NVIDIA Is it still a buy after its Earnings release?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) delivered stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings on Wednesday, but its data center revenue came in slightly below forecasts as U.S. restrictions on H20 chip sales to China weighed on results. The result was a 3.1% fall on the company's stock in after-hours trading following the report.
The obvious question is this: Is it still a buy?
The answer can be given by purely looking at the technicals. Based on the bigger picture, the stock's 5-month pattern remains a Channel Up since the April 07 bottom, and in fact the recent dip on August 20 was a Higher Low exactly on the pattern's bottom and almost on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been intact since May 06.
Given also the fact that the 1D CCI rebounded with aggression after marginally breaking below its oversold level (-100.00), similar to April 21, we expect NVIDIA to resume the bullish trend and extend this new Bullish Leg.
Since the last three Bullish Legs have all increased by a little more than +20%, we expect the price to easily reach our $200.00 long-term Target, before the next technical correction occurs.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NVDA
All Eyes on NVIDIA Earnings – Will AI Boom or Bust?👀 All Eyes on NVIDIA Earnings – Will AI Boom or Bust? 🎯
Hey guys, Kiri here – the FX Professor.
NVIDIA is at a crucial technical resistance around 182.85 . At the same time, the S&P 500 is already pumped above 6433 — showing strength, for now .
So, what happens next?
🧠 Let’s break it down:
• NVIDIA = The AI barometer 📊
• S&P = Already reacting positively 📈
• Crypto = Waiting in line 🪙
🤖 Earnings Scenarios:
1️⃣ Normal earnings:
Market holds — NVIDIA may stay sideways. Risk-on sentiment stays intact.
2️⃣ Good (even slightly good) earnings:
Likely breakout above 182.85.
S&P 500 could push higher.
Crypto benefits — especially AI-related coins.
3️⃣ Bad earnings:
🚨 Be very, very careful.
Could trigger a rotation out of AI, bring in “overvaluation” FUD.
Combine that with weak GPT-5 reviews? We might see a sharp correction.
Remember: Earnings don’t obey technical setups. This is a fundamental catalyst — and anything can happen. Toss a coin, roll the dice — it’s that kind of game.
📍 My Position:
I'm bullish until NVIDIA earnings drop .
But I’m not blind — the popcorn is ready 🍿 and I’m watching every tick.
The chart shows the key levels – support, parabola, re-entry zones, and risk-reward scenarios.
Stay sharp. This one matters.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be a HUMAN and as an AI-dev let me tell you this: AI will NEVER be able to come close to Human power: no feelings, no thinking, no intuition, no soul. YOU, my fellow human are the biggest strongest piece of Code. You are the best blockchain, your kids, your work, your hobbies, your pets and your Wisdom are the best Altcoins. Remember to live with Love and respect for yourself and for others.🌟🤝📈
NVDA Earnings Play | \$190C– Don’t Miss Out
# 🚀 NVDA Earnings Play | \$190C @ 2.49 | 200–400% Target 🎯
### 📝 Quick Take (TL;DR)
* **Bias:** Moderate-Bullish (78% confidence).
* **Rationale:** Fundamentals 🔥 + Options flow skewed bullish 📈 + Technicals constructive.
* **Main Risk:** China export \~\$8B headwind in guidance.
---
### 🎯 Trade Idea
* **Buy** NVDA **2025-08-29 \$190 Call**
* 📌 Entry: \$2.49 (ask) — enter **pre-earnings close** (Aug 26 AMC).
* 🛑 Stop: \$1.25 (−50%).
* 🎯 Targets:
* +200% → \$7.47
* +300% → \$9.96
* ⏳ Exit Rule: If neither stop/target hit, **close within 2h post-earnings open**.
* ⚖️ Risk: \$249 per contract (max loss).
---
### 📊 Why This Setup?
**Fundamentals (9/10)**
* Revenue growth: +69% TTM 🚀
* Margins elite (gross 70%, net 52%) 💰
* Beat history: 8/8 last quarters ✅
* Balance sheet strong (cash \~\$54B).
