ETH 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 7💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
🔭 In the 4-hour timeframe of Ethereum, we can see that after registering its all-time high, Ethereum was rejected downwards and then took support from the $4,273 area and moved upwards. We need to see how valid this support can remain in the new week. There is also an important resistance at the $4,515 area, and breaking this level could end Ethereum’s corrective trend.
⛏ The key RSI areas are 35 and 58. If the fluctuation passes these levels, Ethereum could enter a new phase of volatility and eventually start its movement.
💰 The size and number of red candles have almost decreased, and with increasing volume and larger candle sizes, Ethereum can start a good trend. Keep in mind that today is a holiday, so not much volume enters the market. On the other hand, there are rumors on Twitter about the death of Donald Trump, which could also prevent an increase in volume.
🪙 In the 4-hour timeframe of the ETHBTC index , we can see that this index broke its box at the 0.03946 area and registered an all-time high for Ethereum against Tether pair. Then it was rejected from this area and showed two rebound reactions at the 0.03946 support, which is the broken box top. With a breakout of the highlighted areas in this index analysis, both Bitcoin and Ethereum could see more liquidity, and this directly affects the ETH/USDT pair.
🔔 The alarm zones that can be considered for Ethereum in this timeframe are the $4,273 and $4,514 areas. The price action in these areas can be of high value, and with increasing volume, they could give us either a short or long trade opportunity.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Oscillators
PUMP | #4h #long — Watching for Breakout Confirmation Early signals for a reversal, but not rushing in.
Some clear bullish divergence on the 4h RSI — first positive sign after an extended downtrend. Price can pop from here, but my plan is to wait for a break and hold above the 4h Order Block + MSS zone (red box) before taking any long entry.
Confirmation is key — I only want to get involved if we reclaim this area with momentum.
Scenario:
If we get a strong breakout and close above the red OB + MSS zone, that’s the first entry trigger for a potential trend reversal.
Until then — standing aside, letting the setup prove itself.
Reasoning:
Bullish RSI divergence often marks the beginning of a reversal, but without a structural breakout, the move can easily fail.
Patience pays off in these high-risk, low-liquidity coins.
JUPUSDT Bulls Are In Trouble?Yello Paradisers, did you see how JUPUSDT broke down from its ascending channel right at the crucial 4H resistance zone? That move alone has already triggered warning signals, and now with a bearish CHoCH confirmed together with bearish divergence on both the MACD histogram and RSI, the probability of further downside has increased significantly.
💎 At this stage, aggressive traders could already be looking for short opportunities from the current price action, with a potential reward-to-risk ratio of more than 1:1.5. Conservative traders, however, should ideally wait for a clean retest of the broken resistance zone. A bearish candlestick pattern forming there would provide stronger confirmation before pulling the trigger.
💎 Since we are heading into month-end, a possible liquidity sweep cannot be ruled out. That is why scaling in with smaller position sizes makes more sense here to avoid unnecessary exposure.
💎 Still, discipline is key. If the price manages to break and close back above the invalidation level, this entire bearish setup would be invalidated. In that case, staying out would be the only smart move.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
one of the applications of RSIRSI as an indicator can be used in several ways ,
RSI is almost mirror image of the price ,
if we convert a candle stick chart into a line chart ,
and we hide which is RSI plotting and which is price plotting ,
it is difficult to identify which one is which...
But there are times where RSI due to it formula creates
divergence and confluences with prices, and there are
many articles and tutorials to explain those aspects of RSI
Motive of this article :
To see RSI as tool for range bound trading , and shape our next trade ideas using this
possibility .
After working with RSI extensively , all what I can say is RSI can be treated
almost similar with all the treatments which we can have over the price chart ,
for example : we can apply head & shoulders / cup&handle etc ... concept(s) on rsi ditto same as we do on price chart. so decoding RSI isn't just limited to divergences ...
One of such use-cases which I have been using about RSI is in range-bound trading,
if we can have a price range or a parallel channel , you can observe that either price
goes side-ways or gets reversed as per the RSI in the respective timeframe ...
here we are taking two channels ( a channel within a channel )
1w candles , and 1D candles .. and you can see RSI going from 30 to 70 to 30 to 70 ,
all alongwith the boundaries of the price range in either 1w or 1d channels ...
