Nifty Hits the 26K Wall—Market Awaits the Spark for a Big LeapAfter six consecutive gains, the Indian benchmark Nifty paused on Friday and slipped slightly from its recent highs, mainly due to profit booking.
Despite the mild correction, the index still ended the week in green, registering modest gains — a sign that the broader market sentiment remains upbeat.
Meanwhile, The India VIX declined 0.30% to 11.59, pointing to subdued market volatility.
Technical View:
On the charts, Nifty attempted a breakout above the 26,000 mark but couldn’t sustain above it.
According to Open Interest (OI) data:
● Resistance: 26,000 remains the strong resistance zone, with heavy call writing indicating a supply wall.
● Support: The 25,500–25,400 zone holds firm as crucial support, backed by significant put writing activity.
Key Triggers for the Week Ahead:
1. US Fed Meeting (Oct 28–29)
Markets will watch closely as the Federal Reserve meets this week. Experts widely expect a rate cut to support growth and ease borrowing costs.
2. Q2 FY26 Earnings Season
The ongoing earnings season will continue to drive stock-specific moves as major Indian corporates announce their quarterly results.
3. US–China Presidential Meeting
Investors will keep an eye on global cues from the upcoming U.S.–China talks, which could influence global sentiment and trade outlook.
4. India–US Trade Deal Progress
Reports suggest India is close to finalising a trade pact with the U.S. — a move that could further boost investor confidence if concluded smoothly.
Looking Ahead
Nifty seems to be catching its breath within a tight range of 25,400–26,000. The bias remains positive, but a decisive breakout above 26,000 is needed to confirm fresh upside momentum.
Until then, traders should focus on stock-specific opportunities, manage risk tightly and stay agile — the next breakout could set the tone for November’s trend.
Nift50
30 Months Channel of Nifty suggesting Father line supportThe 30 month channel in which Nifty is travelling seems to suggest that we are near 3 critical support zones. We might see a bottom formation within this week or the next week beginning. Perhaps the pain of retail investors might end soon with chances of sectoral rotation. Let us have a look at medium to long term outlook.
As we have indicated time and again Nifty comes to meet the father line and take ashirwaad of father once in a while this is that phase. Last time Nifty came to take father line support was in October 2023. It has been more than one year now and it was imperative for Nifty to meet the Father line. FIIs helped in the process by selling enmass.
Three Major Supports for Nifty are:
1) 200 day EMA or Father line at 23542.
2) High before Lok Sabha Election Results 23352.
3) Parallel Channel Bottom near 22845.
Either of these 3 levels can be the come back zones.
Three Major Resistances for Nifty going forward will be:
1) 24040 Critical short term trend line resistance.
2) Major Mother line (50 days EMA) Resistance at 24608.
3) Shoulder of the Head and Shoulder Breakdown from where the free fall started 25436.
4) Other important resistances will be at 26277 (Previous All Time High)
5) Channel Top resistance will be in the zone of 27037 to 27705.
To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon.
ITDCEM: Swing Long#ITDCEM: Is potential Long candidate for swing trade.
1) After a Good up trend paused and created a base, Now price approaching for break our region.
2) High Relative strength Vs #CNX500
3) Good AS Rating
4) Volume picking Up substantially as moving up.
5) Decent Fundamentals
6) FII & DII holding increased
7) Buy above 590 no overhead supply
8) Expected Target Base depth (142 + 590 = 732)
9) Keep 8% SL
Daily market analysis for tomorrow 6th july.Daily Show on NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, FINNIFTY and USDINR, where we try and predict the market direction for tomorrow by technical analysis, Open Interest (OI) data analysis, FII DII data analysis and much more. This show gives insights into the market and is especially useful if you are a beginner who has just started options trading and wants to learn how to trade using price action and other chart techniques.
Disclaimer: This is not an investment recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. We are doing this only to understand how to read derivative data and perform technical analysis. Strictly for educational purposes only.
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