NIO Shares Drop Below $5NIO Shares Drop Below $5
As the chart shows, the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), the Chinese manufacturer of “smart” electric vehicles, has fallen by roughly 30% over the past month and this week slipped below $5 for the first time since mid-August.
Among the bearish drivers:
→ the latest quarterly report revealed gross revenue below analysts’ expectations ($3.06bn versus $3.11bn);
→ a cautious outlook for vehicle deliveries in the upcoming quarter.
Market sentiment appears to have turned wary, given that:
→ the Chinese economy continues to show signs of slowing despite government stimulus;
→ NIO’s revenue prospects may remain constrained by intense competition from BYD, XPeng and Li Auto — a particularly concerning factor as NIO launches new models and sub-brands.
Even so, the NIO share chart does offer some glimmers of optimism.
Technical Analysis of NIO Shares
Using the higher highs and higher lows of 2025, it is possible to outline an ascending channel (shown in blue). Within this structure:
→ the price is hovering near the lower boundary of the channel, which may act as support;
→ the RSI indicator is displaying a bullish divergence.
Another encouraging signal lies in the recent price action: yesterday’s session opened with a bullish gap and ended higher, suggesting renewed buying interest emerging near the psychologically important $5 level.
It is therefore plausible that the bulls may attempt to keep NIO shares within the channel and even resume the upward trend. Whether they succeed, however, will depend largely on sales performance — and on forecasts for 2026 — for the company’s new sub-brands, ONVO and Firefly.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Niostock
NIO : predicts Intraday Short Setup (Bearish Bias)How AI predicts daily market moves...🚀📈
⚡ NYSE:NIO predicts Intraday Short Setup (Bearish Bias)
📊 Current Market Status
Price: $6.21
Data Quality: ✅ Good
Timeframe: 1-Min K-Line (Intraday)
🎯 Intraday Price Predictions
30-Min → $6.22 (+0.24%)
2-Hr → $6.11 (-1.54%)
End-of-Day → $6.17 (-0.65%)
📈 Extended Outlook
Final Target: $6.17 (-0.65%)
Predicted Volatility: 66.5%
Range: $5.79 – $6.23
⚖️ Trend Analysis
Direction: BEARISH
Confidence: 64%
Bias: 🔻 Leaning downside with volatility expansion
🔑 Key Levels
Support: $5.79
Resistance: $6.23
Range Size: 7.2% of price
🚨 Intraday Trade Signal
Direction: SHORT
Entry: $6.21
Target: $6.18
Stop: $6.30
Confidence: 64%
Expected Move: -0.7%
R/R: 0.34 : 1
Horizon: 390 min (day session)
NIO Share Price Shows Signs of StrengthNIO Share Price Shows Signs of Strength
This week, the media highlighted that the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), the Chinese smart electric vehicle manufacturer, fell after management announced a $1 billion share offering to raise capital. The funds are intended to finance projects such as the development of EV charging infrastructure.
Indeed, on 10 September, a wide bearish gap appeared on the chart, but by 11 September (yesterday) the bulls had almost entirely recovered the decline. This indicates bullish strength, possibly supported by a solid fundamental backdrop, driven by:
→ the expansion of NIO’s model range (which now includes the budget ONVO brand as well as the premium Firefly series);
→ higher delivery volumes – in the latest reporting quarter the company delivered 72,056 vehicles, up 25.6% compared to the previous period.
The NIO Inc. (NIO) price chart points to further bullish signals.
Technical Analysis of NIO Stock
Price movements are forming an ascending channel (shown in blue), with the following features:
→ The bulls managed to recover from the sharp decline 0→1, after which we observe the 1→6 sequence, typical of a bullish market, as each subsequent low and high is higher than the previous one.
→ Upward impulses are steep, while the subsequent pullbacks (which can be interpreted as a bullish flag pattern, shown in red) look like healthy corrections.
→ Key resistance levels are turning into support. This was the case with $4.40 and $5.30. The black arrow shows that the channel’s median line also acts as support – which led to the price moving above the psychological $6 level.
