NAS100 Forecast & Projection📊 NAS100 Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉 (11th Sept 2025)
🕵️ Market Context
NAS100 closed at 24,096.
Global equities remain volatile due to inflation, Fed policy outlook, and tech earnings season.
Short-term sentiment: Neutral to Slightly Bullish.
Swing sentiment: Bullish while above 23,500 key support.
🧩 Technical Framework
Candlesticks: Bullish engulfing spotted on H4, suggesting buyers defend 23,800 zone.
Elliott Wave: Current move resembles Wave 3 extension with corrective pullbacks near 23,750–23,900.
Wyckoff: Distribution signs absent, market in late accumulation.
Gann Analysis: 24,200–24,250 forms a key resistance square.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo (H4/D1), bullish confirmation if 24,300 breaks.
Support/Resistance:
Major Support: 23,500 / 23,750
Major Resistance: 24,300 / 24,750
📈 Indicators Snapshot
RSI (H1): 58 → room to climb before overbought.
Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper band → momentum bullish, risk of overextension.
VWAP (D1): Holding above daily VWAP → bullish bias intraday.
MA Cross: 50 EMA > 200 EMA (Golden Cross) → swing uptrend intact.
⚡ Intraday Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,820 – 23,900 (pullback entry).
🎯 Targets: 24,150 / 24,300 / 24,450.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,700.
⚠️ Bear Trap Alert: A dip under 23,800 with quick rebound signals strong accumulation.
🌀 Swing Trading Levels & Strategy
🔑 Buy Zone: 23,500 – 23,700.
🎯 Medium-Term Targets: 24,600 / 25,000 / 25,500.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,300 (weekly close).
📌 If 24,750 breaks → bullish continuation toward 25,800.
❗ If 23,500 breaks → swing bias shifts bearish to 22,800.
📊 Pattern Watch
🦅 Head & Shoulders invalidated (bullish continuation favored).
🦋 Harmonic Bullish Gartley forming near 23,750 (PRZ zone).
🚨 Watch for Bull Trap above 24,300 → confirmation needed before chasing longs.
🧭 Final Outlook
Intraday Bias: Buy dips toward 23,820–23,900.
Swing Bias: Accumulate above 23,500 for 25,000+.
Market remains buy-the-dip mode while above 23,500.
Risk management 🔑: Keep SL tight as volatility persists.
💡 NAS100 traders should balance intraday momentum with swing accumulation zones. The broader structure favors upside continuation, but resistance at 24,300 must break cleanly for momentum to sustain.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
Nasdaq
Nasdaq Pulls Back After Friday’s Rally: Identifying Demand ZoneYesterday, the Nasdaq underwent a pullback following a robust bullish surge on Friday. During this correction, a fresh Daily Demand Zone emerged on the chart, signaling potential support levels. Traders are now eyeing this area as an opportunity to position for a possible new high, should the market retrace further today. The current outlook favors a long setup, with anticipation of a continued upward move contingent on the price respecting the identified demand zone.
✅ Please share your thoughts about NQ1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
NASDAQ | H2 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders! 👋
🧐 Market Overview:
CPI is out today — and it could be the spark the NASDAQ needs. Price is stalling at the previous all-time high, and that’s where I’m watching closely.
I’ve been tracking a double top on the daily for a while now, and today the H2 chart is starting to show the same structure. That kind of multi-timeframe alignment doesn’t happen often.
📊 Trade Plan:
I’ve entered a starter short on the daily structure. If the H2 confirms, I’ll scale in with a second position.
Risk/Reward:
Entry:
Stop Loss:
Take Profit 1 (50%):
Take Profit 2 (50%):
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Double tops work best when paired with other signals. In my system, I look for:
- RSI negative divergence
- Lower volume on the second top
- A confirmation candle close within my entry range
This reduces false signals and adds conviction.
🙏 Thanks for reading! Do you trade double tops?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
NASDAQ | Daily Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋
🧐 Market Overview:
I’ve opened a short on the NASDAQ based on a clear double top setup that formed yesterday. Several of my key variables aligned, giving this trade a high-probability edge:
Negative RSI divergence → showing weakening buying momentum
Lower volume on the second top → indicating exhaustion
Daily candle closure within threshold → confirming structure validity
📊 Trade Plan:
RR: 9.1
Entry: 23 931
Stop Loss: 23 178
Take Profit 1 (50%): 22 453
Take Profit 2 (50%): 21 969
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
When trading reversal patterns like double tops, I always wait for confirmation across multiple variables (momentum, volume, candle structure). This increases probability and reduces false entries.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you see this double top holding, or is there more upside left in the NASDAQ?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Friday Liquidity Sweep & Reversal Setup – NQNarrative:
Price action on NQ has swept the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) on the daily timeframe around 24,060 during Thursday’s NY session. After the sweep, price consolidated just below the high, suggesting the potential for a Friday Reversal, in line with ICT’s classic "Reversal Friday" concept.
