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Bear Call Spread on JNJBear Call Spread Sell 195 Call strike and Buy 200 Call Strike, Exp: Nov 28 (45 DTE) for no less than $1.55 Trade has about 67% probability of profit Taking advantage of high IV rank of 40 Credit received = $155 BP Effect = $345 Max Loss = (5 - 1.55) * 100 = $345 Breakeven = 195 + 1.55 = $196.55 Percentage return: (155 / 345) * 100 =44.928% Exit Target: 40% - 70% of Credit received ($62 - $108.50) Stop-loss: close if price threatens the short strike and cost to buy back exceeds 50% of max loss or predefined dollar loss, Exit no later than 7 days before expiration JNJ has seen a significant rise and it at ATH, RSI indicator also shows JNJ being overbought Trade is just for educational purposes and willing to learn consistent option trading
NYSE:JNJ
by Hustle_251_Days
1
The Options Mirage: The Jackpot That’s Rigged Against YouMost retail traders fall in love with options because they seem to offer the impossible: with just a few hundred dollars you can dream of outsized returns. Fast money, easy money—at least that’s the story. With the right broker account and a handful of trades, the dream of becoming rich feels just around the corner. What you’re not told—and what few truly understand given the complexity of the product—is that the “explosive payout” is not an opportunity. It’s a price. A very high one. And often inflated by the industry itself, knowing that the average investor (or rather, gambler) has no real way to calculate what they’re actually paying for. What you’re really buying is access to an extremely low probability of success, dressed up as a sophisticated strategy. Yes, it’s the same psychology that drives lotteries and sports betting. And in finance, the odds aren’t any kinder. The Baseline: the Where At its simplest, speculation is about anticipating an up or down move in price. Think it’s going up? Buy and aim to sell higher. Think it’s going down? Sell and aim to buy back lower. It sounds simple, but anyone with more than a month of trading experience can tell you it’s anything but. No one can predict the future with certainty. Still, this is at least a binary game: two mutually exclusive outcomes, like flipping a coin. In technical terms, the market starts as a 50/50 distribution. With skill, analysis, and discipline, you might bias those odds slightly—say, 60/40 in your favor. That bias, repeated consistently, is what we call an edge. And with an edge, the path to long-term success is paved. The Illusion of Acceleration But let’s be honest: who wants to grind out a 60/40 edge slowly? We’re here for the Lamborghini, right? And the sooner the better. That’s where the industry steps in with its “solution”: options. The promise is seductive—leverage the process, accelerate the outcome. With little money down, you can aim for massive returns. What’s not to like? The problem is that the acceleration doesn’t come for free. To deliver those explosive payouts, the game adds layers of complexity. From Where… to How and When In options, you don’t just need to be right about where price is going. You also need to be right about how it moves. That’s volatility—the speed and amplitude of the move. Even if you guess the direction correctly, if the move isn’t strong enough to beat strike + premium, you lose. And then comes the when. Options expire. Time works against you. With the rise of 0DTE options, this window has shrunk to a single day. You might be perfectly right on direction and volatility—but if it happens tomorrow instead of today, your trade is worthless. Now here’s the key point: this isn’t additive complexity. It’s multiplicative. Each layer collapses your probability of success exponentially. Even though the mathematical proof could be enlightening, I have promised not to use heavy math in this blog. All you need to know is this: in the majority of cases, that collapse in probability is not evenly compensated by the outsized payout. And this is exactly what most retail traders fail to perceive. It’s not just that you’re playing a harder game—it’s that you’re playing a biased one, where the odds are stacked even further against you. The Lottery Bias: The Cognitive Trap Here’s where psychology plays its cruelest trick. The lower the probability of success, the higher the payout offered. In fact, it’s not even the full payout you deserve—it’s a discounted, haircut payout, cleverly packaged so you don’t notice because the potential number is so large. And that number lights up the brain like a jackpot. The industry knows this. It builds its business on the fact that humans systematically overestimate tiny probabilities and underestimate the certainty of losing. Retail traders convince themselves they’re being clever: risking little for the chance at something huge. But the math is merciless—the expected value is brutally negative. The market is not handing you an edge. It’s dismantling any possibility you had of one. That giant payout you see? It’s not a gift—it’s a warning label. And yes, I know you can point to stories about the guy who hit the jackpot, who “proved the math wrong.” But let me ask you this: do you know what survivorship bias is? If you don’t, and you’re trading options, here’s some professional advice for free—go and read about it before you place your next trade. The Real Path to the Lambo What gets sold as “smart leverage” is, in truth, just a lottery ticket wearing a suit. The Lambo doesn’t come from hitting jackpots. It comes from consistency—from repeating disciplined decisions with positive expectancy until compounding does its quiet but powerful work. And yes, I know most traders are in a hurry. The good news? The process can be accelerated—but not by gambling on options with negative expectancy. It can be accelerated using technical, rational tools. Once an edge is established, leverage makes sense. That’s where concepts like the Kelly criterion come in: scaling growth aggressively, but without walking straight into ruin. (I’ve already written about Kelly earlier in this blog: here.) Conclusion We’ve stripped the illusion bare: more conditions don’t make you smarter, they make you less likely to succeed. What feels like a shortcut is nothing more than a statistical mirage—the financial equivalent of a lottery ticket, marketed to you as a “highway to riches,” exploiting your belief that complexity equals intelligence. Unfortunately, the narrative is powerful, because it preys directly on cognitive bias. I know I’m swimming against the tide here. I know this post won’t go viral. I don’t expect many to believe what the math has to say about options trading. But maybe, just maybe, a small number of traders reading this will see beneath the surface and save their time, energy, and money for better pursuits. If that’s you, then this post has already done its job. If you can resist the mirage and stick to building real edges, you’ve already won a key battle—and most likely saved yourself a costly trading lesson.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by CF_444
18
Why IonQ (IONQ) Could Be the NVDA of Quantum ComputingIf you haven`t bought IONQ before the rally: Now you need to know that IonQ isn’t just another speculative quantum stock — The company is building a robust ecosystem around its best‑in‑class trapped‑ion architecture and targeting fault‑tolerant, networked quantum systems. With record bookings, major acquisitions, and a strong balance sheet, IonQ could emerge as the NVIDIA equivalent for quantum infrastructure. Key Bullish Arguments 1) Superior Quantum Tech – Trapped‑Ion Advantage IonQ’s trapped-ion processors boast 99.9% two-qubit fidelity, demonstrating higher accuracy and scalability than superconducting alternatives These systems also operate at room temperature, meaning simpler deployment and lower costs 2) Ecosystem Strategy & Acquisitions The $1.08B acquisition of Oxford Ionics (expected close in 2025) expands IonQ’s qubit control tech, pushing toward planned 80,000 logical‑qubit systems by decade’s end Combined with ID Quantique and Lightsynq, IonQ is building a full-stack quantum and networking offering 3) Strong Revenue Growth & Cash Runway Revenue soared from $22M in 2023 to $43.1M in 2024, with bookings of $95.6M . Q1 2025 saw $7.6M revenue and EPS –$0.14, beating expectations; cash reserves near $697M provide years of runway 4) Real Commercial Deployments IonQ sold its Forte Enterprise quantum system to EPB ($22M deal) for hybrid compute and networking, marking real-world commercial applications 5) AI & Quantum Synergy Involvement in NVIDIA’s Quantum Day and hybrid quantum‑classical AI demos (e.g., blood pump simulation with Ansys, ~12 % faster) indicates strategic synergy and positions IonQ as a critical piece in the future AI stack Recent Catalysts: Texas Quantum Initiative passes – positions IonQ at forefront of U.S. state-backed innovation Oxford Ionics acquisition pending – major expansion in qubit scale & tech Barron’s analyst buys – industry analysts see long-term potential; IonQ among top quantum picks Broader quantum optimism – McKinsey & Morgan Stanley forecasts highlight synergy between quantum and AI, benefiting IonQ
NYSE:IONQLong
by TopgOptions
KMX CarMax Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold KMX before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of KMX CarMax prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 90usd strike price in the money Calls with an expiration date of 2027-1-15, for a premium of approximately $4.25. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:KMXLong
by TopgOptions
PLTR Bear Play! $145 Put Poised for Big Weekly Move! # ⚡ PLTR Weekly Put Play – \$145 Strike for 50-100% Gains 💹🔥 ### 🔎 Quick Market Snapshot * **📉 Daily RSI:** 33.8 → Oversold & accelerating downward momentum * **📊 Weekly RSI:** 56.8 → Falling, weakening bullish momentum * **💵 Price Action:** -15.65% drop, bearish engulfing pattern * **📈 Volume:** 1.5x previous week → Institutional selling confirmed * **📊 Options Flow:** Call/Put ratio 1.00, but heavy put volume @ key strikes * **🌡️ VIX:** 15.8 → Low volatility environment, ideal for directional trading --- ### 🎯 Trade Setup (High Conviction Put Play) * **Ticker:** PLTR * **Direction:** 📉 PUT * **Strike:** \$145.00 * **Entry Price:** \$1.70 * **Profit Target:** \$2.52 (50% gain), secondary \$3.36 (100% gain) * **Stop Loss:** \$0.84 (50% of premium) * **Expiry:** 2025-08-22 * **Confidence:** 🟢 75% Bearish * **Timing:** Enter **market open Thursday** --- ### 📝 Trade Thesis Strong institutional selling + oversold technicals + bearish price action = **high-probability short-term put trade**. ⚡ **Play: \$145 Put targeting 50-100% gains before Friday expiration.**
NASDAQ:PLTRShort
by quantsignals
MNSO Earnings Bull Play – \$22.50C Targeting 2X+ Gains # 🚀 MNSO Earnings Bull Play – \$22.50C Targeting 2X+ Gains 💹🔥 ### 🔎 Quick Earnings Snapshot * **📈 Revenue Growth:** Strong **TTM 18.9%**, EPS growth projected **37.3%** * **💰 Margins:** Gross 45.1%, Operating 16.0%, Profit 13.9% * **📊 Analyst Sentiment:** “Buy” with \~9.5% upside from current levels * **⚖️ Options Flow:** Call interest building @ \$22.50 strike, slight bullish skew * **📉 Technicals:** Above 20-day MA, RSI supports upward momentum, accumulation evident --- ### 🎯 Trade Setup (High Conviction Call Play) * **Ticker:** MNSO * **Direction:** 📈 CALL * **Strike:** \$22.50 * **Entry Price:** \$0.85 * **Profit Target:** \$1.70 (200% gain) * **Stop Loss:** \$0.42 (50% of premium) * **Expiry:** 2025-09-19 * **Confidence:** 🟢 75% Bullish * **Timing:** Enter **pre-earnings close** --- ### 📝 Thesis Strong fundamentals + positive pre-earnings technical trends = favorable asymmetric **risk/reward profile**. ⚡ **Play: \$22.50 Call for 2X+ upside post-earnings.**
NYSE:MNSOLong
by quantsignals
JD Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought JD before the recent rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of JD prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 32.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2026-1-16, for a premium of approximately $3.10. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:JDLong
by TopgOptions
MNDY Earnings Play — Strong Bullish Momentum Ahead of AMC**🚀 MNDY Earnings Play — Strong Bullish Momentum Ahead of AMC** Monday.com (MNDY) shows powerful fundamentals with 30% revenue growth and a perfect 8-quarter earnings beat streak. Options flow and technicals align for a potential explosive move post-earnings on **2025-08-08 (After Market Close)**. **🔥 Key Stats:** * Revenue growth: 30.1% TTM * EPS consensus: \$3.70 (85% confidence in a beat) * IV Rank: 75% (watch for IV crush post-earnings) * RSI near 25 → oversold, setup for bounce * Strong call volume at \$250 strike **🛠 Trade Setup:** * **Instrument:** MNDY * **Direction:** CALL (LONG) * **Strike:** \$250 * **Entry Price:** \$17.40 * **Profit Target:** \$52.00 (200-400% gain) * **Stop Loss:** \$8.70 (50% premium cut) * **Expiry:** 2025-08-15 * **Size:** 1 contract * **Entry Timing:** Pre-earnings close **⚠ Risk Management:** * Position size max 2% portfolio * Exit within 2 hours post-earnings to avoid IV crush and theta decay --- **#MNDY #MondayDotCom #EarningsTrade #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #BullishSetup #PreEarnings #TechnicalAnalysis #RSI #IVRank #SwingTrade #TradingView #StockMarket #HighReward #RiskManagement**
NASDAQ:MNDYLong
by quantsignals
PTON Peloton Interactive Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on PTON: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PTON Peloton Interactive prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 7.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-8-8, for a premium of approximately $0.46. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:PTONLong
by TopgOptions
NIFTY50 Closing Price: ₹24,722.75 (4th Aug 2025, 02:00PM UTC+4)Comprehensive Technical Analysis for NIFTY50 world wide web shunya trade Closing Price: ₹24,722.75 (4th Aug 2025, 02:00PM UTC+4) Time Frames: Intraday: 5M, 15M, 30M, 1H, 4H Swing: 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly 1. Japanese Candlestick Analysis Intraday (5M-4H) 4H: Bearish Engulfing at 24,722.75 signals rejection of highs. 1H: Dark Cloud Cover below 24,750 confirms weakness. 30M/15M: Shooting Stars at 24,720 indicate exhaustion. 5M: Three Black Crows pattern suggests strong bearish momentum. Outlook: Bearish reversal likely if 24,700 breaks. Swing (4H-Monthly) Daily: Gravestone Doji at 24,722.75 warns of trend exhaustion. Weekly: Bearish Harami after 3-week rally signals distribution. Monthly: Long-legged Doji at all-time highs (24,800) indicates indecision. 2. Harmonic Patterns Intraday 4H/1H: Bearish Butterfly completing at 24,722.75 (D-point). PRZ: 24,700–24,750 (127.2% XA + 161.8% BC). 30M: Bullish Crab forming at 24,600 (secondary setup). Swing Daily: Bearish Gartley near 24,750 (78.6% XA retracement). Weekly: Potential Bullish Bat at 24,500 if correction extends. 3. Elliott Wave Theory Intraday 4H: Wave 5 of impulse cycle peaked at 24,722.75. Structure: Completed 5-wave sequence from 24,200 → 24,722.75. Corrective Phase: ABC pullback targeting 24,500 (Wave A). 1H: Sub-wave (v) ending with RSI divergence. Swing Daily: Wave 3 of primary bull cycle nearing completion at 24,750. Weekly: Wave (iii) of larger impulse, expecting Wave (iv) correction to 24,300. Monthly: Wave V of multi-year bull run, nearing major resistance at 24,800. 4. Wyckoff Theory Intraday Phase: Distribution (after markup from 24,200 → 24,722.75). Signs: High volume at 24,722.75 (supply), failed upthrust above 24,750. Schematic: Phase C (markdown) initiating. Swing Daily: Late Markup → Distribution at 24,750. Weekly: Accumulation completed at 23,500; now in Markup but showing signs of exhaustion. 5. W.D. Gann Theory Time Theory Intraday: Key reversal windows: UTC+4: 10:00–12:00 (resistance test), 14:00–16:00 (trend reversal). Swing: Daily: 8th Aug (4 days from close) for time squaring. Weekly: 12th Aug (1 week) for cycle turn. Square of 9 24,722.75 → Resistance Angles: 0° (24,750), 90° (24,850), 180° (25,000). Support: 45° (24,500), 315° (24,250). Angle Theory 4H Chart: 1x1 Gann Angle (45°) from 24,200 low at 24,500. Price overextended. Daily Chart: 2x1 Angle (63.75°) at 24,722.75 acting as resistance. Squaring of Price & Time Price Range: 24,200 → 24,722.75 (522.75 points). Time Squaring: 522.75 hours from 24,200 low → 24,750 resistance. Ranges in Harmony Primary Range: 24,000–25,000 (1,000 points). 50% Retracement: 24,500 (critical support). 61.8% Retracement: 24,380. Secondary Range: 24,500–24,750 (250 points). Price & Time Forecasting Intraday Targets: Short-Term: 24,500 (61.8% Fib). Extension: 24,380 (Gann 45° angle). Swing Targets: Weekly: 24,300 (Wave (iv) target). Monthly: 23,800 (38.2% retracement of entire bull run). 6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Intraday (4H) Cloud (Kumo): Price below Kumo (bearish). Tenkan-sen: 24,700 (flat, resistance). Kijun-sen: 24,650 (support). Chikou Span: Below price (confirms bearish momentum). Swing (Daily) Cloud: Thick cloud resistance at 24,750–24,800. Tenkan/Kijun: Bearish crossover at 24,700. 7. Indicators Intraday RSI (14): 68 (4H) → Overbought; divergence at highs. Bollinger Bands: Price tagging upper band (24,750); contraction signals volatility. VWAP: 24,680 (acting as dynamic resistance). Moving Averages: 50 SMA: 24,600 (support). 200 EMA: 24,400 (major support). Swing Daily RSI: 72 (overbought, divergence). Weekly BB: Upper band at 24,800 (resistance). Monthly VWAP: 23,500 (major support). 200 WMA: 22,800 (long-term bull support). Synthesized Forecast Intraday (Next 24H) Bearish Scenario (High Probability): Trigger: Break below 24,700 (1H close). Targets: 24,500 (T1), 24,380 (T2). Timeline: 8–12 hours (UTC+4 22:00–02:00). Bullish Scenario (Low Probability): Trigger: Sustained close above 24,750. Target: 24,850 (Gann 90° angle). Swing (1–4 Weeks) Bearish Scenario: Targets: 24,300 (Wave (iv)), 23,800 (38.2% retracement). Timeline: 5–10 trading days. Bullish Scenario: Trigger: Close above 24,800. Target: 25,200 (Gann 180° angle). For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.(world wide web shunya trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
NSE:NIFTY
by sunya
MA Mastercard Incorporated Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MA before the rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MA Mastercard Incorporated prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 545usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2025-8-8, for a premium of approximately $4.45. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MAShort
by TopgOptions
CHTR Charter Communications Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CHTR before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CHTR Charter Communications prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 387.5usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-7-25, for a premium of approximately $22.55. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:CHTRLong
by TopgOptions
Jade Lizard on PLTR - My 53DTE Summer Theta PlayMany of you — and yes, I see you in my DMs 😄 — are trading PLTR, whether using LEAPS, wheeling, or covered calls. I took a closer look. And guess what? 📈 After a strong move higher, PLTR was rejected right at the $143 call wall — pretty much all cumulative expiries cluster resistance there Using the GEX Profile indicator, scanning all expirations: After a brief dip, the market is repositioning bullish Squeeze zone extends up to 150 The most distant GEX level is sitting at 160 On the downside, 130 is firm support, with some presence even at 120 — the market isn’t pricing in much risk below that 📉 From a technical standpoint: We’re near all-time highs 125 (previous ATH) and 100 are key support levels The OTM delta curve through August is wide, and the call side is paying well — with a current call pricing skew 🔬 IVx is at 57, trending lower + call pricing skew📉 IV Rank isn't particularly high, but the directional IVx matters more here 💡 Summer Theta Play: Jade Lizard on PLTR Since I’ll be traveling this summer and don’t want to micromanage trades, I looked for something low-touch and high-confidence — and revisited an old favorite: the Jade Lizard. If you're not familiar with the strategy, I recommend checking out Tastytrade's links and videos on Jade Lizards. 🔹 Why this setup? Breakeven sits near $100, even with no management On TastyTrade margin:~$1800 initial margin ~$830 max profit 53 DTE — plenty of time for theta to work Earnings hit in August — I plan to close before then Covers all bullish GEX resistance zones Quickly turns profitable if IV doesn’t spike Highly adjustable if needed My conclusion: this strategy covers a much broader range than what the current GEX Profile shows across all expirations — so by my standards, I consider this to be a relatively lower-risk setup compared to most other symbols right now with similar theta strategies. 🔧 How would I adjust if needed? If price moves up: I’d roll the short put up to collect additional credit Hold the call vertical as long as the curve supports it If price drops: Transition into a put ratio spread Either extend or remove the call vertical depending on conditions 🛑 What’s the cut loss plan? I have about 20% wiggle room on the upside, so I’m not too worried — but if price rips through 160 quickly, I’ll have to consider early closure. If that happens, the decision depends on time: If late in the cycle with low DTE:→ Take a small loss & roll out to next month for credit If early with lots of DTE remaining:→ Consider converting to a butterfly, pushing out the call vertical for a small debit→ Offset this with credit from rolling the put upward As always — stay sharp, manage your risk, and may the profit be with you. See you next week!– Greg @ TanukiTrade
NASDAQ:PLTR
by TanukiTrade
3
GE Aerospace Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GE before the rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GE Aerospace prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 270usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-8-15, for a premium of approximately $8.60. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:GELong
by TopgOptions
ASML Holding Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ASML: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASML Holding prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 800usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-7-25, for a premium of approximately $32.00. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:ASMLLong
by TopgOptions
Carvana Leading Auto Retail – Outpacing LAD & AN-Financial Performance & Momentum: Carvana reported a record-breaking adjusted EBITDA of $488M in Q1 2025, up $253M YoY, with an EBITDA margin of 11.5% (+3.8pp YoY). The company's strong operational efficiency positions it as a leader in the auto retail industry, nearly doubling the margins of competitors like Lithia Motors (LAD) and AutoNation (AN). - Competitive Positioning & Growth Outlook: Carvana’s EBITDA quality is superior due to lower non-cash expenses, enhancing long-term sustainability. The company expects sequential EBITDA growth in Q2 and targets 13.5% EBITDA margins within 5-10 years. -Peer Comparison: - Lithia Motors (LAD): EBITDA margin at 4.4% (up from 4% YoY), facing tariff-related headwinds that could impact pricing and demand. - AutoNation (AN): SG&A as a percentage of gross profit rose to 67.5% in Q1, expected to stay between 66-67% in FY 2025, pressuring margins further. -Options Flow & Institutional Activity - Key Levels: $350/$370 Recent institutional flow activity indicates strong positioning around $350/$370 strikes, potentially signaling a vertical spread in play rather than outright selling: 1️⃣ Momentum Confirmation: - CVNA has strong upside momentum following its Q1 results, reinforcing a bullish outlook for near-term price action. - Institutional traders may be accumulating bullish vertical spreads rather than unwinding positions. Vertical Spread Setup ($350/$370 Strikes) - Long Call ($350 Strike) → Signals expectations for further upside. - Short Call ($370 Strike) → Caps max profit while reducing cost. - Breakeven Price: $359 → CVNA must close above $359 for profitability. Profit & Risk Zones - Above $370: Maximum profit achieved. - Between $359-$370: Partial profit zone (spread remains in play). - Below $359: Spread loses value, making recovery dependent on extended upside momentum.
NYSE:CVNALong
by Wiiso
AAPL: Premium PlayApple beat expectations this quarter—revenue, profit, EPS—all slightly better than analysts hoped. But the stock dropped to $196.26, down from $212.83. Why? Investors are still worried about tariffs, margin pressure, and supply chain changes. Tim Cook talked about strong product sales (iPhone, Mac, iPad) and all-time high Services revenue. But he also admitted tariffs and regulatory issues are weighing on Apple’s outlook. My Covered Call Strategy I’m selling the $202.5 call and buying the $210 call for June 27, 2025. Big money seems to be doing the same—there was a huge premium sale over $2 million, likely betting Apple stays range-bound short term. - Why this works: - Resistance near $202.50 gives me a clear ceiling - Apple fundamentals are strong, but macro risk caps upside Chart Notes - Resistance: $202.50 and $210 - Support: Around $192.50 Bottom line: I like this trade as a way to bring in income while defining my risk. If Apple grinds sideways or pushes a bit higher, the trade still pays. Clean structure, high odds.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Wiiso