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GLD shortFib# XYABCD pattern, **Better both XY and AY crossed SMA50. Here is not perfect. AY=XY * 2.618 (or 1.618, 3.618) AB=AY * 0.786 CB=AB * 0.382 (or 0.5, 0.618) CD=XY * 1.618 (0r 2.24 ) Short entry 508 Stop 516 Target 393 (B point), 369 (D point) Buy NUGT Put as a tool to short GLD NUGT is GLD x2 ETF, if GLD will down 20%, NUGT will done 40%. Risk management is much more important than a good entry point. I am not a PRO trader. In my trading plan, the Max Risk of each short term trade should be less than 1% of an account.
AMEX:GLDShort
by PlanTradePlanMM
The “Real US Inflation” Is Falling Sharply!The Fed’s preferred US inflation gauge, PCE inflation, was updated last week, confirming a renewed disinflation trend following the two most recent favorable CPI inflation releases. Both PCE and CPI therefore confirm that the US price regime is once again moving toward the Fed’s well-known 2% target. Reaching this target is absolutely essential for the Fed to resume cuts to the federal funds rate and thereby provide support to the economy and equity markets. Here are several key fundamental observations regarding US inflation: • US inflation has resumed its path toward 2% after several months of stagnation around 3% • Real-time “true” US inflation (according to Truflation) is now falling sharply after dropping below 2%, and this decline in the “true” inflation rate could begin to appear in official data by the end of Q1 2026 • A return to the 2% target is imperative before considering any modification of the Fed’s inflation target (for example, a 1.5%–2.5% range instead of a strict 2%) • A return to the 2% target is also essential to consider activating the Fed put if conditions require it In any case, the next Fed Chair should benefit from a far more favorable price environment than Jerome Powell. Truflation clearly reinforces this diagnosis. After a period of stagnation around 2.5–2.7% during the summer and autumn, real-time PCE inflation has dropped sharply since year-end, quickly falling below 2% and now reaching approximately 1.5%. This dynamic is particularly important, as it suggests not only a return to target but also a potential temporary undershoot. This rapid decline is typical of advanced disinflation phases, when lagging components such as housing and certain services finally reflect past economic and monetary tightening. In other words, the observed disinflation is no longer marginal or fragile — it is becoming self-sustaining. If this trend is confirmed, official PCE figures published by the BEA should gradually converge toward these levels over the coming months, reinforcing the credibility of more significant monetary easing in 2026. In such a scenario, the Fed would regain substantial policy flexibility, both to support the economy and to stabilize financial markets in the event of stress. In summary, the current collapse in “true US inflation” represents a major macroeconomic signal: the fight against inflation is close to being won, and the monetary regime of the next decade could open on far more favorable foundations. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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ECONOMICS:USPCEPIAC
by Swissquote
Are we about to see a massive vix spike? $100?I'm not sure what the cause will be here, but it looks like we're on the verge of a massive vix spike. I can imagine that the selloff will look like a combination between the 1987 1 day crash and the covid selloff. I think we're about to see a 20%+ correction that happens very quickly which I think will lead to a massive spike in the Vix. Potentially the largest spike thus far. In order for this move to play out, we'll need a close over 20, then the 28 level on the chart, and then I think it's possible that we see the upper resistance levels. Let's see how it plays out over the coming weeks.
TVC:VIXLong
by benjihyam
CRWV - Risk is clearly defined, making this a structured setup!CRWV - CURRENT PRICE : 79.32 CRWV is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a medium-term corrective move after a prior uptrend. Importantly, price is now basing near the lower boundary of the channel, a zone where buyers previously showed interest. Rather than breaking down aggressively, price action is stabilizing, suggesting selling pressure is starting to fade. 📈 Momentum Is Improving (Key Clue) While price remains subdued, momentum indicators are telling a different story: ~ RSI (14): RSI is recovering from lower levels and moving higher while price is still near the channel bottom. This signals improving momentum and early bullish divergence characteristics. ~ MACD: MACD histogram is contracting, and the lines are starting to curl upward. This typically reflects weakening bearish momentum and the potential for a trend shift. 👉 When momentum improves while price holds support, it often precedes a technical rebound. 📌 This is a technical rebound setup — confirmation comes with continued momentum improvement and price holding support. ENTRY PRICE : 77.00 - 79.32 FIRST TARGET : 96.00 SECOND TARGET : 110.00 SUPPORT : 63.80 (the low of BULLISH HARAMI pattern - 17 and 18 DECEMBER 2025 candle)
NASDAQ:CRWVLong
by IMRAN_96
3