Today (Friday), I am watching for a potential Judas Swing to the upside during the New York AM session, aiming to lure breakout buyers above yesterday’s highs.
Once that buy-side liquidity is taken, I’ll look for:
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) on the 5M or 3M chart.
Entry on a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or a refined Order Block.
Stop Loss just above the Friday high (above the sweep).
Target 1: Return to the weekly open area or 1H OB.
Target 2: 23,880–23,900 → previous BPR zone and discount level.
Confluences:
✅ Daily BSL swept.
✅ Asian MSS already occurred.
✅ Price is sitting inside premium & consolidating.
🔍 Watching for SMT divergence between NQ and ES (S&P) – if ES breaks high and NQ doesn’t → bearish confirmation.
Execution:
Will wait for price to spike above the current range (Judas), then confirm BOS/MSS and enter short on the retracement.
Multi-Asset Execution Chart Analysis & TradesAnalysis Date : September 11, 2025
Trading Analyst : Institutional Intelligence Framework
Methodology : Enhanced Dual Renko Chart System with Optimized Technical Indicators
Executive Summary
Execution chart analysis validates the exceptional institutional opportunities identified in our structure analysis. All three primary equity indices show perfect technical confirmation of institutional positioning with strong momentum indicators. Commodity and currency markets reveal significant technical conflicts requiring defensive positioning adjustments.
Enhanced Indicator Configuration
DMI/ADX Visual Standards :
ADX (Green) : Trend strength indicator (>25 = strong trend)
+DI (Blue) : Bullish directional movement
-DI (Red) : Bearish directional movement
Line Weight : 3pt for enhanced visibility
Dual Stochastics Configuration :
Tactical (5,3,3) : %K (Dark Blue), %D (Teal) - Short-term momentum
Strategic (50,3,3) : %K (Black), %D (Red Circles) - Medium-term context
Primary Opportunities - Technical Validation (75-85% Total Allocation)
1. DOW JONES (YM) - 30-35% ALLOCATION
Classification : OPTIMAL RISK/REWARD - Superior Technical Confirmation
YM Execution View:
Execution Signal Analysis :
DEMA Status : Bullish alignment confirmed (black above orange)
ADX : 47.74 (highest trend strength among all indices)
+DI/-DI Ratio : 2.69:1 bullish dominance
Momentum Quality : Exceptional - strongest ADX with optimal positioning
Stochastics : Tactical 98.86/84.24, Strategic 98.86/84.02 (peak momentum)
Technical Trade Setup :
Bullish Scenario (80% probability) :
Entry : /MYM at current levels 46,050 (optimal positioning confirmed)
Technical Edge : Strongest ADX + minimal extension risk
Stop Loss : 45,000 (2.3% risk - best among indices)
Target 1 : 47,000 (+2.1% - close 40% position)
Target 2 : 48,000 (+4.2% - close 30% position)
Trail Strategy : 150-point swing lows on remaining 30%
Consolidation Scenario (15% probability) :
Range : 45,500-46,500 around YTD POC consensus
Strategy : Accumulate on any dips to 45,700
Advantage : Minimal downside to institutional support
Risk Management : Optimal positioning within institutional zone
Bearish Scenario (5% probability) :
Trigger : Break below 45,000 (institutional consensus violation)
Action : Reduce position by 50%
Probability : Very low given YTD POC validation and technical strength
Re-entry : Require fresh institutional accumulation evidence
2. NASDAQ 100 (NQ) - 25-30% ALLOCATION
Classification : EXCEPTIONAL MOMENTUM - Exceptional Institutional Backing
NQ Execution View:
Execution Signal Analysis :
DEMA Status : Strong bullish alignment (black above orange)
ADX : 44.91 (exceptional trend strength)
+DI/-DI Ratio : 2.90:1 bullish dominance (highest among indices)
Momentum Quality : Exceptional directional bias
Stochastics : Tactical 88.27/80.21, Strategic 88.27/80.21 (strong sustainable)
Technical Trade Setup :
Bullish Scenario (75% probability) :
Entry : /MNQ at current levels or pullback to 23,700-23,800
Technical Edge : Highest +DI/-DI ratio with institutional backing
Stop Loss : 23,000 (4.3% risk)
Target 1 : 25,000 (+4.3% - close 50% position)
Target 2 : 25,500 (+6.1% - close 25% position)
Trail Strategy : 100-point swing lows on remaining 25%
Consolidation Scenario (20% probability) :
Range : 23,500-24,500 above institutional accumulation
Strategy : Scale into weakness, maintain core position
Management : Use tactical stochastics for entry timing
Support : 26.8:1 institutional backing provides confidence
Bearish Scenario (5% probability) :
Trigger : Break below 23,000 (Q3 POC violation)
Action : Exit all positions immediately
Reassessment : Wait for institutional re-accumulation
Probability : Very low given exceptional institutional support
3. S&P 500 (ES) - 20-25% ALLOCATION
Classification : SOLID CONFIRMATION - Strong Institutional Support
ES Execution View:
Execution Signal Analysis :
DEMA Status : Bullish alignment maintained (black above orange)
ADX : 41.32 (strong trend strength)
+DI/-DI Ratio : 1.74:1 bullish dominance
Momentum Quality : Solid institutional validation
Stochastics : Tactical 34.44/93.30, Strategic 98.26/95.30 (extreme overbought)
Technical Trade Setup :
Bullish Scenario (70% probability) :
Entry : /MES on any pullback to 6,450-6,500
Current Caution : Strategic stochastics extremely overbought
Stop Loss : 6,300 (3.8% risk)
Target 1 : 6,700 (+2.8% - close 50% position)
Target 2 : 6,800 (+4.4% - close 25% position)
Profit Management : Take profits on strength given overbought conditions
Consolidation Scenario (25% probability) :
Range : 6,400-6,600 around institutional levels
Strategy : Wait for tactical stochastics to reset before adding
Management : Reduce position size until momentum cools
Context : Strategic overbought suggests pause needed
Bearish Scenario (5% probability) :
Trigger : Break below 6,300 (institutional support failure)
Action : Systematic position reduction
Management : Tight stops given overbought technical readings
Re-entry : Wait for technical reset and institutional validation
Secondary Opportunities - Mixed Technical Signals (10-15% Total Allocation)
4. WTI CRUDE OIL (CL) - 8-12% ALLOCATION
Classification : INSTITUTIONAL CONFLICT - Defensive Positioning Required
CL Execution View:
Execution Signal Analysis :
DEMA Status : Bullish alignment (black above orange)
ADX : 42.19 (strong trend strength)
+DI/-DI Ratio : BEARISH 2.44:1 (-DI 42.10 vs +DI 17.86)
Critical Conflict : DEMA bullish vs DMI strongly bearish
Stochastics : Tactical 9.26/27.64, Strategic 27.64/33.61 (oversold setup)
Technical Trade Setup :
Bullish Scenario (45% probability) :
Entry Criteria : WAIT for +DI to cross above -DI for confirmation
Current Action : Reduce position size due to momentum conflict
Stop Loss : 61.50 (tight due to bearish momentum)
Target : 65.50 if technical alignment achieved
Risk Management : Maximum 1.5% account risk due to signal conflict
Neutral Scenario (35% probability) :
Range : 62.00-64.00 within institutional accumulation
Strategy : Maintain minimal defensive position
Monitoring : Daily +DI/-DI relationship for momentum shift
Institutional Support : Strong Q2 accumulation provides floor
Bearish Scenario (20% probability) :
Trigger : Break below 61.00 (institutional support failure)
Action : Complete position liquidation
Reason : Bearish momentum confirming institutional breakdown
Re-entry : 58.00 area (Q2 POC support) with technical confirmation
High-Risk Positions - Technical Deterioration (0-8% Total Allocation)
5. NATURAL GAS (NG) - 3-5% ALLOCATION
Classification : HIGH RISK - Institutional Disengagement Confirmed
NG Execution View:
Execution Signal Analysis :
DEMA Status : Bearish alignment (black below orange)
ADX : 42.79 (strong trend - bearish direction)
+DI/-DI Ratio : EXTREME BEARISH 6.30:1 (-DI 53.25 vs +DI 8.45)
Technical Reality : All major indicators bearishly aligned
Stochastics : Tactical 0.00/6.70 (maximum oversold), Strategic 51.98/65.70
Technical Trade Setup :
Bullish Scenario (20% probability) :
Entry Criteria : AVOID - all technical signals bearish
Required Confirmation : DEMA bullish cross + DMI reversal + institutional re-engagement
Current Action : Complete avoidance recommended
Speculative Only : Maximum 1% account risk if attempting reversal play
Neutral Scenario (30% probability) :
Range : 2.80-3.20 with declining institutional participation
Strategy : Avoid new positions, monitor for institutional return
Risk : 65% volume decline from Q1 peak activity
Liquidity : /MNG insufficient volume (13,991) for meaningful sizing
Bearish Scenario (50% probability) :
Continuation : Further decline toward 2.50-2.70 historical lows
Institutional Reality : Smart money disengagement pattern
Technical Confirmation : 6.30:1 bearish momentum supports decline
Strategy : Complete avoidance until institutional re-engagement
6. EURO FUTURES (6E) - 2-3% ALLOCATION
Classification : DANGEROUS EXTENSION - Technical Breakdown Confirmed
