ALTS HAVE ROOM TO THE DOWNSIDE.Alt's need retail participation to thrive.
If Global Liquidity tightens, #BTC rolls over into 4 year cycle lows (q4 2026)
BTC.d will rise along with Stablecoin dominance.
This inverted chart shows a well formed Head and Shoulders that is about to test again a key level of significance.
I DO NOT expect it to hold.
OTHERS-D
Others chart. Altcoins still have a chance? Others crypto cap chart! I think max what altcoins can reach this cycle around 600 billion capitalisation. CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS
On the weekly chart, the main accumulation zone is marked by the lower block! It will also serve as the primary zone if the market is gearing up for another drop across the broad altcoin market! I believe that in this cycle, it's not just a handover among investors, but also a market cleanse from projects that won't survive this cycle!
In the long term, I think this will ultimately benefit the market as a whole!
The key bearish anchor for further downside is the sell-side liquidity zone from August 2024! As we can see, during the market pullback on October 10, this liquidity zone wasn't swept!
I hope new liquidity will still emerge in the market, as The Fed officially ends the quantitative tightening (QT) program on December 1, 2025.
– The regulator will no longer reduce the balance sheet and withdraw liquidity from the market.
That said, to continue the bullish trend, we first need to break above the POC, test the main order block, and the annual opening of 2025—only then can we move to sweep the weak high, followed by acceleration toward the marked zone.
$OTHERS and altcoin mcap is hitting resistance zoneCRYPTOCAP:OTHERS is reaching a multi-year resistance zone.
From here, two scenarios are possible:
1️⃣ It breaks through and flips the zone into support, or
2️⃣ It gets rejected.
🔎 1H Time Frame
Price is touching the multi-year red resistance line — a key level to watch.
- Stochastic RSI is high, suggesting a possible short-term cooldown.
- However, the local structure remains bullish, showing a clear uptrend with periods of consolidation.
📆 1D Time Frame
- The trend boxes indicate that the broader, higher-timeframe trend is still bearish.
- We still have 2–3 days of Stochastic RSI uptrend, followed by about a week of downtrend.
📈 Summary
We’re seeing a bullish reaction in the short term (1H),
but the macro / higher timeframe (1D) trend remains bearish.
If I were looking for a long-term entry, I would personally wait until the 1D Stochastic RSI resets to the bottom, but in the current macro environment anything can happen — news and liquidity shocks can override technicals.
⚠️ DYOR and trade carefully.
FireHoseReel | Crypto Index Overview🔥 Welcome FireHoseReel !
Let’s dive into the analysis of Four major crypto Index.
🔶 TOTAL (Crypto Market Cap) – 4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe of TOTAL, we can see a strong correlation with Bitcoin’s chart. After approaching the $4T zone, the total market cap went through a deep correction, testing multiple support levels and eventually breaking them.
It’s now sitting around $2.78T, marking a $1 trillion drop, which is something unprecedented in the crypto market.
The current support lies at $2.78T, and this level aligns closely with the upper resistance of USDT dominance, creating an important confluence. If this confluence strengthens, TOTAL may continue moving downward while USDT dominance pushes higher.
The major resistance for TOTAL is the $3T zone, and a breakout above it could create a pullback to the recent Bitcoin decline.
🔶 TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC) – 4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe of TOTAL2, we see a strong correlation with Ethereum’s chart.
TOTAL2 dropped from around $1.5T down to nearly $1T, following the recent sell-off in Bitcoin and Ethereum. It tested its supports and eventually lost them.
Currently, TOTAL2 is positioned near $1.15T, and breaking below this level could lead to a deeper correction in Ethereum.
On the other hand, reclaiming and breaking above $1.22T may push TOTAL2 upward and act as an early signal for a new bullish wave (mostly a pullback) in Ethereum and its ecosystem projects.
🔶 TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap Excluding BTC & ETH) – 4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe of TOTAL3, the chart aligns with the performance of the top 10 altcoins.
TOTAL3 previously hovered around $1.05T and has experienced a milder decline compared to TOTAL and TOTAL2. It is currently sitting at its major support near $832B, testing a multi-timeframe support zone.