CADCHF LONGSTechnical Report: CAD/CHF Long Opportunity To: Trading Desk / Portfolio Manager From: Technical Analysis Unit Date: January 29, 2026 Subject: High-Confluence Bullish Setup on CAD/CHF Executive Summary The CAD/CHF currency pair is currently presenting a robust long (buy) opportunity based on a multi-timeframe confluence of structural shifts and momentum indicators. We have identified a macro transition toward a bullish cycle on the H4 timeframe, further supported by a deep Fibonacci retracement and a localized momentum trigger on the H1 timeframe. Technical Rationale 1. Macro Trend: H4 Break of Structure (BOS) The primary thesis is driven by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside on the H4 timeframe. • Analysis: After a period of bearish pressure, price has successfully breached a key swing high, establishing a new higher high. This structural shift suggests the initiation of a new bullish trend cycle and indicates that institutional order flow has transitioned from "sell-side" to "buy-side." 2. Entry Optimization: Fibonacci Retracement (78%–84%) Following the H4 impulsive move, price has undergone a corrective phase, pulling back into the 78.6% to 84% Fibonacci retracement zone. • Significance: This area is widely recognized as a "Deep Discount" or "Optimal Trade Entry" (OTE) zone. Entering at these levels provides an exceptional risk-to-reward ratio, allowing for a tight stop-loss placement below the origin of the H4 impulse while maximizing the potential upside of the next expansion leg. 3. Execution Trigger: H1 13/21 EMA Crossover To ensure precision in entry and avoid "catching a falling knife," we utilize the 13 and 21 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the H1 timeframe as a momentum filter. • Signal: A bullish crossover (13 EMA crossing above the 21 EMA) has occurred. This serves as our tactical confirmation that the H1 corrective trend has exhausted and buyers are actively re-entering the market, aligning the short-term momentum with the H4 structural bias. Risk Assessment While the technical indicators align, traders should remain aware of external volatility. As of late January 2026, market sentiment for the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is cautiously optimistic due to stable Bank of Canada (BoC) rate expectations, but any sudden shift in risk appetite could favor the Swiss Franc (CHF) as a safe haven. Strict adherence to the 13/21 EMA as a dynamic trend filter is advised.
Long
by Naseerabbah
Bitcoin Descending Channel Signals Further Downside To $86,100Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT initially traded inside a well-defined range, reflecting a prolonged period of balance between buyers and sellers. This consolidation phase ended with a clean upside breakout, signaling a shift in market control toward buyers. After the breakout, price entered a structured ascending channel, confirming a bullish phase with higher highs and higher lows. During this advance, Bitcoin respected the rising support line and showed strong impulsive moves, highlighting sustained buyer strength. As price approached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, multiple fake breakouts appeared near the resistance line, indicating growing exhaustion at the highs. Eventually, BTC failed to maintain acceptance above the channel resistance and experienced a breakdown below the channel, confirming a loss of bullish momentum and a structural shift. Following this breakdown, price moved lower and formed a descending channel, signaling short-term bearish control. Attempts to recover were capped by the descending resistance line, and several breakout attempts above this line were rejected, reinforcing seller dominance. A key Resistance / Seller Zone around 89,000 acted as a strong supply area, where previous support flipped into resistance after the breakdown. Currently, BTCUSDT is trading within the descending channel and moving toward a clearly defined Buyer Zone / Support area around 86,100, which aligns with a broader horizontal support and a rising long-term support line. This confluence strengthens the level and makes it a critical reaction zone. The recent price action suggests continuation to the downside rather than accumulation, with bearish momentum still in control. My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT remains below the 89,000 Resistance / Seller Zone and continues to respect the descending channel structure, the bearish bias remains valid. I expect sellers to push price toward the 86,100 Support / Buyer Zone (TP1). A strong reaction or temporary bounce may occur there, but a clean breakdown and acceptance below this support would open the door for further downside continuation. A confirmed breakout and acceptance back above 89,000 would invalidate the short scenario and suggest a shift toward consolidation or recovery. For now, market structure clearly favors sellers, with downside continuation as the primary scenario. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
33
Are Treasury Yields Climbing?The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury note consolidated after big jumps earlier this decade, and upside risk could be emerging. Today’s idea uses 3-day candles to see price action over the last 2.5 years. The first pattern is the falling trendline along the peaks of October 2023 and April 2024. TNX crossed above that resistance in late 2024 and has remained there since, which may confirm the decline has ended. Second, you have a series of higher lows since the Federal Reserve started cutting interest rates in September 2024. Third, narrow Bollinger BandWidth may create potential for yields to start moving again. Fourth, MACD has been rising. Finally, TNX jumped above 4.20 earlier this month and bounced there this week. Making a new low above that line (which had relevance back to July 2025) could also suggest an uptrend is taking shape. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
TVC:TNX
by TradeStation
Gold Speculation-Induced Sell-Off Triggers Plunge! Gold speculation-induced sell-off triggers a sharp decline, but the fundamentals remain solid! Barring any unforeseen circumstances, the bulls are still in control of the market. This sudden and sharp drop is essentially a high-level profit-taking and selling off. Coupled with various market sentiment and speculative pressures, it's natural that they would first eliminate those who were chasing the rally. This is the current environment, and today's decline has a justification! Therefore, it's best to remain cautious. As expected, another sharp drop occurred (but this doesn't necessarily indicate a trend reversal). The support level around 4800 on the middle Bollinger Band is eagerly awaited. Overall, there are constant calls for a market top in the gold market, but I don't see it that way. Speculation-induced sell-off triggers a sharp decline, but the fundamentals remain solid. A significant correction still presents an opportunity. I don't recommend chasing the rally or selling into the decline. Before and after the US market opens, wait for the key levels of 4940-4900-4800 to control short-term losses, look for a quick rebound from the lows for short-term profit-taking and position reduction, and hold the remaining positions for medium to long-term protection. These basic operations for position reduction and protection can be managed by yourselves!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Peter-33