From a bearish perspective, resistance may be provided by the upper boundary of the current correction zone. However, the third bullish flag could be broken (as were the previous two), which would open the way for NIO’s share price to reach the upper boundary of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
An Important Bullish Pattern Forms on the NIO Share Price ChartAn Important Bullish Pattern Forms on the NIO Share Price Chart
Today, the share price of NIO Inc. (NIO), a Chinese manufacturer of "smart" electric vehicles, is trading above $4 – a development that may be viewed as an optimistic scenario following the drop to $3 in the first half of April, marking the lowest level in nearly five years.
Why Has NIO’s Share Price Risen?
Bullish sentiment has been supported by news that the company: → increased vehicle deliveries by 40.1% compared to the same period last year; → is launching its premium ET9 model, expanding its range of offerings.
Additionally, news offering hope that high tariffs in international trade may not hinder the company's growth has also had a positive impact on NIO’s share price.
Technical Analysis of NIO’s Share Price Chart
From the perspective of candlestick analysis on the daily chart, a "Three White Soldiers" pattern (marked with an arrow) can be observed. This is considered an important bullish signal, as according to Thomas Bulkowski, author of Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, following the formation of a "Three White Soldiers" pattern, a bearish trend (highlighted by the red channel) reverses to the upside in 82% of cases.
However, it is important to bear in mind that resistance may be encountered at:
→ the $4 per share level, as it previously served as a support;
→ the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the downward move between 12 March and 8 April.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NIO Stock Trades Below $5 Following Earnings ReportIn just three trading sessions, the stock of the Chinese electric vehicle company has dropped more than 14%, now hovering around $4.50 per share. The ongoing bearish move remains steady after the company reported a net loss of approximately $985 million and weaker-than-expected sales of $2.7 billion, compared to the $2.8 billion forecast. These disappointing results have fueled consistent selling pressure in recent hours.
New Lateral Range:
Recent price action has led to the formation of a sideways range, with resistance near $5.00 and support around $4.17. The recent bearish movement has pushed the stock to stabilize near the bottom half of this range, giving the current sideways formation more relevance, with no clear signs of a breakout in the short term.
MACD:
The MACD histogram continues to fluctuate near the neutral zero line, indicating that the average strength of recent moving averages is balanced, with no dominant directional bias in the short term. This suggests that the lateral formation may persist, keeping price movements neutral for now.
ADX:
However, it’s worth noting that the ADX line remains consistently above the 20 level, which may imply that recent price moves are gaining trend strength. If the ADX continues to rise above 20, this could reinforce the bearish momentum observed in recent sessions.
Key Levels:
$5.00 – Remains the most important resistance level , located at the top of the current range. Sustained moves above this level could mark the end of a long-term downtrend that has been in place since September 2024.
$4.53 – A key mid-range leve l, where the Ichimoku cloud and the 50- and 100-period moving averages converge. This may act as a neutral zone, where indecisive price action could continue, extending the current lateral formation.
$4.17 – Critical support level , aligned with the recent multi-month lows. A break below this level would signal a potential bearish breakout, possibly triggering a more aggressive downward trend in the short term.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NIO- showing signs of a potential bullish trend NIO Inc. is showing signs of a potential bullish trend in the short term, supported by both technical and fundamental factors:
Technical Perspective:
Strong Support Zone: The price is currently holding above a key support level near $4.50, previously marked as a "strong low," which indicates buyer interest in this zone.
Change of Character (CHoCH): Multiple CHoCH patterns visible on the chart suggest a potential reversal from the recent downtrend, pointing toward upward momentum.
Upside Target: The immediate resistance levels are between $5.00 and $5.50, which align with prior supply zones, presenting a potential target for bullish movement.
Fundamental Perspective:
Improving Sentiment: Recent developments in the EV industry, coupled with positive policy measures in China supporting the sector, could boost investor confidence in NIO.
Undervalued Price: Current levels suggest the stock is priced attractively, with the negative sentiment and earlier concerns appearing to be overdone, leaving room for recovery.
While the long-term trajectory depends on broader market conditions and company fundamentals, the short-term outlook points to a potential upward move toward $5.50.
NIO.Inc-ADR The formulation of ascending channel has potential?Technical analysis :
NIO - Is there potential here, as it was before, and is there something that can be collected. NIO has been part of my portfolio before quite a few times and it has had it's time to shine, but as it is now it's sitting in a very low level, with the recent gains, it might formulate a positive Ascending channel uptrend.