**Options Flow (8/10)**
* Implied move ~~5.9% (~~\$10.5).
* Call OI heavy @ \$185–\$200 (gamma cluster).
* Liquidity excellent at \$190 strike (OI >64k).
**Technicals (8/10)**
* Price \$179.83, holding above 20/50/200 MAs.
* RSI neutral (53).
* Resistance: \$184.5 / \$190 / \$200.
* Coiling under highs 🔄.
**Macro (6/10)**
* AI/data center demand = secular tailwind.
* China ban risk headline.
* VIX \~15 → complacency = bigger gap risk.
---
### ⚠️ Risks
* Guidance may highlight China hit (\$8B) → bearish gap.
* IV crush 30–50% post-print.
* Gap risk may bypass stop.
* Single-leg naked = high variance → **size small (≤2% portfolio).**
---
### 📌 Execution Checklist
✅ Confirm ask = 2.49 @ close.
✅ Expiry = 2025-08-29 (weekly).
✅ Size ≤ 2% acct.
✅ Close within 2h post-earnings if no trigger.
---
### 📊 TRADE JSON
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 190.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-29",
"confidence": 78,
"entry_price": 2.49,
"stop_loss": 1.245,
"profit_target": 7.47,
"size": 1,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_date": "2025-08-26",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 5.9,
"iv_rank": 0.75,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-26 14:00:37 UTC-04:00"
}
```
---
### 🔖 Hashtags
\#NVDA #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #StockMarket #AIStocks #Futures #SwingTrade #TradingSignals #RiskReward #OptionsFlow #SP500 #TechStocks
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NVDA before the split:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-12-19,
for a premium of approximately $10.30.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NVDA \$200C→ Big Move Loading?
# 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Setup | \$200 Call 🎯 (High Risk / High Reward)
📊 **TRADE SNAPSHOT**
* **Ticker**: NVDA
* **Direction**: 📈 CALL (LONG)
* **Strike**: \$200
* **Entry Price**: \$1.44
* **Profit Target**: \$2.16 (50% gain)
* **Stop Loss**: \$0.58 (40% risk)
* **Expiry**: 2025-08-29
* **Confidence**: 65%
* **Timing**: Enter at Open
* **Signal Time**: 2025-08-23 11:11 EDT
---
### 🔎 Market Analysis
✅ **Weekly RSI**: 87.2 (RISING → Strong Bullish)
⚠️ **Daily RSI**: 63.3 (FALLING → Short-term caution)
📉 **Volume**: 0.9x last week (Weak confirmation)
🔥 **Options Flow**: Calls 617k vs. Puts 383k → **1.61 ratio (Bullish Bias)**
---
### 📈 Bias & Strategy
* **Overall Sentiment**: **Moderate Bullish** 🚀
* Bullish institutions loading Calls → supports upside.
* Weak daily momentum + low volume = ⚠️ caution.
* High gamma risk → manage tight with stop loss.
🏷 **Tags**:
\#NVDA #OptionsTrading #SwingTrade #WeeklyOptions #TradingView #StockMarket #EarningsPlay #MomentumTrading #OptionsFlow #GammaRisk
Nvidia (NVDA) Upcoming Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Upcoming Earnings Report
Tomorrow after hours, Nvidia will release its quarterly report, attracting heightened attention given its position as:
→ the world’s largest company (market capitalisation of around $4.39 trillion);
→ a leader in the development of AI-related industries;
→ strong stock price performance — approximately +33% year-to-date, +108% from the yearly low.
Bullish Expectations
Analysts anticipate Nvidia will report revenue of around $46 billion, more than 50% higher than the same period last year.
Investors are counting on confirmation of robust demand for Nvidia’s chips from tech giants such as Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta, all of which continue to expand capital expenditure on data centres to power AI workloads.
Further support for NVDA’s share price could come from positive news about demand for the new Blackwell chips and the resumption of sales in China following a recent agreement with the US government.
Bearish Concerns
Even strong results may fall short of “sky-high” optimistic expectations, potentially triggering profit-taking and a decline in Nvidia’s (NVDA) stock price. The stock trades at a high P/E multiple (price-to-earnings ratio), making it vulnerable to any negative news or even a minor miss against forecasts.