Gold Price Pullback Signals Short-Term Bearish MoveGold was in a strong uptrend but now its getting weak. Price has broken below support showing a short term drop is likely. The next strong support area is around 4800-4700. For now the bias is bearish so selling on pullbacks near 5300-5350 can be better while buys are safer only if price shows a clear reversal from the support zone. Long term gold is still strong due to global uncertainty, but short term this move looks like a correction, so use tight risk management. Trade Plan - Sell Setup Sell Zone: 5300 – 5350 Sell Trigger: Bearish rejection or strong close below 5340-5345 with continuation Targets: 5000 → 4915 → 4800-4780 Invalidation: H4 close above 5410-5420 Trade Plan - Buy Setup Only consider buys if price reaches the 4800 demand zone and forms a strong bullish reaction Buy Zone: 5800 – 4750 Buy Trigger: Strong bullish close above 4820-4830 with continuation Targets: 5000 → 5130 → 5300 Invalidation: H4 close below 4700 Bias: Short-term bearish correction long-term trend still bullish so sells are pullback trades not a trend change. Patience near resistance is key. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
4
MSTR MicroStrategy ¡Really BULLISH Next 3 Months!Hello everyone, please give this idea a boost and follow me here on TW for my regular critical updates on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, MicroStrategy, Gold & Silver, based off Martin Armstrong's Socrates. Real GREAT news for MSTR 😮🚨 Since October MSTR was going through a WATERFALL EVENT on ALL time levels and little by little starting with the lower time frames the WATERFALL EVENT signal started to go away. Finally, Socrates is now calling for a TEMP LOW on the Monthly, Quarterly and Yearly is even calling for TEMP LOW TURNING UP . The Weekly is still showing downward pressure though... I can now start looking at the Weekly and Monthly Bullish Reversal and the price gap from today to those reversals is HUGE. Also, volatility in February through April is showing all maxed out so, I believe it could enter a BREAKOUT MODE rather fast once it starts to close above the DAILY REVERSALS. BTC vs Gold/Silver Outlook Good luck! and stay safe 🙏🏻
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by alejandroscotti
GBPCAD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud. Buy entry: 1.86642 - Pullback support - 50% Fib retracement - 141.4% Fib extension Stop Loss: 1.86134 - Overlap support Take Profit: 1.87459 - Pullback resistance High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk), Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Long
by FXCM
BTC Weekly Update – January 2026Current positions highlighted on the chart: 74K–79K , which are holding as near-term support. I also have longer-term DCA positions not shown here. Key 2026 accumulation zone: 49K–65K, near the weekly 200 MA, which has historically acted as long-term support. BTC has recently pulled back from the 2025 peak (~126K) and is consolidating in the mid 80K range. Holding these support levels will be important before potential moves lower toward structural long-term support zones. For educational purposes only – not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Roger_S_Garcia
EUR/USD long: Target 1.20 handle againHello traders My last idea was a short which was closed for 30 pips. I have entered into a EUR/USD long at 1.1907, the 30 min close. I have been standing aside apart from minor scalping during the trading day. Now that FOMC is out of the way, it appears that rates may be on hold for longer. Kevin Warsh is the front runner to replace outgoing FOMC chair Jerome Powell. He is known to have made dovish remarks before, so one can only assume that DJT is keeping that in mind. The DXY is set to close the month below an uptrend line going back to 2011 unless it reclaims the 97.50 level within the 19 hours. EUR/USD found parallel support at the 1.1894 breakout level. If the pair can close above the 200 month MA which is currently at 1.1950, followed by the upper channel barrier at 1.1959, we'll likely see an acceleration back above the 1.20 level. It would be advisable to keep an eye on USD/JPY which is currently challenging yesterday's high at 154.04. Markets do not have a long memory but the risk of BoJ intervention combined with the jawboning by DJT(does not care about the level of the USD) and Scott Bessent(believe in a strong USD) plus the quiet quitting of USA assets make for a toxic mix for the green back. AND the tariff decision by the US Supreme Court. Best of luck.
Long
by jvrfxalerts
EURUSD Monthly Supply ReactionQuick Summary the Price has reacted from a monthly supply zone and Further downside on EURUSD is possible A sell setup may develop from the 1.20031 level and Entry should only be considered after a clear rejection signal The main target is the previous low at 1.18955 Full Analysis After price interacted with the monthly supply zone EURUSD shows potential for further downside movement This area represents higher timeframe resistance and often acts as a strong turning point A continuation of the decline may develop from the 1.20031 level However selling directly from this area is not recommended without confirmation The sell setup becomes stronger only if a clear rejection appears This can be in the form of a reversal candle or an internal change of character which would confirm seller participation If such confirmation is present the market is expected to target the previous low at 1.18955 This level represents a natural liquidity objective following the reaction from monthly supply
Short
by Mr_Liquidity1