Fundamental Analysis :
NIO is a leading Chinese EV manufacturer, which recently a chieved record delliveries including 20,500 vehicles in Nomvember 2024. with a projected 77% YoY increase for December. With a 470.7$ Million investment and plans to launch four new models in 2025! NIO is positioned for growth based on these metrics. Analysts are projecting 52.71% upside supported by innovations like battery swapping and autonomous services.
Entry : On market open - 4.94$
Target 1: 6.04$
Target 2: 6.88$
Target 3: 7.70 NYSE:E
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
NIO Inc Falls Hard! All Targets Hit in 15-Minute Short TradeTechnical Analysis: NIO Inc – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
NIO Inc presented a strong short trade opportunity, with an entry at 6.76. The price has reached all profit targets, confirming the strength of the bearish trend.
Key Levels
Entry: 6.76 – The short trade was initiated at this level after a clear bearish signal.
Stop-Loss (SL): 6.83 – Positioned above resistance to guard against potential reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 6.68 – The first target was reached, confirming the initial bearish momentum.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 6.54 – Continued downside pressure pushed the price to this level.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 6.41 – The bearish momentum carried the price to this target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 6.32 – The final profit target, marking a successful and complete trade.
Trend Analysis
The price remained well below the Risological Dotted trendline, affirming the strength of the bearish trend. The steady selling pressure helped achieve all targets, indicating strong downward momentum in favor of sellers.
The short trade on NIO Inc has concluded successfully, hitting all targets, with the final target at 6.32. The clear downtrend and guidance from the Risological Dotted trendline ensured a profitable trade.
Nio’s Stock Soars 16% on $1.9 Billion Investment Deal Nio Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ), the Chinese electric vehicle (EV) giant, has once again made headlines as its U.S.-listed stock surged to double-digit gains, spurred by a significant investment announcement and renewed optimism in China's stock market. The stock climbed over 15% in premarket trading on Monday, marking its biggest jump in nearly five months. In this article, we’ll explore both the technical and fundamental drivers behind this surge, while also examining whether investors should proceed with optimism or caution.
The Strategic $1.9 Billion Investment
At the heart of Nio's stock rally is the news of a cash injection totaling RMB13.3 billion ($1.9 billion) from existing shareholders and strategic investors. This includes a mix of Nio's own cash and funds from key stakeholders such as Hefei Jianheng New Energy Automobile Investment Fund Partnership, Anhui Provincial Emerging Industry Investment Co., and CS Capital Co. These investors will contribute RMB3.3 billion in cash for new shares in Nio Holding Co., commonly known as Nio China. Meanwhile, Nio Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) will invest an additional RMB10 billion to bolster its China unit, although this will reduce its ownership stake to 88.3% from 92.1%.
This strategic investment is a major lifeline for Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ), which has been burning through cash and reported a Q2 2024 loss of RMB4.5 billion. Despite these losses, the company posted quarterly sales of RMB17.5 billion, surpassing expectations even amidst weakening demand in the EV market. Morgan Stanley analysts have pointed out that this new capital infusion will ease concerns around Nio’s liquidity, enhancing its near-term cash flow and solidifying its balance sheet.
Nio’s ability to attract investment from strategic players familiar with the Chinese EV landscape, such as Hefei Jianheng and Anhui Provincial Emerging Industry Investment, is notable. These entities were part of a $1 billion investment deal in 2020 that played a key role in alleviating cash flow concerns at the time. Given the fierce competition in China’s EV sector and the pressures from overseas tariffs, this cash injection provides Nio with the necessary fuel to continue its R&D investments in battery-swapping technology, charging infrastructure, and next-generation EV technology.
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has also been proactive in securing additional future funding. The company retains the option to invest up to RMB20 billion in Nio China by the end of 2025, further demonstrating its commitment to maintaining a dominant position in the rapidly evolving EV market.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, Nio’s recent price action has been nothing short of impressive. Monday’s 16% premarket surge catapulted the stock to new highs, defying expectations that the stock had already entered overbought territory. As of Friday, Nio’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 70.85, a level that typically signals overbought conditions. Despite this, the stock continued to rise sharply following the investment news, raising eyebrows among investors.