A breakdown of this level could extend the correction across the top altcoins.
However, breaking above the $900B area could generate a pullback and corrective wave against the recent downside leg, signaling potential upward movement.
🔶 OTHERS Dominance (others.d) – 4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe of OTHERS.D, we’re looking at one of the most important crypto indicators, especially in times like this. This index helps us understand when the altcoin bull market (altseason) may begin and when it's time to start building spot portfolios.
Despite the market volatility, OTHERS.D has held itself inside a stable 4H trading range and is currently reacting to the midline of its 1H range.
If Bitcoin dominance had increased during this period, altcoins could have faced an even deeper correction. However, on-chain data shows that altcoins are receiving far more attention compared to previous years.
A breakout above 7.52% on this indicator could be an early signal of a potential upcoming altcoin bull run.
🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer
Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
Crypto Cycle: The Arrogance and The Irony — A Must ReadThe Cycle That Changed Everything
This cycle — which really started in October 2023 — broke every pattern from previous crypto bull runs.
Crypto was created as a rebellion:
Freedom from banks.
An anti-system technology.
Privacy.
Self-sovereignty.
A way for normal people to create wealth without permission.
And yet… somehow the exact people crypto was trying to escape have taken control of it.
Retail investors used to love the idea of owning their finances. No more banks telling them what to do. No more gatekeepers.
Until they arrived.
1 — The Arrogance
The rich run the world — that’s nothing new.
But crypto annoyed them. A lot.
Because crypto allowed ordinary people to do what Wall Street hates most:
Make money without giving the rich a cut.
So what did institutions do?
Simple:
“If you can’t kill it… own it.”
They stopped fighting crypto, took over the market, bought the exchanges, injected billions, partnered with the stablecoin printers, and unleashed industrial-scale manipulation.
The old days of making x10 or x100 on leverage?
Gone.
Retail got liquidated again… and again… and again.
Bitcoin pumped 3 times by billionaires (just look at the three green boxes on the chart).
Retail got excited — then destroyed.
Rinse and repeat.
Eventually, retail gave up.
They moved into gold, silver, or even plain USD — just to stop losing money.
Meanwhile institutions kept pumping Bitcoin and Ethereum artificially, hoping to lure back fresh meat…
but nobody came.
2 — The Irony
Then came October 11, 2025 — the day the curtain fell.
In a dry, illiquid market, Binance did their usual liquidation-hunting game, backed by newly-printed billions from Tether:
2 billion minted one day, 2 billion the next.
They pushed Bitcoin to $126,000.
Then the crash hit.
They chased longs so hard that, in a market with no liquidity, the entire altcoin market collapsed.
Some coins literally went to zero.
Binance had to halt trading.
The liquidation chain couldn’t be stopped.
Some market makers lost everything.
And now they’re furious.
Binance got exposed.
The pump-and-dump machine is broken.
And if they continue, they risk criminal investigations and lawsuits from every direction.
Suddenly BlackRock, Saylor, and friends had a problem:
Their favorite manipulation partner was knocked out.
And that’s when reality hit:
Institutions had pushed Bitcoin so high — without retail — that they found themselves holding billions in assets…
…with nobody left to buy their bags.
Old-time Bitcoin holders realized BTC was compromised and began to sell.
Bitcoin maxis rekt the institutions.
The billionaires who bought at $120k got destroyed by the exact people they planned to destroy.
Karma doesn’t miss.
Even Eric Trump started selling — too late.
Bitcoin fell under $89k, and there were no buyers left.
3 — The Lesson
Institutions need to understand one thing:
Crypto is not for institutions.
The tech? Sure.
The coins? No.
Crypto without retail is like a vampire trying to drink its own blood.
Pointless and self-destructive.
And retail won’t return for “fractional Trump coin” or corporate-approved BTC.
Retail wants:
x10, x100, x1000.
That means one thing:
ALTSEASON.
If institutions want liquidity to exit, they must engineer an altseason and share some profits.
Because without retail, they’re stuck in their expensive echo chamber holding overpriced bags that nobody wants.
And if they do create an altseason?
Retail will dump on them harder than ever — watching TradingView and influencers, selling every rally right back into the institutions’ faces.