Just two images and it is clearly visible what we are discussing here ,
1w candles : see the candles having a range of channel and rsi also behaving in same way between 70-30 levels :
1d candles : see the candles having a range of channel and rsi also behaving in same way between 70-30 levels :
So the whole logic over here is , if in case we can make out a range bound behaviour ,
or a price range in channels , then we can align our next trade idea in accordance
with the RSI behaviour i.e.
if it is around 70 levels in 1D timeframe , then we can try to observe if there is any chart pattern or price action which is showing a sell side trade ...
and if it is around 30 levels in 1D timeframe , then we can try to observe if there a buy side trade based on price action / or chart patterns . . .
same goes with 1W candles ....
( I am not focussing on 1M because it becomes very much slow process and we always have lots of scrips to trade with on D and W basis .. so omitting it for M candles ... but i am much much sure this can work with M candles as well ... )
Now one of the aspect is to check whether there is an alignment of RSI on both timeframes D & W , if both time frames are having rsi around 30 , and the prices are range bound in both timeframes ... we can have a much much high conviction on buy-side or the trade ....
And at last please note three things about RSI which i have observed and discovered
while talking with lots of fellow trades ....
1) RSI follows CLOSE prices , and not the wicks ( high and low ) so while detecting divergences consider the close price and now the high or low ..
2) RSI hitting 70 is not an assurance of prices reversing , it can either reverse or just go side-ways .... RSI at any level 70 or 30 is not an guarantee of " Price reversal "
3) RSI can remain above 70 for a much much time period than usual expectation, and RSI can remain below 30 for much much time ... there are index charts which shows this ...
Bonus point : read some where from a veteran of the market , prices can remain irrational for a longer period of time , just make sure you remain solvent till then ...
happy investing and joyful trading wishes to all
BONK 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BONK on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 In the 4-hour timeframe of Bank, we can see that Bank had a good descending channel, which with the recent drop reacted to the midline of the channel and then moved towards the top of the channel, and with a strong 4-hour whale candle, it stabilized above its descending channel and is now completing a pullback to its channel in multi-timeframe.
⚙️ The key RSI area is the 59 zone, which if the fluctuation passes this level, Bank can move upwards and have a trend reversal after this corrective wave.
🕯 The heavy and good increase in Bank’s volume at this bottom shows the presence of the market maker, the size of the 4-hour candle with which we broke the channel top also seems whale-like.
📊 The OTHERS.D index and we can see, this index is inside a 4-hour box, with the breakout of the top of this box which is at the 7.9% area, good money enters Bank. The midline of this box is at the 7.74% area, which if lost, our analysis can fail.
🔔 The areas we considered as alarm zones are the midline area and the top area. As long as we are above the midline area, we can open our position with low risk and a big stop, which is almost high-risk. The alarm zone 0.00002357 can be a more reliable area for breakout and taking trades. Keep in mind that the market conditions seem risky and the market is in decision-making mode.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
#BCHBTC #1W (Binance) Big falling wedge breakoutCRYPTOCAP:BCH just regained 50MA weekly support in sats, performing better than CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Seems likely to continue bullish towards 200MA resistance, probably after a pull-back.
⚡️⚡️ #BCH/BTC ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Binance
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Amount: 7.0%
Current Price:
0.004885
Entry Targets:
1) 0.004657
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 0.006329
Stop Targets:
1) 0.003987
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BCH BINANCE:BCHBTC #BitcoinCash #PoW bitcoincash.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.5
Expected Profit= +35.9%
Possible Loss= -14.4%
Estimated Gaintime= 4-7 months
#BTCEUR #1D (Binance) Bull-flag breakout and retestBitcoin looks very good for bullish continuation after regaining 50MA support on daily, against the Euro.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/EUR ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Binance
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Amount: 12.0%
Entry Targets:
1) 93017.86
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 108422.28
Stop Targets:
1) 85296.36
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BINANCE:BTCEUR #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +16.6%
Possible Loss= -8.3%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 months
BTCUSDT Market Analysis UpdateHi everyone, I hope you are doing well and I have put my opinion in Bitcoin price on the chart for you. and hope this helps you! Simple, concise, useful
BTC is still trading within a clear bullish market structure, supported by strong HL formations and trendline confluence. At the moment, my main focus is on the Fair Value Gap (FVG) below current price. I expect BTC to revisit this imbalance before continuing the move upward.