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has been trading in oversold territory for over five months, with its stock price battered by a mix of macroeconomic headwinds, slowing demand, and stiff competition within the EV space. Yet, the stock’s resurgence is now riding high on renewed optimism, especially given the company’s strengthened balance sheet and the positive reception of its strategic partnerships.
Nio’s key moving averages reflect a continued bullish trend, with the stock trading above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The surge in price has broken through several resistance levels, creating a fresh wave of momentum. However, investors should remain cautious given the stock’s RSI and the broader context of the market.
While Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) is currently riding high, key indexes like the NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 were not faring well in early Monday trading. This disconnect between Nio’s performance and broader market trends could signal that a correction may be on the horizon. The stock's support pivot at $5.64 remains a critical level to watch, and any negative developments—such as missed earnings or macroeconomic shifts—could see Nio retreat toward this level.
Industry Outlook: China’s EV Market and Nio’s Competitive Edge
Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has consistently focused on differentiating itself within China’s highly competitive EV market by investing in advanced technologies like battery swapping and autonomous driving. The company’s robust R&D spending, paired with its strategic partnerships, places it in a strong position to benefit from China’s continued push towards electrification.
China remains one of the world’s largest EV markets, with significant government support driving growth across the sector. However, Nio faces challenges from both domestic competitors, such as BYD and XPeng, and international giants like Tesla. The intense competition and shifting consumer preferences mean that Nio must continue innovating to retain its market share.
Nio’s long-term prospects are further bolstered by its multi-brand strategy and ambitions to expand beyond China. The company has set its sights on penetrating broader markets and leveraging its premium EV offerings through brands like ONVO. This diversified approach could be instrumental in driving sustainable growth, even as competition intensifies.
Conclusion: A Balanced Opportunity with Risks to Consider
Nio’s recent investment announcement and subsequent stock surge have given investors a reason to cheer, but the road ahead is not without risks. The company has taken significant steps to improve its balance sheet and strengthen its competitive position in the Chinese EV market. The strategic investments from key players underscore Nio’s leadership in the sector and provide much-needed cash for its ambitious growth plans.
On the technical side, while the stock’s recent surge has been impressive, the overbought conditions reflected by its RSI suggest that a pullback could be imminent. Investors should remain vigilant, especially in light of broader market uncertainty.
For long-term investors, Nio (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) offers a compelling growth story, backed by innovation, strategic partnerships, and strong government support. However, in the short term, it may be wise to wait for a potential cooldown before making any new investments.
Nio’s journey in the EV space is far from over, and as it navigates both challenges and opportunities, it remains one of the most intriguing players to watch in the global electric vehicle market.
NIO Surge 12% On Q2 2024 Financial ResultsKey Highlights
- Nio cuts losses while setting a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2.
- Deliveries jumped 143.9% year-over-year, and vehicle sales surged 118.2%.
- Nio’s Q3 guidance beats forecasts, showcasing resilience in a competitive EV market.
Overview
Nio, one of China’s leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience in the face of market challenges. The company set a new record for vehicle deliveries in Q2, with 57,373 units delivered—a 143.9% year-over-year increase. Vehicle sales grew by 118.2% to 15.68 billion yuan, showcasing the company’s ability to scale production and meet growing consumer demand.
Despite ongoing industry-wide pressures, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) managed to reduce its Q2 losses to 5.05 billion yuan ($694.4 million), a 16.7% improvement from the previous year. The company’s gross margin expanded significantly from 1.0% a year ago to 9.7%, driven by vehicle margin improvements, which nearly doubled to 12.2%. This indicates a stronger control over production costs and a focus on high-margin segments, especially in premium electric vehicles priced above 300,000 yuan ($42,327), where Nio commands over 40% market share.
Forward Outlook and Strategic Positioning
Founder and CEO William Bin Li emphasized Nio’s strong market positioning, highlighting their expectation for Q3 deliveries to reach another all-time high of between 61,000 to 63,000 units. This bullish outlook shows Nio’s continuous expansion efforts, including the launch of new models and enhancements in battery technology. The company’s projected Q3 revenue range of 19.11 billion yuan to 19.67 billion yuan further underlines its growth trajectory, surpassing analysts’ expectations.