Wall Street, stick to Wall Street.
Leave crypto to the crypto degenerates.
It’s a wild jungle, and you were never prepared.
#CryptoCycle #BitcoinCrash #AltseasonWhen #CryptoHumor #MarketManipulation #InstitutionsRekt #BinanceDrama #RetailVsWhales #CryptoReality #KarmaInCrypto #CryptoStory #PattayaCryptoDegens
4 Crypto TOTAL charts showing the ALTS are stronger right nowThese charts use the " RK's 10 ∴ MA Types Ribbons (Fibonacci, Guppy and others) " indicator in TradingView.
It is simply SUPERB and is unparalleled.
So, to business. These are all 4 HOUR charts from around mid 30 October 2025
Top Left TOTAL chart - Top Right TOTAL2 (Excluding Bitcoin)
Bottom Left TOTAL3 ( Excluding BTC & Eth ) - OTHERS ( Top 125 coins minus top 10 by Market Cap )
Vert simply we can see that the TOTAL chart had the largest Dip down, around -30% from ATH
The current Price is a Lower Low that previous
The fact that the TOTAL 2 chart has a current position around the same [rice range as the previous Low, shows us that it is BITCOIN that has seen the most withdrawl.
The TOTAL2 is the same as the TOTAL chart except it does NOT contain BITCOIN
The TOTAL 3 chart is slightly higher bit it is the OTHERS that is HIGHER by a margin
ALT SEASON maybe here but I BEG you to be Cautious.
Bitcoin IS on support
That is the 4 hour BITCOIN USDT chart for the same time period
The BTC.D chart is also showing Bitcoin Dominance is on SUPPORT
The ALT Season maybe Fragile....BE CAUTIOUS
A NEW YEARS GIFT! CHEAP SHITCOINS!OTHERS Index
Has a Clear head and Shoulders
That could see an acceleration and further deterioration of #Altcoins
With major Capitulation's possible
protocol's could suffer hacks, exploits and rugs
Be careful of leveraged positions
And be aware of the risks of certain #defi platforms.
#sol
#sui
#ada
#eth
#bnb
#pulsechain
#btc
Altseason? Not yet — but the real move is coming... soon.As shown in the chart, the weekly MACD reset isn’t complete yet. A similar setup happened in September 2024 — we got a fake pump that fooled many, while the real breakout started in December 2024.
🔍 Why does this happen?
Impatient whales — often close to the “crypto president” — start buying early. Using influencers and media hype, they push the "New ATH" narrative and lure in retail. But this early FOMO creates a massive bearish divergence — the RSI hasn’t reset yet, and the market isn't ready.
📉 The result?
A painful 6-month correction that punishes impatience. The market always reverts to math — and math doesn’t lie.
You can’t fake momentum forever — no matter how much money you throw at it.
💡 My forecast remains unchanged:
Once the MACD weekly crossover happens, the real pump begins — no ETF, no Saylor needed. The market moves on its own, as it always has.
📊 Check the chart. Read the signals. Trust the data.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #CryptoWhales #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishDivergence #Altseason #DYOR
The 4 TOTAL Crypto Charts with Easy to see performance values
These charts use the " RK's 10 ∴ MA Types Ribbons (Fibonacci, Guppy and others) " indicator in TradingView.
It is simply SUPERB and is unparalleled.
So, to business. These are all DAILY charts from around mid MAY 2025
Top Left TOTAL chart - Top Right TOTAL2 (Excluding Bitcoin)
Bottom Left TOTAL3 ( Excluding BTC & Eth ) - OTHERS ( Top 125 coins minus top 10 by Market Cap )
First thing to notice is simply how the TOTAL chart is the Deepest, showing a Bigger Market trading volume. This shows us how it is BITCOIN that holds the market as all the other charts EXCLUDE Bitcoin and are more Shallow by comparison.
We can also see how the TOTAL2 chart ( exc BTC) is the only one with a SELL signal. This is the Fragility of ETH.
Looking to the RED zones on these Charts. This is where Moving Averages Fell, crossing each other as Price dropped.