The liquidity pool around 82,490 is also important. Personally, I don’t expect price to sweep that level immediately. However, if it does get taken, in my view it would likely serve as the final liquidity grab before resuming the broader uptrend. This makes 82,490 a key level to watch — either it remains untouched while we push higher, or if price sweeps it, the move could act as fuel for the next bullish leg.
From a higher timeframe perspective, the market remains bullish. The structure is intact, RSI is holding mid-range without major bearish divergence, and trendline support has not been broken. Volume also supports this idea — it’s decreasing and showing divergence, but this doesn’t signal a reversal, only a healthy consolidation while holding the bullish trend.
In summary:
Main target: fill the nearby FVG before continuation.
Key liquidity zone: 82,490 (less likely to be taken now, but if it happens, I consider it the last liquidity grab).
Bias: still bullish, expecting higher levels once short-term imbalances are resolved.
Weekly:
As long as BTC holds its HLs and respect the FVG zone, I continue to look for upside continuation — potentially well beyond current levels.
That’s my current view on BTC. Let me know your opinion below 👇
Best regards
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 6💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
🔭 On the 1H timeframe for Ethereum, we can observe that ETH broke its midline to the downside and moved toward the bottom of the box. With the slightly higher-than-expected U.S. inflation news, Ethereum bounced again from the bottom of its box, and now we need to see whether it can consolidate above the midline or not.
⛏ The key RSI levels are at 50 and 30, and once the oscillation surpasses these thresholds, Ethereum can begin its main move.
💰 The volume and number of red candles increased after the midline break, accompanied by selling pressure. The volume and size of Ethereum’s reversal candles can show us the strength of the rebound and the strength of the box bottom, since the bottom has not been lost yet.
📊 On the 1H ETHBTC chart, we can observe that if the bottom of the 1H box at 0.03972 is lost, more Ethereum will be sold and converted into Bitcoin. This index reflects the relative value between ETH and BTC. Breaking this marked level could serve as a confirmation for a short trade on Ethereum.
💡 The Ethereum alert zones remain the same as before, with the difference that for an early trigger we can consider a break and consolidation above the midline, which is relatively risky.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 26💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, we can observe that BTC was rejected from the alert zone we had previously marked and moved downward. With this rejection, the selling volume and the size of red candles increased slightly. Currently, Bitcoin is sitting at its alert zone, and we need to see whether it will find support here or lose this support and go into a deeper correction.
⚙️ The key RSI levels are 30 and 70. Once the oscillation surpasses these levels, Bitcoin can start its main move and give us a position.
🕯 The size and volume of red candles have increased considerably, and selling pressure is being applied more easily each time. The green reversal candles are smaller compared to the red ones, and sellers’ tickers are consistently pushing the price downward with less resistance.
💵📊 On the 1H Tether Dominance chart ,we can see that Tether Dominance has reacted four times to this resistance zone, and right now we are at the top of Tether Dominance and the bottom of Bitcoin. If Tether Dominance gets rejected from this area, Bitcoin could find support and move upward. However, if this zone is broken with strong whale candles, heavy selling pressure could flow into Bitcoin. Keep in mind that this is a major resistance zone for Tether Dominance and will not be broken easily.
🪙📊 On the 1H Bitcoin Dominance chart ,we observe that at the same time Bitcoin prints green reversal candles and Tether Dominance shows red rejection candles, Bitcoin Dominance itself is forming a green structure. This means Bitcoin’s weight in the market is increasing. Now we need to see whether the market maker supports Bitcoin or not.
🔔 The Bitcoin alert zones are still the same as yesterday. If price reacts with a breakout confirmation, trading setups could form. Keep in mind that it’s the weekend, so avoid taking unusual or overly risky trades.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Asymmetric Conditional Averaging⚖️ Research Notes
Documenting other features of "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" indicator where Bar Metrics is set to Full Capacity.
Asymmetric Conditional Averaging
For a quick example, I'll leave bulls at default 10 and change number of past bearish candles to 100.
Since the indicator targets candles by classification which is divided by the previous price (to work out the change) before averaging, that makes the data scalable. (So no matter how high we increase the averaging number, it still will preserve the scaling laws of that historic range that comes with output)
When opposite market force is averaged at higher number of past candles, it becomes a threshold, giving a unique perspective when comparing phases of uptrend at bigger scales.
HBAR 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing HBAR on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 4H timeframe for HBAR , we can observe that this coin is ranging inside a box with very strong support and resistance levels. The last time, it reacted to the midline of this box (50% zone) and has built a trading structure for a potential breakout.
⚙️ The key RSI levels are at 57 and 35. Once the oscillation surpasses these levels, the price of this coin can shift and bring momentum into the market. Keep in mind that these zones often indicate increased volatility in the direction of price movement.
🕯 The volume of this coin has been decreasing over the past few days, and the number of trades has significantly dropped. Many buy and sell orders have been filled, and the coin is currently ranging in this box, deciding its next direction. Notice that with declining volume, we can often identify a new trend forming, since the current trend may be coming to an end.
📊 On the OTHERS.D index 4H timeframe , we can see that it is also moving inside a box, with the top of the box at the 7.9% zone . Breaking this level along with the RSI surpassing 63 could bring strong volume into the market. At the same time,
📊 a breakout on the TOTAL3 index would also inject solid volume into the market. This index is likewise inside a box, and the last time it reacted to its midline, it rebounded upward and is now moving toward the 1.08 resistance.
💰 Looking at the HBAR/BTC pair , we can observe that it has formed a box-like structure, similar to its USDT pair. With a breakout above the midline, more Bitcoin could be liquidated and converted into this coin. HBAR is considered one of the whales’ favorite coins.
🔔 The alert zones for HBAR carry some risk, and the possibility of failure should also be considered. The long alert zone is around 0.25846, which is the midline of this 4H box. The short alert zone is around 0.22784. Breaking this zone could provide a short position, coinciding with a deeper correction for this coin.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 5💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
🔭 On the 1H timeframe for Ethereum, we can observe that ETH is moving inside a 1-hour range box, which has also formed with a V-pattern structure. A breakout and consolidation above or below this box can provide us with either a long or short trade setup.
⛏ The key RSI level is around 62, where Ethereum has been ranging for almost 2 days below this level with support around the 50 zone. Once the oscillation surpasses these levels, Ethereum can start its next move.
💰 The volume and number of green and red candles are almost equal. However, with larger green candles and rising volume, we can say that Ethereum is holding a good amount of accumulation volume.
📊 On the 1H timeframe of ETHBTC , we can observe that the alert zone for confirming a long position in Ethereum has slightly shifted lower, now sitting around 0.0415. Breaking this zone could allow Ethereum to move toward higher resistance levels and potentially even register a new all-time high.
💡 Looking at Ethereum’s alert zones, the level for a long position is around $4556, while the level for a short position is around $4329. With a breakout and consolidation above or below these areas, Ethereum gives us trade opportunities. Monitoring price behavior in these zones can be of great help in decision-making.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
DAX: 50DMA break puts downside levels in playThe Germany 40 contract is trading through the 50-day simple moving average, a level that’s been tested frequently over the past month but never closed below until Wednesday. Should the price be unable to reclaim the level, a short setup may be in order.
While some may be prepared to establish shorts beneath the 50DMA with a tight stop above for protection, the preference would be to see the price push meaningfully below 24000 given how many times it bounced from beneath the level when trading above the 50DMA over the past month.
Bids may be found at 23800 and again at 23620, the latter coinciding with the uptrend running from the June swing low. Ultimately, however, 23400 screens as a more appealing target given it’s where the price bounced strongly from earlier this month.
Of course, if the price were to reverse back above the 50DMA and close there, the setup could be flipped with longs established above and a stop beneath for protection. The downtrend from the record highs set on July 10 sits just beneath 24400 today, making that a potential target. 24530 is another, coinciding with where the price stalled on four separate occasions since July 23.
RSI (14) is trending lower and now sits beneath 50, providing a slightly bearish signal. However, it’s yet to be confirmed by MACD, which remains in positive territory despite crossing over from above earlier this week. The overall momentum signal is therefore neutral, placing more emphasis on price action to guide trading decisions.
Good luck!
DS
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 24💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour Bitcoin chart, BTC is in a box and has formed a V-pattern. Breaking the box's ceiling would trigger the V-pattern breakout. The breakout trigger for Bitcoin is at $112,200.
⚙️ Key RSI levels are 64 and 46. When oscillation crosses 64, Bitcoin’s momentum heads toward overbought.
🕯 Volume, size, and number of green candles have increased, with buyer makers present. There was an attempt to break resistance with higher volume, but seller takers pushed the price back. Buyer makers then guided the price up from a higher low. Breaking resistance needs more volume.
💵 On the 1-hour USDT.D chart, Tether dominance is at 4.35%. Breaking this could bring significant trading volume to Bitcoin.
🔔 Bitcoin’s trading alarm zone is at $112,200, where price action could be highly reliable. No specific short position idea, but if $110,000 breaks with heavy selling, I might open a position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Truist: Potential BreakoutTruist Financial spent almost two months consolidating, but now some traders may think the regional bank is starting a new uptrend.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 24 closing price of $42.15, its peak before "Liberation Day." TFC crossed that level in late June and pulled back to hold it on August 1. That may suggest old resistance has become new support.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA in mid-August. That may suggest its long-term trend is getting more bullish.
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those patterns may reflect short-term bullishness.
Finally, TFC ended yesterday above its recent closing high from July 27. It also had a bullish outside candle. Has a breakout begun?
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TRBUSDT Danger Zone: Bears Taking ControlYello Paradisers, are you ready for the next big move on TRB? This chart is flashing some serious warning signs that most traders will completely ignore until it’s too late. Let’s break it down before the market makes its move.
💎TRBUSDT has broken down from a rising wedge pattern and retested the resistance zone near the 200 EMA. At the same time, there are bearish divergences showing on the Stoch RSI, RSI, and the MACD histogram. When these signals align, the probability of a bearish move increases significantly, and traders need to be extra cautious.
💎Aggressive traders could already be thinking about entering from the current levels. However, this setup only offers a 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio, which is not ideal for long-term consistent profitability. Entering too early without a solid edge often leads to frustration and unnecessary losses.
💎For those aiming to trade more safely, it is better to wait for a pullback followed by confirmation from a bearish candle. This will provide a stronger risk-to-reward profile and also help maintain discipline in the long run. Protecting capital and choosing only high-quality setups is what separates professionals from amateurs.
💎That being said, if the price breaks out and closes above the invalidation level, then the bearish outlook will be completely invalidated. In that case, flexibility is key, and adjusting to what the market gives us is the only way to stay ahead.
🎖Patience and discipline remain the foundation of trading success. Avoid the temptation of low-probability trades, think strategically, and always protect your capital. This is the only way to last long enough in the market to reap the real rewards.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ETH 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 3💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 We’re observing the 4-hour Ethereum chart, and ETH is trading within a 4-hour box. The ceiling of this box is at the $4,820 level, and the floor is at $4,166. The floor was once faked out, showing a reaction toward the ceiling but got rejected from this area. Buyer makers have kept the price near the midline of the box. A trendline has been drawn from the box’s lower level, and each time ETH hits this trendline, it has shown an upward reversal. Breaking and holding above the midline of the box could push ETH toward the ceiling, with the midline acting as an early trigger .
⚙️ Key RSI levels are at 50 and 70. With increased volatility, long trades on Ethereum could drive it upward, and crossing the 50 level could push ETH’s price into the upper part of the box, giving it another chance to test breaking the 70 level and setting a new high. If rejected and this scenario fails, ETH could experience a deep correction, as it hasn’t entered oversold territory or seen a deep correction for several days .
🕯 The size and volume of green candles have increased compared to red candles, which prevents a deep correction in ETH. However, yesterday in ETFs, people bought a significant amount of Ethereum, and this weakness in the corrective trend suggests that ETH has a stronger tendency to rise and climb .
🪙 We’re observing the 4-hour ETH/BTC index chart, and ETH has a strong support level against Bitcoin at 0.03972, where increased volume triggered a reversal. There’s also a resistance level at 0.04275, and breaking this level with increased volume and RSI entering overbought territory could confirm a long trade for ETH .
🔔 Our trading alarm zones for ETH positions are at $4,820, where breaking this level could signal a long position. An early trigger for a long trade could be at $4,553, where breaking this level increases the likelihood of breaking the ceiling of the 4-hour box. The short trade alarm zone is at $4,166, where breaking this level could initiate a deep correction for ETH .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 23💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 4-hour Bitcoin chart, after hitting a new high, BTC faced a quick rug pull/sell-off with strong momentum toward the $112,000 support. It then bounced with a solid 4-hour candle toward the $117,000 resistance but got heavily rejected again with selling pressure. BTC is now around $110,000, supported once by buyer makers. Today, check Forex Factory for key US economic news that could impact the market.
⚙️ Key RSI level is near 30; crossing this with high volatility could intensify selling pressure, offering a small risk opportunity. Another key level at 64; breaking this could form a higher low compared to the previous one.
🕯 Red candles are increasing in size and volume, with fewer but larger candles moving downward, indicating sustained selling pressure.
💵 On the 1-hour USDT.D chart, after breaking 4.44%, it’s moving upward but showing trend weakness. This level is key for BTC’s highs and lows. A rejection and drop in dominance could boost BTC and BTC pairs, while a hold above 4.44% could deepen BTC’s correction.
🔔 Trading alarm zones are at $112,240 and $109,800. A break and hold above/below these could offer trade setups. Always check oscillator conditions and Tether dominance. Also, focus on BTC pairs — they provide more momentum with less capital.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
“BTC Wave 4: The Calm Before the Final Push?”Just thought I'd throw another chart onto the fire.
BTC/USDT on the weekly is printing a textbook Elliott Wave structure, with Wave 3 likely topped near $117.5k followed by current corrective action into Wave 4. The chart shows manipulation at the highs before rejection, aligning with bearish RSI divergence that’s been building since late Wave 3.
Wave 4 retracement looks to be eyeing the 0.236–0.382 zone, with fair value gaps (FVGs) and demand clusters sitting between $109k → $95k as potential magnet levels. A deeper flush into $74k–$57k remains on the table if the broader correction expands.
The bullish case hinges on holding above $109k and resuming impulsive upside toward a potential Wave 5 extension into $123k+. Lose that 109k support, though, and the correction accelerates.
TL;DR – BTC is cooling off after Wave 3, with Wave 4 correction in play. Watch the $109k handle like it’s life support: hold it for a push to $123k, lose it and $74k re-enters the chat.
GOLD analysisXAUUSD Analysis (1H TF)
📊 Wave Count (Elliott Wave)
• Wave 1 & 2 completed.
• Wave 3/(i) impulsive leg formed with strong momentum.
• 3/(ii) corrective ABC structure has completed.
• Market is now in 3/(iii), which is typically the strongest leg of Wave 3.
🔎 Technical Outlook
• Histogram shows convergence, backing bullish continuation.
• Structure favors further upside as long as 3/(ii) low (~3,352) holds.
• Break above 3/(i) high adds further bullish confirmation.
💡 Bias: Bullish (Buy setup developing)
🎯 Targets:
• Short-term → 3,395 – 3,410 resistance zone
• Medium-term → Higher projections if momentum sustains
📉 Invalidation:
• Break below 3/(ii) low invalidates the bullish sub-wave scenario.
⚠️ Additional Note:
Currently looking for continuation of 3/(iii) to the upside.
🚨 Next plan → Wait for pullback at Wave 3/(iv) to position for a fresh buy entry, targeting Wave 3/(v) extension.
⸻
👉 In summary: Gold is bullish, supported by DXY weakness. Watching Wave 3 development and planning a buy on Wave 3/(iv) pullback.
EUR/AUD: Momentum turning as bears circle 1.7920Having broken uptrend support and with momentum indicators swinging quickly towards bearish territory, the ducks look to be lining up for downside in EUR/AUD. That’s even before you consider strengthening fundamental headwinds posed by potential U.S. sanctions on select E.U. nations and increasing reflationary signals from the Chinese economy, which would normally assist AUD strength.
Right now, the pair finds itself perched above 1.7920, a level that’s provided both support and resistance in recent weeks. Should we see continued selling following the break of the July 31 uptrend on Monday, it would create a setup where shorts could be established beneath 1.7920 with a stop above for protection.
The 50DMA provides an early hurdle for the trade, given the price bounced from there on the last three occasions. If that were to occur again, traders could consider nixing the trade. However, if the price can clear and hold beneath the 50DMA, it would open the door for a run towards minor support at 1.7800 or the July 31 swing low of 1.7675.
Momentum indicators have shifted to neutral and look like they may turn outright bearish shortly. RSI (14) has broken its uptrend and now sits bang on 50. MACD is also about to stage a bearish crossover, although it remains marginally in positive territory. Combined, the overall bias is now neutral to slightly bearish, favouring selling rallies.
If EUR/AUD cannot break and hold beneath 1.7920, the setup would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS