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Natgas

NATGAS Set To Fall! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on NATGAS and concluded the following: The market is trading on 4.577pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 4.474 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
1
NATGAS: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the NATGAS pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by UnitedSignals
1
Natural Gas Attempts to Return to the Year’s Highest LevelsSince October 17, natural gas has maintained a steady bullish bias, posting an appreciation of nearly 43%, which has fueled sustained buying pressure on prices. This upward movement has been supported by increasing inventory levels in countries such as China, Japan, and South Korea, which have ramped up purchases ahead of the winter season and diversified suppliers amid potential sanctions involving Russia. If this pace of consistent buying continues in the coming weeks, the current bullish pressure could become even more significant in natural gas price movements over the next few sessions. Strong Uptrend In recent weeks, buying momentum has remained persistent, with the average upward impulses in natural gas prices forming a solid uptrend, bringing the market closer to the yearly highs near $4.9. So far, the short-term pullbacks have not been strong enough to break this aggressive bullish trendline. As long as there is no consistent selling pressure, the current uptrend is likely to remain dominant in the short term. RSI The RSI line remains above the 50 level, indicating that buying momentum continues to drive price movements. However, the indicator is now approaching the 70 level, suggesting a potential overbought signal. This may imply that, given the speed of the recent rally, the market could experience short-term pullbacks as this imbalance in buying pressure persists. TRIX Overall, the TRIX indicator remains above the neutral level, showing a consistent upward slope. This confirms that the long-term trend remains bullish, suggesting that buying pressure may continue to dominate natural gas price action in the coming sessions. Key Levels to Watch: $4.80 – Resistance: Represents the recent high zone. A breakout above this level could trigger a more aggressive uptrend in the following sessions. $4.46 – Intermediate Support: Marks the most recent retracement area, which could serve as a temporary barrier against short-term downward corrections. $3.84 – Key Support: This is the most relevant retracement level of recent weeks. If prices drop to this zone, it could signal an emerging bearish bias, putting the current bullish trendlines at risk. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NATURALGAS
by FOREX.com
1
NATGAS Bearish Breakout! Sell! Hello,Traders! NATGAS broke down from the bearish wedge, signalling displacement and a shift in order flow. After sweeping internal liquidity, price is expected to expand lower toward the marked target demand zone. Time Frame 4H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TopTradingSignals
2
Natural Gas Market Outlook — September 01, 2025.VANTAGE:NG #NaturalGas #NatGas (NYMEX:NG1!) 🔵 Natural Gas Market Outlook — September 01, 2025. Alright, here’s the skinny on NatGas. Back on April 28, 2025, I was calling for a dip into the $2.74 zone—and guess what? We tagged it right on schedule. Now the game flips: I’m hunting long entries with the first serious target sitting at $10.00. Could we overshoot? Absolutely. If momentum really gets cooking, the Fibo 227% extension lines up at roughly $21.00. But let’s not get greedy yet—$10 stays the main milestone for the next big leg. Macro Drivers ➖ Exports: LNG shipments are the elephant in the room. Europe’s still thirsty, Asia’s paying up, and U.S. cargos are cashing in. ➖ Production: Flat. Shale guys aren’t rushing to flood the market unless we break above $3.20+. ➖ Geopolitics: Russia’s LNG rerouting and Middle East jitters keep a bid under global gas. ➖ Utilities & Consumers: Domestic demand is softer thanks to renewables transitions, but that’s a sideshow compared to export flows. Big Picture EIA pegs Henry Hub at $3.60 in 2025 and $4.30 in 2026, but frankly, that’s conservative. With demand from data centers, electrification, and global LNG growth, upside is more likely than not. Trade View ➡️ I’m treating $2.74 as the cycle low. Any dips near that level look like golden tickets for long positioning into 2026. First pit stop: $10.00. If bulls get rowdy, keep an eye on $21.00 as the stretch target. ➡️ Bottom line: NatGas just gave us the reset we were waiting for. From here, risk/reward favors the long side. Strap in—it’s gonna be a volatile ride, but that’s where the money gets made.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by SergioRichi
When Arctic Storm Meets Government ShutdownNYMEX: Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures ( NYMEX:MNG1! ) A “Perfect Storm” is brewing by weather catastrophe and man-made events. On Thursday, November 6th, forecaster Atmospheric G2 said that it predicted colder than normal weather over the Eastern US for November 11-15. Driven by the expectations that record low temperatures will boost heating demand for natural gas, NYMEX Henry Hub natural gas futures ( AMEX:NG ) moved sharply higher. The lead December contract (NGZ5) hit a daily high of $4.42 per MMBtu, up 18 cents (+5%) from the prior day. The contract settled at $4.357, up 12.5 cents or +2.95%. Total daily volume for all NG contract months reached 590,250 lots, an increase of 118,770 from the prior day. Total Open Interest was 1,556,062 contracts. Then, just a day later, Atmospheric G2 put out another forecast. It said that warmer-than-normal temperatures are expected in the western two-thirds of the US for November 12-16 and are expected to remain above-normal for November 17-21. NGZ5 closed at $4.315 on Friday, down 0.96%. Another bearish factor came from Baker Hughes, which reported a 2.25-year high in the number of active US natural gas rigs. On Sunday night, as the early winter blast begins to hit the ground, natural gas futures market opens for the week up 3.3% at $4.447. NGZ5 pulled back on Monday and is currently trading at $4.375. Shall we say, “Buy the rumor, Sell the fact”? The news of a massive arctic storm moving the market is nothing new. During the past winter, on December 29, 2024, the Weather Co. and Atmospheric G2 released a weather forecast showing colder temperature in the East. When the futures market opened the next day, Henry Hub futures prices surged 20%, hitting a new 52-week high of $4.20. My write-up on January 6, 2025, explored how to trade the weather. The Polar Vortex is expected to bring record amount of snow in the Great Lakes. Chicago and South Bend could see up to 12 inches of snow within 24 hours, due to the infamous “Lake Effect”. Florida and the Panhandle area could see temperature dropping from the 60s (Fahrenheit) to the mid-20s by Tuesday. What stands out about this winter blast is its timing, happening very early in the season. Comparing to last winter, the first major snowstorm came in mid-January. The winter storm threatens to bring air travel to a standstill. The impact will compound as the 40-day-long US government shutdown already reduced air flight capacity by 10%, causing massive cancellations and delays. In the latest news, the US Senate may have reached a deal to end the government shutdown. Hopefully, it will happen in time ahead of Thanksgiving, the busiest travel season in the U.S. The ideal instrument Trading the Weather Natural gas is a leading energy source. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates U.S. electricity production at 4.18 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2023. • About 43.1% of the electricity was generated by natural gas. • Nuclear power contributed to 18.6%, while coal had a 16.2% share. • Renewables accounted for a 21.4% share, including 10.2% from Wind, 5.7% from Hydro, and 3.9% from Solar. Electricity is hard to store, while its demand is highly unpredictable. Unforeseen changes in power demand could send shock waves into the market. In winter months, weather conditions have the biggest impact in natural gas demand. In addition to power generation, the biggest natural gas usage is for heating homes, factories and commercial offices. According to the EIA data, 48% of US households use natural gas for space heating, water heating and cooking. The heating consumption varies by season and by region, while the biggest contributing factor is temperature. As long-range weather forecasts are extremely difficult, natural gas prices are highly reactive to news of upcoming winter storms. Heating Degree Day (HDD) is the number of days in a month where the average daily temperature is below 68 degrees Fahrenheit. Energy traders deploy HDD analysis and weather forecast models to predict temperature trends, electricity demand and subsequent natural gas use. Trading with Micro Henry Hub Futures Micro Henry Hub natural gas futures (MNG) offer smaller-sized versions of CME Group’s liquid benchmark Henry Hub futures (NG) contracts. The Micro futures have a contract size of 1,000 MMBtu, which is 1/10th of the standard contract. The Micro contracts allow traders to control a large contract value with a small amount of capital to take advantage of significant margin offsets. With Monday evening quote of 4.375, each December 2025 contract (MNGZ5) has a notional value of $4,375. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $367. The next lead contract, January 2026 (MNGF6), is currently quoting at 4.601, for a notional value of $4,601. The initial margin is $354. Since hitting the 52-week low of $3.62, MNGZ5 has gone up 20%. Meanwhile, MNGF6 is down 25% from its 52-week high reached in March 2025. As we have seen in the past, unpredictable weather events could send large shocks to natural gas prices. We have recognized the pattern of weather forecasts driving futures prices up, and then the prices trending back down in the midst of the storm. In my opinion, if we see another major winter storm coming in December, MNGF6 has the potential to move much higher. With Micro Henry Hub contracts, traders could potentially realize sizable gains with a small capital requirement. For MNGF6, traders enjoy a built-in leverage of 13:1 (= 4601/354). Hypothetically, if MNGF6 moves up 5% to $4.831 with lower temperature forecasts, the 0.23 price gain would translate into $230 for a long futures position, given the contract size at 1,000 MMBtu. Using the initial margin of $354 as a cost base, the trade would produce a theoretical return of 65.0% (=230/354). The long futures position would lose money if natural gas prices moved lower. Traders could set up a stop loss to hedge the downside risk when entering the long futures order. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:MNGZ2025Long
by JimHuangChicago
20
NATGAS Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 4.324 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 4.368 Safe Stop Loss - 4.295 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
2
NATURAL GAS(XNGUSD) | Final Wave 2 Flush Before Mega Wave 3⚡ NATURAL GAS – The Final Flush Before the Supercycle ⚡ After topping out in 2005 , Natural Gas has spent nearly two decades inside a massive corrective structure — slowly grinding lower, retracing, and shaking out every long-term bull in sight. What we’re seeing now could be the final leg of Wave 2 in that entire supercycle. This ongoing correction, stretching from 2005 to now, is likely entering its final phase — an exhaustion move that could complete between $1.466–$1.413 . This zone aligns perfectly with: ✅ Deep 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse ✅ Historical demand and structural support ✅ Liquidity resting beneath long-term lows ✅ Smart Money accumulation footprints beginning to show If price stabilizes here, we could be witnessing the foundation of a new multi-year Wave 3 , which historically tends to be the most explosive move in the Elliott Wave cycle. 🧭 Technical & Structural Overview 📊 Elliott Wave View: Wave 1: 2005–2021 impulsive phase Wave 2: 2021–present, deep ABC correction (now in the C-wave) Expected completion: $1.466–$1.413 zone Next: Wave 3 lift-off → potential parabolic move 📐 Fibonacci & Wave Confluence: 0.786 retracement zone → $1.4–$1.5 (ideal Wave 2 termination area) Wave 3 1.618 extension → $68 Supercycle 2.618 projection → $700+ 🧠 Smart Money Concept: Institutions love to accumulate during despair. We can already see signs of a liquidity sweep , followed by potential accumulation and a pending market structure shift once price reclaims levels above $3.5–$4.0. 🌍 Fundamentals Align Global LNG demand continues to rise, especially across Asia and Europe. US export capacity and infrastructure expansion add long-term bullish pressure. Supply investment remains underweight — a key setup for future price shocks. Despite green energy growth, Natural Gas remains the bridge fuel for stability. This macro alignment supports a generational reversal once the current flush completes. 🎯 Price Map 💎 Wave 2 Completion Zone: $1.466–$1.413 🚀 Wave 3 Target (1.618 ext): $60–$70 🌠 Supercycle Wave 5 (2.618 ext): $700+ ⚠️ Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below $1.40 💬 Summary Natural Gas is approaching the final phase of a two-decade correction — an extremely rare setup in macro wave structure. When Wave 2 completes, the stage will be set for one of the strongest commodity bull waves in modern market history. 📈 “When the crowd sees destruction, smart money sees construction — and that construction may already be starting around $1.4.” What are you seeing in your charts? Do you think the bottom is in, or do we need one more liquidity sweep first? 👇 #NaturalGas #NatGasUSD #ElliottWave #WaveAnalysis #SmartMoney #Fibonacci #MarketStructure #Commodities #EnergyMarkets #MacroCycle #CommoditySupercycle #Wave3Setup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Investing
OANDA:NATGASUSDLong
by fibcos
4
XNGUSD, Accumulation to Expansion? Weekly Long Into Winter RiskI’ve initiated a long on Natural Gas from weekly structure. Price has rotated inside this area since ’23 and is now reacting at a confluence of trendline support + prior demand. The plan is to hold into Q4, when seasonality (heating demand + potential hurricane/LNG disruptions) often provides upside tailwinds. Risk is defined on the weekly chart; I’ll manage around swings and let the position work. Technicals (Weekly) • Range base reclaimed: Price is bouncing from the same 2023–2024 accumulation zone (roughly 2.5–3.0). • Multi-touch trendline support: Current candle is reacting at the rising base trendline; wicks show responsive buying. • Structure targets: First objective is a move back into mid-range supply; extension aims toward the upper band shown on the chart. Fundamentals Supporting Long Bias • Seasonality: Q4 typically brings rising Heating Degree Days across the Northern Hemisphere; winter risk premia often get priced ahead of the draw season. • LNG pull: Ongoing ramp in global LNG demand + incremental U.S. export capacity tends to tighten the domestic balance on cold forecasts or unplanned outages elsewhere. • Supply discipline: Gas rig counts have lagged after the 2024 price slump; that slower supply response can tighten later-year balances if weather cooperates. • Weather & Gulf risk: Peak hurricane season can interrupt Gulf production and processing, periodically supporting price. • Europe draw season: As EU storage transitions from injection to draws, import needs rise, keeping a bid under seaborne gas. Trade Plan: • Entry: From weekly support (see chart). • Management: Trail below fresh higher lows on the daily; take partials at fib/structure levels; let a runner target the upper band if momentum broadens. What Breaks the Thesis • A persistently warm Q4, outsized storage overhang into winter, major LNG outages/delays, or a renewed surge in production that swamps demand. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by AR33_
NATGAS Short From Supply Area! Sell! b]Hello,Traders! NATGAS is approaching a major horizontal supply area, where strong selling pressure may reappear. A rejection from this zone could trigger a short-term correction toward lower liquidity pools. Time Frame 5H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TopTradingSignals
4
NATGAS Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the NATGAS next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.000 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target -2.957 My Stop Loss - 3.022 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by AnabelSignals
1