With a robust cash position of 41.6 billion yuan ($5.7 billion) as of June 30, 2024, Nio is well-equipped to invest in research, development, and further scaling its production capabilities. This financial stability provides a buffer against potential market volatility, including ongoing tariff and regulatory pressures from global markets.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, Nio's stock (NYSE: NYSE:NIO ) has shown encouraging signs of recovery after a prolonged decline. The stock recently traded up 3.30% at $4.38 premarket, rebounding slightly from its 50% year-to-date drop. The recent surge in Nio’s ADRs suggests growing investor confidence, driven by the company’s strong Q2 performance and optimistic Q3 outlook.
The stock price is testing its 50-day moving average, a critical resistance level that, if breached, could signal a bullish reversal. With momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing a climb from oversold territory, Nio’s shares could be positioned for further upside if delivery and revenue growth trends continue.
Moreover, the volume of call options has increased, suggesting that traders are positioning for upward movement in the stock, particularly as Nio continues to solidify its market share in the premium EV segment. If the stock manages to break above the psychological $5.00 mark, it could trigger additional buying interest, supported by improved sentiment around China’s stimulus measures and consumer demand recovery.
Conclusion
Nio’s impressive Q2 performance, coupled with a strong forward outlook, positions the company as a formidable player in the global EV market. While broader industry challenges persist, Nio’s ability to cut losses, achieve record deliveries, and expand margins reflects sound management and strategic foresight. As Nio continues to navigate market complexities and execute its growth strategy, investors may find renewed optimism in the company’s long-term potential, bolstered by both fundamental strength and technical recovery signals.
Nio’s journey may still face bumps along the road, but its recent achievements suggest that the company is on track to emerge stronger, setting a solid foundation for future success in the rapidly evolving EV landscape.
$TSLA Retesting Critical Support Range After Earnings MissIf you've been following the analysis, we've hit quite a few short-term targets...
NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:TSLA | So far, we've seen a 40%+ move from our entry at $145.
Targets: $180 , $200 , $260 , $300, $450
After 29 weeks of analysis with consistent levels, a plan for scaling in, where to stop, and that big-picture thesis - this earnings leading into the RoboTaxi event will paint the rest of this picture.
Now let's take a look at the earnings readout:
Optimus Development
• A significant new addition to Tesla's innovative portfolio is the development of the Optimus robot, which Elon Musk recently announced is slated for low production by 2025 and high production by 2026.
• Optimus, expected to be utilized internally by Tesla as early as next year, represents a leap into robotics that could revolutionize labor and operational efficiency within Tesla’s manufacturing processes.
• It would be great to learn on the earnings call about the initial integration of Optimus into Tesla’s ecosystem, its production timeline, and the expected financial and operational impacts of this groundbreaking development.
Autonomous Driving
• The Q2 earnings call is anticipated to shed light on Tesla’s progress with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities and the Robotaxi service. The delay in the Robotaxi rollout, while initially a setback, has allowed Tesla additional time to refine and enhance its autonomous technology.
• Updates about the integration of FSD into the Robotaxi design -- which is central to Tesla's strategy in autonomous driving -- will be of interest. Tesla's vast real-world driving data fuels its AI, making continuous advancements possible and setting Tesla apart in the race towards fully autonomous vehicles.
• Elon Musk's vision for transforming Tesla into a leader in mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) will also be a focus. With Tesla's autonomous tech, the company is poised to dramatically reduce transportation costs, making mobility more accessible and affordable. The introduction of the Robotaxi and potential partnerships with existing ride-hailing services could significantly expand Tesla’s market reach and influence.
Energy Storage
• Tesla's energy storage segment is likely to be a focal point of the Q2 earnings, following its impressive growth. In 2023 and 2024, this segment's contribution to gross profit notably rose, accounting for less than 8% of revenue in Q1 but potentially reaching or exceeding 14% if revenue doubles sequentially as anticipated
• Last quarter, energy storage constituted 10.9% of Tesla’s $3.69 billion in gross profit, a significant increase from 3.7% in Q1 2023. The segment boasts a higher margin profile than Tesla’s automotive operations, achieving over a 24% gross margin in the first quarter. Despite this impressive growth, the expected surge in Q2 revenue will likely not substantially impact EPS, due to the automotive margin stabilizing around 18%
• Additionally, the role of energy storage in Tesla's long-term strategy to create a more sustainable energy ecosystem will be examined, with expectations for clear plans on how Tesla intends to leverage its tech capabilities to maintain leadership in this high-potential market.
China Market
• Tesla's strategy and performance in China will be another significant topic in the Q2 earnings report. Given the dynamic and highly competitive nature of the Chinese EV market, Tesla is expected to outline how it is adapting its business strategy to address local competition and regulatory challenges. This includes detailing efforts to optimize its Shanghai Gigafactory's output and innovations specific to the Chinese market
• Interest in Tesla’s customer engagement and marketing strategies in China, especially how Tesla plans to compete with local EV giants like NYSE:NIO , will be high. Furthermore, Tesla’s approach to managing supply chain issues, tariffs, and geopolitical tensions that could affect its operations will be critical.
Earnings Estimates
Q2 2024
• Sales $24.7B -- down 1% YoY
• GAAP EPS $0.48 -- down 38% YoY
FY Outlook
• Sales $99.4B -- up 33% YoY
• GAAP EPS $2.18 -- down 49% YoY
Forward looking, the future looks bright...
NIO stock - when to buy (NEW)NIO stock remains in a strong downtrend.
Generally we expect major indices such as NASDAQ and SPX to continue the downtrend as they already saw rejections from the major resistance line.
NIO looks kinda similar as it couldn't break the resistance. We expect the next leg down from where we are. The target for shorts and the buy area to play the bounce would be around $4,50 - 5 $.
If we see these prices, NIO stock would be down 93% from its ATH.
From there we expect to see some nice rally.
Reaching the buy area most likely will happen in Q1 2023. We will scoop up some for sure!
China's NIO & CATL Collaborates to Create Longer Life BatteriesIn a strategic move to drive innovation and lower the overall costs of electric vehicles (EVs), Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) has partnered with battery giant CATL to develop longer-lasting batteries. This collaboration aims to address the critical challenge of extending the lifespan of EV batteries, ultimately enhancing the affordability and sustainability of Nio's electric fleet.
Pioneering Battery Technology for Enhanced Efficiency:
Nio's founder and CEO, William Li, emphasized the significance of addressing the longevity of EV batteries, highlighting it as a critical issue facing the entire industry. By leveraging the expertise and resources of both companies, Nio and CATL are poised to pioneer advancements in battery technology that will significantly impact the "full life cycle" costs of EVs. This collaborative effort underscores a shared commitment to driving innovation and sustainability in the automotive sector.
Extending Battery Lifespan and Lowering Operating Costs:
With warranties typically covering EV batteries for eight years, Nio recognizes the urgency of extending battery lifespan to maximize the value for customers. By extending the lifespan of swappable batteries and reducing monthly rental fees, Nio aims to lower the overall costs of EV ownership, making electric vehicles more accessible to a broader range of consumers. This strategic approach aligns with Nio's commitment to delivering exceptional value and driving widespread adoption of sustainable transportation solutions.
Investing in Core Technologies and Infrastructure:
Despite external investments and strategic partnerships, Nio remains dedicated to investing in developing core technologies such as batteries. The company's focus on commercializing advanced battery technologies, including semi-solid-state batteries with a range of up to 1,000 km, underscores its commitment to innovation and leadership in the EV market. Additionally, Nio's investment in infrastructure for battery charging and swapping reflects its commitment to providing convenient and efficient charging solutions for EV drivers.
Driving Towards a Sustainable Future:
As Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) continues to expand its footprint in the electric vehicle market, the company remains committed to driving sustainable transportation solutions. With plans to unveil its second brand, Ledao, Nio aims to target a wider range of consumers and further solidify its position as a leader in the EV industry. By forging strategic partnerships, investing in innovative technologies, and prioritizing sustainability, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) is poised to drive the future of electric mobility and contribute to a cleaner, greener future for generations to come.
NIO's Side movements are getting close to a break Out/Down !Either we are consolidating, for Wave B then C down or this is some how could be counted as a base for Wave 3 trying to establish a ballistic move up. I have analyzed it extensively mentioning all probable bullish/Bearish out comes with statistics and probabilities. In a nut shell seasonality is favoring a bearish move Vs fundamentals, car production, that are favoring a bullish move. It looks very clear that we have completed a Macros ABC down from ATH. Now this is part, more probably, of a bullish macro move with ups/downs . Risk down is, if you are bullish, (-30%) according to probabilities Risk up if you are bearish is +200% according to probabilities.
