EURJPY | Perspective for the new weekSince my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), prices have continued to spiral downwards thereby emphasizing a downtrend momentum as the JY129 area remains the significant level keeping price under. Despite hawkish ECB, the meeting might fail to offer the Euro a lift anytime soon as I suspect that the bears are about to project into the lows in the region of 124.00 area in the coming week(s).
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom & Breakdown)
Observation: i. Jumping in on our 4H timeframe; it is obvious that price action has continued to find lower lows since the 10th of February 2022.
ii. A visual representation of a trend after connecting a series of prices with a line drawn above pivot highs shows the prevailing direction and speed of price in the last month.
iii. The successful breakdown of the JY129 areas which has held price "supported" since the last quarter of last year emphasizes the seller's power at this juncture in the market.
iv. During the course of last week's trading session, we witness the Euro grow 3.70% against the JPY only to find a significant resistance at the key level (JY129) on Thursday and Friday with a reversal set-up emerging within an area that is peculiar with selling potentials.
v. Now, the appearance of a Double Top structure within the identified Supply zone which also shares a confluence with the bearish trend describes a potential trend continuation if we finally see a breakdown of the Neckline around JY127.5 in the new week.
vi. In as much as anywhere below key level appears to be a comfortable area to sell considering current structure, it is advisable that we hold and wait for a breakdown of neckline to join the potential decline... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 350 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 4 to 8days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored... I shall be sharing a video of how I am going to take advantage of this trade if the price goes as planned on my new jou tube channel.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Neckline
GBPJPY Analysis I SHORTWelcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**GBPJPY - listen to video analysis.
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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SPX500USD on a H&S pattern? 🦐SP500 on the 3d chart creates a possible Head and shoulder pattern at the top of a long bullish trend.
After the left shoulder, the market forms the head with a double top over the monthly trendline at the 4800 melt to the support.
The price then reacted at the support area and tested twice the resistance area at the 4590 level creating the right shoulder.
Furthermore, the market reacted to our beloved 0.618 Fibonacci level of the previous impulse.
How can we approach this scenario?
We will monitor the market during the day and if the market will break below the H&S neckline we will move to the higher timeframe.
If then the price will satisfy the Planctons's academy rules we will set a nice short order.
––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
• 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
• 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
• 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
• 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
• ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Bitcoin to 60k? Inverted head and shouldersHello
Bitcoin has made an nice looking inverted head and shoulder pattern. The right shoulder is higher than the left one which tells there is eager buyers, and makes the pattern more bullish
Target is around 60k but ofc we need to break the 50-52k hard resistance area to get there.
Take a note also that the 10EMA (blue) and 25EMA (yellow) has also been flipped to support , as we can see bitcoin bounced from there
For my views of bear trend to change we need to break 53k and close above. If we do that I believe we will go test the highs and eventually make a new All time high. BUT let's not get a head of ourselves
If you do take trades always use stop loss!
Otherwise you will get your ass burned!
-Jebu
BTCUSDT Reached the Peak of this Cycle, AB=CD patternBTCUSDT Reached the Peak of this Cycle. On this chart you can see Fionacci's golden ratio correlations in a daily macro overview. We have a strong confluence between the actual peak as a pullback to Head and Shoulders neckline and the count of timeframe besed on golden ration, peak by peak. A monthly target is speculated based on AB=CD harmonic pattern.
BTCUSDT Double bottom, bearish Bat.BTCUSD probably reached the peak of this cycle with daily overbought condition, double bottom, bearish bat signal and volume lecture based in wyckoff's fundamentals. This pullback to Head and Shoulders neckline is a condition to validate the pattern. The price action is confluent with S&P500. More confluences can be see in the macro daily timeframe analysis.
KSM Big SupportKSM is testing the Neckline of a massive Double Top from a year ago, which makes it a very strong Support channel.
A few targets within the weak descending channel:
Target #1 = 165
Target #2 = 161
Target #3 = 158
Target #4 = 156
SUPPORT DAILY = 156 to 141
Once KSM reaches the Support Daily/Neckline, watch out for turbulence. I'll consider entering after it breaks down the Neckline. If this thesis holds, KSM will be in freefall.
This is my Thesis, targets are purely hypothetical based on my analysis.
This is NOT Investment and/or Trading Advice.
Happy Trades!
❤️ If you enjoy my ideas , Please like/comment , It means a lot, Thank You! ❤️
HUOBI:KSMUSDT
BINANCE:KSMUSDT
FTX:KSMPERP
BYBIT:KSMUSDT
Broken head and shoulders neckline! Bearish on USDCAD!?Just broke the neckline of a pretty big head and shoulders.
I'm looking for a retest of broken neckline support to be confirmed as resistance at the first circle.
First target at longer term support, second target at the projection of the head and shoulders.
Wednesday's CPI data may help confirm direction.
SHORT on EUR/CHF We have a beautiful Head and Shoulders pattern on the Monthly Timeframe, Price has also broken the neckline of our Head and Shoulders.
I expect price to fall most of the year for this pair as it has taken a very long time to form this Pattern on the Monthly Timeframe.
I am waiting for a pullback to the new resistance area, then I will wait for the bears to come in then I will short this pair.
I am looking to catch anywhere from 200-600 pips easily.
BTC road to 28KHello everyone !
Now that Christmas is over we can start to go back to business, are you buying BTC? Are you afraid of loosing your opportunity?
Fear no more! Your favorite Youtube and Twitter influencers are out there to push you to buy BTC for 50K because it is cheap and bullish!
Ok, that was enough, do not buy anything green or far from support please.
Entry point for BTC could be 42K, or 28K.
BTC neckline will most likely not hold and this will bring us to the next major level of support which is 28K (Golden entry).
Have a nice trading week.
AMB - Trend-Following Buy Setup!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
AMB is overall bullish and now approaching the lower brown trendline acting as non-horizontal support, so we will be looking for buy setups.
on H4: AMB is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern , but it is still an idea.
Trigger => Waiting for the right shoulder to form then buy after a momentum candle close above the gray neckline.
Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, AMB would be overall bearish can still trade lower.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
DJI - Will support hold?DJ has been forming a roundish "top" / widening wedge. A sign of sluggish momentum for the past 6 months. It retested the "neckline" at around 3400 last week but once again it began to bounce off this neckline with a bullish divergence.
Despite the strong sell off in S&P and NQ last Friday, DJ was pretty much unfazed. I will not get overly concerned about US market weakness yet unless I start to see DJ breaking (with a decisive close below) this neckline.
Historically, the raising of interest rate is not necessarily bearish for the market (at least not at the first rate hike), although it would certainly create a short term knee jerk each time a rate hike is announced. It is only when the rates are raised beyond a certain % that markets may start to seriously loose momentum. Meaning we may have some months to go before we have to seriously concern with the possibility of a bear knocking at the door.
That said, I will still be erring on the side of bearishness if the neckline is breached in the near term.
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you. Do give me a thumbs up if you agree. Feel free to let me know what you think! :)
XNGUSD Technical analysis 4/12/2021This video consist the technical analysis of XNGUSD for the upoming week ( 6-10 December 2021) based on the price action. The market is now in down trend because it has broken and closed below both the neckline of head &shoulder pattern and the deep pullback support of the up trend.
The price is now at the broken resistance which could turn into support.
Bias
If the price consolidate at this area, it will be an indication that there sellers willing to continue pushing the price down or that there are no buyers to push the price up. In either case, we will trade breakout.
If the price forms a false breakout by forming a bullish candle which closes above the support, this will indicate the buyer's interest to push the market up. we will look for buying opportunities until we get a signal that the pullback is over and then we'll look for selling opportunities.
I hope you enjoyed this technical analysis and if you have a market which you want us to analyze with, just write it in the comment section or email us at info@ultimatetraders.rw.
May the market be with you!
Ciao.
Double Bottom on AUD/CAD @ W1This double bottom pattern has formed on the weekly chart of the AUD/CAD currency pair, signaling a potential reversal from the preceding downtrend. The two bottoms are marked with the yellow arcs; the neckline is marked with the yellow horizontal line. My potential entry level is at the cyan line. My potential take-profit level is at the green line. A stop-loss (not shown on the chart) can be set to the low of the breakout candle or to the low of the preceding candle if the breakout candle trades mostly outside of the pattern's borders.
SILVER REVERSED HEAD AND SHOULDERS FORMATIONSilver has formed huge reversed Head and Shoulders and we can see clear in the chart that XAGUSD made "Flat Top/Bottom" pattern also "Support and Resistace" has confirmed.
Metal as well is completing its pullback to the neckline, the target on the upwards side is 26$=27$.
The price broke yet another horizontal structure
Which indicates the inexhaustible strength of the bulls.
We can see breakout of the 25$ resistance and strong movement to 26.50$-28$
Same as GOLD , the metals are in Bullish mood.
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