The TOTAL chart has the smaller red zones, showing more resilience,
And we can see the progressively worsening situation in the ALT market, with OTHERS having a truly terrible time.
There are people out there Still Claiming an ALT Season like we used to know, is on its way.
I am sorry but while it is obviously possible, It seems obvious to me that Times HAVE changed.
The 4 DOMINANCE charts also tell us a story
These are WEEKLY charts :-
Top Left BTC.D - Top right ETH.D
Bottom Left OTHERS.D - bottom Right USDT.D
We all know about Bitcoins utter Dominance this cycle, the main cause of the lack of a sustained ALT season. TOTAL chart, or BITCOIN is the only one that remains above its 100 EMA (blue), 128 EMA ( green) and the 200 EMA ( Yellow)
None of the other charts involve Bitcoin and they are Not as strong.
We See how ETH.D was falling away until recently when it turned higher in late April 2025 but as we see from the main chart, this failed to really make any inroads into Bitcoins status, and is now once again falling away
What is VERY Telling os how the OTHERS.D has been falling away since March 2024.
ALTS have been loosing the battle for over a year now, a sustained growth never appeared.
Quick flash in the Pan rises followed by massive sell offs.
Apart from some coins that have sustained growth, like SOLANA and BNB but this is another story for another post.
What I do find very interesting is how USDT.D is in a diminishing pennant....the use of USDT getting smaller and smaller as "Cashing out" is reduced.
So, where are we in the Market ?
I feel that the ALT Traders will soon begin to loose Faith and may begin the flow of whats left into the ore established ALTS...like SOLANA, BNB and maybe XRP etc. Rotation will begin.
The USa Will continue to push ETH as an alternative for BTC
I think we have a Very strong possibility this "Bull run" will morph into the Normality of Crypto, we may not see the massive sell off we got used to previously.
This will curb the massive profit possibilities and no one wants to see this but Bitcoin has Matured away from the petulant teenager...and is now an Adult.
This is very much my opinion and YES, I do still Hold some ALTS.....
But BITCOIN has ABSOLUTELY CONTROLLED THIS and will continue to do so.
$OTHERSL a bullish signal is about to happen on 1WThis bullish signal has historically marked the start of every altseason, leading to a total altcoin market cap increase of at least 40% and up to 150% in previous cycles.
The signal appears on the RSI, one of the most reliable momentum indicators — and it may even invalidate the current bearish MACD scenario.
We could see a few months of moderate growth due to the divergence between the 1W MACD and RSI, but once these two indicators align in the same direction — boom! 🚀
Get ready, because the next altseason might already be forming on the chart — and if everything lines up, it could be massive.
📆 We'll know the answer by November.
#Altseason #CryptoMarket #RSI #MACD #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSignal #AltcoinSeason #MarketAnalysis #CryptoInvesting
$OTHERS possible scenariosIt’s decision time for CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , arguably the most accurate index to gauge the true altcoin market.
We’re now testing the $220 billion level, a critical support zone.
From here, two paths emerge:
either we bounce and start a meaningful trend reversal,
or we break down and revisit the wick from October 10, 2025.
Either way, altcoins may have to bleed a bit more before finding stability.
A massive head-and-shoulders pattern is clearly taking shape — and its theoretical target is near zero (no joke).
If this setup isn’t invalidated soon, we could be heading toward a major correction.
Let’s hope the $220B neckline holds strong.
If it fails, we might be watching the crypto equivalent of the dot-com crash — a potential black swan in the making.
Interestingly, the previous cycle also formed a similar head-and-shoulders pattern pointing to zero.
In reality, the downtrend bottomed out around $82 billion, not zero — so let’s hope history rhymes rather than repeats.
This time, the bad scenario suggests a bottom near $160 billion, which could mark the final stage of the altcoin bear market.
DYOR
#Altcoins #CryptoMarket #OTHERS #CryptoAnalysis #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoCrash #HeadAndShoulders #MarketAnalysis #CryptoTrading #AltcoinSeason #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoInvesting #BearMarket #CryptoNews #BTC #ETH #CryptoCycles #TradingView #MarketUpdate
The foundations of the next Altseason are quietly being built. OTHERS / BTC ratio one of the most important indicators for altcoins market strength has just touched the bottom of its falling wedge structure after a major drop, exactly 1743 days since the last similar event.
This point coincides precisely with December 2020, the starting zone of the previous major altcoin bull run.
The current setup mirrors that historical structure strikingly.
Historically, such levels have marked the early phases of massive altcoin rallies.
#OTHERS.D ~ Do you believe in Castles in the SKY?I believe that the Others dominance metric divided by an ounce of real money #Gold gives us a valuable insight into the fabled altseasons.
Because as this chart shows theres only been 4 in actuality
and you normal get a double bubble in a cycle.
So I believe we are at the cusp of turning things around as most people have given up on the concept of altcoins ever pumping again.
But it was just the business cycle #PMI that has depressed prices for the past few years.
Has the Toxicity of Ethereum been seen? Charts never Lie
It really is as simple as that
THESE ARE THE DAILY TOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP CHARTS
Top line - TOTAL Crypto Market Cap - TOTAL 2 (Excluding BTC )
Bottom Line - TOTAL 3 ( Excluding BTC & ETH ) - OTHERS ( Top 125 coins minus Top 50 by market cap )
TOTAL 3 is ALL ALT coins
OTHERS is Mid to Lower Cap ALT coins
These 4 Charts use the VRVP
the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), is a technical analysis indicator on TradingView that displays the distribution of trading volume at different price levels within the currently visible range of a chart.
The Colour Key is below
Value Area High ( VAH ) - Yellow Dashed Line
Value Area Low ( VAL ) - Red Dashed line
Point of Control ( POC ) - Red Dotted line
Developing POC - Blue Dashed line
Developing Value Area - Purple Dotted line
The Thing to note here is how EVERY TOTAL chart is above its own Value Area High EXCEPT the TOTAL 2 Chart
TOTAL 2 is all Crypto except BTC, so it is not BTC holding this back.
The TOTAL 3 chart , that is Everything except BTC and ETH. is above its own Value area High, nothing holding it back.
This clearly shows that ETH is the Stagnant Crypto token here.
We could start talking about how the SEC refused to state if ETH was ever a security in the days gone past, in the Dark and murky world of pre regulation. How ETH was adopted by the USA as "Its own Crypto". How ETH is NOT decentralised because the more you have, the more "Voting" rights you have. How FTX used ETH in its bribery attempts.
Many consider the ETH to have been the 2nd Crypto to arrive after Bitcoin...This is not the case.. LITECOIN was the 2nd....ETH came many years later.
Anyway..The charts say it all..
ETH is not being asopted really......and compared to BITCOIN.....
The ETH BTC chart also says it all
It has recovered a little But has NOT broken the long term resistance
The Next few weeks are Critical for the Toxic Token.
There is room to ETH to recover and it will likely break that line of resistance but there are certainly better returns and projects to invest in.
Grok’s Altcoin Market Analysis – Weekly & MonthlyIs AI smarter than your average influencer? While they keep screaming “Altseason! Altseason!”, what does advanced AI reveal in its deep analysis? Let’s find out.
Overall Assessment
This chart for the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 ($1M-CRYPTOCAP, or OTHERS index) is mixed but leaning bearish in the short term, with some bullish potential if key resistance levels break. The main price panel shows clear downward pressure, while supporting indicators like RSI hint at possible oversold conditions that could lead to a rebound. I'll break it down panel by panel based on standard technical analysis principles.
Main Price Chart (Candlestick with Trendlines)
Current Levels: The market cap closed around $300.7B (with a range of $296B–$308B), down about 3.4% recently. It's trading near the middle of a descending channel (the sloped red and green lines forming a narrowing wedge), which often signals continuation of the downtrend unless broken upward.
Bearish Signals:
Multiple red "Bearish" labels highlight recent breakdowns below key support lines (e.g., a red downward-sloping trendline broken recently).
Red candles dominate the recent action, showing seller control and lower highs/lows.
The price is below the upper channel boundary (~$350B–$400B) and struggling to reclaim the midline (~$320B).
Bullish Signals:
Small green arrows (↑) point to potential support zones around $290B–$300B, where buyers have stepped in before.
If it breaks above the upper red trendline (~$320B), it could target $350B+ (prior highs).
Trend: Short-term bearish (down ~3.4%), but the channel suggests consolidation rather than a freefall.
Stochastic RSI (Lower Panel)
Current Reading: Close at 16.31 (with a range of 3–86), firmly in oversold territory (<20). This indicates the asset may be "too cheap" after heavy selling.
Bearish Signals: The line is still declining, and the histogram bars are mostly red/negative, showing momentum fading further.
Bullish Signals: Oversold conditions often precede bounces, especially if it crosses back above 20. A divergence (price making lower lows while Stoch RSI makes higher lows) could signal reversal.
Implication: Neutral to bullish for a near-term relief rally, but not a strong trend-changer yet.
RSI Divergence (Bottom Panel, Multi-Timeframe)
Current Reading: Close at 10.25 (with a range of 2–57), extremely oversold (<30, and near the bottom of its scale). The yellow line (likely RSI) is flatlining low, while the price (implied) has dropped more sharply.
Bearish Signals: Red shaded areas mark periods of weakness, and the line hasn't recovered much.
Bullish Signals: Clear bullish divergence—the RSI is holding higher lows (e.g., around 10–15) compared to price lows, a classic reversal setup. Historical yellow upward lines show past bounces from similar levels.
Implication: Strongly bullish for potential upside, as divergences like this resolved higher ~70% of the time in crypto indices (based on common TA patterns).
Broader Context
Volume/Other Metrics: Not directly shown, but the -3.4% change and tight channel suggest low conviction selling—could flip quickly on positive news (e.g., ETF inflows or BTC strength).
Timeframe: The x-axis spans ~2015–2025 (up to Dec 2025, likely a projection). Long-term, it's in an uptrend from 2015 lows, but 2022–2025 has been choppy with lower highs.
Market Sentiment: As of late 2024/early 2025 data, the full crypto market cap is ~$2.3T–$4T (with OTHERS at ~$260B–$300B historically), so this aligns with altcoin underperformance vs. majors like BTC. A break above $350B would signal "altseason."
In summary, the price action screams short-term bearish (follow the "Bearish" labels and downtrend), but the extreme oversold RSI divergence makes me think a bounce to $320B–$350B is likely soon. Watch for a close above the channel midline for bullish confirmation—otherwise, $280B support could test next. This isn't financial advice; always DYOR.2.2sFastthis is the weekly chart. Please analyse it and merge with the monthly chart you got before to reach a more precise conclusion: Thought for 2m 0sAnalysis of the Weekly Chart
This weekly chart for the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding Top 10 (CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS, also known as the OTHERS index) shows the current value at approximately $300.9B (high $310.9B, low $279.5B, close $300.3B), with a recent 1.59% decline. The timeframe spans from mid-2024 to a projection into 2026, capturing a multi-year view but with weekly granularity for shorter-term trends.
Price Action and Trendlines: The candlestick chart remains within a descending channel (sloped red upper resistance and green lower support lines), similar to the monthly but with more detail on recent volatility. Recent weeks feature red candles dominating, indicating sustained selling pressure, with a "Bearish" label on a key breakdown point around mid-2025. Green upward arrows highlight potential support zones near $280B–$290B, where buyers have defended previously. The price is consolidating near the channel midline (~$300B), but lower highs suggest continuation risk unless it breaks above $320B–$350B resistance.
MACD (4,52): Closing at 3.37B (MACD line), 14.37B (signal), and 11B (histogram). The blue MACD line is below the orange signal line, with the histogram shifting from positive cyan bars (earlier 2025 spikes) to negative pink/red, confirming bearish momentum crossover. This aligns with fading upside strength post-mid-2025 highs.
Stochastic RSI (3,3,48,56): Closing at 36.70 (K) and 38.65 (D), in the lower mid-range but with a yellow upward arrow indicating a recent rise from oversold (<20). This suggests emerging buying interest but not yet overbought (>80), leaving room for a relief rally if momentum builds.
