DXY Steady as Markets Brace for a “Hawkish Cut”DXY Steady as Markets Brace for a “Hawkish Cut”
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around the 99.00 level as the market waits for the upcoming Fed decision.
Although the dollar has attempted to recover in recent sessions, momentum has slowed as traders prepare for what could be a “hawkish rate cut” — a scenario where the Fed cuts rates but signals a cautious or firm stance on future policy.
Most of the expected 25 bps rate cut is already priced in.
From a technical perspective, DXY has already broken out of the downward channel, and if bullish pressure continues, the index may aim for the short-term target at 99.50, followed by 100.00.
Let’s see how the market reacts as volatility picks up around the FOMC announcement.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Community ideas
Dash: Assessing a Potential Trend ReversalThe extended downtrend in Dash appears to be losing strength, and the recent price action shows signs of a potential shift toward a bullish structure. The current upward movement may represent the early phase of a broader trend reversal — although it is equally possible that this is only a corrective advance before another leg down.
At this stage, Dash is technically positioned for continuation to the upside, but the overall structure still leaves open the question:
Has the downtrend truly ended, or will Dash revisit new lows after the expected upward move completes?
For now, I am leaning toward a short-term bullish scenario, with the following upside levels in focus:
• Target 1: 51.20
• Target 2: 53.00
• Target 3: 56.00
The invalidation level remains at 47.86 — a break below this support would indicate a failure of the emerging bullish structure and potentially open the path for a deeper continuation of the prior downtrend.
Until then, Dash maintains a constructive setup, but with important uncertainty about the long-term trend direction.
USDJPY LONG FROM DEMAND AREA|
✅USDJPY price drives into a discounted demand level after clearing sell-side liquidity, setting up an ICT-style rebound as bullish orderflow begins to reassert itself toward the next inefficiency above. Time Frame 6H.
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the hourly chart, I have marked the area I am watching to see if we push down some more, or move up and take out some of the existing short positions that are in profit. Pre NY volume starts coming in here in the US in 2 hours from now (7:20am est). Let's see how things play out on the current 30 min and 1 hour chart. Be well and trade the trend. Shout out to Big G.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the overlap support.
Pivot: 156.06
1st Support: 154.92
1st Resistance: 156.87
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
Selena | XAUUSD 1H – Sweep → Accumulation → Demand Reaction PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold continues to respect the major ascending support channel while repeatedly sweeping sell-side liquidity into the same rebid demand. Current price is compressing below breakout structure, suggesting accumulation before expansion. Untapped buy-side liquidity remains above 4240–4260 — a clean future draw.
Primary Bias — Bullish Delivery if Price Holds Demand
Hold above CRQ Demand 4170–4185 →
🎯 Target 1: 4214 (Breaker reclaim)
🎯 Target 2: 4232 (Pre-FOMC high fill)
🎯 Main Objective: 4256–4268 Buy-Side Liquidity Pool
Break and acceptance below 4165 →
Resistance: 4232 / 4256-4268
Support: 4170-4185 (CRQ Validation) / 4165 (Kill-Switch Level)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This view is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Bullish momentum to extend?GBP/USD is falling towards the pivot, which is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and oculd bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.3354
1st Support: 1.3297
1st Resistance: 1.3453
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party
EURUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Momentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud, however, we are looking at a bearish reversal.
Sell entry: 1.18037
- Swing high resistance
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 1.18432
- Overlap resistance
Take Profit: 1.17121
- Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
BTCUSD is still in an uptrend channel on the daily chartA retest of the channel at point 1 is possible, but the Fed has announced, in addition to a 25-basis-point rate cut, that it will start buying T-bills. This means increased liquidity in the market, and we can expect upward moves in BTCUSD and the US500
ETH/USDT : LIVE TRADEHello friends
you can see that a spike has formed and then the price has ranged.
Now with a valid breakout from above and a breakout from below, buyers can push the price to the specified points.
This analysis is purely technical and is not a buy or sell recommendation. So please refrain from emotional behavior.
*Trade safely with us*
XAU/USD BEARISH SETUP ON 4H CHART PATTERN ..The market is respecting a strong downtrend, with price continuously rejecting the descending trendline. After another rejection at the major resistance level, sellers pushed price back below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming bearish momentum.
Two downside zones are highlighted:
Target 1: First support area where price may pause or react
Target 2: Deeper support level aligned with previous structure and volume gaps
As long as price stays below the resistance zone and inside the bearish channel, the momentum favors continuation toward these targets.
The Wall of Worry That Climbed 70% This chart should be framed and hung in every investor’s office.
From 2021 → late 2025 the S&P 500 went from ~4,000 → 6,886 (+70%+), while the entire way up we were bombarded with:
“SELL” – Michael Burry
“Worst crash since 1929” – John Hussman
“86% drop coming” – Harry Dent
“Biggest crash in history has started” – Robert Kiyosaki
“Third most expensive market ever, recession imminent” – David Rosenberg
…and literally dozens more “100% certain” doomsday calls
Every single red bubble on this chart = a famous expert screaming that the sky was falling.
And every time the market just… kept climbing.
Here's what's important to understand: "experts" produce lots of noise.
Waiting on the sidelines for the “all-clear” from the gurus is the riskiest move of all.
The opportunity cost is brutal.
Missing the best days (which usually come right after the scariest headlines) destroys returns more than any crash ever could.
Stay invested is much better than trying to time the experts.
Time in the market still beats timing the market.
You better save this chart the next time someone sends you another “crash is coming” article!
EURJPY breakout: Buying dips into BOJ last hike?EURJPY has broken out of a triangle consolidation on the 4-hour chart and is retesting the 182 level as support. With Japan pumping fiscal stimulus into a shrinking economy and the BOJ nearing its cycle peak, the macro setup favours buying dips for a continuation higher.
In this video, we break down why the yen remains weak despite rising yields and an imminent BOJ hike, focusing on the toxic mix of fiscal slippage and soft growth. Then, we map out the technical buy zone between 181.60 and 180.70, targeting a final fifth-wave push toward 183.40 and 185.00.
Key drivers
Japan macro: A massive ¥21.3 trillion stimulus package into a contracting economy (Q3 GDP -2.3% annualised) has spiked yields on debt concerns rather than growth, weighing on the yen.
Central bank divergence: The BOJ is expected to hike next week but signal it's near the terminal rate ("one-and-done"), while the ECB holds at 2%.
Technical structure: We are in a continuation pattern (triangle breakout) that likely marks wave 4 of a larger sequence, implying one last impulse leg higher.
Key levels: Support at 181.60 (161.8% extension of the internal wave) and 180.70 (structural pivot). Upside targets at 183.40 (138.2% extension) and 184.29–185.00 (161.8% extension).
Trade plan: Look to buy dips into the 181.60–180.70 zone with a stop below the previous low, taking partial profits at 183.40 and 184.29, and trailing the rest for a potential extension.
Trading the yen cross breakout? Share your entry levels in the comments and follow for more macro-to-technical trade setups.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
USDJPY BuyOverall structure is still bullish, but price reacted strongly from higher timeframe supply. On the 1H chart we had a clean rejection from supply + internal BOS showing short term weakness.
Because of that, I took short setups into the blue 1H demand zone.
Now that price reached the blue demand zone, I will follow the higher timeframe trend and entered a long position.
USD/JPY hits 155.00 supportThe USD/JPY fell post FOMC as investors went into the meeting prepared for a hawkish rate cut, but in the end only two officials dissented and the Fed still kept a rate cut in its median projections for 2026. The greenback fell across the board but now that major pairs are testing key levels, its best bet will be to come back against the yen, given the troubles the latter has faced this year. With the Bank of Japan also set to meet next week, the USD/JPY will be subject to lots of volatility, especially if the government is forced to intervene, too. All told, it is hard to see how Japan will get out of the mess it has created, which should keep the pressure on the yen even if the BoJ hikes next week.
Key support is at 155.00 and we are at that level now. Can we see a recovery here?
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Uniswap (UNI): Expecting EMAs To Be Broken And Secured By BuyersUNI is trying to build strength after that sweep above the EMAs, and buyers are slowly taking back momentum. The main thing we’re watching now is the break of the 200 EMA, since every major push on UNI started only after reclaiming it.
If buyers secure the EMAs again and hold above them, we look toward the upper targets shown on the chart. Structure is slowly shifting, but confirmation still comes from the 200 EMA reclaim — until then, we stay patient with the plan.
Swallow Academy
Breakout with Smart Money Reentry in Kotak Mahindra BankBreakout with Smart Money Reentry in Kotak Mahindra Bank
NSE:KOTAKBANK
📈Pattern & Setup:
Kotak Mahindra Bank is showing a breakout from a trendline resistance supported by a strong volume spurt and smart money urgency.
After a brief shakeout below the trendline, the stock staged a quick rebound on the very next candle — a clear sign of institutional buying pressure. The follow-up move has been supported by above-average volumes, confirming genuine breakout participation.
The structure suggests a continuation of the ongoing bullish trend with potential to test higher supply zones around 2280–2300 in the short term.
📝 Trade Plan:
Entry: Fresh entry near current levels (2170–2190) or on dips toward 2150.
🚩Stop-Loss: 2090 (below trendline support).
🎯Targets:
Target 1 → 2250 (previous supply zone).
Target 2 → 2286 (measured breakout target, ~5.7% upside).
💡Pyramiding Strategy:
1. Enter first lot near 2180.
2. Add above 2220 continuation breakout with strong volume.
3. Trail SL to 2140 once price sustains above 2220.
🧠Logic Behind Selecting this Trade:
This setup combines a shakeout + immediate rebound, often seen when strong hands reclaim control after flushing out weak holders. The subsequent volume-backed breakout confirms institutional interest. The risk-to-reward remains favorable as long as the stock sustains above 2120–2140.
