NAS100 Overextended: Support or Further Downside Ahead?The NAS100 is currently overextended following Friday’s strong rally. From a technical perspective, I’m anticipating a potential retracement toward equilibrium, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci level of the prior price swing. This zone will be key in determining whether price establishes support and resumes its bullish continuation, or if a breakdown occurs that could signal further downside risk. (Not financial advice.)
Nasdaq
Nasdaq - Intraday Setup & Potential TradePrice was not abel to trade out of the white forks U-MLH and got constantly rejected.
It cracked the little support and fell down, but missed the white Centerline, creating a HAGOPIAN.
Then price traded outside of the white fork, following a textbook test/retest at the white U-MLH and found support.
The yellow fork points upwards, showing us the most probable path of price.
Going long near the white U-MLH gives us several potential targets:
1. the orange Centerline
2 the yellow Centerline
3. the HAGOPIAN target line.
4. the orange U-MLH
Stops would be below the last red bars low, because this, as of the time of writing, is the best structural level to hide behind.
I'm off to the mountains, have a happy trading day!
Insider: ASA Gold and Precious Metals LimitedNYSE:ASA #ASA — ASA Gold and Precious Metals Ltd | Financial | Closed-End Fund - Equity | USA | NYSE | August 25, 2025.
Insider Purchase and Company Overview
Recent insider filings for ASA Gold and Precious Metals Limited (NYSE: ASA), a closed-end investment fund focused on companies engaged in the exploration, mining, or processing of gold and other precious metals, reveal aggressive accumulation by major shareholder Saba Capital Management, L.P. As a 10% owner, Saba executed two notable purchases in late August 2025: on August 21, 2025, acquiring 6,710 shares at $35.05 per share for a total value of $231,380, and on August 22, 2025, adding 4,632 shares at $35.97 per share for $166,181.
These transactions, disclosed via SEC Form 4 on August 25, 2025, boosted Saba's total holdings to 4,077,634 shares, representing a significant stake in the fund. This activity is part of a broader pattern of buying by Saba throughout August 2025, including larger acquisitions such as 9,943 shares on August 19 at $33.99, 18,310 shares on August 15 at $34.24, 8,310 shares on August 14 at $33.89, 1,836 shares on August 13 at $35.11, 354,169 shares on August 12 at $35.39, and a substantial buy on August 11 valued at approximately $11.4 million at $35.00 per share.
Saba Capital, led by activist investor Boaz Weinstein, has been increasing its position amid an ongoing proxy battle and governance disputes with ASA's board, signaling strong conviction in the fund's undervaluation relative to its net asset value (NAV) and the bullish outlook for precious metals. No other significant insider purchases from executives or directors were reported in August 2025, but institutional interest is evident, with Sprott Inc. maintaining a $8.45 million stake as of recent filings.
➖ www.nasdaq.com
➖ www.marketbeat.com
News Analysis
August 2025 news for ASA has been dominated by governance changes and activist developments. On August 22, 2025, the company announced the resignation of directors William Donovan and Mary Joan Hoene, alongside the appointment of Karen Caldwell to the board—a move that may reflect ongoing pressure from Saba Capital to refresh leadership and address the fund's persistent discount to NAV (historically trading at 10-20% below its underlying assets).
Earlier in the month, ASA filed an 8-K on August 7, 2025, likely related to operational updates, and released its August Gold Chart Book on August 1, highlighting positive trends in gold mining equities amid rising metal prices. Saba's activism, which includes a dropped lawsuit in July 2025 over expired anti-takeover measures (poison pills) and ongoing proxy proposals to expand the board, underscores their push for value unlocking, such as potential conversions or mergers.
No other major insiders or traders reported buys in August, but Saba's consistent accumulation (totaling over $20 million in value across the month) positions them as the dominant force, with holdings now exceeding 4 million shares. This activist involvement could catalyze premium narrowing or strategic actions, boosting shareholder value.
Charts:
• (1D)
• (3D)
SEC From 4:
www.sec.gov
Forecast:
Replicating Saba's recent buys at an average entry of ~$35.50 (blending the August 21-22 transactions), the setup offers solid upside potential in a precious metals bull market, supported by technical strength and activist catalysts. I estimate a 15-30% growth potential over the next 3-6 months, assuming gold prices remain elevated above $3,364/oz and Saba's activism yields positive outcomes like board expansions or discount-narrowing measures.
Entry Price: $35.50. (current/insider level).
Recommended Exit Targets:
➖ Conservative Target 1: $40.00 (13% profit, +$4.50/share)
➖ Moderate Target 2: $42.00 (18% profit, +$6.50/share)
➖ Aggressive Target 3: $45.00 (27% profit, +$9.50/share)
Stop-Loss: $32.00 (10% downside risk, -$3.50/share) – Below 20-day SMA to guard against pullbacks.
Overall Potential: 15-30% growth, with a risk-reward ratio of ~1:2 at the moderate target.
Risks include gold price volatility, failed activism (e.g., prolonged proxy fights), or broader market corrections in commodities. Position sizing should be 1-3% of portfolio given the fund's sensitivity to metal prices.
S&P (CASH500) | 30min Inverse Head & Shoulders | GTradingMethodHello Traders.
Welcome to today’s trade idea by GTradingMethod.
🧐 Market Overview:
Following Friday’s sharp rally after Jackson Hole, the S&P 500 may be forming a bull flag. If confirmed, this setup could drive an equal measured move higher, with the inverse head & shoulders pattern acting as a potential breakout structure.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 3.6
Entry: 6460.1
Stop Loss: 6453.8
Take Profit 1 (50%): 6481
Take Profit 2 (50%): 6489
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Always wait for confirmation of breakout patterns to avoid false moves.
📌 Please note:
This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
NASDAQ Can this 1D MA50 rebound be sustainable?Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since May 12 and last week made a double rebound very close to its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is technically the latest Higher Low of the pattern and as long as it holds, we should see the new Bullish Leg.
The last two major ones rose by roughly +10% each. Given that the 1D RSI also made a Double Bottom on its Support, we remain bullish on Nasdaq, targeting 24800.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Nasdaq Eyes the 23,700 Resistance Ahead of NVDIA EarningsOn the Nasdaq front, all eyes are on NVIDIA’s Q2 earnings, with expectations for revenue around 45.9B and EPS between 1.00–1.01. While enthusiasm around AI continues to drive tech optimism, concerns remain over tariff risks with China, particularly regarding potential backdoors or tracking technologies in NVIDIA chips. These risks could limit revenue potential from the Chinese market
Nasdaq's rebound from the 22,900 mark appears sustainable, with daily RSI holding above the 50 neutral-barrier. A clean hold above 23,700 and 24,100 could pave the way toward new highs at 24,400 and 24,700, in line with continued AI-driven growth.
Downside: A break below 23,200, 22,900, and especially 22,700 would signal broader tech sector weakness, potentially aligning price action with 22,300 and 21,900 support zones.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
NAS100 - Where will the stock market ?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and has re-entered its ascending channel. If this channel is maintained, its upward path to the specified price target will be possible, but before that, the downward trend line must be broken in a valid way. If the channel is lost, the index's downward path will continue to around 23,000 points.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest remarks, delivered in a dovish tone, boosted bullish sentiment in financial markets and sparked a new wave of optimism among Wall Street investors and market participants. Following Powell’s speech, U.S. stock benchmarks surged sharply, with capital flows notably directed into the Russell 2000 index of small-cap companies, which jumped 3.86%—its strongest gain since April 9.
During his keynote at the Federal Reserve’s annual symposium, Powell implicitly suggested that an interest rate cut could come as soon as next month. At the same time, he warned of rising inflation risks and signs of slower economic growth, stressing that although risks are relatively balanced, the current environment may require an adjustment in monetary policy. He stated: “Given that monetary policy remains in a restrictive stance, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant a reassessment of our policy stance.”
Naeem Aslam, chief investment strategist at Zaye Capital Markets, described Powell’s comments as a turning point for markets, saying: “Powell’s dovish tone came as a real surprise to many market participants who did not expect such an approach from the Fed Chair. His remarks were clearly interpreted as a dovish signal.”
Following Powell’s comments, traders raised their expectations for a September rate cut. Barclays revised its forecast and now expects the Federal Reserve to deliver two 25-basis-point cuts this year—in September and December.
Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings affirmed the U.S. sovereign credit rating at AA+ with a stable outlook, a decision made despite significant political uncertainty. According to Fitch, rising trade tariffs, government spending cuts, stricter border controls, and increased deportations have heightened policy uncertainty, weighing on household consumption and business investment.
Fitch projects that the U.S. economy will remain in recession in 2026, growing only 1.5%, as elevated inflation and policy uncertainty continue to dampen consumer spending. However, the agency expects that faster rate cuts that year could boost domestic demand, helping growth rebound to 2.1% in 2027.
This week, two key reports are in focus: the second estimate of Q2 GDP and July’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. The initial GDP estimate showed a 3% expansion, and consensus forecasts anticipate confirmation of this figure. In contrast, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects a 2.3% growth rate, which, while lower, still points to economic resilience and suggests no urgent need for accelerated rate cuts—even as political pressure from the White House on Powell continues. Notably, GDPNow will be revised on Tuesday ahead of the official release.
Inflation data, however, carry greater weight. The core PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, has closely tracked core CPI for the past decade. With July’s core CPI climbing from 2.9% to 3.1%, there is a risk that PCE will follow the same path. Such a scenario would signal persistent inflationary pressures and significantly reduce the likelihood of a second rate cut this year.
If these data confirm stronger inflation, the U.S. dollar will likely strengthen further, while equities could come under additional pressure. A slower pace of monetary easing diminishes the present value of future cash flows for growth-oriented companies, explaining why Wall Street’s corrective phase may persist.
On the corporate front, Nvidia’s CEO said that the ability to ship its H20 chip to China is highly valuable and poses no national security concerns. He added that the decision to supply a next-generation AI data center chip to China, which will succeed the H20, is not within Nvidia’s direct control. The company is set to report earnings on Wednesday and remains in discussions with the U.S. government, though no resolution has yet been reached. The CEO also mentioned that his brief visit to Taiwan would mainly involve a dinner with TSMC executives. He revealed TSMC’s new “Rubin” architecture, comprising six new chips, and announced that Nvidia will hold its GTC conference in Washington, D.C. for the first time.
Separately, Meta has halted AI hiring after onboarding more than 50 specialists with lucrative compensation packages. The freeze affects both new hires and internal transfers, unless personally approved by Alexander Wang, head of AI. In recent months, Meta has reorganized its AI division into four separate teams to advance its “superintelligence” projects. Analysts have warned about rising costs and equity grants, framing the hiring pause as part of broader budget control and organizational restructuring efforts.
Invest in STRL: Ride the Coming US Digital Infrastructure Surge◉ Abstract
Sterling Infrastructure (NASDAQ: STRL) is a top pick to benefit from America's digital infrastructure boom, with the sector expected to grow 26% annually through 2034. The company specializes in data centers, 5G networks, and smart city projects, supported by a $1 billion backlog and improving profit margins. While risks like regional market shifts and housing demand exist, STRL's fundamentals are strong—revenue grew 7% in 2024, debt is manageable, and its P/E ratio (17.9x) looks cheap compared to peers (70.5x).
Technically, the stock shows bullish patterns after pulling back 35% from highs. With government infrastructure spending rising and strategic acquisitions likely, STRL could deliver 35-40% returns in the next 12-14 months. A good option for long term investing!
Read full analysis here...
◉ Introduction
The U.S. digital infrastructure market, valued at approximately USD 140 billion in 2024, is expanding rapidly, with a projected CAGR of 26.4% through 2034. This growth is driven by factors like the expansion of 5G networks, increased demand for data centers, rising cloud services adoption, AI automation, and investments in smart cities and edge computing. The 5G infrastructure segment alone is expected to grow at a CAGR of 20.2%, reaching USD 17.26 billion by 2030. North America holds a 42.8% share of the global market.
◉ Key Trends and Opportunities
1. Data Centers: Demand continues to rise, driven by cloud computing, AI, and data-intensive applications. Power availability and location are becoming critical, with providers moving to secondary markets to secure reliable energy sources.
2. Fiber Networks: Expansion is underway to support new data centers and remote connectivity needs. Middle-mile and long-haul fiber, as well as fiber-to-the-home (FTTH), are key areas of investment and consolidation.
3. 5G and Wireless: Ongoing rollout of 5G networks is fueling growth in hardware and network densification, with increased activity expected in wireless infrastructure and tower markets.
4. Edge Computing and Smart Cities: The proliferation of IoT devices and smart city initiatives is driving demand for edge data centers and low-latency networks.
5. Mergers and Acquisitions: The market is seeing consolidation, especially in fiber and data center segments, as major players acquire smaller firms to expand their footprint and capabilities.
Today, we’ll focus on Sterling Infrastructure (STRL), a key player navigating the U.S. infrastructure market.
This report provides a detailed look at STRL's technical and fundamental performance.
◉ Company Overview
Sterling Infrastructure Inc. NASDAQ:STRL is a U.S.-based company specializing in e-infrastructure, transportation, and building solutions. It operates through three key segments: E-Infrastructure Solutions, which focuses on site development for data centers, e-commerce warehouses, and industrial facilities; Transportation Solutions, handling infrastructure projects such as highways, bridges, airports, and rail systems for government agencies; and Building Solutions, providing concrete foundations and construction services for residential and commercial projects. Originally founded in 1955 as Sterling Construction Company, the firm rebranded to its current name in June 2022. Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, the company serves a wide range of sectors, including logistics, manufacturing, and public infrastructure.
◉ Investment Advice
💡 Buy Sterling Infrastructure NASDAQ:STRL
● Buy Range - 148 - 150
● Sell Target - 200 - 205
● Potential Return - 35% - 40%
● Approx Holding Period - 12-14 months
◉ SWOT Analysis
● Strengths
1. Strong E-Infrastructure Backlog – With over $1 billion in backlog, Sterling has a robust pipeline of future projects, ensuring sustained revenue growth.
2. Higher-Margin Services Shift – The company’s strategic focus on higher-margin work (21% gross profit margin in Q4) improves profitability without relying solely on volume.
3. E-Infrastructure Growth Potential – Expected 10%+ revenue growth and 25%+ operating profit growth in 2025 position Sterling for strong earnings expansion.
4. Strategic M&A Opportunities – Strong liquidity allows for accretive acquisitions, enhancing market share and service offerings.
5. Share Repurchase Program – Active buybacks reduce outstanding shares, potentially boosting EPS and shareholder value.
● Weaknesses
1. Texas Market Transition Risks – Moving away from low-bid work in Texas may slow revenue growth in the Transportation segment if not managed well.
2. Revenue Loss from RHB Deconsolidation – Excluding $236 million in RHB revenue could distort growth metrics and reduce reported earnings.
3. Residential Market Pressures – A 14% decline in residential slab revenue (due to DFW affordability issues) could persist if housing demand weakens further.
4. Geographic Expansion Challenges – High costs and logistical hurdles in expanding data center projects outside core regions may limit growth opportunities.
5. Competitive Bidding & Acquisition Risks – Difficulty in securing profitable acquisitions or winning competitive bids could hinder margin and revenue growth.
● Opportunities
1. Data Center & E-Commerce Boom – Rising demand for data centers and distribution facilities presents long-term growth potential for E-Infrastructure.
2. Government Infrastructure Spending – Federal and state investments in highways, bridges, and airports could boost Transportation Solutions revenue.
3. Strategic Acquisitions – Pursuing complementary M&A deals could expand capabilities and market reach.
4. Diversification into New Regions – Expanding into underserved markets could reduce dependency on Texas and mitigate regional risks.
5. Operational Efficiency Improvements – Further margin expansion through cost optimization and technology adoption.
● Threats
1. Economic Slowdown Impact – A recession could reduce demand for residential and commercial construction, affecting Building Solutions.
2. Rising Interest Rates – Higher borrowing costs may pressure profitability and delay large-scale projects.
3. Labor & Material Cost Inflation – Increasing wages and supply chain disruptions could squeeze margins.
4. Intense Competition – Rival firms competing for the same infrastructure projects may drive down pricing and profitability.
5. Regulatory & Permitting Delays – Government approvals and environmental regulations could slow project execution.
◉ Revenue & Profit Analysis
● Year-on-Year
➖ FY24 sales reached $2,116 million, reflecting a 7.28% increase compared to $1,972 million in FY23.
➖ EBITDA rose to $334 million, up from $264 million in FY23.
➖ EBITDA margin improved to 15.8%, up from 13.4% in the same period last year.
● Quarter-on-Quarter
➖ Q4 sales decreased to $499 million, down from $593 million in Q3, but showed a slight increase from $486 million in Q4 of the previous year.
➖ Q4 EBITDA was $80.3 million, down from $105 million in Q3.
➖ Q4 diluted EPS saw a notable rise, reaching $8.27 (LTM), up from $5.89 (LTM) in Q3 2024.
◉ Valuation
1. P/E Ratio (Price-to-Earnings)
● Current vs. Peer Average
➖ STRL’s P/E ratio is 17.9x, much lower than the peer average of 70.5x, suggesting the stock is undervalued compared to peers.
● Current vs. Industry Average
➖ Compared to the broader industry average of 22.9x, STRL again looks relatively inexpensive at 17.9x.
2. P/B Ratio (Price-to-Book)
● Current vs. Peer Average
➖ STRL’s P/B ratio stands at 5.7x, slightly higher than the peer average of 5x, indicating overvaluation.
● Current vs. Industry Average
➖ Against the industry average of 3.6x, STRL’s 5.7x P/B ratio suggests a noticeable overvaluation.
3. PEG Ratio (Price/Earnings to Growth)
➖ STRL’s PEG ratio is 0.21, which means the stock appears undervalued relative to its strong expected earnings growth.
◉ Cash Flow Analysis
➖ Sterling Infrastructure's operating cash flow grew to $497 million in FY24, up from $479 million in FY23, showing steady financial strength.
◉ Debt Analysis
➖ The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.38, indicating a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt levels.
◉ Top Shareholders
➖ The Vanguard Group has significantly increased its investment in this stock, now owning an impressive 8.3% stake, which marks a 30% rise since the end of the September quarter.
➖ Meanwhile, Blackrock holds a stake of around 8% in the company.
◉ Technical Aspects
➖ On the monthly chart, the stock remains in a strong uptrend.
➖ On the daily chart, an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling a potential breakout soon.
➖ The stock is currently trading at about 35% below its all-time high, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
◉ Conclusion
Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) stands out as a strong investment candidate, backed by solid financial performance, a growing E-Infrastructure backlog, and a strategic focus on higher-margin projects. Its attractive valuation, healthy cash flow, and low debt levels provide further confidence in its growth potential. While there are challenges—such as market competition, geographic expansion hurdles, and economic uncertainties—Sterling’s strengths, including a robust project pipeline, strategic acquisitions, and exposure to high-growth sectors like data centers and 5G infrastructure, offer a favorable risk-reward balance. Overall, Sterling is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing U.S. e-infrastructure boom, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.
#202534 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq futures Good Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Market stayed around the 50% retracement from the prior 2 weeks selling. Bears need to miracle to keep it below 23600 and go down again. Bulls want the measured move up which could lead to 24200 or more. We are in the middle of the range and I need strong momentum on Monday to join either side.
current market cycle: bull trend - peak bubble
key levels for next week: 22800 - 24100
bull case: Bulls want a new ath but I doubt they will get it without a better pullback. The move on Friday was strong enough to expect at least a second leg. Otherwise I am having a hard time finding arguments for the bulls. They printed a higher low, which still confirms the bull trend and bulls can argue it’s a two-legged pullback on the daily chart. Confirmation is only above 23600 and if so, I’d expect a quick move to 23800.
Invalidation is below 23400ish
bear case: Bears can argue the red bear trend line is still valid (see chart) and that we retraced about 50% of the two-week selling. If they can stay below 23600, small chance that we reverse and continue down to 23000 and make lower lows again. For now bears are not favored and around 23500 it’s best to do nothing.
Invalidation is above 23600
short term: Neutral around 23500. Can’t get much more out of the chart right now.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-08-10: 22000 likely to get hit this year gain. 20000 seems a bit much for 3 months left.
AAPL RESISTANCE 233VS SUPPORT 215 hi trader's
Apple price is testing a major resistance zone around 233 – 240.
If sellers hold this resistance, a retracement toward the 215.40 support zone and trendline is possible.
A sustained break above the 244.45 risk level would invalidate this bearish view and may open the way for higher prices
Resistance Zone: 233 – 240
Support Zone: 215.40
Risk Level ( 244.45
don't forget to like comment and follow
GTradingMethod | GER40CASH (DE40) LONG SETUPI’m watching a possible inverse head & shoulders forming on the hourly chart and looking for a long entry if confirmed.