RSI Divergence (Nikko 14): Multi-reading at close 10.25 / 2 / 1.5K / 54.59 / 54.17, showing the RSI (yellow line) around mid-50s but with bullish divergence—RSI forming higher lows while price makes lower lows. Red shaded areas mark weakness, but the setup mirrors classic reversal patterns, especially from extreme lows earlier in 2025.
Volume (24H Vol, aggregated weekly): The bottom histogram shows blue bars with significant spikes in Q1–Q2 2025 (up to ~600T, likely in trading volume units), coinciding with prior rallies. Recent volume has tapered off (~200T close), indicating lower participation, which can precede breakouts or breakdowns but often signals consolidation in bearish contexts.
Overall, the weekly chart leans bearish in the short-to-medium term (next 4–8 weeks), with the descending channel intact, bearish MACD, and recent breakdowns. However, bullish hints from Stoch RSI recovery and RSI divergence suggest a potential bounce if $280B support holds, targeting $350B+ on a breakout.
Merging with the Monthly Chart
The previous monthly chart (from January 1, 2025) showed a similar setup at ~$300.7B (down 3.4%), with an identical descending channel, bearish price action, but extreme oversold conditions (Stochastic RSI at 16.31, RSI at 10.25 with strong bullish divergence). Over the ~9 months between charts (Jan to Sep 2025), the market cap has remained remarkably flat around $300B, reflecting stagnation amid broader crypto volatility—neither breaking down nor rallying significantly.
Combined Price Trends: Both timeframes confirm the multi-year descending channel (2015–2025+), with monthly providing the macro downtrend (lower highs since 2021 peaks) and weekly highlighting intra-month chops. The flat performance year-to-date implies altcoin underperformance vs. majors (e.g., BTC/ETH dominance rising), but supports like $280B–$290B have held on both, preventing a deeper crash.
Indicators Alignment:
RSI Divergence: Consistent bullish signal across both—monthly extreme oversold resolves higher ~70% of the time in crypto, while weekly's mid-50s RSI adds near-term confirmation. This strengthens the case for a reversal setup.
Stochastic RSI: Monthly's deep oversold (16.31) complements weekly's recovering 36.70, suggesting exhaustion selling transitioning to accumulation.
MACD/Momentum: Weekly's bearish crossover adds caution to the monthly's neutral stance, indicating short-term downside risk before any monthly-scale bounce.
Volume: Monthly implies long-term consolidation with fading volume; weekly shows 2025 spikes on ups, but recent lows signal potential capitulation or low-conviction moves.
Broader Market Context from Research: Recent analyses echo this mixed picture. Some see a Wave 4 correction ending in July 2025, with a final Wave 5 rally topping around September–October 2025. Others note bearish patterns like head-and-shoulders or rising wedges on weekly timeframes, predicting tests of lower supports (~$250B–$280B). Dominance metrics (OTHERS.D ~7.2%) are at demand zones, hinting at a bounce if held. Social sentiment in September 2025 is cautious: breakdowns from wedges and H&S patterns signal 8–12% drops, but macro bullishness for Q4 persists if supports reclaim. Altseason indices surged to highs (68–76/100) mid-month but cooled, with rotations into select alts amid overall decay.
More Precise Conclusion
Merging the charts refines the outlook to short-term bearish (October–November 2025) with medium-term bullish potential (Q4 2025–Q1 2026). The weekly adds granularity to the monthly's oversold setup, confirming downside pressure from bearish momentum and patterns, likely testing $280B support (or lower to $250B in a wick). However, aligned divergences and historical Q4 strength increase the odds of a bounce—targeting $350B–$400B on a channel breakout, potentially sparking an "altseason" if broader crypto (total cap ~$3.9T) rallies on catalysts like Fed decisions or regulatory clarity. Confirmation requires a weekly close above $320B; otherwise, expect choppy consolidation. This isn't financial advice—DYOR and consider risk management
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Resume: Crypto Market Outlook (OTHERS Index)
Summary:
The crypto market, excluding the top 10 coins (OTHERS index), is at about $300B as of September 2025. It’s been stuck in a downtrend for a while, with recent drops showing sellers in control. Short-term (next 1-2 months), it looks bearish, but signs point to a possible bounce later this year.