The primary concern is that Nvidia’s forward guidance might point to a slowdown in AI infrastructure spending growth by its key clients. Any hint of this could negatively affect not only Nvidia’s shares but also the broader technology sector.
Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) Chart
NVDA’s share price remains within an upward channel (shown in blue), with the following configuration:
→ until mid-August, the price remained within the upper half of the channel;
→ in August, the price declined towards the lower boundary (point A).
The $170 level appears to be a key support:
→ it is a round psychological level;
→ the low at point A looks like an aggressive test of this level, after which the price reversed upward.
From a bullish perspective:
→ support is provided by the lower boundary of the channel;
→ a long bullish candlestick (2) signals persistent demand.
From a bearish perspective, the $183 level looks like key resistance: NVDA’s share price slowed its advance here in early August, with repeated unsuccessful attempts to break higher.
Given the above, we could assume that the bulls may attempt to push through the $183 resistance on the back of the earnings release, but to do so, Nvidia’s results and guidance must at least meet the market’s extremely optimistic expectations.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA Catalysts Ranking: September 2025 update and Path ForwardHere's an updated/revised outlook for TSLA including all the primary
catalyst ranking and analyst ratings and overview of latest developments
this was updated for September 2025 with all the viable market data.
🤖1. Autonomous & Robotaxi Execution (↑ from 8.5 to 9/10)
• Why it matters: Tesla officially launched its Robotaxi service in Austin on June 22, 2025, deploying a small fleet of 10–20 invite-only Model Ys operating within a geofence and featuring human safety monitors..
• The stock rallied impressively—up 9%–11% on launch day..
• Regulatory scrutiny intensified as the NHTSA launched probes into delayed crash reporting and other safety concerns..
• Musk also touted FSD v14 as 2–3× safer than humans, with v15 aiming to be 10× safer—but cautioned debugging would take "several months.".
• Why the bump to 9/10? The real-world rollout is finally underway, drawing heavy investor focus—even amidst safety questions.
________________________________________
🌍2. EV Demand Growth & Geographic Recovery (holds at 9/10)
• Despite a 13% year over year global sales drop in H1 2025, future demand hinges on Amazon of lower priced models and tax credit extensions..
• Strong upward investor sentiment: TSLA is up 54% over the past year, despite being down ~16% YTD..
• Why still 9/10? Long-term EV momentum remains solid; a rebound may follow new launches or incentive shifts.
________________________________________
💸3. U.S. EV Tax Credits & Incentives (↑ from 6 to 7.5/10)
• The $7,500 EV tax credit—set to expire September 30—has been extended: now, buyers can qualify with a signed purchase agreement, even before delivery..
• However, expiration still looms and could dampen demand..
• Why bump to 7.5/10? The extension buys breathing room and could stabilize near-term demand.
________________________________________
📉4. Fed & Interest Rates (↑ from 5 to 6.5/10)
• On August 22, Tesla led a mega cap tech rally (up 6%+) after Fed chair hinted at possible rate cuts—lower borrowing costs may aid EV financing..
• Why improved score? Lower rates remain a key catalyst for big-ticket items like EVs.
________________________________________
🎭5. Affordable Entry-Level Model / Next-Gen Platform (holds at 8.5/10)
• Musk revealed the upcoming affordable model may resemble a Model Y and could launch slower than expected post tax credit expiration..
• The “next gen” platform—including the so called “Model 2/Q” or Cybercab—targets mid 2025 production..
• With delays likely, expectations remain high but execution risk persists.
________________________________________
🔋6. Battery Cost & Margin Improvement (holds at 8/10)
• Q2 margins improved modestly, supported by cost cuts and energy business growth..
• Yet, regulatory credits continue to decline (–51%), pressuring margins..
________________________________________
🤖7. Energy & AI Upside (new 8/10)
• Tesla is doubling down on autonomy and energy. Musk highlighted robotaxi, energy storage, and its humanoid Optimus robot, slated for early 2026..
• Wedbush’s Dan Ives sees Tesla as an “embodied AI compounder,” while William Blair estimates self driving could be worth nearly $1 trillion..
• This iterative AI and energy focus is a compelling re-rating vector.
________________________________________
📊 8. Safety, Regulatory & Governance Risk (↑ to 7/10)
• NHTSA’s probe into crash-report delays, plus ongoing FSD safety concerns, elevate tail risk..
• Musk’s political entanglements have had adverse brand impacts; while stepping back from new political initiatives helped marginally, skepticism persists..
• Added governance scrutiny and Musk’s external ventures continue to weigh on sentiment.
________________________________________
🚩9. Competition & Global Sales Slump (holds at 6.5/10)
• EV rivalry heats up, and Tesla’s European and Chinese market share slumped significantly.
• Still a notable headwind.
________________________________________
✅10. Commodities & Raw Material Costs (holds at 5.5/10)
• Volatile raw material prices continue to affect margins; hedges help but don't eliminate the risk.
________________________________________
🚀11. Macro & Trade Policies (new 6/10)
• Tariff risks and global trade instability persist. Musk has warned of “rough quarters” ahead linked to these macro risks..
• Considered separately, worth tracking but less immediate than others.
________________________________________
Updated Catalyst Scorecard
Rank Catalyst Score
1 Autonomous & Robotaxi Execution 9
2 EV Demand Growth 9
3 Affordable Entry-Level Model 8.5
4 Battery Cost & Margin Improvement 8
5 Energy & AI Upside 8
6 U.S. EV Incentives 7.5
7 Safety, Regulatory & Governance Risk 7
8 Fed & Interest Rates 6.5
9 Competition & Global Sales Slump 6.5
10 Macro & Trade Policy Risks 6
11 Commodities & Raw Material Costs 5.5
________________________________________
📊Analyst Ratings & Price Targets (Updated)
• Median 12-month price target: ~$303–$307, implying slight downside from current ~$346..
• High-end bulls: Dan Ives (Wedbush) at $500; Benchmark raised to $475..
• Cautious voices: UBS remains bearish at $215, saying robotaxi upside may be priced-in..
• Wolfe Research: warns near-term earnings estimates are too optimistic, free cash flow may remain under pressure..
________________________________________
🔍Recent Headlines You Should Know
• Robotaxi launch in Austin, promoting optimism but drawing scrutiny..
• FSD & Optimus focus, backed by bullish commentary like “embodied AI compounder.”.
• EV credit tweak buys time for deliveries and demand..
• Fed hinting at rate cuts, offering cyclical lift..
• Q2 earnings miss on EPS and revenue, but autonomy/energy pushed narrative..
________________________________________
• Bull Case: Robotaxi and AI drive restore investor confidence, pushing targets toward $475–$500.
• Base Case: Steady but cautious—watch for execution on autonomous and cost-efficiency.
• Bear Case: Renewed delivery slumps, regulatory blowback, or failed rollout could weigh toward downside support in the $300–$330 range.
NVDA Earnings, US GDP, US Core PCE - August Wrap-UpAs if Jackson Hole noise wasn't enough, sprinkle in some additional major news
for this week.
NVDA Earnings (After Close Wednesday)
US GDP (Thursday)
US Unemployment Claims (Thursday)
US PCE / US Core PCE (Friday)
NVDA at nearly 8% market cap for S&P can certainly move the market
Look at NVDA, MAGS, SPY, QQQ and they all look like 50/50 charts - price could
go either direction
NVDA expecting +/- 11.00 points on the week, average earnings move is around 12.66 points
I'm looking to fade any big gap on NVDA into September monthly and quarterly expirations with low risk options trades and I'm also deleveraging some of my naked puts and ratio spreads
to take profits and add more buying power for the end of year
I'll be watching - let's see how everything shakes out
Traders caught off guard --- Now NVDA's Reverse Cup and HandleTraders were caught off guard by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s unexpectedly dovish tone at the Jackson Hole symposium.
In his keynote, Powell highlighted softening inflation risks and growing concerns over the labour market, boosting market expectations of a 25-basis point rate cut in September.
The speech ignited a strong cross-asset rally. Equities surged, with the S&P 500 up 1.5% and the Nasdaq advancing 1.9%. Ethereum led digital assets higher, soaring 15%, climbing as high as $4,950 and surpassing its previous November 2021 high of $4,866. Silver also rallied, touching $39 per ounce and moving closer to its 14-year peak of $39.5 reached at the end of July.
Looking ahead, U.S. markets will turn their focus to Nvidia’s upcoming earnings results. Price action shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, but the stock has recently faced resistance near $190. Price potentially remains supported around $170, which aligns with the breakout zone from early August.
XRP BULLISH CONTINUATION ! XRP has been consolidated between the areas of $3.30 and $2.82. The SEC has finally concluded its appeal and settled on a fine on Ripples end. Immediately after, about 7 ETF’s were filed on behalf of XRP, as well as SWIFT announcing the introduction of XRP and HBAR in cross border payments. As mentioned in recent posts, XRP should be headed above the resistance at $3.31 and break towards $4, $5 and possibly above. I believe this will be a quick and solid crypto season, before a possible exhaustion in this next wave.
This is not financial advice.
Good luck! -R2C
NVDA – Decision Week Ahead $200 or $140?NVIDIA (NVDA) has been on an incredible bull run, climbing from $140 to nearly $180+ in just 2–3 months. Now, with earnings coming this week, the market is at a decision point: Will the AI leader extend its rally toward $200 🚀, or will profit-taking and cautious guidance send it back toward $150 📉?
🟢 Bullish Scenario
Entry points: 170→165→160
Targets: $185 → $190 → $200+
Lose $170? I’ll wait patiently for $150–140 before sizing back in.
🔴 Bearish Scenario – Pullback to $150–140
If earnings disappoint or guidance weakens (China restrictions, slowing demand), NVDA could unwind toward prior support.
Entry Points (for long re-entry after correction):
$160
$150
$140
Targets on recovery: $160 → $175 → $190
📌 Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal trading plan, not financial advice. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
3 Actionable FX Strategies — With Real Trade Examples👋 Below are three practical strategies you can plug into your playbook today:
1. swing reversals (80+ pips), 2) short-term scalps (20–40 pips), and 3) the London range breakout (≈40 pips). Each section includes rules of engagement, risk management, and three real-market case studies on EURUSD and GBPUSD with conservative stops.
________________________________________
🔁 Strategy 1 — 4H Swing Reversals (Target: 80–120 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Identify exhaustion into a higher-timeframe S/R zone (4H/Day).
• Look for a reversal signal (engulfing/pin bar, momentum shift, or divergence) and a confirmation close.
• Conservative stop: beyond the swing extreme or ~1× ATR(14) on the entry timeframe.
• Take-profit: next HTF level or ≥ 1.8R, aiming for 80+ pips.
Case study A — EURUSD long (Jackson Hole boost) 📈
• When: Aug 22, 2025, NY session after Powell; EURUSD pushed above 1.1700 on broad USD weakness.
• Plan: After a 4H close back above 1.1700, buy a retest ~1.1705.
• Stop: 1.1650 (≈55 pips).
• Target: 1.1790 (≈85 pips).
Case study B — GBPUSD short (post-CPI fade) 📉
• When: May 21, 2025, UK CPI spike ran to 1.34695 then faded.
• Plan: After a 15–30m lower high below 1.3460, sell break of 1.3435.
• Stop: 1.3490 (≈55 pips).
• Target: 1.3345 (≈90 pips).
Case study C — EURUSD short (overextended pullback) 🔻
• When: Jul 1, 2025, EURUSD briefly poked above 1.1800 then eased.
• Plan: Sell 1.1775 after a 1H bearish engulfing.
• Stop: 1.1825 (≈50 pips).
• Target: 1.1690 (≈85 pips).
________________________________________
⚡ Strategy 2 — Short-Term Scalping (Target: 20–40 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Trade during high liquidity (London open or London/NY overlap).
