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Overbought

Potential Downside Short-term - Long Term EntriesCOINBASE:BTCUSD has broken below the ascending channel that has held for several months, indicating a possible shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is overbought on the RSI and broke below it's 200-day EMA as well. I'll certainly be adding to my long-term position on the way down and will likely grab a long position at some point- will post an update then. Until then, some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on, watching closely
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by jacobosiason7
US100: Potential reversal from overbought zone Symbol: SKILLING:US100 Timeframe: 30 Minutes Indicators: OB/OS Overlap (RSI, MFI, Stochastic) + S/R ________________________________________ 🔍 Quick Summary After a strong rally 🚀 from the 24,750–24,800 support area, US100 has reached the 25,280–25,300 resistance zone — where multiple oscillators are showing overbought signals. This suggests potential profit-taking or a technical correction may occur soon. ________________________________________ 📊 Price Structure • Price formed a temporary top after tapping the overbought area, with clear rejection candles near resistance. • A pullback toward the first support zone around 25,000–25,050 could occur before the next move. • If selling pressure continues, the next target area lies near 24,800–24,850, where previous structure and demand overlap 📉. ________________________________________ 🧩 Technical Highlights • OB/OS Overlap: RSI, MFI, and Stochastic are all in overbought territory (3/3 alignment) — a strong early signal of potential short-term exhaustion. • Price Action: A minor double top or bearish divergence may be forming if momentum indicators continue to decline. • Key Zones: Blue zones on the chart mark areas of potential buyer reaction (demand). ________________________________________ 🧭 Scenario Outlook Main Scenario (🔻 Pullback Expected): Price could retrace toward 25,000–24,850 before buyers attempt a rebound. Alternative Scenario (🚀 Continuation): If the price holds above 25,100 and breaks 25,280, the bullish momentum might continue short-term. ________________________________________ ⚙️ Risk Note This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage risk carefully and align your trade plan with your own strategy 📘💡. Market conditions can change rapidly — stay flexible and objective! Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
SKILLING:US100Short
by ZuperView
NZDJPY – Retesting Upper Channel: Looking for Shorts!NZDJPY remains inside a falling channel on the 4H. Price just spiked back into the upper trendline / supply (87.40–87.80), where sellers have reacted before. As long as this red zone holds, I’ll look for lower-high + break-of-structure sell setups toward 86.30, then the 85.40–85.00 channel low. A clean 4H close above ~88.00 would invalidate the idea and open room for 88.70–89.00. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
5
oct 6: tp hit xDoct 6: tp hit xD hell yeah brother. well, I guess the strategy was applied anyway. and the FRVP helped, maybe? Sweep + Low Volume Node + OTE + FVG, among the other confluences on my checklist. What I could have done better on this trade though... was not enter prematurely. in that way, I could have put my 2RR TP above the "TARGET" liquidity. Because as you can see, price swept the target liquidity, and then reversed immediately. Only by strong orderflow was price able to go lower again. But if it wasn't for this, price would have reversed and hit my SL. check one of my previous trades, I have this described there in more detail. everything on this trade is perfect besides my TP point. and maybe my entry, it was kinda rushed ngl.
Short
by reventioaxie
AUDJPY — Buy the Retest?AUDJPY remains overall bullish inside a rising channel. Price is hovering above a 96.0–96.5 support zone, which previously acted as resistance and now aligns with the channel’s lower boundary, a solid confluence area. 🔑 Key levels Support: 96.0–96.5 (zone to watch for bullish rejection) Resistance: 98.5 then 100.0 (round number / channel upper band) 📊 Scenarios Bullish 📈 If price retests 96.0–96.5 and prints confirmation (higher low / bullish candle), I’ll look for longs toward 98.5 → 100.0. Bearish 📉 A daily close below 96.0 would invalidate the setup and open room toward the next liquidity pocket near the channel low. What’s your plan here => wait for the retest into 96s, or trade the continuation if momentum kicks in first? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
3
US30: Key support breakdown signals potential sell opportunity 1. Current Market Overview 🌐 The SPREADEX:DJI index is approaching a significant resistance zone where selling pressure is expected to be strong. The price is currently consolidating and moving sideways around this area, preparing for a major move. 2. Technical Signals and Momentum Indicators 📊 Momentum indicators such as MFI, RSI, and Stochastic have all entered the oversold territory, while also showing signs of price compression (consolidation), indicating the market is waiting for the next breakout. The strong resistance zone and the Overbought/Overextended (OB/OS) signals suggest that buying pressure is weakening, which is favorable for sellers. 3. Sell Scenario on Key Support Breakdown 🔻 If the price breaks below the important Key Support level shown on the chart, this will confirm the beginning of a downtrend. Traders can consider opening sell positions as soon as the breakout occurs to take advantage of the downward momentum. The price target is expected to move toward lower support zones where buying interest may emerge to cause a price correction. 4. Risk Management ⚠️ Place stop-loss orders above the resistance zone or the nearest recent highs to protect against unexpected market moves. Adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance. 5. Conclusion 🔑 The sell setup on US30 is very clear with a strong resistance zone and momentum signals indicating a potential upcoming downtrend. Main scenario: Breaking the Key Support will trigger a strong decline, providing a profitable trading opportunity for sellers. Wait for a confirmed support break before entering the trade to ensure safety and effectiveness. Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨ Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
SPREADEX:DJIShort
by ZuperView
First Time Losing... That The Reason is ObviousFirst Time Losing... That The Reason is Obvious I feel like this is a good losing trade. I basically won. Figured out the market bias correctly, found the target liquidity, and the narrative(POI) to get there. 1H POI, 1H TARGET, Bearish Orderflow, BSL Sweep, Divergence, Overbought, and entered on the 5min FVG after the sweep. All criteria for entry are aligned. Price went to where I expected it to, with momentum. The only mistake? Setting the take profit point farther than the 1H TARGET LIQUIDITY. That's it. After it hit that liquidity, price really just moved uptrend with momentum. I've read some comment on youtube that said, “Price seeks liquidity, and once that liquidity is filled, it rebalances back to equilibrium.” or some shit like that honestly it was such an awesome quote that i remembered the meaning of it(very rare). The exact wording, I forgot. well, that's it. Honestly, this might seem obvious to you, but this is such a big step for me. I used to NOT KNOW why my trades were losing. Like, what am I doing wrong, is the strategy wrong, should i find another strategy, should i switch to elliot wave, etc etc lmfao. But now... the fact that I immediately knew what was wrong with my trade, and the fact that only one thing was wrong and is easily fixable in the next trade... is such a breakthrough for me. Well, thanks for listening to my TedTalk.
Short
by reventioaxie
$Btc Turning PointBitcoin has bounced from its lower low and is now pressing toward the upper wall, but here’s the catch — it still hasn’t printed a higher high. The market seems to be preparing for a potential higher low formation, yet the RSI slipping from the overbought zone hints at profit-taking. What does this mean? If CRYPTOCAP:BTC confirms a new lower high and holds, we could witness a push upward as buyers regain control. But if that setup fails and a fresh lower low forms, a clear bearish phase might kick in. The coming sessions will reveal whether Bitcoin is setting up for a healthy continuation or a deeper downturn. Keep a close watch — this zone could define the next big move. #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCAnalysis #TradingView
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
USDCHF — Rally Into Structure, Short the Retest?USDCHF has been overall bearish on the 4H, sliding inside a falling channel. After a bounce, price is rotating back into the 0.798–0.802 structure zone, right at the channel’s upper bound. This confluence is key 🔑. If sellers react here, I’ll look for rejection shorts toward 0.790 first, then 0.785–0.780 near the channel floor. A clean 4H close and hold above 0.802 would invalidate the idea and expose 0.806–0.810 next ⏳. What’s your plan => fade the rally at supply, or wait for confirmation before jumping in? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
KOTHARIPRO (BSE: 1D) — Volume Pressure Analyzer | OB 5/7 Tool used Analysis made with ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA), which decomposes daily flows into buy/sell volume, prints half-window deltas (C→B vs B→A), ATR-normalized wing slopes, α/β geometry at vertex B, and OverBought/OverSold spike labels confirmed by a 7-oscillator vote 1) Snapshot from HUD ◉ OB 5/7 fired on today’s +20% candle (RSI/Stoch/CCI/MFI/StRSI cluster). ◉ C→B (earlier half): Δ −14.21 → seller-tilted. ◉ B→A (recent half): Δ +72.25K → buyers in control. ◉ Angles: C→B wing both <0° (down), B→A wing both >0° (up). ◉ α=171.6°, β=188.4° → no red flags (thresholds are α>180 or β<180). ◉ Ranked zones: - B1 High 93.0 / Low 77.0 (resistance) - S1 Low 83.9 (support) 2) Interpretation ◉ The OB 5/7 tag warns of short-term exhaustion after an impulsive surge. ◉ Yet the right wing (B→A) shows positive deltas and slopes, meaning structure still favors buyers. ◉ No α/β stress flags, so the geometry is not “over-stretched.” ◉ The zone map is clean: B1 = resistance (93.0) and S1 = first support (83.9). 3) Scenarios A) Base case — Pullback / Digestion ◉ Likely reaction into the S1 zone (≈84–87) after OB tag. ◉ Watch Δ(B→A): if it fades to ≤0 and wings flatten, pullback deepens. B) Bullish continuation ◉ Requires daily acceptance above 93 with a buy-spike (TF_buy / SMA ≥1.6 or Z≥1.8). ◉ Validation = B→A Δ stays >0 and right wing >0°. C) Bearish rotation ◉ Triggers if B→A Δ flips negative and right wing turns gray/red. ◉ Breakdown below 83.9 on a sell-spike would confirm shift. 4) Conclusion Bias: Constructive with pullback risk. ◉ Immediate OB tag suggests a pause; however, the buyer regime in the recent half (B→A) is still active. ◉ Key invalidation = loss of 83.9 (S1) with negative Δ. ◉ Key confirmation = acceptance above 93 with buy-spike absorption. The points above are the technical and educational details from the ATAI Volume Pressure Analyzer (VPA). Put simply, the takeaway is this: The stock made a sharp +20% move today up to 93, and the indicator flagged an “OverBought” condition. That means buying pressure was unusually strong and the market may need to cool off with a pause or short pullback. Still, the recent volume balance shows buyers remain in control, so the broader structure is still constructive. If price can hold above 93 with renewed strong buy-side volume, continuation to the upside is favored. But if it slips below 84 and selling pressure grows, that would mark the start of a deeper correction. In simple terms: the main trend is still positive, but after today’s surge it makes sense to expect some digestion before the next leg.