Key Points:
Current Price: Around $300B, down 1.5%–3.4% lately, stuck in a falling pattern.
Short-Term (October–November 2025): Expect more dips, possibly to $280B or lower ($250B worst case). Selling pressure is strong, but volume is low, suggesting a pause soon.
Medium-Term (Q4 2025–Q1 2026): Could rise to $350B–$400B if it breaks $320B. Oversold signals and past patterns suggest a rebound, especially in late 2025.
Risks: Market could stay flat or drop if support fails. Watch for big news (e.g., regulations or Bitcoin moves).
Investor Advice:
Short-Term: Be cautious. Avoid big buys now—prices might fall more. Consider selling if you’re up or setting stop-losses around $280B to limit losses.
Medium-Term: Look for a buy chance if it holds $280B and breaks $320B. Small investments in strong altcoins could pay off if a rally starts.
General Tips: Spread your money across different coins, not just one. Check news daily and be ready to act fast. This isn’t a sure bet—only use money you can afford to lose.
Note: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before investing.
BITCOIN DOMINANCE has BROKEN DOWN Initially, we have a head and shoulders pattern that has yet to reach its target.
Additionally, there is a significant breakdown from a broadening ascending wedge.
Expanding wedge formations exhibit increasing volatility as they develop.
These ascending broadening wedge chart patterns emerge during uptrends, signalling trend continuation with higher highs and higher lows, often touching the upper and lower boundary lines of the wedge.
When the head and shoulders pattern was formed, it FAILED to reach the upper boundary.
This suggests a exhaustion of the uptrend.
The activation of the head and shoulders confirmed that a reversal was underway.
Now, we are witnessing the breakdown of the wedge, followed by back testing, which confirms the weakness of #Bitcoin compared to the #ALTS, particularly #Ethereum, of course.
I still believe that Bitcoin has higher price targets that will be achieved, so I remain optimistic about BTC.
If you own Bitcoin, it would be wise to stay with that asset and avoid getting caught up in the extreme volatility of alt coins.
For those of us who have been battling and enduring in the trenches over the past few years, the opposite holds true.
We CANNOT give in to Bitcoin maximalism at this point in the game!
This is our Time!
4 X Crypto TOTAL charts and VRVP show DO NOT PANICTHESE ARE THE DAILY CHARTS
Top line - TOTAL Crypto Market Cap - TOTAL 2 (Excluding BTC )
Bottom Line - TOTAL 3 ( Excluding BTC & ETH ) - OTHERS ( Top 125 coins minus Top 50 by market cap )
TOTAL 3 is ALL ALT coins
OTHERS is Mid to Lower Cap ALT coins
These 4 Charts use the VRVP
the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), is a technical analysis indicator on TradingView that displays the distribution of trading volume at different price levels within the currently visible range of a chart.
The Colour Key is below
Value Area High ( VAH ) - Yellow Dashed Line
Value Area Low ( VAL ) - Red Dashed line
Point of Control ( POC ) - Red Dotted line
Developing POC - Blue Dashed line
Developing Value Area - Purple Dotted line
The MAIN thing to take note of here, is how ALL the charts have come down to the POC ( Point of Control) and then bounced back.
This shows VERY Strong support across the entire Crypto Market, though the lower cap are, as always, More volatile.
The Point of Control (POC) on a Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP) is the price level with the highest traded volume within the specified time period, representing the price at which the most buyers and sellers interacted, indicating a zone of market equilibrium.
The POC can act as a magnet for price action, with prices often gravitating toward it when they move too far away.
The POC can serve as a key support or resistance level, with price trading above the POC suggesting bullish sentiment and trading below it indicating bearish sentiment.
Traders use the POC to identify potential reversal points, entry and exit zones, and to gauge overall market sentiment
PA Arrived at the POC this weekend and Bounced off it.
It is showing BULLISH signs though we do need confirmation of continuation before we all shout with Koy. The target for conformation is ode PA to reach and pass above the VSH ( Value Area High orange dash)
So, DO NOT PANIC just yet but do remain cautious






