It will also be a good time for reversal with Europe markets opening at the close of this hour.
That gives it liquidity it needs to push up aggressively.
Some of the variables I will be looking for is 1) The hourly candle to close in the entry range and 2) Lower volume on this candle versus the trough of the left shoulders.
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 4.6
Entry: 24 236.3
Stop Loss: 24 194
Take Profit 1 (50%): 24 394
Take Profit 2 (50%): 24 480
💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Predefining your risk isn’t just a habit — it’s what keeps emotions out of trading and lets probability play out over time.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next update. If you found this helpful, give it a like 👍 and share your thoughts 💬 — I’d love to hear what you think!
⚠️ Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
NASDAQ 100: Bullish, But There Is a Headwind.....Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 25 - 29th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: NASDAQ (NQ1!) NAS100
The NASDAQ has a bearish FVG on the Daily TF. Should it fail, buy the pullback to it, as it will invert to a iFVG and support higher prices.
Should it fail, and we will know Monday/Tuesday, sells become valid, down to the Weekly bullish FVG.
Let the market unfold Monday, then look for valid entries.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
BNC - Shift in Momentum in Action!In our last update, we pointed out how BNC was holding its ground at the $12–$15 support zone. Now, we’re seeing that shift in momentum play out in real time; with the bears losing steam and the bulls taking over.
📊 Technical Update
The chart shows it clearly:
- In the bearish phase, every downward impulse got weaker — from big and steep to small and flat. Selling pressure was fading.
- Bulls stepped in at the $15 demand zone, flipping the structure bullish.
- Since then, we’ve seen a big and flat bullish impulse , hinting at healthy accumulation before the next leg.
🔎If momentum holds:
- First target: $50 => a structural resistance and psychological barrier.
- Second target: $82 => the top of the projected markup, filling a major price gap.
As long as $23 holds, and especially $15, the bullish case remains strong.
💡 Bigger Picture
This isn’t just a chart story — it’s backed by fundamentals. BNC is the first U.S.-listed company making BNB its core treasury asset , giving investors rare one-click exposure to a coin most can’t buy directly.
With over $500M already in BNB and a clear first-mover advantage, the mix of a strong macro narrative and a clear bullish shift makes this a setup worth watching closely.
📌 Previous BNC analysis is attached for context.
➡️ As always, speak with your financial advisor and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
📚 Always follow your trading plan => including entry, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly.
~ Richard Nasr
NAS100USD Analysis – POC Magnet, Demand Zone🔎 Context
Price action on NAS100USD is currently trading within a clearly defined range between the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL) . Volume Profile highlights a key Point of Control (POC) around 23150 – the price level where the highest amount of trading volume has accumulated in this range.
In Smart Money terms, we also have a refined demand zone forming below, with the proximal line aligning closely above the POC. This overlap strengthens the case for the POC acting as a "magnet" and a potential support base.
⚡ Key Levels
Value Area High (VAH) : ~23880 – range resistance.
Value Area Low (VAL) : ~23010 – range support.
POC : ~23150 – high-volume node, magnetic level.
Proximal Line : Sitting just above POC, marking the edge of demand.
Refined Demand Zone : 22950 – 23050 region.
🏗 Structural Insights
A major structural failure occurred earlier near 23880, confirming supply above.
Price swept liquidity below 23050 before aggressively reclaiming the range.
Current trading sits just above POC and proximal, showing buyers defending.
A break and acceptance above 23510 (mid-range) opens the path back to VAH at 23880.
✅ Trade Scenarios
Bullish Case (Continuation to VAH)
If price sustains above 23516 and holds above the proximal/POC cluster, we can expect a continuation toward VAH (23880).
Targets: 23880 (VAH) → potential extension toward swing high.
Bearish Case (POC Magnet + Demand Retest)
Failure to hold above proximal/POC may drag price back into the POC magnet zone at 23150.
If momentum weakens further, a retest of the refined demand zone (22950 – 23050) is likely.
Below VAL (23010), imbalance could drive a deeper correction.
📌 Conclusion
The confluence of POC (fair value) and proximal demand (structural support) makes 23150 a pivotal level. Holding above it favors a continuation toward 23880 VAH , while a rejection would likely see price revert back to demand.
This setup showcases how Volume Profile levels (POC/VAH/VAL) can be combined with SMC concepts (demand zones & structural breaks) to create a high-probability framework.
💡 Trade safe, manage risk, and always wait for confirmations around these key levels before execution.
Classic tug-of-war NASDAQBias: Still broadly bullish on the daily—no true downside displacement, and price hasn’t closed below the last impulse up. But… we failed to close above recent 2-month highs and are sitting right at weekly equilibrium.
Where we are: Price is coiling around the 4H BISI low ≈ 23,790.50, which also aligns with ~50% of the weekly range. Nested inside is a 1H BISI with a bullish 1H OB just beneath. Classic tug-of-war spot.
Areas of Interest:
Above: 23,929 → PDH 23,962.75 → 24,000 BRN → 24,040–24,080 (upper imbalance).
Below: 23,713.50 (50% of 1H OB) → 23,596 → 23,501 → swing magnet 22,684.75 (D1 SIBI high).
Tell: The last “new low” on 1H needed two candles to actually close below and did so weakly. That shows sell-side lacks displacement unless we break structure decisively.
What flips the switch (clear invalidation logic)
Bullish reclaim: 15–60m close back above 23,790–23,804 (ETH close 23,796.5 / RTH close 23,804) and hold on a retest → long side favored.
Bearish break: Clean 1H close below 23,713 (and acceptance under it) → short side favored; you’re below the 1H OB and the nested BISI.
Two actionable trade plans
(Use your 5m/1m execution: wait for displacement through the trigger, then take the FVG or OB retrace inside the HTF level.)
A) Reclaim-and-go LONG (higher-probability if we hold above weekly EQ)
Trigger: 15–60m close above 23,790–23,804, then a controlled retest that holds (wick below, body close back above).
Entry zone: 23,790–23,804 (retest of 4H BISI low / prior close cluster).
Invalidation (stop): Below 23,713 (under the 1H OB mid) or tighter under the swing that forms your 5m/1m FVG entry (your call on risk).
Conservative SL: 23,690–23,705 (below the OB body).
Profit targets:
T1: 23,929 (first buy-side pools / inefficiency fill)
T2: 23,962.75 (PDH)
T3: 24,000 (round-number magnet)
T4 (runner): 24,040–24,080 (upper imbalance)
Trade management: Partial at T1, move stop to BE after M5 market structure shift in your favor or after T1 prints. Keep a runner if displacement expands.
B) Breakdown-and-acceptance SHORT
Trigger: Clean 1H close below 23,713 and a retest rejection (can use a 5m FVG inside 23,713–23,730).
Entry zone: 23,713–23,730 (failed reclaim of 1H OB mid / underside of the 1H BISI).
Invalidation (stop): Above 23,790–23,804 (back inside/above the 4H BISI low and prior closes).
Tighter intraday SL can sit above the 5m swing that breaks down.
Profit targets:
T1: 23,596
T2: 23,501
T3 (optional intraday): 23,440–23,460 (prior 1H demand base, if visible on your feed)
T4 (swing only): 22,684.75 (D1 SIBI high)
Trade management: Take partial at T1, trail above last M5 LHs. If New York lunch compresses, be quick to pay yourself.
Why these are the right spots
23,790–23,804 is a decision box: 4H BISI low + ETH/RTH prior close cluster + weekly EQ. Acceptance above = trend continuation likely; rejection = continuation of the rotation lower.
23,713.50 is the line in the sand intraday: it’s the 50% of your 1H OB and sits just beneath the 1H BISI. Lose it and you’ve removed the nearby bullish sponsor, opening the path to 23,596/23,501.
The lack of downside displacement on the last “new low” keeps a bullish continuation on the table—until we get that decisive 1H break/acceptance below 23,713.
Execution tips
Time-of-day: favor NY AM session for your displacement signal; Monday often ranges → reduce size until one side wins (as you noted).
Trigger discipline: do not anticipate the reclaim/break. Wait for the 15–60m close, then execute on 5m/1m FVG back into the level.
Risk: if trading the same idea across multiple accounts, stagger entries (one at level, one at 50% of the M5 FVG).
Quick reference (levels)
Bullish above: 23,804 → 23,929 → 23,962.75 → 24,000 → 24,040–24,080
Neutral box: 23,790.5 (4H BISI low / weekly EQ) ± a few ticks
Bearish below: 23,713.5 → 23,596 → 23,501 → 22,684.75
BNC - Where Cycles Meet Opportunity!In our last updates, we tracked how BNC NASDAQ:BNC shifted momentum and entered a bullish structure. Now, price is consolidating at a key support zone, a normal phase in bigger cycles, while the fundamentals continue to strengthen behind the scenes.
📊 Technical Analysis
- Cyclic rhythm: Price continues to respect cyclical lows (highlighted in green), suggesting we’re in a repeating accumulation/rebound structure.
- Support in play: The $20 - $21 level is being tested again, with the stronger $15 support zone still intact as a line in the sand for bulls.
- RSI confluence: Momentum indicators (RSI) are once again dipping into oversold territory, just as they did at the last local low, hinting at potential buyer re-entry.
- 200 MA: Price is sitting near the 200-period MA, adding another layer of dynamic support to watch.
If bulls hold the $20 area, we could see another cyclical rebound play out, targeting higher highs in the weeks ahead.
💡 Bigger Picture
What makes BNC stand out isn’t just its bold BNB strategy — it’s the timing . The crypto market is maturing, yet most U.S. investors are still locked out of direct BNB exposure. ETFs and sovereign funds are circling, but haven’t moved yet.
That means BNC is positioning itself ahead of the institutions - offering retail investors the rare chance to front-run Wall Street. It’s the kind of countercultural setup that often leads to the biggest asymmetrical gains: buy before the herd, hold before the headlines.
📌 Previous BNC analysis is attached for context.
➡ ️ Talk to your financial advisor and start your due diligence on CEA Industries (NASDAQ: BNC) before the institutions move in.
📚 Always follow your trading plan => including entry, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly.
~ Richard Nasr
GH 3D: breakout forming inside ascending channelThe price of GH continues consolidating within the top of an ascending channel, confirming bullish structure. The rectangular accumulation has lasted for over three months, with price staying above all major EMAs and MAs - a strong trend confirmation. On the last impulse, volume increased, and now the price is compressing again. A breakout with a retest would serve as a valid entry. First target lies near 61.38, second at 73.66, and third at 87.37 - aligned with the upper range of the medium-term Fibonacci extension. Fundamentally, GH remains a promising biotech pick amid sector rotation and potential Fed easing. EMAs and MAs sit below price, and D/A supports the breakout scenario. Waiting for confirmation before entering.
ADA/USDT | Cardano Breaks All Targets – Next Stop: Above $1?By analyzing the Cardano (ADA) chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has surged exactly as expected, beautifully hitting all three targets at $0.85, $0.93, and $1! This move delivered an impressive 48% return. Following Jerome Powell’s remarks about the possibility of interest rate cuts in the coming months, Cardano saw renewed demand and has already risen from $0.82 to $0.91 so far. I expect this bullish momentum to continue, with a potential break and hold above the $1 level soon.
Hope you made the most out of this analysis!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAU/USD | Gold Hits Double Targets – Is Another Drop on the Way?Based on the 4-hour gold chart, we can see that the price was strongly rejected from the $3348 zone, exactly as anticipated, and dropped to $3321—successfully hitting both targets at $3334 and $3324, delivering over 250 pips of profit! Currently, gold is trading around $3328, and I expect another bearish wave to follow soon. The next downside targets are $3318, $3311, and $3301. This analysis will be updated shortly!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USNAS100 Update | Fed Pressure Keeps Market Under Bearish BiasUSNAS100 – Overview
Tech fright calms but Fed pressure grows
U.S. tech stocks appear to have stabilized after two sessions of sharp declines, but uncertainty persists as the Treasury market reacts to the latest Federal Reserve developments ahead of the central bank’s annual Jackson Hole symposium in Wyoming.
Technical Outlook
USNAS100 maintains a bearish setup while below 23,295.
A break and sustained close above this level would signal a potential bullish reversal.
📍 Key Levels
Pivot: 23,295
Support: 23,165 – 23,045 – 22,850
Resistance: 23,430 – 23,540 – 23,690
previous idea: