum at a critical support zone.
💰 The "Thief Strategy" Entry Playbook
We don't chase. We layer. We scale. We steal profits from emotional traders.
Instead of slapping market buy like a degen, we're using layered limit orders to build our position as price moves in our favor. Think of it like planting money traps on the way down.
🎯 Entry Layers (Limit Orders):
Layer 1: $330 💵
Layer 2: $340 💵
Layer 3: $350 💵
Layer 4: $360 💵
You can add more layers if you're feeling spicy 🌶️. The goal is to dollar-cost average into strength, not weakness. Let the market come to YOU.
Pro Tip: Not all layers need to fill. Sometimes you only catch 2-3. That's fine. Better to miss some entry than to get caught in a fake-out.
🛡️ Risk Management — Protect Ya Neck
Stop Loss: $310 🚨
Real talk, Thief OG's: This is MY stop based on MY risk tolerance. You are NOT me. You don't have my account size, my strategy, or my psychology.
Set your own stop based on:
How much you're willing to lose per trade
Your position size
Your personal pain threshold
If COIN breaks below $310, the thesis is invalidated. The 200 MA failed. Buyers lost control. We exit, regroup, and find the next heist. No ego. No revenge trading. Just discipline.
🎯 Target Acquisition — Where We Take the Bag
Primary Target: $430 💎
⚡⚠️ WARNING: Resistance Fortress Ahead
At $430, we're walking into a battlefield:
Historical resistance = sellers have limit orders stacked
Overbought territory = indicators flashing red
Trap zone activated = late buyers will get liquidated here
What smart money does: Lock profits. Don't marry the trade. Don't get greedy.
Potential scenarios:
🟢 Strong momentum? Trail your stop and let winners run
🟡 Consolidation at $420? Take 50-75% off the table
🔴 Rejection at $430? Exit immediately, don't hope
(Thief OG's — again, this is MY target. You might want to exit at $400 for quick profits. You might want to hold for $450. Your rules. Your capital. Your consequences.)
🔗 Correlated Assets — The Bigger Picture
Don't trade COIN blind. Context is king.
Watch These Tickers:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD & BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Correlation: STRONG
COIN is basically a leveraged play on crypto sentiment. Bitcoin pumps = COIN pumps harder. Bitcoin dumps = COIN dumps harder. Always check the crypto market before entering.
⛏️ NASDAQ:MARA & NASDAQ:RIOT
Correlation: HIGH
Fellow crypto-exposed stocks. If they're ripping, COIN usually follows. If they're bleeding, stay cautious.
💳 SET:SQ (Block Inc.)
Correlation: MODERATE
Fintech + crypto exposure. Similar institutional money flows. Good confirmation indicator.
💵 TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index)
Correlation: INVERSE
Strong dollar = crypto weakness = COIN weakness
Weak dollar = crypto strength = COIN strength
Simple math. Don't ignore macro.
🔑 Key Insight: If Bitcoin is fighting resistance at $70K while COIN is trying to break out, one of them is lying. Read the room.
📌 Technical Breakdown — The Charts Don't Lie
✅ 200 SMA Support: Holding firm — institutional support level
✅ Heikin Ashi Reversal: Doji + bullish follow-through = momentum shift confirmed
✅ Volume Analysis: Accumulation on dips, not capitulation
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio: Solid if stops are honored and targets are realistic
⚠️ Resistance at $430: Real, tested, and dangerous — respect it
⚠️ Crypto Market Dependency: If BTC drops 10%, COIN drops 15%. Stay alert.
📢 Thief OG Community Rules
Never risk more than you can afford to lose — period.
Position sizing > entry price — manage your risk first, profits second.
Stick to YOUR plan — my plan is mine. Yours is yours.
Take profits — unrealized gains aren't real until you close the trade.
No FOMO, no revenge trades — discipline beats emotion every time.
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#COIN #Coinbase #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #CryptoStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #PullbackSetup #HeikinAshi #200MA #NASDAQ #BullishSetup #LayeredEntry #RiskManagement #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #StockMarket #SwingTrader
NASDAQ Watching 24,975 for Fresh Bounce in Ongoing UptrendHey Traders,
In tomorrow’s trading session, we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around the 24,975 zone. NASDAQ remains in a broader uptrend and is currently undergoing a healthy correction, approaching the key 24,975 support and resistance area that aligns with the ascending trend structure.
If buyers step in at this level, we could see a continuation of the bullish momentum in line with the prevailing trend.
Trade safe,
Joe
Is Nasdaq Set for a Pullback? | Fibonacci Resistance Zone ahead!In this video I map out the idea of the Nasdaq being over extended and on route to approaching a key Fibonacci resistance level 27000 ,
This may set up a potential correction in the week ahead."
This is a counter-trend setup within a larger uptrend, so risk management is key. I'm not calling a top to the entire rally, but rather a healthy pullback to bring in new buyers."
I demonstrate how i see the price action moving forward over the course of the month ahead with valuable insights.
Tools used in this video Standard Fib , Fib Expansion, Fib extension + Anchored vwap and Volume profile and TPO chart
$CRML - Critical Metals - $16.08 Breakout | $26.19 RetestNASDAQ:CRML has been one of the most explosive rare-earth plays of 2025 — rallying from the single digits to a 52-week high of $34.39 before pulling back sharply to consolidate around the $13.64 support zone.
After cooling off from that massive run, price action has now begun compressing between $13.64 and $16.08, with early signs of base-building before another potential leg up.
🧩 Technical Outlook
Strong rally → deep correction → accumulation structure forming.
Support Levels: $13.64 (core zone), $10.01 (strong confluence), and $7.98 (long-term floor).
Resistance Zones: $19.25 → $22.07 → $26.19.
Channel projection shows potential for re-test of $26.19 by November if current momentum continues.
Higher timeframe targets extend to $30.09 and $34.39 in Q1 2026 if the bullish structure holds.
The setup favors accumulation entries below $16.08, with a short-term target to retest $22.07 and potentially $26.19 once momentum returns.
📰 Recent News & Fundamentals
Critical Metals shares have been volatile following major financing announcements:
📉 Announced offering of 18.03 million shares triggered a short-term selloff.
💰 Confirmed $50 million PIPE financing, strengthening capital for expansion.
🌍 Broader rare-earth momentum continues as China tightens export restrictions and JPMorgan initiates new investments into critical mineral supply chains.
Despite the correction, the sector tailwinds remain strong — and NASDAQ:CRML ’s European lithium and rare-earth projects (Tanbreez and Wolfsberg) position it strategically for the energy transition theme dominating the next decade.
📊 Sentiment Snapshot (from Schwab QORE Analytics)
Rating: F (Strongly Underperform) – percentile rank 100
26-week price change: +834%
Beta: 1.14
Sector: Materials / Diversified Metals & Mining
High volatility + weak sentiment ratings often precede large technical reversals — a setup that speculative traders should be watching closely.
💡 My Plan
I’m watching for clean accumulation below $16.08 for a potential re-entry swing trade.
Stop: under $13.50
Targets: $22.07 → $26.19 (swing)
Longer-term projections: $30 → $34 if the bullish trend resumes into 2026.
Nasdaq Enjoys CPI, But How Much More?Nasdaq still trending up, enjoying the today's lower than expected CPI data. If it ride towards the upper line of the channel, it likely to get rejected. I don't see any reason for an upside breakout at the moment. Setup is for today and Monday, I will deactivate my order after Monday.
Risk/Reward: 2.28
EUR/USD | Breaks Higher After CPI Data – Next Stop 1.17?By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after an initial rise, price corrected to 1.15765, then gained strong buying pressure and climbed up to 1.165 so far.
Following today’s CPI report , which came in lower than expected, the euro strengthened and the U .S. dollar weakened .
I expect EUR/USD to continue its upward move, with the next target at 1.16710 . If price breaks above this level, the following targets are 1.16815 and 1.16950.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NASDAQ Needs some sideways relief but remains bullish.Nasdaq (NDX) continues to extend the new Bullish Leg of its 5-month Channel Up, having turned the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its short-term Support, in line with both previous Bullish Legs.
We still expect at least a +9.59% rise, targeting 26300, to be completed before the pattern's new Higher High is priced but as the 4H RSI turned overbought (red circle), we expect the price to slow down a little, maybe seeking the 4H MA50 again as it happened in July.
In any event, the long-term trend remains bullish, until the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) breaks.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
ANNX 1D - pennant before the next impulse?On the daily chart, Annexon Inc. is forming a bullish pennant after a strong upward move — a classic continuation pattern often signaling the next wave of momentum.
The price remains above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with a golden cross confirming that buyers are still in control.
The key support zone is $2.70–2.90, while Fibonacci targets sit at $4.29 and $5.69 if momentum continues.
From a fundamental view , Annexon stays on investors’ radar as it develops treatments for neurodegenerative disorders - a risky but high-potential biotech niche.
Tactical plan: wait for a confirmed breakout from the pennant. If buyers push through, the uptrend could accelerate fast.
Remember - a golden cross doesn’t always mean golden profits, but it might this time.
US stocks hit record highs on better-than-expected CPI
The Sep US CPI indicated that tariff-driven inflation has not materialized, reinforcing the Fed’s dovish policy stance and driving US equities to new record highs. The prevailing view in the market remains with “Don’t fight the Fed.” The stock market’s impressive resilience, defying the typical seasonal weakness through Oct, reflects a dovish Fed stance amid the absence of recession signals.
The S&P; 500 remained within the ascending channel, reaching a new high at 6,800. Diverging bullish EMAs suggest that the bullish structure may extend further. If the index closes above 6,800, it could advance toward 6,900. Conversely, a drop below 6,800 may lead the price to retreat toward 6,700, which coincides with EMA21.
SPY and QQQ Macro outlook for 27 to 31 Oct 2025Macro map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025
Concentration of policy and inflation prints means policy expectations and real yields will drive the United States dollar, global equities, bitcoin, and gold. The hinge events are Wednesday FOMC, Thursday US GDP advance and German data, Friday US Core PCE and Chicago PMI. Secondary drivers are BoJ policy guidance and ECB tone, plus BoC.
Watch list
Real ten year yield and the DXY dollar index after FOMC and PCE
EUR front end versus USD front end after ECB and FOMC
VIX around the FOMC window and into PCE
US liquidity windows around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday
SPY and QQQ outlook for next week
Set up
US equities enter a policy and growth triad. Wednesday brings the FOMC decision and press conference. Thursday brings the first look at Q3 growth. Friday brings the price index that the Fed emphasizes. The path for real yields and the earnings tone are the first order drivers. Valuation sensitivity is higher in QQQ due to the weight of long duration cash flows. SPY has more cyclicals and defensives and therefore reacts more to growth beats or misses.
Baseline view
A patient Fed message combined with growth that is solid but not hot and inflation that continues to ease supports a grind higher. The market prefers falling real yields with inflation in check. A hawkish shift in the balance of risks, or a hot inflation print that lifts terminal pricing, pressures multiples and skews returns lower. If messages conflict, expect a whipsaw week with heavy rotation.
Scenarios and probabilities
Relief grind higher with QQQ leadership. Probability thirty eight. Triggers are a patient tone on Wednesday, a growth print that shows resilience without overheating, and Core PCE that validates disinflation. Breadth improves and volatility stays contained.
Air pocket lower. Probability thirty two. Triggers are a firmer Core PCE or a hawkish shift in the statement language that pushes real yields up. Valuation compression hits QQQ first and deepest. SPY holds better if staples and energy carry.
Two way chop with wide intraday bars. Probability thirty. Triggers are mixed messages across events and sectors. Expect quick moves around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday with mean reversion later in the day.
Key confirms
Watch the ten year real yield and the curve. A drop in real yields with stable breakevens favors a risk appetite day. A jump in real yields with a firm dollar and tight financial conditions favors de‑risking. Also watch VIX and the put call ratio into Wednesday afternoon to gauge dealer positioning.
Risk notes
Large cap earnings that land between FOMC and PCE can add idiosyncratic gaps. Respect prior week high and low as regime markers. If the market opens outside that range and fails to re enter on a retest, trend day odds increase.
Netflix (NFLX) | FVG + OTE Entry Loading | Multi-Confluence ICT Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is currently retracing into a high-probability multi-timeframe setup, aligning several ICT confluences that suggest a potential re-entry opportunity within a bullish continuation narrative.
Market Structure:
Price remains bullish overall, with clear higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). The recent decline represents a healthy retracement inside a developing higher-timeframe structure.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Alignment:
The current pullback has driven price into an overlapping Monthly and Weekly FVG, an area of institutional interest where price has previously shown strong reactions.
This zone often serves as a re-accumulation region before expansion.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE):
The FVG aligns directly within the 62%–79% Fibonacci retracement zone, known as the golden OTE zone.
This overlap of structural retracement and imbalance discount makes it a prime setup from a smart money perspective.
Liquidity & Target Zones:
- Discount Range: $944 – $1,033
- Primary Buyside Liquidity (BSL): $1,345
- Extended Target: $1,872 (100% expansion projection)
Each level aligns with liquidity pools and Fibonacci extension targets visible on higher timeframes.
Trade Bias:
Bullish, with focus on accumulation and confirmation within the OTE discount range.
A weekly bullish displacement or rejection candle within this zone would strengthen the case for long continuation plays.
Summary:
NFLX is presenting a multi-timeframe high-probability setup, where a clean retracement into an overlapping Monthly/Weekly FVG and OTE zone creates a strong case for re-entry.
If the discount zone holds, expect expansion toward buyside liquidity and potential continuation into 2026.
NASDAQ 100 (NQ1!): Bullish! Buy The Dips!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct. 27 - 31st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ closed last week at ATHs. I expect more of the same next week.
Look for valid dip buying opportunities, my friends.
If the market disrespects the +OB, then buys become invalidated.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Popcorn Ready? Netflix Layering Setup for Bold Traders🎬 Netflix Stock | Thief Trader’s Profit Realization Blueprint 🍿💰
🧭 Market Outlook
Netflix (NFLX) is lining up for a bullish playbook — and here’s how the Thief Strategy goes down. This setup is purely educational and shares how I personally view price behavior with a layering approach.
🎯 Trading Plan (Swing/Day Trade Idea)
Entry (Layering Style 🥷): Instead of one-shot entries, the thief strategy is about multiple buy-limit layers. Example blueprint:
👉 1160 | 1170 | 1180 | 1190 | 1200 (more can be added if liquidity allows)
Stop Loss 🛡️: Thief-style SL ~1120 (after breakout levels are confirmed).
⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s: Manage your own SL & adapt risk. My level is an example, not a fixed call.
Target 🎯: Eyeing the 1340 zone, where resistance + overbought vibes + possible trap signals align. The thief rule? Escape before the crowd escapes 🚪💨.
⚠️ Again — not a fixed TP. Manage your own exits depending on profit goals & risk appetite.
🕵️♂️ Thief Trader Philosophy
This is not financial advice. It’s a “steal-and-escape” blueprint to show how layered entries can help smooth entries across zones instead of one rigid buy point. Adapt, manage, and steal profits like a pro before the market takes them back.
🔗 Related Assets to Watch
NASDAQ:AMZN — often shows correlation in big tech swings 📦
NASDAQ:AAPL — mega-cap sentiment driver 🍏
NASDAQ:MSFT — growth stock momentum check 💻
NASDAQ:QQQ — ETF to track Nasdaq 100 flow 📊
AMEX:SPY — broad market sentiment monitor 🏦
📌 Key Correlation Notes
Big tech stocks often move in sympathy — when Nasdaq pumps, Netflix usually gets extra popcorn 🍿 fuel.
Watch volatility spikes in TVC:VIX , as they can trap over-leveraged longs & shorts.
Macro cues (USD strength, yields, Fed talk) can shift momentum across all growth stocks.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NFLX #Netflix #Stocks #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #Options #StockMarket #TradingView #ThiefTrader #Equities #QQQ #SPY #StockAnalysis
Elliott Waves Don’t Lie: NVDA’s Path to $26,000Summary: “Elliott Waves, Fibonacci, and Smart Money align perfectly — NVIDIA’s long-term chart points to an AI-powered Supercycle with massive upside." 💎📊
🚀 NVDA | The Supercycle of the AI Era! 💚
🌀 Elliott Wave Supercycle Breakdown
NVIDIA’s price action over the past two decades is a textbook example of a multi-decade Elliott Wave Supercycle — where technical , fundamentals , and Smart Money flows perfectly align to form a once-in-a-generation structure 🌎
Let’s break it down step-by-step 👇
Super Cycle Wave (1) — launched in the early 2000s, marking NVDA’s first growth phase during the birth of consumer GPUs 🎮.
Super Cycle Wave (2) — deep correction into 2002, retracing a 0.786 Fibonacci, cleansing early euphoria and creating the foundation for institutional accumulation 💼.
Then began the Super Cycle Wave (3) — the most powerful phase of all. Within it, we have distinct macro sub-waves:
1️⃣ Macro Wave (1) — ended in 2007 , aligning with the first institutional wave of adoption.
2️⃣ Macro Wave (2) — retraced 0.618 in 2008 , coinciding with the global financial crisis (perfect Smart Money shakeout).
3️⃣ Macro Wave (3) — the current dominant leg, fueled by exponential AI and data center growth . It’s extending toward the 3.618 Fibonacci extension (~$256) , confirming wave strength and institutional conviction.
4️⃣ Macro Wave (4) — expected between 2026–2027, likely retracing 0.236–0.382, a natural cooling period before the next breakout.
5️⃣ Macro Wave (5) — projected to rally toward 4.618 extension (~$2,500) , completing Super Cycle Wave (3) near 2029 🏁
From there, a larger Super Cycle Wave (4) correction could unfold before the final parabolic Super Cycle Wave (5) run to the 5.618 Fibonacci extension (~$26,000) — the climax of NVDA’s decades-long AI expansion super-trend 🌕
💰 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Perspective
The chart structure clearly shows Smart Money accumulation patterns in every correction phase:
Re-accumulation ranges appeared at every 0.618 retracement level 📊
Liquidity grabs below previous swing lows before strong impulsive moves ⚡
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) filled during corrections, creating perfect liquidity imbalances that institutional players exploit
Currently, NVDA trades near a premium zone of Macro Wave (3), but Smart Money will likely reaccumulate during the upcoming Macro Wave (4) discount phase (2026–2027).
Expect Order Block re-tests and liquidity sweeps around discounted Fibonacci retracement zones (0.236–0.382) before the next major rally 📉➡️📈
📈 Price Action Structure
NVDA’s macro structure remains strongly bullish:
The multi-decade trend has respected every higher high and higher low sequence since 2008.
Each impulse is followed by a healthy re-accumulation range, never breaking long-term structure.
Expect distribution near the $250–$300 (split-adjusted) region as Wave (3) matures, followed by a macro correction that offers generational entries for long-term investors 🧠
🔢 Fibonacci Confluence & Technical Harmony
Fibonacci has been the invisible hand guiding NVDA’s growth 👇
0.786 retracement (2002) → deep liquidity reset
0.618 retracement (2008) → institutional re-entry
3.618 extension (256) → current macro resistance target
4.618 extension (2500) → Super Cycle Wave (3) final target
5.618 extension (26K) → ultimate Super Cycle Wave (5) projection
Each impulse and retracement aligns perfectly with Fibonacci’s geometric rhythm , proving the power of confluence between time, price, and sentiment.
🧠 Fundamentals — The Energy Behind the Waves
Behind the technicals lies unmatched fundamental growth :
💾 AI & Data Centers: NVIDIA is the core infrastructure for modern AI compute and cloud training workloads.
🧩 CUDA Ecosystem: A software moat that ties developers and enterprises directly to NVIDIA’s architecture.
🌐 Omniverse & Robotics: Positioning NVDA as a leader in 3D simulation, robotics, and digital twins — future trillion-dollar markets.
⚙️ Strategic Partnerships: Expanding across hyperscalers, automotives, and enterprise AI.
Each innovation wave fuels a new Elliott Wave impulse , with the AI revolution now driving the strongest macro leg in NVDA’s history.
⚡ Macro Outlook & Timeline
✅ Now (2025): Completing Macro Wave (3) of Super Cycle (3) → heading toward $256 target
⚠️ 2026–2027: Macro Wave (4) correction to 0.236–0.382 (Smart Money entry)
🚀 2028–2029: Macro Wave (5) push → Super Cycle (3) peak near $2,500
🌊 2030–2032: Super Cycle (4) correction — consolidation phase
💎 2035–2040+: Super Cycle (5) → ultimate 5.618 target near $26K
💬 Final Thoughts
"Every correction is a setup for the next expansion. Smart Money buys fear — not euphoria."
NVIDIA is the heartbeat of the AI revolution , the core of data-driven computing , and a living Fibonacci sequence in motion.
As long as fundamentals stay aligned with the wave rhythm, NVDA’s Supercycle will continue to redefine what’s possible in long-term growth. 🌌
#NVDA #ElliottWaveAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciMagic #AIRevolution #StockMarket #Investing #TradingViewCommunity #TechSupercycle #NVDAtoTheMoon #LongTermInvesting
💬 Traders, analysts, and wave watchers — your insights matter!
Have you spotted NVDA’s next move? Drop your Elliott Wave counts, confirmations, or constructive critiques below 👇 Let’s discuss NVIDIA’s structural evolution, AI-driven Supercycle, and long-term growth potential together 🚀💚
Every comment adds perspective — let’s decode this massive wave as a community! 🌊📈
— Team FIBCOS ⚡💎
General Market OutlookHello, I want to talk about markets in general before the week start.
The Federal Reserve is trying to navigate with limited data. Recently, after Governor Waller used ADP data without authorization, the Fed lost access to ADP’s high-frequency employment data as well.
CPI and core CPI both came in at 3%, slightly below market expectations but in line with Cleveland Fed and Bloomberg models. With inflation not overheating, there is little reason for the Fed to delay rate cuts in its remaining two meetings this year, though these cuts are likely already priced in. The real focus will be on what FED will do in 2026.
This week brings meetings from the Fed, ECB, BOJ, and BOC, while the Trump–Xi talks will take center stage. For me, the most important event will be the US–China negotiations. China holds a structural advantage: its exports have remained resilient despite US tariffs, supported by rising trade with South America, Africa, the EU, and South Asia. Meanwhile, the US remains heavily dependent on China for rare earths, a situation unlikely to change soon. However, China’s top priority remains its economy, which should keep the door open for compromise and negotiations.
Also, keep an eye on the shutdown situation and upcoming earnings reports.
US bond yield is falling, now a battle around 4% is ongoing for 10-y yield. If it bounced from 3.85% trendline dollar might try to recover, but so far I don't see any reason for a dollar jump, rather the tight range between the trendline from 2011 and 100 resistance likely to continue.
EURUSD is trying to recover with slighlty bullish trend but this trend could turn into flag formation easily if dollar index to make a move towards 100. I expect EURUSD to continue recover with strong data from EU and weaker data from US. If shutdown extends further, both stock market and dollar might turn bearish.
There’s nothing new to add for USDJPY beyond the previous analysis. If the base case scenario unfolds, it will support the dollar index retesting its trendline in the coming weeks.
Nasdaq is still trending high with insane amount of AI investments and better than expected earnings. High valuations, shutdown and China fears are not in the spotlight yet. As long as Nasdaq trend channel continues, no reason to back out bullishness, but careful if it break because corrections often came very hard.
Crypto market is yet to recover after the massive sudden crash. Bitcoin is less effected, but still has a problem. If 114k regained, maybe signs of recovery will be more clear. But the danger is not over yet.
My base case for gold to hold above 4000 and recover towards 4250. 4160 is a key resistance this week. I expect gold is getting to a long term peak, likely to hit before the year end but still has some way to go. I will write about Silver's long term cycle in a couple of days so stay tuned for that.
BTC - Liquidity Dynamics leading to new HighsMarket Context
Bitcoin has shown a constructive reaction from the recent lows, printing a clean double bottom structure that suggests short-term demand entering the market. After a previous buy-side liquidity sweep and rejection, price has rebalanced and is now challenging a fair value gap (FVG) that previously served as resistance. This marks a key decision zone where the next directional move will unfold.
Fair Value Gaps & Structure
The FVG overhead has already acted as resistance, capping the first impulsive move from the lows. Should price retrace slightly to take out the remaining sell-side liquidity below the double bottom before re-engaging higher, it would confirm the area as a springboard for a bullish continuation. A clean reclaim and hold above the FVG zone would signal a shift in order flow favoring buyers.
Liquidity Dynamics
The current setup offers both sides of the market clear liquidity targets: sell-side liquidity resting under the double bottom and buy-side liquidity resting above the prior high. Smart money could engineer a sweep of the lower side first to accumulate before expansion, or alternatively, break directly through resistance to trigger a larger bullish leg.
Final Thoughts
The structure reflects a balanced but bullish-leaning scenario — a classic accumulation and breakout setup. A deeper retest to clear out lower liquidity would strengthen the foundation for continuation, while sustained strength above the FVG opens the door for a reaction toward new highs.
If this analysis aligned with your view, drop a like — do you think we clear the lows first, or head straight for a bullish breakout?






















