xauusd next target 4161?the next target for XAU/USD (Gold) is highly dependent on its ability to break through key resistance levels, with an immediate focus on the $4,161 area. The upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting is the primary catalyst that will determine the direction.
The table below summarizes the key price levels and potential targets you should watch.
Timeframe Key Support Key Resistance Bullish Target (if resistance breaks) Bearish Target (if support breaks)
Short-Term $4,004, $3,951 $4,050, $4,161 $4,200 → $4,300 → $4,381 (All-Time High) $3,944 → $3,900
Medium-Term (e.g., 1-3 months) $3,874 - $3,878 - $4,249 - $4,300+ -
🚀 What Will Drive the Next Move?
The consensus among analysts is that the immediate price direction hinges almost entirely on the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting and subsequent commentary.
The Primary Catalyst: The Federal Reserve
The Rate Decision: A 25-basis-point rate cut is almost fully priced in by the market. Therefore, the decision itself is unlikely to cause a major surprise .
What Really Matters: Powell's Tone: The market will react to the forward guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell during his press conference.
Dovish Powell (signaling potential for further easing): This would likely weaken the US Dollar and push gold above $4,161, opening the path toward $4,200 and $4,300 .
Hawkish Powell (suggesting a "cut and pause" approach): This could strengthen the Dollar and trigger a sell-off in gold, pushing it below $4,004 to test the $3,944 - $3,900 support zone .
Supporting Factors
Central Bank Demand: Ongoing accumulation of gold by central banks (e.g., India, China, Germany) provides a solid foundation, limiting severe downside moves.
Geopolitical Tensions: Factors like trade tariffs and global instability continue to bolster gold's role as a safe-haven asset.