BSE:KOTHARIPRO
by ata_sabanci
EURUSD - Already Overbought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of its channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and green resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
2
GBPJPY – Testing the Range Once AgainGBPJPY has been stuck in a wide range between 198.00 (support) and 200.50 (resistance) for several weeks now. 🔻 Sellers continue to defend the upper boundary (red arrows). 🔹 Buyers are stepping in around the 198.00 demand zone (blue arrows). 📈 Price is currently rejecting the resistance area once more while also sitting above the rising trendline (red). If the resistance holds, we could see a rejection toward the lower bound of the range. On the other hand, a clean breakout above 200.50 would be needed for bulls to take full control. 🚀 This setup makes GBPJPY one of the key pairs to watch in the coming days. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and follow your trading plan before making any investment decisions. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk management, and trade execution. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
$TAO Higher Lows Forming but Overbought Signals Trigger SelliOn the 4-hour timeframe, TAOUSDT is consistently forming higher lows, but the structure still aligns with a bearish trend overall. For a clear breakout confirmation, price needs to surpass the $380 resistance zone. Currently, both the Stochastic RSI and RSI are in the overbought region, indicating that sellers have started booking profits. This explains the short-term selling pressure. If the price sustains above the $320 support level, there is potential for a reversal move toward new highs. However, failure to hold this zone could lead to another retest of the critical support near $287. Traders should wait for confirmation before positioning, as the next direction depends on whether $320 holds or breaks.
by crypto_vulture_signals
1
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Gold Income or Bargain Entry?The Setup: A Pullback with a Plan Gold has been riding a strong bullish wave, yet momentum indicators suggest it's time for a breather. RSI is now overbought, and if history repeats, we could see a healthy correction of up to 9.29%, in line with prior pullbacks. This projects price near 3255, where we also find a cluster of UnFilled Orders (UFOs) acting as a potentially relevant support. It’s a key price area where buyers may step in again. Rather than try to perfectly time the correction or the bottom, we’re applying a more forgiving approach: selling a PUT far below current price—generating income while leaving room to be wrong by over 375 points. This is not a hedge. This is a standalone income strategy that accepts risk but frames it intelligently using technical context and options structure. The Strategy: Selling the 3250 PUT on GC We're using a simple but powerful strategy—selling a naked PUT—which can generate income or result in ownership of Gold at a deep discount if price dips. Underlying Asset: GCZ2025 – using Gold Futures Options (Nov 24 2025 Expiration) Strategy: Sell 1x 3250 PUT Premium Collected: 10.09 points ≈ $1,009 Breakeven Price: 3240 Max Profit: $1,009 (if Gold stays above 3250 until expiration) Max Risk: Unlimited below breakeven There are two possible outcomes here: Gold stays above 3250 → we keep the full premium. Gold drops below 3250 → we get assigned and become long GC at 3250. From there, we’re exposed to downside risk in Gold, with a breakeven at 3240. The position benefits from time decay and stable to rising prices, but it does carry the full downside exposure of long Gold futures if the trade moves against us. We want to be very clear here—this is a naked trade with undefined risk. That doesn’t make it reckless if done with sizing discipline and technical alignment, but it’s not a beginner-friendly strategy. Gold Contract Specs Understanding the size and risk of what you're trading is critical—especially with naked options. ✅ GC – Gold Futures (Full Size) Symbol: GC Contract Size: 100 troy ounces Tick Size: 0.10 = $10 Point Value: 1 point = $100 Initial Margin (as of Sep 2025): ~$15,000 per contract (subject to change) Underlying for the Option: GC Futures ✅ MGC – Micro Gold Futures Symbol: MGC Contract Size: 10 troy ounces Tick Size: 0.10 = $1 Point Value: 1 point = $10 Initial Margin: ~$1,500 per contract (subject to change) Why does this matter? Because if GC collapses below 3250 and you're assigned long, you’ll be exposed to full-size futures. That’s $100 per point of movement. A 50-point drop? That's $5,000 in unrealized loss. That’s where MGC becomes your best ally. Micro Gold futures offer a scalable way to hedge. If price begins moving down or breaks below the support zone, one could short MGC against the Short GC 3250 PUT to cap further losses or rebalance directional exposure with