• Use 1–5m charts: micro S/R + round numbers, quick momentum bursts.
• Conservative stop: 8–15 pips (just beyond the micro structure).
• Take-profit: 20–40 pips or to next intraday level.
Case study D — EURUSD scalp long (pre-Jackson Hole range) ⏱️
• When: Aug 21, 2025, Europe a.m.; EURUSD near 1.1650.
• Plan: Buy break-and-retest 1.1665.
• Stop: 1.1652 (≈13 pips).
• Target: 1.1687 (≈22 pips).
Case study E — GBPUSD scalp long (soft US CPI pop) 💥
• When: May 13, 2025, post-US CPI tone lifted risk; GBPUSD ~1.3226.
• Plan: Buy 1.3218 → 1.3242 after higher-low.
• Stop: 1.3208 (≈10 pips).
• Target: +24 pips.
Case study F — EURUSD scalp long (grind to 1.09) 🚀
• When: Mar 11, 2025, London morning; EURUSD nudged to 1.0890 / kissed 1.0900.
• Plan: Buy 1.0885 on retest.
• Stop: 1.0875 (≈10 pips).
• Target: 1.0905 (≈20 pips).
________________________________________
🕘 Strategy 3 — London Range Breakout (Target: ~40 pips)
Setup 🧩
• Mark the Asian/Late-Asia range before 08:00 London.
• Trade the first clean break/close outside the box.
• Entry: stop order beyond the box high/low.
• Conservative stop: opposite side of the box or box size + buffer (≤40–50 pips).
• Take-profit: ~40 pips (scale at 20 pips).
Case study G — GBPUSD upside break (calm pre-CPI session) 📦➡️📈
• When: Mar 25, 2025, London a.m.; GBPUSD drifted toward 1.2950.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~22 pips.
• Plan: Buy box high +3 pips (≈1.2953).
• Stop: 1.2930 (≈23 pips).
• Target: 1.2993 (≈40 pips).
Case study H — EURUSD downside break (trend day toward 1.09) 📦➡️📉
• When: May 12, 2025, EURUSD bias turned lower and eyed the 1.09 handle.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~28 pips.
• Plan: Sell box low −3 pips (≈1.0978).
• Stop: 1.1008 (≈30 pips).
• Target: 1.0938 (≈40 pips).
Case study I — GBPUSD downside break (inflation-week nerves) 📦➡️🔻
• When: Aug 12, 2025, London a.m.; GBPUSD softened from a two-week high.
• Box: 05:00–08:00 London ~24 pips.
• Plan: Sell box low −2 pips (≈1.3446).
• Stop: 1.3472 (≈26 pips).
• Target: 1.3406 (≈40 pips).
________________________________________
🛡️ Risk Management (applies to all three)
• Risk small per trade (e.g., 0.5–1%).
• Stops beyond structure: previous swing/box edge or ATR-based to avoid noise.
• News filter: avoid fresh entries seconds before major economic data.
________________________________________
🧰 Quick Checklists
Swing reversal (4H) ✅
🎯 Level picked • 📉 Reversal signal • 🛑 Stop beyond swing/ATR • 📐 ≥1.8R • 📰 No imminent shock
Scalp (1–5m) ✅
⏱️ Active session • 🔍 Micro S/R & round numbers • 🛑 8–15 pip stop • 🎯 20–40 pips • ✂️ Partial at +10–15
London breakout ✅
🕗 Box 05:00–08:00 • 📦 Reasonable width • 🚀 First break/close • 🛑 Stop other side • 🎯 ≈40 pips
________________________________________
⚠️ Final word
These examples show how setups map onto real market context. Adapt entries/levels to your feed and spreads. Nothing here is financial advice—test and size appropriately.
________________________________________
Is Fridays Bounce a Bull Trap?CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! stock market Forecast
Nvidia Stock NASDAQ:NVDA Forecast
Apple Stock NASDAQ:AAPL Forecast
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast
Google Stock GOOGL Forecast
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast
Magnificent 7 stocks forecast
SPY | Leap of Doom?SPY just jumped...