Keep Learning. Keep Earning.
Let’s grow together 📚🎯
🔴Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making investment or trading decisions.
#BreakoutStock #Stocks #Nifty #KotakMahindraBank
GBPJPY is BearishBullish momentum seems to be fading out, bearish sentiment is further validated by the formation of a double top reversal pattern coupled with bearish divergence. If previous higher low is broken then we can expect a bearish reversal as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
GBPUSD Retracement or Rally? High-Probability Zones IdentifiedGBPUSD Analysis – Thursday, December 11
Welcome traders!
I’m glad to have you here — we’re all learning and growing together in this amazing trading journey.
We analyze the market every day to keep you prepared, confident, and aligned with clear institutional direction.
Let’s dive into today’s analysis on GBPUSD 👇
Market Overview
GBPUSD remains bullish on the weekly timeframe, maintaining its broader upward structure.
In the daily timeframe, the previous daily candle closed with bullish strength, showing that buyers are still in control and the higher-timeframe demand is respected. As long as the daily swing low does not break, our primary bias remains long.
On the 4-hour timeframe, price is still aligned with the bullish momentum, forming healthy pullbacks and making higher highs and higher lows.
I have identified all pro key levels, POI, and OBS zones on the chart for today’s session.
Today’s Scenarios
📌Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation from POI
Price may
• sweep the Asia session low liquidity,
• tap into the POI,
and from that zone initiate the next bullish continuation.
This is the cleanest continuation model if the POI holds.
📌Scenario 2 – Deeper Discount Before Expansion
Price may
• first tap into the OBS zone,
• then retrace toward the POI,
and from there begin its bullish movement.
This scenario provides a deeper retracement before the next markup phase.
⚠️ Important Note
We also have impactful USD events today. Expect volatility during the news window.
Always apply strict risk management and wait for clear confirmation before entering the market.
If you have any questions, feel free to comment below — I would love to see your thoughts.
📘 Educational Note:
This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only.
Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully.
Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency. 💪
🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts.
Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and weekly insights 💙
#GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #LiquiditySweep #OrderBlock #POI #FXMarket #PriceActionTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #DailyAnalysis #ForexEducation #TraderCommunity
XAUUSD H4✅ 1. Wyckoff Structure (Accumulation)
✔ Phase C – Spring confirmed
Price swept all liquidity below 4,180 (your blue zone).
Final wave (5) downward ended inside the liquidity BUY box.
Clear Spring + Test behavior.
✔ Phase D – Sign of Strength (SOS) underway
Market broke structure upward → BOS (Break of Structure).
This BOS confirms sellers have been absorbed.
Now expecting a Last Point of Support (LPS) pullback before expansion.
✔ Phase E (Distribution target projected)
Liquidity SELL zone 4,264 – 4,284
And even higher: 4,316
✅ 2. Smart Money Liquidity Analysis
🔹 Liquidity BUY Zone (Spring)
4,180 – 4,190
This zone served as the final demand sweep before bullish expansion.
🔹 FVG (Fair Value Gap) rejection
Price already mitigated the FVG (pink zone).
This acted as resistance during wave (2) and (A).
After BOS, this same zone becomes future support, but price likely won’t return there deeply now.
🔹 High-Timeframe Liquidity Targets
4,232.67 (already tapped once)
4,264.91
4,284.42 → CLEAN equal highs (major liquidity)
4,316.40 → long-term liquidity, likely final distribution zone
This aligns perfectly with your arrow projection.
✅ 3. Elliott Wave Structure (Internal Counting)
Your wave count is consistent:
(1) → (2) → (3) → (4) → (5) completed to downside
Upmove formed impulse Wave A
Pullback made Wave B (ChoCH)
Wave C is in progress toward major liquidity zones
This is textbook.
Wave C typically expands aggressively — this supports your projection toward 4,284+.
✅ 4. BOS + ChoCH Confirmation
✔ ChoCH (Change of Character)
Occurred at the Spring retest → the first bullish signal.
✔ BOS Up
Clean break above 4,208
Confirms bulls are in control.
Now expecting a simple retracement (LPS) before expansion.
This aligns with your blue projection curve.
📌 5. Expected Price Path (Your Projection Is Correct)
🔵 Short-Term Path (LPS)
Price likely pulls back into:
4,208.32
or 4,200.26 (small LPS zone)
🔵 Mid-Term Expansion
Next bullish leg targets:
4,232.67
4,264.91
4,284.42 (Liquidity SELL) ← Key target
🔵 Higher-Timeframe Reversal Target
4,316.40 (your highest red line)
This could be the UTAD (upthrust after distribution).






