reduced size and margin impact. The Technical Confluence: Where Structure Meets Strategy The 3250 strike isn’t just a random number—it’s calculated. Historical RSI-based corrections in Gold have shown recent worse-case scenarios around 9.29%, and projecting that from recent highs lands us precisely near the 3255 zone. This level also aligns with a clear UFO support, where institutional buyers have likely left behind unfilled orders. That confluence—statistical retracement, technical indicator, and order flow support—gives the 3250 strike an interesting probability structure. Selling a Put beneath it means we are placing our bet below the “floor” and getting paid while we wait. If Gold never corrects that far, we profit. If it does, we might get long near a historically meaningful level. There’s no need to catch the top. There’s no need to nail the bottom. Just structure the trade where the odds are already potentially skewed in your favor. Trade Plan: Reward, Risk & Realism This trade isn’t about precision entry or leveraged glory—it’s about risk-defined logic with a cash-flow twist. Here's the full breakdown: 🧠 Trade Parameters Strategy: Sell 1x Gold Futures 3250 PUT Options Premium Collected: 10.09 points = $1,009 Point Value (GC): $100/point Breakeven Price: 3240 (3250 – 10) Expiration: Nov 24, 2025 🟩 If Gold Stays Above 3250 You keep the full premium → $1,009 profit 🟥 If Gold Falls Below 3250 You may be assigned 1 GC contra<ct long at 3250 Unrealized losses begin below breakeven (3240) Losses can be significant if Gold falls aggressively ⚠️ Reward-to-Risk? Reward is capped at $1,009 Risk is unlimited below breakeven The trade only makes sense if you're prepared to own Gold, or hedge dynamically via MGC or using any other technique This isn’t a “set-and-forget” income play—it’s a calculated entry into a structured exposure with a fallback plan. Risk Management: No Margin for Error Selling naked options isn’t “free money.” It’s responsibility wrapped in premium. Here's what must be considered: ❗ Undefined Risk When you sell a naked PUT, you're exposed to the full downside. If Gold drops $100 below your strike, that’s a $10,000 loss. Don’t sell naked options unless you’re ready—and capitalized—to buy the underlying or actively hedge it. 🔄 Use MGC to Hedge If Gold breaks below 3250, using Micro Gold Futures (MGC) offers a surgical way to hedge risk without overleveraging. A simple short MGC can offset GC losses proportionally, depending on how aggressive the move becomes. 🧮 Precision Matters Avoid entering trades too early or too large. Place an “invalidation” point: if price violates the support zone with conviction, reduce or hedge exposure. Never sell premium just because it’s “high”—sell where structure backs the trade. 📊 Discipline Trumps Direction This strategy is valid only if risk is respected. The market doesn’t owe anyone consistency—but a structured, risk-controlled approach keeps you in the game long enough to see it. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
COMEX:GC1!Education
by traddictiv
NZDCAD – Range Resistance in Play!📌 NZDCAD has been moving within a clear range structure between support and resistance zones on the 1H timeframe. Price is now approaching the upper resistance area, where sellers have consistently stepped in to cap bullish momentum. If this level holds, we could see a bearish reversal, driving price back toward the support zone near the lower boundary of the range. This setup offers a classic opportunity to trade the swing from resistance back into support. ⚠️ Always remember: patience pays. Let the market come to you. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
2
AUDJPY - The Bears Are Still Strong!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling broadening wedge pattern marked in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDJPY retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
AUDCHF - Already Overbought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDCHF has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong weekly resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
10
EURUSD - One More Bearish Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURUSD has been overall bearish trading within the falling broadening wedge pattern marked in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as a non-horizontal resistance. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong supply. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
18
Supply in Sight: AUDUSD Gearing Up for a Reversal?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong supply. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
7
USDJPY - Now or Never!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈USDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone. Moreover, the green zone is a strong weekly resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
23