6E Execution View:
Execution Signal Analysis :
DEMA Status : Bearish crossover (black below orange)
ADX : 29.21 (moderate trend strength)
+DI/-DI Ratio : BEARISH 1.19:1 (-DI 29.21 vs +DI 24.49)
Extension Risk : 12.1% above YTD POC institutional consensus
Stochastics : Tactical 23.24/66.57, Strategic 74.26/90.89 (extremely overbought)
Technical Trade Setup :
Bullish Scenario (15% probability) :
Entry : AVOID - dangerous extension with technical breakdown
Existing Positions : Immediate systematic profit-taking required
Risk : Overextension + bearish technical = correction imminent
Management : Emergency profit-taking protocols engaged
Neutral Scenario (25% probability) :
Range : 1.1650-1.1800 at dangerous extension levels
Strategy : Avoid range trading given extension risk
Risk Assessment : All signals point to mean reversion
Professional Response : Defensive positioning only
Bearish Scenario (60% probability) :
Target : Return to YTD POC 1.0525 (-12.1% correction)
Technical Trigger : DEMA bearish cross + momentum deterioration
Strategy : Short opportunities on any strength above 1.1780
Entry : /M6E shorts with tight stops above 1.1820
Risk Control : Maximum 1% account risk given extension
7. GOLD FUTURES (GC) - 0% ALLOCATION
Classification : LIQUIDATION - High Risk Territory
GC Execution View:
Execution Signal Analysis :
DEMA Status : Bearish crossover from distribution highs
ADX : 34.91 (declining trend strength)
+DI/-DI Ratio : BEARISH 1.31:1 (-DI 34.91 vs +DI 26.64)
Extension Risk : 12.2%+ beyond ALL institutional positioning
Stochastics : Tactical 11.25/30.89, Strategic 89.46/93.86 (maximum overbought)
Technical Trade Setup :
Emergency Liquidation Protocol :
Immediate Action : Complete liquidation using market orders if necessary
Rationale : Void territory + technical breakdown = catastrophic risk
No Stops : Emergency exit protocols - immediate execution required
Reallocation : Proceeds to YM, NQ, ES primary opportunities immediately
Short Opportunity (High Probability) :
Strategy : /MGC shorts on any rallies above 2,690
Target : 2,380-2,400 (return to institutional zones)
Stop : 2,720 (tight risk control)
Correction Magnitude : 12-15% decline expected
Risk : Maximum 1% account risk for speculative short
Portfolio Risk Management Protocols
Position Sizing Framework
Maximum Risk Per Trade : 2% account value (1.5% for conflicted signals)
Portfolio Heat Limit : 15% total risk across all positions
Correlation Controls : Maximum 85% equity exposure given technical alignment
Cash Management : 5-10% opportunity fund for technical setups
Technical Signal Hierarchy
Primary Confirmation : DEMA + DMI + ADX alignment required
Entry Timing : Stochastics for tactical positioning optimization
Risk Management : Institutional levels for strategic stop placement
Profit Taking : Systematic protocol at 2:1, 3:1, trail remainder
Market Scenario Analysis
Scenario A: Continued Equity Strength (70% probability)
Characteristics : Technical momentum sustains institutional accumulation
Winners : YM, NQ, ES (maximize allocation to 85%)
Losers : GC, 6E (extension corrections accelerate)
Strategy : Aggressive equity positioning, complete defensive liquidation
Technical Catalyst : ADX strength maintenance + DEMA alignment
Scenario B: Technical Consolidation (25% probability)
Characteristics : Momentum indicators cool, range-bound trading
Management : Reduce position sizes, use stochastics for timing
Opportunity : Accumulate on pullbacks to institutional levels
Risk Control : Tighter stops, faster profit-taking on strength
Technical Signal : ADX decline below 35, stochastics reset
Scenario C: Technical Breakdown (5% probability)
Trigger : DEMA bearish crosses on primary indices
Action : Emergency position reduction protocols
Management : Systematic liquidation, increase cash to 25%+
Re-entry : Wait for institutional level retests with technical confirmation
Probability : Very low given exceptional institutional backing
Weekly Monitoring Checklist
Daily Technical Assessment
DEMA relationship maintenance across all positions
DMI momentum quality and directional bias confirmation
Stochastics positioning for entry/exit timing optimization
ADX strength validation for trend continuation
Risk Management Verification
Position sizing within 2% account risk per trade
Portfolio heat below 15% total risk exposure
Stop loss proximity to institutional support levels
Profit-taking discipline at predetermined targets
Technical Signal Evolution
Cross-asset momentum convergence/divergence analysis
Stochastics reset opportunities for position optimization
DEMA separation quality for trend strength assessment
Institutional level respect vs violation monitoring
Key Success Factors
Technical Execution Excellence
Signal Clarity : Enhanced visual indicators enable precise timing
Risk Discipline : Systematic adherence to technical signal hierarchy
Momentum Quality : ADX + DMI confirmation prevents false signals
Entry Optimization : Dual stochastics for tactical timing precision
Institutional Integration
Strategic Context : Structure charts provide positioning intelligence
Tactical Timing : Execution charts optimize entry/exit precision
Risk Management : Institutional levels anchor stop placement
Professional Standards : Both frameworks align for optimal decisions
Framework Validation Results
Primary Opportunities : Perfect technical confirmation of institutional intelligence
Risk Identification : Technical signals validate structure chart warnings
Professional Execution : Enhanced indicators enable institutional-grade precision
Capital Preservation : Systematic risk management across all timeframes
Risk Disclaimer : All trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Technical analysis and institutional intelligence frameworks are tools for risk assessment and should not be considered guaranteed predictors of future price movement. Position sizing and risk management protocols must be adjusted based on individual account size, risk tolerance, and market conditions.
Document Status : Active execution framework requiring daily technical monitoring and weekly risk assessment updates. Integration with structure analysis mandatory for optimal decision-making.
Framework Evolution : Enhanced visual indicators and systematic technical analysis represent significant advancement in execution precision. Continuous optimization based on market regime changes and signal quality assessment required.
S&P500 | Daily rising wedge | GTradingMethodGood morning fellow traders,
S&P price action is tightening inside a rising wedge on the daily chart, with volume steadily dropping.
Rising wedges often signal potential reversals, but with CPI on deck, volatility could go either way.
My guess, price tests top of rising wedge, finds resistance and down we go - a long way down.
Keen to hear your thoughts on whether CPI is going to be a catalyst for a breakout or breakdown?
Exxon Mobil Stock Outlook: Fundamentals + Technicals Aligned📌 Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) — Bullish Master Plan (Swing / Scalping Trade)
🛠️ Plan Setup (Thief Strategy)
Bias: Bullish — Triangular Moving Average Pullback 📈
Entry: Multiple layered limit orders at 🔹 $110.00 🔹 $111.00 🔹 $112.00 (You can adjust layers based on your own strategy).
Stop Loss (Protective Layer): $108.00 (adjust to your own risk preference).
Target Zone: Around $118.00 (key resistance area).
⚠️ Note: These levels are not financial advice. Manage risk carefully and adjust according to your own strategy.
❓ Why This Plan?
This Thief Plan Strategy uses layered limit orders for flexible entries. It combines technical pullback signals with fundamental, macro, sentiment, and fear/greed insights to build a confluence-based trade idea.
📊 Stock Price Overview
Daily Change: -0.20% (from $112.50 previous close)
1-Month Trend: +5.66% (from $106.27 on Aug 12)
1-Year Trend: -4.21% (from $117.22 in Sep 2024)
Year-to-Date: +2.26% (from $109.57 in 2024)
😊 Investor Sentiment
Retail Investors: 50.76% bullish 😄
Institutional Investors: 47.25% bearish 😕
Overall Mood: Mixed ⚖️
😨 Fear & Greed Index
Current Level: 39 (Fear)
Interpretation: Cautious tone, may signal undervaluation.
📈 Fundamental Score (7.55/10) ✅
Strong revenue: $340.57B in 2024 (+1.16% YoY) 💰
Stable dividend: $0.99/share quarterly 🎉
Weaknesses: Net profit -6.47% in 2024, higher operating costs 📉
🌍 Macro Score (6.8/10) 🌎
Oil demand projected to rise 20% by 2050 🛢️
Geopolitical risks support oil prices 🔥
OPEC+ output hike could moderate momentum 📉
🐂🐻 Market Outlook
Consensus: Neutral → Mildly Bullish ⚖️
Analyst Ratings: Moderate Buy (12 Buy, 7 Hold, 0 Sell)
Key Drivers: Stable fundamentals + oil price volatility = balanced setup.
🔑 Takeaway
Exxon Mobil (XOM) offers a layered-entry bullish opportunity with mixed sentiment but strong long-term fundamentals.
Fear-dominated mood may provide contrarian opportunities.
Keep an eye on oil prices & geopolitics for momentum triggers.
Layering strategy provides flexibility across multiple levels. 🚀
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
Chevron Corporation (CVX): Another oil major with similar exposure to crude prices. 🛢️
United States Oil Fund (USO): Tracks WTI crude oil prices, a key driver for XOM. 📈
Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE): Broad energy sector ETF for context. 💡
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#XOM #ExxonMobil #EnergyStocks #SwingTrade #Scalping #StockMarket #Oil #Fundamentals #TechnicalAnalysis #Macro #FearGreedIndex #TradingStrategy #LayeredEntry #StockIdeas
NAS100 Trend Analysis: From Higher Highs to a Potential Shift📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Analysis 📊
Someone recently asked me to cover the NAS100 🤔 as price action can look a little confusing right now. On the 4H chart ⏰, we’ve been trending strongly 🟢📈 throughout the week. However, as we head into the end of the week 📅, things are starting to shift.
Zooming into the 30M timeframe 🔍, price action is showing early signs of weakness ⚠️. We’ve had a high, then a higher high ⬆️, and now a lower high 🔽 — instead of a continuation of higher highs.
In the video, we take a deep dive 🎥 into market structure 🏗️, price action 💡, and the trend 📊, highlighting what to watch out for as institutions and big players wind up or unwind positions 💼 into the week’s close.
💬 Your thoughts and comments are welcome!
⚠️ This is educational only and not financial advice. 📚
Nasdaq 100 Eyes New ATH if CPI Undershoots ExpectationsUSNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq will trade under CPI pressure today, with volatility expected around the release.
📉 Bearish scenario: While below 23,870, momentum favors a move toward 23,695, with further downside risk to 23,510 → 23,280.
📈 Bullish scenario: A reversal and stabilization above 23,870–23,940 would open the path toward 24,090 and a new ATH near 24,240.
⚠️ CPI impact:
Below 2.9% → supports bullish continuation for indices.
Above 2.9% → likely triggers bearish momentum.
Key Levels
Pivot: 23,870
Resistance: 24,090 – 24,240
Support: 23,695 – 23,510 – 23,280
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) – Prepping for Liftoff?Analysis Overview:
The chart suggests that SOFI may be setting up for a major bullish reversal, but confirmation is still needed. Let’s break it down:
Key Bullish Factors:
✅ Optimal Trade Entry (OTE)
Price is currently sitting at an OTE level, a premium zone for long setups often used by smart money. These zones historically mark powerful reversal points.
✅ Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) Respected
The stock tapped into a monthly FVG—a high-probability demand zone—suggesting institutional interest. A break and close above this zone would strengthen the bullish case significantly.
✅ 30 Moving Average (MA) as Confirmation
Price is still below the 30MA. A clear break and close above the 30MA would serve as the first strong confirmation that buyers are regaining control.
✅ Massive Upside Potential
If this plays out, the first target is the previous buy-side liquidity at $18.33, and if momentum sustains, we could even see a long-term move toward the all-time high at $28.54—a potential 228% gain from current levels.
What We Want to See Before Full Confidence:
🔹 Price to break and close above the 30MA
🔹 Clear displacement through the Monthly FVG
🔹 Sustained bullish volume stepping in
Conclusion:
SOFI could be gearing up for a powerful upside run, but let the market confirm it. Watch the 30MA and how price behaves around the FVG. If those get respected and price pushes higher—this could be a sleeper play to watch in 2025.
🧠 As always... DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
CoreWeave – Golden Zone Setup with FVG ConfluencePrice action on CoreWeave (CRVW) has delivered exactly what high-probability ICT setups are built on. After the strong bullish expansion post-IPO, price retraced cleanly into the golden Fibonacci zone (62%–79%), aligning perfectly with a higher-timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG).
This retracement holds confluence from multiple PD arrays:
- Golden Zone Respect → Buyers stepped in right at equilibrium levels, where institutional order flow often reloads.
- Weekly FVG → The retracement filled imbalance left on the weekly expansion leg, strengthening the bullish narrative.
- Volume Profile → The drop into this zone occurred on decreasing sell volume, suggesting sellers are exhausted while buyers accumulate.
If price continues to hold above this golden zone/FVG region, the bias remains to the upside with immediate targets at:
- $147 (Weekly Buyside Liquidity)
- $185 (Above Prior Weekly Highs)
- $198–200 (FVG Fill & Structural Target)
Ultimately, a full bullish expansion could send CoreWeave towards $360 (778% projection) in the long term if liquidity pools above are targeted. DYOR.
Can COIN's $330 Breakout Reach $380? ~ Tactical Entry Plan📈 COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) - Money Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚨 Ready to execute the ultimate heist on COIN? This Money Heist Plan uses the Thief Strategy, a layered limit order approach to catch the breakout at $330.00 ⚡. Below, I've outlined the setup, technicals, fundamentals, and macro insights to help you navigate this trade like a pro. Set your alarms, plan your escape, and let’s dive into the details! 🔒
🛠️ Trade Setup: The Thief Strategy
The Thief Strategy is a tactical approach using multiple limit order layers to enter the trade post-breakout, maximizing flexibility and precision. Here’s how to execute it:
Asset: COINBASE GLOBAL, INC. (COIN) 💰
Entry Trigger: Breakout above $330.00 ⚡
Set a price alert on TradingView to catch the breakout in real-time! 🔔
Layered Entries (Thief Style): Place multiple buy limit orders to scale in:
$310.00
$315.00
$320.00
$325.00
$330.00
Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and strategy. Confirm entries only after the breakout at $330.00! ✅
Stop Loss (SL): Place at $295.00 post-breakout 🛑
Note: Adjust SL based on your risk management. The Thief Strategy is flexible—manage risk at your discretion, dear Traders (Thief OGs)! 😎
Take Profit (TP): Target $380.00 🎯
Resistance and overbought levels signal a potential police barricade 🚔. Escape with profits before the trap! Adjust TP based on your strategy.
Disclaimer: TP is not fixed—take profits at your own risk and preference.
📊 Why This Plan? Technical & Fundamental Breakdown
🔍 Technical Analysis: The Thief’s Blueprint
Breakout Catalyst: COIN is testing the $330.00 resistance. A confirmed breakout signals strong bullish momentum 📈.
Thief Strategy Advantage: Layered entries reduce risk of false breakouts and allow scaling into the move.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $295.00 (SL zone)
Resistance/Target: $380.00 (overbought zone)
Setup Confirmation: Use volume spikes and RSI for breakout confirmation. Set TradingView alerts to stay sharp! 🔔
📉 Fundamental & Macro Insights
Market Cap: $81.47B
PE Ratio (TTM): 30.52 (above industry avg., signaling high valuation)
EPS (TTM): $10.39
Revenue Growth (YoY): +12.36% (2025 est.) 💪
Profit Margin: 42.67% 🔥
Cash Reserves: $7.54B (strong balance sheet)
Risks:
Q2 profit drop to $33.2M vs. $294.4M YoY 📉
High P/E (30.71) and Price/Sales (12.61) raise valuation concerns
Macro Drivers:
Genius Act: Boosted crypto optimism 🚀
Crypto Market Trends: Bitcoin’s record highs in July 2025 fuel COIN’s upside potential
😰 Fear & Greed Index
Current Sentiment: Neutral to Greedy (Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 0-100)
Trend: Mixed emotions due to crypto volatility and regulatory developments
Takeaway: Greed supports breakout potential, but stay cautious of volatility spikes.
🧠 Investor Sentiment
Retail Traders: Cautiously optimistic 😊, holding for long-term crypto growth but cautious of short-term volatility.
Institutional Traders: Mixed 🤔—some see overvaluation, others bet on crypto adoption and regulatory clarity.
🐂 Bullish vs. Bearish Outlook
Bullish Score: 60% 🐂
Why? Strong revenue growth (+13.72% YoY est. for 2026), crypto adoption, and institutional interest.
Bearish Risks: 40% 🐻
Why? Profit volatility, high valuation, and crypto market dependence.
Key Watch: Q3 earnings (Sep 2025) and crypto market trends.
💡 Why Trade COIN Now?
Short-Term: Neutral to slightly bearish due to profit concerns, but the $330.00 breakout could spark a quick swing/day trade.
Long-Term: Bullish on COIN’s role in crypto infrastructure and regulatory tailwinds.
Thief Strategy Edge: Layered entries and disciplined risk management make this setup ideal for volatile markets.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (USD)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : Bitcoin’s momentum drives COIN’s price action.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD : Ethereum’s performance impacts COIN’s trading volume.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD : Watch for altcoin rallies tied to regulatory news.
AMEX:SPY : Broader market trends influence COIN’s beta (3.69).
📅 Market Data Snapshot (10 Sep 2025)
Previous Close: $318.78
Day’s Range: $315.88 - $328.67
52-Week Range: $142.58 - $444.65
Avg. Volume: 13.43M shares
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#TradingView #COIN #SwingTrading #DayTrading #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ThiefStrategy #MoneyHeist
I am buying AMAZONI am buying AMAZON
Amazon's stock lost over 10% last week, marking a significant decline within just one week.
I will start buying using dollar cost averaging (DCA) with $240 as my long-term to mid-term target.
I will hold
Please like, share, comment and follow.
I look forward to connecting with you
NVIDIA: Rally Stalling?After Nvidia initially drew closer to our beige Target Zone between $150.09 and $139.58, the stock was recently pushed higher once again. Therefore, we still see a 40% chance that a new high for beige wave alt.III could emerge above resistance at $184.11. However, our primary view is that price has already entered wave IV, which should extend downward into the aforementioned beige zone. Since we expect a strong rally during wave V, this price range presents an attractive entry point for long positions, with a stop that can be set 1% below the lower boundary of the zone. Looking ahead, beige wave V should extend up to the blue Target Zone between $227.38 and $260.60, where it should complete the larger waves (V) in blue and in lime green.
BTC - Are the bulls looking for a liquidity grab?Market Context
Bitcoin is holding strong after bouncing from a higher support zone and is now pressing into an area packed with liquidity. The recent bullish price action has carved out multiple fair value gaps on the way up, each serving as confirmation of demand and strengthening the bullish structure. Above current price lies a major cluster of buy-side liquidity — a magnet for price.
Fair Value Gaps & Confirmations
On the way up, price created several bullish fair value gaps that have each been respected as support. The first, second, and now third retests into these imbalances show that demand continues to step in, absorbing supply and building pressure upward. Adding to that, a bullish inversion fair value gap (IFVG) has formed, giving extra confirmation that buyers are in control.
Liquidity Target Above
The most obvious draw for price is the heavy buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. With so many stops positioned there, the market is incentivized to push higher and sweep that zone. The path toward it could involve another retest into one of the fair value gaps below before expansion takes place, or a direct continuation straight into the liquidity pocket.
Final Thoughts
This structure is showing textbook bullish strength: stacked fair value gaps, IFVG confirmation, and a clear liquidity pool overhead. Unless the market breaks back below the deeper support zone, the expectation remains a run into buy-side liquidity.
If this breakdown sharpened your view, a like is appreciated — and I’d love to hear from you: do you expect a retest first, or do we shoot straight into liquidity?
Gold | H2 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋
🧐 Market Overview:
I’ll be honest — I’m feeling a little hesitant about entering another Gold trade. The last few setups have gone against my system more than I would like. But trading is always a game of probability — clusters of losses are part of the process.
The key is staying disciplined. Over the long run, probability is in my favour, and that’s why I have to take this trade. My system is flagging a potential double top on the H2 chart, and the so far setup aligns with my rules.
Some of the variables I look for:
- Negative rsi divergence
- decreasing volume on the second top
- Need candle to close in range to take the trade
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.7
Entry: 3666
Stop Loss: 3689
Take Profit 1 (50%): 3592
Take Profit 2 (50%): 3565
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Even the best systems go through losing streaks. The edge comes not from avoiding them, but from executing consistently and letting probability work itself out over time.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me for more setups and share your thoughts — will this H2 double top play out, or does Gold still have momentum to push higher?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
S&P | 30min Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋
🧐 Market Overview:
The S&P has been pushing into new highs, but a potential double top is forming right at diagonal resistance. This is a key level for me — the confluence of structure and resistance makes this an area worth watching closely.
If the double top holds, price might first deviate through my entry range and then retest the diagonal resistance. For me to take a short, I’ll be looking for a 30-minute candle close back within the range as confirmation.
📊 Trade Plan:
RR: 3.5
Entry:6 537.4
Stop Loss: 6 543.8
Take Profit 1 (50%): 6 515
Take Profit 2 (50%): 6 511
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
When trading double tops, I always wait for confirmation (like a close back within range). It reduces false entries and adds probability to the trade.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you think this double top will hold, or will the S&P push through resistance to fresh highs?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Gold | H1 Head and Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋
We’re finally getting a clean pattern to short Gold on.
🧐 Market Overview:
The chart is showing signs of exhaustion. We already have negative RSI divergence and decreasing volume on the right shoulder — both pointing to weakening buying momentum. I’m still waiting for confirmation before fully committing, but the setup is looking solid.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 4.0
Entry: 3640.77
Stop Loss: 3652.5
Take Profit 1 (50%): 3602.4
Take Profit 2 (50%): 3581.5
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
When trading reversal patterns like head & shoulders, volume is key. A drop in volume on the right shoulder often strengthens the case for a potential move lower.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Make sure to follow me to catch the next setup and let me know what you think — will this H&S confirm, or does Gold still have room to push higher?
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.