Nio's Uphill Battle: Losses Mount Amidst Intense EV CompetitionNio Inc., ( NYSE:NIO ) once hailed as a trailblazer in China's electric vehicle (EV) market, faces mounting challenges as it grapples with widening losses amidst fierce competition. Despite strong delivery numbers and revenue beats, the company's annual deficit has expanded, reflecting the intensifying battle for supremacy in the world's largest EV market.
Navigating Financial Turbulence:
Nio's ( NYSE:NIO ) latest financial report paints a sobering picture, with the company reporting a staggering annual loss of $2.9 billion in 2023. Despite posting sales that exceeded expectations, Nio's net loss widened, highlighting the uphill struggle the company faces in turning a profit amidst fierce competition and rising operational costs.
Strategic Shifts and Product Innovation:
In response to mounting losses, Nio's management has outlined a series of strategic initiatives aimed at shoring up its financial position and bolstering its competitive edge. These include prioritizing business objectives, enhancing system capabilities, and optimizing cost management. Additionally, the company is exploring the launch of a mass-market brand to broaden its product portfolio and compete more effectively with rivals like Tesla Inc.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Despite facing headwinds, Nio ( NYSE:NIO ) remains optimistic about its future prospects, leveraging its technological prowess and innovative solutions to drive growth. The company's aggressive promotion of battery-swap technologies and strategic partnerships with key players in the industry underscore its commitment to staying ahead of the curve and addressing consumer concerns about range and charging times.
Investor Confidence and Market Outlook:
Nio's struggles have not gone unnoticed by investors, with the company's US-listed shares experiencing a significant decline this year. However, there are signs of resilience as the company continues to attract strategic investments and forge partnerships to support its growth initiatives. Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about Nio's long-term prospects, emphasizing the importance of prudent financial management and product innovation in navigating the evolving EV landscape.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, Nio's journey underscores the inherent challenges and opportunities in the rapidly evolving EV market. While the company faces significant headwinds, its commitment to innovation and strategic partnerships positions it well for future growth.
NIO - A Hidden Opportunity? NIO - NYSE:NIO
I have a feeling this will be an unpopular recommendation but the chart is telling there is an opportunity at hand to take a low risk trade.
▫️ NIO is 90% down from $66 ATH
▫️ MAX China FUD (contrarian senses tingling)
▫️ TA allows risk adjusted entry
The Chart
✅ RSI Bullish Divergence
⌛️ Potential green weekly reversal candle now
⌛️ Pending breakout from OBV pennant (coiling)
⌛️ Break above 200 Day (pending)
The chart has a similar pattern to the 2019-2021. Confirmation of the upward trend in 2019 was a break above the 200 day SMA and finding support on it (green circle), this also coincided with a break out of the coiling OBV in 2019 (green circle). These two signals are very useful as at present we are coiling within the OBV in similar fashion. A break out above the OBV resistance line in 2024 could infer the beginning of an upward move 👀
There may be a positive divergence in play here also which helps the bullish argument.
DOWNSIDE PROTECTION
If the OBV breaks to the downside losing the underside diagonal support, we exit the trade. We could watch for a loss of the lower RSI resistance line also but will likely occur in sync.
THE IDEAL ENTRY
Ultimately the best entry would once price finds support on the 200 day SMA. At present that's a close above c.$8.20. Worth noting that $8.20 is just above the Point of Control - the most traded price level in volume terms.
WHY ENTER NOW?
An initial small position can be placed now as we have had a 90% decline from ATH (a 90% discount for a long term investment isn't bad). We also have a positive RSI divergence and we have the OBV and RSI lower support levels to watch to exit to protect ourselves from the downside.
In the event we move higher, break out of OBV coil ,we can then add to the position, and if we break above the 200 MA and find support on it, we can add again. This allows for a low risk initial entry and as the trade moves in our favor we can add to the position as the conviction builds. We will either be quickly stopped out and lose very little or get in early entry with a 90% discount and get to play this long term investment position nicely.
Position size is key here folks, that first position is an amount your don't really care about as we do not have any confirmation of a trend change yet. This is early doors.
PUKA






