The wrong way up!
To sustain you must conserve. To climb up a hill, you need energy, resources like food and water. The energy they give you far out-weighs their absolute mass. Therefore it makes sense for you to carry them.
And they have taken you very far...
But now you have run out of energy.
Price growth needs transaction volume to have strength and meaning.
You are too light(headed) to realize that moving further up is a dead-end.
THIS IS NOT SOMETHING SMALL.
SPY is one of the largest Funds in the world. A first-ever major violation of volume trend, in such a big index, must not be ignored. Imagine what is happening underneath...
Look at some examples:
NVDA
The most massive of companies, has a multi-year issue with volume.
MSFT
Unlike its first growth, Microsoft has a tremendous loss of strength in volume metrics.
Such long-term drop in volume means that companies offload real stocks for cheap futures .
We witness the same with Bitcoin...
And gold...
Not quite doomed yet, but troublesome still.
TSLA
Tesla with their shiny and financially pointless cars, has made a pointless growth. Just like many stocks as you will soon realize.
AAPL
The masses, even though their name suggests that they have some matter, in reality they don't. 10% of people have 90% of wealth. Investors have long left Apple, leaving the hoard inside to bubble up the dream.
There is more and more proof that the Fab5 (well the Fab500 as we can see from SPY/SPX) are replacing stocks with derivatives. Real money replaced by weapons of mass destruction, just like Warren Buffett said.
Good luck to us all...
PS. Something irrelevant to stocks, but relevant to the fundamentals of investing in AAPL.
Judging by the recent UI decisions, they trapped the users in bubbles and they are unable to see the truth. Brilliantly, they changed the name of soap bubbles to liquid glass. (bubbles are shiny, crystals are rough).
As a long-time Apple user, now not much of an Apple lover, I know quite well the changing philosophy of them. iPhone (and all products) began as a phone for the "smart" ones and ended up the No1 desire for the masses.
After a decade, I have switched to Fedora Silverblue for 90% of my leisure.
Intel in 2025: The Pre-Boom Echo of Early Nvidia?In 2018, Nvidia (NVDA) was trading at a fraction of its current valuation, largely overlooked despite its cutting-edge GPU tech and early AI involvement. Fast forward to 2023–2024, it became the poster child of the AI revolution, with exponential growth driven by massive demand for AI infrastructure. Intel (INTC) today mirrors that earlier phase: undervalued, undergoing strategic shifts (Gaudi AI chips, foundry expansion, AI PCs), and investing heavily in AI and semiconductor independence in the West. While NVDA had clear early tech leadership, Intel is positioning itself as the alternative > a comeback story with geopolitical tailwinds, untapped AI potential, and a lower price entry. If history rhymes, Intel might be where NVDA was , not in dominance, but in opportunity.
Easy words, BUY SOME AND HOLD!!!
Nvidia Shares Maintain Bearish Bias Near $170Over the past three trading sessions, Nvidia’s shares have posted a sharp decline, accumulating losses of more than 3% in the short term. For now, the emerging selling bias around the stock remains in place, as the market fears a potential overheating of the artificial intelligence industry. Added to this is the anticipation of the company’s results on August 27, which may show difficulties in revenue, mainly due to concerns that sales in China have weakened in recent months amid the intensifying trade war. Earnings per share are expected to come in around $0.94, but uncertainty remains as to whether this figure can hold given possible performance challenges. As long as this uncertainty persists, selling pressure on the stock could remain in the short term.
Uptrend Channel at Risk
Recent sessions have shown a clear shift in the bullish outlook that Nvidia had been sustaining in prior weeks. A significant bearish correction has emerged, halting the advance of the short-term uptrend channel and leading to a breakdown of its lower boundary. As long as selling pressure continues, this previous channel may lose relevance and give way to a broader bearish scenario, provided the bearish bias remains dominant.
Technical Indicators
RSI: the RSI line has begun to show a downward slope, now approaching the neutral 50 level. If it breaks below this threshold, selling momentum could become dominant in the short term, paving the way for stronger bearish pressure on the chart in the upcoming sessions.
MACD: the MACD histogram is currently moving below the 0 line, reflecting that short-term moving averages have entered a sustained bearish territory. If the histogram continues to decline, selling pressure is likely to strengthen further in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
$184 – Main Resistance: corresponds to the area of recent highs. A sustained recovery above this level could reactivate a bullish bias and bring back strength to the uptrend channel.
$173 – Near-Term Support: current congestion zone of recent weeks and the most immediate barrier. A sustained move below this level could trigger a stronger bearish bias in the short term.
$162 – Crucial Support: aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A decisive break below this level would confirm a bearish structural shift, opening the door to a new selling trend in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Nvidia - This is clearly not the end!📐Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will simply rally more:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, over the past couple of months, Nvidia has been rallying another +100%. But looking at the higher timeframe, this is still not the end of the unbelievable bullrun. Following the rising channel pattern, Nvidia can rally another +20% before we might see a potential retracement.
📝Levels to watch:
$250
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Strong Bullish Flow in NVDA: $180 Calls Primed for Breakout! 🚀 NVDA Weekly Options Bullish Flow – Aug 19, 2025
**Market Sentiment:**
📈 Total calls: **632,689** | Total puts: **334,721**
💥 **Call/Put Ratio: 1.89 → Strong Weekly Bullish Flow**
⚠️ Gamma Risk: Moderate – watch volatility closely.
**Technical Indicators:**
* **Daily RSI:** 63.3 → slight pullback signs
* **Weekly RSI:** 87.2 → 🚀 strong weekly momentum
* **Weekly Volume Ratio:** 0.9x → weak institutional activity, caution advised
**Options Highlights:**
* Key strikes: **\$180** (OI: 65,649), **\$187.50** (liquid and premium-friendly)
* Expiration in **3 days** → time decay accelerating
**Risks to Monitor:**
* Weak weekly volume
* Daily RSI trending down
* Price support at **\$175.90–\$176.00**
**Consensus & Trade Setup:**
* **Overall Bias:** Moderate Bullish
* **Recommended Trade:** **Single-leg Call**
* **Strike:** \$180.00
* **Entry:** \$3.60
* **Stop Loss:** \$1.80
* **Profit Target:** \$6.00–\$7.50 (80%-100% potential)
* **Confidence:** 65%
**Trade JSON Snapshot:**
```json
{
"instrument": "NVDA",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 180.0,
"expiry": "2025-08-22",
"confidence": 0.65,
"profit_target": 6.00,
"stop_loss": 1.80,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 3.60,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-19 13:15:57 EDT"
}
ALAB $304 After Consolidation Around $180 Resistance/SupportALAB had a big rise today into $180 resistance. This should be an area where a small pullback occurs or a further rise and then pullback into what will be $180 support. (Personally I'm leaning towards pullback above $180 rather than below)
Keep an eye on the major trendline as if ALAB gets too far away it will eventually want back to that trendline.
$304 is the next target. All Information Technology / Computer stocks are in the middle of the a big uptrend so this one has room to run.
NVDA – Two Scenarios on the Table: 200 or 140?NVIDIA has been the undeniable leader of the AI revolution, pushing higher for months and hitting fresh highs around $180+. But after such a strong rally, the market often faces a “decision zone”: either break higher with momentum or take a healthy correction.
That’s why I’m laying out two clear trade paths — bullish continuation 🚀 and bearish retracement 📉.
✅ Bullish Scenario (Momentum Continues → $200)
Entry Points (Bullish):
$178
$170
$160
Profit Targets:
TP1: $185
TP2: $190
TP3: $200+
⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Healthy Correction → $140 Entry)
If momentum fades and sellers push NVDA below $170, a correction toward $140 is possible — which would actually be a great long-term entry for buyers waiting on the sidelines.
Entry Points (Bearish Long Setup):
$160
$150
$140 (ideal deep value entry zone)
Profit Targets on Rebound:
TP1: $160
TP2: $175
TP3: $190
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m sharing my personal trading view for educational purposes. Always do your own research and manage risk before entering any trade.